UK 09:59 Wednesday, 7 October 2026
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Disclosure: I have no positions in any stocks mentioned, and no plans to initiate any positions within the next 72 hours. I wrote this article myself, and it expresses my own opinions. I am not receiving compensation for it (other than from ShareProphets). I have no business relationship with any company whose stock is mentioned in this article.


Bearcast

Tom Winnifrith Bearcast 5 January - Odey gets fingers burned badly on Home Retail - remember the Young Ones?

Apparently when going short of Home Retail (HOME) uber-posh fund manager Crispin Odey made some fairly nasty comments about poor people (aka folks who buy shares in David Lenigas companies). Well he has been burned today and that reminds me of a classic episode of The Young Ones (see below).  I reflect on why shorting is a bad risk reward play and what that means and also on the idiocy of buying by following fund managers. I mention Tungsten (TUNG) and Allied Minds (ALM) in this respect. Elsewhere I ponder Totally (TLY) and the wisdom - in this case - of Wildes and then Greka Drilling (GDL), Evocutis (EVO) and Golden Saint (GSR).

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Comments

  1. I haven’t listened to this as too busy, but isn’t Crispin ‘much richer
    than yow’ if we are going to talk comedy (fast) shows?
    His record is somewhat more impressive than yours. Small mistakes
    occasionally are inevitable. I’m not so sure that we can say the same about you.

  2. Filthy aka Rob Terry’s pal.

    If you had listened to the bearcast before posting crap you would have seen that this was all reflected in the bearcast. You really are a total arse.

    t

  3. Don’t misrepresent me. I posted here a couple of days ago that the jury was out
    on who was ‘innocent’. You or Rob Terry.
    I am not your biggest fan, so how does that make me ‘Rob Terry’s pal’?
    Please don’t twist my words like you twist everything else.

  4. Filthy you defended Terry throughout and attacked me.

    What we do know is that

    a) Terry is being investigated by the SFO
    b) I have been congratulated by regulators for exposing fraud at Quindell

    So a rational man would assume that it is incredibly unlikely that I will be found guilty of anything over QPP & Terry cleared entirely.

    Or do you disagree?

    T


  5. Duck and Dive

    It’s Baby Bear I’m worried about.

  6. Hat tip to blogger ledge Paul Scott on this one. Bought a large block of HOME on his tip a few months back, took a while to come back but 40% today, I’ll have a but if that.

    That man is a balance sheet wiz.

  7. I loved the young ones . My fav episode was when they tried to put some weeks old stinky washing into the washing machine and the washing machine spat it back out cos it was too smelly .

  8. I fully accept that Britain’s NHS is inefficient, is isn’t cost effective, unwieldy and suffers failure.

    But the NHS has to solve the problem that every individual needs a unique health care plan, you can only take production line techniques so far.

    An example would be the flu jab. It is possible to create a cost effective model for the vast number of people, but there will always be exemption, a number of people will react to it, and it some cases very badly.

    Another would be drugs, a drug that works for you may not work for someone else.A drug will is quite harmless to you could literally kill someone else.

    It seems to me to have become an obligation to complain about the NHS, try being in a country that doesn’t have one
    As far as funding is concerned. Well Britain will always fail to be able to fund the welfare state all the time taxpayers monies have to be used for unnecessary wars, and to bail out stupid feckless bank shareholders and the like, who given a choice to elect a proper banker to their board or a carpetbagger, choose the carpetbagger.

    If anyone thinks my taxpayers monies are going to be used to bail out a bank I have never owned, think again. You might want to do that, but count me out. I’m working an interest free credit card loan, and where is that money. It’s in the markets of course, where else. Sure there is a service charge, but it’s cheap money, I have also screwed over £400 quid just moving accounts around, they give you money for doing that. Banks want loyalty then pay for it.

    Don’t borrow money to buy shares, that was Birchall, the old broker told me way back in 1973, the old fart. He dumped into every piece of trailer trash he could find, in the 73 crash, they wiped out, 4 went bankrupt. What share survived, the one on borrowed money. Birchall was in reality what Sam Antar calls the enabler, they bring credibility. Birchall wasn’t a bad man, he wasn’t corrupt, he was very well meaning, that is what made him dangerous. The sands of time were shifting, and the brave new world was passing him by. I was the new shareholder, edgy, risky, dare I say cocky, and why not.
    I couldn’t blame him, he did tip some crap shares, but it was always my choice to buy them. He never made me, I carried on using him, but executions only

Complete Coverage

That Was the Week that Was 7 Days of ShareProphets

Wednesday »

QBT
ANOTHER EXPOSE: Quantum Blockchain – it is still not telling the truth about the Italian house!
  • By Tom Winnifrith
  • 7 October 2026, 08:33

Tuesday »

Bearcast
Tom Winnifrith Bearcast No 2: It's October 7 tomorrow and Britain sickens me again & why there is no Kenmare read across
  • By Tom Winnifrith
  • 6 October 2026, 16:20
SNX
Synectics – “confident in the group’s growth opportunity” but wasn’t it also confident before?, And…
  • By Steve Moore
  • 6 October 2026, 16:20
KEN
Kendrick: surely statement needed on the placing that is underway?
  • By Tom Winnifrith
  • 6 October 2026, 14:20
TEP
Telecom Plus – trading update emphasises “encouraging progress”, but how ‘encouraging’ really?
  • By Steve Moore
  • 6 October 2026, 14:14
Bearcast
Tom Winnifrith Bearcast No 1: Amaroq day
  • By Tom Winnifrith
  • 6 October 2026, 13:31
MVI
Marwyn Value Investors – interims, “a number of different routes to further value creation” BUY
  • By Tom Winnifrith & Steve Moore
  • 6 October 2026, 12:07
MPAL
MedPal AI – sales are vanity , cash is fact and so is a lack of it
  • By Tom Winnifrith
  • 6 October 2026, 11:45
CLBS
Celebrus Technologies – I having previously questioned its contractual conversion from a “strong” pipeline, what about now a “Half Year Trading Update”?…
  • By Steve Moore
  • 6 October 2026, 11:40
EDEN
EXPOSE: Eden Biosolutions – revisiting the dodgy TerpeneTech transaction as new accounts out, this is as kosher as a pork pie
  • By Tom Winnifrith, the Sheriff of AIM
  • 6 October 2026, 08:57
AVCT
EXPOSE: Avacta Placing – the truth behind Project Hawkeye
  • By Tom Winnifrith
  • 6 October 2026, 08:27

Monday »

HERC
Hercules – “New Water Sector Contract Wins” announcement, ramptastic?
  • By Steve Moore
  • 5 October 2026, 15:50
Bearcast
Tom Winnifrith Bearcast: a challenge for Bexley YC's 57 year old chairman, the Quantum scandal and Amaroq for the FTSE 250 this week?
  • By Tom Winnifrith
  • 5 October 2026, 15:02
QTX
Quartix Technologies – “pleased to report a continuing strong financial performance”, how “strong” relative to the valuation?
  • By Steve Moore
  • 5 October 2026, 14:00
Beggar
What's the benefits bill where you live? Fascinating new tool from the TPA
  • By Tom Winnifrith
  • 5 October 2026, 13:17
VSVS
We tipped the shares then came the bid
  • By Tom Winnifrith & Steve Moore
  • 5 October 2026, 12:34
QBT
EXPOSE: Has Quantum Blockchain misled investors about the Italian House? Part 2
  • By Tom Winnifrith
  • 5 October 2026, 12:15
ENSI
EnSilica – full-year results emphasise “moved into profitability”, but still cash-burning…
  • By Steve Moore
  • 5 October 2026, 11:38
QBT
EXPOSE: Has Quantum Blockchain lied to investors about the Italian House?
  • By Tom Winnifrith, the Sheriff of AIM
  • 5 October 2026, 10:42
PBX
Is it always a bad sign when you switch auditors to PKF Littlejohn?
  • By Tom Winnifrith
  • 5 October 2026, 10:12
Clown
Win a bottle of champagne from Lucian Miers MMT contest
  • By Tom Winnifrith
  • 5 October 2026, 09:15

Sunday »

Bearcast
Tom Winnifrith Bearcast: As YOUR hard earned cash is being used to punt on an AI ramp, I look at the whacky accounts of FN Advisory
  • By Tom Winnifrith
  • 4 October 2026, 20:02
AAU
Ariana Resources – Dokwe project Feasibility Programme update follows interims, Buy
  • By HotStockRockets
  • 4 October 2026, 18:05
Gold
The View From The Montana Log-Cabin As Gold Falls Again In Face Of Bond Rout
  • By Nigel Somerville
  • 4 October 2026, 17:22
Quiz
The ShareProphets Sunday Pub Quiz #366
  • By Darren Atwater
  • 4 October 2026, 13:28
Blackboard
Visual Aid: Who Controls the Critical Minerals Powering AI?
  • By Darren Atwater
  • 4 October 2026, 13:17
URU
URU Metals – Last Minute Results And A Bucket-Shop Special Smash’n’Grab Placing
  • By Nigel Somerville
  • 4 October 2026, 13:16
Reading
Sunday Long Reads: Britain back in EU?, Lazy Hitler, Electrician Wannabee, I, Claudius, AI v the Pope
  • By Darren Atwater
  • 4 October 2026, 13:14
Top-10
Notes from Underground – Most read articles for the week ending October 3
  • By Darren Atwater
  • 4 October 2026, 13:14

Saturday »

Bearcast
Tom Winnifrith Bearcast: £1.2m of questions as the Reabold bid for Union Jack fails
  • By Tom Winnifrith
  • 3 October 2026, 20:46
V3TC
Vaultz Capital – third time lucky? Not on your nelly - more red flags than May Day in Moscow
  • By Tom Winnifrith
  • 3 October 2026, 19:14
Atomic
Video: The Uranium Blow-Off Top, AI Hyper-Scalers & ‘Huge Value’ in The Miners
  • By Tom Winnifrith
  • 3 October 2026, 17:16
BMS
Braemar – half-year trading update, an “increased volatility”-benefitting Buy
  • By HotStockRockets
  • 3 October 2026, 17:10
Price-Vs-Value
ShareProphets readers tips for 2026 prize competition – (just after) end-September update
  • By Steve Moore
  • 3 October 2026, 16:55

Friday »

Bearcast
Tom Winnifrith Bearcast from my sick bed
  • By Tom Winnifrith
  • 2 October 2026, 16:22
KMK
Kromek – “expansion to its revolving credit facility”, but I thought it was profitability “slightly ahead of expectations”?
  • By Steve Moore
  • 2 October 2026, 16:20
EAAS
eEnergy – “pleased to announce” fundraising. Er, really?!…
  • By Steve Moore
  • 2 October 2026, 14:38
Gold
Video: Why These Critical Metals Will Explode Higher, ‘Uncharted Territory’ For Gold
  • By Tom Winnifrith
  • 2 October 2026, 13:21
PDL
Petra Diamonds misleads as it finally fesses to the HMRC winding up petition
  • By Tom Winnifrith
  • 2 October 2026, 13:11
RM
RM plc – sale of Technical Teaching Solutions business, still a sum-of-the-parts Buy
  • By HotStockRockets
  • 2 October 2026, 12:49
VLRM
EXPOSE: Valereum interim accounts demonstrate grotesque non compliances with IFRS 9
  • By Tom Winnifrith
  • 2 October 2026, 12:05
AMRQ
Amaroq – “pleased” with further Nanoq drilling programme and metallurgical test work, here’s why…
  • By Tom Winnifrith & Steve Moore
  • 2 October 2026, 11:57
QBT
Quantum Blockchain Technologies deeper dive accounting nerdery, nothing adds up, wholesale IFRS breaches
  • By Tom Winnifrith
  • 2 October 2026, 11:48
Bear
The Easy Money Fairy Tale Is About To End Violently says the world's second most foul mouthed financial podcaster
  • By Tom Winnifrith
  • 2 October 2026, 11:45

Thursday »

Boom
Fagash vs Chris Gilbert death match Round 2 at Sharestock 2027: early bird priced tickets on sale now
  • By Tom Winnifrith
  • 1 October 2026, 16:34
Bearcast
Tom Winnifrith bearcast: a new share trade
  • By Tom Winnifrith
  • 1 October 2026, 16:22
ECP
EXPOSE: £24m cap Eight Capital Partners declared profit but a looming liquidity challenge
  • By Tom Winnifrith
  • 1 October 2026, 14:43
TPT
Topps Tiles – “expects adjusted profit before tax for the full year to be in line with current market expectations”, not the initial expectations though!…
  • By Steve Moore
  • 1 October 2026, 14:17
QBT
Quantum Blockchain Interims: how is this AIM posterboy company not classified as bust?
  • By Tom Winnifrith
  • 1 October 2026, 13:13
Beggar
To be fair to Andy Burnham and chancellor Healey as the 30 year bond tops 6%
  • By Tom Winnifrith
  • 1 October 2026, 11:26
LST
Light Science Technologies – after just in August “confidence in a strong second half has strengthened”, why are the shares now slumping on a “Trading Update”?…
  • By Steve Moore
  • 1 October 2026, 10:53
ECOB
Eco Buildings – interims, a progress in Albania and elsewhere STRONG BUY, this could multibag by Christmas
  • By HotStockRockets
  • 1 October 2026, 10:40
VLRM
Valereum Interims Part 1: A fess up on past untruths, the auditor calls out cock & it looks to be bust!
  • By Tom Winnifrith
  • 1 October 2026, 10:31
Bully
Paul Mathieson back where he started – my mother’s suicide, this time he ropes in my late father as well
  • By Tom Winnifrith
  • 1 October 2026, 08:06

Wednesday »

WPHO
Windar Photonics – interims, how strong a base now “to restructure and grow the business”?
  • By Steve Moore
  • 30 September 2026, 16:27
Bearcast
Tom Winnifrith bearcast: from Avacta's crazy valuation to a £1 billion joke, Mr Turd and a potential 25 bagger
  • By Tom Winnifrith
  • 30 September 2026, 14:57
KEN
Kendrick interims: do the maths, its got no money at all! Bailout placing ahoy! £24 million Timber!
  • By Tom Winnifrith
  • 30 September 2026, 13:18
TAND
Tan Delta Systems – interims argue “a strategic market position with a compelling offer”. Really?
  • By Steve Moore
  • 30 September 2026, 13:05
TLW
Tullow $393 million tax blow – could that sink the ship?
  • By Tom Winnifrith
  • 30 September 2026, 12:46
Bear
Video: Food Shortages, Inflationary Spiral & Why Gold Miners Will Benefit ‘Tremendously’
  • By Tom Winnifrith
  • 30 September 2026, 11:27
SALT
If Microsalt hits breakeven in 2027 as it promises I am a banana & so is Evil Banksta
  • By Tom Winnifrith
  • 30 September 2026, 10:53
FUTR
Future plc – argues trading “in line”, but why after previously “accelerating” its share buyback is it now to “pause” it then?
  • By Steve Moore
  • 30 September 2026, 10:37
BMV
BREAKING: Sath Ganesarajah of Bluebird breaks the rules yet again
  • By Tom Winnifrith
  • 30 September 2026, 10:09
AGI
EXPOSE: Potentially AI – significant loss in last interims before RTO and breaches of IFRS accounting standards
  • By Tom Winnifrith
  • 30 September 2026, 10:03