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Tom Winnifrith Bearcast - First Derivatives More to Come (ho, ho, ho - crack out the ouzo)

Published 5 October 2018, 14:14

Our Winnileaks Matt Earl special on First Derivatives (FDP) has set the cat amongst the pigeons. But I have bad news for the men from God's chosen lands of Ulster who run First. I have more and hope to air soon. Ho ho ho. Get the ouzo and ice ready. In this podcast I also cover spoofing at BlueJay (JAY), Fastjet (FJET), Frontera (FRR), the scandal at Indigovision (IND) which is enough to have us all voting for Jeremy Corbyn, Mayan (MYN) and, in some detail, Condor Gold (CNR), the gold dog which has sent so much of the cash of my good pal Jim Mellon to money heaven. I fear Jim will have to get his wallet out again soon.

Notes from Underground – Most read articles for the week ending Oct 12

Published 13 October 2024, 10:45

The most read non-Tom article last week is Corero Network Security – emphasises “Continued Q3 2024 New Customer Momentum”, but how significant? by Steve Moore at number 1 or number 7 including Bearcasts. 

First Derivatives - it is smoke & mirrors - keep selling

Published 8 November 2018, 07:51

Reading the interims of First Derivatives (FDP), purveyors of smoke and mirrors to the gullible analyst community, the questions continue to stack up. 

Tom Winnifrith Bearcast: Sheik on the make, another nail in Neil Woodford's coffin and the true scandal of today's First Derivatives shocker

Published 24 August 2019, 14:01

In today's podcast i look more at the Sheikh on the make at ADM Energy (ADME) and the failure of Nomad Cairn of Cloudtag (CTAG) infamy. Just how big is that failure? Then a few words on Neil Woodford and finally I discuss the full extent of the possible regulatory horrors which follow on from today's shocking breaking news on AIM "superstar" First Derivatives (FDP) . Update First now says the lawsuit that could have bankrupted it was withdrawn ( it has not said why) on Friday. That does not explain why there was no RNS on Wednesday.

Matthew Earl, the Dark Destroyer sticks the knife into First Derivatives ( he's right)

Published 3 October 2018, 12:22

The September letter from Matt Earl to investors in his Shadowfall fund has found its way, via Winnileaks, into my possession. I gather Matt does not want it published but Winnileaks works both way Mr DD! I had a pop at First Derivatives (FDP) myself back in June despite it hailing from God's chosen lands of Ulster, as you can see HERE.  Matt goes into far more detail in the 47 page document you can see below. 

May performance update: start of 2021 shorted AIM shares

Published 1 June 2021, 09:12

Early this year we showed the Shorted AIM shares at the start of 2021. How’s the performance (those in bold remain from 2020) as at the end of May?…

Month in Review: October 2018 & the best share tip in the UK came from Tom Winnifrith on ShareProphets

Published 3 November 2018, 09:35

Tipster sentiment spiked as tipsters saw buying opportunities in the wake of an October sell-off. Earlier this month Roland Head at the Motley Fool   wrote “we’re interested in gaining an advantage over the market, not following the crowd”, and as key UK indices dropped over 5% this month tipsters were drawn to undervalued companies.

Tom Winnifrith Bearcast: First Derivatives tells me to take down (legitimate) articles so instead here are some explosive court filings from the US

Published 25 August 2019, 19:57

FTI Consulting, PR for First Derivatives (FDP), wants me to take down legititmate articles asking legitimate questions. If Roger Lawson had his way I'd have to take them down. Luckily the ShareSoc supremo can't gag a free press so instead I publish some more, explosive, court documents about First Derivatives in full, below and in this podcast I explain why they matter. 

Notes from Underground - Would you like some pepperoni on your Nanny State?

Published 14 October 2018, 13:17

When I was a child in the 70s, my family had a Vauxhall Envoy (You could buy British cars in Canada, then.) The distinguishing feature was that the back doors had a tendency to fling open when it rounded a corner. My dad told my brother and I to make sure we sat in the middle of the back seat.

5 Sells for 2019 – early January update

Published 21 January 2019, 01:16

I thought I’d update on my 5 sells for 2019 as after just a couple of weeks a few cracks are beginning to show already. The five, Telit (TCM), Haydale (HAYD), Yu Group (YU.), Walcom (WALG) of the ShareProphets AIM-China Filthy Forty and First Derivatives (FDP) are not necessarily shorts – some, such as Walcom, couldn’t be shorted anyway. But they are sells.

Notes from Underground: Why not Quindell 2.0 if no one cares about MySquar

Published 11 November 2018, 03:56

Once again, I stand awed that great work by ShareProphets on identifying bad eggs is largely ignored by the mainstream media, in this case MySquar.  It's no wonder that Rob Terry has the new to saddle up with Quindell 2.0.

Notes from Underground - Visualising the history of the world

Published 25 August 2019, 12:24

Lord knows that I love charts and videos in this column and this week is a doozy. A history of the world from 185,000 BCE to now. 

Tom Winnifrith Bearcast: Hey Robbie Burns are you Darren Winters in a cheap suit? And why First Derivatives shares should more than halve!

Published 7 October 2018, 11:41

Apparently Robbie Burns, The Naked Trader, is giving Darren Winters style uber expensive and useless trading courses at which he terms me a drunk. Hmmmm... As a sub 5 units a week man, my PA investing is not going so badly that I have to resort to being Darren Winters in a cheap suit.  The bulk of this podcast is on First Derivatives (FDP). After yesterday's bombshell expose I explain why the shares - down 25% last week - could easily more than halve again from here. 

July performance update: start of 2019 shorted AIM shares

Published 2 August 2019, 12:35

Early this year we showed the Shorted AIM shares at the start of 2019. How's the performance at the end of July? (those in bold remain from 2018)...

First Derivatives – surprise banking news raises new questions & 8 questions for tomorrow's rampfest

Published 6 February 2019, 04:02

First Derivatives (FDP) has rather shocked us all with news that it has secured a new banking facility for £130 million.  But that begs another big question which I have added to my list for tomorrow’s capital markets rampfest. 

Detailed analysis: First Derivatives cleaning up its act thanks to me, Matt & the FRC but still a joke valuation

Published 20 May 2021, 11:49

Thanks to the pressure applied by major dossiers and a string of exposed published by myself and by the Dark Destroyer, Matt Earl, a new management team at First Derivatives (FDP) has started to clean up its act. I got the FRC to force it to change its misleading accounts. And the old, very whiffy related party/Panama Pump deals of the ancient regime are gone. But yesterday’s results show that without the gloss of aggressive accounting and dodgy deals, what is left is a dull business but still one on a glamour rating. My original bear call – sell at £46 on 28 June 2018 – was spot on. The shares are now £22.25 to sell but still a slam dunk sell. Here is why…

FD technologies: a warning and a breakup, from £1.2bn to £247m, more VINDICATION ouzo for the Sheriff

Published 1 March 2024, 11:51

Shares in First Derivatives (FDP) were £46 when I first flagged up what a cracking £1.2 billion short it was back in June 2018, then alerting you, in a series of articles and joined in battle by Matt Earl, the Dark Destroyer, to numerous red flags. Journalist smearing mother fuckers FTI Consulting warned me I might face legal action for a series of exposes, brokers Investec and Liberum and institutional investors said they knew better than the failed fund manager. Today, the renamed FD Technologies, has issued yet another profits warning and news of a corporate break up and the shares are just 909p. Perhaps FTI, Investec or any of the other cheerleaders would care to send a case of Metaxa to the Sheriff by way of an apology? First the warning.

Time to close all your shorts? Sort of! But two to open!

Published 20 March 2020, 08:29

It strikes me that having a big short position right now might be a tad unwise and indeed smart bears are closing many positions. Do not get me wrong, I think that the medical and financial crisis has a good way to run but none the less there are very real dangers in being short. Having said that I suggest to you two stocks where if you are not short yet, you may wish to open a position. I also urge you all to keep safe and stay well.

Neill Ricketts walks on water but Versarien remains a sell for the brave (& First Derivatives)

Published 9 October 2018, 08:30

Neill Ricketts, CEO of Versarien (VRS), the graphene company which is currently the number one pin-up stock on AIM, can be forgiven for thinking that he can walk on water.

Notes from Underground - Thanksgiving again

Published 7 October 2018, 11:35

Long time readers of this feature know that around this time of year I celebrate Canadian Thanksgiving with other ex-pat Canadians. But, you may ask, what does it actually involve? We've all seen films showing Americans celebrating their lesser Thanksgiving held in November, is it the same?

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