This morning, after a series of profits warnings, AIM uber dog TrakM8 (TRAK) has announced that there is a bookbuild underway on a £1.66 million bailout placing at just 65p. The shares are now 67p bid so you'd be a moron to participate but conversations are being had between institutional morons and hapless broker FinnCap right now, not withstanding the fact that today's statement lays bare the Nov 28 interim statement as 100% misleading.
All the shit I got when I warned y'all repeatedly what a crap company TrakM8 (TRAK) is almost seems worth it now after yet another awful profits warning. No doubt share blogger Paul Scott, crony capitalist PR Man Reg Hoare and uber-bullish analyst Lorne Daniel of Finncap have already ordered that crates of ouzo be sent to me at once as my top analysis is vindicated again. It is what this warning does not say that should terrify you. Things will get worse.
It is my birthday today and the TrakM8(TRAK) supporters club of top blogger Paul Scott, crony capitalist PR man Reg Hoare and tech analyst Lorne Daniel of FinnCap need each to order a bottle of ouzo to send me with a note saying "you were right - you is da king". Subsidiary accounts for Route Monkey have finally emerged and are truly diabolical just as I predicted to hoots of derision from the supporters club.
As we know, my good pal Paul Scott bought shed loads of TrakM8 (TRAK) shares at c220-230p following what he termed a "Winni-wobble", that is to say share price weakness caused by my high quality investigative and forensic journalism. With the shares dipping another 10% today to 165p-170p without me saying a dickie bird, perhaps Paul wants to average down? I wouldn't.
I am aware that Britain's top share blogger Mr Paul Scott is flying back from an extended Greek holiday this morning. When he lands at Gatwick and checks his smartphone he will see that shares in his beloved TrakM8 (TRAK) have dived by 10% today, to just 200p to sell after a piss poor trading statement. I hope Paul has some duty free ouzo for the Sheriff as I think he owes me an apology on this one. Hmmmmm I can almost smell the aniseed now...Scotty you know where to send it.
No doubt Paul Scott is wetting himself as TrakM8 (TRAK) boasts of how pre-tax profits of £3 million leads to cash of £4.45 million being generated in calendar 2015. There is so much cash generated that his Dorset bunnies are paying a 2p per share dividend, even though the company has now moved into net debt. The squeals of Scotty delight in Brighton are almost audible here in Bristol. Except that it is all smoke and mirrors. TrakM8's business remains a piss poor non generator of cash.
Paul Scott insists that I must ignore the series of historic lies, woeful lack of cash generation and the rest of the Red Flags at TrakM8 (TRAK) and look forward to the jam tomorrow. I shall do exactly that on Monday and show why that jam won't arrive. But Benjamin Graham tells us that historics are often a better guide to valuation than promises of jam tomorrow and in that vein I shall now demonstrate what an overhyped dog's dinner of a cash consumer this company is.
Paul Scott's beloved TrakM8 (TRAK) would like you to think that its latest purchase, Route Monkey, was a prize jewel it was lucky to pick up. Au contraire. Its a dog and has been for sale for at least 20 months...finally it found a buyer in TrakM8. Now one potential purchaser who "kicked the tyres" has been in touch. He says.
Paul Scott has today dismissed THREE lies told by TrakM8 (TRAK) in RNS statements as irrelevant. Whatever. So let's go with a fourth and from there look at what was hailed as a transformative deal, the purchase of Box Telematics Ltd in a Reverse takeover in October 2013.
Britain's top share blogger Paul Scott seems to have fallen in love with TrakM8 (TRAK) and is thus blind to numerous red flags which in any other stock would be causing him to plunge the knife in. Let's start with the lie about net cash.
The real reason that shares in TrakM8 (TRAK) are going to crash is that whatever bull it spouts about earnings and profits it simply does not generate any meaningful free cashflow as I demonstrated yesterday HERE as I also showed what a duff deal the Monkey purchase was. But in order to give the impression of growth, companies like this always have to do lots of acqusitions so now let us look at the purchase of DCS Systems announced - with another lie - on 16th June 2015 about a month before directors dumped 1.22 million shares at just 157p.
On 21st December - as all normal folks were not watching - much ramped AIM casino telematics play TrakM8 (TRAK) announced the £9.1 million purchase of Route Monkey Holdings, a transaction which is nonsensical - if one bothers reading Monkey's 2014 accounts - but given that Trak's own shares are ludicrously overvalued who really cares?







