UK 18:57 Friday, 23 October 2026
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Disclosure: I have no positions in any stocks mentioned, and no plans to initiate any positions within the next 72 hours. I wrote this article myself, and it expresses my own opinions. I am not receiving compensation for it (other than from ShareProphets). I have no business relationship with any company whose stock is mentioned in this article.


Bearcast

Tom Winnifrith Bearcast 19 October - the Great Unravel for LGO and Tribal Group

Today's podcast finds me in a panic as Oakley and I need to do frantic tidying before the Mrs returns to cover our respective sins. Meanwhile Tara the cat is also misbehaving. On the agenda - the great unravels at LGO Energy (LGO) but more especially Tribal Group (TRB) - the latter getting a thorough analysis. Then it is onto JQW (JQW), Alba Minerals (ALba) and the Horse Hill/Horse Shite prospect and Michelmersh Brick (MBH) which leaves me confused, perhaps Chris Bailey of Financial Orbit is geekish enough to assist?

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Comments

  1. Re Michelmersh and its comment about lower volumes but higher prices/profits (that smells like pricing power to me), Tom is actually correct that I keep half an eye on the UK brick market… Anyone heard of Ibstock? Well they are intending to float and in their document outlining this http://www.investegate.co.uk/ibstock/rns/intention-to-float/201509280700523436A/ they noted “Ibstock is experiencing structural demand growth in its key UK brick market – this is driven by strong household formations, a significant shortage of homes and supportive government policies. Against this demand backdrop, the UK brick market is experiencing structural imbalances, with insufficient manufacturing capacity to fulfil UK demand. There are high barriers to new brick capacity, including access to clay reserves and manufacturing sites with appropriate planning permissions and the technical “know how” to procure and commission the plant and equipment required to manufacture bricks”.

    Of course the market being what it is, higher prices will eventually attract more investment/supply etc. but – at least at this moment in time – it is a hot market for bricks.

  2. Perhaps you could review Messaging International Plc since your last Bearcast mentioning them on 27th March, price dropped for no reason today by 20% down to 0.48 (mc of £0.55m).
    I note last month they appointed a joint broker and the Israel based bank loan has ceased being drawable and the balance sheet is thin with a Globo Plc tint.
    I predict a discounted placing ahoy


  3. David Russell

    BARORD, I hold Messaging and like most holding I have its all about luck like most AIM stock.The Bearcast Tom did on the 27th was short and based on the news of the day and not really about MES..I am not keen on the news about the joint broker for personnel reasons but cannot wait to see if I lose all my money on this one again. Its my biggest gamble and I hope they come good but will not hold my breath.:)

  4. I feel for you Mr Russell as we too are shareholders (although tiny ones) I’m pretty sure that a placing is a coming just check the last reported figures and you’ll soon work it out! its too much like Globo for my liking.
    Perhaps they can get a new loan deal but I’m not sure lenders will be too keen if they not generating income, in my humble opinion and I’m sure Tom would agree is investing is not about Luck and or a gamble it’s about doing your research and looking at the risks.
    If I take it your gambled money is an amount you will miss or can’t afford to keep losing you need to look at more secure blue chips perhaps and take less risks.
    The big problem is small investors have no voice and end up getting shafted too often so really until we get that sorted we all need to really do our homework and don’t risk anything you can’t afford to lose..
    This company needs to do some management buyout of the private subsidiary and change the Plc to cash shell with perhaps Jim Mellon or similar at the helm.


  5. David Russell

    Barford, I canot comment on the figures but when I lose money its down to the people who run the company and not the business its self and the gamble is on the people who run it for me. I do a lot of research and both my kids am private investors but do not hold MES because they do not see value short or long term. I do see the value and also believe in the management but the last Rns on the joint broker and the smell of a restructuring of the capital and a placing made me feel I could be wrong. Cash shells do not work for people like you and me and am a cash cow for the well conected. Anyway Good Luck my mate and I hope we make some money but if not then just move onto the next.:) Good Luck

  6. I wish you luck Mr Russell on your investment hopefully they can move into cash generative and clear their balance sheet up, anyway we have no intention of failing on this or others in the long run as this is what I do day to day though my investment company.
    If it helps I’m on Twitter @Resnetuk and LinkedIn under barford asset management, im a firm believer that their is a investors revolution coming and its people like me and you/your children that will be part of it…..feel free to follow/add


  7. David Russell

    Thank you for the kind words i will add you on twitter. I stack shelfs in a local supermarket partime for the last 10 years but been a private investor for a lot longer. My son works for a large wealth firm I play the market for fun. I do make a lot of money from my investments compared to working filling shelfs at a supermarket which is not difficult and My accountant says Im a good stock picker but thats because I pay him loads LOL. Toms new bearcast on the 20th does not give me much hope on MES but we will see.:).LoL

Complete Coverage

That Was the Week that Was 7 Days of ShareProphets

Friday »

Greek Tear
NEW: Win an off peak week at the Greek Hovel and help me out contest
  • By Tom Winnifrith
  • 23 October 2026, 16:20
DEBS
Boohoo – emphasises “first time the group has delivered positive profit before tax since August 2021”, but has it really though?…
  • By Steve Moore
  • 23 October 2026, 16:20
Bearcast
Tom Winnifrith Bearcast: Am I shitting bricks abut the FCA and market abuse, a law suit or my portfolio? er...No!
  • By Tom Winnifrith
  • 23 October 2026, 16:17
RBN
Robinson plc – another “Trading Update” = another profit warning (natch!)
  • By Steve Moore
  • 23 October 2026, 15:07
PRD
Video: Crazy old coot knows why shares in his company tanked, nothing to do with a massively discounted placing of course!
  • By Tom Winnifrith
  • 23 October 2026, 12:41
DGQ
Delta Gold – that share buying spoofing is really not going well at all, as EK could have told you
  • By Tom Winnifrith
  • 23 October 2026, 12:07
GEX
Letter to the FCA – suspend Georgina Energy shares now and launch a full enquiry
  • By Tom Winnifrith
  • 23 October 2026, 11:34
GBG
GB Group – half-year trading statement, now a value Buy?
  • By HotStockRockets
  • 23 October 2026, 11:16
CRTA
Letter to Stifel Europe, Nomad to Cirata – do you still have faith in Stephen Kelly? Nobody else does!
  • By Tom Winnifrith
  • 23 October 2026, 10:35
GEX
EXPLOSIVE GOTCHA!: Georgina Energy has misled market 100% about its drilling permits ahead of 2 fundraises
  • By Tom Winnifrith
  • 23 October 2026, 09:55
VLRM
Valereum and the California $32 billon mining claim fraud Part 3, more red flags
  • By Tom Winnifrith
  • 23 October 2026, 09:35

Thursday »

IKA
Ilika – “Launches ORKA Brand for Marine Applications”, ramptastic?
  • By Steve Moore
  • 22 October 2026, 16:05
Bearcast
Tom Winnifrith Bearcast: helping Wishbone gerbils with maths on its cash crisis & the AQSE paradox
  • By Tom Winnifrith
  • 22 October 2026, 14:27
Crime-Scene
A Message from Paul Mathieson
  • By Tom Winnifrith
  • 22 October 2026, 14:14
FAB
Fusion Antibodies – a “delighted to have secured” contract win, attempted ramptastic?
  • By Steve Moore
  • 22 October 2026, 13:19
VLRM
Chat GPT analyses the Valereum LIES ( 2026 only)
  • By Tom Winnifrith
  • 22 October 2026, 12:39
JR-Ewing
Video: ‘Ragingly Tight’ Diesel Markets, Skyrocketing Inflation & The Escalating Iran War
  • By Tom Winnifrith
  • 22 October 2026, 12:30
VLRM
BREAKING: Valereum – this is FRAUD Part 2 on the California Bezzle
  • By Tom Winnifrith
  • 22 October 2026, 12:21
WSBN
A letter to London’s worst Nomad – re Wishbone gold and the planned rescue placing, is it 10p or lower?
  • By Tom Winnifrith
  • 22 October 2026, 11:27
ATG
Auction Technology – trading “slightly ahead of current market expectations”, but what’s already discounted in the share price?
  • By Steve Moore
  • 22 October 2026, 10:58
VLRM
BREAKING: Valereum – this is FRAUD Part 1 on the California Bezzle
  • By Tom Winnifrith
  • 22 October 2026, 10:27

Wednesday »

GELN
Gelion – full-year results, how “strong” ‘a platform to support the group’s next phase’?
  • By Steve Moore
  • 21 October 2026, 16:09
Bearcast
Tom Winnifrith Bearcast: Evil Banksta gets a Mobico financial kicking, thank heavens for Andrew Monk and his bodged placing
  • By Tom Winnifrith
  • 21 October 2026, 15:07
VINO
Virgin Wines UK – a full-year swing from more than £1m profit to more than £1m loss… so an argued “another excellent year of progress” (natch!)
  • By Steve Moore
  • 21 October 2026, 14:16
EDGE
BREAKING: Falconedge – statement needed, shares collapsing! Told y'all!
  • By Tom Winnifrith
  • 21 October 2026, 12:24
PBX
ProBiotix Health – Q3 update, a dealing with the “global uncertainty” Buy
  • By HotStockRockets
  • 21 October 2026, 11:17
DOM
Domino’s Pizza – Q3 update, is the emphasised “continued positive trading momentum” ‘tasty’ enough for the valuation?
  • By Steve Moore
  • 21 October 2026, 10:58
WSBN
BREAKING: Wishbone – looking to raise up to £2m at as low as 10p – City source
  • By Tom Winnifrith
  • 21 October 2026, 10:50
Fake_News
Camilla Tominey at the Telegraph claims BREAKING scoop on Liam Byrne MP -the shameless hussy is TWO YEARS too late!
  • By Tom Winnifrith
  • 21 October 2026, 10:30
KEN
Colin Bird tell me I am wrong: Kendrick Resources has no cash left at all
  • By Tom Winnifrith
  • 21 October 2026, 09:34
ECOB
Photo : Eco Buildings, perhaps this explains the share spike?
  • By Tom Winnifrith
  • 21 October 2026, 08:25

Tuesday »

TRI
Trifast – “confident in delivering further margin improvement”, but what about in overall profitability?
  • By Steve Moore
  • 20 October 2026, 16:29
Bearcast
Tom Winnifrith Bearcast: Probiotix and Invinity
  • By Tom Winnifrith
  • 20 October 2026, 16:23
G4M
Gear4music – I having last month noted caution on half-year performance, what about now a “Half Year Trading Update”?…
  • By Steve Moore
  • 20 October 2026, 14:27
ECOB
Eco Buildings – no I do not have a scooby
  • By Tom Winnifrith
  • 20 October 2026, 13:58
TRUE
Truetide – SMTM ( or lack of it)
  • By Tom Winnifrith
  • 20 October 2026, 12:47
IES
After Invinity crashes, the truth about its botched placing & who is next: A Vindicated Evil Banksta spells it out
  • By Tom Winnifrith
  • 20 October 2026, 12:04
TIN
Cornish Metals: £135 million fund raise at just 60p, am I being suspicious?
  • By Tom Winnifrith
  • 20 October 2026, 11:23
GEN
Genuit – I having written in May ‘a profit warning ahoy here?’, what about now a nine months trading update?…
  • By Steve Moore
  • 20 October 2026, 10:46
BSFA
BSF Enterprise and the patent spoof: an expert writes
  • By Tom Winnifrith
  • 20 October 2026, 09:44
Collapsing-Reactor
BREAKING: Alessandro Zamboni’s Nuburu censured by NYSE American SE for late publication of material events, the trap door of delisting gets nearer
  • By Tom Winnifrith
  • 20 October 2026, 09:20

Monday »

VLX
Volex – “profit expected to be towards the upper end of current market expectations”, but how’s the outlook?
  • By Steve Moore
  • 19 October 2026, 16:19
Bearcast
Tom Winnifrith Bearcast: 2 sets of red faces & a zero by Thursday?
  • By Tom Winnifrith
  • 19 October 2026, 15:44
GELN
Gelion – “Strong Independent U.S. Validation of Gelion's NES”, timely ramptastic?
  • By Steve Moore
  • 19 October 2026, 13:34
DGQ
Artificial Intelligence is not as clever as bear raider Evil Knievil, a self styled natural genius, – Delta Gold
  • By Tom Winnifrith
  • 19 October 2026, 12:56
MNTL
Technology Minerals fesses to Recyclus Winding Up Order from HMRC but there’s a bigger issue
  • By Tom Winnifrith
  • 19 October 2026, 12:27
IES
GOTCHA Monkey you smug bastard: Invinity bailout at just 10p
  • By Tom Winnifrith
  • 19 October 2026, 11:07
BMV
THIS SMELLS: Bluebird Mining and a spoof share buyback, has Sath passed the BVI solvency test?
  • By Tom Winnifrith
  • 19 October 2026, 10:39
MIND
Mind Gym – “the drive to advance cash receipts in the business model continues to prove successful”. Er, does it?…
  • By Steve Moore
  • 19 October 2026, 10:38
Crash
The great impending stockmarket crash of 2026/27 - a podcast with Lucian Miers Part 2
  • By Tom Winnifrith
  • 19 October 2026, 08:16
Boom
When Cult Wines goes tits up here’s my prediction, just look at Trustpilot!
  • By Tom Winnifrith
  • 19 October 2026, 08:15

Sunday »

Crash
The great impending stockmarket crash of 2026/27 - a podcast with Lucian Miers Part 1
  • By Tom Winnifrith
  • 18 October 2026, 16:54
Bearcast
Tom Winnifrith Bearcast: the stockmarket crash of 2026 and Syrian questions
  • By Tom Winnifrith
  • 18 October 2026, 14:21
AET
Afentra shares have plenty of upside potential whilst oil prices remain high - buy
  • By Gary Newman
  • 18 October 2026, 10:28
Gold
The View From The Montana Log-Cabin As Gold Is Marooned And I Take A Brief Look At Golden Prospect’s Prospects
  • By Nigel Somerville
  • 18 October 2026, 09:18
Quiz
The ShareProphets Sunday Pub Quiz #368
  • By Darren Atwater
  • 18 October 2026, 08:15
Blackboard
Visual Aid: The World’s Most and Least Taxed Countries
  • By Darren Atwater
  • 18 October 2026, 08:15
Reading
Sunday Long Reads: Missing Sheep, Perishing Eels, Karl Bushby’s Walk, Failed Romance, Buying a Filipino Bride
  • By Darren Atwater
  • 18 October 2026, 08:14
Top-10
Notes from Underground – Most read articles for the week ending October 17
  • By Darren Atwater
  • 18 October 2026, 08:13

Saturday »

Bobby-Moore
And the champagne from Lucian will go to……
  • By Tom Winnifrith
  • 17 October 2026, 14:51
FVA
An “ahead of expectations” and further growth potential Buy
  • By HotStockRockets
  • 17 October 2026, 12:09
Newsboy
How low can one fall after working at Technology Minerals: a chance to hook up with the Playboy bird via the Aussie sinner?
  • By Tom Winnifrith
  • 17 October 2026, 11:58
MEX
Tortilla Mexican Grill – discounted placing, states including “to accelerate value creation plan” but how much so really?…
  • By Steve Moore
  • 17 October 2026, 08:00

Friday »

PR1
Pri0rity Intelligence – this statement cannot be true, is the FCA talking about you?
  • By Tom Winnifrith
  • 16 October 2026, 15:49
Roulette
Pathos Communications – shares ‘only’ just over 23% down since December 2025 listing… so “Best Newcomer at the AIM Awards” (natch!)…
  • By Steve Moore
  • 16 October 2026, 15:30
Bearcast
Tom Winnifrith Bearcast: Why Amaroq will tell me to Foxtrot Oscar
  • By Tom Winnifrith
  • 16 October 2026, 15:22
Clown_Funeral
The FCA admits that it is utterly useless: Evil Banksta is left almost speechless as am I
  • By Tom Winnifrith
  • 16 October 2026, 13:59
Bear
Video: Fuel Rationing, ‘Hard To Go Wrong’ With Gold Miners & Platinum To Outperform
  • By Tom Winnifrith
  • 16 October 2026, 12:24
BMV
Bluebird Mining: Disgraced CEO Sath’s Skylake vehicle dumping shares what can it mean?
  • By Tom Winnifrith
  • 16 October 2026, 11:46
Confetti
Nuburu finally buys Tekne but reveals more massive dilution of its shareholders ( quelle surprise!)
  • By Tom Winnifrith
  • 16 October 2026, 11:06
AMRQ
Letter to Eldur Olaffson – time to sack Charles Archer and cleanse the Amaroq stable
  • By Tom Winnifrith
  • 16 October 2026, 10:54
THX
Thor Explorations – “Q3 2026 Operating Update”, a further cashed-up Buy
  • By HotStockRockets
  • 16 October 2026, 09:02
Collapsing-Reactor
The Morning after the AIM awards dinner – more bad data from the Casino emerges
  • By Tom Winnifrith
  • 16 October 2026, 08:58