UK 18:22 Friday, 23 October 2026
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Disclosure: I have no positions in any stocks mentioned, and no plans to initiate any positions within the next 72 hours. I wrote this article myself, and it expresses my own opinions. I am not receiving compensation for it (other than from ShareProphets). I have no business relationship with any company whose stock is mentioned in this article.


Bearcast

Tom Winnifrith Bearcast 29 January

In today's podcast I look at how the human mind reacts to rising and falling share prices, the case study being Quindell (QPP) which is tanking today - now at 80p, target remains 0p. I look at Mosman Oil & Gas (MSMN) and its proposed Aussie takeover which - as I explain - must now be in terrible trouble - target here 1p. I look at the pointless Forte Energy and Red Emperor and then a read through from Produce Investments. I also propose a new "£4 million Rule" for the AIM Casino - what do you think?

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Comments


  1. martin ashworth

    £4m eminently sensible Tom – in fact I’d do away with AIM altogether and insist that all companies on quoted UK markets are fully listed. that way you introduce a much higher level of corporate diligence & ethics and cut out the cowboy Advisers, Nomads, Accountants & Solicitors. Any small company which cant make the grade as a fully listed one should be only be invested in by Private Equity & Venture Capital Investors 0 they are the professionals at dealing with these shit, microcap companies and would quickly weed out the losers. Private Investors should simply not be allowed to invest in AIM-type companies.

  2. Maybe companies should only be allowed to list once they are making £1m of profit? As you say yourself, profits are sanity…oh hang on that would mean that the 90% of AIM that is resource stocks would have to de-list. Shame

  3. Terrible idea Tom. You would be playing into the hands of crap management.

    Let’s assume Shitco raises £5M at a pre-money value of £5M (£10M post) with a bunch of crooked management holding say 40% between them. If you impose a market cap floor below which the company gets de-listed you would be dangling a carrot in front of them to deliberately bust the company and take it private whereby they nick the cash anyway via the backdoor of a private company (a delisted company has no obligation to return cash to shareholders). Good investors would obviously try and buy stock to prevent this floor being reached but this would simply provide undue demand on the shares and give the same crooked management an opportunity to sell down. Either way, unscrupulous management end up either nicking the cash pile or selling their shares or even BOTH!

    If you want to stop shit companies on AIM you need to prevent them from listing in the first place. Far tougher requirements and higher hurdles and proper penalties and sanctions for NOMADs and brokers who represent POS businesses. Perhaps 5 years of properly audited financial statements, proper warranties given by management, punitive penalties for fraud/shenanigans and more consistent financial reporting including RNS statements.


  4. filthy lucre

    J P Morgan is Cazenove not ‘or Cazenove’ Tom.
    Maybe it is you that is half empty? you seem confused


  5. turbograndad

    What ever happened to my word is my bond, the city unwritten code???
    Did it exist???
    Trust????
    All you can trust is, fuck up, cock up, bullshit, debauched buggery, and grand theft larsony.
    Caveat emptor!!!!!!!

  6. Mac

    Indeed the system of proper regulation you suggest would be ideal. But what about Zombie companies? No fraid there but they are just feedstock for parasites, the needs to be a mechanism to clear them out

    T

Complete Coverage

That Was the Week that Was 7 Days of ShareProphets

Friday »

Greek Tear
NEW: Win an off peak week at the Greek Hovel and help me out contest
  • By Tom Winnifrith
  • 23 October 2026, 16:20
DEBS
Boohoo – emphasises “first time the group has delivered positive profit before tax since August 2021”, but has it really though?…
  • By Steve Moore
  • 23 October 2026, 16:20
Bearcast
Tom Winnifrith Bearcast: Am I shitting bricks abut the FCA and market abuse, a law suit or my portfolio? er...No!
  • By Tom Winnifrith
  • 23 October 2026, 16:17
RBN
Robinson plc – another “Trading Update” = another profit warning (natch!)
  • By Steve Moore
  • 23 October 2026, 15:07
PRD
Video: Crazy old coot knows why shares in his company tanked, nothing to do with a massively discounted placing of course!
  • By Tom Winnifrith
  • 23 October 2026, 12:41
DGQ
Delta Gold – that share buying spoofing is really not going well at all, as EK could have told you
  • By Tom Winnifrith
  • 23 October 2026, 12:07
GEX
Letter to the FCA – suspend Georgina Energy shares now and launch a full enquiry
  • By Tom Winnifrith
  • 23 October 2026, 11:34
GBG
GB Group – half-year trading statement, now a value Buy?
  • By HotStockRockets
  • 23 October 2026, 11:16
CRTA
Letter to Stifel Europe, Nomad to Cirata – do you still have faith in Stephen Kelly? Nobody else does!
  • By Tom Winnifrith
  • 23 October 2026, 10:35
GEX
EXPLOSIVE GOTCHA!: Georgina Energy has misled market 100% about its drilling permits ahead of 2 fundraises
  • By Tom Winnifrith
  • 23 October 2026, 09:55
VLRM
Valereum and the California $32 billon mining claim fraud Part 3, more red flags
  • By Tom Winnifrith
  • 23 October 2026, 09:35

Thursday »

IKA
Ilika – “Launches ORKA Brand for Marine Applications”, ramptastic?
  • By Steve Moore
  • 22 October 2026, 16:05
Bearcast
Tom Winnifrith Bearcast: helping Wishbone gerbils with maths on its cash crisis & the AQSE paradox
  • By Tom Winnifrith
  • 22 October 2026, 14:27
Crime-Scene
A Message from Paul Mathieson
  • By Tom Winnifrith
  • 22 October 2026, 14:14
FAB
Fusion Antibodies – a “delighted to have secured” contract win, attempted ramptastic?
  • By Steve Moore
  • 22 October 2026, 13:19
VLRM
Chat GPT analyses the Valereum LIES ( 2026 only)
  • By Tom Winnifrith
  • 22 October 2026, 12:39
JR-Ewing
Video: ‘Ragingly Tight’ Diesel Markets, Skyrocketing Inflation & The Escalating Iran War
  • By Tom Winnifrith
  • 22 October 2026, 12:30
VLRM
BREAKING: Valereum – this is FRAUD Part 2 on the California Bezzle
  • By Tom Winnifrith
  • 22 October 2026, 12:21
WSBN
A letter to London’s worst Nomad – re Wishbone gold and the planned rescue placing, is it 10p or lower?
  • By Tom Winnifrith
  • 22 October 2026, 11:27
ATG
Auction Technology – trading “slightly ahead of current market expectations”, but what’s already discounted in the share price?
  • By Steve Moore
  • 22 October 2026, 10:58
VLRM
BREAKING: Valereum – this is FRAUD Part 1 on the California Bezzle
  • By Tom Winnifrith
  • 22 October 2026, 10:27

Wednesday »

GELN
Gelion – full-year results, how “strong” ‘a platform to support the group’s next phase’?
  • By Steve Moore
  • 21 October 2026, 16:09
Bearcast
Tom Winnifrith Bearcast: Evil Banksta gets a Mobico financial kicking, thank heavens for Andrew Monk and his bodged placing
  • By Tom Winnifrith
  • 21 October 2026, 15:07
VINO
Virgin Wines UK – a full-year swing from more than £1m profit to more than £1m loss… so an argued “another excellent year of progress” (natch!)
  • By Steve Moore
  • 21 October 2026, 14:16
EDGE
BREAKING: Falconedge – statement needed, shares collapsing! Told y'all!
  • By Tom Winnifrith
  • 21 October 2026, 12:24
PBX
ProBiotix Health – Q3 update, a dealing with the “global uncertainty” Buy
  • By HotStockRockets
  • 21 October 2026, 11:17
DOM
Domino’s Pizza – Q3 update, is the emphasised “continued positive trading momentum” ‘tasty’ enough for the valuation?
  • By Steve Moore
  • 21 October 2026, 10:58
WSBN
BREAKING: Wishbone – looking to raise up to £2m at as low as 10p – City source
  • By Tom Winnifrith
  • 21 October 2026, 10:50
Fake_News
Camilla Tominey at the Telegraph claims BREAKING scoop on Liam Byrne MP -the shameless hussy is TWO YEARS too late!
  • By Tom Winnifrith
  • 21 October 2026, 10:30
KEN
Colin Bird tell me I am wrong: Kendrick Resources has no cash left at all
  • By Tom Winnifrith
  • 21 October 2026, 09:34
ECOB
Photo : Eco Buildings, perhaps this explains the share spike?
  • By Tom Winnifrith
  • 21 October 2026, 08:25

Tuesday »

TRI
Trifast – “confident in delivering further margin improvement”, but what about in overall profitability?
  • By Steve Moore
  • 20 October 2026, 16:29
Bearcast
Tom Winnifrith Bearcast: Probiotix and Invinity
  • By Tom Winnifrith
  • 20 October 2026, 16:23
G4M
Gear4music – I having last month noted caution on half-year performance, what about now a “Half Year Trading Update”?…
  • By Steve Moore
  • 20 October 2026, 14:27
ECOB
Eco Buildings – no I do not have a scooby
  • By Tom Winnifrith
  • 20 October 2026, 13:58
TRUE
Truetide – SMTM ( or lack of it)
  • By Tom Winnifrith
  • 20 October 2026, 12:47
IES
After Invinity crashes, the truth about its botched placing & who is next: A Vindicated Evil Banksta spells it out
  • By Tom Winnifrith
  • 20 October 2026, 12:04
TIN
Cornish Metals: £135 million fund raise at just 60p, am I being suspicious?
  • By Tom Winnifrith
  • 20 October 2026, 11:23
GEN
Genuit – I having written in May ‘a profit warning ahoy here?’, what about now a nine months trading update?…
  • By Steve Moore
  • 20 October 2026, 10:46
BSFA
BSF Enterprise and the patent spoof: an expert writes
  • By Tom Winnifrith
  • 20 October 2026, 09:44
Collapsing-Reactor
BREAKING: Alessandro Zamboni’s Nuburu censured by NYSE American SE for late publication of material events, the trap door of delisting gets nearer
  • By Tom Winnifrith
  • 20 October 2026, 09:20

Monday »

VLX
Volex – “profit expected to be towards the upper end of current market expectations”, but how’s the outlook?
  • By Steve Moore
  • 19 October 2026, 16:19
Bearcast
Tom Winnifrith Bearcast: 2 sets of red faces & a zero by Thursday?
  • By Tom Winnifrith
  • 19 October 2026, 15:44
GELN
Gelion – “Strong Independent U.S. Validation of Gelion's NES”, timely ramptastic?
  • By Steve Moore
  • 19 October 2026, 13:34
DGQ
Artificial Intelligence is not as clever as bear raider Evil Knievil, a self styled natural genius, – Delta Gold
  • By Tom Winnifrith
  • 19 October 2026, 12:56
MNTL
Technology Minerals fesses to Recyclus Winding Up Order from HMRC but there’s a bigger issue
  • By Tom Winnifrith
  • 19 October 2026, 12:27
IES
GOTCHA Monkey you smug bastard: Invinity bailout at just 10p
  • By Tom Winnifrith
  • 19 October 2026, 11:07
BMV
THIS SMELLS: Bluebird Mining and a spoof share buyback, has Sath passed the BVI solvency test?
  • By Tom Winnifrith
  • 19 October 2026, 10:39
MIND
Mind Gym – “the drive to advance cash receipts in the business model continues to prove successful”. Er, does it?…
  • By Steve Moore
  • 19 October 2026, 10:38
Crash
The great impending stockmarket crash of 2026/27 - a podcast with Lucian Miers Part 2
  • By Tom Winnifrith
  • 19 October 2026, 08:16
Boom
When Cult Wines goes tits up here’s my prediction, just look at Trustpilot!
  • By Tom Winnifrith
  • 19 October 2026, 08:15

Sunday »

Crash
The great impending stockmarket crash of 2026/27 - a podcast with Lucian Miers Part 1
  • By Tom Winnifrith
  • 18 October 2026, 16:54
Bearcast
Tom Winnifrith Bearcast: the stockmarket crash of 2026 and Syrian questions
  • By Tom Winnifrith
  • 18 October 2026, 14:21
AET
Afentra shares have plenty of upside potential whilst oil prices remain high - buy
  • By Gary Newman
  • 18 October 2026, 10:28
Gold
The View From The Montana Log-Cabin As Gold Is Marooned And I Take A Brief Look At Golden Prospect’s Prospects
  • By Nigel Somerville
  • 18 October 2026, 09:18
Quiz
The ShareProphets Sunday Pub Quiz #368
  • By Darren Atwater
  • 18 October 2026, 08:15
Blackboard
Visual Aid: The World’s Most and Least Taxed Countries
  • By Darren Atwater
  • 18 October 2026, 08:15
Reading
Sunday Long Reads: Missing Sheep, Perishing Eels, Karl Bushby’s Walk, Failed Romance, Buying a Filipino Bride
  • By Darren Atwater
  • 18 October 2026, 08:14
Top-10
Notes from Underground – Most read articles for the week ending October 17
  • By Darren Atwater
  • 18 October 2026, 08:13

Saturday »

Bobby-Moore
And the champagne from Lucian will go to……
  • By Tom Winnifrith
  • 17 October 2026, 14:51
FVA
An “ahead of expectations” and further growth potential Buy
  • By HotStockRockets
  • 17 October 2026, 12:09
Newsboy
How low can one fall after working at Technology Minerals: a chance to hook up with the Playboy bird via the Aussie sinner?
  • By Tom Winnifrith
  • 17 October 2026, 11:58
MEX
Tortilla Mexican Grill – discounted placing, states including “to accelerate value creation plan” but how much so really?…
  • By Steve Moore
  • 17 October 2026, 08:00

Friday »

PR1
Pri0rity Intelligence – this statement cannot be true, is the FCA talking about you?
  • By Tom Winnifrith
  • 16 October 2026, 15:49
Roulette
Pathos Communications – shares ‘only’ just over 23% down since December 2025 listing… so “Best Newcomer at the AIM Awards” (natch!)…
  • By Steve Moore
  • 16 October 2026, 15:30
Bearcast
Tom Winnifrith Bearcast: Why Amaroq will tell me to Foxtrot Oscar
  • By Tom Winnifrith
  • 16 October 2026, 15:22
Clown_Funeral
The FCA admits that it is utterly useless: Evil Banksta is left almost speechless as am I
  • By Tom Winnifrith
  • 16 October 2026, 13:59
Bear
Video: Fuel Rationing, ‘Hard To Go Wrong’ With Gold Miners & Platinum To Outperform
  • By Tom Winnifrith
  • 16 October 2026, 12:24
BMV
Bluebird Mining: Disgraced CEO Sath’s Skylake vehicle dumping shares what can it mean?
  • By Tom Winnifrith
  • 16 October 2026, 11:46
Confetti
Nuburu finally buys Tekne but reveals more massive dilution of its shareholders ( quelle surprise!)
  • By Tom Winnifrith
  • 16 October 2026, 11:06
AMRQ
Letter to Eldur Olaffson – time to sack Charles Archer and cleanse the Amaroq stable
  • By Tom Winnifrith
  • 16 October 2026, 10:54
THX
Thor Explorations – “Q3 2026 Operating Update”, a further cashed-up Buy
  • By HotStockRockets
  • 16 October 2026, 09:02
Collapsing-Reactor
The Morning after the AIM awards dinner – more bad data from the Casino emerges
  • By Tom Winnifrith
  • 16 October 2026, 08:58