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Presently stock valuations don’t matter, profits don’t matter and most of all, deficits don’t matter. The issue is an eight-year run of rising stock market indices has suspended, if not eradicated, the natural laws of the investing worlds. What was once considered rash or ridiculous is now shrewd and savvy. Conversely, tried and true investment principles, including evaluating business fundamentals, are for losers who lack imagination. An endearing quality of a late stage bull market is that it expands the universe of what’s possible. Somehow, rising stock prices make the impossible, possible. They also push the limits of the normal into the paranormal. Bubbles don’t grow out of thin air, they have a solid basis in reality. But, reality is distorted by misconception.
With its shares already down from 53.5p at the start of last year and 35p at the end of July this, to 26p, there’s now a further “Trading Statement” announcement from Real Good Food (RGD). Surely not yet more real bad news?...
In a wide ranging bearcast I ask whether the demerger of Afratin by Bushveld (BMN) will necessarily create value for shareholders. Then it is onto the read acrosses from Pendragon's (PDG) statement, not least for BCA Marketplace (BCA). Then I look at the scandsalous cash-piss by the evil fake news poll tax funded BBC on Interserve (IRV) and what it means for Interserve. I look at MySquar (MYSQ) and how soon it is a zero, UK Oil & Gas (UKOG), Andalas (ADL) and then onto SalvaRx (SALV) where, the fugitive from justice in South Korea, old Jim Mellon has pumped in more cash but where a real crash crunch clearly looms. Finally a few words on TrakM8 (TRAK)
Anyone who follows the lower end of AIM will have spotted the recent excitement and massive share price increase at Altona Energy (ANR) following a heavily discounted keep the lights on placing at 0.05p on 13 October. I couldn’t help but notice the name of John Zorbas cropping up and suspect that he has found something new and shiny to get excited about.
When those who attack you whether it be with lies or just pointless digs are obvious wrong un's you know that you are on the side of the angels. Being accused of market abuse and oterr fictional criimes by a convicted bank robber and market abuser is a good thing. Being lambasted as a rubbish journalist by bulletin board morons up to their necks in AIM listed frauds is a good sign. And that brings me to Whinny-Froth Holdings Ltd.
I don’t normally get into personal attacks but having finally caught up with Kibo Mining’s (KIBO) most recent Monthly Q&A and listened to its CEO’s implied dig at me, I thought I should give as good as I get. I was left thinking that Louis Coetzee doesn’t really understand what happened with Kibo’s recent convoluted funding or is just lying about it.
Hello Share Farmers. A share which I have held ever since Yorkshire Television was snapped up by Granada is Compass (CPG). This is the Footsie catering giant which Granada was absorbed into.
Financial guru Per Wimmer is invested in the natural resource space and has seen both the good and bad times. He has worked with many entrepreneurs in the mining space. Wimmer says, “From an investment point of view you have to do your homework. Investigate the stories and the management teams.” He became interested in the mining sector before the last supercycle when he discovered that it was a no-brainer from a supply-demand perspective.
Many folks seemed to think that Concepta's (CPT) next announcement would be a (lack of) profits warning and/or a placing and the shares have been sold down on that basis. Oh ye of little faith.
In this bearcast I look at a 200 page report out last week from the FCA. It examines saving and borrowings level of our fellow citizens by age group and is truly alarming. I look at its data and what that means for us all and it only makes me all the more bearish about the debt bomb upon which we sit
A piece of good news is posted by our friends in Kosovo, Fox Marble (FOX). It says that the advance payment of $500,000 it was promised by OM Enterprises , a leading tile manufacturer and distributor based in Calcutta has arrived. This is part of a deal announced on the 28 September 2017 when OM Enterprises agreed, to purchase 5,000 tonnes of material over three years. As part of the agreement, OM committed to a $500,000 advance payment.
At no-one is watching O'Clock on Friday the insolvent fraud African Potash (AFPO) issued three announcements one of which is that its shares will re-start trading on the NEX lobster pot. This is the return of the living dead. I examine those releases which show that Potash is insolvent as well as a company that lies routinely and commits fraud. It is worthless but what does this say about NEX Markets too?
Finally, after all these years, I have hit upon a 50% profit system, and it was discovered when I was buying almond milk. (I DO live in Islington.) So I am at Sainbury's, and they have posted signs all over the tills: "We do not accept the old £1 coin." Yet some poor sod was trying to buy his kale smoothie (Islington, right?) but the cashier was denying his coins.
Foundry and engineering group Chamberlin (CMH) has updated on “overall good levels of demand across the foundry and engineering businesses”, but that “margins within the group’s foundry businesses have been adversely affected by production issues”. The shares have, unsurprisingly, responded lower, but the potential value looks to justify a buy...
If it sounds too good to be true, it is too good to be true. That brings me to the Cascade (nothing to do with Bill Gates) ramp and Servision (SEV) and a detailed look at why it is utterly worthless. I look at the bogus French bid stories at UK Oil & Gas and how the Froggies are actually dumping the shares ahead of a bailout placing and because they are monstrously overvalued. Its also placing ahoy at Magnolia (MAGP) and Andalas (ADL) which is so shite it makes UKOG look like BP. I look at Blenheim (BNR), the boardroom departures and why its shares are 50% overvalued. Finally I try to work out how soon Condor Gold (CNR) will have yet another placing and why I would not back it at any price.
The past week has shown clearly why MySquar (MYSQ) shares should not be traded on any market, even the AIM Casino. I demonstrated HERE that it had lied to investors in an RNS this month. That lie stands uncorrected. I demonstrated HERE that without any doubt it had committed wholesale securities fraud on July 31. This was chapter and verse stuff and MySquar is now exposed. Yet nothing has happened. As such I have written to my pal the bogus Sheriff of AIM, Mr Marcus Stuttard the head of AIM Regulation
If you look at the 2011-2017 gold chart, we are facing the most significant trial yet says gold guru Lior. Gantz We managed to break through support, but that is being re-tested. If we can maintain support, we should see no further resistance up to $1400. This outcome is contingent on what the Federal Reserve does in December.
From the FCA's spreadsheet of short positions required to be disclosed to it, the following shows the shorted AIM shares with positions from 2016 and thus far in 2017 (by net short position %) - and if this position has increased (red), reduced (green) or remained unchanged (black) since last week...
Some posts on our comments section are so interesting that they merit a wider audience. Overnight Paul Scott, Britain;s top share blogger, served up a really interesting one on ASOS (ASC), prompted by Malcolm Stacey's recent (bearish) article here. This is really very interesting analysis. The great Scott writes:
Mail, parcels and logistics operator DX Group (DX.) has announced results for its year ended 30th June 2017, a self-described “especially challenging period”. These ain’t going to be good then…
Another day, and another set of expenses claimed by Julie Meyer MBE as being "on company business" from Ariadne Capital Limited, now in administration. Staff who were paid late or not at all, investors who have lost everything and the HMRC who will surely see these as more benefits in kind on which Julie should have paid tax, will be horrified. Natch this document has gone to the HMRC. This is October 2014 and is a retail special. Although the Co-op entry, 11 October, is a total hoot.
Oh dear Julie Meyer. This document below which has dropped into the hands of the Winnileaks service is already with one of the FOUR investors in your companies who is suing you and he is adding it to his case. It will be with the FCA and MFSA later today for it indicates a wholesale fraud on your part. It is dated 13 November 2017.
I start with confirmation that Brokerman Dan and I really are doing a Horse Hill to Woodlarks charity walk on 28 July. Are you free and would you like to walk too? If not just give us your cash ( as Dan used to say in different circumstances in the old days). More details here I then comment on the latest year on year newspaper circulation stats (below) - what is happening, why and what it means.
When Sosandar (SOS) listed on AIM at 15p late last year, the forecast was that sales in the year to March 31 would be £1 million. Now we learn that they were £1.34 million. How many companies beat forecasts by that much in their IPO year? This is a special company as anyone who watched the two birds who run it HERE will know. This is not just about sales. It gets better for we loyal shareholders...
Oh dear. Two grovelling letters from tax evading Julie Meyer have come to me via Winnileaks. It seems that her US assets ( 2 flats) are now under lien to the taxamn (the IRS) as Julie forgot to pay any Capital Gains Tax on the sale of First Tuesday in 2000. She is now begging for a payment plan.
It is just over a month since I updated on my trawl to find big dividends which might be safe in a market environment where I don’t see much upside and plenty downside. Having originally settled on BT (BT.A) at about 225p on a yield of just shy of 7%, I added ITV (ITV) at the last count, paying 143.7p. That puts its dividend at 5.4%, although it went ex-dividend before I bought. Meanwhile I finally succumbed to the attractions (as I saw them) of Centrica (CNA), paying 142.95p ahead if its final dividend. How are things looking?
A “Business Outlook Update” from computer vision technologies company Seeing Machines (SEE) - following an announcement on Wednesday of “Australian Distributor Expands Guardian Commitment” and on Friday of “European Commission Agenda Affirms SEE Tech”, which together saw the shares up from 6.6p to 8.55p. Surely good news then…
As we saw earlier, Julie Meyer has told the US taxman, the IRS, to who she owes vast sums, that her only source of income is - illegal - director loans from Ariadne in Malta. Unfortunately that is a lie. Because, thanks to Winnileaks, you can see below a letter from a Swiss company Vestergaard where Julie is a director detailing her pay in 2017. Check its website and you'll see she is still a director. Ooops, I bet Julie hopes the IRS don't find out about that. Sadly for the devout Christian...
The People’s Operator (TPOP) is one of a number of AIM companies where you have to wonder whether there is really any point in it continuing to stay in business, other than generating fees for its brokers.
As we saw earlier Julie Meyer MBE appears to have forgotten to pay any tax on the Capital Gain she enjoyed when selling First Tuesday 18 years ago. Sadly for her the US tax authorities at the IRS have caught up with the devoutly christian tax avoider but are not demanding all their cash at once because it appears that poor Julie really is flat broke. Thanks to Winnileaks I bring you a filing Julie made to the IRS.
If Italy’s neo-anarchist "Grillini" had combined with anti-euro Lega nationalists two or three years ago to form an insurgent government, it would have set off panic in the bond markets. Yet now that this is upon investors, risk spreads have barely moved as Bond purchases by the European Central Bank and negative rates have enveloped Italy with an enormous comfort blanket as most investors think there is no chance that the ECB will let Italy go down, because it is the end of the European project if that happens.
As I head off to Greece later this week it will be to start training at altitude in the Taygetos Mountains. Only kidding. But i have been taking to the gym and starting some modest walks. I really do not want to be shown up too badly on 28 July when Brokerman Dan Levi and I walk from Horse Hill to Woodlarks.
Hello Share Strikers. In recent weeks, nay months, I’ve advocated buying shares in the big oilers, like Shell (RDSA) and BP (BP.). I was very lucky here. And I still think there’s some way to go, with the price of Brent Crude once again at the top of the tree.
Andalas Energy (ADL) is a company that even after its recent placing has NEGATIVE net current assets of $1-2 million and no assets of any value. I think it is worthless but its management wishes to meet me to explain why I am wrong. Hmmm. Well for starters I am a hermit who never goes to London other than for UK Investor and secondly I simply will not meet until the company answers four questions and it is still refusing.
As the winner of the 2017 Dragon's Den – grand prize, a free trip to anywhere the #73 bus goes, bus fare not included - I have a a reputation to protect. So there would be absolutely no reason to do a check in on how the 2018 leaderboard is doing.
AIM-listed, Houston headquartered, Cayman Islands registered oil/gas play Frontera (FRR), whose operations are in Georgia (and if that’s not a Red Flag….) has confirmed gas flow rates from its Dino-2 well in the Taribani complex. It flowed at 315 bbls per day – well, at least part of one day. Apparently that’s commercial, but I doubt shareholders can count their winnings just yet.
Amazingly, the cash shell that is Standard Listed AIQ (AIQ) – with somewhere around 8-10p per share of cash and nothing else – has again returned from suspension this morning. The shares, having peaked (ahead of the last suspension) at 150p to buy are now in free fall, sitting on a spread (last seen) of 80p (to sell) to 130p (to buy). I have no hesitation in recommending a sell – there is, after all, only 8-10p of value here. What does surprise me is that there has been no official comment whatsoever from the company – or, indeed, anyone else.
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