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Tom Winnifrith’s Sell tips for Easter No 3 – Mosman Oil & Gas

The competition for which shitty little AIM Casino POS oil stock is guilty of the greatest over promotion of its prospects in 2014 was a stiff one. But among the clear front runners was Mosman Oil & Gas which hyped its dull prospects in Oz and NZ to all and sundry. The shares flew to 44p. They are now 4.75p-5p just days after a “keep the lights on” placing to raise half a Bernie at 5p. This is my third sell tip for Easter.

MSMN

Three Bulletin Board Zeros: Kea, Mosman & Range Resources

It really is time that I took the mantle up and commented on some of the so-called “Bulletin Board Heroes” for exactly what they are.  At best lifestyle companies run for the benefit of their Board at worst out and out frauds using the London Stock Exchange as a mechanism for Corporate self-aggrandisement. Of course not all are fakirs or frauds some are just badly run companies while others have failed through poor management decisions or been subject to the vagaries of the market in which they operate. I hear an awful lot about the “China frauds” but there’s another class of dodgy geezers operating out of Perth Western Australia. The “Aussie Lurkers. What’s a Lurk? Google it!

MSMN

Mosman Oil & Gas; the nature of price sensitive information

One of the more interesting aspects of the Mosman Oil & Gas (MSMN) story involves the nature of price sensitive information. When Mosman announced its first oil “discovery”, at 11:42am on June 13th, the share price went ballistic. Having opened at 11.85p, Mosman’s stock had just hit an intraday low of 10.5p before the company delivered its joyous news. By the end of the next trading day, Mosman’s share price had peaked at 56p, giving the company a market cap of £36.3million. Four days later and Mosman placed at 23p to raise £3million. There is no doubt that Mosman’s news release was a price sensitive event, but is it time to revisit the definition of what constitutes price sensitive information?

MSMN

Placement Watch; Mosman Oil & Gas – boy, do these guys move quickly

So much for not needing to place! The more I watch Mosman Oil & Gas (MSNM), the more certain I am that there is going to be a lot of anger and disappointment in the coming months at the flow test results of the oil “discoveries” at Cross Roads-1 and Crestal-1. The actions of Mosman’s board don’t exactly betray a great deal of genuine confidence in what the company has found. The selective release of information about the “discoveries”, the timing of this placement and the lack of director participation all point to fears of imminent downside. I accept I am making highly speculative points here, but so far I’ve been bang on the money about this company, so I’m happy to fire away. What will be extremely interesting is if this stock takes a hammering in the event overblown expectations are dashed, will that lead to a buying opportunity? 

MSMN

Mosman Oil & Gas; don’t be surprised if it places by the middle of November

The development of Mosman Oil & Gas (MSMN) is fascinating to watch. The company has executed an extremely well defined strategy, almost flawlessly. Since listing in March, the directors have taken the company’s share price from 8p to an intraday high of 56p. They have achieved this without announcing commercial discoveries of oil and without telling any lies. This high wire act is very impressive.

MSMN

Mosman Oil & Gas; perhaps the market sometimes isn’t as stupid as it appears

I had a good old chuckle yesterday when I read Mosman Oil & Gas’ (MSMN) latest promotional ramp... sorry, I mean RNS. Whatever else is said about this company, these guys have been brilliant at devising new ways of hinting at a worthwhile oil discovery without telling any lies or actually claiming what they have found is commercial. The company’s announcements have been true works of art. Sadly for Mosman’s directors it looks like the fun and games are now over. In suggesting that the little dribble of oil found settled on the mud at Crestal-1 could have similar properties to the apparently much-tested Kotuku oil seep, I bet they were surprised to see their company’s share price fall a penny to 21.5p. Something tells me that wasn’t part of the plan...

MSMN

Mosman Oil and Gas; a creditable change of plan?

Yesterday, Mosman Oil and Gas (MSMN) gave the market an update on its acquisition of the privately held Trident Energy. The critical message shareholders were probably meant to pick up was that Mosman’s board has waived Condition 2 of the transaction i.e. for Mosman to “complete an equity capital raising of at least A$2million”. In its accompanying statement, Mosman’s board claimed it waived this condition, as a result of “the success of the recent fund raisings”, but how creditable is this assertion?

MSMN

Mosman Oil & Gas when is the placement?

In case you haven’t heard, I think I am right in saying that Mosman Oil & Gas (MSMN) has discovered oil. Today’s latest double “discovery” hasn’t been greeted with the usual fanfare, as the share price has taken a sharp dive to 33.5p (last seen). Given that this precipitous drop is in response to the announcement of two “discoveries” at Crestal-1, perhaps the market is unimpressed at the total absence of detail of what has been found? Or perhaps people are more concerned about the pending placement?

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Sohail
Sohail22 Sep 2026
The crucial fundamental question for skins is how large the Revenue from Croda will be and much more significantly the timing of those revenues.If we assume that substantial Revenue from Croda will be received in the year ending 30 June 2028 the valuation looks very stretched.Just think how many shares would have to be raised to cover plc costs to provide working capital for one two or three years.I have no axe to grind I am just doing the maths.Toyin has a very detailed grasp of the product and maybe feels substantial revenue being generated is much closer.
Tom Winnifrith Bearcast: Why I do NOT trust the new management and why owning Skins shares is madness
BAGHOLDER79
BAGHOLDER7922 Sep 2026
Good listen, thank you for the podcast. Tom, I was wondering whether you have an opinion on Medpal AI after yesterday's announcement of a conditional £5 million fundraise at 5p and the subsequent price action. This would be the 5th fundraise in 10 months (4 placings this year and an ATM death spiral in November 2025). Despite the conditional placing being at 5p, I noticed that the lowest the shares went yesterday was 5.3p, before being aggressively bid up to 6.3p today, so I am not sure whether you have an opinion on what is going on?
Tom Winnifrith Bearcast: Why I do NOT trust the new management and why owning Skins shares is madness
Fagash
Fagash22 Sep 2026
It was an out of time draw imv. Another 10mins and it could have been a knockout- subject to Chris being a great street fighter of course!
Tom Winnifrith Bearcast: Learning Welsh or having a monthly Church lecture on the poor Palestinians and blessed asylum seekers
Fagash
Fagash22 Sep 2026
Shame Cathal could not make sharestock ( for very good reason). I would have enjoyed the banter with him on the future prospects..
European Green Transition – interims, more to come from an already massively winning share tip?
TOYIN
TOYIN22 Sep 2026
No, they will have at least 12 months cash at sign off and FY27 ahead of management expectations, post presentation comments, which makes material uncert highly unlikely.
Tom Winnifrith Bearcast: Why I do NOT trust the new management and why owning Skins shares is madness
TOM
TOM22 Sep 2026
you are arguing with yourself. Going convern nobody questions, SBTX will still have net cash in Nov.material uncert is different
Tom Winnifrith Bearcast: Why I do NOT trust the new management and why owning Skins shares is madness
TOYIN
TOYIN22 Sep 2026
https://youtu.be/265gODag-i0?si=RbLdLMGRvf4blHmC&t=768
Tom Winnifrith Bearcast: Why I do NOT trust the new management and why owning Skins shares is madness
TOM
TOM22 Sep 2026
NOBODY is saying accounts will not be on a going concern basiswhat Sohail, myself and others we are saying is that auditors v likely to flag up material uncertainty
Tom Winnifrith Bearcast: Why I do NOT trust the new management and why owning Skins shares is madness
TOYIN
TOYIN22 Sep 2026
RNS dated 29 June 2026 - SkinBioTherapeutics plc, (AIM: SBTX), the life science business focused on skin health, will be presenting to shareholders at 09.00 BST today, Monday 29 June 2026 on the Investor Meet Company platform (see details below). The presentation will be led by Alyson Levett, Acting Chair and Rachel Parsonage, Interim CEO.The presentation will be brief and cover recent post period events, the investigation and the disclosable information from the FRP Advisory report, before running through the recent HY26 results, post period trading and outlook. The Company will also be stating that the FY26 results will be prepared on a going concern basis.
Tom Winnifrith Bearcast: Why I do NOT trust the new management and why owning Skins shares is madness

Complete Coverage

That Was the Week that Was 7 Days of ShareProphets

Tuesday »

Bearcast
Tom Winnifrith Bearcast: Why I do NOT trust the new management and why owning Skins shares is madness
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PULS
Pulsar Group – “as expected, the group has paid the outstanding amounts owed to HMRC”. Er, is it not “expected” to pay in a timely manner then?…
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  • By Tom Winnifrith
  • 16 hours ago
EGT
European Green Transition – interims, more to come from an already massively winning share tip?
  • By Tom Winnifrith & Steve Moore
  • 17 hours ago
UJO
Yet again, another week goes by and nobody else has accepted the Reabold offer for Union Jack
  • By Tom Winnifrith
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MIDW
Midwich – interims emphasise “outlook for the full year remains unchanged”, but how much risk is there to that?
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SBTX
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SAA
M&C Saatchi – I having questioned ‘how “confident” to be for its argued growth in 2026?’, what about now its half-year results?…
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Monday »

TTG
An organic trading recovery (or possibly inorganic) Buy…
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Accsys Technologies – expects full year “broadly in line with market expectations”. Really?…
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Video: Gold Suppression, Bond Markets ‘Revolting’ & Why Juniors Will Outperform
  • By Tom Winnifrith
  • 2 days ago
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Craneware – full-year results, how much confidence to really have for now “conditions should become progressively more supportive”?
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MTC
Mothercare can’t say its screwed too often
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EXPOSE: Amazing AI – Companies Act contraventions undertaken by Paul Mathieson
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Sunday »

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Sunday Long Reads: Lucy Letby, Paul Smith, American Age, Mining Guam, Montessori Ponzi
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Saturday »

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UPDATED: Lucian Miers & Jim Mellon are coming back to Sharestock in 2027: early bird tickets now on sale, event 15% sold out!
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Bearcast
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Friday »

Bearcast
Tom Winnifrith Bearcast: the Sydney Sweeney row with the Mrs and daughter 2
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TEK
Evil Banksta weighs in on TekCapital after today’s spooftastic RNS
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Good news travels fast but bad news….the case of Skinbiotherapeutics
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Mothercare: the end is nigh, don’t blame Trump, I told y’all eons ago
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EXPOSE: Nuburu shares in a slump post relisting on American Stock Exchange and latest accounts contain a material error
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Letter to Pointon Young, former auditors to Amazing AI
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SATS
Reinvesting my Satsuma Winnings
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TRB
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Boom
EXPOSE: Paul Mathieson and the strike off: you might think that, I could not possibly comment
  • By Tom Winnifrith
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Thursday »

MCB
McBride – having argued earlier this week “transformational future growth”, now CFO “Sale of Shares”!…
  • By Steve Moore
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Tom Winnifrith Bearcast: Hang on for the PS in the podcast
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EXPOSE: Stephen Kelly’s CV – why the Cirata boss has to go and its not just the SEC investigated stock options scandal
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Insig AI – “pleased to announce… results for the year ended 31 March 2026”, why then not announced until now?…
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Optibiotix Interims – get your cheque book ready Adam
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Cirata letter to FCA & AIM Regulation: was bad news suppressed ahead of fund raise? I bet it was!
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WH Smith – argues “solid peak trading”, but how ‘solid’ really?…
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Avacta: it’s a spoof says Evil Banksta add to shorts into the share price spike
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Facilities by ADF – interims emphasise its “strength”, so a trading warning (natch!)…
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BREAKING: Farewell Oak Securities hello Crest Corporate Brokers, oily Jerry Keen & team jump ship
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Writing to Bluebird Mining Ventures & the FCA as the company tries to steal my warrants
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CT Automotive – interims emphasise “revenue increased”, but what about the bottom-line?…
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