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Gold; a counter-intuitive leveraged buying opportunity

By Ben Turney | Friday 10 July 2015

Disclosure: I own shares in one or more of the stocks mentioned. I wrote this article myself, and it expresses my own opinions. I am not receiving compensation for it (other than from ShareProphets). I have no business relationship with any company whose stock is mentioned in this article.

The price action in gold this week has been most counter-intuitive. As Chinese markets go into meltdown and Greece does its best to get kicked out of the eurozone, the last thing many would have expected would have been for the precious metal to fall in value. The uncertainty in the market is palpable. Equities have been extremely volatile, the VIX has shot up to 19.97 and pressure is clearly growing on global bond prices. But gold has remained immune to the growing panic; that is so far, at least.

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CloudCoCo (#CLCO) – loan notes extension, CEO change and shares to resume trading on AIM
 30 April 2024, 07:59
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MTEC

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CRTM

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BRK

Brooks Macdonald – wealth management sector value?

 

CHLL

Alan Green and the Chill Brands loons on twitter, they just don’t get it!

 

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SLWD

Silverwood Brands (#SLWD) – delayed restoration of trading as awaits Capital Reduction Court order to be registered by the Registrar of Companies

 

NCYT

Novacyt (#NCYT) – DHSC Pre-Trial Review listed to be heard on 30th April, with also a DHSC application for summary judgment

 

JAY

Bluejay Mining (#JAY) – intends to expand to include helium, industrial gases and hydrocarbons, attempted ramptastic

 

PRE

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SDX

#SDX Energy – agreement for sale of West Gharib asset for estimated $6.6m

 

QED

Quadrise (#QED) – Valkor project initial oil well expected to commence drilling next week

 

CPH2

Clean Power Hydrogen (#CPH2) – 2023 £4.1m loss, cash down to £8.5m

 

NEXS

Nexus Infrastructure (#NEXS) – H1 update, notes increased order book but “challenging market conditions persist”

 

EMG

Man Group (#EMG) – Q1 net flows -$1.6bn, but AUM up to $175.7bn

 

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#888 Holdings – Q1 revenue -3% YoY, though emphasises “continuation of positive sequential quarter-on-quarter trends”

Thursday »

PODP

Pod Point – “pleased to announce… ahead of guidance for revenue and adjusted EBITDA”. Er, what about the initial guidance though?!

 

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Tom Winnifrith Bearcast: Has Leon at Jubilee slipped up one time too many?

 

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Tharisa – Q2 update, still a recovery Buy

 

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Imperial Brands – half-year trading update, a value Buy?...

 

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Video: Will the Dollar or Bond Market Be Sacrificed First in the Next Crisis?

 

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Home REIT – surely it is having its cake and eating it as lawyers letters fly

 

CYAN

CyanConnode – appointment of a joint broker “with immediate effect”. Why might that be?

 

PPP

Horse Hill – time for Pennpetro and UK Oil & Gas to ‘fess, the farm in is not going to happen!

 

ZED

Zenova – broker and auditor changes, yet more red flags!

 

CHLL

Swanny wants boardroom change – EGM called for Chill Brands

 

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#HOME REIT – issued and received pre-action letters of claim, “intends vigorously to defend”

 

SONG

Hipgnosis Songs Fund (#SONG) – $1.16 per share recommended offer from Concord Chorus

 

AJB

AJ Bell (#AJB) – notes Q2 growth, platform market opportunity “remains significant”

 

CARR

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VLX

Volex (#VLX) – expects FY adj. Op profit “slightly ahead of analyst expectations”

 

EZJ

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Rank (#RNK) – Q3 LFL net gaming revenue +6% YoY, expects FY in line with expectations

 

FOXT

Foxtons (#FOXT) – Q1 revenue +9% YoY, “trading in line with management's expectations”

 

ROO

Deliveroo (#ROO) – Q1 gross transaction value +5% YoY, FY guidance maintained

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Inspecs – 2023 results state “continuing to perform well”. Er, what about the end of year profit warning?!

 

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EXPOSE: Wyld – why is Tern exercising fewer T04 warrants than Jonathan Swann when it claims it has a much larger shareholding?

 

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SCE

Surface Transforms – “2024 Sales Outlook” down from just last week! And what about the balance sheet position that dare not speak its name again?

 

ONT

Oxford Nanopore from £3.7 billion at IPO to £846 million, I'm massively vindicated but is it still a short?

 

SYME

The Supply@ME Capital and Regtech frauds see shares plunge to new lows, with endgame imminent does the Fat Lady speak Italian?

 

MMAG

Non-disclosure: it’s what they are not saying but does anyone give a FF about the rules anymore?

 

Gagged

The Cass Report – on the transgender walk of shame must be Bath Spa University: TomWinnifrith

 

Gagged

Oxford University's Diversity Boss does not believe in free speech for those who engage in WrongThink - Tom Winnifrith

 

SCIR

Scirocco Energy (#SCIR) – proposed AIM cancellation following rebel General Meeting succeeding

 

EQLS

Equals (#EQLS) – Takeover Panel further extension to 5pm 15th May, with discussions and due diligence “ongoing”

 

LIO

Liontrust Asset Management (#LIO) – FY AuMA £27.8bn, Q4 net outflows £1.2bn

 

HTG

Hunting (#HTG) – “positive start to the year… marginally ahead of management's expectations”

 

SFR

Severfield (#SFR) – expects FY “slightly ahead of expectations”, “seeing an improvement in market conditions”

 

DLAR

De La Rue (#DLAR) – expects FY adj. Op profit “in line with guidance previously given, in the low £20m range”, intends ‘optimising intrinsic value’ update by end-May

 

SAGA

#SAGA – FY emphasises increased adj. profit but still statutory loss, net debt £637.2m

 

ASC

ASOS (#ASC) – H1 increased loss on sales -18% YoY, though argues restructuring “progress” including appointment of new CFO Dave Murray

 

WINK

M Winkworth (#WINK) – 2023 EPS -15% to 13p, DPS +6% to 11.7p, argues “excited by the outlook for the current year”

 

JET

Just Eat Takeaway.com (#JET) – Q1 gross transaction value -2% YoY, states reiterates full-year guidance

Tuesday »

PFC

Fitch downgrades Petrofac to 'CC'; Removes RWN: this is damning

 

BOWL

Hollywood Bowl – argues ‘strong growth’, but how “strong” really?…

 

SOS

Sosandar – Full Year Trading Update Misses Targets

 

Bearcast

Tom Winnifrith Bearcast: The shocking sense of of entitlement of this prat from Wales

 

MRK

Marks Electrical – “a fast-growing online electrical retailer”… growing much more slowly now?…

 

SDRY

Superdry – more ouzo for the bears but time to close your short ahead of Julian Dunkerton "rescue" and delisting

 

SEED

A confused shareholder in SEED Innovations writes…

 

DOCS

Dr. Martens – trading warning & CEO Kenny Wilson has so much outlook “confidence”… that he’s decided to leave!

 

UKOG

UK Oil & Gas – Think the unthinkable, might its bailout placing fail?

 

Bitcoin

Buy to the sound of gunfire and sell to the sound of trumpets (I've gone long bitcoin)

 

Bearcast

Tom Winnifrith Bonus Bearcast: Ben's Creek Post Mortem, name the names of shame, learn the lessons

 

CTO

TClarke (#CTO) – recommended 160p per share offer from Regent Group

 

SMDS

DS Smith (#SMDS) – recommended 0.1285 International Paper Company shares per share offer

 

MORE

Hostmore (#MORE) – proposed all-share reverse takeover of its franchisor TGI Fridays, Inc.

 

SDRY

Superdry (#SDRY) – proposed “restructuring plan”, equity raise and shares delisting

 

DOCS

Dr. Martens (#DOCS) – FY update and current “outlook is challenging”

 

SOS

Sosandar (#SOS) – FY expects £0.2m loss, argues “several shops identified in top tier locations”

 

BOWL

Hollywood #BOWL – H1 notes revenue growth and “confident about the outlook for the business in FY”

 

RWA

Robert Walters (#RWA) – Q1 constant currency net fees -16% YoY, “client and candidate confidence is at low levels”

 

HAS

Hays (#HAS) – Q3 LFL net fees -14% YoY, “market conditions remained challenging through the quarter”

 

BME

B&M (#BME) – FY “volume growth led delivery at the top end of guidance”

Monday »

BEN

BREAKING: Ben’s Creek US operations file for Chapter 11, shares a zero!

 

PAGE

PageGroup – argues “resilient performance”, but are the declines really “resilient”?…

 

Bearcast

Tom Winnifrith Bearcast: The next shoe to drop is Petrofac

 

TM1

Technology Minerals: shares fall another 10%, two explanations offered

 

EGT

Podcast: Cathal Friel and Aiden Lavelle of European Green Transition interviewed

 

EXR

Engage XR – “pleased to announce” 2023 results. Should it be?…

 

WCAT

Wildcat Petroleum…oops a daisy, when will the FCA end this farce?

 

EISB

East Imperial – hopefully my refinancing warnings were heeded as now... “the company has ceased trading”!

 

SYME

BREAKING EXPOSE: Alessandro Zamboni and Nuburu, the plot thickens

 

HZM

Horizonte Minerals: Told y’all, call the Fat Lady!

 

HZM

Horizonte Minerals (#HZM) – “unable to secure interest in the full financing needed”, as warned here shareholders wipeout ahoy

 

WCAT

Wildcat Petroleum (#WCAT) – now unable currently to sign any sort of contract in Sudan, argues to “now concentrate on South Sudan”

 

IES

Invinity Energy Systems (#IES) – states expects to finalise ‘strategic investment agreements’ “in the coming weeks”

 

CWR

Ceres Power (#CWR) – 2023 cash outflow £42.4m after revenue of £22.3m, “cash and short-term investments” £140m

 

BOOM

Audioboom (#BOOM) – argues improvement from 2023 results, but Q1 even adj. EBITDA profit just $0.1m

 

BOOM

Audioboom (#BOOM) – 2023 swing to even an adj. EBITDA loss, cash down to $3.7m

 

RNO

Renold (#RNO) – now expects FY results “materially ahead of current market expectations”

 

PAGE

PageGroup (#PAGE) – Q1 gross profit -16.4% YoY, -12.8% in constant currency

 

INCH

Inchcape (#INCH) – agreement to sell UK retail business for approx. £346m to Group 1 Automotive

 

SYNT

Synthomer (#SYNT) – agreement for sale of its Compounds business for c.€27.5m

Sunday »

Bearcast

Tom Winnifrith Bearcast: what now for oil as Iran and Israel go head to head and why Neil Woodford is THE guilty man

 

Gold

The View From The Montana Log-Cabin As “Mr Slammy” Hits Gold Before Iran Strikes Israel

 

Professor

Visual Aid: The World’s Top Flight Routes, by Revenue

 

KEFI

Okay here is that 'arry Adams of Kefi video

 

Quiz

The ShareProphets Sunday Pub Quiz #236

 

Professor

Sunday Long Reads: Bringing Football to Sheffield, Art Fraud, Boeing, Self-Help, Biggest Cruise Ship Ever

 

Top-10

Notes from Underground – Most read articles for the week ending 13 April

Saturday »

Bear

Lucian at 93% of target fundraise on his 63 mile walk for a great cause

 

Bearcast

Tom Winnifrith Bearcast: Wrexham up and my new least favourite football team, the gender pay gap, gold and bitcoin

 

Bear

Thoughts on Short Selling in the Post-Covid World and some safe targets

 

DCTA

Directa Plus – “GiPave installed at Imola Circuit”, RNS Reach attempted ramptastic?

 

ANP

Anpario – a recovery Buy?...

 

VIC

Why a Share Rise Could Be in the Pipeline for this Plumbing King.

Friday »

LIFS

LifeSafe Holdings – “pleased to announce” appointment of new Nominated Adviser and broker. I wonder why!…

 

Bearcast

Tom Winnifrith Bearcast: Petrofac is free money for the bears and does anyone advising Tern have any conscience?

 

PFC

Petrofac statement – it almost admits how screwed it is

 

TERN

Tern – After the preposterous and cynical pump……as things get Wyld

 

BEN

GOTCHA! Ben’s Creek ‘fesses up that it's firing nearly all its workers! Does advisor Allenby give a FF about market rules

 

ORCP

Oracle Power, David Lenigas and Mining Equities Pty Ltd: it’s a small world innit?

 

REAT

REACT Group – contract wins including “three material contracts”, a trading momentum continuing Buy

 

CHLL

Photo Article: the proof that Chill Brands MUST be sitting on bad news about WH Smith

 

IOM

iomart – “results which demonstrate the resilience of the group”. Er, do they?…

 

Crime-Scene

Buy 2 Let Cars Limited – the long slow hand of the law.

 

ARCM

Photo Article: a 2 metre reason NOT to go see my pal Vassilios Carellas on the ground with Arc Minerals in Zambia

 

BEN

Bens Creek (#BEN) – GOTCHA! as admits “laid off 44 employees”, mine care and maintenance and in “additional financial support” discussions

 

TERN

#TERN – placing raising just £0.42m at 2.4p per share, a more than 30% discount

 

TEAM

#TEAM – raises £1.25m at 20p per share as WRAP retail offer adds £0.14m

 

VLRM

Valereum (#VLRM) – “appointed Stanford Capital Partners Limited to act as the company's sole corporate broker with immediate effect”, hmmm!

 

LIFS

LifeSafe Holdings (#LIFS) – “appointment of Zeus Capital Limited as Nominated Adviser and Sole Broker with immediate effect”, hmmm!

 

ROAD

Roadside Real Estate (#ROAD) – “resource constraints at its auditors”, now expects to publish delayed results by 30th April

 

PFC

Petrofac (#PFC) – “continues to face challenges in securing new performance guarantees”, discussions including for “a significant proportion of the debt being exchanged for equity”

 

PMI

Premier Miton (#PMI) – Q2 AuM up to £10.712bn but still £268m of net outflows

 

HUD

Huddled (#HUD) – acquisition of online retailer Food Circle Supermarket for £0.2m in cash and shares and up to a total £0.3m

 

SRC

SigmaRoc (#SRC) – Q1 “underlying EBITDA in line with management's expectations”, integration of initial lime acquisitions “continuing well”

Thursday »

Cat_Fixing_Lightbulb

Bearcast issue update: all should be well

 

Boom

BREAKING: FCA slams Neil Wooodford – worse to come for the disgraced fund manager we exposed

 

Bearcast

Tom Winnifrith Bearcast: whataboutery

 

Bulletin Board moron seagreen where are you now? A posting that did not age well

 

DIS

Distil – after in January “confident that we can continue to build on this growth in Q4”, now announces a Q4 sales slump!

 

GAH

Blast from the past – Gable sues William Dewsall over alleged £20 million fraud

 

AFM

Alpha Financial Markets Consulting – expecting lower net fee income growth than stated just in February, but states “continues to expect”!

 

TIR

Tiger Royalties – another quarter of pointless failure & meaningless data: premium to (undeclared) NAV is insane

 

BSFA

BSF Enterprises – Frankenstein Leather, “No Current Plans For A Fundraise”.....Yeah, RIght, the annual report was a lie then?

 

RRR

Ding Dong: for whom the discounted placing Bell tolls yet again

 

Bearcast

Tom Winnifrith Bonus Bearcast: thoughts on the £12.5m bailout of Revolution Bars at just 1p

 

BEN

BREAKING: Has Ben's Creek sacked all bar 5 of its staff? Statement needed asap

 

Boom

The global warming nutters just make it up as they go along, Flooding in St Malo - Tom Winnifrith

 

LOK

Lok'nStore (#LOK) – recommended 1110p per share offer from Shurgard, the largest self-storage facilities business in Europe

 

RRR

Red Rock Resources (#RRR) – another placing, £0.26m at 0.051p per share it states is including for developing gold assets in Burkina Faso

 

NCYT

Novacyt (#NCYT) – Lyn Rees appointed CEO, 2023 results delay “due to the time required to integrate the accounts of Yourgene Health”

 

DIS

Distil (#DIS) – Q4 trading slump, notes spirits market “challenging” outlook

 

NXR

Norcros (#NXR) – notes FY revenue decline “in a challenging demand environment”

 

IOM

Iomart (#IOM) – FY update, notes growth held back by H2 lower than expected customer renewal rates

 

DARK

Darktrace (#DARK) – Q3 update, nudges up FY guidance

 

AFM

Alpha Financial Markets Consulting (#AFM) – after February trading warning, “trading has improved through the rest of Q4, as expected”

 

POLR

Polar Capital (#POLR) – FY AuM up to £21.892bn, quarterly swing to net inflows

 

DOM

Domino's Pizza (#DOM) – completes acquisition of remaining, 85%, shareholding in its largest franchise business in Republic of Ireland and Northern Ireland

Wednesday »

CHH

Churchill China – 2023 results, is it now “generating sustainable, growing returns for investors”?

 

Bearcast

Tom Winnifrith Bearcast: IQE is still a quarter of a billion sell

 

XPP

XP Power – “trading in line with expectations”, but how much of an ‘achievement’ is that?…

 

FUM

Futura Medical: unlike real customers, Lucian Miers gets a stiffy on the hidden warning

 

ETX

BREAKING: Another £70m AIM disaster as ETX announces plans to delist as it completes £28.9 million fund raise

 

SDY

Speedy Hire – “towards the lower end of the board's expectations”. Er, just how ‘low’ was that ‘lower end’ then?...

 

Clown_Funeral

Is your stockbroker a disabled transgender person of colour? It is awards time!

 

CTL

Cleantech Lithium – Roland “Fatty” Cornish actively signs off on deception as CEO hides dumping of his entire stake

 

TSCO

UPDATED: Has Tesco caved to the Jew haters – I ask the question & it appears not

 

PANR

Pete Brailey says short the £400m Pantheon ramp

 

IQE

#IQE – 2023 increased adj. loss, still net debt

 

DLG

Direct Line Insurance (#DLG) – appointment of current CFO of UK and Ireland General Insurance business of Aviva (#AV.), Jane Poole, as CFO

 

THG

#THG – 2023 still a loss, argues “now delivering operating leverage”

 

TSCO

Tesco (#TSCO) – FY adj. EPS +14% to 23.41p, DPS +11% to 12.10p, argues “strong momentum”

 

TET

Treatt (#TET) – H1 improving performance, notes H2 “solid sales order book and healthy sales pipeline”

 

SAA

M&C Saatchi (#SAA) – 2023 adj. EPS +3% to 15.2p, DPS +6% to 1.6p, “encouraging Q1 momentum”

 

CHH

Churchill China (#CHH) – 2023 adj. EPS +5% to 70.2p, DPS +14% to 36p, softer demand continuing in H1 2024

 

SDY

Speedy Hire (#SDY) – FY revenue -c.5%, expects results “towards the lower end of the board's expectations”

 

EPWN

Epwin (#EPWN) – 2023 adj. EPS +8% to 9.71p, DPS +8% to 4.80p, “expect to make further progress in 2024”

 

XPP

XP Power (#XPP) – states Q1 “in line with expectations”… but that’s constant currency order intake -27% YoY and revenue -15%

Tuesday »

Bearcast

Tom Winnifrith Bearcast: Should I care if Shell goes to America?

 

GHT

Gresham Technologies – how “pleased” to be with recommended offer?

 

TAST

Tasty plc – requires “restructuring plan” including lease exits and creditor write-offs approvals, or it’s cash crunch ahoy!

 

ORCP

Oracle Power: Cynical Foul

 

Clown

Explaining free speech with a cartoon for the 10th time for defamatory fantastist and liar Magna Carta

 

TERN

Tern: this is just a spoof, Talking Medicines “trading statement”

 

SCE

Surface Transforms – after another discounted equity fundraise as recently as November, surely it’s not liquidity crunch ahoy again?…

 

OBC

Reader: You are being far too soft on Clem Chambers. I plead guilty, this is SHOCKING!

 

CRTA

Cirata – where the hell is the cash going?

 

TERN

Tern – Wyld T04 warrant fund raising & a looming margin call

 

OBC

Clem Chambers trough-fest Online Blockchain Annual Report finally surfaces and it’s a hoot

 

Pinocchio

Tom Winnifrith: Amnesty International eulogises the face of true evil, Walid Daqqa

 

GHT

Gresham Technologies (#GHT) – recommended 163p per share offer

 

SBDS

Silver Bullet Data Services (#SBDS) – CFO Darren Poynton “stepping down”, Chris Ellis to join as CFO

 

HEX

Helix Exploration (#HEX) – helium exploration company lists on AIM, raising a gross £7.5m at 10p per share

 

PROC

ProCook (#PROC) – Q4 update, expects FY adj. PBT “marginally ahead” of expectations though at £0.5m-£1m

 

W7L

Warpaint London (#W7L) – Q1 growth means now expects FY ahead of current expectations

 

ULTP

Ultimate Products (#ULTP) – H1 adj. EPS -3% to 8.3p, DPS +1% to 2.45p, “now seeing the gradual resumption of normal ordering patterns”

 

IPX

Impax Asset Management (#IPX) – Q2 AUM up to £39.6bn, but net outflows of £1.7bn

 

RNWH

Renew (#RNWH) – acquisition of UK highways engineering business Route One for £5m Enterprise Value

 

AV

Aviva (#AV.) – completes acquisition of AIG's UK protection business for £453m

 

HSBA

HSBC (#HSBA) – agreement to sell business in Argentina for $550m subject to certain adjustments

Monday »

CBOX

Cake Box – “Full Year Trading Update”, why the profit and its comparatives that dare not speak their names?

 

Bearcast

Tom Winnifrith Bearcast: the price of a loaf of bread was 26p in 1980 & I bet teachers were lazy then too

 

TGP

Tekmar – “Contract Awards”, but announcement RNS Reach attempted ramptastic?

 

GoldfishShark

Video: From a Cyclical Low to a Super Bull – Why This Could be Gold’s Decade

 

CGO

Contango – from no plans to raise to a raise in just four months

 

EDEN

Eden – how long will its cash last? Time for a Jo Hart mea culpa?

 

WPHO

Windar Photonics – what’s the “proposed placing” really mainly for?…

 

IES

Oi Monkey, Invinity statement needed, your six weeks are up

 

BEN

Ben’s Creek: the Fat Lady is now gargling

 

KEFI

WOW and Kefi you really are a twit

 

Tom

It was 11 years ago today that Britain's Greatest Leader passed away - a video tribute to Lady Thatcher, Tom Winnifrith

 

Atomic

Peter Tatchell lives in an Orwellian post truth world when it comes to Russia and the Zaporizhzia nuclear power plant, Tom Winnifrith

 

CVSG

CVS Group (#CVSG) – “cyber incident”, being investigated and “likely to have an impact on operations for a number of weeks”

 

BEN

Bens Creek (#BEN) – notes a coal purchase order, but also that it is currently loss-making and is assessing “options available”

 

EGT

European Green Transition (#EGT) – company developing “green economy assets” in Europe joins AIM, raising a gross £6.46m at 10p per share

 

CGO

Contango (#CGO) – £0.94m placing at 1p per share

 

EML

Emmerson (#EML) – $2.175m equity raise at 1.75p per share with warrants and a REX retail offer

 

WPHO

Windar Photonics (#WPHO) – proposed up to £4m placing at 35p per share, stated to be including after recent contract wins

 

CAV

Cavendish Financial (#CAV) – appointment of Spark Advisory as Nominated Adviser, replacing Grant Thornton

 

CBOX

Cake Box (#CBOX) – expects FY revenue c.+9%, though also with 20 new stores taking estate to 225

 

BGO

Bango (#BGO) – 2023 another loss, argues “strong” Q1 2024 but emphasising revenue

 

IGP

Intercede (#IGP) – expects FY improved profitability from higher revenue and operational gearing

Sunday »

Black-Swan

Gender diversity boosts financial performance: the GroupThink lie that hurts us all.

 

Bearcast

Tom Winifrith Bearcast: Malcolm is 'avin' a Turkish if he thinks Lloyds is worth a quid

 

Professor

Sunday Long Reads: Farming Carauba, Woke Meltdown, Killer Culverts, Fighting the Metric System, Guinness World Records

 

Professor

Visual Aid: Top Emerging Markets for Investment in 2024

 

GPM

Gold Stocks – My Take On Why They’ve Still Got A Long Way To Go

 

Quiz

The ShareProphets Sunday Pub Quiz #235 - a special 11

 

Top-10

Notes from Underground – Most read articles for the week ending 6 April

 

Boom

The Doom Goblin's Global Warming myth, data from Iceland, Dublin and Sweden the GroupThink cannot explain: Tom Winnifrith

Saturday »

Bearcast

Tom Winnifrith Bearcast: why are gold stocks we all own not even higher? Setting targets for a few I do own

 

ATYM

Atalaya Mining - £4 Short-Term Tip Target Achieved: What To Do Now?

 

Cat_Fixing_Lightbulb

A new alternative Bearcast link for those having problems

 

BELL

Belluscura – do I want to bet against Mr. Magic?

 

BAR

Brand Architekts – interims, a significant discount to net assets Buy

 

Gold

The View From The Montana Log-Cabin: “The (Gold) Bull Market Is Here, People – It’s Time To Make Money”

 

AMRQ

Amaroq Minerals – first underground mining blast at Nalunaq, with further upcoming catalysts. Value BUY, More than 50% upside

 

LLOY

Looking Hard at Probably the most Traded Share in Blighty - and Asking Why?

Friday »

RUA

RUA Life Sciences – “Business Update” emphasise its “resilience and adeptness”, but is it just more ‘jam tomorrow’?

 

Bearcast

Tom Winnifrith Bearcast: Happy Birthday Dad, he would have been 86 were he not in a better place

 

XSG

Xeros Technology – another of Neil Woodford’s disastrous ‘revolutionising’ picks… so “Fundraising” (materially discounted, natch)

 

Bear

Video: The Economy is in Shambles, But Metals Are Still Heading Higher, silver to $100?

 

SDRY

Superdry shares suspension – it’s surely when not if?

 

RRR

GOTCHAL: Red Rock Resource and a partial ’fess, Lenigas ramps again

 

ARB

Argo Blockchain: Updates but as ever it is what it does not say that is the red flag

 

SYME

The FRAUD Supply@Me Capital: a weak and incomplete update fails to convince

 

Bearcast

Tom Winnifrith Bonus Bearcast: A tale of 2 non placings, discrediting management at Roquefort and Skinbiotherapeutics

 

Crime-Scene

Here we go again: is is market abuse or insider dealing at Roquefort? Will the FCA do anything?

 

Christopher_Booker

William Wragg, Grindr, The Honey Trap and the latest Tory sex scandal – I am so reminded of a Private Eye cartoon from 1963, Tom Winnifrith

 

Trump

Tom Winnifrith podcast: is the Trump Biden election now too close to call?

 

Clown

Video: LoveHamas ( I don't but its a good spoof) - Tom Winnifrith

 

ARB

Argo Blockchain (#ARB) – March “operational update”, emphasises increased “mining revenue” but no bottom-line details (natch!)

 

SYME

Supply@ME Capital (#SYME) – attempted ramptastic “Business update”

 

WCAT

Wildcat Petroleum (#WCAT) – “Quarterly newsletter”, RNS Reach noting delays and ‘jam tomorrow’

 

RRR

Red Rock Resources (#RRR) – “DRC and Gold Assets Update”, but only a “non-regulatory” RNS Reach

 

SBTX

SkinBioTherapeutics (#SBTX) – further shares issuance, and at just 6.592863p, as a result of terribly-structured Dermatonics acquisition

 

ROQ

Roquefort Therapeutics (#ROQ) – admits potential fundraise “market soundings”, but reckons “has decided to not proceed with any potential placing at this time”

 

APH

Alliance Pharma (#APH) – 2023 results delay due to auditor determining higher volume of work required than it originally expected

 

WIN

Wincanton (#WIN) – CMA CGM offer lapses after the higher competing offer from GXO

 

PINE

Pinewood Technologies (#PINE) – GM circular for 24.5p per share special dividend and a shares consolidation

 

ROO

Deliveroo (#ROO) – ‘B’ shares conversion, to have just one class of shares in issue

Thursday »

WG

Wood Group – 2023 results, remains a recovery Buy

 

Bearcast

Tom Winnifrith Bearcast: meeting Olaf's b/f, smelly cheese PLC and an admission I was wrong

 

MOTR

Motorpoint – emphasises recent trading improvement and outlook optimism, but how much is already priced-in?…

 

SYME

If Zamboni’s Avantgarde has not sold any shares in Supply@ME Capital I am a Dutchman

 

GELN

Gelion – emphasises “key technology proof point” milestone achieved. Er, what about that update on “solvency/viability and long-term future”?

 

CRTA

Cirata ( Wandisco as was) from $30m fund raise to material uncertainty and a warning in just nine months!

 

INSG

Insig AI – “equity funding facility” agreement, though forget it enabling meaningful “investment into sales and marketing”?

 

GENF

The curse of Swanny strikes again, bucket shop placing at Genflow, the company created by a penny share fraudster

 

SBTX

Skinbiotherapeutics – time to address the placing rumour

 

Father Christmas

An end-Q1 tips of the year update

 

Madness

Another old friend lost? I am a “fascist” for not slating the Jews: Tom Winnifrith

 

SMDS

DS Smith (#SMDS) – “continuing discussions with Mondi”, Takeovers Panel extension to 5pm 23rd April

 

GENF

Genflow Biosciences (#GENF) – £0.715m placing at 1.25p per share, with warrants

 

SYME

Supply@ME Capital (#SYME) – insists Alessandro Zamboni not selling shares

 

LORD

Lords Group Trading (#LORD) – appointment of Stuart Kilpatrick as CFO to succeed leaving “to take up another professional opportunity” Chris Day

 

CAV

Cavendish Financial (#CAV) – “trading update” notes revenue growth but no other P&L detail, cash up to £20.8m

 

MOTR

Motorpoint (#MOTR) – Q4 retail volume +c.9% YoY and continued margin recovery, though still a full-year loss

 

FUTR

Future (#FUTR) – “return to organic revenue growth in Q2”, currently “on-track to deliver on expectations for FY”

 

GHH

Gooch & Housego (#GHH) – H1 impacted by some destocking, argues expects trading to be more heavily weighted towards H2

 

GETB

GetBusy (#GETB) – acquisition of accounting “pricing intelligence and revenue optimisation” platform SmartPath for initial $0.25m and contingent consideration up to $2m

 

EAH

Eco Animal Health (#EAH) – disposal of “non-core” branded treatment for equine parasites for a total €1.3 million

Wednesday »

CLX

Calnex Solutions – “broadly in line with” (i.e. a bit behind) expectations… which it dare not mention were already massively reduced!

 

Gold

Video: Will Gold & Silver Prices Soar in a 2008-Style Economic Collapse?

 

Bearcast

Tom Winnifrith Bearcast: Any company even suspected of round tripping is just not investable

 

TPT

Topps Tiles – “First Half Trading Update” is a profit warning that dare not speak its name…

 

TRAK

Trakm8 Holdings: The Pig, The Pork and the debt at credit card rates

 

Gold

Who Is Behind The Gold Buying ?

 

Bearcast

Tom Winnifrith Bonus Bearcast: Fundamental analysis just does not matter any more and it is wrong to short Trump Media as a result. Discuss

 

SWG

Shearwater – “FY24 Trading Update” is a material lack-of-profit warning after the year-end!

 

RRR

Letter to Roland “Fatty” Cornish: how can you allow this social media outrage and AIM Rule Breaking at Red Rock?

 

AVO

DISGRACE: Advanced Oncotherapy – Beyond A Joke As AIM Continues To Break Its Own Rules

 

Cat_Fixing_Lightbulb

The Bearcast feed is acting up, sorry about that

 

ALPH

Alpha Group International (#ALPH) – intends to move to Main Market from AIM

 

TRAK

Trakm8 (#TRAK) – ramptastic update, though also including issue of £0.99m of 18% interest convertible loan notes!

 

PEEL

#PEEL Hunt – FY revenue c.+4% and a loss, notes UK economic and fund flows challenges

 

WIZZ

#WIZZ Air – March booked passengers +12% YoY, load factor -1.3ppts to 90.8%

 

SWG

Shearwater (#SWG) – larger contracts agreement delays warning, argues during this year “confidence in returning to growth”

 

CLX

Calnex Solutions (#CLX) – expects FY “broadly in line” (i.e. slightly behind) expectations, argues expects to return to growth this year

 

TPT

Topps Tiles (#TPT) – H1 sales -5.9% YoY, particularly notes subdued domestic RMI demand especially for bigger ticket projects

 

HFG

Hilton Food (#HFG) – 2023 adj. EPS up to 52.8p, DPS to 32p, argues “well placed… although markets remain challenging”

 

ABDP

AB Dynamics (#ABDP) – acquisition of Venshure Test Services for initial $15m and further contingent up to $15m

 

SXS

Spectris (#SXS) – completes sale of Red Lion Controls business for estimated net proceeds of c.$275m

Tuesday »

RRR

Shameless David Lenigas: his second most ramptastic tweet in history

 

ZED

Zenova – director “pivotal” in its products development leaves “with immediate effect”. Uh oh!…

 

Bearcast

Tom Winnifrith Bearcast: this RedX news is a total disaster for the AIM Casino, preparing to meet Olaf's b/f after a year

 

UKOG

UK Oil & Gas annual report – the warning is explicit!

 

ITX

Itaconix – “unable to reach satisfactory commercial terms with one of its major existing merchandizing customers”. Uh oh!…

 

Bear

A checklist of share price doom from Evil Banksta as he prepares for a luxury break

 

Bearcast

Tom Winnifrith Bonus Bearcast: Why Steve and I cannot give investment advice on Bluebird Merchant today, a clear own goal

 

SND

Sondrel – argues requires “transformation” away from AIM listing… having listed less than 18 months ago!

 

Trump

Donald J. Trump offers a slam dunk short but also a long: here is the pair trade

 

BELL

Belluscura: wrong, wrong, wrong – not 1 but 2 lack of profits warnings!

 

ZOO

A reader says I am wrong to be bearish on two shares

 

RBG

Revolution Bars (#RBG) – “unable to publish” results shares suspension, desperate fundraising discussions

 

REDX

#REDX Pharma – proposed AIM listing cancellation

 

HZM

Horizonte Minerals (#HZM) – senior lenders waivers to end-April, working on “a restructuring plan” requiring creditors approval

 

BMV

Bluebird Merchant Ventures (#BMV) – Gubong project “partial farm out” agreement discussions, Kochang project audit and inspection process review “still being processed”

 

UKOG

UK Oil & Gas (#UKOG) – FY £4m loss on revenue down to £1.5m and swing to net debt

 

FDEV

Frontier Developments (#FDEV) – sales “in-line with expectations”, disposal of Rollercoaster Tycoon for $4m and $3m deferred consideration

 

GMR

Gaming Realms (#GMR) – 2023 EPS up to 2p, “promising start to 2024”

 

TMG

Mission Group (#TMG) – 2023 swing to loss and increased net debt, argues current year “trading has started well”

 

RNWH

Renew (#RNWH) – “continues to experience strong demand… across all key markets”, Rail sector director change

 

HSBA

HSBC (#HSBA) – completes sale of Canada business to RBC, intends special dividend per share of $0.21

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