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Latest Views & News

SYME
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EXPOSE: The Fraud Supply@Me Capital - scale of cash crisis revealed

We know from the interim accounts out on Monday that Supply (SYME) has a major liquidity problem. In this note I take a deeper look at the position at 30 June 2024 and then estimate the current position. The Fat Lady should be getting ready to talk Italian.
TERN
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Tern offers a real insight into investee company valuation

Tern (TERN) had some rare good news the other day when it announced that Device Authority had deferred a share issue that was due on 30 September 2024 because the business had performed better than expected and didn’t require additional cash at that time. As such Tern’s stake remained at 30% with the last valuation being $5.4 million. Tern still disclosed no financial information about Device Authority, so it’s impossible to get any insight to how well Device Authority is actually performing.
Bearcast
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Tom Winnifrith Bearcast: Darren says I am being mean and petty

Darren's charge concerns a fight I am having with the ICO which seems to think journalists are fair game for abusive emails. Then I look at Versarien (VRS), Armadale Capital (ACP) Chill Brands (CHLL), Ben Habib's First Property (FPO), and Argent (RGT)
KEFI
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Kefi Gold & Copper – interims, upcoming project financing catalyst to spark the shares

Kefi Gold & Copper (KEFI) has announced its first half of 2024 results, including emphasising that it remains on track with its flagship Tulu Kapi gold project in Ethiopia and “to finalise second bank credit approval, sign the definitive detailed financing agreements, drawdown the equity funding and then launch Major Works - all targeted within Q4”. We suggest that means significant upside potential from a current 0.60p offer price, below £37 million market cap, before even considering continuing Saudi Arabia joint venture progress.
TRYB
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Tribe Technology – having emphasised extensive engineering and collaboration, review concludes “further significant... work is required”!

Last month Tribe Technology (TRYB) announced the arrival of its “first autonomous reverse circulation TTDS GC 700 drill rig” in Australia, emphasising “this is a major milestone for the company and is the culmination of significant engineering hours over the last four years, pioneering design and innovation along with extensive collaboration with our first customer”. The shares were then 4.55p and recently closed at close to that, but are currently falling below 4p on a “First autonomous RC Drill Rig Update” announcement.

Crime-Scene
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BOOM: Alessandro Zamboni you are not the Messiah you are a very naughty boy, dodgy 1AF2 accounts finally filed

Alessandro Zamboni has finally filed the unaudited accounts for 1AF2 Limited for the year ended 31 May 2023, a few months late.
VAST
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Vast Resources – if only it was not for the entrée of Galician style octopus

About an hour ago London’s worst Nomad, Roland “fatty” Cornish waddled off to his favourite restaurant thinking about an entrée of Galician Style Octopus and the seven courses that were to follow. Octopus or Spotted Dick with lashings of custard, it was hard to know which he looked forward to most. As he trundled along that problem was one that he wrestled with. He did not think about his client Vast Resources (VAST). The Octopus was more important.
GCAT
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Andrew Monk dog Caracal Gold takes on loan at, I kid you not, 100% interest

I kid you not. While we wait for interims to December 31 2023, FY numbers to June 30 2024, the FCA to approve a prospectus Caracal Gold (GCAT) says that it has taken on two new loans.
SYME
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Supply@ME Capital: could it all be all by this time next week?

Amazingly, the fraud Supply@ME Capital (SYME) got its interims out on deadline day. They showed that the company was technically insolvent and failing to deliver on everything promised as I explained HERE. But share suspension was avoided. But what about next week.
JWNG
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Jaywing – with cash already “very tight”, “trading continues to be challenging overall”. Uh oh…

Most recently writing on marketing and data science company Jaywing (JWNG), at the end of August I concluded that I retained financing concerns and, though up to a 2.75p share price, £2.6 million market cap, continued to avoid. The shares most recently closed at 2.25p and what about now a “Trading update and further funding” announcement?

Clown
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A failed fund manager says not to worry about ballooning debt

No not me silly. I regard a debt to GDP ratio of 100% as truly scary. But disgraced Neil Woodford, under FCA investigation, knows better and thus opines:
SYME
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Supply@Me Capital - Interim numbers dire, minimal revenues, chunky loss and company remains technically insolvent

The fraud Supply@ME Capital (SYME) served up its interims at 14.45 PM, primarily, I suspect, because it had to wait until The Avantgarde Group Spa (TAG) had extended its loan note from ending on 30 June 2025 to 31 December 2025, to maintain the dubious proposition that Supply has the possibility of continuing to trade and isn’t hopelessly insolvent because it has a working capital facility that extends beyond 12 months of the signing of the accounts. Let’s ignore the fact that the provider The Avantgarde Group is itself financially insolvent on its filed accounts for the year ended 31 December 2021 and hasn’t paid a single cash call under latest facility.
AAU
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Ariana – Interims As Ariana Mk II Begins To Emerge

AIM-listed Ariana Resources (AAU) released its interims to June 30 2024 this morning. I do wish it would, along with other companies I have a small stake in, not leave it to the wire (being deadline day today) although in fairness, there’s a lot going on. MD Kerim Sener’ statement set an ebullient tone, given the progress made in procuring the Dokwe project in Zimbabwe essentially for a song.
Bearcast
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Tom Winnifrith Bearcast: stop wetting your knickers over Kefi

In this bearcast I look at Kefi Gold & Copper (KEFI), Aston Martin Lagonda (AML) and Celadon (CEL) as I celebrate one week to seeing a Shipman. You can crowdfund that/book your Sharestock seat HERE as I announce another new speaker. I reference a question about the second Kefi bank in the bearcast. Here is a definitive Q and A from Harry below. Honestly some of you do wet your knickers over anything, convincing yourselves of bad news when this is actually good!!
RBGP
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RBG Holdings – interims argue “Executing a clear strategy to restore value and reduce risk profile”… but it’s currently not working!

Most recently writing on legal services company RBG Holdings (RBGP), in March with the shares at 8.85p I concluded including ‘the still-limited fundraising size in relation to the debt and the outlook currently still concern… at a prospective £11.4 million market capitalisation, at this juncture I still wouldn’t want to own the shares’. The shares most recently closed at below 6p and what of them currently below 4p on the back of half-year results despite these headlined “Executing a clear strategy to restore value and reduce risk profile”?

CEL
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Celadon: another crony capitalist seen off by the Sheriff as financing crisis intensifies

First it was PR FemiNazi Sara McLeod who batted for Celadon Pharmaceuticals (CEL) against the Sheriff. She was sent packing back to the pavilion this summer. Now it is CFO Jonathan Turner who has had enough and given three months notice. He will be off on December 27. Which rat will leaved the sinking ship next because today’s interims are diabolical and come with an explicit warning.
Dead-Donkey
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More Schadenfreude Vicar: the most bombastic CEO ever to grace AIM falls on his sword again!

Apparently when I used to expose AIM’s most bombastic CEO in history, his staff would subscribe to the website and the share my ramblings with giggles all round. One such staffer has been in touch as the king of the bombasts has fallen on his sword yet again.
Bearcast
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Tom Winnifrith Bonus Bearcast: Bluebird Mining Ventures offer - I'm in!

I discuss today's fund raise at Bluebird Mining Ventures (BMV). In a modest way I am in as a trading play but also an fundamentals based play. I explain why and offer some praise for Richard "nobody likes me but I don't care" Jennings.
GKP
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Iraqi plans for profit sharing contracts with the IOCs would still benefit Gulf Keystone and Genel and remove uncertainty - both are speculative buys

The Kurdistan based oil producers have largely been kept in limbo in terms of when international oil exports might begin again, as well as what will ultimately happen going forwards in terms of contracts with the government.
VRS
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Versarien junks some junk but do not get that excited

Natch the morons have got terribly excited and shares in Versarien (VRS) are up by 14% on news that it has sold the non core plastics business AAC Cyroma for £550,000 subject to any completion adjustments. Well, that is the headline number.
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