UK 17:59 Thursday, 8 October 2026
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BIFF

BIFF

Thank you RSA and hello again Biffa

A couple of bits of excitement this Tuesday. First, you may have read from the UK insurance company RSA (RSA) that it was taken over late last month and that the exiting chairman was able to conclude that about three hundred years ‘the acquisition of RSA has delivered attractive, certain value for our shareholders and I wish Intact and Tryg every success for the future’. I wonder what I will be doing with the decent cash return they have paid? Certainly was not a bad buy a year and a bit more ago. It is also nice to see shares in Biffa (BIFF) moving back above three quid each today.

BIFF

Biffa loves more waste...and more recycling

I have had a positive view on the waste management company Biffa (BIFF) for a while now, mentioning last October here that ‘on a similar multiple for its likely earnings for the 2021 or 2022 full years and this is how you get a three quid odd share price target’.  Back then the stock was about 220 pence, but today it is almost at my three quid target...and it is nothing to do with its next set of numbers (which are due next week).  Earlier today, Biffa announced it would be buying the collections business and ‘certain recycling assets’ from its industry peer Viridor.  So why are its shares up nicely this morning?

BIFF

Biffa – a Recovery buy?...

Biffa plc (BIFF) describes itself as “the UK's leading sustainable waste management business”. This FTSE 250 company has, like many, suffered from the lockdown restrictions but previously not as significantly as it feared and there looks further recovery and growth potential ahead not discounted in the share price...

BIFF

Waste not, want not at Biffa

Corporate deals always provide insight. If you have been around for a while, then you will know that a bunch of deals struck in 1997, 1999 and 2007 typically did not age well. The jury remains out for the last couple of years but, suffice to say, the old mantra of 'price is what you pay and value is what you get' is still hugely relevant. That ramble brings us to my old mucker Biffa (BIFF), which is active in the waste and recycling business...

BIFF

Muck, brass, prevarication, Biffa plc and me

Generally I dislike prevarication but certainly a bit of patience is a good trait for an investor. I am not sure why I wasn’t holding shares in Biffa (BIFF) because - as I noted here in June - the specialist waste and recycling company plays into a number of attractive structural themes including tighter regulation, recycling and participation in energy from waste. Today a trading update...

BIFF

Biffa – there's still brass in muck...

You may recall back in September I rhapsodised about waste company Biffa (BIFF) observing - after pacing through its capital markets day presentation - that 'the company is exposed to themes such as tighter regulation, recycling and participation in energy from waste'. A quick look at the shares over the last nine months showed that my hopes of a three quid share price proved correct. Having done all the difficult work, I really should have got back in the stock after it nearly halved at the time of the March lows. Anyhow, here we are in June with the share having regained about half the decline and today's full year numbers update is really in two parts – as are so many corporations reporting up to 31st March…

BIFF

Forget crossing the Atlantic by a yacht, go green by buying shares in Biffa

I do have a little sympathy with the green brigade because if you think about the essence of economics, it is all about the efficient and sustainable use of factors of production.  However, where even the financial world has gone mad is the rise and rise and rise of environmental, social and governance (ESG) investing, which has certainly overhung shares in sectors such as tobacco, energy and the automotive space globally.  And do not even get me started on green activists who do not want to fly on planes or start families until climate change issues are 'sorted'.  

BIFF

My advice to Biffa – don't recycle the quiet day RNS publicity-seeking strategy

I have loved up Biffa (BIFF) on these pages before, calling the UK's premier business waste collection company in November a buy based on 'big themes...such as tighter regulation, recycling and participation in energy from waste'. The shares have risen - along with the general market - since November but what has caught my eye today are comments from the company that 'UK recycling confusion' needs to be 'sorted'...

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JAMES1N1
JAMES1N18 Oct 2026
That’s quite a gap between actual LBT of £1.5m and adjusted PBT of £30.2m resulting in more adjustments than a chiropractors convention!
Next 15 Group – interims, how much confidence to really have in its balance sheet and near-term outlook?
DAVID FRASER
DAVID FRASER8 Oct 2026
As if I needed to ask!
It is almost as if the LSE is sitting on bad news about AIM
TOM
TOM8 Oct 2026
yes you do!Crony capitalists enable him and the FCA is useless.
EXPOSE: Bluebird Mining Ventures: more lies to report to the FCA
DUCKnDIVE
DUCKnDIVE8 Oct 2026
You needed to read this thread more carefully before posting that but I don't blame you for having neither the time nor the inclination.
To the man with Amaroq Derangement syndrome: about that NED share sale
BURIEDTREASURE
BURIEDTREASURE8 Oct 2026
I have no idea how Ganesarajah survives as an officer of a public company.
EXPOSE: Bluebird Mining Ventures: more lies to report to the FCA
TOM
TOM8 Oct 2026
well you clearly cannot read you SBTX owning moronthe author of that HERC piece was young stevehttps://shareprophets.com/views/88596/hercules-new-water-sector-contract-wins-announcement-ramptastic
To the man with Amaroq Derangement syndrome: about that NED share sale
DUCKnDIVE
DUCKnDIVE8 Oct 2026
Don't assume that morons can't read…"By Tom Winnifrith & Steve Moore | Published 13:20 7 October 2026"
To the man with Amaroq Derangement syndrome: about that NED share sale
TOM
TOM8 Oct 2026
1 article has steve's byline, one had mine. Even a SBTX owning moron can surely see the difference here?
To the man with Amaroq Derangement syndrome: about that NED share sale
MICHAEL MCKENNA
MICHAEL MCKENNA8 Oct 2026
Yes, they're not exactly friendly to gays in the Arab world. They usually chuck them off high buildings. No wonder that the only democracy in that part of the world, Israel, is a refuge for gays.
Tom Winnifrith Bearcast: its commercial madness but I will not be silenced about October 7th and what has followed

Complete Coverage

That Was the Week that Was 7 Days of ShareProphets

Thursday »

SSTY
Safestay – hostel sale completion, to “support its asset-light growth strategy”?...
  • By Steve Moore
  • 2 hours ago
Bearcast
Tom Winnifrith Bearcast: Evil Banksta vs John the tax Dodger
  • By Tom Winnifrith
  • 2 hours ago
NFG
Next 15 Group – interims, how much confidence to really have in its balance sheet and near-term outlook?
  • By Steve Moore
  • 4 hours ago
EDGE
FalconEdge September trading - the lingering kiss of death from PR genius Steffi
  • By Tom Winnifrith
  • 4 hours ago
BMV
EXPOSE: Bluebird Mining Ventures: more lies to report to the FCA
  • By Tom Winnifrith
  • 5 hours ago
MYX
MyCelx Technologies – Trading Update argues “confident in the opportunity available”, BUT…
  • By Steve Moore
  • 6 hours ago
Bear
Video: On The Cusp of The Next Depression, The Gold Reset & Financial Repression
  • By Tom Winnifrith
  • 7 hours ago
MPAL
MedPal AI’s second trading statement in 3 days: it’s ‘avin’ a Turkish
  • By Tom Winnifrith
  • 7 hours ago
HAMA
How could a $4.5 million disposal actually cost you cash? The crazy world of Hamak
  • By Tom Winnifrith
  • 7 hours ago
AMRQ
To the man with Amaroq Derangement Syndrome: about that NED share sale
  • By Tom Winnifrith
  • 10 hours ago

Wednesday »

SYS1
System1 Group – what of a fifth and now “final” offer from Brave Bison?
  • By Steve Moore
  • 1 day ago
Roulette
It is almost as if the LSE is sitting on bad news about AIM
  • By Tom Winnifrith
  • 1 day ago
Bearcast
Tom Winnifrith Bearcast: its commercial madness but I will not be silenced about October 7th and what has followed
  • By Tom Winnifrith
  • 1 day ago
HEAD
Headlam – a final disappointment. You were warned!…
  • By Steve Moore
  • 1 day ago
AMRQ
Amaroq – adds to FTSE 250 news with production ahead of target, Buy
  • By Tom Winnifrith & Steve Moore
  • 1 day ago
COM
Comptoir PLC: a case study in why both AIM and the UK are just so screwed
  • By Tom Winnifrith
  • 1 day ago
KEFI
Kefi Gold & Copper – interims, risk/reward Strong Buy
  • By HotStockRockets
  • 1 day ago
CYKL
Cykel AI – where is the frigging material uncertainty?
  • By Tom Winnifrith
  • 1 day ago
HSW
Hostelworld – having previously emphasised “strong revenue momentum sustained through H1”, what about now?…
  • By Steve Moore
  • 1 day ago
QBT
ANOTHER EXPOSE: Quantum Blockchain – it is still not telling the truth about the Italian house!
  • By Tom Winnifrith
  • 1 day ago

Tuesday »

Bearcast
Tom Winnifrith Bearcast No 2: It's October 7 tomorrow and Britain sickens me again & why there is no Kenmare read across
  • By Tom Winnifrith
  • 2 days ago
SNX
Synectics – “confident in the group’s growth opportunity” but wasn’t it also confident before?, And…
  • By Steve Moore
  • 2 days ago
KEN
Kendrick: surely statement needed on the placing that is underway?
  • By Tom Winnifrith
  • 2 days ago
TEP
Telecom Plus – trading update emphasises “encouraging progress”, but how ‘encouraging’ really?
  • By Steve Moore
  • 2 days ago
Bearcast
Tom Winnifrith Bearcast No 1: Amaroq day
  • By Tom Winnifrith
  • 2 days ago
MVI
Marwyn Value Investors – interims, “a number of different routes to further value creation” BUY
  • By Tom Winnifrith & Steve Moore
  • 2 days ago
MPAL
MedPal AI – sales are vanity , cash is fact and so is a lack of it
  • By Tom Winnifrith
  • 2 days ago
CLBS
Celebrus Technologies – I having previously questioned its contractual conversion from a “strong” pipeline, what about now a “Half Year Trading Update”?…
  • By Steve Moore
  • 2 days ago
EDEN
EXPOSE: Eden Biosolutions – revisiting the dodgy TerpeneTech transaction as new accounts out, this is as kosher as a pork pie
  • By Tom Winnifrith, the Sheriff of AIM
  • 2 days ago
AVCT
EXPOSE: Avacta Placing – the truth behind Project Hawkeye
  • By Tom Winnifrith
  • 2 days ago

Monday »

HERC
Hercules – “New Water Sector Contract Wins” announcement, ramptastic?
  • By Steve Moore
  • 3 days ago
Bearcast
Tom Winnifrith Bearcast: a challenge for Bexley YC's 57 year old chairman, the Quantum scandal and Amaroq for the FTSE 250 this week?
  • By Tom Winnifrith
  • 3 days ago
QTX
Quartix Technologies – “pleased to report a continuing strong financial performance”, how “strong” relative to the valuation?
  • By Steve Moore
  • 3 days ago
Beggar
What's the benefits bill where you live? Fascinating new tool from the TPA
  • By Tom Winnifrith
  • 3 days ago
VSVS
We tipped the shares then came the bid
  • By Tom Winnifrith & Steve Moore
  • 3 days ago
QBT
EXPOSE: Has Quantum Blockchain misled investors about the Italian House? Part 2
  • By Tom Winnifrith
  • 3 days ago
ENSI
EnSilica – full-year results emphasise “moved into profitability”, but still cash-burning…
  • By Steve Moore
  • 3 days ago
QBT
EXPOSE: Has Quantum Blockchain lied to investors about the Italian House?
  • By Tom Winnifrith, the Sheriff of AIM
  • 3 days ago
PBX
Is it always a bad sign when you switch auditors to PKF Littlejohn?
  • By Tom Winnifrith
  • 3 days ago
Clown
Win a bottle of champagne from Lucian Miers MMT contest
  • By Tom Winnifrith
  • 3 days ago

Sunday »

Bearcast
Tom Winnifrith Bearcast: As YOUR hard earned cash is being used to punt on an AI ramp, I look at the whacky accounts of FN Advisory
  • By Tom Winnifrith
  • 4 days ago
AAU
Ariana Resources – Dokwe project Feasibility Programme update follows interims, Buy
  • By HotStockRockets
  • 4 days ago
Gold
The View From The Montana Log-Cabin As Gold Falls Again In Face Of Bond Rout
  • By Nigel Somerville
  • 4 days ago
Quiz
The ShareProphets Sunday Pub Quiz #366
  • By Darren Atwater
  • 4 days ago
Blackboard
Visual Aid: Who Controls the Critical Minerals Powering AI?
  • By Darren Atwater
  • 4 days ago
URU
URU Metals – Last Minute Results And A Bucket-Shop Special Smash’n’Grab Placing
  • By Nigel Somerville
  • 4 days ago
Reading
Sunday Long Reads: Britain back in EU?, Lazy Hitler, Electrician Wannabee, I, Claudius, AI v the Pope
  • By Darren Atwater
  • 4 days ago
Top-10
Notes from Underground – Most read articles for the week ending October 3
  • By Darren Atwater
  • 4 days ago

Saturday »

Bearcast
Tom Winnifrith Bearcast: £1.2m of questions as the Reabold bid for Union Jack fails
  • By Tom Winnifrith
  • 5 days ago
V3TC
Vaultz Capital – third time lucky? Not on your nelly - more red flags than May Day in Moscow
  • By Tom Winnifrith
  • 5 days ago
Atomic
Video: The Uranium Blow-Off Top, AI Hyper-Scalers & ‘Huge Value’ in The Miners
  • By Tom Winnifrith
  • 5 days ago
BMS
Braemar – half-year trading update, an “increased volatility”-benefitting Buy
  • By HotStockRockets
  • 5 days ago
Price-Vs-Value
ShareProphets readers tips for 2026 prize competition – (just after) end-September update
  • By Steve Moore
  • 5 days ago

Friday »

Bearcast
Tom Winnifrith Bearcast from my sick bed
  • By Tom Winnifrith
  • 6 days ago
KMK
Kromek – “expansion to its revolving credit facility”, but I thought it was profitability “slightly ahead of expectations”?
  • By Steve Moore
  • 6 days ago
EAAS
eEnergy – “pleased to announce” fundraising. Er, really?!…
  • By Steve Moore
  • 6 days ago
Gold
Video: Why These Critical Metals Will Explode Higher, ‘Uncharted Territory’ For Gold
  • By Tom Winnifrith
  • 6 days ago
PDL
Petra Diamonds misleads as it finally fesses to the HMRC winding up petition
  • By Tom Winnifrith
  • 6 days ago
RM
RM plc – sale of Technical Teaching Solutions business, still a sum-of-the-parts Buy
  • By HotStockRockets
  • 6 days ago
VLRM
EXPOSE: Valereum interim accounts demonstrate grotesque non compliances with IFRS 9
  • By Tom Winnifrith
  • 6 days ago
AMRQ
Amaroq – “pleased” with further Nanoq drilling programme and metallurgical test work, here’s why…
  • By Tom Winnifrith & Steve Moore
  • 6 days ago
QBT
Quantum Blockchain Technologies deeper dive accounting nerdery, nothing adds up, wholesale IFRS breaches
  • By Tom Winnifrith
  • 6 days ago
Bear
The Easy Money Fairy Tale Is About To End Violently says the world's second most foul mouthed financial podcaster
  • By Tom Winnifrith
  • 6 days ago

Thursday »

Boom
Fagash vs Chris Gilbert death match Round 2 at Sharestock 2027: early bird priced tickets on sale now
  • By Tom Winnifrith
  • 7 days ago
Bearcast
Tom Winnifrith bearcast: a new share trade
  • By Tom Winnifrith
  • 7 days ago
ECP
EXPOSE: £24m cap Eight Capital Partners declared profit but a looming liquidity challenge
  • By Tom Winnifrith
  • 7 days ago
TPT
Topps Tiles – “expects adjusted profit before tax for the full year to be in line with current market expectations”, not the initial expectations though!…
  • By Steve Moore
  • 7 days ago
QBT
Quantum Blockchain Interims: how is this AIM posterboy company not classified as bust?
  • By Tom Winnifrith
  • 7 days ago
Beggar
To be fair to Andy Burnham and chancellor Healey as the 30 year bond tops 6%
  • By Tom Winnifrith
  • 7 days ago
LST
Light Science Technologies – after just in August “confidence in a strong second half has strengthened”, why are the shares now slumping on a “Trading Update”?…
  • By Steve Moore
  • 7 days ago
ECOB
Eco Buildings – interims, a progress in Albania and elsewhere STRONG BUY, this could multibag by Christmas
  • By HotStockRockets
  • 7 days ago
VLRM
Valereum Interims Part 1: A fess up on past untruths, the auditor calls out cock & it looks to be bust!
  • By Tom Winnifrith
  • 7 days ago
Bully
Paul Mathieson back where he started – my mother’s suicide, this time he ropes in my late father as well
  • By Tom Winnifrith
  • 7 days ago