UK 21:56 Tuesday, 20 October 2026
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ALBA

A Man aquainted with lost causes explains why Alba is a stonking sell

For those not familiar with the City of Inspector Morse. Oxford is known as the City of lost causes. Wadham College is within the university a bastion of the left and has always been active in promoting lefty causes and a Wadhamite, which conveniently ryhmes with sodomite, is someone who attends this loathsome institution and thus knows all about lost causes.  That brings me to Alba Minerals (ALBA) - a reader posting as Wadhamite posts on this website:

ALBA

Gary Newman should be locked up in the same asylum as Turney – Don’t Buy Alba Minerals

I am beginning to think that I am surrounded by lunatics. I fear a dawn raid on the ShareProphets editorial team by the men in white coats at any stage. Old Malcolm Stacey believes in the money tree, Zak Mir believes in charting, Ben Turney believes in Gulf Keystone (GKP) but worst of the lot, Gary Newman, has today tipped shares in Alba Minerals (ALBA) at 0.23p to buy. Saints preserve me.

ALBA

Alba Minerals is worth a Horse Hill Punt

I have been, and continue to be, negative on the ‘Gatwick gusher’, otherwise known as the Horse Hill licence area. I just find it very hard to take any of the figures seriously when the companies involved talk about circa 11 billion barrels of oil in place (as per the most recent Schlumberger report), especially when viewed in the context of what they are ever likely to extract, or the sort of flows that you’d expect from shallow, tight limestones and shales.

ALBA

Fewer folk believe in Santa, The Tooth Fairy or the Horse Hill oil find - Alba placing falls badly short

I wonder how long it will be before that annual ritual occurs when the Daily Mail discovers a CofE vicar who has foolishly told the kiddies that Santa does not exist. The poor chap gets pilloried for a week or so before even the Mail accepts that he cannot be burned at the stake for telling the truth. I have felt a bit like the poor Rev when pointing out that whatever Steve Sanderson of UK Oil & Gas (UKOG) says on camera – and then denies he ever said – there is NOT 100 billion barrels of oil at Horse Hill. Maybe the tide is now turning.

ALBA

Alba Mineral Resources: betting the ranch on Horse Hill

Shareholders in Alba Mineral Resources (ALBA) should have the odd question or two for their board, after this morning’s announcement of three purchases. For £365,000 cash, £523,371 worth of shares (based on last night’s close) and 45,909,726 warrants at 0.5p, Alba is going to up its stake in Horse Hill developments by 5%, buy an option to buy a further 5% and buy a separate option to farm into 5% of the production licence of the Brockham Oil Field. For good measure, this last option, if exercised means Alba will have to fund 10% of the Brockham well cost.

ALBA

Alba Mineral Resources; get ready for the next Horse Hill super ramp

I watched the trade in Alba Mineral Resources (ALBA) last Thursday and Friday in a state of bemused bewilderment. For the life of me, I just could not understand what was encouraging buyers to push this company’s stock price higher. Thursday’s announcement of Alba’s acquisition of Regency Mines’ (RGM) stake in Horse Hill gave a crystal clear warning that the company would place at 0.25p, to help pay for this transaction. Today Alba did precisely this. What on earth possessed people to buy shares at 0.4p and above is a mystery to me, but it does suggest one thing. There will be buyers for the next Horse Hill ramp.

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Fagash
Fagash20 Oct 2026
Bugger.. 999 words upper limit!! I can only just into the waffle fest full flow at 900 words…still I will give it a go..
Tom Winnifrith Bearcast: Probiotix and Invinity
KEVINRTAYLOR
KEVINRTAYLOR20 Oct 2026
I would add: 1. I don't advocate going "all-in"; at its peak my short in IES would have had a position size of about 7% of my total portfolio. "Position size" is the total value of the short position (ie number of shares x price) divided by the net value of my portfolio (how much it would be worth if everything was sold). Because I'm using gearing (mainly spread bets) this means that all of the position sizes added together is greater than 100%.Under normal circumstances I wouldn't go over 6% for a position size because I like to think that I'm practicing some sort of risk control, even though many people out there think that I'm being recklessly risky just by shorting to begin with! Everyone that I know who spread bets says the same thing: you manage your risk by controlling your position size, and I broadly agree with that. Invinity went over 6% because the price moved against me at one point but these things happen.2. Everyone needs to learn position sizing for themselves because it ties in with your tolerance for risk. There's no point religiously copying someone else's position sizing if you 💩 your pants when the price swings more than 10% against you and the person that you're copying simply laughs at 50% swings and doubles their position! The key thing is that you have to be able to sleep at night!3. Whilst Nigel Farage brought "PFL" into the lexicon of the whole of the UK it's a well known term throughout the City and comes with one simple rule: you do not go back to the office after a PFL!Evil Bansta
After Invinity crashes, the truth about its botched placing & who is next: A Vindicated Evil Banksta spells it out
DUCKnDIVE
DUCKnDIVE20 Oct 2026
Course not. They got the numbers from Bara.
Tom Winnifrith Bearcast: 2 sets of red faces & a zero by Thursday?
Fagash
Fagash20 Oct 2026
The very idea i would be "naked" at Sharestock 2027 is a non-starter - you don't have enough sick buckets...As for riding a donkey - i tried a horse many years back - just the once (despite the then Mrs having loads of them in the fields my hard work had bought). No gears and the brakes were shocking...Meanwhile I do have to wonder if the Visionary Lord Sir Evil Bankster's articulated and evidenced comments at prior sharestocks about share price rise just prior to placing is now in play? red flag? we will see!
Eco Buildings – no I do not have a scooby
TOM
TOM20 Oct 2026
5% on funds raised which will be up to £25m, will pay for a lot of UKLs
After Invinity crashes, the truth about its botched placing & who is next: A Vindicated Evil Banksta spells it out
TOM
TOM20 Oct 2026
times were far tougher then, it was hard to get funding for anything. But AM screwed it up. AM extracted SFA from Nalunaq, are you saying that AMRQ is lying about the 500,000 to 2m oz?Nurse really does need to up your meds
Tom Winnifrith Bearcast: 2 sets of red faces & a zero by Thursday?
COWBRIDGE
COWBRIDGE20 Oct 2026
hard to justify 1.2 million in commission i would have thought 30k would have been more the ball park how many hours work was this to raise the money seems a bit of a broken system?
After Invinity crashes, the truth about its botched placing & who is next: A Vindicated Evil Banksta spells it out
BBOP246
BBOP24620 Oct 2026
Hi Tom. Any thoughts on yesterday's PBX trading update.
Is it always a bad sign when you switch auditors to PKF Littlejohn?
DUCKnDIVE
DUCKnDIVE20 Oct 2026
If the asset is good, you don't need death spiral funding. Obviously there is gold there but it remains to be seen whether it can be mined profitably and over time. Angel gave Nalunaq a life of 5 years max but they went under after two. Meanwhile, there's no Greenland gold rush. Maybe Amaroq can make it work in that extreme and inaccessible place but others before them, with much more gold mining experience, thought the same thing.
Tom Winnifrith Bearcast: 2 sets of red faces & a zero by Thursday?

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