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Latest Views & News

Bearcast
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Tom Winnifrith Bearcast: from A to Z, Artemis and Avacta to Zephyr

I start with the cost of MRI scans and I am booked in a week today so that will be an abridged day. I end with my anger at Warwick School which flares up again as it responds to this article. In between it is Artemis (ARV), Zephyr (ZPHR), Avacta (AVCT) and Global Petroleum (GBP)
CGNR
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Conroy Gold £259,000 fund raise but it is still totally insolvent. What is the point?

I start back in 2014 with this article from the BBC suggesting that P:rofessor Richard Conroy was sitting on an £11 billion gold mine on the border between Eire and God’s chosen lands of Ulster. Ten years have passed and there is still no sign of work beginning on that mine. In fact it is worse than that. I remember attending a City lunch where the Prof pushed the same yarn and that must have been twenty five years ago. Anyone who still believes in this myth, especially after a jv partner walked earlier this year, really is delusional.
VAST
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Vast Resources: it's that old pre-placing Zimbabwe spoof again

Back on February 2 2023 Vast Resources (VAST) had great news from Zimbabwe. It announced:
GCAT
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Caracal Gold and the 11 reasons its auditor quit: surely the FCA must call time on this farce

Caracal Gold (GCAT) yesterday announced a change of auditor. At first glance it looks like Caracal did a better job than Supply@Me Capital (SYME) handling its auditor resignation because it has already found a new auditor. However….
CAU
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Centaur Media – trading update notes “retain a cautious outlook”, but it’s “significantly” not been cautious enough!

Centaur Media (CAU) has issued a “Trading Update” which concludes including “retain a cautious outlook” but that its “strong balance sheet, with £9.5m of net cash at 30 September 2024, and reliable cash conversion from our strategically valuable revenue streams, means that we are well positioned to manage this uncertainty”. What then about a share price currently 6.5p lower to 24p?
Bearcast
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Tom Winnifrith Bonus Bearcast: Just not good enough from Optibiotix

I think that shares in Optibiotix (OPTI) are, on a risk reward basis, very cheap. but today's RNS is shockingly cack handed
GBP
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The ramp of the week and the spiv behind it exposed by Evil Banksta

This is the new ramp de rigueur and the CEO is quite marvellous. He has the username @ValueAimTrader on twitter and has today been telling the world that he’s going to take the business to a £1bn+ valuation:
Clown
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A disgraced fund manager says he is boring but important

No not me silly it is disgraced Neil Woodford and on this occasion I reckon he is wrong on both counts!   
Tom
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CROWDFUND MY NEXT MEDICAL/ NINE MORE TICKET SALES NEEDED Sharestock 2025, we are on: date fixed so book now!

Call it a crowdfunder if you wish. Either I wait up to a year to be even seen by the NHS for a most discomforting condition of the sort a gentleman does not write about or I go private. Natch it has just to be the latter as life right now is not fun. So, given my diagnosis is, so far, not terminal let’s do it again. Besides which, everyone who came along this year said how much fun they had.so why not?
Bearcast
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Tom Winnifrith Bearcast: Has Andrew Monk finally done the decent thing and how much should I charge Opti for doing its PR today properly?

In today's podcast I comment on Optibiotix (OPTI), VSA Capital (VSA) and Caracal Gold (GCAT), Woodbois (WBI) which stinks and Rosslyn Data *RDT( where I'm very tempted to go long after years as a bear.
ECEL
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Eurocell – a buy for trading recovery?...

UK manufacturer, recycler and distributor of PVC window, door and roofline products Eurocell plc (ECEL) last month noted “ongoing macroeconomic uncertainty impacting our key markets, exacerbated by wet weather and the General Election. Customers remain cautious, resulting in lower investment in home improvements and subdued activity levels in the residential construction market”. However, the accompanying results suggest likely further strong eventual recovery upside from a 177p offer price.
PODP
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Pod Point – having been “really excited to be joining the team and building on the fantastic progress”, CFO ‘steps down’ after less than 2 years!

A “Directorate Change” announcement from Pod Point Group (PODP) includes “delighted” to welcome Mike Killick to the CFO role as “with strong experience in strategic financial planning, Mike will provide support to the board and CEO as the group continues with the execution of its Powering Up strategy”. What about the strategy currently seeing shares in the group, describing itself as “one of the UK's market leading providers of Electric Vehicle charging solutions”, at 16p – including down from approaching 25p earlier this year?
Bear
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Thoughts on – The Autum Statement, Outlook for Markets in the nearer term and the scrapping of the proposed Social Care reform, gold to $8000

At the start of the new parliamentary term, and as Labour returns to power for the first time in fifteen years, the King’s Speech included no less than 40 bills covering a range of policy areas from economic stability and growth to health and national security.
Sheriff
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Letter to the Financial Reporting Council: Johnsons must lose its PIE status at once

I have dropped a second note to my good pals at the Financial Reporting Council, this time concerning the auditors firm Johnsons based in West London and Mr. Edmund Cartwright the partner responsible for signing off on PIE accounts. Quite simply neither are up to scratch and the FRC should be barring both from conducting any PIE audits, including those like Tirupati Graphite (TGR) in process while it is determined whether an outright ban is suitable. It is. My letter reads:
HERC
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Hercules Site Services – emphasises trading “well ahead of market expectations”, but what about cash flow?

Describing itself as “a leading technology enabled labour supply company for the UK infrastructure and construction sectors” (aren’t all such companies “technology enabled” nowadays?), Hercules Site Services (HERC) has issued a trading statement including “revenue is expected to be over £105m, representing an increase of c. 24% on the prior year ended 30 September 2023… with Hercules' revenue, adjusted EBITDA and Profit Before Tax for FY24 to be well ahead of market expectations”. How good is the news relative to a currently up to 46.5p share price?
TIR
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BREAKING: Just how insolvent is Colin Bird’s Tiger Royalties? Surely its goose is cooked?

Supported by a dream team of London’s worst Nomad Roland “fatty” Cornish and king of the spivs broker Jon Belliss of bucket shop Novum, Tiger Royalties (TIR) has lurched from bailout placing to bailout placing for years. But an after hours quarterly update yesterday shows that surely now its goose is cooked. If Fatty had not already waddled off for luncheon (hmmm cooked goose that sounds jolly appealing) surely even he would be considering suspending the shares pending clarification.
IXI
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IXICO – fundraising, how much really to ‘accelerate technology platform growth and global commercial reach’?

Medical imaging analytics company IXICO (IXI) states that it “is pleased to announce that it has conditionally raised gross proceeds of £4.0 million… The issue price of 9.5 pence represents a premium of 5.6 per cent to the closing middle market price of 9.0 pence per ordinary share on 7 October 2024, being the last business day prior to the announcement of the fundraising”. How’s the outlook then now from a current 9.25p share price?
ELEG
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Letter to the Financial Reporting Council asking that it force Electric Guitar to restate its last audited numbers

The letter is short but to the point. As I demonstrated yesterday here the last annual results are materially non compliant with IFRS 9.
Bearcast
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Tom Winnifrith Bonus Bearcast: The 'fess up RNS Optibiotix should be issuing NOW

I may get into trouble on this but there are 3 matters that Optibiotix (OPTI) needs to address in an RNS now including the health status of its CEO 
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That Was the Week that Was

 

HEMO

Hemogenyx is a short – target 0p

 

ECR

ECR, the timing is unfortunate

 

APH

Alliance Pharma – a recovery Buy?

 

PICH

Pitch Pit – this stinks

 

GEX

Georgina Energy: Lyin’ Yet again

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