UK 02:22 Sunday, 8 November 2026
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How to Tell a Dead Cat Bounce from a Justified Rally, Featuring Centamin.

Hello, Share Smoochers. As it’s the non-trading weekend, let’s take time to consider the dead cat bounce. Just because it can be temporary, doesn't mean we can’t trade it successfully. On the other hand, we need to be tuned to the difference between a short-term feline leap and a more permanent rally following an unfair sell-off. A few days ago, such an event befell Centamin (CEY), the well-known Egyptian gold miner.

CEY

Centamin – Q3 Report and Updated Outlook: BUY – the market has overreacted (again).

Fully-listed Egyptian gold-miner Centamin has updated the market this morning with its Q3 report and revised outlook in view of the ground movement detected at the Stage 4 West Wall as previously advised. The market has not taken today’s news well, with the shares down by another 20% to 130p (last seen) but I suggest readers take a slightly longer term view and regard this morning’s drop as another over-reaction to a temporary problem. In short, whilst this morning’s news is disappointing in the short term, the market’s reaction has thrown up a buying opportunity.

CEY

Centamin – a Gold buy...

We recommended shares in Centamin (CEY) amidst market panic in March and they rose faster than even we expected, seeing us take a more than 60%, little more than 1 month, profit. They went on to above 230p, but are currently 160p to buy following a “Sukari Operational Update”. We believe there to have been a big over-reaction to that update and so...

CEY

Centamin – a trading buy for quick recovery?...

Shares in gold miner in Egypt Centamin (CEY) are down sharply on what is bad news. But the market has over-reacted in a big way and since we also expect gold to head higher in the run up to Christmas, this looks a great trading buy...

CEY

Centamin: Chairman buys shares – follow the man!

I commented last week that I saw the sell-off in fully-listed Centamin (CEY) shares as a buying opportunity. The drop was due to an announcement from Centamin that movement had been detected and that consequently higher-grade open pit mining had been suspended at the Stage 4 West Wall at Sukari, and Q4 production is expected to come in at just 70,000 oz gold. This morning it was announced that Chairman James Rutherford has been buying shares.

CEY

Centamin – Movement in Stage 4 West wall leads to suspension of open pit operations there: Buying Opportunity

Oh dear – this is not what the doctor ordered at all. Fully-listed Centamin (CEY) has announced the suspension of open pit operations at the Stage 4 West Wall of its Sukari gold mine. This follows the detection of movement in a localised area of waste material and production for Q4 will be heavily reduced to around 70,000 oz. But is it the disaster it first appears?

CEY

Centamin – fingers on buzzers as Gold correction continues

Annoyingly, Jordan Roy-Byrne of TheDailyGold.com seems to be right yet again! I had wondered whether the worst of the correction in Gold and gold stocks was over, Roy Byrne reckoned no and Gold headed south. But the general direction of travel is up, so corrections will throw up opportunities and I think one is coming with fully-listed Centamin (CEY).

CEY

How do I value Centamin, asks Pierotlunaire. Good question – and what to do at 250p

One of the joys of writing for this very fine website is the intelligence of the readership. And that brings me to Pierotlunaire (who I’m sure won’t mind having his tummy tickled!) who asks, in relation to Egyptian gold miner Centamin (CEY) which offered up storming interims on Tuesday: What’s the fundamental basis for your 250p target? Apart from Jefferies at 240p, most brokers come up with less than 200p (although they may update following these results). There’s no point following a tip based on figures plucked from the air, even if the tip is as successful as my tip on Centamin! So it is a very good question.

CEY

Centamin – cracking Interims & a dividend hike to pay for the Ouzo

Fully-listed Egyptian gold-miner Centamin (CEY) has released its half-year results to the end of June this morning and they look great. And the interim dividend has been hiked by 50% to 6 US cents per share (as predicted in these parts), with the cheque arriving on 11 September a couple of weeks earlier than last year. Yum-yum...

CEY

Centamin – Tip Update as shares move above £2

Shares in fully-listed Egyptian gold miner Centamin (CEY) have broken through the £2 mark to sit at 210.5p last seen. With the gold price now having taken out the all-time high of $1921 per ounce set back in 2011 and up at $1941 as I write, it seems that my predicted turbulence as the gold price tackled the all-time mark has been in the form of an updraft so far.

CEY

Centamin – Q2 Report: shares are well up on this tip but still a buy.

Fully-listed Egyptian gold miner Centamin (CEY) has produced its Q2 report this morning and the numbers read well – the only thing missing was a hint as to the size of the forthcoming interim dividend. But despite the Covid crisis, Centamin is awash with cash and everything seems to be proceeding in line with expectations.

CEY

The 10 Gold stocks today given the Kiss of Death by Wirecard cheerleader Stockopedia

Just two days before Wirecard, Germany’s biggest fraud since Hitler, was unmasked, it became the latest in a line of frauds to get a glowing endorsement from Ed Croft’s stock picking system at Stockopedia. And thus, the CEO’s of ten gold stocks should be warned that they too have been granted the sweet kiss of death that is a Stockopedia endorsement. Gulp…  I own one of them.

CEY

Centamin – Q4 2019 results, I'm targeting 150p+ for the shares...

Fully-listed Egyptian gold miner Centamin (CEY) has announced Q4 results, including confirmation of its intention to pay an increased full year dividend of 6 US cents per share to add to the 4 cents paid out at the half year. The numbers are, despite missing the target of scraping in line with the full year production target, quite impressive and bode well for the future...

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Recent Comments

KUSSSB
KUSSSB7 Nov 2026
As a layman I have a much clearer picture, thankyou.Please repeat podcast following Anthropic IPO.
Podcast: Tom Winnifrith & Barry Downes - the Implosion of the AI bubble
BURIEDTREASURE
BURIEDTREASURE7 Nov 2026
Barry says "if this trade unwinds it does completely crash the economy" as if there is a way to avoid it. By some measures the biggest bubble the world economy has ever seen cannot be kept inflated indefinitely, nor can it be made to deflate slowly and gently float down. Or at least that has never been seen with the biggest bubbles the world has ever seen previously. Interesting times ahead.
Podcast: Tom Winnifrith & Barry Downes - the Implosion of the AI bubble
MAYFAIRMAN
MAYFAIRMAN7 Nov 2026
Please produce some data to back up your claim that the government by which you mean the Bank of England as the government has no control over the money supply, is printing money. What is increasing, is it M1, M2 or M3 and by how much? I strongly suspect that the inflation we are seeing today is input cost inflation, largely caused by the increase in energy costs as a result of the war started by the orange faced idiot and his puppet master Netanyahu. Energy costs are pervasive, influencing every aspect of the economy and your suggestion of reducing the taxes on energy is populist nonsense. Would you have the government borrowing even more money than it is now, or dare I say it, printing money?
Tom Winnifrith Bearcast: on inflation, on Barry Downes and on being a mega bear
PHIL5566
PHIL55667 Nov 2026
Benefits increases of 3.9%. public sector pay increases of 3.3%. 4.1% increase in minimum wage.I have no idea where some inflation comes from?Though of course all these people have to choose between heating and eating.
Tom Winnifrith Bearcast: on inflation, on Barry Downes and on being a mega bear
MAYFAIRMAN
MAYFAIRMAN6 Nov 2026
Money printing schmoney printing, what you say makes no logical sense. Inflation can have many causes and money printing is certainly one of them, but neither the Federal Reserve nor the Bank of England are printing money at the moment. If they were printing money they would not need to borrow money. Why would you borrow money at 5% if you can print it? Both countries are borrowing huge amounts, record amounts, ergo they are not printing noney. And you call your self an evonomist!
Tom Winnifrith Bearcast: on inflation, on Barry Downes and on being a mega bear
PIEROTLUNAIRE
PIEROTLUNAIRE6 Nov 2026
Not exactly a share structure designed to maximise liquidity or discount to NAV!!!Contains some good companies including my fave Zegona which has been on an absolute tear for 18 months and is fated to be taken out by Telefonica at £25-30 per share versus £17.5 now.À far easier to do 2x, though, is CHRY at 66p with a 130p NAV and is in wind up mode. Basically it is a 10% stake in Starling Bank plus some other stuff. Starling is an IPO in 2-3 years time on the NYSE (and also holds a very valuable software co, Engine). So there shd be 2 years worth of growth plus the elimination of the illiquidity discount on top of current NAV.Waz Shakoor says he has weighed in heavily on this name, as have I.
Marwyn Value Investors – interims, “a number of different routes to further value creation” BUY

Complete Coverage

That Was the Week that Was 7 Days of ShareProphets

Saturday »

Bearcast
Tom Winnifrith Bearcast: another crash underway, UK house prices especially those of flats
  • By Tom Winnifrith
  • 10 hours ago
BMS
Braemar – winning share tip still a buy
  • By HotStockRockets
  • 10 hours ago
DOTD
dotDigital – full-year results, positive trading outlook Buy
  • By HotStockRockets
  • 11 hours ago
Price-Vs-Value
ShareProphets readers tips for 2026 prize competition – (just after) end-October update
  • By Steve Moore
  • 12 hours ago

Friday »

Collapsing-Reactor
A cartoon about Texas - Barry Downes loved it
  • By Tom Winnifrith
  • 1 day ago
Bearcast
Tom Winnifrith Bearcast: on inflation, on Barry Downes and on being a mega bear
  • By Tom Winnifrith
  • 1 day ago
LORD
Lords Group Trading – “pleased to announce completion of amendments to the covenant packages”, BUT…
  • By Steve Moore
  • 1 day ago
Boom
Podcast: Tom Winnifrith & Barry Downes - the Implosion of the AI bubble
  • By Tom Winnifrith
  • 1 day ago
Gold
Video: Silver is ‘Incredible Cheap’, Futures Manipulation & The Return of Gold
  • By Tom Winnifrith
  • 1 day ago
BILN
Billington – I having questioned in April how confident to really be of trading in line with market expectations, now a “Trading Update”…
  • By Steve Moore
  • 1 day ago
SBAR
Sundae Bar: surely it is almost out of fiat ( again), placing ahoy?
  • By Tom Winnifrith
  • 2 days ago
GEX
Georgina Energy RNS: More questions than answers, the odd use of the English language
  • By Tom Winnifrith
  • 2 days ago
CRTA
Cirata's peanuts contract renewal a pump before another bailout fund raise
  • By Tom Winnifrith
  • 2 days ago
Sinking_Ship
AIM Statistics: October was yet another poor month
  • By Tom Winnifrith
  • 2 days ago
VLRM
Valereum: I know it has six months but is there any effort to recruit a new advisor? All the Money's gone!
  • By Tom Winnifrith
  • 2 days ago

Thursday »

Bearcast
Tom Winnifrith bearcast: rates up, fear not they will have to be slashed
  • By Tom Winnifrith
  • 2 days ago
VTY
Vistry – “Trading Update”, how’s its “Repositioning Vistry for Sustainable Success” going?…
  • By Steve Moore
  • 3 days ago
Gold
Peter Schiff on the growing bull case for gold: tell me why he is wrong post mid terms
  • By Tom Winnifrith
  • 3 days ago
Boom
If you are in Banff in Jockland go and buy a drink at the Seafield Arms
  • By Tom Winnifrith
  • 3 days ago
AMRQ
Amaroq – Maarmorilik project development strategy adds to potential, Buy, shares could be 400p by 2029
  • By HotStockRockets
  • 3 days ago
AMG
Letter to Strand Hanson on Atlas Metals - The £1 billion claim you stood by was bollocks: RESIGN!
  • By Tom Winnifrith
  • 3 days ago
SBTX
Skins & clutching at straws
  • By Tom Winnifrith
  • 3 days ago
ASC
ASOS – full-year results emphasise “Return to growth: Strong operational and profit delivery”. Really?…
  • By Steve Moore
  • 3 days ago
Labour
My 10 year old son totally floors our local Labour MP on economics
  • By Tom Winnifrith
  • 3 days ago
AMG
SCANDAL & VINDICATION: Atlas Metals, £1 billion UPSA deal collapses (as predicted), why aren’t heads rolling, why is Christian Schaffalitzky not going to jail?
  • By Tom Winnifrith
  • 3 days ago

Wednesday »

AAU
Ariana Resources – Q3 2026 Activities Report, a gold recovery Buy
  • By HotStockRockets
  • 3 days ago
IGE
Image Scan Holdings – emphasises swing to profit and “healthy order book”, but how ‘healthy’ really?
  • By Steve Moore
  • 3 days ago
CDGP
Chapel Down – having in September stated credit facility “provides ample headroom for growth”, now a “Proposed Capital Raising”!
  • By Steve Moore
  • 4 days ago
Bearcast
Tom Winnifrith Bearcast: what a company does not say and frightening words it can say
  • By Tom Winnifrith
  • 4 days ago
FDM
FDM Group – “consultants assigned to clients has increased”, but how materially and what about the financials?…
  • By Steve Moore
  • 4 days ago
MPAL
EXPOSE: MedPal AI still burning cash and still hiding key metrics
  • By Tom Winnifrith
  • 4 days ago
JDW
JD Wetherspoon explains economics and job destruction to the Uniparty
  • By Tom Winnifrith
  • 4 days ago
Oil-Rig
Video: ‘Massive Upside’ In Oil Stocks & The Iran War Restart
  • By Tom Winnifrith
  • 4 days ago
LIKE
Likewise Group – “materially ahead of current market expectations” value from a winning share tip
  • By HotStockRockets
  • 4 days ago
Greek Tear
The grand final voting - win a week at the Greek Hovel contest, Darren has it in for his employer!
  • By Tom Winnifrith
  • 4 days ago

Tuesday »

CPX
CAP-XX – “Director/PDMR Shareholding” announcement, attempted ramptastic?
  • By Steve Moore
  • 4 days ago
ECOB
Eco Buildings Group – “New Contract Secured” further hints at the potential, Buy
  • By Tom Winnifrith & Steve Moore
  • 4 days ago
Bearcast
Tom Winnifrith bearcast: ending 3 years of hurt tomorrow, the threat of legal action & what the mid terms mean
  • By Tom Winnifrith
  • 4 days ago
PANR
A slam dunk oil sell for Christmas
  • By Tom Winnifrith
  • 4 days ago
AMRQ
Panmure: Amaroq now 98p target 165p, Maarmorilik comment
  • By Tom Winnifrith
  • 5 days ago
TUNE
Focusrite – interims emphasise “improved profitability supporting full year expectations”, but how ‘improved’ are those?…
  • By Steve Moore
  • 5 days ago
Dead-Donkey
Alessandro Zamboni’s Nuburu – CLN providers dump shares onto mug retail punters yet again
  • By Tom Winnifrith
  • 5 days ago
AGY
Allergy Therapeutics is off – another hammer blow to AIM
  • By Tom Winnifrith
  • 5 days ago
GEX
Will Georgina Energy sue Tom Winnifrith & ShareProphets: see you in Court Bitchez!
  • By Tom Winnifrith
  • 5 days ago
STX
Shield Therapeutics – after in August “on track for operating profitability in 2026”, what about now with a “Q3 2026 Trading Update”?…
  • By Steve Moore
  • 5 days ago

Monday »

Bear
Semi Final 2 - Vote now on the short contest to see who wins a week at the Greek Hovel, polls close Tuesday midnight
  • By Tom Winnifrith
  • 5 days ago
Bear
Semi Final 1 - Vote now on the short contest to see who wins a week at the Greek Hovel, polls close midnight Tuesday
  • By Tom Winnifrith
  • 5 days ago
Boom
My most viewed X post in history, Emma Reynolds MP is a bitch and I want my cash back
  • By Tom Winnifrith
  • 5 days ago
Bearcast
Tom Winnifrith Bearcast: a poisonous snake tale from Greece, Gotcha Vast!, Eco Buildings and Amaroq, chatting to Black Angel's last owner
  • By Tom Winnifrith
  • 5 days ago
CPX
CAP-XX – emphasises “strengthened demand”, but how financially significant?…
  • By Steve Moore
  • 6 days ago
AMRQ
Amaroq string of pearls video out today made me feel ill
  • By Tom Winnifrith
  • 6 days ago
VLRM
How to tantalize morons : feeble minded Valereum shareholders are being tortured with bogus share trading
  • By Tom Winnifrith
  • 6 days ago
IBST
Ibstock – “trading conditions deteriorated sharply during the third quarter, with weakness continuing”. You were warned!…
  • By Steve Moore
  • 6 days ago
Crime-Scene
Why not name the villainous company? Surely this is insider dealing?
  • By Tom Winnifrith
  • 6 days ago
WCAT
Wildcat Gold shares suspended: has Guild resigned another account? It should
  • By Tom Winnifrith
  • 6 days ago

Sunday »

Bearcast
Tom Winnifrith Bearcast: madness all round
  • By Tom Winnifrith
  • 7 days ago
VLRM
BREAKING: Now Valereum threatens to go legal: I hope to see you in Court bitchez!
  • By Tom Winnifrith
  • 7 days ago
Gold
The View From The Montana Log-Cabin As Gold Plunges Below $3,900: Panic? Never!
  • By Nigel Somerville
  • 7 days ago
Blackboard
Visual Aid: Inflation Rates Around the World in 2026
  • By Darren Atwater
  • 7 days ago
Quiz
The ShareProphets Sunday Pub Quiz #370
  • By Darren Atwater
  • 7 days ago
GEX
Georgina Energy – where is all the cash going?
  • By Tom Winnifrith
  • 7 days ago
Reading
Sunday Long Reads: Victoria & Abert, UAE’s Manchester, AI Bets, Medieval Times, Buenos Aires Heist
  • By Darren Atwater
  • 7 days ago
VLRM
Who is to blame for Valereum suspension? You guessed it, this is another Great British Company brought low by evil TW
  • By Tom Winnifrith
  • 7 days ago
Top-10
Notes from Underground – Most read articles for the week ending October 31
  • By Darren Atwater
  • 7 days ago