UK 19:52 Wednesday, 23 September 2026
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How to Tell a Dead Cat Bounce from a Justified Rally, Featuring Centamin.

Hello, Share Smoochers. As it’s the non-trading weekend, let’s take time to consider the dead cat bounce. Just because it can be temporary, doesn't mean we can’t trade it successfully. On the other hand, we need to be tuned to the difference between a short-term feline leap and a more permanent rally following an unfair sell-off. A few days ago, such an event befell Centamin (CEY), the well-known Egyptian gold miner.

CEY

Centamin – Q3 Report and Updated Outlook: BUY – the market has overreacted (again).

Fully-listed Egyptian gold-miner Centamin has updated the market this morning with its Q3 report and revised outlook in view of the ground movement detected at the Stage 4 West Wall as previously advised. The market has not taken today’s news well, with the shares down by another 20% to 130p (last seen) but I suggest readers take a slightly longer term view and regard this morning’s drop as another over-reaction to a temporary problem. In short, whilst this morning’s news is disappointing in the short term, the market’s reaction has thrown up a buying opportunity.

CEY

Centamin – a Gold buy...

We recommended shares in Centamin (CEY) amidst market panic in March and they rose faster than even we expected, seeing us take a more than 60%, little more than 1 month, profit. They went on to above 230p, but are currently 160p to buy following a “Sukari Operational Update”. We believe there to have been a big over-reaction to that update and so...

CEY

Centamin – a trading buy for quick recovery?...

Shares in gold miner in Egypt Centamin (CEY) are down sharply on what is bad news. But the market has over-reacted in a big way and since we also expect gold to head higher in the run up to Christmas, this looks a great trading buy...

CEY

Centamin: Chairman buys shares – follow the man!

I commented last week that I saw the sell-off in fully-listed Centamin (CEY) shares as a buying opportunity. The drop was due to an announcement from Centamin that movement had been detected and that consequently higher-grade open pit mining had been suspended at the Stage 4 West Wall at Sukari, and Q4 production is expected to come in at just 70,000 oz gold. This morning it was announced that Chairman James Rutherford has been buying shares.

CEY

Centamin – Movement in Stage 4 West wall leads to suspension of open pit operations there: Buying Opportunity

Oh dear – this is not what the doctor ordered at all. Fully-listed Centamin (CEY) has announced the suspension of open pit operations at the Stage 4 West Wall of its Sukari gold mine. This follows the detection of movement in a localised area of waste material and production for Q4 will be heavily reduced to around 70,000 oz. But is it the disaster it first appears?

CEY

Centamin – fingers on buzzers as Gold correction continues

Annoyingly, Jordan Roy-Byrne of TheDailyGold.com seems to be right yet again! I had wondered whether the worst of the correction in Gold and gold stocks was over, Roy Byrne reckoned no and Gold headed south. But the general direction of travel is up, so corrections will throw up opportunities and I think one is coming with fully-listed Centamin (CEY).

CEY

How do I value Centamin, asks Pierotlunaire. Good question – and what to do at 250p

One of the joys of writing for this very fine website is the intelligence of the readership. And that brings me to Pierotlunaire (who I’m sure won’t mind having his tummy tickled!) who asks, in relation to Egyptian gold miner Centamin (CEY) which offered up storming interims on Tuesday: What’s the fundamental basis for your 250p target? Apart from Jefferies at 240p, most brokers come up with less than 200p (although they may update following these results). There’s no point following a tip based on figures plucked from the air, even if the tip is as successful as my tip on Centamin! So it is a very good question.

CEY

Centamin – cracking Interims & a dividend hike to pay for the Ouzo

Fully-listed Egyptian gold-miner Centamin (CEY) has released its half-year results to the end of June this morning and they look great. And the interim dividend has been hiked by 50% to 6 US cents per share (as predicted in these parts), with the cheque arriving on 11 September a couple of weeks earlier than last year. Yum-yum...

CEY

Centamin – Tip Update as shares move above £2

Shares in fully-listed Egyptian gold miner Centamin (CEY) have broken through the £2 mark to sit at 210.5p last seen. With the gold price now having taken out the all-time high of $1921 per ounce set back in 2011 and up at $1941 as I write, it seems that my predicted turbulence as the gold price tackled the all-time mark has been in the form of an updraft so far.

CEY

Centamin – Q2 Report: shares are well up on this tip but still a buy.

Fully-listed Egyptian gold miner Centamin (CEY) has produced its Q2 report this morning and the numbers read well – the only thing missing was a hint as to the size of the forthcoming interim dividend. But despite the Covid crisis, Centamin is awash with cash and everything seems to be proceeding in line with expectations.

CEY

The 10 Gold stocks today given the Kiss of Death by Wirecard cheerleader Stockopedia

Just two days before Wirecard, Germany’s biggest fraud since Hitler, was unmasked, it became the latest in a line of frauds to get a glowing endorsement from Ed Croft’s stock picking system at Stockopedia. And thus, the CEO’s of ten gold stocks should be warned that they too have been granted the sweet kiss of death that is a Stockopedia endorsement. Gulp…  I own one of them.

CEY

Centamin – Q4 2019 results, I'm targeting 150p+ for the shares...

Fully-listed Egyptian gold miner Centamin (CEY) has announced Q4 results, including confirmation of its intention to pay an increased full year dividend of 6 US cents per share to add to the 4 cents paid out at the half year. The numbers are, despite missing the target of scraping in line with the full year production target, quite impressive and bode well for the future...

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TOM
TOM23 Sep 2026
https://youtu.be/WOw3EDawJh4?si=NddyHNGHlOT4N39i
Paul Mathieson writes…
EXEOST
EXEOST23 Sep 2026
Remember the Frank Muir advert for a famous chocolate? I don't know why that's just sprung to mind. LOL.
Paul Mathieson writes…
YIANNOS11
YIANNOS1123 Sep 2026
Has got some serious issues this kid!
Paul Mathieson writes…
RIZZLE123
RIZZLE12323 Sep 2026
Hey Tom Genuine question , I’ve been looking more at PBX and am more inclined to want to have a bit of a decent position here -> not large enough to warrant an individual approach to opti but I wonder if there were enough on this board who could offer some liquidity to opti for some cheaper PBX stock vs what I imagine will be a hefty discount if placed out through Reynolds Is this something that’s possible if we had enough interest ?
Tom Winnifrith Bearcast: Andy Burnham’s chilling attack on your freedoms & two victory laps for the Sheriff
BAGHOLDER79
BAGHOLDER7923 Sep 2026
I think he does! He also wrote "share prophet's".
Paul Mathieson writes…
SEADOC
SEADOC23 Sep 2026
50 years ago I lent Atlas shrugged (very tatty copy) and On the road (even more tatty) to fellow campers in the Biolet in Chamonix. not yet returned.But in answer to your question - Yes.
Paul Mathieson writes…

Complete Coverage

That Was the Week that Was 7 Days of ShareProphets

Wednesday »

Bearcast
Tom Winnifrith Bearcast: Andy Burnham's chilling attack on your freedoms & two victory laps for the Sheriff
  • By Tom Winnifrith
  • 3 hours ago
SEE
Seeing Machines – “interim extension of convertible loan notes”, refinancing challenges then?
  • By Steve Moore
  • 4 hours ago
Clown
Paul Mathieson writes…
  • By Tom Winnifrith
  • 5 hours ago
MPAL
Who is pumping Medpal AI and why?
  • By Tom Winnifrith
  • 5 hours ago
Gagged
Peter Schiff: Immigration drives prosperity but NOT if you offer a generous welfare system
  • By Tom Winnifrith
  • 6 hours ago
PMP
Portmeirion – interims, how much really “in line with expectations”?
  • By Steve Moore
  • 6 hours ago
KEFI
New Kefi Presentation – some very big key takeaways
  • By Tom Winnifrith
  • 7 hours ago
OPTI
GOTCHA: Optibiotix was forced to restate by the FRC thanks to the Sheriff of AIM
  • By Tom Winnifrith, the Sheriff of AIM
  • 7 hours ago
Fake_News
Letter to Laura Zelenko, Senior Executive Editor at Bloomberg overseeing standards, diversity, talent, and training
  • By Tom Winnifrith
  • 9 hours ago
W7L
Warpaint London – interims, how confident to be of “expected to be significantly more second half weighted”?
  • By Steve Moore
  • 10 hours ago
Boom
Letter to Baker McKenzie – the Police would like to speak to Paul Mathieson
  • By Tom Winnifrith
  • 10 hours ago

Tuesday »

Bearcast
Tom Winnifrith Bearcast: Why I do NOT trust the new management and why owning Skins shares is madness
  • By Tom Winnifrith
  • 1 day ago
PULS
Pulsar Group – “as expected, the group has paid the outstanding amounts owed to HMRC”. Er, is it not “expected” to pay in a timely manner then?…
  • By Steve Moore
  • 1 day ago
PDL
BREAKING: Petra Diamonds subsidiary winding up petition – not good news I suggest: I smell 0p by Christmas
  • By Tom Winnifrith
  • 1 day ago
Cat_Fixing_Lightbulb
Peel vs Harworth and the shrinking list of listed firms
  • By Tom Winnifrith
  • 1 day ago
EGT
European Green Transition – interims, more to come from an already massively winning share tip?
  • By Tom Winnifrith & Steve Moore
  • 1 day ago
UJO
Yet again, another week goes by and nobody else has accepted the Reabold offer for Union Jack
  • By Tom Winnifrith
  • 1 day ago
MIDW
Midwich – interims emphasise “outlook for the full year remains unchanged”, but how much risk is there to that?
  • By Steve Moore
  • 1 day ago
SBTX
Skinbiotherapeutics – utterly dire news
  • By Tom Winnifrith
  • 1 day ago
SYME
Supply@Me Capital – dire trading update & ongoing suspension
  • By Tom Winnifrith
  • 1 day ago
SAA
M&C Saatchi – I having questioned ‘how “confident” to be for its argued growth in 2026?’, what about now its half-year results?…
  • By Steve Moore
  • 1 day ago

Monday »

TTG
An organic trading recovery (or possibly inorganic) Buy…
  • By HotStockRockets
  • 2 days ago
Bearcast
Tom Winnifrith Bearcast: Learning Welsh or having a monthly Church lecture on the poor Palestinians and blessed asylum seekers
  • By Tom Winnifrith
  • 2 days ago
AXS
Accsys Technologies – expects full year “broadly in line with market expectations”. Really?…
  • By Steve Moore
  • 2 days ago
RBD
Reabold bites back at Union Jack – this is pointless, it is just nose candy money for the City
  • By Tom Winnifrith
  • 2 days ago
Gold
Video: Gold Suppression, Bond Markets ‘Revolting’ & Why Juniors Will Outperform
  • By Tom Winnifrith
  • 2 days ago
CRW
Craneware – full-year results, how much confidence to really have for now “conditions should become progressively more supportive”?
  • By Steve Moore
  • 2 days ago
MTC
Mothercare can’t say its screwed too often
  • By Tom Winnifrith
  • 2 days ago
KEFI
New, or not so new, anti Government alliance in Ethiopia – am I panicking about Kefi? No.
  • By Tom Winnifrith
  • 2 days ago
Sinking_Ship
Today's Ayn Rand quote, tell me it's not true
  • By Tom Winnifrith
  • 2 days ago
Boom
EXPOSE: Amazing AI – Companies Act contraventions undertaken by Paul Mathieson
  • By Tom Winnifrith
  • 2 days ago

Sunday »

Bearcast
Tom Winnifrith bearcast: explaining balance sheets to a Skins owning lunatic
  • By Tom Winnifrith
  • 3 days ago
Top-10
Notes from Underground – Most read articles for the week ending September 20
  • By Darren Atwater
  • 3 days ago
Gold
The View From The Montana Log-Cabin As Gold Firms In Response To Fed Hike
  • By Nigel Somerville
  • 3 days ago
Quiz
The ShareProphets Sunday Pub Quiz #364
  • By Darren Atwater
  • 3 days ago
Reading
Sunday Long Reads: Lucy Letby, Paul Smith, American Age, Mining Guam, Montessori Ponzi
  • By Darren Atwater
  • 3 days ago
Blackboard
Visual Aid: The Top 10 Sectors for Foreign Investment in 2026
  • By Darren Atwater
  • 3 days ago

Saturday »

Boom
UPDATED: Lucian Miers & Jim Mellon are coming back to Sharestock in 2027: early bird tickets now on sale, event 15% sold out!
  • By Tom Winnifrith
  • 4 days ago
Bearcast
Tom, Winnifrith Bearcast: hope and despair
  • By Tom Winnifrith
  • 4 days ago
DEBS
Boohoo Group – emphasises “turnaround continues at pace”, but how materially compared to the valuation already?
  • By Steve Moore
  • 4 days ago
Roulette
'The Takeover 12' Great British Takeover stakes competition leading picks performance update – some improvement...
  • By Steve Moore
  • 4 days ago

Friday »

Bearcast
Tom Winnifrith Bearcast: the Sydney Sweeney row with the Mrs and daughter 2
  • By Tom Winnifrith
  • 5 days ago
TEK
Evil Banksta weighs in on TekCapital after today’s spooftastic RNS
  • By Tom Winnifrith
  • 5 days ago
SBTX
Good news travels fast but bad news….the case of Skinbiotherapeutics
  • By Tom Winnifrith
  • 5 days ago
MTC
Mothercare: the end is nigh, don’t blame Trump, I told y’all eons ago
  • By Tom Winnifrith
  • 5 days ago
Collapsing-Reactor
EXPOSE: Nuburu shares in a slump post relisting on American Stock Exchange and latest accounts contain a material error
  • By Tom Winnifrith
  • 5 days ago
Boom
Letter to Pointon Young, former auditors to Amazing AI
  • By Tom Winnifrith
  • 5 days ago
SATS
Reinvesting my Satsuma Winnings
  • By Tom Winnifrith
  • 5 days ago
TRB
Tribal Group – “Proposed Acquisition by Main Capital Partners” provides us with another share tip winner
  • By HotStockRockets
  • 5 days ago
QDE
Quantum Data Energy - why are its shares still suspended?
  • By Tom Winnifrith
  • 5 days ago
Boom
EXPOSE: Paul Mathieson and the strike off: you might think that, I could not possibly comment
  • By Tom Winnifrith
  • 5 days ago

Thursday »

MCB
McBride – having argued earlier this week “transformational future growth”, now CFO “Sale of Shares”!…
  • By Steve Moore
  • 6 days ago
Bearcast
Tom Winnifrith Bearcast: Hang on for the PS in the podcast
  • By Tom Winnifrith
  • 6 days ago
CRTA
EXPOSE: Stephen Kelly’s CV – why the Cirata boss has to go and its not just the SEC investigated stock options scandal
  • By Tom Winnifrith
  • 6 days ago
INSG
Insig AI – “pleased to announce… results for the year ended 31 March 2026”, why then not announced until now?…
  • By Steve Moore
  • 6 days ago
OPTI
Optibiotix Interims – get your cheque book ready Adam
  • By Tom Winnifrith
  • 6 days ago
Bear
Video: Rigged Markets, Why The Real Bubble Is In Government Bonds & Revaluing Gold
  • By Tom Winnifrith
  • 6 days ago
ABDP
AB Dynamics – “performance for FY2026 is expected to be in line with the guidance”, not the initial guidance though!…
  • By Steve Moore
  • 6 days ago
CRTA
Cirata letter to FCA & AIM Regulation: was bad news suppressed ahead of fund raise? I bet it was!
  • By Tom Winnifrith
  • 6 days ago
PAF
Pan African Resources – full-year results, a winning share tip still Buy
  • By HotStockRockets
  • 6 days ago
AVCT
TW does not understand the science and maths at Avacta so what do Evil Banksta and Jim Mellon say?
  • By Tom Winnifrith
  • 6 days ago

Wednesday »

Bearcast
Tom Winnifrith Bearcast: Joshua turns 10, congenital idiots turn on me and a victory lap as Cirata crashes, the FCA should be all over this
  • By Tom Winnifrith
  • 7 days ago
SMWH
WH Smith – argues “solid peak trading”, but how ‘solid’ really?…
  • By Steve Moore
  • 7 days ago
AVCT
Avacta: it’s a spoof says Evil Banksta add to shorts into the share price spike
  • By Tom Winnifrith
  • 7 days ago
ADF
Facilities by ADF – interims emphasise its “strength”, so a trading warning (natch!)…
  • By Steve Moore
  • 7 days ago
Newsboy
BREAKING: Farewell Oak Securities hello Crest Corporate Brokers, oily Jerry Keen & team jump ship
  • By Tom Winnifrith
  • 7 days ago
HUI
I try to be fair and show balance
  • By Tom Winnifrith
  • 7 days ago
BMV
Writing to Bluebird Mining Ventures & the FCA as the company tries to steal my warrants
  • By Tom Winnifrith
  • 7 days ago
CTA
CT Automotive – interims emphasise “revenue increased”, but what about the bottom-line?…
  • By Steve Moore
  • 7 days ago
Boom
Amazing AI – Auditors Resignation letter in. Oh dear. What is being hidden?
  • By Tom Winnifrith
  • 7 days ago
BRES
GOTCHA: Blencowe’s Ralston axed after my FCA intervention and loses options but the company is still talking shit
  • By Tom Winnifrith
  • 7 days ago