I don't normally take broker research seriously but a) Galantas (GAL) operates in Ulster so I am biased in its favour and b) analyst Roger Bade at Whitman Howard is no fool. He reckons Galantas at 6p is worth 17.3p per share. The market cap today is £12 million but Bade explains why by 2020 the company could be generating £8 million of cashflow and by 2023 that could be £13 million and that is on uber-cautious gold price assumptions. The note (below) is very much worth a read.
Strange missives from Whitman Howard the broker employing the world's Number 1 Mining analyst Roger Bade. It all started with an "unusual" note he published on Anglo American (AAL) which was emailed to clients on 16 February:
In an announcement entitled “Zona 7 transforms Salamanca project economics”, Berkeley Energy (BKY) has announced the results of a pre-feasibility study which shows “the project now has a Net Present Value of $871.3 million (£580.9 million) with an internal rate of return of 93% based on a discount rate of 8% and a long term uranium price of $65 per pound”
We always thought that AIM listed Atlantic Coal (AC) was a 100% dog but the world’s number one mining analyst Roger Bade of Whitman Howard thinks otherwise and has initiated his coverage with a buy note. Whatever. In the interests of balance, the great man writes:
As you know I have gained a real understanding of how folks live in the grim Northern Welfare safari by becoming an avid viewer of Coronation Street. As such I note comments from the world’s number one mining analyst Roger Bade of Whitman Howard today and begin to think that the man’s judgement may be seriously suspect. Bade notes on the comedy that is Minera (MIRL):
You think that you are buying shares in big miners as safe income streams? Think again. Read carefully the words of the world’s top mining analyst Roger Bade of Whitman Howard. He writes this morning:
Life has not been easy for AIM listed Stratmin (STGR) but top mining analyst Roger Bade has flagged up a new dark cloud hanging over the entire Graphite sector. The great man writes:
South African gold and platinum producer Pan African Resources (PAF) says it will now work to improve volume and grades in key operations after a 68% fall in attributable first-half earnings to £5.5 million. The company, quoted on AIM and in Johannesburg, saw turnover in the six months to December slide 19.5% to £68.1 million, while all-in costs on the gold side rose from $965 (£622) to $1,165 an ounce, the average gold selling price fell from $1,311 to $1,231 an ounce and the South African Rand weakened.
The world’s No 1 mining analyst Roger Bade of Whitman Howard has produced his quarterly review and while there are a few new buy ideas, such as Amara (AMA), on the whole his tone is as bearish as ever. Anyone who says how some mining juniors should be “viewed with contempt” is a top man. Although Mr Bade’s less than complimentary words about the quite excellent Women in Mining organisation run by mining guru Amanda Van Dyke (pictured left since she is a tad more photogenic than Mr Bade) have “been noted”. Naughty. The review makes for sobering reading for anyone still investing in this sector. Mr Bade writes:
The world’s top mining analyst Roger Bade of Whitman Howard is known for his cynicism and caution so when he initiates his coverage of a stock with a buy you wake up. Today he has done just that on Hargreaves Services (HSP) at 645p.
The grotesquely overpaid and underperforming pigs (see HERE and also HERE in a piece containing explicit sado masochistic sexual imagery and also Michael Carvill) that sit on the Kenmare Resources (KMR) board managed to persuade their shareholders that it was right to reject the bid advance from Iluka. That allowed more time for boardroom troughing but boy shareholders must be regretting it as the Irish titanium miner finally fessed up to its debt pickle today.
Uber cynical mining analyst Roger Bade of Whitman Howard is normally incredibly bearish on mining juniors which is why he is so good. So when he suggests 100% upside in shares in a small miner you wake up. I tend to agree with him that Minco (MIO) looks a value investment. I am not joking.
The World’s number one mining analyst Roger bade of Whitman Howard has today suggested that Randgold Resources (RRS) could bid for Amara Mining (AMA) and quite happily pay double the current (16.5p) share price.
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