UK 12:35 Monday, 21 September 2026
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Disclosure: I have no positions in any stocks mentioned, and no plans to initiate any positions within the next 72 hours. I wrote this article myself, and it expresses my own opinions. I am not receiving compensation for it (other than from ShareProphets). I have no business relationship with any company whose stock is mentioned in this article.


Bearcast

Tom Winnifrith Bearcast 19 October - the Great Unravel for LGO and Tribal Group

Today's podcast finds me in a panic as Oakley and I need to do frantic tidying before the Mrs returns to cover our respective sins. Meanwhile Tara the cat is also misbehaving. On the agenda - the great unravels at LGO Energy (LGO) but more especially Tribal Group (TRB) - the latter getting a thorough analysis. Then it is onto JQW (JQW), Alba Minerals (ALba) and the Horse Hill/Horse Shite prospect and Michelmersh Brick (MBH) which leaves me confused, perhaps Chris Bailey of Financial Orbit is geekish enough to assist?

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Comments

  1. Re Michelmersh and its comment about lower volumes but higher prices/profits (that smells like pricing power to me), Tom is actually correct that I keep half an eye on the UK brick market… Anyone heard of Ibstock? Well they are intending to float and in their document outlining this http://www.investegate.co.uk/ibstock/rns/intention-to-float/201509280700523436A/ they noted “Ibstock is experiencing structural demand growth in its key UK brick market – this is driven by strong household formations, a significant shortage of homes and supportive government policies. Against this demand backdrop, the UK brick market is experiencing structural imbalances, with insufficient manufacturing capacity to fulfil UK demand. There are high barriers to new brick capacity, including access to clay reserves and manufacturing sites with appropriate planning permissions and the technical “know how” to procure and commission the plant and equipment required to manufacture bricks”.

    Of course the market being what it is, higher prices will eventually attract more investment/supply etc. but – at least at this moment in time – it is a hot market for bricks.

  2. Perhaps you could review Messaging International Plc since your last Bearcast mentioning them on 27th March, price dropped for no reason today by 20% down to 0.48 (mc of £0.55m).
    I note last month they appointed a joint broker and the Israel based bank loan has ceased being drawable and the balance sheet is thin with a Globo Plc tint.
    I predict a discounted placing ahoy


  3. David Russell

    BARORD, I hold Messaging and like most holding I have its all about luck like most AIM stock.The Bearcast Tom did on the 27th was short and based on the news of the day and not really about MES..I am not keen on the news about the joint broker for personnel reasons but cannot wait to see if I lose all my money on this one again. Its my biggest gamble and I hope they come good but will not hold my breath.:)

  4. I feel for you Mr Russell as we too are shareholders (although tiny ones) I’m pretty sure that a placing is a coming just check the last reported figures and you’ll soon work it out! its too much like Globo for my liking.
    Perhaps they can get a new loan deal but I’m not sure lenders will be too keen if they not generating income, in my humble opinion and I’m sure Tom would agree is investing is not about Luck and or a gamble it’s about doing your research and looking at the risks.
    If I take it your gambled money is an amount you will miss or can’t afford to keep losing you need to look at more secure blue chips perhaps and take less risks.
    The big problem is small investors have no voice and end up getting shafted too often so really until we get that sorted we all need to really do our homework and don’t risk anything you can’t afford to lose..
    This company needs to do some management buyout of the private subsidiary and change the Plc to cash shell with perhaps Jim Mellon or similar at the helm.


  5. David Russell

    Barford, I canot comment on the figures but when I lose money its down to the people who run the company and not the business its self and the gamble is on the people who run it for me. I do a lot of research and both my kids am private investors but do not hold MES because they do not see value short or long term. I do see the value and also believe in the management but the last Rns on the joint broker and the smell of a restructuring of the capital and a placing made me feel I could be wrong. Cash shells do not work for people like you and me and am a cash cow for the well conected. Anyway Good Luck my mate and I hope we make some money but if not then just move onto the next.:) Good Luck

  6. I wish you luck Mr Russell on your investment hopefully they can move into cash generative and clear their balance sheet up, anyway we have no intention of failing on this or others in the long run as this is what I do day to day though my investment company.
    If it helps I’m on Twitter @Resnetuk and LinkedIn under barford asset management, im a firm believer that their is a investors revolution coming and its people like me and you/your children that will be part of it…..feel free to follow/add


  7. David Russell

    Thank you for the kind words i will add you on twitter. I stack shelfs in a local supermarket partime for the last 10 years but been a private investor for a lot longer. My son works for a large wealth firm I play the market for fun. I do make a lot of money from my investments compared to working filling shelfs at a supermarket which is not difficult and My accountant says Im a good stock picker but thats because I pay him loads LOL. Toms new bearcast on the 20th does not give me much hope on MES but we will see.:).LoL

Complete Coverage

That Was the Week that Was 7 Days of ShareProphets

Monday »

Gold
Video: Gold Suppression, Bond Markets ‘Revolting’ & Why Juniors Will Outperform
  • By Tom Winnifrith
  • 21 September 2026, 11:57
CRW
Craneware – full-year results, how much confidence to really have for now “conditions should become progressively more supportive”?
  • By Steve Moore
  • 21 September 2026, 11:28
MTC
Mothercare can’t say its screwed too often
  • By Tom Winnifrith
  • 21 September 2026, 10:45
KEFI
New, or not so new, anti Government alliance in Ethiopia – am I panicking about Kefi? No.
  • By Tom Winnifrith
  • 21 September 2026, 09:49
Sinking_Ship
Today's Ayn Rand quote, tell me it's not true
  • By Tom Winnifrith
  • 21 September 2026, 08:07
Boom
EXPOSE: Amazing AI – Companies Act contraventions undertaken by Paul Mathieson
  • By Tom Winnifrith
  • 21 September 2026, 08:02

Sunday »

Bearcast
Tom Winnifrith bearcast: explaining balance sheets to a Skins owning lunatic
  • By Tom Winnifrith
  • 20 September 2026, 19:13
Top-10
Notes from Underground – Most read articles for the week ending September 20
  • By Darren Atwater
  • 20 September 2026, 18:00
Gold
The View From The Montana Log-Cabin As Gold Firms In Response To Fed Hike
  • By Nigel Somerville
  • 20 September 2026, 09:12
Quiz
The ShareProphets Sunday Pub Quiz #364
  • By Darren Atwater
  • 20 September 2026, 08:28
Reading
Sunday Long Reads: Lucy Letby, Paul Smith, American Age, Mining Guam, Montessori Ponzi
  • By Darren Atwater
  • 20 September 2026, 08:27
Blackboard
Visual Aid: The Top 10 Sectors for Foreign Investment in 2026
  • By Darren Atwater
  • 20 September 2026, 08:27

Saturday »

Boom
UPDATED: Lucian Miers & Jim Mellon are coming back to Sharestock in 2027: early bird tickets now on sale, event 15% sold out!
  • By Tom Winnifrith
  • 19 September 2026, 16:57
Bearcast
Tom, Winnifrith Bearcast: hope and despair
  • By Tom Winnifrith
  • 19 September 2026, 16:55
DEBS
Boohoo Group – emphasises “turnaround continues at pace”, but how materially compared to the valuation already?
  • By Steve Moore
  • 19 September 2026, 13:21
Roulette
'The Takeover 12' Great British Takeover stakes competition leading picks performance update – some improvement...
  • By Steve Moore
  • 19 September 2026, 13:21

Friday »

Bearcast
Tom Winnifrith Bearcast: the Sydney Sweeney row with the Mrs and daughter 2
  • By Tom Winnifrith
  • 18 September 2026, 15:40
TEK
Evil Banksta weighs in on TekCapital after today’s spooftastic RNS
  • By Tom Winnifrith
  • 18 September 2026, 15:10
SBTX
Good news travels fast but bad news….the case of Skinbiotherapeutics
  • By Tom Winnifrith
  • 18 September 2026, 11:50
MTC
Mothercare: the end is nigh, don’t blame Trump, I told y’all eons ago
  • By Tom Winnifrith
  • 18 September 2026, 11:25
Collapsing-Reactor
EXPOSE: Nuburu shares in a slump post relisting on American Stock Exchange and latest accounts contain a material error
  • By Tom Winnifrith
  • 18 September 2026, 10:57
Boom
Letter to Pointon Young, former auditors to Amazing AI
  • By Tom Winnifrith
  • 18 September 2026, 10:25
SATS
Reinvesting my Satsuma Winnings
  • By Tom Winnifrith
  • 18 September 2026, 09:50
TRB
Tribal Group – “Proposed Acquisition by Main Capital Partners” provides us with another share tip winner
  • By HotStockRockets
  • 18 September 2026, 09:34
QDE
Quantum Data Energy - why are its shares still suspended?
  • By Tom Winnifrith
  • 18 September 2026, 09:14
Boom
EXPOSE: Paul Mathieson and the strike off: you might think that, I could not possibly comment
  • By Tom Winnifrith
  • 18 September 2026, 08:53

Thursday »

MCB
McBride – having argued earlier this week “transformational future growth”, now CFO “Sale of Shares”!…
  • By Steve Moore
  • 17 September 2026, 16:25
Bearcast
Tom Winnifrith Bearcast: Hang on for the PS in the podcast
  • By Tom Winnifrith
  • 17 September 2026, 15:44
CRTA
EXPOSE: Stephen Kelly’s CV – why the Cirata boss has to go and its not just the SEC investigated stock options scandal
  • By Tom Winnifrith
  • 17 September 2026, 13:43
INSG
Insig AI – “pleased to announce… results for the year ended 31 March 2026”, why then not announced until now?…
  • By Steve Moore
  • 17 September 2026, 13:34
OPTI
Optibiotix Interims – get your cheque book ready Adam
  • By Tom Winnifrith
  • 17 September 2026, 12:38
Bear
Video: Rigged Markets, Why The Real Bubble Is In Government Bonds & Revaluing Gold
  • By Tom Winnifrith
  • 17 September 2026, 11:11
ABDP
AB Dynamics – “performance for FY2026 is expected to be in line with the guidance”, not the initial guidance though!…
  • By Steve Moore
  • 17 September 2026, 11:10
CRTA
Cirata letter to FCA & AIM Regulation: was bad news suppressed ahead of fund raise? I bet it was!
  • By Tom Winnifrith
  • 17 September 2026, 10:04
PAF
Pan African Resources – full-year results, a winning share tip still Buy
  • By HotStockRockets
  • 17 September 2026, 08:45
AVCT
TW does not understand the science and maths at Avacta so what do Evil Banksta and Jim Mellon say?
  • By Tom Winnifrith
  • 17 September 2026, 08:14

Wednesday »

Bearcast
Tom Winnifrith Bearcast: Joshua turns 10, congenital idiots turn on me and a victory lap as Cirata crashes, the FCA should be all over this
  • By Tom Winnifrith
  • 16 September 2026, 16:42
SMWH
WH Smith – argues “solid peak trading”, but how ‘solid’ really?…
  • By Steve Moore
  • 16 September 2026, 16:03
AVCT
Avacta: it’s a spoof says Evil Banksta add to shorts into the share price spike
  • By Tom Winnifrith
  • 16 September 2026, 14:32
ADF
Facilities by ADF – interims emphasise its “strength”, so a trading warning (natch!)…
  • By Steve Moore
  • 16 September 2026, 14:25
Newsboy
BREAKING: Farewell Oak Securities hello Crest Corporate Brokers, oily Jerry Keen & team jump ship
  • By Tom Winnifrith
  • 16 September 2026, 13:32
HUI
I try to be fair and show balance
  • By Tom Winnifrith
  • 16 September 2026, 12:24
BMV
Writing to Bluebird Mining Ventures & the FCA as the company tries to steal my warrants
  • By Tom Winnifrith
  • 16 September 2026, 12:12
CTA
CT Automotive – interims emphasise “revenue increased”, but what about the bottom-line?…
  • By Steve Moore
  • 16 September 2026, 12:07
Boom
Amazing AI – Auditors Resignation letter in. Oh dear. What is being hidden?
  • By Tom Winnifrith
  • 16 September 2026, 10:18
BRES
GOTCHA: Blencowe’s Ralston axed after my FCA intervention and loses options but the company is still talking shit
  • By Tom Winnifrith
  • 16 September 2026, 09:50

Tuesday »

Bearcast
Tom Winnifrith Bearcast No 2: back to the 1970s
  • By Tom Winnifrith
  • 15 September 2026, 16:42
ALU
Alumasc – full-year results, a “resilient performance” and a “positive start” to this year?
  • By Steve Moore
  • 15 September 2026, 16:25
Clown
Dr. Jeevun Sandher MP celebrates wage growth – a new contender for dumbest Labour MP out there
  • By Tom Winnifrith
  • 15 September 2026, 14:06
BRCK
BRCK Group – “the board’s expectations for the current financial year remain unchanged”, but how creditable is that?…
  • By Steve Moore
  • 15 September 2026, 13:21
STAK
Breaking: Stack BTC, Direct Bullion, Paul Withers and Nigel Farage, this is just so sleazy
  • By Tom Winnifrith
  • 15 September 2026, 13:02
Boom
Amazing AI – Oooh Er Missus, what's this I see?
  • By Tom Winnifrith
  • 15 September 2026, 11:53
Crime-Scene
Expose: Africa Bitcoin Corporation and Guild Advisory: no prizes for due diligence here!
  • By Tom Winnifrith
  • 15 September 2026, 11:30
MPAC
Mpac – interims, how positive is “outlook for the full year remains unchanged following the company’s update in June”?
  • By Steve Moore
  • 15 September 2026, 11:08
Bearcast
Tom Winnifrith Bearcast: a long chat with Harry Adams
  • By Tom Winnifrith
  • 15 September 2026, 10:29
BRES
Letter to the FCA: If you do not prosecute Mike Ralston of Blencowe, you admit you are useless
  • By Tom Winnifrith
  • 15 September 2026, 08:51

Monday »

Curse_Of_ShareProphets
Question for Ms. Frankie Davies of Baker McKenzie re Paul Mathieson
  • By Tom Winnifrith
  • 14 September 2026, 16:42
LIKE
Likewise Group – a competitor backdrop changes Buy?
  • By HotStockRockets
  • 14 September 2026, 16:39
FAB
Fusion Antibodies – full-year results argue “another year of important progress”, but why then not announced until now?…
  • By Steve Moore
  • 14 September 2026, 16:25
Bearcast
Tom Winnifrith bearcast: Crime pays
  • By Tom Winnifrith
  • 14 September 2026, 16:03
CER
Cerillion – after I wrote in June ‘is it really “on track to deliver FY26 financial targets”?’… “it is now apparent to the board that the year’s outturn will be behind consensus market forecasts”!
  • By Steve Moore
  • 14 September 2026, 13:55
AML
A stock to short from Sharestock
  • By Tom Winnifrith
  • 14 September 2026, 13:23
SCGL
EXPOSE: Sealand Capital Galaxy Limited – HK/Cayman deal – utter nonsense on stilts
  • By Tom Winnifrith
  • 14 September 2026, 12:57
DATA
GlobalData – a ‘plan’ “to drive long-term value creation”… with a profit warning having argued earlier this year “Primed for Growth in AI Age”!
  • By Steve Moore
  • 14 September 2026, 12:19
BRES
Blencowe Resources – why is CEO Mike Ralston not in jail and instead being rewarded for his crimes?
  • By Tom Winnifrith
  • 14 September 2026, 10:05
UJO
Is Union Jack breaching the 2018 Data Protection Act 2018 and thus committing a criminal offence?
  • By Tom Winnifrith
  • 14 September 2026, 09:44