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Tom Winnifrith Bearcast - does the Wolf of Wall Street have British cousins?
I was re-watching the movie last night and ask the question. I discuss signs that the FCA really is getting stuck in, albeit too late. I look at too good to be true investments starting with London & Capital Finance. I look at house prices and why I think that bad data gives far too rosy a view. I look at US jobs data yesterday and what that means for base rates. And I look at the big short positions in AIM stocks. Don't bet against the bears! Now off to West Ham.
- By Tom Winnifrith |
- 4 January 2019, 23:26 |
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Independent Oil & Gas Plc – are the shares a zero? A detailed look at the maths of the FCA Raid…
As I noted yesterday, London's second worst Nomad,, FinnCrap (FCAP), and Independent Oil & Gas (IOG) served up a wholly misleading response to my Thursday bombshell. Now for a detailed drill down on the maths to reveal the extent of that deception….
- By Tom Winnifrith, The Sheriff of AIM |
- 4 January 2019, 22:42 |
Reviewing Tipsters’ Top Picks for 2019
The UK economy suffered a tumultuous 2018, and it proved to be a particularly rough year for holders long in UK-listed shares: the FTSE100 suffered its worst year in a decade, while the FTSE All Share slumped 13% over the course of the year. The turbulence we’re experiencing looks set to continue into 2019 as markets struggle with mounting uncertainty. As a result “tipping shares has never felt more hazardous”, but there are potential rewards; Joanne Hart (Daily Mail) notes that “UK shares are widely acknowledged to be undervalued, presenting clear opportunities across the market”. I should point out that Tom Winnifrith and others think Ms Hart is useless and clueless.
- By James Bowden of Stockomendation |
- 4 January 2019, 22:42 |
Neil Woodford's missing annual report caption contest
The FCA must be all over him on this matter as Neil Woodford is now 4 days late with the Woodford Investment management annual report. What is he hiding? As we wait for Britain's most conceited fund manager to come clean and file, I invite you to provide a suitable capition for the image underneath in the comments section below. As ever the prioze for the wittiest entry is a semi naked photo of Britain's top share blogger (mornings only), thirsty Paul Scott. The deadline to enter is midnight Saturday, January 5.
- By Tom Winnifrith |
- 4 January 2019, 22:41 |
Shorted AIM shares at the start of 2019
We review the performance of the shorted AIM shares as at the start of each year. For 2018 that review is HERE and, from the FCA's spreadsheet of short positions required to be disclosed to it, we now have the shorted AIM shares at the start of 2019 (those in bold remain from 2018)...
- By Steve Moore |
- 4 January 2019, 22:41 |
Chamberlin – interims impacted by production ramp-up inefficiencies, but H2 looks better... BUY
Chamberlin (CMH) has announced results for the six months ended 30th September 2018 and that “the group is expected to deliver an improved performance in the second half”…
- By Tom Winnifrith & Steve Moore |
- 4 January 2019, 22:41 |
Tell your Mummy. There's Still Gold in them tha' Egyptian Hills.
Hello, Share Twisters. Not that long ago I suggested you might buy gold. And in particular, shares in an Egyptian miner, Centamin (CEY). Its share price has risen by about 25% since then. But I claim no credit for that, as there was little doubt that gold is becoming more desirable.
- By Malcolm Stacey |
- 4 January 2019, 22:40 |
Top shorted London-listed shares at the start of 2019
We review the performance of the top shorted London-listed shares as at the start of each year. For 2018 that review is HERE and, from the FCA's spreadsheet of short positions required to be disclosed to it, we now have the top shorted London-listed shares at the start of 2019 (those in bold remain from 2018)...
- By Steve Moore |
- 4 January 2019, 09:51 |
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Tom Winnifrith Bearcast: a tale of two Morons - Craig the IOG shareholder and a chap called Neil
In today's bearcast I have a hot rumour about Neil Woodford and I look at a moron called Craig who owns shares in Independent Oil & Gas (IOG) and is a classic moron. I look at that company at Circassia (CIR) - a Woodford dog - and at Gear4Music (G4M). Tomorrow I take my family and my son Joshua's godfather Lucian Miers to the London Stadium to see mighty West Ham in the cup so I'm not sure when Saturday copy will arrive.
- By Tom Winnifrith |
- 4 January 2019, 08:48 |
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7digital – “pleased to confirm” restructuring completion… but much it shouldn’t be pleased to confirm!
In September, previously writing on 7digital Group (7DIG) I questioned a “global leader” with Universal Music contract wins? – with it seeing me question AIM-listed companies which claim ‘global’/‘world’ leader an automatic bargepole / sell?. An intra-day (Uh oh) “Update” today commences that the group “is pleased to confirm”… but the shares are currently more than 50% lower, below 1p!…
- By Steve Moore |
- 4 January 2019, 06:55 |
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Touchstone has production and exploration upside, although funding could prove to be an issue - speculative buy
These days I tend to avoid oil companies at the bottom end of the AIM market as usually the risks aren’t worth the rewards, and the majority of them do nothing but fleece investors over a number of years without ever achieving anything of note.
- By Gary Newman |
- 4 January 2019, 05:37 |
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Gear4music – having adopted a market share strategy… “capacity limitation” profit warning!
Previously writing on online musical instruments and equipment retailer Gear4music (G4M) in September as the shares slid below 600p, I concluded such a rating demands at least growth as anticipated; not “slower than anticipated” roll-out, “gross margin compromise” and potentially worse – and, even without all that, is still likely highly dependent on a continued bullish stock market. As such, at this juncture, I avoid. The shares are currently sliding below 300p on the back of a “Trading Update”…
- By Steve Moore |
- 4 January 2019, 03:40 |
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J’accuse: Nomad FinnCrap and Independent Oil & Gas mislead investors with RNS re its loan facilities
Yesterday I pointed out that the ultimate benefactor of AIM Cesspit listed Independent Oil & Gas (IOG), was blocked from doing any activity after an FCA raid and that created real issues for Independent. The company and its scumbag Nomad FinnCap (FCAP) has responded with a statement that quite simply misleads investors. That should tell you everything…SELL!
- By Tom Winnifrith, The Sheriff of AIM |
- 4 January 2019, 02:58 |
Neil Woodford rolls the dice at GYG. Meanwhile, Companies House still awaits…..
Is it the kiss of death? Last night it was announced that Neil Woodford had upped his stake in struggling AIM-listed yacht maintenance outfit GYG from 23.43% to 24.08%. Readers might recall that this tactic rather backfired with fully-listed Kier Group (KIE) and Purplebricks (PURP) and..the list goes on and on.
- By Nigel Somerville, the Deputy Sheriff of AIM |
- 4 January 2019, 02:57 |
REVIEWED: Performance of start of 2018 shorted AIM shares
Having previously noted a respectable showing from the start of 2018 top shorted London-listed shares, how was the performance of the AIM shares then shorted?...
- By Steve Moore |
- 4 January 2019, 01:05 |
What's next for Next? Online Sales Seem Set to Soar Even More
Hello, Share Tweakers. Next (NXT) is another retailer that realises online sales are becoming more dominant over high street stores. And that has paid off. A last-minute burst of computerised Christmas shopping has been especially beneficial, according to the clothing giant.
- By Malcolm Stacey |
- 4 January 2019, 01:03 |
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Tom Winnifrith Bearcast: Finncrap interims (you are taking the piss) and when is the IQE profits warning?
In today's podcast I explain domestic disturbances caused by the need to move to the Grim Northern welfare safari and to be closer to my mother-in-law. Oh happy days. In the podcast itself I look at FinnCap (FCAP), IQE (IQE), UK Oil & Gas (UKOG), Amur Minerals (AMC), Cabot (CAB) and Corero (CNS) a most almighty sell however you look at it.
- By Tom Winnifrith |
- 3 January 2019, 08:15 |
GOLD - For Whom The Bell Tolls
There is probably no more irritating an adage than the old Wall Street one which says “no one rings a bell at the bottom or top of a market” … but it does highlight the purpose or value of making a trading call - or if you prefer (as it is the season for it) … in making a forecast.
- By Ross Norman of Sharps Pixley |
- 3 January 2019, 08:14 |
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IQE: Countdown to another shocking profits warning & admission that refinancing needed now underway: Apple warns
Oh dear. Oh dear. For those beguiled by the shoddy analysis of thirsty Paul Scott into buying shares in IQE (IQE), things are set to go from bad to worse. Much worse. Last night Apple issued a first quarter sales warning.
- By Tom Winnifrith, The Sheriff of AIM |
- 3 January 2019, 07:33 |
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BREAKING: It is official – Neil Woodford is late with his accounts: what is he hiding?
Last year Britain’s most conceited fund manager, whose flagship fund is ranked 241/241 for performance, Mr Neil Woodford filed accounts 11 days before the deadline, on 20 December. This year Woodford Investment management has yet to file its accounts for the year to March 31 2018. It is late. It will be fined. The FCA will be having kittens. You want proof?
- By Tom Winnifrith & Nigel Somerville |
- 3 January 2019, 07:09 |