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Latest Views & News

Bearcast
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Tom Winnifrith bearcast: not getting to the bottom of it yet with the Shipmans yesterday

I start with a report back on my first encounter with the private Shipmans. I suppose there has been some progress of sorts but next up is an MRI scan which will set me back c£900. So if nine of you who loved Sharestock 2024 want to buy a ticket for September 6 2025 to crowdfund this I'd be very grateful. I shall have more speaker news this week, and you can buy HERE, PLEASE DO SO. In the rest of the podcast I look at Green X Metals (GRX) and the read across for ECO Buildings (ECOB), at Georgina Exploration (GEX) and at the Clem Chambers/ accountants Johnson scandal exposed HERE and what it all means.
AAZ
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Anglo Asian Mining – Gedabek agitation leaching resumes normal production, flotation processing next from this winning share tip

Anglo Asian Mining (AAZ) has issued an announcement commencing that it “is pleased to announce that agitation leaching has now resumed normal production at Gedabek” in Azerbaijan. What’s the significance of this, with the shares up to 95p in response?
XPP
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XP Power – Q3 update, how confident to really be that full year performance will be within the range of analyst forecasts?

Describing itself as “one of the world's leading developers and manufacturers of critical power control components to the electronics industry”, XP Power (XPP) has issued a “Q3 Trading Update” headlined “Improved order intake led by Semis; revenue in line with expectations; continued strong cash generation”. So what of a current 1376p share price, comparing to above 1700p in May and above 2400p little more than a year ago?
SNR
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Senior plc – profit warning, attempts outlook reassurance but it was arguing ‘expectations of good growth unchanged’ as recently as August

Components and systems manufacturer Senior plc (SNR) has issued a trading statement for the first three quarters of the year commencing that it “continues to see strong order intake, with a healthy book to bill of 1.13. Group revenue for the period increased by 5% year-on-year on a constant currency basis”. So why currently an approaching 12% lower share price to around 130p?
Bearcast
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Tom Winnifrith Bonus Bearcast: Time for Optibiotix to row back, a blinding statement from Probiotix

I would not appoint Steen Anderson as CEO of Probiotix (PBX) given recent sins but we are where we are. Today's statement from Probiotix was incredibly good. In a way it flags up Steen's historic blunders. But it also makes me think Optibiotix (OPTI) should row back on firing him as he will deliver a multi bag from here. 
SYME
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The fraud Supply@ME Capital Auditor Resignation letter – sadly no cigar for me

Companies House has processed the letter from Crowe UK. There is a minor new speeding ticket for Supply@ME Capital (SYME) but sadly no cigar for me.
VTY
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Vistry – profit warning as now ‘aware’ 9 developments cost projections “understated”, though also the causes are not currently fully ascertained!

Following the first half of 2024, emphasising “a strong half year performance” including its “Partnerships model significantly outperforming the traditional housebuilding market”, shares in Vistry Group (VTY) responded higher and most recently closed at 1273p. A “Trading update” today though commences including noting that the group “has recently become aware” that within its South division the total full-life cost projections to complete 9 developments “have been understated by c. 10% of the total build costs”, though also including “it is important to note that the group as a whole has around 300 developments”, so what of a current more than 25% lower share price response to below 950p?
ELEG
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Electric Guitar – another audit where Mr Edmund Cartwright of Johnsons appears to have missed a potential material error

Electric Guitar (ELEG) is now an AIM sewer Listed company but for its last accounts for the year ended 31 March 2024 it was a special purpose acquisition company listed on the Main Market of the London Stock Exchange and was thus a Public Interest Entity Audit.
INSP
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Inspirit – lies yet again as it becomes a cash shell, actgually not really even that

You really could not make this sort of stuff up but I guess John Gunn, a man censured by the SEC for playing an illegitimate trade – probably could. After twelve years claiming that it was going to revolutionise the world of boilers, Inspirit (INSP) is becoming a cash shell and giving up the pretense that it had a real business. But the RNS deceives…
OBC
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BREAKING: Online Blockchain: the final disgrace of Clem Chambers and, surely, the downfall of auditors Johnsons

This is shocking and marks the final disgrace of Clem Chambers and his gang who previously ran ADVFN (AFN). It should also se auditors Johnsons sanctioned by the FRC and losing its ability to do PIE audits.
GFIN
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Gfinity – CEO shares subscription, but still how’s that balance sheet?

There’s an announcement from Gfinity (GFIN) detailing a 200 million shares subscription by Chief Executive David Halley and what of the shares currently soaring more than 50% higher?
CNS
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Corero Network Security – emphasises “Continued Q3 2024 New Customer Momentum”, but how significant?

Corero Network Security (CNS) has issued a “Continued Q3 2024 New Customer Momentum”-titled announcement and what of the shares currently 7.5% higher at 20.7p in response?
CCT
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Character Group – full-year trading recovery “in line with current market expectations”, Buy

Designer, developer and international distributor of toys, games and giftware Character Group (CCT) has issued a trading update including that it “expects its adjusted profit before tax for the financial year ended 31 August 2024 to be in line with current market expectations” and that “initial sales of products for the Christmas '24 season are showing encouraging signs”. So, how encouraging are those from a 280p share price?
JLP
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Jubilee Metals – full-year results, profit fall but an outlook-improving Buy

Metals producer from South Africa and Zambia, Jubilee Metals (JLP) has issued results for its year ended 30th June 2024, emphasising “another profitable performance achieving notable growth in chrome production while successfully meeting its revised copper targets”. So why a current down to 4.8p share price in response?
JWNG
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Jaywing – “Increase in Loan Facility”, and what about it’s to “draw the funds immediately”?…

Marketing and data science company Jaywing (JWNG) has announced that it has increased its loan facility with its two lenders, DSC Investment Holdings and Lombard Odier Asset Management (Europe), by £1.133 million. How significant is this with the shares currently at 1.75p, up from 1.4p hit in the summer but also down from 3p reached then too?
Bearcast
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Tom Winnifrith Bearcast: It's cost me cash but I make no apologies for remembering October and standing 100% with Israel

I start on my visit to the private Shipmans later today reflect on how the State fails my family. Then remembering October 7. Saying I stand with Israel has cost me money as folks cancel their subscriptions but I do and will not be silenced. Then I look at Probiotix (PBX), Blue Star Capital (BLU) and the wider Bixby/Edwards stable, World Chess (CHSS) why its shares are collapsing, why they will be a zero from today's £30 million and the 2 big lessons from this farce, and also at Vast Resources (VAST)
SRT
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SRT Marine Systems – “US$213 million new MDA system contract award”… which is not currently a finalised contract award!

SRT Marine Systems (SRT) has issued a “US$213 million new MDA system contract award”-titled announcement and, with a most recent closing market cap of just over £80 million at a 36p share price, what of a current 25% higher share price response?
HELD
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Hellenic Dynamics fesses that the 1 million Euro has still not arrived but today's RNS begs massive new questions

Why do advisers Cairn and Peterhouse put up with this shit and put their names to such utter nonsense? I realise that we all have bills to pay and the price of young Ladies from Ukraine charging City boys by the hour is only going one way, but surely both firms could live without this wretched little Main Market account. Moreover, I bet you the cost of half an hour with a young lady from Ukraine that Hellenic Dynamics (HELD) is actually paying its adviser bills.
FDP
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First Derivatives by FD technologies disposal: more ouzo for the sheriff with complete vindication

Back in June 2018, I opened my account on First Derivatives (FDP) urging you to short the shares at £46, a £1.2 billion market cap. The red flags were everywhere but natch everybody said I had got it wrong about a company which had picked up gongs at the AIM awards three times! Today that core business has been sold for an EV of just £230 million although the cash receipts are just £205 million. Complete vindication!
Bearcast
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Tom Winnifrith bearcast: that US jobs data was bogus and actually makes the case for gold

I start with a day of tidying here in Wales and a hyper inflation lesson for Joshua, end on the sick AIM CEO and in the middle discuss that US jobs data and why it was bogus and what that means. 
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That Was the Week that Was

 

HEMO

Hemogenyx is a short – target 0p

 

ECR

ECR, the timing is unfortunate

 

APH

Alliance Pharma – a recovery Buy?

 

PICH

Pitch Pit – this stinks

 

GEX

Georgina Energy: Lyin’ Yet again

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