UK 06:16 Saturday, 17 October 2026
Breaking news and expert analysis on fast-moving AIM and LSE listed shares
Tom's Bearcasts are the most popular part of ShareProphets – and that's by what we can count. Podcast plays on individual’s personal phones or computers are notoriously unmeasurable. These 20 Bearcasts are what the members of ShareProphets could not get enough of in 2022.
As you know I am reviewing my pension as discussed HERE. As such I am chatting to various CEOs who I have backed and yesterday evening I had a long chat with Stuart Ashman of Skinbiotherapeutics (SBTX). He is not a bluffing promoter but, I believe, a sober and grounded chap. I came away from the call just incredibly excited. I explain why the share price is where it is but also why this could within a couple of years be a 10 bagger but it could equally be a 20 bagger. Certainly any free cash within my SIPP will, even at twice today's price be going into this stock. And if I am right there is a clear implication for Optibiotix (OPTI) so I am not selling any shares in it either. Footnote/correction. There are not 2 million psoriasis sufferers worldwide as per podcast but 120 million. I can't say that weakens the case!
A few logistics on shared cabs etc for Sharestock first. Then Darktrace (DARK), Funding Circle (FCH), Alien Metals (UFO), Cenkos (CNKS), FinnCap (FCAP), Shield Therapeutics (STC) and Restaurant Group (RTN)
Ahead of West Ham vs Kidderminster and Wales vs Ireland I am obviously rushing to get things done. But this is a full length Bearcast covering Kefi (KEFI), Love Hemp (LIFE) and Powerhouse Energy (PHE)
I start and end with some admin matters. I look at a conversation with a small cap vet warning of bailout placings at a 75% discount on the way. I discuss Optibiotix (OPTI), Skinbiotherapeutics (SBTX), Vast Resources (VAST), Versarien (VRS), Yourgene (YGEN) and AJ Bell (AJB)
I want to be 100% transparent with you so I explain why, as of 8 AM today, Peter is no longer a member of this parish after apologising for yesterday's poor sound quality for which there was a good reason. I look at two shocking economic statistics and what they mean. I then cover: SkinBiotherapeutics (SBTX), Bluebird Merchant Ventures (BMV), AEX Gold (AEXG), Novacyt (NCYT), Avacta (AVCT) and Cake Box (CBOX).
I start with today's bombshell court papers involving Geoff Wilding of Victoria (VCP) and ex PM Malcolm Turnbull and a warning for bears. Then it is onto Deliveroo (ROO) where bears should tuck in.
In today's bearcast I start with Cathie Wood of Ark Invest and another sign ( hat tip FP) that she is Neil Woodford on steroids and will see a mega blow up in 2022. The onto the FCA's plan to crack down on financial promotions. My arse it will. If it was serious on this matter Gollum Gill would be in the slammer already. Then some consolation for Gary Newman with some words on Advance Energy (AVN). I comment on URU Metals (URU) and the there is Best of the Best (BOTB). Surely there must be a Steward's intp the £60 million share dump by directors nine months ago. But are the shares now cheap?
I do comment about Julie Meyer's latest tweet. Suicide is no joking matter and this act alone should see her lose her MBE. But most of this podcast is about events today at Optibiotix (OPTI) whose core businessis not worth MINUS £12 million as Mr Market implies. Ahead of the 24th March FYB! A pedant points out that at 14 mins in I say Optibiotix shareholders will get a distribution of 36-38%of Skinbiotherapeutics - clearly meant Probiotix. Apologies - long covid strikes again.
If Steve Holdsworth has not passed away as I was told I hope he enjoys what I have to say about him. If he has that is my greatest loss today although I do also discuss Optibiotix (OPTI) and Skinbiotherapeutics (SBTX) in detail, the two battering the value of my pension fund. I won't push Steve O' Hara in the River at Sharestock but if he brings his chairman I'd be tempted. Grilling O'Hara in person over a Wrexham lager is surely another reason for you to book HERE. The number of seats now needed: 74. Join the crowd on September 10. I discuss Red Rock Resources (RRR), Allied Minds (ALM), Canadian Overseas Petroleum (COPL) and, on behalf of a convalescing Nigel Somerville, Haydale Graphene (HAYD).
In today's Bearcast, I start with Guild ESports (GILD), and a collapsing party house of cards. I refer to the David Williams of Avanti infamy shocker - it is still a cracking short. Then I comment on Petropavlovsk (POG), where I am surprised no one has feigned offence at my earlier headline. There is a bit on NightCap (NGHT), but most of this podcast covers Kefi Gold and Copper (KEFI). Matthew and his dog will be delighted by that section.
I asked you whether I should fire someone last week. This morning I was pushed too far and did it. And then... well all is revealed in the podcast. I then discuss my pension. The most valuable holding is currently in at nil! But I then go through everything else I hold and what I have bought today to help me onto an early retirement and why.
I start with Ukraine, Russia and all that macro shite and say afew things which challenge the Western narrative and which some of you may disagree with violently. I cover Ferrexpo (FXPO),Amur (AMC) and Eurasia (EUA) in this section. I mention Cineworld (CINE) and then discuss today's news from Optibiotix (OPTI) and, en passant, Skinbiotherapeutics (SBTX) where I am buying more shares this afternoon.
This is a very long podcast, covering: Optibiotix (OPTI); Skinbiotherapeutics (SBTX); Kefi (KEFI); Bluebird (BMV); Ten Lifestyle (TENG); CakeBox (CBOX); Deepverge (DVRG); Petropavlovsk (POG); Eurasia (EUA); and Amur Minerals (AMC).
In today's bearcast I look in detail at Cake Box (CBOX), nanosynth (NNN) and Skinbiotherapeutics (SBTX).
There was no Bearcast yesterday as I was a) knackered after a tough Rogue Bloggers for Woodlarks training walk and then b) a bit pissed after Ireland's triumph over the infidels. You can now donate to the 2022 Rogue Bloggers walk on June 11 HERE. In today's podcast I discuss Optibiotix (OPTI), a long chat with Steve O'Hara and an, in my view, mistaken, but for him massive, call by Lemming Investor. I also cover SkinBiotherapeutics (SBTX). The Russia/Ukraine podcast I refer to is HERE
I start with Mello Events, which last night exposed itself as a PR promoter, failing to allow any questions about the elephant in the room: musicMagpie(MMAG). Then to Optibiotix (OPTI) and Skinbiotherapeutics (SBTX), after today's news from the latter. I have spoken to both Steve O'Hara and Stuart Ashman. As Les points out in the comments section, the silver lining for you is the postponement of my retirement - but not for long. The market has over-reacted: long-term, these two companies will subsidise the goat farm, as I explain in detail.
I start with a few words on Oxford Cannabinoid (OCTP). I have not said fill your boots nor should you. The issue here is management allegedly lining their own pockets ahead of corporate action which they know all about. One should not buy shares in such companies. Then I reflect on an excellent piece by Maynard Paton on Cake Box (CBOX) which you can read HERE. I comment on some of the excellent points he makes but add in half a dozen of my own, notably comparing boasted net cash and net interest costs but also the shameful CEO pump and dump and the macro headwind given the demographic of its end user base. This is probably not another Patisserie Valerie but at 320p it is a stonking short.
The Mrs was nextdoor, so I had to be upfront with you and list the sort of things I normally say but could not do today. Then, it is onto Kefi Copper & Gold (KEFI), and some comments about its behaviour today; Caspian Sunrise (CASP); Verditek (VDTK); Petropavlovsk (POG) - looking like a bang-on zero; and Wildcat Petroleum (WCAT), which is not much better.
I start with Kanabo (KNB), Oxford Cannibanoid (OTCP) and Cellular Goods (CBX). Who on earth would write them up as the three pot stocks to buy. They are all utter dogs facing looming cash crises. Meet Bethany Garner. I then discuss Victoria (VCP) after this bombshell. Then Gary's death wish, not as a Euroloon, but in considering buying Revolution Beauty (REVB). Then Ariana (AAU) and why its shares continue to drift. I start with news of a last minute cancellation here in Greece. If you fancy a last minute luxury break drop me an email. Anyhow it means a more leisurely drive back for me starting, I think, on Monday.
I am more panicked by the IRA man objecting to my bonfire. Heck, it is not as if it were the 12th July, and I were wearing my bowler hat with an orange sash, is it? In today's podcast, I look at Skinbiotherapeutics (SBTX); Eurasia (EUA) and a Kraut moron; Supply@ME Capital (SYME); and Argo Blockchain (ARB).
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