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AAU
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Ariana – More Thoughts On Yesterday’s Surprise Move

I’ve been chewing over the announcement yesterday by AIM-listed Ariana Resources (AAU) which is to takeover Rockover Holdings, the owner of the Dowke Gold project in Zimbabwe. There are a few salient points here.
Bearcast
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Tom Winnifrith Bonus Bearcast No 2 - a long Zoom call with Kerim Sener and buying more Ariana shares

My hands really are playing up today with the old Carpal Tunnel Syndrome. I shall be seeing the Shipmans later today. So there will be three podcasts today as I explore more complicated subjects where i just cannot knock out 3000 words right now! Second up, I bought more shares in Ariana Resources (AAU) last night and today enjoyed a long zoom call wit Kerim Sener, its CEO. I hope this podcast puts some of the canards doing the rounds to the sword and explains why I am so enthusiastic. 
FRES
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Fresnillo – Q1 production ‘in line with expectations’, sector recovery-underway Buy

Metals miner from Mexico, Fresnillo (FRES) has announced that it has started 2024 with production performance in line with expectations and a focus on the advancement of its growth pipeline. With also an improving sector environment, we look for further upside from a current 580.5p share price.
Bearcast
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Tom Winnifrith Bonus Bearcast No 1 - the case for Renationalisation

My hands really are playing up today with the old Carpal Tunnel Syndrome. I shall be seeing the Shipmans later today. So there will be three podcasts today as I explore more complicated subjects where i just cannot knock out 3000 words right now! First up renationalisation of rail, water and anything else. The zeitgeist is to do it but the crowd and the GroupThink are wrong. I reference this article by myself on water supply in Cape Town.
VLX
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Volex – a trading resilience BUY

We have previously been positive on shares in power and data transmission products company Volex (VLX), but recently were concerned about industrial markets conditions and that looks to have also been more widely so with the shares down from heading to 500p in 2021 and 335p just last year. However, a recent trading update has reassured and suggests that there is good value from a 303p offer price.
IEC
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Investment Evolution Credit from mad to worse, more whacky backy for Liam Murray

It does seem as if Investment Evolution Credit’s (IEC) US Website at Mr Amazing Loans is now functional so it is no longer lying about being able to make loan shark loans in 6 US states. But it did lie and Liam Murray at Cairn Financial and Aquis Regulation turned a blind eye. Having signed off on this nonsense from Catenai (CTAI) yesterday Liam took another drag from the hookah and approved a news release from Investment.
VNET
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Vianet – emphasises contract win & trading momentum, but how much is already priced-in?…

I previously wrote on Vianet Group (VNET) towards the end of 2022, concluding cautiously with the shares at 63.5p though noting I’d monitor for trading momentum and cash generation swings. The shares were at the same level at the end of October last year but have risen significantly since and currently further today to 116p on the back of “Contract Win” and “Trading Update” announcements. How’s the group’s trading momentum and cash generation now?

AAU
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Ariana – Surprise!

AIM-listed Ariana Resources (AAU) offered up a big surprise this morning – it is to buy Rockover, the owner of the Gold mine in Zimbabwe that Ariana already had a small hand in already. Generally I don’t like surprises and was somewhat taken aback by the news.
Bearcast
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Tom Winnifrith Bearcast: What Argo Blockchain hides in the small print

I start with a point of order for one of you who really is a prick. Then I look at Anglo American (AAL), Jubilee Metals JLP), have a few more words on Ariana (AAU),Catenai (CTAI), Destiny Pharma (DEST) and Argo Blockchain (ARB)
KMK
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Kromek – ‘pleased to receive’ new nuclear security contract, how pleasing really is it though?…

Kromek Group (KMK) has issued a “new Nuclear Security contract” announcement headlined “Kromek receives new Nuclear Security contract from US federal entity. New contract worth up to $2.9m over two years” and the shares have currently responded more than 9% higher to 7.65p, an above £49 million market capitalisation. However, what does “worth up to $2.9m over two years” actually mean currently for a self-described “leading developer of radiation and bio-detection technology solutions for the advanced imaging and CBRN detection segments”
CTAI
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Catenai – this is bonkers: Liam Murray on the funny fags again?

Sub scale investment company Catenai (CTAI) was meant to surf the AI wave following its latest exercise in rebranding and bandwagon jumping. Today it has announced a non AI, related party, deal which is almost criminally insane.
TRI
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Trifast – “expected to be marginally ahead of guidance”. Er, that which was massively downgraded since its half-year?…

Industrial fastenings and components company Trifast (TRI) has issued a trading update including that its “revenue and profitability for the financial year ended 31 March 2024, are expected to be marginally ahead of guidance indicated in the announcement of 22 January” and that it is confident that a consolidation into a UK National Distribution Centre will enable it “to rebuild revenues with a much higher level of efficiency and gives the UK business a stronger platform to benefit from demand recovery in the short to medium term”. So what of a share price currently up to 80p in response?
TERN
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Tern: is this an admission that it deceived investors (again) on 12 April?

If sub-scale investor in useless companies Tern (TERN) stated that 2+2 =4 I’d ask for that claim to be independently verified such is the way that over the years it has played fast and loose with the truth. On April12 it raised £420,000 gross in a deeply discounted post ramp placing at 2.4p and stated:
Bearcast
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Tom Winnifrith Bonus Bearcast: the Ariana Zimbabwe merger and M&A activity among gold miners, is it yet a frenzy?

The podcast is what it says on the tin. I consider the Ariana (AAU) deal as a shareholder but also a Zim sceptic and explain a new price target.
DISP
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Dispensa the last rats jump: a preview of how the frauds Supply and Regtech will fail

The Alessandro Zamboni/Dominic White stockmarket empire of fraudulent and piss poor companies is crumbling. The first to head to the executioners’ block is Dispensa (DISP), formerly Zamaz where things are moving rapidly.
CORO
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James Parsons given the order of the boot – Coro suspended: and there is more to come

Once upon a time James Parsons appeared to walk on water. Folk like Brokerman Dan waxed lyrical about how the Parsnip could create value from nothing. Zak Mir’s charts looked great. They always do. In reality it was all a great promote and the castle built on sand that was Sound Oil/Energy (SOU) crashed to earth. Today shareholders in Coro Energy (CORO) have voted Parsnips off its board and its shares have been suspended. I can reveal that worse is to follow…
AOM
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ActiveOps – trading update, building on “strong foundations established since IPO”?

Describing itself as “a leading provider of Decision Intelligence software for service operations”, ActiveOps (AOM) states that it is today “pleased to provide an update on trading for the year ended 31 March 2024. Highlights include good growth in adjusted EBITDA, profit before tax and cash, with an 11% increase in SaaS revenue on a constant currency basis and exit Annual Recurring Revenue up by 14% CC versus the prior year”. However, revenue is vanity and adjusted EBITDA is manipulated bullshit earnings, what about the bottom-line profitability and cash?…
Bearcast
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Tom Winnifrith Bearcast: Dirty tricks by the Tirupati board or just a total moron?

In today's bearcast I explain, again, free speech to Magna Carta, I look at Tirupati Graphite (TGR) after THIS SCOOP, Gear4Music (G4M), Ironveld (IRON) and more Karma for Richard Jennings to enjoy and finally at the Critical Metals (CRTM) scandal.
SRT
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SRT Marine Systems – “remains in line with market expectations”, what those which were recently downgraded? And now with possible problems in the Philippines…

A “Response to reports in Philippine press”-titled announcement from SRT Marine Systems (SRT) at 09:48 today commences “SRT notes the recent share price movement and reporting in the Philippine press with regard to the IMEMS fisheries project. SRT wishes to clarify that the IMEMS contract was won following a competitive international tender, which has been successfully implemented and is operational”. The noted share price movement that dare not speak its name was a fall yesterday from 29.5p to 24p and further early this morning, so what are the reports in Philippine press on the Integrated Marine Environment Monitoring System contract and the further details of SRT’s response?
STX
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I’d be nervous ahead of Shield Therapeutics results on 30th April

Less than five years ago shares in Shield Therapeutics (STX) were 187p and they were a bulletin board darling set to enable numerous gerbils to splash out on new Lamborghinis. Today we bears are vindicated as the shares are just 1.375p but that is still a £10.5 million market cap and I’d be nervous ahead of results next week.
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That Was the Week that Was

 

AAU

Ariana – Surprise!

 

ANP

Anpario – a recovery Buy?...

Thursday »

Cat_Fixing_Lightbulb

Bearcast issue update: all should be well

 

ORCP

Oracle Power: Cynical Foul

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