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Wages are beating prices. Great…but it is still a mixed world out there

By Chris Bailey | Tuesday 17 October 2023


Disclosure: I have no positions in any stocks mentioned, and no plans to initiate any positions within the next 72 hours. I wrote this article myself, and it expresses my own opinions. I am not receiving compensation for it (other than from ShareProphets). I have no business relationship with any company whose stock is mentioned in this article.


I see that some new UK data this morning observed that wages rose at an annual rate of 7.8% between June and August, and unsurprisingly is now higher than the latest CPI increase. An average data point indication is always a complete mess as personal price or wage (or personal investment portfolio) performance is always materially diversified. However, I think it is fair to say that the average UK consumer is not feeling very, very excited about general or personal economic opportunities over the next year or two. I am a glass half full sort of person and - at some level - you always make your own luck. And, whilst the fourth quarter of the year is (historically) statistically strong, a far more useful insight is observing that it is smart to be an active investor, trying to carefully choose equities with good pricing power, attractive free cash flow generation capabilities and a strong balance sheet. You can already see the importance of such criteria in the early days of the global corporate earnings season.
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