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Professor

Visual Aid: Global Stock Market Returns in Q1 2025

While U.S. equities posted two consecutive years of double-digit annual returns, this quarter is notably different. Amid the U.S. selloff, fueled by concerns of inflation and slower GDP growth, investors have flocked to Chinese and European stocks. Among the key drivers are DeepSeek’s impressive performance and a boom in defence spending across the bloc.

Professor
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Sunday Long Reads: British Tourist Shackled, We Bought a Crack House, Secrets and Wives, Crypto Town, Balloon Race

Sunday is a good time to sit back, read, and forget about shares. Put the kettle on, find a comfy chair. You have the time, don't you?
Quiz
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The ShareProphets Sunday Pub Quiz #288

It's time for the ShareProphets Sunday Pub Quiz. There are no prizes!  Remember, no Googling!

Top-10

Notes from Underground – Most read articles for the week ending April 5

As usual, the most read non-Tom article, at number 1 or number 2 including Bearcasts is by Nigel Somerville, Ariana – Management Incompetence At Its Worst. Can It Recover? The most read non-Tom, non-Nigel article is MindGym – argues a “significant improvement in profitability”, but how “significant” really?… by Steve Moore.

MIN
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Minoan: A damning reader post identifies only half the problem as punters lose 99% or more and the boss makes £5m or more

Reader PJ has posted a list of RNS statements made by Minoan (MIN) over the years. Ramptastic is the word. Others might suggest that outright porkies were told. The list is below, judge for yourselves. But it is only half the problem.
RTOP
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The Alessandro Zamboni FRAUD RegTech Open Project - another step closer to a PrePack administration

In a previous note I highlighted that RegTech Open (RTOP) had appointed a new Director who was also a Director of a company which was a specialist in corporate restructuring. Well over at Companies House RegTech has now changed its registered office to that of Company Rescue. 
TPT
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Topps Tiles – emphasises some outlook ‘confidence’, but how significant a second half weighting is needed?

Describing itself as “the UK's leading tile specialist”, Topps Tiles has issued a “First Half Trading Update”-titled announcement including emphasising half-year ended 29th March 2025 year-on-year sales growth of 4% and that a review of product pricing, product mix and discount structures has, in recent weeks, delivered a strong improvement in gross margins. How good is the overall news though from the valuation at a current 31p share price?
Collapsing-Reactor
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As Market Corrects How Should One React?

As I write, the DOW – at 39,500 or so – is around 11% off its high this year. The Nasdaq (composite) off 20%, the FTSE100 8.6% and all are continuing south. Oil has plunged, as have Treasuries and even that traditional safe-haven of Gold is looking wobbly at $3,050, off its recent high of $3,139 (although that loss, less than 3%, is more marginal). So should we panic and sell everything? Stick our heads in the sand until the storm blows over? 
Bearcast
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Tom Winnifrith Bearcast No2: Bugger I have to go to Greece

There are problems at the hovel so I must fly early on Sunday and am back Thursday. This is not planned and I am very cross about it. I hope that I can minimise disruption on this website. In today's podcast I look at Trump tariffs, market meltdown especially in oil. Then it is Diversified Energy (DEC), Union Jack Oil (UJO), Upland Resources (UPL), Victoria (VCP), Futura Medical (FUIM), Glencore (GLEN), Amaroq (AMRQ), Minoan (MIN) and Celadon (CEL).
NARF
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Narf Industries – “Progress update re: commercialization” announcement. Ramptastic?…

As Trump trade tariffs announcement fallout hits stock markets across the globe, shares in USA-based, but London-listed (er, why?), cybersecurity company Narf Industries (NARF) have currently more than doubled today on a “Progress update re: commercialization” announcement. How good is its ‘news’ then?…
BEM
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Beowulf – is this a record of non delivery and Swedish marching backwards for 14 years?

Today, Beowulf Mining (BEM) says that it is “pleased” to have raised fresh funds at 11p. The shares closed at 20p yesterday and were £31.60 in adjusted terms at their peak so I am not so sure that the pleasure will be universal. I fact Beowulf must be a record breaker for AIM non delivery, making even Minoan (MIN), Eden Research (EDEN) and the other jam tomorrow producers, founded in the naughty nineties, look almost competent.
CEL
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EXPOSE: Celadon’s French financier, is Madame Gallois dodgy as hell? Shares must be suspended NOW

If Celadon (CEL) does not get monies promised by one of two financiers it will go bust within days as I outlined earlier HERE. But with a hat tip to PL for discovering this, one of those financiers looks so utterly dodgy that the Nomad must surely demand the shares be suspended at once.
MIN
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Minoan – End Of The Road Or Can A Rabbit Be Pulled? I've been long and wrong!

AIM-listed Minoan (MIN) announced a pretty dreadful RNS this morning, detailing how its secured lender, DAGG LLP, has refused to extend the loan and is now demanding approx. £1.2 million in settlement. It has also declared a default meaning that the interest rate rises from 10% a year to 22%. Minoan hasn’t the cash and warns that it won’t be able to release audited results (presumably because it is out of cash and DAGG wants £1.2 million) so the shares will be suspended from 1st May – or before, if measures to protect stakeholders are needed (ie administration). So what now?
HEMO
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Are you talking about me Frances or the Hemogenyx boss?

Frances Farmer uses the sort of language that would make the late Bernard Manning blush over on X, formerly twitter. I have no idea who Frances is but he/she/they have launched a mini tirade against either myself or the arsehole boss of Hemogenyx (HEMO), Vlad Sandler.
Bearcast
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Tom Winnifrith Bearcast No 1: Steve O' Hara vs Chris Egleton, what AIM should be for and what it has become

I look at the records of the boss of Optibiotix (OPTI) and that of Minoan (MIN) and also explain why the former is just so extraordinarily cheap right now. Even O'Hara's critics, of whom there are many, can surely not argue with hard numbers.
CEL
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Celadon – can’t it be more specific about when it will go bust?

For two RNS’s on the trot Celadon Pharmaceuticals (CEL) has, while lamenting the failure of two finance providers to provide contracted loan finance, warned that, even with creditors not demanding immediate repayment , it only has enough cash to last it “in to April.” It is now April 4.
MIN
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You can’t kick the can down the road forever, will Minoan finally kick the bucket?

As it prepares to celebrate 26 years since it was established to develop a hotels and leisure complex at Cave Sidero on Crete, Minoan has warned that, at best its shares will be suspended and shareholders will face mega dilution. It is still no closer to starting work on the ground in Crete than I am to shagging Cheryl Cole and it is very possible that, at any time, the fat Lady will be called on to brush up on her Greek.
4GBL
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4GLOBAL – emphasises “significant expansion” contract win, but how ‘well positioned’ is it really for the long-term?

‘Provider of data and technology for sports, fitness and wellness organisations to optimise operational and investment decisions’, 4GLOBAL (4GBL) has announced that it “is pleased… following a competitive tender, it has secured a contract renewal and expansion with Sport England worth up to £4m over four years in equal terms”. How ‘pleasing’ is this from a current 25p share price?
TBLD
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tinyBuild – sale of a business it argues is “an important milestone in streamlining our portfolio”. Er, why’s that?…

Describing itself as “a premium video games publisher and developer with global operations”, tinyBuild (TBLD) states that it “is pleased to announce the disposal of Red Cerberus… The sale of Red Cerberus marks an important milestone in streamlining our portfolio… reallocating resources to our core creative pipeline”. So how “important” does the disposal look from a current 5.75p share price?
Bearcast
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Tom Winnifrith Bearcast: that day of the year that I get to annoy mad lefty sister N and the mad lefty Mrs too

I start with my April 3 treat, then market carnage Trump and tariffs, Ariana Resources (AAU), Skinbiotherapeutics (SBTX) and K3 Business Technology (KBT).
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