As a historian, Don Coxe is cautious in saying there is something new under the sun. He didn’t think he would live long enough to see the creation of an entirely new asset class, which is negative and seemingly endless in scope. Negative yields were first created by the self-financing Swiss to get the euro-zone moving again. Don likens them to the multiplying of bad germs, and finds it likely that there will be painful corrections in the economy, the stock market, or both.
I have a stack of dessert gooseberries. I know they should be in a fruit salad but I can't buy into that so want to put them into a crumble but with what? I seek answers from any gourmands or gourmets who are listening. Then I look at Alba (ALBA) in detail, its placing ahoy! I move through Northbridge Industrial (NBI), Gable (GAH) and the mystery of the dog that barked in the night, Gulf Keystone (GKP), Keller (KLR) and FastForward Innovations (FFWD).
Industrial equipment provider Northbridge (NBI) “is pleased to issue the following pre-close trading update in advance of its interim results for the six months ended 30 June 2016, which are scheduled to be released on 29 September 2016”. “Pleased to issue”. Good, good, but what’s that?, the shares currently down more than 11% on the back of the announcement? Hmmm…
The 2008 bailout was all about rescuing the gamblers from the Greenspan/Bernanke housing and global credit bubble again ( in started in 1971), and then to gift the huge windfalls on the 1% as the central banks reflated an even more monumental bubble with new experimental regimes of QE, ZIRP and NIRP. But after these failed experiments the world’s financial rulers are going to reap the ill-gotten rewards, as they are increasingly on the receiving end of an even more powerful and nasty force that of political contagion.
The most excellent BestInvest has today published its annual "Spot the Dog" Review of British based fund managers and - by value - around half of the cash invested in funds it terms dogs sits at M&G. And the worst fund manager among those managing UK equities only is Tom Dobell at M&G, the man who likes chucking other people's money at fraudster Rob Terry of Quindell over and over again. Among the heroes is, naturally Terry Smith of Fundsmith, the best performer in the "global" category. The full listings of dogs in each sector is fascinating. Well done Dobell, you are, if nothing else, consistent. That is to say consistently useless.
Three days ago Sky News reported that Inmarsat (ISAT) had approached Avanti Communications (AVN) with a view to making a bid. This was, as it happens, not true and today Inmarsat has exposed the lie in full. The story here is not only of the looming financial bankruptcy of Avanti but of its full blown moral bankruptcy too. This is shocking at every level, another milestone of shame for both Avanti and for the AIM Casino.
Hello Share Trundlers. There are folk who think investing in Royal Mail (RMG) is doomed to failure. They point to falling numbers of letters coming through our doors and the possibility of big companies like Amazon to arrange their own deliveries.
Sometimes it is good to wait... on Friday we were meant to have published our July tip of the month. But we still had a few things to check. It is better to be late and 100% sure than to rush and get it wrong. Especially when your money is at stake.
Negative interest rates? Mortgages for the unemployed? Theresa May and Hillary Clinton reckoning they can solve the economic mess with "new Government policies". It is a mad, mad world. And sooner or later we will face a day of reckoning for the economy, for shares and for property prices that will be brutal in a way you cannot imagine as I explain in today's podcast
Libertarian gold bug Peter Schiff is a hero of mine. This latest podcast on the bond bubble and the nightmare of a Clinton Presidency is really superb. On Crooked Hillary he really is very funny and very accurate. Spare 25 minutes for a listen.
Geo-political instability can make investments far more risky, but alongside that you will often find the potential for large returns with companies which look undervalued based upon their fundamentals.
You know that libertarian gold bug Peter Schiff is a major hero of mine. In his latest video he shows how real GDP growth is negative, it is collapsing. And that has profound implications for all of us on both sides of the pond. This is cracking stuff from Schiff. Yes we really are in recession already!
In our recent coverage of FastForward Innovations (FFWD) both Cynical Bear and myself have pointed out that the maths in its ramptastic announcements to the mug punters who back this stock, simply do not add up. But there is a bigger problem...the company is running out of cash.
32Red (TTR), the online gaming business, delivered a nice set of results on Friday, although they were greeted in a lackluster fashion by the market. After a huge run up in price over the past year, investors seem cautious that the share price might now fully “up with events”.
On Thursday I spent much of the day with MBN, the firm run by Nigel Wray's daughter with which we are now putting on UK Investor. More details regarding April 1 2017 soon but it is all pretty exciting. On friday I had a catch up chat with Nigel and in this podcast I look at three companies we chatted about: Guscio (GUSC), Reach4Entertainment (R4E) and a new one, Franchise Brands which was born from the ashes of Myhome. Hmmmm.
ShareProphets AIM-China Filthy Forty play MoneySwap (SWAP) has made no secret lately of its dire financial predicament. The investment case appears to be that it either gets a refinancing (with a new board) and survives – but with the new money coming in at a significant discount, or it does not in which case it is bust.
Old Gervais is a credible fund manager so what on earth is he doing appearing on a new video show "The spiv Olympics" produced by the LSE Asylum? Its host is Sith Lord Zak "I will do anything, tip any crap for money" Mir, guest one is some barrow boy from low life bucket shop Optiva and the third guest is an uber-spiv from the Asylum itself. So far in three days only 480 folks have watched this shite and Darren and myself are two of them. But Zak needs the money so needs the Asylum to think he has a mass audience so do your bit to assist a poor chartist.
The story of the week is at #2, Vindication for Tom Winnifrith: Cenkos to be fined up to £700,000 over Quindell fraud - not enough, as the work of several years worth of ShareProphets reporting come to fruition. Don't think for a moment that the FCA would have acted here without our unyielding coverage of Quindell.
Gold has definitely been one of the best sectors to be in so far in 2016, and whilst I’ve mainly been sticking to those companies in production, there are several smaller AIM listed outfits that are close enough to that stage to have gotten my interest.
I thought I’d take a short break from company-specific analysis this Saturday to share a few thoughts on how best to understand whether your investment journey is a successful one (for my previous advice article, see Micro-caps – don’t buy unless you’re willing to hold).
Following complaints from shamed share ramper Roger Lawson, ADVFN has insisted on a raft of new editorial controls on OneFreeShareTip.com. I did not re-start my life five years ago to be told what I could or could not write. I said no and ADVFN boss Clem Chambers has just said that the website will be shut down. So...our hand is forced ... Welcome to fivefreesharetips.com - we hope you join NOW HERE.
As seen here, Telit's (TCM) distributers are a, um, diverse lot, including a distributer in Vietnam that appears to be a scooter courier firm. Which is nice, and thank you for sponsoring this week's Bulletin Board Moron search.
The failure of the LSE to insist that hapless Nomad FinnCap forces Telit (TCM) to bring in a firm like KPMG to conduct a full forensic review will hurt it even more when this company goes tits up as I noted in a letter to Stock Exchange boss Donald Brydon earlier today HERE. Two sources tell me that the FBI may have bad news for the Boston fraudster Oozi Cats and his Mrs as I explain in this podcast. But the meat of the podcast is explaining why Telit will go tits up and why that could be within six weeks. Enjoy.
You may remember that at the last AGM of the London Stock Exchange (LSE) its chairman,, Donald Brydon CBE, 'fessed up to being a ShareProphets reader and as we chatted afterwards he came over as a thoroughly decent man. But he has, yet again, been failed by his minions in their handling of the biggest AIM fraud of the year, so far, Telit (TCM). Lowly gofers such as the head of AIM Regulation, the fake Sheriff Mr Marcus Stuttad, have allowed Telit to avoid any independent scrutiny of its accounts & business practices despite clear evidence of fraud. That has to change and maybe Brydon will push for that. I have sent him a letter.
If you read the bent, freebie is our middle name, personal financie columnists in the deadwood press, fund manager Neil Woodford walks on water. I disagree and have noted before, that, maybe, after three dismal years, others are starting to see the light. But, with assistance from a leading broker, how about we have a real look at the Woodford Patient Capital Trust (WPCT) but also at the sort of dogs Neil ifalls in love with.
VSA is house broker to Obtala (OBT) so is not impartial. Neither am I as we own a small number of shares following a Dragon's Den pitch as the 2017 UK Investor Show. But the price target suggests real upside and VSA's research team is well regarded and since we happily published an uber-negative piece from Evil Banksta the other day, this offers some balance. VSA has tweaked its forecasts
You may remember that ShareProphets poster Drunken Sailor and I were co-defendants in a libel case a couple of years ago ( which we won). Mr sailor is not a drunk and he is a great sleuth when he wants to be. My pressing concerns about uber ramped Bushveld Minerals (BMN) are its balance sheet, but DS has unearthed another major issue which, for some reason, Bushveld has not covered in an RNS. Perhaps it might do so now? Drunken's post merits a wider audience:
Like Richard Poulden, CEO of PCG Entertainment (PCGE), I have a bit of time for Brian Kinane at Riverfort. As someone who believes in transparency and clear communication, my view is that Brian is trying to bring some of that to the world of small cap funding, particularly where the dreaded phrase “ death spiral” is concerned and there’s a few points here to be applauded. It still doesn’t prevent the obvious question being aimed at Mr Poulden though – WHY RAISE MORE FUNDS NOW?
Some folks think that handing out share options to senior staff is a cost free exercise and b) benefits all shareholders as it incentivizes the board and also aligns their interests with those of stockholders. Bollocks on all counts.
Following the postponement of a significant contract announced at the end of last month, SRT Marine Systems (SRT) has now announced an “AIS Aids to Navigation Contract”, including that “the order is for the world's biggest single deployment of AIS AtoN”. The world's biggest hey, sounds impressive!…
Having reached more than 75p in May, shares in information management technology and services company Idox (IDOX) declined below 60p early last month before recovering above 65p - then declining towards 60p again. The company is now “pleased to announce that it has acquired… Halarose, a supplier of electoral back office software and services to UK local authorities, for £5.0 million, comprising £3.5 million in cash and £1.5 million in shares” (at 61.5p)…
Hello Share Grafters. The congestion in most of our airports will give you the heads-up that air travel is booming. It will continue to do so, especially as more people from developing countries become middle class. But you may still be wary of big airlines.
After a stack of RNSs earlier this year, it has all gone quiet at AIM-listed Advanced Oncotherapy (AVO) since the announcement of the termination of the Bracknor death-spiral. How’s the cash position?
Drilling services company Capital Drilling (CAPD) has announced results for the first half of 2017, including that an initial uplift in activity has broadened with an improving outlook in industrial metals and capital markets activities support. Why then are the shares further lower, below 40p, having been above 60p earlier this year?...
From the FCA's spreadsheet of short positions required to be disclosed to it, the following shows the shorted AIM shares with positions from 2016 and thus far in 2017 (by net short position %) - and if this position has increased (red), reduced (green) or remained unchanged (black) since last week...
Previously writing on System1 Group (SYS1), then named BrainJuicer Group, as the shares slid below 700p I concluded there still, despite self-admitted “limited revenue visibility”, a clear lack of a Benjamin Graham ‘margin of safety’ (”for absorbing the effect of miscalculations or worse than average luck” e.g. an earnings miss or negative change in stock market sentiment) and I thus continued to avoid. The shares have though recently been above 800p… until a “Trading Update” announcement today…
In the piss poor results for the six months to 30 June 2017, Telit (TCM) highlighted that it had purchased GainSpan and provided the following rather limited commentary on its contribution to the interim results:
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