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Altcast: No 1: the world of small caps with Tom Winnifrith

By Tom Winnifrith | Thursday 10 August 2023

 

Thanks to the sponsorship of Sure Valley, Riverfort Global & Pires Investments (PIRI) we are expanding the number and quality of speakers and are able to offer up more fun and games at Sharestock this year - as you can see HERE. In this first episode of Altcast looking at small caps and AIM I chat to Brian Kinane and Liam Bulmer of Riverfort about why AIM and small caps had such a dreadful H1 2023 and why that might change. Enjoy.


 
 

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Welsh_Flag
Photo article from the Welsh Hovel: it's what an Aga is for, Tom Winnifrith
 11 October 2024, 08:00
CCS
Crossword Cybersecurity (#CCS) – believes needs to raise up to £0.6 million “within the next six weeks”, to seek sale of business and assets
 11 October 2024, 07:59
THG
#THG – raises £95.4m at 49p per share including via PrimaryBid
 11 October 2024, 07:59
SAR
Sareum (#SAR) – raises £2.364m at 20p per share with warrants
 11 October 2024, 07:58
ARB
Argo Blockchain (#ARB) – class action lawsuit, Murphy vs. Argo Blockchain plc et al, dismissed “without prejudice and without leave to amend”
 11 October 2024, 07:55
SAGA
#SAGA – H1 adj. profit up but also increased statutory loss, insurance business exclusive partnership and sale negotiations with Ageas
 11 October 2024, 07:49
HAS
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 11 October 2024, 07:39
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SkinBioTherapeutics (#SBTX) – acquisition of health, hygiene and personal care products manufacturer and supplier Bio-Tech Solutions for £1.25m, including a £0.25m shares subscription and an expensive loan
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BRK

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BKS

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SOS

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RIO

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FDP

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RNWH

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MTO

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SYME

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TRAF

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Top-10

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Saturday »

SBTX

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Bearcast

Tom Winnifrith Bearcast: wrestling with the moral dilemma of a sick CEO

 

TST

Touchstar – after interims, now again a Buy?

 

BP.

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Christopher_Booker

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Bearcast

Tom Winnifrith Bearcast: The person from Porlock was the mother in law

 

Price-Vs-Value

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ZTF

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OPTI

OptiBiotix Health – disappointing interim numbers but there is an explanation, risk/reward Buy

 

VINO

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Clown

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BMV

Is Bluebird a fraud making things up?

 

Bearcast

Tom Winnifrith bonus bearcast: the bollocks of a Versarien corporate update

 

TEK

China fraud fan puts the bull case for TekCapital: Chronic Investing

 

GNIP

GenIP plc – year 1 loss nailed on, year 2 loss highly likely unless revenues more than double

 

Welsh_Flag

Photo Article from the Welsh Hovel: the chillies change colour, Tom Winnifrith

 

Trump

Tom Winnifrith podcast: Kamala's $750 kick in the teeth, Doug's girlfriend beating and other October events

 

VRS

Versarien (#VRS) – “Corporate Update”, “pipeline of opportunities” attempted ramptastic

 

ARB

Argo Blockchain (#ARB) – “September Operational Update”, production again impacted by economic curtailments and low hash price

 

VINO

Virgin Wines UK (#VINO) – “strategic partnership with Ocado.com”, RNS Reach

 

FRAS

Frasers (#FRAS) – shares subscription in Mulberry (#MUL), “in accordance with the clawback provisions of the subscription”

 

DFCH

Distribution Finance (#DFCH) – CFO Gavin Morris to retire next year and with “an extended handover period”

 

JDW

J D Wetherspoon (#JDW) – FY adj. EPS up to 46.8p, resumed DPS at 12p, 9 weeks to 29th September LFL sales +4.9%

 

WOSG

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GOOD

#GOOD Energy – acquisition of solar installation business Amelio Enterprises for initial £5.5m and up to a further £0.5m

 

SORT

Sorted (#SORT) – disposal of its “Returns” business for £0.775m

 

RNWH

Renew (#RNWH) – disposal of remaining specialist building business, Walter Lilly & Co., and any of its ongoing liabilities “for a nominal consideration”

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LUCE

Luceco – a trading recovery Buy?...

 

TPT

Topps Tiles – now served a CMA “initial enforcement order” for argued “excellent fit” acquisition

 

AAU

Ariana Resources – interims, an “emergence of Ariana v2.0” Buy

 

Bearcast

Tom Winnifrith Bearcast: when will Jubilee see glory days again?

 

TFW

FW Thorpe – full-year results, are “modest growth expectations” sufficient for the valuation?

 

Bear

Video: The Economic Implications of Inflation, War, & Wealth Inequality

 

KZG

Giles Clarke CBE: Rules are for the dirty oiks not for people like him

 

VP

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GNIP

Listed at 39p yesterday by the scumbags at Novum, GenIP now just 26.5p: Evil Banksta weighs in

 

BTC

Never in the history of penny share hustling has David Lenigas been so shameless

 

BLND

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NANO

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TPT

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JLP

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TFW

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SSPG

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TSCO

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TEP

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VP

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VP

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TPT

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Hydrogen Utopia: Funding Crisis and the £3m loan facility that is not!

 

SHI

SIG – “Q3 Trading Update”, ‘underlying operating profit in line with guidance’ BUT…

 

HEMO

Spoof of the day: Hemogenyx Pharmaceuticals fund raise and associated pig and pork

 

ECP

1AF2 Limit – it’s a small world innit? Come up and see me smile..

 

BMV

Bluebird Mining Ventures: interims and funding news, ahead of further projects updates Buy – Tom has

 

WYN

Wynnstay Group – profit warning, anticipates an improved performance next year but what was it anticipating on its most recent half-year results?…

 

MMAG

Well done musicMagpie: bailout bid from AO World at 9.07p in cash, Minus 96% since 2021 IPO

 

SYME

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Tom Winnifrith Podcast: Another big defeat for Ukraine while JD Vance wipes Tampon Tim but does it matter?

 

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MMAG

musicMagpie (#MMAG) – recommended 9.07p per share offer from AO World (#AO.)

 

SAGA

#SAGA – confirms “partnership” discussions for its Insurance business with Ageas, though currently no certainty that any agreement will occur

 

EQLS

Equals (#EQLS) – Takeover Panel extension to 30th October, due diligence “substantially completed” and negotiations “at an advanced stage”

 

SOLI

Solid State (#SOLI) – acquisition of specialist ferrite and magnetic components business Gateway Electronic Components for initial £1.4m

 

PINE

Pinewood Technologies (#PINE) – H1 revenue increase but profit down “due to strategic cost increases”

 

WIZZ

#WIZZ Air – September booked passengers +3.9% YoY, load factor -0.7ppts to 91.7%

 

JD

JD Sports Fashion (#JD.) – H1 adj. EPS up to 5.15p, DPS to 0.33p, in line with expectations but notes currency headwinds

 

WYN

Wynnstay (#WYN) – FY results to be lower than prior year, “materially lower” than expectations due to more challenging trading conditions

 

TPT

Topps Tiles (#TPT) – Q4 sales -4.4% YoY, argues “macro-economic indicators point to a stronger market in 2025”

 

SHI

SIG (#SHI) – Q3 LFL revenue -4% YoY, “in line with expectations”

Tuesday »

TERN

Tern offers a real insight into investee company valuation

 

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Tom Winnifrith Bearcast: Darren says I am being mean and petty

 

KEFI

Kefi Gold & Copper – interims, upcoming project financing catalyst to spark the shares

 

TRYB

Tribe Technology – having emphasised extensive engineering and collaboration, review concludes “further significant... work is required”!

 

Crime-Scene

BOOM: Alessandro Zamboni you are not the Messiah you are a very naughty boy, dodgy 1AF2 accounts finally filed

 

VAST

Vast Resources – if only it was not for the entrée of Galician style octopus

 

GCAT

Andrew Monk dog Caracal Gold takes on loan at, I kid you not, 100% interest

 

SYME

Supply@ME Capital: could it all be all by this time next week?

 

JWNG

Jaywing – with cash already “very tight”, “trading continues to be challenging overall”. Uh oh…

 

Clown

A failed fund manager says not to worry about ballooning debt

 

Photo article from the Welsh Hovel: The waters are rising into the old orchard, one last apple pick with the kids, Tom Winnifrith

 

MUL

Mulberry (#MUL) – rejects possible 130p per share offer from Frasers Group (#FRAS)

 

MTC

Mothercare (#MTC) – notes refinancing “final stages” and resultant results delay shares suspension

 

TAVI

Tavistock Investments (#TAVI) – agreements for business disposals for £22m and up to £37.75m

 

JWNG

Jaywing (#JWNG) – continuing “challenging” trading, “discussions with its shareholder lenders in order to secure additional financial headroom”

 

PEEL

#PEEL Hunt – expects H1 revenue +25% YoY, though “market activity has slowed again in recent weeks ahead of the upcoming Budget and US election”

 

GRG

Greggs (#GRG) – Q3 LFL sales +5% YoY, “expectations for the full year outcome are unchanged”

 

CCT

Character (#CCT) – expects FY adj. PBT “in line with current market expectations”, notes trading “encouraging signs”

 

WRKS

TheWorks.co.uk (#WRKS) – FY adj. EPS down to 4.2p, reckons this year “on track to deliver improved profitability”

 

IOM

Iomart (#IOM) – agreement to acquire “Microsoft solutions partner” Atech Support for £57m, existing business profit warning

 

MPAC

#MPAC – agreement to acquire automation and palletising business CSi Palletising for €56m Enterprise Value, including an equity raise at 400p per share

Monday »

SYME

Supply@Me Capital - Interim numbers dire, minimal revenues, chunky loss and company remains technically insolvent

 

AAU

Ariana – Interims As Ariana Mk II Begins To Emerge

 

Bearcast

Tom Winnifrith Bearcast: stop wetting your knickers over Kefi

 

RBGP

RBG Holdings – interims argue “Executing a clear strategy to restore value and reduce risk profile”… but it’s currently not working!

 

CEL

Celadon: another crony capitalist seen off by the Sheriff as financing crisis intensifies

 

Dead-Donkey

More Schadenfreude Vicar: the most bombastic CEO ever to grace AIM falls on his sword again!

 

Bearcast

Tom Winnifrith Bonus Bearcast: Bluebird Mining Ventures offer - I'm in!

 

GKP

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VRS

Versarien junks some junk but do not get that excited

 

SCE

Surface Transforms – interims, “significantly behind plan” and having to ‘evaluate all available cash options’ AGAIN!

 

ECP

Interims from Eight Capital Partners run by fraudster Dominic White: a complete rum ‘n’ coke

 

CEL

Celadon Pharmaceuticals (#CEL) – H1 another loss and CFO Jonathan Turner to leave in December

 

TERN

#TERN – agreed further funding for investee Device Authority from Ten Eleven Ventures deferred to “if required, on or before 31 December 2024”

 

THX

Thor Explorations (#THX) – argues “false claims and allegations, reported in the press, by Special Advisers of the Osun State Government, Nigeria”

 

CTG

Christie (#CTG) – H1 another loss, argues 0.50p DPS maintained “reflecting its confidence in a stronger H2 and a profitable full year performance”. Hmmm

 

ZIN

Zinc Media (#ZIN) – H1 decline, argues reflects H2 revenue weighting. Hmmm

 

LIKE

Likewise (#LIKE) – H1 adj. profit decline “reflecting the rising cost of interest”, DPS increased to 0.125p

 

AML

Aston Martin Lagonda (#AML) – supply chain disruption and continued macroeconomic weakness in China trading warning

 

QQ

QinetiQ (#QQ.) – agreement for sale of its Cody Technology Park for £112m and a 15 year lease for its existing, approx. a third of the site, footprint

 

LUCE

Luceco (#LUCE) – acquisition of workplace wiring accessories manufacturer CMD for £30m

 

ANP

Anpario (#ANP) – agreement to acquire animal health and nutrition products producer Bio-Vet Inc. for $6.3m and up to a total $7.3m

Sunday »

Bearcast

Tom Winnifrith Bearcast: what if Kefi slips again and is there any upside in oil & small oilers

 

Gold

The View From The Montana Log-Cabin As Gold Stalls Below $2,700, but $3,000 still in play as near term target

 

CHSS

Letter to the FCA re World Chess and the suspicious fund raise

 

Professor

Visual Aid: World’s Biggest Superpowers in 2024

 

Professor

Sunday Long Reads: The Tylenol Killer at 40, Booknapping, UK Lingo in the US, Doomed Expedition, How to be a Manly Reader

 

Gold

Video: Exponential Debt Cycle is Past the Point of No Return

 

Quiz

The ShareProphets Sunday Pub Quiz #260

 

Top-10

Notes from Underground – Most read articles for the week ending Sept 28

Saturday »

Bearcast

Tom Winnifrith bearcast: The Ariana fund raise from the horse's mouth

 

Beggar

AIM Market Statistics - Market Contraction continues

 

CLIG

Two Recovery Plays for You. A Partly Robotic Asset Manager and a Green Outfit Tom Hates.

Friday »

Bearcast

Tom Winnifrith Bearcast: Yes Optibiotix results were bad

 

SALT

Microsalt Interims – surely this has to win the award as AIM IPO of the year, it’s such a dog!

 

AAU

Ariana – ASX Float On The Way Before Year End Under Ord Minnett

 

MET1

Metals One: Ignore the convicted Felon in today’s RNS, dump your shares ahead of a placing

 

CHSS

World Chess: crazy fundraising with a company with zero internet presence

 

LFT

Zak Mir’s got a new broker but about that £750,000 it seems to have spaffed

 

PYC

Physiomics – full-year results argue a “solid base”. Er, is there?…

 

GFIN

Gfinity – “pleased to provide” Trading and funding update, though how ‘pleasing’ is it really?…

 

TENG

Ten Lifestyle Group – fundraise ‘to fund the launch of new contract’, or is it?…

 

EUA

Eurasia Mining (#EUA) – H1 £1.2m cash burn to just £0.2m period-end cash

 

TENG

Ten Lifestyle (#TENG) – up to £0.315m “retail offer” at 63p per share

 

CHSS

World Chess (#CHSS) – €1.2m “subscription agreement” at €0.10 per share

 

HUM

Hummingbird Resources (#HUM) – new loan facility and with delayed Kouroussa mine commercial production, a “strategic review”

 

SOU

Sound Energy (#SOU) – notes Moroccan press speculation re. assets sale authorisation, but that “transaction remains conditional”

 

IES

Invinity Energy Systems (#IES) – H1 £11.1m loss, cash £49.2m following May £57.4m fundraise

 

CWR

Ceres Power (#CWR) – H1 notes “reduced cash outflow” though still £13.9m, “cash and short-term investments” £126.1m

 

OPTI

OptiBiotix Health (#OPTI) – H1 reported revenue down, though “sales orders… substantially higher than in H1 2023”

 

CWK

Cranswick (#CWK) – H1 expected to be ahead of prior year same period, now expects FY “towards the upper end of current market expectations”

 

ADVT

AdvancedAdvT (#ADVT) – H1 revenue expected to be circa £19.5m and adjusted EBITDA circa £4m, “continue to experience positive momentum”

Thursday »

TM1

Rat. Sinking Ship. Technology Minerals

 

Bearcast

Tom Winnifrith Bearcast: can you use your special relationship with Kefi I was asked (yet again)

 

BSFA

Frankenstein Meat cash crisis looms, business update from BSF Enterprises does not cut the mustard

 

ZOO

Zoo Digital – ‘continues to expect EBITDA profit’, but what about the bottom-line?…

 

DISP

Dominic White and Martin Groak fraud Sifal Limited - the silent winding down of the business continues, look at Bella's website FFS!

 

VID

Videndum – interims, as I cautioned industry post-strike recovery slower than anticipated

 

ECP

Monday is D for Disaster day for 2 members of the Zamboni/White stable of frauds

 

FLO

Flowtech Fluidpower – interims, my prior caution justified as now ‘significantly reduced expectations for full-year outturn’

 

Bearcast

Tom Winnifrith Bonus Bearcast just for Peter Brailey: more beer and popcorn time from Probiotix but a big question for Optibiotix too

 

The Possible suspension of shares in the insolvent fraud Supply@ME Capital on Tuesday, Evil Banksta clarifies

 

Welsh_Flag

Photo article from the Welsh Hovel – another night of stewing and canning, Tom Winnifrith

 

TENG

Ten Lifestyle (#TENG) – new contract and proposed fundraising at 63p per share

 

OPTI

OptiBiotix Health (#OPTI) – intends to vote in support of requisitioned board changes at ProBiotix Health (#PBX), notes ProBiotix needs to clarify its issued share capital

 

AAU

Ariana Resources (#AAU) – appoints Ord Minnett as “lead manager” to proposed dual-listing on the Australian Securities Exchange

 

TST

Touchstar (#TST) – H1 EPS down to 2.82p, DPS up to 1.5p, strategic review to explore options including a sale of the company

 

MAB

Mitchells & Butlers (#MAB) – Q4 LFL sales +2.5% YoY, remains confident of FY “at the upper end of consensus expectations”

 

IGR

IG Design (#IGR) – FY adj. profit now expected to be “below but within 10% of previous market expectations”

 

ZOO

#ZOO Digital – H1 recovery in its pipeline and expects H2 further progress to meet FY expectations, though “visibility extends only to January”

 

FUTR

Future (#FUTR) – H2 “return to organic revenue growth”, though mindful of trading environment including updates in the search market

 

DGE

Diageo (#DGE) – expectations “unchanged”, “global environment remains challenging”

 

NG

National Grid (#NG.) – completes sale of its final 20% equity interest in National Gas

Wednesday »

Bearcast

Tom Winnifrith Bearcast: Another red flag at Cirata

 

DIA

Dialight – its fraudulent inducement and wilful misconduct claims rejected by a jury as Sanmina awarded the greater damages

 

SYME

The 2 statements the FCA should be forcing the fraudsters at Supply@ME Capital to make

 

BTC

Lenigas on the bitcoin ramp yet again, placing ahoy at Vinanz!

 

DCTA

Directa Plus – interims, hopefully my prior warnings were heeded as even its argued “we have been prudent” hasn’t been “prudent” enough!

 

Bearcast

Tom Winnifrith Bonus Bearcast: Sack the board GM now called at Probiotix: feck off CEO Steen, Stevie Wonder can see the writing on the wall

 

SYME

BOOM! GOTCHA!: Auditor to the fraud Supply@ME Capital quits: the Fat Lady is on red alert

 

MYX

MyCelx Technologies – interims, is it really now “well placed to capitalise on the market opportunity”?…

 

Welsh_Flag

Photo Article from the Welsh Hovel: No not an early Christmas decoration! Tom Winnifrith

 

RMV

Rightmove (#RMV) – considers REA Group’s further increased possible cash and shares proposal as materially undervaluing it and “unanimously rejected”

 

SYME

Supply@ME Capital (#SYME) – GOTCHA! Crowe U.K. resigns as auditor “having carried out a reassessment of the risks related to auditing the company”

 

PBX

ProBiotix Health (#PBX) – board changes requisition notice from Seneca and connected parties including to remove CEO Steen Andersen

 

DIA

Dialight (#DIA) – net damages against in Sanmina litigation, considering potential post-trial motions and reviewing options with regards to appeal

 

NTQ

Enteq Technologies (#NTQ) – £1.5m placing and up to £0.5m Bookbuild platform “retail offer” at 5p per share

 

KITW

Kitwave (#KITW) – raises £31.5m at 305p per share including via PrimaryBid to help fund acquisition of food wholesaler Creed Catering Supplies

 

MEX

Tortilla Mexican Grill (#MEX) – H1 another loss though reduced, notes revised delivery strategy and cost savings benefits

 

EMAN

Everyman Media (#EMAN) – H1 increased pre-tax loss, argues “excellent pipeline of content for the remainder of the year”

 

OTB

On the Beach (#OTB) – FY adj. PBT “in line with market expectations, despite incurring significant one-off costs related to the Ryanair integration”

 

DFS

#DFS Furniture – FY adj. EPS down to 1.5p, DPS to 1.1p, argues “signs that market growth could soon return”

Tuesday »

Bearcast

Tom Winnifrith Bearcast: I asked 3 CEOs why they were not buying shares, only Stuart Ashman replied

 

CBOX

Cake Box hooks up with Nutella – at what point do we start to view these folks like the tobacco companies?

 

TM1

Technology Minerals RTO is OFF (as OFT predicted): just how fecked is the company now?

 

TERN

Tern - time for Directors to end the gravy train, put shareholders interest first, sell business and put company into members voluntary liquidation

 

Bearcast

Tom Winnifrith bonus bearcast just for Evil Banksta: Eden Research almost 30 years of disgrace

 

Clown

Liam Byrne MP (Lab), Penny Mordaunt, Crooked Hillary's pal and the smearing of short sellers Boatman Capital and Fraser Perring as Russian assets

 

HSS

HSS Hire – interims, states removing guidance due to ‘new group structure and the period of transition’. Er, what about the “more challenging start to H2”?!

 

EUA

Eurasia Mining: Spooooooooooooooooooooooof

 

TERN

Tern – Offer Fails, Leith Sells (Naughty), Cash Running Out And What About The Audit?

 

Welsh_Flag

Photo Article from the Welsh Hovel: first pepper and chillies harvested, Tom Winnifrith

 

CAL

Capital & Regional (#CAL) – recommended 62.5p per share cash and shares offer from NewRiver REIT (#NRR)

 

NIOX

#NIOX Group – proposed up to £21m tender offer at 80p per share

 

TM1

Technology Minerals (#TM1) – “agreed” with Recyclus “not to continue with the merger of the two businesses at this time”

 

VAST

#VAST Resources – financing “clarification”, including funding required “by around 7 October”

 

YU

Yu Group (#YU.) – H1 adj. EPS up to 88p, DPS to 19p, net cash to £86.8m, “on track”

 

TMG

Mission Group (#TMG) – H1 adj. EPS 1p, “cautiously optimistic” on track as mindful of continued unpredictable trading environment

 

CARD

#CARD Factory – H1 adj. EPS down to 3.1p, DPS 1.2p, noting costs inflation and business investment

 

HSS

#HSS Hire – H1 adj. EPS down to 0.13p, DPS maintained at 0.18p, notes “more challenging start to H2” but “somewhat encouraged by lead macroeconomic indicators”

 

MAB1

Mortgage Advice Bureau (#MAB1) – H1 adj. EPS up to 14.8p, DPS maintained at 13.4p, activity levels “starting to gradually build again”

 

STEM

SThree (#STEM) – Q3 net fees -8% YoY, continuing challenging market conditions

Monday »

Angel

Not allowing myself to be played by a man who makes me feel dirty

 

Bearcast

Tom Winnifrith Bearcast: TERNing into a total disaster, open offer flops

 

Bearcast

Tom Winnifrith Bonus Bearcast: Optibiotix and the nothingburger RNS Reach

 

MYX

MyCelx Technologies – “changes to the customer's project timeline”, bottom-line financials that dare not speak their name?

 

DISP

BREAKING: Sifal (Dispensa and Zamaz as was) is it goodnight Vienna for this multi million pound fraud?

 

PMG

Letter to the Financial Reporting Council: Parkmead Group breach of IFRS 9

 

VAST

Vast Resources: its classic lie exposed again as it admits to dual financing crises

 

DIS

Distil – discounted equity raise to “provide working capital”. Er, it means to keep the lights on for a bit longer?…

 

Welsh_Flag

Photo article from the Welsh Hovel: now its raspberry jam, Tom Winnifrith

 

Welsh_Flag

Photo article from the Welsh hovel: pudding for the Mrs and Joshua all week, Tom Winnifrith

 

RMV

Rightmove (#RMV) – increased possible cash and shares offer of 770p per share from REA Group

 

DIS

Distil (#DIS) – placing and subscription to raise £0.65m at just 0.12p per share with warrants

 

VAST

#VAST Resources – attempting “measures” to settle debt and provide “additional short-term working capital”. Good luck!

 

PFC

Petrofac (#PFC) – senior secured notes “forbearance agreement” extended to 18th October

 

EDEN

#EDEN Research – H1 another loss, £2.5m cash burn to £4.9m

 

MYX

MyCelx Technologies (#MYX) – project delay warning, reckons “minimal impact to the forecasted year end cash balance”

 

OMG

Oxford Metrics (#OMG) – customers’ “more extended buying cycles” profit warning

 

MIRI

Mirriad Advertising (#MIRI) – H1 cash still down from a year earlier to £8.3m despite a net £6.3m of new shares issued

 

DNM

Dianomi (#DNM) – H1 still a loss, advertisers demand “starting to pick up” though after it continued to be soft into H2

 

ELIX

Elixirr International (#ELIX) – H1 adj. EPS up to 21.5p, “strong momentum has continued” in line with expectations

Sunday »

Bearcast

Tom Winnifrith Bearcast: Musings on the Gold price and how to play it, class acts or dogs?

 

Professor

Visual Aid: When Could Billionaires Become Trillionaires?

 

Quiz

The ShareProphets Sunday Pub Quiz #259

 

Professor

Sunday Long Reads: Project 2025, Wealth-gap relationships, Crowdfunding a New Country, Lafarge’s Isis payments

 

Top-10

Notes from Underground – Most read articles for the week ending 21 Sept

 

Welsh_Flag

Photo article from the Welsh hovel: doing some prep for Santa, harvesting lavender, Tom Winnifrith

 

Welsh_Flag

Photo article from the Welsh Hovel: the first fire of the autumn, Tom Winnifrith

Saturday »

Bearcast

Tom Winnifrith Bearcast: wise words from Jim Mellon, Tom Cross should have heeded

 

PMG

BOMSHELL EXPOSE: Parkmead Group - related party loan, multiple breaches of IFRS 9 including non recognition of loan modification losses

 

ESNT

Essentra – warns consistent with weak Purchasing Managers' Index metrics, recovery patience?

 

Bear

Two US Companies Where the Outcome is not in Doubt.

 

Gold

The View From The Montana Log-Cabin As Gold Takes Out $2,600 With More To Come

 

TERN

BREAKING: Tern – When You Owe The Bank A Quid……

 

MFAI

Two Irish Blokes and their Spiffing Idea to Take Advantage of the AI Boom.

 

Tom

Shamed to be of Irish descent again; what is it about them and the Jews? Tom Winnifrith

 

Welsh_Flag

Photo article from the Welsh hovel: apple chutney, Tom Winnifrith

Friday »

CTAI

BREAKING: Catenai - interim results boosted by Klarian loan which is not properly disclosed, IFRS breach exposed

 

Bearcast

Tom Winnifrith Bearcast: Thanks to the NHS there will be a Sharestock next year

 

Peasants

Wanna go on a demo comrade capitalist?

 

Top-10

Nigel Somerville's Greatest Hits, his 20most read articles on Shareprophets

 

Gold

Video: Gold Miner Undervaluations Are About To Change

 

PMG

Is Tom Cross at Parkmead getting a divorce from fragrant Linda and why would that matter?

 

SBTX

Has Skinbiotherapeutics misled us all, underpromising on Croda?

 

KEFI

Kefi Gold and Copper – “Tulu Kapi Operational Update”, a “remain on track” STRONG BUY

 

Quiz

A Spontaneous Friday ShareProphets Quiz

 

Welsh_Flag

Photo article from the Welsh Hovel: the Beetroot now preserved in sand, Tom Winnifrith

 

Welsh_Flag

Photo Article from the Welsh Hovel: Crab Apple Jelly production brings big chicken news! Tom Winnifrith

 

Welsh_Flag

Photo article from the Welsh Hovel that would have made my father truly envious: preserving tomatoes, Tom Winnifrith

 

WSBN

More worthless confetti vicar: Wishbone Gold raises another £360,000 to spaff at just 0.375p

 

NTOG

Nostra Terra (NTOG) issues 40m worthless shares to pay for share ramping

 

CTL

Cleantech Lithium (#CTL) 'fesses to delays on dual listing on ASX

 

IOF

Iofina (#IOF) H1 sales up 7% at $26.0m, stated PTP of $1.1m but net cash down by $100,000 at $1.1m, will hit FY forecasts

 

ECOB

Eco Buildings (ECOB), with factory now operational says will do orders of 1 million Euro by year end

 

SDX

SDX (SDX) postpones GM re convertible loan notes as having to renegotiate terms

 

MANO

Manolete (MANO) hands out zero cost options like confetti to incentivise an already well paid board

Thursday »

Bearcast

Tom Winnifrith Bearcast: Why I'm relaxed about Optibiotix despite the share price & have I said how much I despise Martin Sorrell?

 

WRN

The Worthington Trial is finally underway but Aidan Earley is already in a better place

 

TND

Tandem – interims, is it trading in line with market expectations?

 

AVCT

Would Deutsche hire and promote a total ignoramus? Avacta shareholders insist that it would, despite an awesome CV

 

PMP

Portmeirion – interims, how confident to be of full-year in line with expectations?

 

Bearcast

Tom Winnifrith Bonus Bearcast: Skinbiotherapeutics and the Croda news, why I am still not buying

 

TERN

Tern: Another Shoe To Drop on the Way To 0p?

 

JSE

Jadestone Energy half yearlies were mixed but there were enough positives to keep me invested - buy for the long term

 

Welsh_Flag

Photo Article from the Welsh hovel: finally keeping vampires at bay, Tom Winnifrith

 

Welsh_Flag

Photo article from the Welsh Hovel: Sunflower triumph, Tom Winnifrith

 

SBTX

SkinBioTherapeutics (#SBTX) – “final testing of SkinBiotix by Croda Beauty Care completed, with positive results”

 

PMP

Portmeirion (#PMP) – H1 swing to even adj. loss, “expect FY24 profit to be up on prior year with improving operating margins”

 

TND

Tandem (#TND) – H1 another loss, “remain cautiously optimistic about achieving stability in Q4”

 

BMS

Braemar (#BMS) – H1 adj. Op profit “slightly ahead” of prior year, “confident in the outlook”

 

SOS

Sosandar (#SOS) – first two stores now open in Chelmsford and Marlow and also launched in-store with Arnotts

 

SUP

Supreme (#SUP) – “solid start in H1”, expects FY “in line with market expectations”

 

NXT

Next (#NXT) – H1 EPS +6% to 282.8p, DPS +14% to 75p, raises FY guidance

 

OCDO

Ocado (#OCDO) – Q3 Retail joint venture revenue +15.5% YoY, raises FY revenue guidance

 

BYIT

Bytes Technology (#BYIT) – growth trends continuing, notes “structural demand drivers… including cloud computing, cyber security and AI”

 

SFOR

S4 Capital (#SFOR) – H1 another loss, current deteriorated outlook for technology services with wider market uncertainty

Wednesday »

MORE

Hostmore – hopefully our warnings were heeded as it’s now to file for administration

 

XAR

Xaar – interims, “success in new market sectors”?

 

Bearcast

Tom Winnifrith Bearcast: Is there any rogue in town who has not danced at the Oracle?

 

VEL

Velocity Composites – “Trading Update”, how’s that prior “to achieve profitability and be cash generative in H2”?…

 

Video: Gold to $7,000 or even $10,000!

 

AMRQ

Amaroq video: putting it all into context and restating projections, shares in my second biggest holding really could treble!

 

CTG

Christie Group – does even now further reduced profit range reflect transaction timings uncertainty?

 

Bearcast

Tom Winnifrith bonus bearcast: Kefi kicks me in the gonads again with its use of language

 

Bear

Helium, a bubble & the stockmarket minnows that will collapse

 

Welsh_Flag

Photo Article from the Welsh Hovel: Beneath rampant bindweed, red raspberries emerge, Tom Winnifrith

 

Tom

Tom Winnifrith podcast: I'm a lifetime burden on the state because I was FAT

 

KEFI

#KEFI Gold & Copper – Tulu Kapi early works “progressing well” and “remain on track for entering into definitive commitments from the funding syndicate next month”

 

SFT

Software Circle (#SFT) – “trading continues to align with our internal forecasts” and board changes

 

SAA

M&C Saatchi (#SAA) – H1 adj. EPS up to 7.9p, “outlook in line with market expectations”

 

GAW

Games Workshop (#GAW) – latest quarterly trading “in line with the board's expectations”

 

MOON

Moonpig (#MOON) – trading “in line with expectations”, continues to expect FY adj. revenue growth “at a mid-to-high single digit percentage rate”

 

PZC

PZ Cussons (#PZC) – FY adj. EPS down to 8.02p, DPS to 3.60p, notes impact of Nigerian Naira on reported results

 

LSL

#LSL Property Services – H1 adj. EPS up to 11p, DPS maintained at 4p, notes “lower mortgage rates which are starting to drive more activity”

 

GLE

MJ Gleeson (#GLE) – FY EPS down to 33.1p, DPS to 11p, notes “July's long-awaited reduction in interest rates undoubtedly raised confidence among customers”

 

CTG

Christie (#CTG) – “encouraging” transactional pipelines, but extended transaction timings profit warning

 

MPAC

#MPAC – agreement to acquire robotic automation and conveyor business Boston Conveyor & Automation, Inc. for $17m in cash and shares

Tuesday »

FNTL

Fintel – interims, is it really “Strong performance; strategic expansion to accelerate future growth”?

 

Bearcast

Tom Winnifrith Bearcast: Skinbiotherapeutics needs to make a statement

 

CRU

Coral Products – full-year results, currently “an overall negative margin mix”

 

AVCT

Really Royaldaring who is the real moron?

 

MAX

White rat abandons another sinking ship but why? Multiple choice question

 

DPP

DP Poland: a recovery buy at 10.75p?

 

ZPHR

Evil Banksta calls out Zephyr’s placing denial statement as hogwash

 

HEAD

Headlam – interims, how creditable is “in line with expectations”?

 

AVCT

BREAKING: Deutsche says Avacta a sell as AVA6000 data “could not meet expectations”

 

ZPHR

Zephyr denies its fundraise ahoy, whatever you say chaps

 

Welsh_Flag

Photo article from the Welsh hovel: birthday treat of summer pudding, Tom Winnifrith

 

ZPHR

Zephyr Energy (#ZPHR) – “not been undertaking nor is it intending to undertake an equity fundraise”

 

BEG

Begbies Traynor (#BEG) – “positive momentum across the group and continuing elevated insolvency levels”

 

THG

#THG – H1 another loss, “progressing options to demerge THG Ingenuity”

 

W7L

Warpaint London (#W7L) – H1 EPS up to 10.37p, DPS to 3.5p, “due to Christmas gifting orders and the group's momentum, sales are expected to again be second half weighted”

 

MCB

McBride (#MCB) – FY adj. EPS up to 21.7p, current trading “in line with expectations”

 

ESNT

Essentra (#ESNT) – warns, “now expects 2024 full year adjusted operating profit to be in the range of £40m-£42m”

 

HEAD

Headlam (#HEAD) – H1 swing to loss, dividend axed, “limited indication of any market improvement yet”

 

KGF

Kingfisher (#KGF) – H1 adj. EPS up to 13.2p, DPS maintained at 3.80p, Q3 to-date LFL sales -0.3% YoY

 

NFG

Next 15 (#NFG) – H1 adj. EPS down to 30.3p, DPS maintained at at 4.75p, notes tech trading conditions headwinds

 

FLTR

Flutter Entertainment (#FLTR) – agreement to acquire Italy sports betting and gaming business Snai for €2.3bn Enterprise Value from Playtech (#PTEC)

Monday »

DIS

Distil – “Ardgowan - 2nd Annual Open Day”, more RNS Reach attempted ramptastic as there’s an immediate short-term funding need?

 

BRK

Brooks Macdonald – full-year results and changes to “reignite growth” from this winning share tip

 

MTEC

Made Tech – new contract, what about profit as well as “revenue expectations”?

 

Bearcast

Tom Winnifrith Bearcast: 100 days to Christmas

 

ADF

Facilities by ADF – interims, “a resilient performance”?

 

ZPHR

Zephyr needs to ‘fess: when is the discounted placing? Is Turner Pope already sounding out mug punters?

 

PRD

So farewell Lonny Baumgardner, foul mouthed twitter troll and journalist harasser from Predator Oil & Gas

 

MSMN

If you needed proof that Helium is a bubble, Mosman Oil & Gas is your proof

 

TTG

TT Electronics – we having stated doubts on de-stocking being expected to normalise during H2, now a material profit warning…

 

Bear

A $686 million short created by a Wanke to go to zero from Evil Banksta: doom for Technology Minerals

 

TIFS

TI Fluid Systems (#TIFS) – “ABC Technologies remains interested in a possible transaction and is therefore considering its position”

 

TIFS

TI Fluid Systems (#TIFS) – rejects possible offer proposals of 165p per share and 176p per share from ABC Technologies Inc.

 

SALT

MicroSalt (#SALT) – emphasises “Multiple Placements of Products and B2B Progress”, but no financial specifics (natch!)

 

SNX

Synectics (#SNX) – expects FY underlying PBT “to be materially ahead of market expectations”

 

SIS

Science in Sport (#SIS) – H1 another loss, notes “amended and extended banking arrangements”

 

ADF

Facilities by #ADF – H1 swing to loss, DPS maintained at 0.5p, states momentum returning across market following strikes

 

TTG

TT Electronics (#TTG) – profit warning, FY adj. operating profit “now expected to be in the range £37 million to £42 million”

 

WIL

Wilmington (#WIL) – FY adj. EPS up to 19.81p, DPS to 11.3p, “good start to the current financial year”

 

NET

Netcall (#NET) – initial €5.8m and up to further €4m acquisition of document processing software business Parble

 

KGH

Knights Group (#KGH) – completes acquisition of regional law firm Thursfields Legal

Sunday »

Bearcast

Tom Winnifrith Bearcast: the moment of truth arrives

 

SYME

Have Alessandro Zamboni and Dominic White become Trappist Monks and taken vows of silence?

 

Gold

The View From The Montana Log-Cabin As Gold Breaks Even Higher

 

Professor

Visual Aid: $315 Trillion in Global Debt, by Sector

 

Professor

Sunday Long Reads: The UK’s most successful company, Inventing Donald Trump, Yakuza, Prince, Magic Kingdom coup

 

CEY

Centamin – What To Do With Takeover? Ouzo First, Then….

 

Quiz

The ShareProphets Sunday Pub Quiz #258

Saturday »

SLP

Sylvania Platinum – full-year results, further patience may be needed but still a recovery Buy

 

HARL

Harland & Wolff £25m “misallocated” why does this not shock me?

 

Bearcast

Tom Winnifrith Bearcast: Mark Dampier rewrites history for Hargreaves Lansdown and himself over Neil Woodford

 

JLEN

Here's One for Green Lovers Hot from the Miracle Event of Sharestock.

 

Tom

Celebrating gaining one pound, Tom Winnifrith

 

Welsh_Flag

Photo article from the Welsh Hovel: a night of cooking as the Mrs hits the boozer, Tom Winnifrith

 

Welsh_Flag

Photo article from the Welsh Hovel: just in case those North Dakota blizzards sweep up the Dee, Tom Winnifrith

 

Welsh_Flag

Photo article: A wonderful hamper arrives and the happiest man at the Welsh Hovel, Tom Winnifrith

Friday »

Bearcast

Tom Winnifrith Bearcast: something just smells wrong to me at Cirata

 

PREM

CockRoach slips in the bad news at the end: he needs yet more of your money.

 

TM1

Technology Minerals cost cuts, too little too late

 

Clown

Putting a PR man straight on the AIM awards

 

CKT

Checkit – following interims yesterday, what of a director share purchase?…

 

RCDO

Ricardo – full-year results, record order book confidence

 

ANP

Anpario – interims show trading recovery, but take less than 6 months more than 30% profits?

 

Bearcast

Tom Winnifrith Bonus Bearcast: a message for Steen Anderson, how to avoid being sacked

 

PRM

Proteome Sciences – interims increased loss, emphasises recent increased orders but what about the cash burn?

 

VOD

Vodafone (#VOD) – disagrees with “number of elements” in CMA’s Provisional Findings, states looks forward to working to secure approval for combination with Three

 

TM1

Technology Minerals (#TM1) – “cost reduction programme” including director Philip Beard stepping down

 

GGP

Greatland Gold (#GGP) – oversubscribed PrimaryBid “retail offer”, raises further £6.7m at 4.8p per share

 

PRSR

PRS REIT (#PRSR) – board changes including Steve Smith to step down and Robert Naylor and Christopher Mills to be appointed, requisition notice to be withdrawn

 

WYN

Wynnstay (#WYN) – appointment of Alk Brand as CEO, previously CEO of Westfalia Fruit Group

 

PRM

Proteome Sciences (#PRM) – H1 swing to even adj. EBITDA loss, CEO Dr Mariola Soehngen has notified of intention to step down

 

LSC

London Security (#LSC) – H1 EPS down to 78.4p, states current interest rates reducing customers’ appetite to invest

 

BBY

Balfour Beatty (#BBY) – awarded £363m contract through National Grid's RIIO-2 framework for Bramford to Twinstead Reinforcement project

 

FLTR

Flutter Entertainment (#FLTR) – acquisition of initial 56% stake in Brazil sports betting and iGaming business NSX Group with also put/call arrangements

 

NG

National Grid (#NG.) – agreement with HM Government for Electricity System Operator sale for £630m EV, with consideration subject to customary closing adjustments

Thursday »

TPFG

Property Franchise Group – interims, ‘at least in line with expectations’ further upside ahead

 

Bearcast

Tom Winnifrith Bearcast: Microsalt is surely a zero

 

WPHO

Windar Photonics – interims, how much confidence to have in meeting full-year expectations?

 

CEY

Centamin – recommended offer, a profit again

 

CKT

Checkit – interims, how confident to be in its argued funded “path to profitability”?

 

NGHT

BREAKING SCANDAL: AIM awards shortlist out and it has been rigged

 

ASHI

Surely the FCA needs to look at the last Ashington fundraise as the shares halve again!

 

FUM

Futura Medical: paid for research note from Trinity Delta: LMFAO

 

Bearcast

Tom Winnifrith Bonus Bearcast: you are disgusted and so am I, PLUS a $49m zero

 

HEIQ

HeiQ – hopefully my prior warnings were heeded as “Trading Update” suggests it’s financially-distressed “reviewing strategic options”

 

Welsh_Flag

My inner Charles Ingalls is needed at the Welsh Hovel as Aunt Lucy plays the Indian from the Long Winter (who didn’t exist), Tom Winnifrith

 

Welsh_Flag

Photo article from the Welsh hovel: braving the rain to harvest, Tom Winnifrith

 

CAL

Capital & Regional (#CAL) – Takeover Panel extension to 5pm 26th September to allow discussions with NewRiver REIT (#NRR) to continue

 

MRL

Marlowe (#MRL) – intention to spin-off occupational health division onto AIM as Optima Health plc

 

TRN

Trainline (#TRN) – H1 revenue +16% YoY, states “ahead of expectations” though noting adjusted EBITDA

 

FEVR

Fevertree Drinks (#FEVR) – H1 EPS up to 6.49p and DPS to 5.85p though revenue -2%, states “strong start to the second half”

 

INSE

Inspired (#INSE) – H1 adj. EPS down to 4.37p, DPS up to 1.45p, notes FY “dependent on delivering a small number of significant optimisation services projects”

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