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Gulf Keystone: tipped by discredited paid for rampster Malcolm Graham Wood, ignore him: this could be a zero

Malcolm Graham Wood is paid large sums of money by oil companies to write reports on their shares which - for obvious reasons - don't tend to be bearish. He does not declare if a company whose shares he is tipping has paid him to do so or not. As such his research should ALL be ignored. Commentators must be transparent in why they are writing. If they are not they are discredited and should be drummed out of town. As such I ignore this pompous lard-bucket.

GKP

Some facts about Gulf Keystone’s debt

After my Gulf Keystone (GKP) piece last week (HERE) drew the predictable furious response from Winnifrith (HERE), I’ve been looking into the company’s numbers in a bit more detail. There’s no denying that Gulf is teetering on the edge. However, it is not dead yet. Although it has little to no room for error, so long as the Kurds keep up their regular payments, it is possible that Gulf will be able to pay down its debt and refinance its balance sheet by April 2017. A broker note found its way into my inbox today, broadly supporting this view. It contained some interesting observations on Gulf’s debt position worth sharing.

GKP

Gulf Keystone at 27p – a risky buy, but watch the 6.25% 2017 bond price

In the next week we should find out whether or not the Kurdish Regional Government (KRG) is going to make good on its summer pledges. In August and September it promised to establish a regular payment cycle to the various oil producing companies active in the country for crude exports. Share prices of Gulf Keystone (GKP), Genel (GENL) and Norwegian firm DNO (DNO) leapt on the news. Two months and two payments later, the third should be due on or around 15 November. If Gulf receives another $15million, might this help restore some faith in the company’s future?

GKP

Gulf Keystone: positive upgrade to its numbers, but with a touch of caution

At 32p Gulf Keystone (GKP) is worth £313million. This morning, the company announced its updated Competent Persons Report (CPR) for its oil & gas interests in Kurdistan. The numbers are impressive, but the market reaction has been muted, with Gulf now trading flat on the day. When a company increases its 1P Reserves by a better than expected 55% this would normally be cause for celebration, even in today’s oil price environment. However, as we all know, Gulf’s main challenge isn’t getting oil out of the ground. It is ensuring it gets paid.

GKP

Why do some folk think that the Kurds give a FF about shareholders in Gulf Keystone?

Bombing attacks by Turkey on their kinsman, ISIS chopping off heads of their soldiers? A record heatwave in the region killing the old folk and kids? A war on three fronts? Bugger that, these are but trivial issues for the Government of Kurdistan, top of its agenda is protecting the wealth of Bulletin Board morons who own shares in Gulf Keystone Petroleum (GKP). Well that is what flip flop Ben Turney, Paul Curtis and other bulls of this stock want you to believe. They are wrong.

GKP

Gulf Keystone – Will the Kurds make good on their promise to start paying?

Shares in Gulf Keystone (GKP) surged yesterday from a low of 26p to a high of 36p, triggered by news of a pledge by the Kurdistan Regional Government (“KRG”) that it will start making monthly payments to its oil producers from September. This morning, Gulf’s stock has settled back to 33.5p (last seen), valuing the business at £327.6million. This is towards the bottom of the company’s trading range since the start of the year and after yesterday’s excitement the question is, is Gulf a buy?

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Fagash
Fagash5 Oct 2026
To do otherwise breaches the trust system of money. Only believing money received in the future has value, supports the idea of debt and credit. Without debt ( and return on that debt) , capitalism fails. Ability to print money on demand eliminates debt rational ( return) so collapses capitalism by default.
Win a bottle of champagne from Lucian Miers MMT contest
DAVID FRASER
DAVID FRASER5 Oct 2026
Others have attested that you only need to issue debt (government bonds) if you are running s as current account deficit. You issue the bonds to pay for your expenses EducationHealthBenefitsRoadsDefenceGovernment staff and buildings PoliceFireCoastguards I’m sure there are others. Quangos etc…If you just print money whilst running a deficit you risk a lack of confidence in the currency. MMT has been shown to be a lot of nonsense because the longer you keep spending what you don’t have the higher your deficit climbs. You either have to grow the economy to reduce the debt or reduce what you are spending. Zimbabwe and other third world countries have shown this. You can end up with hyper inflation which does nobody any good and further causes a sovereign monetary and debt crisis. Reduced public spending and/or increased taxes are the only alternatives….Or are they. The Laffer Curve suggests that the lowering of direct taxes fosters higher productivity and in turn increases tax revenues. Just don’t give all the tax cuts to the billionaires or you’ll end up with Trump’s America - and nobody wants that!In conclusion if it was that easy some other bugger would have done it already. Yes… we’re all screwed 😩
Win a bottle of champagne from Lucian Miers MMT contest
Fagash
Fagash5 Oct 2026
I concur. Meanwhile I took one out - not to replace lending, but to simply place on deposit. Cost me a bit initially but then provided a return as interest rates increased. Paid off the balance prior to company closure. Marginal gain, but it was free money ( to the company, but not the taxpayer). Joke system in all respects imv.
Tom Winnifrith Bearcast: a challenge for Bexley YC’s 57 year old chairman, the Quantum scandal and Amaroq for the FTSE 250 this week?
TOM
TOM5 Oct 2026
text changed, i keep making that error both Quantums are zeros, its becoming a mental block
Tom Winnifrith Bearcast: a challenge for Bexley YC’s 57 year old chairman, the Quantum scandal and Amaroq for the FTSE 250 this week?
EASYASOT3
EASYASOT35 Oct 2026
The company with the property auction is Quantum Blockchain Technologies (QBT), not Quantum Data (QDT), and not QFT.
Tom Winnifrith Bearcast: a challenge for Bexley YC’s 57 year old chairman, the Quantum scandal and Amaroq for the FTSE 250 this week?
Sohail
Sohail5 Oct 2026
The Covid Cash had to be doled out very quickly because the government decided to shut down the economy .Government bureaucracy is incapable of dealing with process in normal times so in a crisis situation the prospects of Hmrc handling anything efficiently would be zero.Hmrc have consistently shown an inability to operate efficiently.Political parties in opposition always talk about the huge savings they will make once they are in office.It will never happen…
Tom Winnifrith Bearcast: a challenge for Bexley YC’s 57 year old chairman, the Quantum scandal and Amaroq for the FTSE 250 this week?
PHIL5566
PHIL55665 Oct 2026
The police available to look at bounce loan fraud! They are only available in their hundreds to escort the invading army from France to their Hotels.Do not wear a mask or you will be arrested but the UK will provide potential masks for the Invading armies, Trulls in the form of Hijabs.
Tom Winnifrith Bearcast: As YOUR hard earned cash is being used to punt on an AI ramp, I look at the whacky accounts of FN Advisory
Martyn H-O
Martyn H-O5 Oct 2026
When a FTSE 250 stock loses it's listing it is replaced within a very short period.
Tom Winnifrith Bearcast: a challenge for Bexley YC’s 57 year old chairman, the Quantum scandal and Amaroq for the FTSE 250 this week?
ITSTHEFEDS
ITSTHEFEDS5 Oct 2026
Changes in FTSE UK Index Series05 October 2026Subject to the court sanctioning the scheme of arrangement in relation to the cash acquisition of Senior (UK, constituent) by Zeus UK Bidco (non-constituent), please see details of affected indexes and effective dates below:Senior (UK, 0795823) will be deleted from the FTSE 250 index.Amaroq (UK, BTRG036) will be added to the FTSE 250 Index and deleted from the FTSE SmallCap Index.All changes effective from 08 October 2026.Full details of index changes are available on the FTSE Russell website.
Tom Winnifrith Bearcast: a challenge for Bexley YC’s 57 year old chairman, the Quantum scandal and Amaroq for the FTSE 250 this week?

Complete Coverage

That Was the Week that Was 7 Days of ShareProphets

Monday »

HERC
Hercules – “New Water Sector Contract Wins” announcement, ramptastic?
  • By Steve Moore
  • 8 hours ago
Bearcast
Tom Winnifrith Bearcast: a challenge for Bexley YC's 57 year old chairman, the Quantum scandal and Amaroq for the FTSE 250 this week?
  • By Tom Winnifrith
  • 9 hours ago
QTX
Quartix Technologies – “pleased to report a continuing strong financial performance”, how “strong” relative to the valuation?
  • By Steve Moore
  • 10 hours ago
Beggar
What's the benefits bill where you live? Fascinating new tool from the TPA
  • By Tom Winnifrith
  • 11 hours ago
VSVS
We tipped the shares then came the bid
  • By Tom Winnifrith & Steve Moore
  • 11 hours ago
QBT
EXPOSE: Has Quantum Blockchain misled investors about the Italian House? Part 2
  • By Tom Winnifrith
  • 12 hours ago
ENSI
EnSilica – full-year results emphasise “moved into profitability”, but still cash-burning…
  • By Steve Moore
  • 12 hours ago
QBT
EXPOSE: Has Quantum Blockchain lied to investors about the Italian House?
  • By Tom Winnifrith, the Sheriff of AIM
  • 13 hours ago
PBX
Is it always a bad sign when you switch auditors to PKF Littlejohn?
  • By Tom Winnifrith
  • 14 hours ago
Clown
Win a bottle of champagne from Lucian Miers MMT contest
  • By Tom Winnifrith
  • 15 hours ago

Sunday »

Bearcast
Tom Winnifrith Bearcast: As YOUR hard earned cash is being used to punt on an AI ramp, I look at the whacky accounts of FN Advisory
  • By Tom Winnifrith
  • 1 day ago
AAU
Ariana Resources – Dokwe project Feasibility Programme update follows interims, Buy
  • By HotStockRockets
  • 1 day ago
Gold
The View From The Montana Log-Cabin As Gold Falls Again In Face Of Bond Rout
  • By Nigel Somerville
  • 1 day ago
Quiz
The ShareProphets Sunday Pub Quiz #366
  • By Darren Atwater
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Blackboard
Visual Aid: Who Controls the Critical Minerals Powering AI?
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URU
URU Metals – Last Minute Results And A Bucket-Shop Special Smash’n’Grab Placing
  • By Nigel Somerville
  • 1 day ago
Reading
Sunday Long Reads: Britain back in EU?, Lazy Hitler, Electrician Wannabee, I, Claudius, AI v the Pope
  • By Darren Atwater
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Top-10
Notes from Underground – Most read articles for the week ending October 3
  • By Darren Atwater
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Saturday »

Bearcast
Tom Winnifrith Bearcast: £1.2m of questions as the Reabold bid for Union Jack fails
  • By Tom Winnifrith
  • 2 days ago
V3TC
Vaultz Capital – third time lucky? Not on your nelly - more red flags than May Day in Moscow
  • By Tom Winnifrith
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Atomic
Video: The Uranium Blow-Off Top, AI Hyper-Scalers & ‘Huge Value’ in The Miners
  • By Tom Winnifrith
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BMS
Braemar – half-year trading update, an “increased volatility”-benefitting Buy
  • By HotStockRockets
  • 2 days ago
Price-Vs-Value
ShareProphets readers tips for 2026 prize competition – (just after) end-September update
  • By Steve Moore
  • 2 days ago

Friday »

Bearcast
Tom Winnifrith Bearcast from my sick bed
  • By Tom Winnifrith
  • 3 days ago
KMK
Kromek – “expansion to its revolving credit facility”, but I thought it was profitability “slightly ahead of expectations”?
  • By Steve Moore
  • 3 days ago
EAAS
eEnergy – “pleased to announce” fundraising. Er, really?!…
  • By Steve Moore
  • 3 days ago
Gold
Video: Why These Critical Metals Will Explode Higher, ‘Uncharted Territory’ For Gold
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PDL
Petra Diamonds misleads as it finally fesses to the HMRC winding up petition
  • By Tom Winnifrith
  • 3 days ago
RM
RM plc – sale of Technical Teaching Solutions business, still a sum-of-the-parts Buy
  • By HotStockRockets
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VLRM
EXPOSE: Valereum interim accounts demonstrate grotesque non compliances with IFRS 9
  • By Tom Winnifrith
  • 3 days ago
AMRQ
Amaroq – “pleased” with further Nanoq drilling programme and metallurgical test work, here’s why…
  • By Tom Winnifrith & Steve Moore
  • 4 days ago
QBT
Quantum Blockchain Technologies deeper dive accounting nerdery, nothing adds up, wholesale IFRS breaches
  • By Tom Winnifrith
  • 4 days ago
Bear
The Easy Money Fairy Tale Is About To End Violently says the world's second most foul mouthed financial podcaster
  • By Tom Winnifrith
  • 4 days ago

Thursday »

Boom
Fagash vs Chris Gilbert death match Round 2 at Sharestock 2027: early bird priced tickets on sale now
  • By Tom Winnifrith
  • 4 days ago
Bearcast
Tom Winnifrith bearcast: a new share trade
  • By Tom Winnifrith
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ECP
EXPOSE: £24m cap Eight Capital Partners declared profit but a looming liquidity challenge
  • By Tom Winnifrith
  • 4 days ago
TPT
Topps Tiles – “expects adjusted profit before tax for the full year to be in line with current market expectations”, not the initial expectations though!…
  • By Steve Moore
  • 4 days ago
QBT
Quantum Blockchain Interims: how is this AIM posterboy company not classified as bust?
  • By Tom Winnifrith
  • 4 days ago
Beggar
To be fair to Andy Burnham and chancellor Healey as the 30 year bond tops 6%
  • By Tom Winnifrith
  • 5 days ago
LST
Light Science Technologies – after just in August “confidence in a strong second half has strengthened”, why are the shares now slumping on a “Trading Update”?…
  • By Steve Moore
  • 5 days ago
ECOB
Eco Buildings – interims, a progress in Albania and elsewhere STRONG BUY, this could multibag by Christmas
  • By HotStockRockets
  • 5 days ago
VLRM
Valereum Interims Part 1: A fess up on past untruths, the auditor calls out cock & it looks to be bust!
  • By Tom Winnifrith
  • 5 days ago
Bully
Paul Mathieson back where he started – my mother’s suicide, this time he ropes in my late father as well
  • By Tom Winnifrith
  • 5 days ago

Wednesday »

WPHO
Windar Photonics – interims, how strong a base now “to restructure and grow the business”?
  • By Steve Moore
  • 5 days ago
Bearcast
Tom Winnifrith bearcast: from Avacta's crazy valuation to a £1 billion joke, Mr Turd and a potential 25 bagger
  • By Tom Winnifrith
  • 5 days ago
KEN
Kendrick interims: do the maths, its got no money at all! Bailout placing ahoy! £24 million Timber!
  • By Tom Winnifrith
  • 5 days ago
TAND
Tan Delta Systems – interims argue “a strategic market position with a compelling offer”. Really?
  • By Steve Moore
  • 5 days ago
TLW
Tullow $393 million tax blow – could that sink the ship?
  • By Tom Winnifrith
  • 5 days ago
Bear
Video: Food Shortages, Inflationary Spiral & Why Gold Miners Will Benefit ‘Tremendously’
  • By Tom Winnifrith
  • 6 days ago
SALT
If Microsalt hits breakeven in 2027 as it promises I am a banana & so is Evil Banksta
  • By Tom Winnifrith
  • 6 days ago
FUTR
Future plc – argues trading “in line”, but why after previously “accelerating” its share buyback is it now to “pause” it then?
  • By Steve Moore
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BMV
BREAKING: Sath Ganesarajah of Bluebird breaks the rules yet again
  • By Tom Winnifrith
  • 6 days ago
AGI
EXPOSE: Potentially AI – significant loss in last interims before RTO and breaches of IFRS accounting standards
  • By Tom Winnifrith
  • 6 days ago

Tuesday »

GENI
GENinCode – interims, with “revenues have not been as strong as hoped” how’s the balance sheet position now?
  • By Steve Moore
  • 6 days ago
Bearcast
Tom Winnifrith Bearcast: This is madness Home Secretary and all about Kefi
  • By Tom Winnifrith
  • 6 days ago
LIKE
Likewise Group – interims, a “materially ahead of market expectations” Buy
  • By HotStockRockets
  • 6 days ago
RBD
Will Reabold’s humiliation be announced Friday or Monday? A share only for lemmings either way.
  • By Tom Winnifrith
  • 6 days ago
TGP
Tekmar – “pleased to report”… a trading warning!
  • By Steve Moore
  • 7 days ago
Bully
Paul Mathieson writes to my wife again
  • By Tom Winnifrith
  • 7 days ago
Gold
Video: Rick Rule sees a ‘Generational Opportunity’ In Gold Miners, ‘Substantially’ Higher Gold Prices Ahead
  • By Tom Winnifrith
  • 7 days ago
TERN
EXPOSE: Tern Results, another dog’s dinner & why is a new corporate car needed?
  • By Tom Winnifrith
  • 7 days ago
TEK
Tek Capital: when is a profit pure fiction? Bailout placing
  • By Tom Winnifrith
  • 7 days ago
KEFI
BREAKING: KEFI - Market abuse with apparently fake broker note
  • By Tom Winnifrith
  • 7 days ago