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Karma: Tod Kozel of £1 billion ramp Gulf Keystone infamy sent to prison for 5 years

Do you remember when Gulf Keystone (GKP) was the darling of the Bulletin Board Morons?  Its market cap surged to £1 billion as its lying charlatan of a founder and CEO Tod Kozel claimed it had reserves greater than Shell.  The self described “Tod Squad” of Bulletin Board worshippers insisted that folks like myself, Lucian and Was Shakoor who called out Tod’s bogus claims and the insane valuation were being reported to the FCA and would go to jail. Oh what sweet irony…

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Sohail
Sohail5 Oct 2026
The Covid Cash had to be doled out very quickly because the government decided to shut down the economy .Government bureaucracy is incapable of dealing with process in normal times so in a crisis situation the prospects of Hmrc handling anything efficiently would be zero.Hmrc have consistently shown an inability to operate efficiently.Political parties in opposition always talk about the huge savings they will make once they are in office.It will never happen…
Tom Winnifrith Bearcast: a challenge for Bexley YC’s 57 year old chairman, the Quantum scandal and Amaroq for the FTSE 250 this week?
PHIL5566
PHIL55665 Oct 2026
The police available to look at bounce loan fraud! They are only available in their hundreds to escort the invading army from France to their Hotels.Do not wear a mask or you will be arrested but the UK will provide potential masks for the Invading armies, Trulls in the form of Hijabs.
Tom Winnifrith Bearcast: As YOUR hard earned cash is being used to punt on an AI ramp, I look at the whacky accounts of FN Advisory
Martyn H-O
Martyn H-O5 Oct 2026
When a FTSE 250 stock loses it's listing it is replaced within a very short period.
Tom Winnifrith Bearcast: a challenge for Bexley YC’s 57 year old chairman, the Quantum scandal and Amaroq for the FTSE 250 this week?
ITSTHEFEDS
ITSTHEFEDS5 Oct 2026
Changes in FTSE UK Index Series05 October 2026Subject to the court sanctioning the scheme of arrangement in relation to the cash acquisition of Senior (UK, constituent) by Zeus UK Bidco (non-constituent), please see details of affected indexes and effective dates below:Senior (UK, 0795823) will be deleted from the FTSE 250 index.Amaroq (UK, BTRG036) will be added to the FTSE 250 Index and deleted from the FTSE SmallCap Index.All changes effective from 08 October 2026.Full details of index changes are available on the FTSE Russell website.
Tom Winnifrith Bearcast: a challenge for Bexley YC’s 57 year old chairman, the Quantum scandal and Amaroq for the FTSE 250 this week?
MICHAEL MCKENNA
MICHAEL MCKENNA5 Oct 2026
Unsustainable. In my constituency the bill per claimant is £2,871 (up 25.4% in two years).The median local wage is £39,027 (up 3.2% in two years).With benefits far outstripping the rate of wage growth there is less and less motivation to work for a living!I hear that 'up North' in Burnham land, benefits are known down the generations as 'bennies'. Makes it all sound very cuddly.
What’s the benefits bill where you live? Fascinating new tool from the TPA
WARUN BOOFIT
WARUN BOOFIT5 Oct 2026
PIP recipients in Glasgow are taking the piss, rent free flat virtually no council tax, maximum winter fuel payment, 3000 pound furniture grant when first moving in. I don't mind the genuine claimants who are disabled getting money but at least 70% of claims are now fraudulent there being nothing physically or mentally wrong just well versed good actors who top up their illicit benefit claims working on the side, selling tax free cigs and booze, always crying poverty and mostly voting SNP.
What’s the benefits bill where you live? Fascinating new tool from the TPA
PIEROTLUNAIRE
PIEROTLUNAIRE5 Oct 2026
The paradox of IHT is that a majority of voters dislike the idea of the tax even though very few of them will actually pay it. Perhaps this is due to the lottery effect ie if the voter were lucky enough to get a windfall, they wd not want to surrender it at death, rather than pass it on to their heirs.
Tom Winnifrith Bearcast: a challenge for Bexley YC’s 57 year old chairman, the Quantum scandal and Amaroq for the FTSE 250 this week?
PHIL5566
PHIL55665 Oct 2026
This is mind blowing. The benefits bill in Gillingham and Rainham(Kent) £235 million. £55 million in PIP. Total benefits per person £2200. up 20% since Labour came to power.Why am I claiming nothing? Stop PIP for a year slashing the benefits bill by nearly a quarter.Would that balance the budget? If not slash the benefits bill until the budget balances.A few people starving or freezing (allegedly) probably not much of a lose for the UK.Though the biggest boat load of criminal invaders, illegal migrants, to reach the UK had 230 on board they will cost the UK £230 million, so I suppose it puts in context.
What’s the benefits bill where you live? Fascinating new tool from the TPA
PIEROTLUNAIRE
PIEROTLUNAIRE5 Oct 2026
A country that issues its own fiat currency does not strictly need to borrow in the same way a household, firm, or currency-user does, but it still issues debt for practical, institutional, macroeconomic, and political reasons.Core distinctionA sovereign government that issues its own floating fiat currency (e.g., the US, Japan, UK, Canada, Australia) can always create more of that currency. It cannot “run out of money” in its own unit the way a private actor can. Default in its own currency is a political or policy choice, not a technical necessity. This is a central insight associated with Modern Monetary Theory (MMT) and is also recognized in mainstream monetary economics when discussing a monetary sovereign.Yet virtually every such country still issues bonds (borrows). The reasons are not primarily “to fund spending” in the narrow sense.Why governments still issue debtInflation and demand management Creating new money and spending it injects purchasing power. If the economy is near capacity, this can raise inflation. Selling bonds drains reserves/money from the private sector, offsetting that injection. Bond issuance is one tool (alongside taxes and interest-rate policy) for managing aggregate demand and inflation.Interest-rate control Central banks target interest rates. Government bond markets and open-market operations are the main mechanisms for setting and transmitting those rates. Without a stock of government securities, the central bank’s ability to implement monetary policy would look very different.Institutional and legal constraints Most countries prohibit the central bank from directly financing the treasury (“monetary financing”). Governments therefore sell bonds to private buyers (or the central bank buys them in the secondary market). These rules exist to limit political pressure for excessive money creation and to preserve central-bank independence.Safe assets and financial plumbing Government bonds are the premier risk-free asset in the financial system. Banks, pension funds, insurers, money-market funds, and foreign governments hold them for liquidity, collateral, duration matching, and regulatory purposes. A continuous supply of these assets supports the functioning of money markets and the broader financial system.Credibility, politics, and signaling Markets and voters often treat bond issuance as more “disciplined” than pure money creation. Large-scale direct monetization can undermine confidence in the currency’s future value, raise inflation expectations, and trigger political backlash. Borrowing at market rates provides a visible price signal about fiscal sustainability (even if the signal is imperfect).Foreign-currency and external constraints Even a monetary sovereign may need foreign exchange for imports, debt denominated in foreign currency, or reserve management. Domestic money creation does not automatically generate foreign currency. Countries with large external deficits or histories of instability face tighter practical limits.What actually constrains spendingFor a pure monetary sovereign with a floating exchange rate and debt only in its own currency, the real constraints are:Inflation and real resource availability (labor, materials, productive capacity).Exchange-rate effects and imported inflation.Political willingness to tax or cut spending later if needed.Institutional rules and market confidence.Taxes do not “fund” spending in a mechanical sense for such a government; they create demand for the currency, help control inflation, and redistribute. Bond sales similarly serve macroeconomic and institutional functions more than pure financing.Exceptions and nuancesCountries that do not issue their own currency (eurozone members, dollarized economies, currency boards) genuinely need to borrow or earn foreign currency; they face hard budget constraints similar to households.Even monetary sovereigns can face self-imposed or market-imposed limits if inflation expectations become unanchored or if political institutions break down.Historical episodes of high inflation or hyperinflation usually involved large fiscal deficits financed by money creation amid collapsing real output, loss of tax capacity, or loss of confidence—not merely the technical ability to print.In short: the ability to issue fiat currency removes the pure solvency constraint in the domestic unit of account, but governments still borrow because money creation has macroeconomic consequences, because financial systems rely on government debt as a safe asset, and because institutional and political arrangements deliberately separate fiscal and monetary powers. The decision is about managing the economy and the currency’s value, not about whether the government can “afford” to spend in its own money.PS I only drink Bollinger.
Win a bottle of champagne from Lucian Miers MMT contest

Complete Coverage

That Was the Week that Was 7 Days of ShareProphets

Monday »

HERC
Hercules – “New Water Sector Contract Wins” announcement, ramptastic?
  • By Steve Moore
  • 5 hours ago
Bearcast
Tom Winnifrith Bearcast: a challenge for Bexley YC's 57 year old chairman, the Quantum scandal and Amaroq for the FTSE 250 this week?
  • By Tom Winnifrith
  • 6 hours ago
QTX
Quartix Technologies – “pleased to report a continuing strong financial performance”, how “strong” relative to the valuation?
  • By Steve Moore
  • 7 hours ago
Beggar
What's the benefits bill where you live? Fascinating new tool from the TPA
  • By Tom Winnifrith
  • 8 hours ago
VSVS
We tipped the shares then came the bid
  • By Tom Winnifrith & Steve Moore
  • 8 hours ago
QBT
EXPOSE: Has Quantum Blockchain misled investors about the Italian House? Part 2
  • By Tom Winnifrith
  • 9 hours ago
ENSI
EnSilica – full-year results emphasise “moved into profitability”, but still cash-burning…
  • By Steve Moore
  • 9 hours ago
QBT
EXPOSE: Has Quantum Blockchain lied to investors about the Italian House?
  • By Tom Winnifrith, the Sheriff of AIM
  • 10 hours ago
PBX
Is it always a bad sign when you switch auditors to PKF Littlejohn?
  • By Tom Winnifrith
  • 11 hours ago
Clown
Win a bottle of champagne from Lucian Miers MMT contest
  • By Tom Winnifrith
  • 12 hours ago

Sunday »

Bearcast
Tom Winnifrith Bearcast: As YOUR hard earned cash is being used to punt on an AI ramp, I look at the whacky accounts of FN Advisory
  • By Tom Winnifrith
  • 1 day ago
AAU
Ariana Resources – Dokwe project Feasibility Programme update follows interims, Buy
  • By HotStockRockets
  • 1 day ago
Gold
The View From The Montana Log-Cabin As Gold Falls Again In Face Of Bond Rout
  • By Nigel Somerville
  • 1 day ago
Quiz
The ShareProphets Sunday Pub Quiz #366
  • By Darren Atwater
  • 1 day ago
Blackboard
Visual Aid: Who Controls the Critical Minerals Powering AI?
  • By Darren Atwater
  • 1 day ago
URU
URU Metals – Last Minute Results And A Bucket-Shop Special Smash’n’Grab Placing
  • By Nigel Somerville
  • 1 day ago
Reading
Sunday Long Reads: Britain back in EU?, Lazy Hitler, Electrician Wannabee, I, Claudius, AI v the Pope
  • By Darren Atwater
  • 1 day ago
Top-10
Notes from Underground – Most read articles for the week ending October 3
  • By Darren Atwater
  • 1 day ago

Saturday »

Bearcast
Tom Winnifrith Bearcast: £1.2m of questions as the Reabold bid for Union Jack fails
  • By Tom Winnifrith
  • 2 days ago
V3TC
Vaultz Capital – third time lucky? Not on your nelly - more red flags than May Day in Moscow
  • By Tom Winnifrith
  • 2 days ago
Atomic
Video: The Uranium Blow-Off Top, AI Hyper-Scalers & ‘Huge Value’ in The Miners
  • By Tom Winnifrith
  • 2 days ago
BMS
Braemar – half-year trading update, an “increased volatility”-benefitting Buy
  • By HotStockRockets
  • 2 days ago
Price-Vs-Value
ShareProphets readers tips for 2026 prize competition – (just after) end-September update
  • By Steve Moore
  • 2 days ago

Friday »

Bearcast
Tom Winnifrith Bearcast from my sick bed
  • By Tom Winnifrith
  • 3 days ago
KMK
Kromek – “expansion to its revolving credit facility”, but I thought it was profitability “slightly ahead of expectations”?
  • By Steve Moore
  • 3 days ago
EAAS
eEnergy – “pleased to announce” fundraising. Er, really?!…
  • By Steve Moore
  • 3 days ago
Gold
Video: Why These Critical Metals Will Explode Higher, ‘Uncharted Territory’ For Gold
  • By Tom Winnifrith
  • 3 days ago
PDL
Petra Diamonds misleads as it finally fesses to the HMRC winding up petition
  • By Tom Winnifrith
  • 3 days ago
RM
RM plc – sale of Technical Teaching Solutions business, still a sum-of-the-parts Buy
  • By HotStockRockets
  • 3 days ago
VLRM
EXPOSE: Valereum interim accounts demonstrate grotesque non compliances with IFRS 9
  • By Tom Winnifrith
  • 3 days ago
AMRQ
Amaroq – “pleased” with further Nanoq drilling programme and metallurgical test work, here’s why…
  • By Tom Winnifrith & Steve Moore
  • 3 days ago
QBT
Quantum Blockchain Technologies deeper dive accounting nerdery, nothing adds up, wholesale IFRS breaches
  • By Tom Winnifrith
  • 3 days ago
Bear
The Easy Money Fairy Tale Is About To End Violently says the world's second most foul mouthed financial podcaster
  • By Tom Winnifrith
  • 3 days ago

Thursday »

Boom
Fagash vs Chris Gilbert death match Round 2 at Sharestock 2027: early bird priced tickets on sale now
  • By Tom Winnifrith
  • 4 days ago
Bearcast
Tom Winnifrith bearcast: a new share trade
  • By Tom Winnifrith
  • 4 days ago
ECP
EXPOSE: £24m cap Eight Capital Partners declared profit but a looming liquidity challenge
  • By Tom Winnifrith
  • 4 days ago
TPT
Topps Tiles – “expects adjusted profit before tax for the full year to be in line with current market expectations”, not the initial expectations though!…
  • By Steve Moore
  • 4 days ago
QBT
Quantum Blockchain Interims: how is this AIM posterboy company not classified as bust?
  • By Tom Winnifrith
  • 4 days ago
Beggar
To be fair to Andy Burnham and chancellor Healey as the 30 year bond tops 6%
  • By Tom Winnifrith
  • 4 days ago
LST
Light Science Technologies – after just in August “confidence in a strong second half has strengthened”, why are the shares now slumping on a “Trading Update”?…
  • By Steve Moore
  • 4 days ago
ECOB
Eco Buildings – interims, a progress in Albania and elsewhere STRONG BUY, this could multibag by Christmas
  • By HotStockRockets
  • 4 days ago
VLRM
Valereum Interims Part 1: A fess up on past untruths, the auditor calls out cock & it looks to be bust!
  • By Tom Winnifrith
  • 4 days ago
Bully
Paul Mathieson back where he started – my mother’s suicide, this time he ropes in my late father as well
  • By Tom Winnifrith
  • 5 days ago

Wednesday »

WPHO
Windar Photonics – interims, how strong a base now “to restructure and grow the business”?
  • By Steve Moore
  • 5 days ago
Bearcast
Tom Winnifrith bearcast: from Avacta's crazy valuation to a £1 billion joke, Mr Turd and a potential 25 bagger
  • By Tom Winnifrith
  • 5 days ago
KEN
Kendrick interims: do the maths, its got no money at all! Bailout placing ahoy! £24 million Timber!
  • By Tom Winnifrith
  • 5 days ago
TAND
Tan Delta Systems – interims argue “a strategic market position with a compelling offer”. Really?
  • By Steve Moore
  • 5 days ago
TLW
Tullow $393 million tax blow – could that sink the ship?
  • By Tom Winnifrith
  • 5 days ago
Bear
Video: Food Shortages, Inflationary Spiral & Why Gold Miners Will Benefit ‘Tremendously’
  • By Tom Winnifrith
  • 5 days ago
SALT
If Microsalt hits breakeven in 2027 as it promises I am a banana & so is Evil Banksta
  • By Tom Winnifrith
  • 5 days ago
FUTR
Future plc – argues trading “in line”, but why after previously “accelerating” its share buyback is it now to “pause” it then?
  • By Steve Moore
  • 5 days ago
BMV
BREAKING: Sath Ganesarajah of Bluebird breaks the rules yet again
  • By Tom Winnifrith
  • 5 days ago
AGI
EXPOSE: Potentially AI – significant loss in last interims before RTO and breaches of IFRS accounting standards
  • By Tom Winnifrith
  • 5 days ago

Tuesday »

GENI
GENinCode – interims, with “revenues have not been as strong as hoped” how’s the balance sheet position now?
  • By Steve Moore
  • 6 days ago
Bearcast
Tom Winnifrith Bearcast: This is madness Home Secretary and all about Kefi
  • By Tom Winnifrith
  • 6 days ago
LIKE
Likewise Group – interims, a “materially ahead of market expectations” Buy
  • By HotStockRockets
  • 6 days ago
RBD
Will Reabold’s humiliation be announced Friday or Monday? A share only for lemmings either way.
  • By Tom Winnifrith
  • 6 days ago
TGP
Tekmar – “pleased to report”… a trading warning!
  • By Steve Moore
  • 6 days ago
Bully
Paul Mathieson writes to my wife again
  • By Tom Winnifrith
  • 6 days ago
Gold
Video: Rick Rule sees a ‘Generational Opportunity’ In Gold Miners, ‘Substantially’ Higher Gold Prices Ahead
  • By Tom Winnifrith
  • 6 days ago
TERN
EXPOSE: Tern Results, another dog’s dinner & why is a new corporate car needed?
  • By Tom Winnifrith
  • 6 days ago
TEK
Tek Capital: when is a profit pure fiction? Bailout placing
  • By Tom Winnifrith
  • 6 days ago
KEFI
BREAKING: KEFI - Market abuse with apparently fake broker note
  • By Tom Winnifrith
  • 7 days ago

Monday »

Bearcast
Tom Winnifrith Bearcast: Gold and the 1970s and Blackbird lurches to another bailout
  • By Tom Winnifrith
  • 7 days ago
XPF
XP Factory – argues “best served” focusing exclusively on Escape Hunt rollout, so what about the previously-stated “highly complementary” Boom Battle Bar business?…
  • By Steve Moore
  • 7 days ago
PRE
Pensana: two questions Paul Atherley MUST answer
  • By Tom Winnifrith
  • 7 days ago
SQZ
Serica Energy moves to the main market and has a strong investment case - buy on any weakness
  • By Gary Newman
  • 7 days ago
MET
Metir – interims, “determined to complete a fundraise… to enter 2027 with increasing confidence”. Er, it means to be able to continue trading!…
  • By Steve Moore
  • 7 days ago
SDI
SDI Group – AGM Trading Update, continuing trading delivery value
  • By HotStockRockets
  • 7 days ago
COIN
Coinsilium: more about that second pig and pork
  • By Tom Winnifrith
  • 7 days ago
CKT
Checkit plc – interims emphasising “value-creation framework”, but how exciting is it?
  • By Steve Moore
  • 7 days ago
Bully
BREAKING: Not Very Gneiss message, if not an outright threat to Union Jack’s Craig Howie
  • By Tom Winnifrith
  • 7 days ago
CRTA
Letter to AIM Regulation and the FCA: Cirata (again)
  • By Tom Winnifrith
  • 7 days ago
Sinking_Ship
Is Nuburu overpaying for Tekne S.pA? Is the Pope a Catholic?
  • By Tom Winnifrith
  • 8 days ago