Concepta (CPT) has always had a twin track model for rolling out MyLotus in China - direct to hospitals (B2B) and direct to individual punters (B2C). On the latter front we now have news.
Tom Winnifrith noted in a weekend bearcast that he was very bullish on Concepta (CPT) HERE. He also discussed Optibiotix (OPTI), Falanx (FLX) and others in the same podcast. For the avoidance of doubt, he was bullish on them too! Concepta has now served up good news to start to justify Tom's faith.
Concepta (CPT) has removed an unwanted duplicated cost by letting go of Beaufort Securities as its joint broker, leaving Novum as its sole broker. That's the good news. The less good news came on the last trading day before Christmas when we were told;
I have also covered my extreme annoyance with Concepta (CPT) in Bearcast HERE. Last week it had a profit warning thanks to a new order for £600,000 having been received but not being able to be booked until Q1 2018. Hence there was a 2017 miss. That saw the shares go down. There is now a placing and at the same time we were told that this order would now be booked in Q4 2017. Surely that unwinds the profits warning.
This is not perfect. But it's not a disaster. Far from it. You really would have to expect a small placing from Concepta (CPT) though after this statement.
Beaufort Securities is house broker to AIM-listed Concepta (CPT) so you may prefer to take what follows with a pinch of salt. Also worthy of note is that it is owned by FIML (which is owned by a trust for Tom Winnifrith’s dependents) and just to keep Tom Winnifrith happy, here is what Beaufort has to say on yesterday’s disappointing Trading and Order update which he covered in yesterday’s Bearcast when he suggested waiting for the placing expected to follow before piling in.
Many folks seemed to think that Concepta's (CPT) next announcement would be a (lack of) profits warning and/or a placing and the shares have been sold down on that basis. Oh ye of little faith.
Declarations first: a) at 11p offer the shares are back at the price at which Concepta (CPT) came to AIM via an RTO in July of last year. It has clearly not delivered as rapidly as we would have liked b) We invested at the RTO and have not sold any of our shed load of shares. Results for the half calendar year came out last week and, speaking bluntly, the numbers do not look that great. In fact they look piss poor. It reported sales of zero, a loss of £1.15 million and ended the period with cash of £1.235 million. So far less than dazzling right? But....
Following the receipt of its first sales order, totalling £225,000, for its myLotus fertility product from partner in China, HuanZhong Biotech Co.Ltd, Concepta (CPT) has now announced it has made its first shipment of products to China and appointed a founding member of the company as Head of China Operations…
It is good to see a CEO putting his money where his mouth is and the share purchase by Erik Henau should also scotch the silly rumours that a placing is imminent. The Concepta (CPT) head honcho has purchased 80,000 shares at 12.175p. He now owns 293,333 shares so in that context this is a decent purchase. We'd hope to see more boardroom buying soon but expect also to see more hard news on order flow very soon.
Let's start with the bad news. It really should not be a surprise given the lack of orders announced (until now!) but Concepta (CPT) has confirmed that it will miss full year 2017 sales forecasts. That is the bad news. It has launched a new product and it is a few months behind schedule. These things happen. But...
Shares in Concepta (CPT) trade at 11.875p mid this morning but are according to house broker Beaufort worth 22p. The house broker is biased but the note it has published is interesting for its - conservative - updated forecasts. If the broker is right then in just over six months time these shares will be trading on a 1 year out PE of less than 6 which is insane for a growth play. Judge for yourself. we own shed loads of these shares are will not be selling at anywhere near this price.
Concepta (CPT) has announced major news. But whichever fucktards are paid £5,000 a month for writing its press releases have done their best to bollocks it up. Step forward Yellow Jersey PR, a haven for the morally bankrupt or intellectually challenged. Anyhow, Concepta has announced its first Chinese distributor.
