UK 09:59 Wednesday, 7 October 2026
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Disclosure: I have no positions in any stocks mentioned, and no plans to initiate any positions within the next 72 hours. I wrote this article myself, and it expresses my own opinions. I am not receiving compensation for it (other than from ShareProphets). I have no business relationship with any company whose stock is mentioned in this article.


Bearcast

Tom Winnifrith Bearcast 1st Feb - Revenge is a dish best served cold

I feel let down by someone, legged over. But revenge is a dish best served cold. Last year I "dealt with" someone in print who'd cost me money 15 years previously. It was all the better for waiting. I am sure there will be a couple of listeners who will take this on board today. Was I wrong about Gulf Keystone (GKP) yesterday HERE? No the analysis still stands, today's share price spike is a selling opportunity. I also look at Kenmare (KMR), Lakehouse (LAKE), Litebulb (LBB), MX Oil (MXO - statement needed - Crossrider (CROS), Afriag (TOAST), Blenheim (BNR) and Solgold (SOLG) which gets a detailed review and sell advice.

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Comments

  1. Whats up Whinney ?
    Did you not get invited to Scotties latest Venice piss up . Dont worry I hear it went very badly . He burnt his man bits with Radox Shower Gel ( a likely story ) and thus could not sit down on the plane due to the pain . Then he shared a room with a snoring Gorilla that had just had a Bi -lateral nasal passage widening operation the size of Portland Bill fog horn ………..and he had to work from his Venice hotel room ……..allegedly …………..Karma I call it . Never mix work and play as neither turn out any the better for it .

  2. Just took a quick shufti at LAKE to see why it dropped nearly 60% today and I’m tempted to buy. Nothing in the RNS warrants a sell-off of such proportions. They have spread the risk over diverse operations and seem quite efficient, notwithstanding the revised forecast – which is, after all, for a reduced profit, not a loss. They’ve got cash and they have no debt. I liked what I saw albeit I might have preferred to find more institutional shareholders (although Legal & General recently bought 5% which they won’t be happy about and Slater Investments own 6% – not that you can find this on LAKE’s website) and I need to dig out info on the former director and still major (15%) shareholder, Steven Rawlings although he hasn’t been selling afaict. Looks like a sound business operating in fairly safe sectors. What am I missing – apart from today’s moderate trading update?

  3. Bad news ahead Tom? who let you down?

  4. To be fair to GKP supporters,it would be embarrasing to the Kurds if it actually went bankrupt due to their late payments.I don’t think that that will be enough for them to bail it out,but I suppose they might try to engineer some sort of debt-for-equity swap with shareholders being thrown a bone once the share price had fallen far enough. As was mentioned earlier,what had been annoying GKP supporters is that sufficient weight hadn’t been given here to the money that was owed.I’m guessing that that was what was annoying Paul Curtis [please forgive me if I am wrong,Paul] and why he felt motivated to speak up despite being a bondholder rather than a shareholder.

  5. I think Ive got it ;-) ………….Drummond from Teathers has told you it wont ever relist and he is running off with all the money , a bit like his brother and MDC ( allegedly and in the best possible taste )

    TW note - both defamatory and untrue in all respects, kind of par for the course for you

  6. Duck and Dive

    Re:- LakeHouse

    FWIW I opened a small position yesterday afternoon, as the markets knee jerk reaction to the companies statement seemed completely over done.

    The company has divided opinion, many investors exercising caution, however, whilst I have no trust in the investing prowess of L&G, I’m a big fan of Mark Slater and content to follow his judgement ( and money! ) in backing, what he considers to be a fundamentally good business.

    Since the IPO management have disappointed and have a lot to prove in meeting future expectations. For those not adverse to risk and prepared to give the board, the benefit of the doubt, the shares could hold attractive recovery prospects.

    Fingers crossed!

    http://www.stockopedia.com/content/stock-in-focus-can-lakehouse-deliver-on-ipo-promise-115602/?comment=8#8

  7. “Defamatory and untrue” ……… thats the pot calling the kettle black where your concerned if ever I heard it , and I would not want to steal your trademark .
    I really have got it this time :-
    Chris Oil has reported you to the FCA for market abuse ( allegedly )

    Oh no , even better ………….. the Canadian who bought your Pizza emporium from you fixed the books so that they showed too little profit and thus bought it real cheap ( allegedly and in the best possible taste ) He raised the profits to unbelievable levels by hiring out the Gimp in the basement for parties in Hipster land .

  8. I really , really, have got it this time …………. Oakley has reported you to the RSPCA for underfeeding him and allowing insufficient toilet breaks in centrally heated ,luxury pile carpeted conditions .

  9. Wildes

    This is the final proof that you have gone utterly bonkers…the idea that Oakley is in any way underfed…

    t

  10. Re Mx Oil and the sale of the Nigerian asset. Your an Oil junkie Tom what’s your opinion on this?
    My opinion is that the value of this asset since purchase has decreased not increased due to POO and why not name the Buyer since it appears to be a international company.
    This mystery company I think if it clever would complete the loan to get into production cost $3.5m and pending the flows ect are good and POO is similar lever, decline to buy and have creditor loan over this asset of which I remind you has currently a negative NPV and is NOT currently commercial under $45 a barrel.
    Wait for a while and take the asset when things stabilise in oil market.
    The NPV at $70 a barrel is $31m so why pay over the odds and why pay over 3 bloody years!
    The BB Morons are frothy due to sale and placement but I think they need to be very careful.
    All the best…

  11. An example of how deals are not so always game changing, re Strategic Minerals (SML) yesterday announced the Tatu Coal Mine project they were progressing has now been gave back to original KCM (project company) owners for nz$1 yes that what about 50p as they didn’t meet SPA terms.
    They acquired March last year for cash of roughly nz$132.5k and spent on at least a bulk sample cost nz$280k.
    Of course the sp has yday and tday cratered, the details are always in the small print!.
    All the best….

  12. If that Nigerian “deal” comes to fruition, I will bare my bum in Trafalgar Square. However, I suspect it is the MXO placing price which has irked Uncle Tom.

  13. I really ,really ,really have got it this time :- Amanda Van Goddess has backed out of the next Gold & Bears and is telling everyone to sell gold and buy supermarkets ( alledgedly , in the best possible taste )
    On pause for thought , naah that cant be it …….Hell would freeze over first .

    I give up .

    TW Note: the Oakley one was a tad more plausible.

  14. Re Gulf Keystone and new payment structure. I might have this wrong but if they are producing 36000 barrels per day and they will be paid by Brent crude prices say $30 for arguments sake, that interprets into approx $1m a day, more than twice they are receiving now and that’s without the added 5%. I might have the figures wrong of course or misunderstood the news. Any comments or corrections greatfully received.

Complete Coverage

That Was the Week that Was 7 Days of ShareProphets

Wednesday »

QBT
ANOTHER EXPOSE: Quantum Blockchain – it is still not telling the truth about the Italian house!
  • By Tom Winnifrith
  • 7 October 2026, 08:33

Tuesday »

Bearcast
Tom Winnifrith Bearcast No 2: It's October 7 tomorrow and Britain sickens me again & why there is no Kenmare read across
  • By Tom Winnifrith
  • 6 October 2026, 16:20
SNX
Synectics – “confident in the group’s growth opportunity” but wasn’t it also confident before?, And…
  • By Steve Moore
  • 6 October 2026, 16:20
KEN
Kendrick: surely statement needed on the placing that is underway?
  • By Tom Winnifrith
  • 6 October 2026, 14:20
TEP
Telecom Plus – trading update emphasises “encouraging progress”, but how ‘encouraging’ really?
  • By Steve Moore
  • 6 October 2026, 14:14
Bearcast
Tom Winnifrith Bearcast No 1: Amaroq day
  • By Tom Winnifrith
  • 6 October 2026, 13:31
MVI
Marwyn Value Investors – interims, “a number of different routes to further value creation” BUY
  • By Tom Winnifrith & Steve Moore
  • 6 October 2026, 12:07
MPAL
MedPal AI – sales are vanity , cash is fact and so is a lack of it
  • By Tom Winnifrith
  • 6 October 2026, 11:45
CLBS
Celebrus Technologies – I having previously questioned its contractual conversion from a “strong” pipeline, what about now a “Half Year Trading Update”?…
  • By Steve Moore
  • 6 October 2026, 11:40
EDEN
EXPOSE: Eden Biosolutions – revisiting the dodgy TerpeneTech transaction as new accounts out, this is as kosher as a pork pie
  • By Tom Winnifrith, the Sheriff of AIM
  • 6 October 2026, 08:57
AVCT
EXPOSE: Avacta Placing – the truth behind Project Hawkeye
  • By Tom Winnifrith
  • 6 October 2026, 08:27

Monday »

HERC
Hercules – “New Water Sector Contract Wins” announcement, ramptastic?
  • By Steve Moore
  • 5 October 2026, 15:50
Bearcast
Tom Winnifrith Bearcast: a challenge for Bexley YC's 57 year old chairman, the Quantum scandal and Amaroq for the FTSE 250 this week?
  • By Tom Winnifrith
  • 5 October 2026, 15:02
QTX
Quartix Technologies – “pleased to report a continuing strong financial performance”, how “strong” relative to the valuation?
  • By Steve Moore
  • 5 October 2026, 14:00
Beggar
What's the benefits bill where you live? Fascinating new tool from the TPA
  • By Tom Winnifrith
  • 5 October 2026, 13:17
VSVS
We tipped the shares then came the bid
  • By Tom Winnifrith & Steve Moore
  • 5 October 2026, 12:34
QBT
EXPOSE: Has Quantum Blockchain misled investors about the Italian House? Part 2
  • By Tom Winnifrith
  • 5 October 2026, 12:15
ENSI
EnSilica – full-year results emphasise “moved into profitability”, but still cash-burning…
  • By Steve Moore
  • 5 October 2026, 11:38
QBT
EXPOSE: Has Quantum Blockchain lied to investors about the Italian House?
  • By Tom Winnifrith, the Sheriff of AIM
  • 5 October 2026, 10:42
PBX
Is it always a bad sign when you switch auditors to PKF Littlejohn?
  • By Tom Winnifrith
  • 5 October 2026, 10:12
Clown
Win a bottle of champagne from Lucian Miers MMT contest
  • By Tom Winnifrith
  • 5 October 2026, 09:15

Sunday »

Bearcast
Tom Winnifrith Bearcast: As YOUR hard earned cash is being used to punt on an AI ramp, I look at the whacky accounts of FN Advisory
  • By Tom Winnifrith
  • 4 October 2026, 20:02
AAU
Ariana Resources – Dokwe project Feasibility Programme update follows interims, Buy
  • By HotStockRockets
  • 4 October 2026, 18:05
Gold
The View From The Montana Log-Cabin As Gold Falls Again In Face Of Bond Rout
  • By Nigel Somerville
  • 4 October 2026, 17:22
Quiz
The ShareProphets Sunday Pub Quiz #366
  • By Darren Atwater
  • 4 October 2026, 13:28
Blackboard
Visual Aid: Who Controls the Critical Minerals Powering AI?
  • By Darren Atwater
  • 4 October 2026, 13:17
URU
URU Metals – Last Minute Results And A Bucket-Shop Special Smash’n’Grab Placing
  • By Nigel Somerville
  • 4 October 2026, 13:16
Reading
Sunday Long Reads: Britain back in EU?, Lazy Hitler, Electrician Wannabee, I, Claudius, AI v the Pope
  • By Darren Atwater
  • 4 October 2026, 13:14
Top-10
Notes from Underground – Most read articles for the week ending October 3
  • By Darren Atwater
  • 4 October 2026, 13:14

Saturday »

Bearcast
Tom Winnifrith Bearcast: £1.2m of questions as the Reabold bid for Union Jack fails
  • By Tom Winnifrith
  • 3 October 2026, 20:46
V3TC
Vaultz Capital – third time lucky? Not on your nelly - more red flags than May Day in Moscow
  • By Tom Winnifrith
  • 3 October 2026, 19:14
Atomic
Video: The Uranium Blow-Off Top, AI Hyper-Scalers & ‘Huge Value’ in The Miners
  • By Tom Winnifrith
  • 3 October 2026, 17:16
BMS
Braemar – half-year trading update, an “increased volatility”-benefitting Buy
  • By HotStockRockets
  • 3 October 2026, 17:10
Price-Vs-Value
ShareProphets readers tips for 2026 prize competition – (just after) end-September update
  • By Steve Moore
  • 3 October 2026, 16:55

Friday »

Bearcast
Tom Winnifrith Bearcast from my sick bed
  • By Tom Winnifrith
  • 2 October 2026, 16:22
KMK
Kromek – “expansion to its revolving credit facility”, but I thought it was profitability “slightly ahead of expectations”?
  • By Steve Moore
  • 2 October 2026, 16:20
EAAS
eEnergy – “pleased to announce” fundraising. Er, really?!…
  • By Steve Moore
  • 2 October 2026, 14:38
Gold
Video: Why These Critical Metals Will Explode Higher, ‘Uncharted Territory’ For Gold
  • By Tom Winnifrith
  • 2 October 2026, 13:21
PDL
Petra Diamonds misleads as it finally fesses to the HMRC winding up petition
  • By Tom Winnifrith
  • 2 October 2026, 13:11
RM
RM plc – sale of Technical Teaching Solutions business, still a sum-of-the-parts Buy
  • By HotStockRockets
  • 2 October 2026, 12:49
VLRM
EXPOSE: Valereum interim accounts demonstrate grotesque non compliances with IFRS 9
  • By Tom Winnifrith
  • 2 October 2026, 12:05
AMRQ
Amaroq – “pleased” with further Nanoq drilling programme and metallurgical test work, here’s why…
  • By Tom Winnifrith & Steve Moore
  • 2 October 2026, 11:57
QBT
Quantum Blockchain Technologies deeper dive accounting nerdery, nothing adds up, wholesale IFRS breaches
  • By Tom Winnifrith
  • 2 October 2026, 11:48
Bear
The Easy Money Fairy Tale Is About To End Violently says the world's second most foul mouthed financial podcaster
  • By Tom Winnifrith
  • 2 October 2026, 11:45

Thursday »

Boom
Fagash vs Chris Gilbert death match Round 2 at Sharestock 2027: early bird priced tickets on sale now
  • By Tom Winnifrith
  • 1 October 2026, 16:34
Bearcast
Tom Winnifrith bearcast: a new share trade
  • By Tom Winnifrith
  • 1 October 2026, 16:22
ECP
EXPOSE: £24m cap Eight Capital Partners declared profit but a looming liquidity challenge
  • By Tom Winnifrith
  • 1 October 2026, 14:43
TPT
Topps Tiles – “expects adjusted profit before tax for the full year to be in line with current market expectations”, not the initial expectations though!…
  • By Steve Moore
  • 1 October 2026, 14:17
QBT
Quantum Blockchain Interims: how is this AIM posterboy company not classified as bust?
  • By Tom Winnifrith
  • 1 October 2026, 13:13
Beggar
To be fair to Andy Burnham and chancellor Healey as the 30 year bond tops 6%
  • By Tom Winnifrith
  • 1 October 2026, 11:26
LST
Light Science Technologies – after just in August “confidence in a strong second half has strengthened”, why are the shares now slumping on a “Trading Update”?…
  • By Steve Moore
  • 1 October 2026, 10:53
ECOB
Eco Buildings – interims, a progress in Albania and elsewhere STRONG BUY, this could multibag by Christmas
  • By HotStockRockets
  • 1 October 2026, 10:40
VLRM
Valereum Interims Part 1: A fess up on past untruths, the auditor calls out cock & it looks to be bust!
  • By Tom Winnifrith
  • 1 October 2026, 10:31
Bully
Paul Mathieson back where he started – my mother’s suicide, this time he ropes in my late father as well
  • By Tom Winnifrith
  • 1 October 2026, 08:06

Wednesday »

WPHO
Windar Photonics – interims, how strong a base now “to restructure and grow the business”?
  • By Steve Moore
  • 30 September 2026, 16:27
Bearcast
Tom Winnifrith bearcast: from Avacta's crazy valuation to a £1 billion joke, Mr Turd and a potential 25 bagger
  • By Tom Winnifrith
  • 30 September 2026, 14:57
KEN
Kendrick interims: do the maths, its got no money at all! Bailout placing ahoy! £24 million Timber!
  • By Tom Winnifrith
  • 30 September 2026, 13:18
TAND
Tan Delta Systems – interims argue “a strategic market position with a compelling offer”. Really?
  • By Steve Moore
  • 30 September 2026, 13:05
TLW
Tullow $393 million tax blow – could that sink the ship?
  • By Tom Winnifrith
  • 30 September 2026, 12:46
Bear
Video: Food Shortages, Inflationary Spiral & Why Gold Miners Will Benefit ‘Tremendously’
  • By Tom Winnifrith
  • 30 September 2026, 11:27
SALT
If Microsalt hits breakeven in 2027 as it promises I am a banana & so is Evil Banksta
  • By Tom Winnifrith
  • 30 September 2026, 10:53
FUTR
Future plc – argues trading “in line”, but why after previously “accelerating” its share buyback is it now to “pause” it then?
  • By Steve Moore
  • 30 September 2026, 10:37
BMV
BREAKING: Sath Ganesarajah of Bluebird breaks the rules yet again
  • By Tom Winnifrith
  • 30 September 2026, 10:09
AGI
EXPOSE: Potentially AI – significant loss in last interims before RTO and breaches of IFRS accounting standards
  • By Tom Winnifrith
  • 30 September 2026, 10:03