Wealth and asset management company Mattioli Woods (MTW) has announced its results for its year ended 31st May 2023 and says that it “remains well positioned for the year ahead with a strong platform and integrated model”.
Packaging company DS Smith (SMDS) has issued an AGM trading statement emphasising that trading is in line with expectations and that it is positioned well for the remainder of its year and beyond. Sounds reassuringly solid then.
Wood Group (WG.) was a tip last year at a 155p offer price – with we then noting we looked to repeat previous success of a more than 40%, less than 7 months, offer-to-bid gain. In April this year we banked more than 45%, little more than 9 months, gains at 226p. Following recent half-year results which emphasised “clear strategic progress, strong growth and increasing full year guidance”, though with the shares at a 156.7p offer price we consider this again a good time to Buy.
As the bear raider Evil Knievil often says, the best time to kick a man is when he is down. Less than two months ago the housebuilder Crest Nicholson (CRST) said that its full year to October 31 profits before tax would be £70 million. Now we are told to expect £50 million. And I reckon even that is not baked in.
OptiBiotix Health (OPTI) has issued a “Commercial update” announcement, noting commercial progress of its first-generation products range and reiterating plans for each business unit to reach operational profitability by the end of this year. What of this with the shares currently responding up towards 30p?
Protective packaging design, manufacturing and distribution group Macfarlane (MACF) has announced results for the first half of the 2023 calendar year and that new business momentum and its management of pricing and costs mean that its profit expectations for the full year remain unchanged.
Half year results from company describing itself as a “world-leading provider of technology-enabled language, content and intellectual property services” RWS Holdings (RWS) included some weaker demand in the current macroeconomic climate and planned investments. However, there looks good reason for some confidence looking ahead and, including with the shares down from above 400p as recently as early this year, we now consider there to be clear value.
Jubilee Metals (JLP) has issued an update on its project expansions, including a successful processing facility upgrade in South Africa and copper expansion strategy “progressing ahead of schedule” in Zambia.
Industrial components manufacturer and distributor Essentra (ESNT) has announced results for the first half of the 2023 calendar year “in line with expectations” and that it expects to make further progress in the second half of the year. Meanwhile, we look for progress from a current around 150p share price.
Foundry and Machining company Castings (CGS) has issued an AGM trading statement including that “schedules are starting to reflect the underlying demand in the market” and “input prices appear to have stabilised in the current year”. Good news?
No we have not tried its product Eroxon nor indeed felt the need to do so although Lucian Miers is a grandpa these days. Eroxon is a supposed treatment for Erectile Dysfunction and recently Futura Medical (FUM) followers have got terribly excited about gaining regulatory approval in Saudi Arabia.
Sylvania Platinum (SLP) has announced a joint venture agreement with a subsidiary of ChromTech Mining to process PGM and chrome ores from historical tailings dumps and current arisings from the Limberg chrome mine, emphasising it “represents a major step in delivery of Sylvania's growth strategy”.
Carbon and ceramic materials company Morgan Advanced Materials (MGAM) has announced results for the first half of 2023 headlined “encouraging progress; FY23 guidance unchanged”. How encouraging is this?
‘Provider of engineered electronics for performance critical applications’ TT Electronics (TTG) has announced results for the first half of the 2023 calendar year, emphasising “strong organic growth in revenue and profit” and “continued strong momentum”. What of a share price currently responding up above 155p?
Molten metal flow engineering and technology company Vesuvius (VSVS) has announced its results for the first half of 2023 and says that it feels confident to modestly increase full year expectations. Good news.
Platinum group metals producer from South Africa Sylvania Platinum (SLP) has issued its fourth quarterly report for its year ended 30th June 2023, noting its production exceeded forecasts and “strong cash reserves to allow funding of expansion and process optimisation capital and upgrading of the group's exploration and evaluation assets with the potential to return value to shareholders”. So what of the shares currently around 70p in response?
Gold miner in Egypt Centamin (CEY) has announced results for the first half of the 2023 calendar year emphasising “Improved results driven by strong operating performance and stringent cost management” and “in a robust position to deliver the next stage of growth including further optimisation at Sukari and continued development of the Doropo project”. Sounds good, and the shares have currently responded higher.
Pension consulting and administration group XPS Pensions (XPS) has announced an agreement to sell principal employer and scheme funder of the National Pensions Trust, XPS Pensions (Nexus) Limited, to SEI and for a strategic partnership between the organisations. What’s the detail and what of a current share price response up further to around 190p?
Shares in ‘engineered electronics for performance critical applications’ company TT Electronics (TTG) were above 200p as recently as April, but are now available at a 153p offer price. Following an AGM trading update in May and with half year results scheduled for 3rd August, we now consider the shares a recovery Buy.
UK wealth and asset management company Mattioli Woods (MTW) has issued a trading update including that inflationary pressures continue to impact wages and other costs but also “profit for the year in line with expectation… expect the current macroeconomic conditions and recent legislative changes to drive continued demand for advice”. So what does this suggest from a current 620p share price?
J Sainsbury (SBRY) has issued a trading statement for the 16 weeks ended 24th June 2023, emphasising “continued strong Grocery momentum” and “General Merchandise growth driven by further Argos market share gains, with strong Consumer Electronics sales offsetting weaker early Summer seasonals performance”. So what of this with a now 269.6p share price?
Pensions advisory and administration group XPS Pensions (XPS) has announced results for its year ended 31st March 2023 and that it “has made a strong start to the new financial year with continued high levels of demand”. Sounds good, and so is there further upside from a 173.5p share price?
Structural steel company Severfield (SFR) has announced its results for a year ended 25th March 2023 that it describes as “very successful” and that, given its performance to-date and the strength of its order books, it is confident of delivering further progress.
Foundry and Machining company Castings (CGS) has announced results for its year ended 31st March 2023 and that “customers continue to increase schedules”. So more good news from a now above 400p share price?
Investor in early stage financial services businesses B.P. Marsh & Partners (BPM) has announced results for its year ended 31st January 2023 and emphasised a three year strategy to return £13 million to shareholders and that it is looking forward to reporting further progress for the current financial year.
Equipment rental company Vp plc (VP.) has announced results for its year ended 31st March 2023 and that, whilst some macro-economic volatility remains, it is confident that it will continue to deliver on its objectives of driving demand for products and services and increasing revenues and profitability.
Jubilee Metals (JLP) has announced a new partnership agreement for its PGM and chrome operations, emphasising it is progress towards expanding its South African operational footprint by 65% over the next 24 months to reach nearly 2 million tonnes of chrome concentrate annually as it continuously strives to enhance earnings.
Investor in early stage financial services businesses, B.P. Marsh & Partners (BPM) has announced that, “subject to completion and receipt of the Kentro proceeds”, it is pleased to confirm a special dividend, new dividend policy and a further share buyback as well as providing an update on its ongoing strategy.
Describing itself as “a global leader in molten metal flow engineering and technology”, a recent trading statement from Vesuvius plc (VSVS) included that its end-markets recovery pace “remains slow and uncertain”, but that they have started to recover from a low level of the end of last year and that its current trading is ‘ahead of initial expectations’. With this adding to confidence of its performance as its end markets recover and a good dividend yield whilst we wait, at a 417.8p offer price and up to 420p, we consider the shares a Buy.
Recommended in May at a 167p offer price, UK pensions consulting and administration group XPS (XPS) has since stated that it “is pleased to provide its post-close trading update (unaudited) for the year ending 31 March 2023 ahead of its full year results expected to be released on 22 June”. With the shares currently slightly up, how ‘pleasing’ was the announcement?
Early stage financial services businesses investor B.P. Marsh & Partners (BPM) “is pleased to announce the disposal of its entire 18.7% shareholding in Kentro, subject to FCA approval being granted”. With the shares currently up to 334p to buy in response, how ‘pleasing’ is the prospective disposal?
The FCA always tells us, when not lecturing us on climate change or the need of the financial services industry to employ more lesbians of colour, that past performance is no guide to the future. But the thing is that it very often is an excellent guide to the future. And that is one of the reasons why I have always regarded Bens Creek (BEN) as an accident waiting to happen.
UK wealth and asset management company Mattioli Woods (MTW) recently announced an initial £8.78 million and up to £15.048 million acquisition of one of the largest financial planning and wealth management businesses in Northern Ireland, Doherty Pension & Investment Consultancy. This is expected to be earnings enhancing in the first full year of ownership and looks to add to an attractive value and income position here.
Agriculture and engineering group Carr’s (CARR) has announced its results for its half-year ended 4th March 2023 and that it “anticipates full year adjusted profit before tax of c.£10m and remains confident in the prospects of both divisions in the medium term”.
Packaging designer, manufacturer and distributor Macfarlane Group (MACF) has issued a trading update headlined “Solid start to 2023 - on course to meet full year expectations”, so what does that mean relative to a now 114.5p share price, £181.3 million market cap?
Iron castings and machining operations company Castings (CGS) has announced it now anticipates year ended 31st March 2023 performance to be ahead of market expectations and that forward demand schedules continue to reflect strong order books across its customer base.
Packaging designer, manufacturer and distributor Macfarlane Group (MACF) has announced the acquisition of A & G Holdings, owner of Gottlieb Packaging Materials – a North-West of England-based supplier of protective packaging products to customers across a wide range of sectors.
Packaging company DS Smith (SMDS) has issued a trading statement noting “strong growth in profitability and financial performance”, in line with expectations, and that it is well positioned entering its new year.
Imperial Brands (IMB) has issued a trading update emphasising that it is on track to meet full-year guidance including growing revenue and operating profit after first half robust tobacco pricing and stable aggregate market share across its top combustible markets against a strong comparator and a step-up in 'next generation products' launches.
Previously writing on 155p offer price July last year tip Wood Group (WG.), earlier this month with the shares at 200p we noted that, although the share price suggested that the market did not believe takeover proposals would succeed, it looked to us like the major shareholders were open to a deal and that anyway there looked medium term upside so continue to hold. Now there’s been a further announcement on the possible takeover from the group – and the shares are up to above 226p.
Amaroq Minerals (AMRQ) has announced that all resolutions have been met meaning its Strategic Minerals joint venture transaction with GCAM has now closed, with approval from the Greenland government. An “exciting milestone”?
Agriculture and engineering group Carr's (CARR) has announced delayed results for its year ended 3rd September 2022, emphasising it is “now focused on higher-margin, differentiated, international Speciality Agriculture and Engineering businesses with strong growth prospects” and its shares have been restored to trading.
J Sainsbury (SBRY) recently concluded its financial year. However, there look to be good reasons to look forward to the 27th April-scheduled numbers and beyond with confidence with the resilient nature of its core business in a currently highly uncertain macro environment.
Writing on Wood Group (WG.) last month we noted a Takeover Panel extension until 5pm on 19th April including the group stating “following engagement with shareholders” suggested to us that the major shareholders are open to a deal. Now a 'Final Proposal' announcement from private equity bidder Apollo and a response from Wood Group.
Grocery property REIT, Supermarket Income (SUPR) has announced results for its half-year ended 31st December 2022 and that it is on track to deliver a full-year 2023 target dividend of 6p per share. That sounds good with a current 85.6p share price.
Wood Group (WG.) has announced results for the 2022 calendar year and that the “transformed” group is already delivering – noting it has “started 2023 with good momentum… order book for delivery in 2023 is up 10%”.
Industrial components manufacturer and distributor Essentra (ESNT) has announced its results for the 2022 calendar year and that it considers it has now laid the foundations to capture exciting growth opportunities.
Gold and strategic metals development and exploration company in Greenland, Amaroq Minerals (AMRQ) has announced that it has agreed heads of terms for $49.5 million of financing to enable trial mining, processing and production of gold doré at its flagship Nalunaq project and we’ve subsequently spoken to CEO Eldur Olafsson.
On March 15th 2008, almost exactly fifteen years ago, the Federal Reserve railroaded JP Morgan into the rescue of Bear Stearns, which had gone from being solvent to insolvent in a couple of days. The consensus was that this drew a line under a rocky period and that normality had been restored. Six months later we all know what happened.
You can just smell it. All the signs are there and the company has stated that it will be placing before its year-end which is now just over three months away. At 40.75p, the market cap is £36.7 million and if you can short Genedrive (GDR) you should. So here’s why.
Packaging company DS Smith (SMDS) has issued a Q3 trading statement including that “the positive trends in profitability experienced in H1 have continued” and “positions us well for the remainder of the year and into our next financial year”. So what of a recently falling share price?
Jubilee Metals (JLP) has announced results for its half-year ended 31st December 2022, noting impact from South Africa and Zambia power outages and water disruptions but arguing that it has now taken actions to address these.
Structural steel company Severfield (SFR) has announced an agreement to acquire Voortman Steel Construction for a net €24 million, emphasising it will provide it with further market and geographical diversification and is anticipated to be earnings-enhancing in its first full year of ownership.
This column has been calling Cineworld (CINE) as a short for absolute ages. It hardly seems credible but three years ago the shares were 170p. Today they are 2.9p and so anybody who has gone short as we advised all along has done well. You know where to send the “thank you” bottles of ouzo.
Re-recommended at a 155p offer price in July after we previously banked a more than 40%, less than 7 months, offer-to-bid gain on the shares, Wood Group (WG.) has noted “recent speculation” and confirmed that it has received three possible cash offer proposals from Apollo Global Management, the most recent of which was at 230p per share and unanimously rejected by the board as it considers it “significantly undervalued the repositioned group's prospects”.
BP (BP.) has announced a fourth quarter $4.8 billion underlying Replacement Cost profit, a 10% increased quarterly dividend per share of $0.0661 and that it sees “tremendous opportunity to create value”.
Shares in Castings plc (CGS) have recently recovered to above 350p after positive trading and results statements towards the end of last year. However, they remain well down on levels achieved in prior years despite a positive outlook and look to be a value and income Buy at current levels.
Essentra (ESNT) has now announced how it intends to structure a previously noted £150 million return to shareholders following the disposals of its Filters and Packaging divisions to focus on being a leading global manufacturer and distributor of components.
Platinum group metals in South Africa company Sylvania Platinum (SLP) has announced results for its quarter ended 31stDecember 2022 and that “FY2023 production guidance increased, targeting 70,000 to 72,000 4E PGM ounces” (up from 68,000-70,000 ounces). Good news from a current 106p share price we suggest.
Each month, Advanced Oncotherapy (AVO) needs between £1 million and £2 million to keep the lights on. And to date, each month Odey Asset Management has been writing a cheque, buying shares at 25p (par value) to keep the show on the road. But the shares are slipping and is this farce about to end prompting a share price collapse?
Wood Group (WG.) has issued a trading update for the 2022 calendar year, including emphasising “underlying revenue growth… led by Operations and Consulting with a return to growth in H2 in Projects” and that it has “attractive growth prospects”.
Tesco (TSCO) states that it is “really pleased” with its recent trading performance and that it goes into the new calendar year with good momentum. So what of a current share price up to just above 246p?
Essentra (ESNT) has issued a full year 2022 pre-close trading update including that its “resilience is supported by its breadth of customers, market categories, geographies and acquisition momentum” and confirming an intention to return approximately £150 million to shareholders this quarter. So what of a current 218p share price?
As most people know, AMC Entertainment (NYSE - AMC), the US based cinema chain, would be bankrupt now (like its rival Cineworld) but for its status for the last couple of years as a meme stock which has allowed CEO Adam Aron to issue stock like confetti to the self-proclaimed Apes and keep the creditors at bay.
Jubilee Metals (JLP) has issued a ‘Zambia and Corporate Update’, including noting “successful completion of the water infrastructure upgrade at its Roan Project and continued advances in the production of cobalt and copper from waste at its Sable Refinery in Zambia”. So what with the shares currently at 10.25p in response?
A trading update last month from Keller Group (KLR) included that “since the half year results, trading has continued at record levels” and that it is to “recommend a further 5% increase in the final dividend to 24.5p (2022: 23.3p). This would bring the 2022 total dividend payable to 37.7p (2021: 35.9p)”. We see income and growth value from a 747p offer price.
Packaging company DS Smith (SMDS) has announced results for its half-year ended 31st October 2022 and that, with also current momentum in the business, it now expects full-year performance to be ahead of expectations. Good news.
SkinBioTherapeutics (SBTX) has announced no-one watching o’clock (4:30pm) results for its year ended 30th June 2022, with CEO Stuart Ashman stating “this financial year has been a mixed one for the group”. With the results coming with a potentially £3.5 million equity raise (albeit including an up to £1 million “retail offer”) at 16p per share, we’ve got some other words for it but where does this all leave the company now?
I have just finished reading Tim Steer’s excellent book, The Signs Were There (The clues for investors that a company is heading for a fall), which I thoroughly recommend. It contains chapters on many old favourites such as Connaught, Quindell/Slater & Gordon, Autonomy, Carillion and the Woodford Equity Income Fund. I hope that the book will be updated in the near future, and when it is I fully expect a chapter on Victoria plc (VCP).
easyJet (EZJ) has announced results for its year ended 30th September 2022, including emphasising “achieved record headline EBITDAR in Q4 of £674 million” and “peak holiday weeks this winter, such as October half term and Christmas week in the UK, are back to normal levels of volume. Through these key periods, ticket yields are showing strength on the prior year, with the Christmas period's ticket yield currently up c. 18%”. Is this overall good news?
Technology security services group Shearwater (SWG) has announced results for its half-year ended 30th September 2022 and that it remains “confident, based on delivering the existing pipeline of opportunities”. So what’s the half-year detail and what of a current 95.5p share price?
September-recommended at a 180p offer price manufacturer of collagen products for the food industry Devro (DVO) has issued an update including that “current trading and the full year outlook are slightly ahead of the board's expectations, underpinned by a robust performance and foreign exchange tailwinds”… but, more significantly, has also announced a recommended offer... at 316.1p per share!
Back in May I became mildly obsessed by Sam Bankman Fried (aka SBF), now a household name as the new Bernie Madoff. This was after I read a feature on him in the weekend FT, in its Lunch with the FT column in which celebrities from all walks of life who are newsworthy at time are interviewed over a meal at the FT’s expense. The Silicon Valley tech geeks in this series tend to order the most repulsive woke food and talk the most bullshit and generally be the most dislikeable but SBF really took the biscuit in this regard, and I spent several hours trying to find a way to short anything to do with him, unfortunately with no result. Since the implosion of FTX I have been addicted to following this lurid story and all students of fraud should spend time on this case study of folly, greed and incompetance. It has everything (certainly sex and drugs and maybe even rock and roll) and gives out a great many examples as to the crazy environment that we have been living in for so long.
On developer of “compounds to tackle obesity, cardiovascular disease and diabetes”, OptiBiotix Health(OPTI) we’ve previously noted ‘some delays in delivery but a sales recovery Buy’ – including with “product launches by Apollo Pharmacies in India and restocking by some partners with sales normalising… as in previous years, there was no contribution in this period from licence or royalty payments which tend to be received in the second half”. We’ve since again spoken to CEO Steve O'Hara.
Imperial Brands(IMB) has announced results for its year ended 30th September 2022 and that it is “well placed to build on our track record of delivery over the next three years, improving returns and creating sustainable growth in shareholder value”.
Shares in Tesco (TSCO) were above 270p as recently as August but have fallen back significantly as it faces clear macro challenges. However, it has a long track-record across economic conditions and we consider the share price fall has been too extreme.
BP (BP.) has announced third quarter results emphasising “net debt fell for the tenth successive quarter; we are investing with discipline; and we are delivering on our commitment to shareholder distributions - announcing a further $2.5 billion share buyback”. So what of a now slightly further higher 486.45p share price?
Sylvania Platinum (SLP) has announced “best quarterly production since the COVID-lockdowns in early 2020. This increase in production ounces and the 2% higher PGM basket price recorded in the quarter, resulted in stronger profits”. The shares have currently responded up to 92p and there looks more to go.
Imperial Brands(IMB) has announced year ended 30th September 2022 “trading in line with expectations with growth in aggregate market share for top-five priority markets” and that a strengthened balance sheet and achievement of target leverage are to enable the immediate start of an ongoing share buyback programme. The shares have responded positively, up to 1940p, so what’s the detail?
Essentra (ESNT) has issued “Sale of Filters and Packaging Completion of Sale” and “Appointment of New Chief Executive”-titled announcements and the shares have responded up by more than 15% to above 210p – Mr Market says it sounds like good news then.
Previously writing on OptiBiotix Health(OPTI), earlier this month we noted prior delays in delivery from larger deals but that orders are already coming through and being booked as second half sales. Now some clear evidence of this with an announcement that the company’s GoFigure meal replacement shakes and powdered beverage shots have now been officially launched by India's Apollo Hospitals & Pharmacies.
Wood Group (WG.) has announced its results for the first half of 2022 and that it expects an improved performance in the second half, including being helped by an improvement in its Turbines joint ventures.
Early stage financial services businesses investor B.P. Marsh (BPM) has announced it remains confident it will continue with its historic growth trajectory and deliver attractive returns for investors, including a dividend per share “at least” maintained at last year’s 2.78p for the next two years.
Floorcoverings distributor Headlam Group (HEAD) has announced results for the first half of 2022 and that trading resilience continues with it remaining on track to meet market expectations for the year.
Back in November of last year the CEO of Cake Box (CBOX) sold 3 million shares at 350p to mug fund managers. That means that over the past two years he has trousered £16.4 million at 170p and 350p. Lucky him. The company, which I have called out for months as a slam dunk car crash waiting to happen, has recently served up a horrific profit warning and its shares touched 90p. But then the CEO invested £250,000 at 121p and hey presto the shares are now 142p – more than halfway back to the pre-warning 180p level. This is absurd.
Packaging company DS Smith (SMDS) has issued an AGM update including a trading statement and that Finance Director Adrian Marsh has informed the company of his intention to retire on a successor being in place.
OptiBiotix Health(OPTI) has announced that it now expects half-year sales in its new structure to be materially lower than expected and, though it expects sales normalising in the second half and healthy growth next year, the current year is to now be “insufficient to make up the H1 deficit”. We profusely apologise for the short-term disappointment though, having spoken to the company, what to do now with the shares down at 20p to buy, a £17.6 million market cap?
Short selling outfit Iceberg recently published a bear dossier on carpets roll-up play Victoria (VCP), which I reposted on this website HERE. Writing to you from Greece, I am not aware if the deadwood press is taking this matter onwards as what Iceberg wrote was very punchy indeed and I am sure that Victoria’s PR spinners will be using phrases involving the dreaded L word (lawyer) to any of the spineless 4th Estate hacks who ask questions.
BP (BP.) has announced second quarter and half-year results including a second quarter attributable profit of $9.26 billion and 10% increased dividend per share to $0.06006 and outlook confidence with ongoing supply disruptions in the industry and a relative lack of inventories.
After Fevertree’s (FEVR) recent profits warning, Lucian Miers says that he has closed his short. Not that he expects the shares to surge higher just that he sees greater opportunities out there for the teddies. I am not so sure.
Previously updating on the UK’s largest pawnbroker and a leading retailer of new and pre-owned jewellery and watches, H&T Group (HAT) we concluded that we continued to look for further news flow to drive a return to an above 350p share price. The shares have now reached further higher than that.
Writing on OptiBiotix Health(OPTI) last month with the shares at 21p to buy, we noted potential for a move into meaningful profitability and further potential from 'second generation' products addressing much larger market opportunities. We drank our own medicine with Tom buying more shares at 22p. The shares are now further up at 31.5p on the back of a “Joint development agreement signed with Firmenich”-titled announcement.
Shares in Mondi plc (MNDI) are down from reaching above 1950p in February to currently below 1500p. However, there looks good reasons why the shares in this FTSE 100 company should, at least, recover to those previous levels again. If not go higher still.
Essentra (ESNT) has announced what it emphasises is “a significant step” to a future as a global leading manufacturer and distributor of components with a clear strategy and significant opportunities to accelerate growth and expand market share. This is with an agreed sale of its Packaging business.
Packaging company DS Smith (SMDS) has announced results for its year ended 30th April 2022, with it emphasising “a strong improvement in profitability and high cash generation… The new financial year has started well, building on the momentum”. This sounds good.
B.P. Marsh & Partners (BPM), the specialist investor in early stage financial services businesses, has announced results for its year ended 31st January 2022, emphasising its growth trajectory despite the current “headwinds for all businesses”.
Jadestone Energy (JSE) has announced results for the 2021 calendar year and that it still expects 2022 average production to increase to 15,500-18,500 boe/d. So what of a share price slipping to 101p in response?
Lucian Miers wrote here a couple of weeks ago about Fevertree (FEVR) where he remains short. There may be some people laughing at him as the fizzy drinks group fairly promptly served up a trading statement suggesting that it was on track to meet forecasts. But that is looking in the rear-view mirror. What is important is what happens going forward.
Floorcoverings distributor group Headlam (HEAD) has issued an AGM trading update including that it “continues to be comfortable with profit expectations for the year”. So what of a current 338p share price?
Miner in Azerbaijan, Anglo Asian Mining (AAZ) states that it “is pleased to announce its final audited results for the year ended 31 December 2021”. However, the shares are down to 85p to buy in response.
Packaging group Macfarlane (MACF) “is pleased to announce the acquisition ofPackMann Gesellschaft für Verpackungen und Dienstleistungen mbH, a protective packaging distribution business based in Eppelheim near Heidelberg, Germany”, emphasising it is to accelerate the growth of its protective packaging business in Northern Europe. Crazy name eh! German is such an amazing language. But a good deal.
Imperial Brands(IMB) has announced results for its half year ended 31st March 2022 emphasising “stabilisation of our core combustible business” and “successful consumer trials validate our approach and strengthen our confidence in our Next Generation Product strategy”. This sounds encouraging.
Jubilee Metals(JLP) has announced a performance update of its new and expanded fully integrated South African Inyoni PGM and chrome operations and its Zambian southern copper strategy. So what’s the situation, with the shares having responded up to 15.4p?
Packaging group Macfarlane (MACF) has announced “a solid start to 2022, with first quarter sales and profits from continuing operations ahead of the same period in 2021… expectations for the full year are unchanged”. So what of a current 120.5p share price?
Sylvania Platinum (SLP) has announced quarterly results including “net profit of $21.2 million… cash balance of $138.0 million (Q2: $110.1 million)… production is expected to increase significantly during the next quarter due to progress at Lesedi and the improvements identified post quarter end at Mooinoi”. So what of a current around 90p share price?
BP (BP.) has announced a first quarter of the year $20.4 billion loss... though also reduced net debt to $27.5 billion, a maintained 5.46 cents per share dividend and a proposed further $2.5 billion share buyback. So what’s going on?
Fresnillo (FRES) has announced first quarter of the year production including attributable silver production of 13.28 million ounces and gold production of 0.15 million ounces and that, despite challenges, “2022 guidance remains unchanged”.
Centamin(CEY) has announced a quarterly update including “as planned, Q1 2022 production reflected the successful transition to owner mining in the underground… reiterates its 2022 full-year guidance”, so what of a share price response currently down closer to 90p?
Shares in Flowtech Fluidpower (FLO) remain below levels of earlier this year despite recent results showing encouraging recovery and noting an encouraging start to this year, with there looking to be scope for further recovery in profitability and for the share price.
SkinBioTherapeutics(SBTX) has announced results for its half-year ended 31st December 2021 which show revenue of just £21,949, cash £1.5 million lower to £3.2 million and include a warning that full-year forecasts will be materially missed – and the shares have responded down to 35p. But here’s why we retain significant confidence and see this as a buying opportunity. From here this could be a 10 bagger.
Europe’s leading floorcoverings distributor group Headlam Group (HEAD) has announced its results for the 2021 calendar year and said “trading in January and February 2022 in line with plan, with the strong margin performance in 2021 maintained into 2022”.
OptiBiotix Health(OPTI) has issued a trading update commenting that 2021 “total invoiced sales for the group were £2.2m (2020: £1.5m) an increase of 46.7% on the previous year and in line with market expectations” and including that it “has made good progress against its stated aims of focusing on a smaller number of large partners in key strategic markets and expects to see the benefits of these in 2022 and beyond”. What does that mean at the bottom-line?
PGMs tailings materials retreatment company in South Africa Sylvania Platinum (SLP) has announced results for its half-year ended 31st December 2021, noting a net profit of $24.4 million, “cash balance at 31 December 2021 of $110.1 million (HY1 FY2021: $67.1 million)” and that it is expecting second half-year PGM ounce production improvement.
Packaging group Macfarlane (MACF) has announced results for the 2021 calendar year and that 2022 trading in the early months has been “encouraging” and that it is confident it will deliver further growth.
Given the hysteria surrounding the situation in Ukraine over the weekend, the falls in Western-listed Russian names were relatively muted with most being down low single digit percentages on Monday. The exception to this appeared to be FTSE 100 constituent Evraz plc (EVR), the steel producer and coal miner with major operations in Russia and Ukraine. The stock which had closed on Friday at 444p opened at 285p, showing a decline of 159p or 35%. The press was quick to latch on to this “carnage”:
Jadestone Energy (JSE) states that it “is pleased to provide its guidance outlook for 2022”, including noting that it expects to generate material incremental cash at current oil prices and premiums and may consider an increase in shareholder returns through increased dividends and/or share buy-backs later in the year. Sounds good.
Jubilee Metals(JLP) states that it “is pleased to announce its unaudited operational results for the six months to 31 December 2021” and that it looks forward to “the next six months with the full impact of the Inyoni facility being felt, as well as the targeted ramp-up at Roan enabling us to take anothermajor step in our commitment to achieve annual copper production of 25 000 tonnes”. So what of a current 16.3p share price, £396 million market capitalisation?
Sylvania Platinum (SLP) has announced results for its quarter ended 31st December 2021, including cash of $110.1 million and “significant progress in terms of access to additional chrome tailings resources at both the Eastern and Western Operations”.
Staffing group Impellam (IPEL) has announced it has agreed to sell its US-based light industrial business Corestaff for $19 million (approx. £14 million) to US private digital staffing company Swipejobs and is to subsequently pay down net debt and fund additional investment.
This has been a very good share tip for our readers but there is more to come. Jadestone Energy (JSE) has announced that “2021 production averaged 12,545 boe/d, in line with expectations” and “cash balances at the end of the year are estimated at US$117.4 million, representing an increase of 30% year-on-year, even after the largest spending programme in the company’s history”. This sounds encouraging.
Lucian Miers and myself have repeatedly called out Cineworld (CINE) as a compelling short and those who have followed our calls have prospered. But the FT, the home of almost every wrong call in history from backing the UK joining the Euro to selling its gold in 1997, runs a story “Cineworld debt pile set to save cinema operator from bankruptcy.” You might think this is a reason to buy. Au contaire. A resting banksta writes to me to explain.
These shares are already lower since this article first appeared on the N50 website just yesterday but they look to have much further to fall as, at last, it seems that we might have reached a point where equity fund managers, suddenly fearful rather than greedy, are taking a look at their portfolios to have a closer look at exactly what they hold.
OptiBiotix Health(OPTI) was one of our tips of the year, with we anticipating financial progress as its deals for its compounds expand and further deals kick-in. It has now announced that a further human volunteer study on its cholesterol-reducing probiotic LPLDL - on a different population group of hypercholesterolemic adults – has shown “at six weeks, when volunteers taking placebo were compared to those taking LPLDL, there were statistically significant changes to clinically important cardiovascular risk”, including “34.2% reduction in total cholesterol (p=0.001)”.
This is a market where being short can be exceedingly painful. As Gabriel Grego found out the other day, even what appear to be slam dunk frauds can roof it. This is what happens at the fag end of a bull market. But in the UK, I sense that there is now real ennui among investors, both institutional and the spivs at the bucket shops, when it comes to placings.
OptiBiotix Health (OPTI) has followed a sales agreement with Apollo Hospitals Enterprises for its GoFigure weight management product range in India with an agreement for GoFigure and SlimBiome Medical in Saudi Arabia (KSA). Is this further encouraging progress or just more flannel?
An already widespread virus mutating to what is being seen clinically as “extremely mild cases”. Not bad news then… except in Airstrip One – and a resultant very negative stock market reaction. However government response madness is gradually being revealed and travel and leisure should resultantly gradually recover, though some share prices here remain depressed. Opportunity?…
Packaging company DS Smith (SMDS) has announced results for its half-year ended 31st October 2021 and that it has “confidence to deliver a significant improvement in profitability during the second half of this year” following an increased pre-tax profit to £175 million in the first half.
Previously writing on Essentra (ESNT) we noted ‘Q3 update, adds corporate excitement potential’ with the company “reviewing the full range of strategic options for the Filters business” with it aiming to become a pure play Components business over time, targeting strategic focus and an acceleration of organic and inorganic growth. Now a further “Strategic Update” and a “Directorate Change”.
Although the S&P 500 index is still around all time highs, there have been some savage declines of late in certain names and 275 stocks are lower now than they were six months ago. This suggests to me that the health of the US markets is much more fragile and precarious than the level of the three main indices implies.
Equipment rental company Vp plc (VP.) has announced results for its half-year ended 30th September 2021 emphasising “a strong and continuing recovery in all of our businesses”. This sounds encouraging.
Evil Knievil: “the best time to kick a man is when he is down.” The great bear raider is correct, especially in these crazy times when so many frauds or near bankrupts seem able to defy gravity as the believers still belief and continue to BOTFD, so providing share price support. But in some cases even the believers are starting to smell the coffee.
OptiBiotix Health(OPTI) has announced the launch of a new sports nutrition product range, LeanBiome, with a supply & licensing agreement with “a leading global player in beauty & nutrition”. What of a current share price response up to 42.5p?
I write after a day in which shares rallied sharply after Friday’s big sell-off. That shakedown was on fears that the Botswana covid variant or rather the extreme over-reaction to it given the level of hospitalizations and deaths it has caused (0 & 0) could see corporate earnings hammered. I noted on Friday that the sell off was driven by a false fear. Surely even the lunatics in charge of the asylum we call Britain will soon have to accept that the Omicron (an anagram of moronic) variant is no great threat and thus the new lockdown measures will have to be reversed and thus the impact on PLC earnings will be trivial. One would hope so. That growing realisation that our leaders have blundered is what, one suspects, drove the rally.
Atalaya Mining (ATYM) states it is pleased to announce its quarterly and nine-month results for the period ended 30th September 2021, with it emphasising “another strong quarter… robust operational performance, combined with strong copper prices, has seen our EBITDA for the first nine months of 2021 more than triple from the amount generated during the same period of 2020”. So what of a now more than 400p share price?
Having been falling from early this month, shares in SkinBioTherapeutics (SBTX) are currently further lower after it announced “OptiBiotix Health Plc has placed 3,636,363 ordinary shares in SkinBioTherapeutics with new and existing institutional investors at a price of 55 pence per share”. With SkinBioTherapeutics CEO Stuart Ashman though arguing “the company is going from strength to strength” and “it is important to attract new investors who are keen to come on board to support us in the next stage of the company’s development, as a commercial entity”, why the further share price fall?
‘The best time to kick a man is when he is down’ is a quote from my friend the bear raider Simon Cawkwell, aka Evil Knievil. It is not a reference to individuals who have fallen on bad times for Cawkwell is, sometimes, not that uncharitable, but to shares in companies hitting new lows.
BP (BP.) has announced third quarter of the year results, emphasising it is delivering significant cash to strengthen finances, growing distributions to shareholders and investing in strategic transformation.
Since, a few weeks ago, Matt Earl launched his first bear dossier on Civitas Social Housing (CSH) its shares have fallen by 25% to 91p. The company did issue a response to the first dossier published by the bear raider known as “the Dark Destroyer”.
Gold miner in Kazakhstan AltynGold(ALTN) has made an update on the third quarter of the year, with the shares up as it noted that despite lower gold prices “strong production dynamics” still meant revenue was marginally up.
Floorcoverings distributor Headlam (HEAD) has announced that Steve Wilson has “stepped down” as Chief Executive and from the company having “been instrumental in the company’s success throughout his 30 years with Headlam, the last five years as Chief Executive”. Bad news or time for a change?
Imperial Brands(IMB) is “pleased to report the business continues to perform well… on track to deliver our full-year results in line with expectations”. That suggests upside potential from a below 1500p share price.
Following half-year results from Jadestone Energy (JSE) recently, we noted the financial improvement despite challenges and that with the growth potential suggested the 77p share price too harsh an appraisal. There is now a “Montara H6 well successfully brought onstream”-titled announcement and the shares are further higher.
Jadestone Energy (JSE) has announced its results for the first half of 2021, reaffirming full-year production guidance of 11,500-13,500 barrels of oil equivalent per day and anticipating 20,000 boe/d towards the end of the year. We are well up on this 69p offer price share tip but where do we go from here?
Early stage financial services businesses investment company B.P. Marsh & Partners (BPM) has made a trading update for its half-year ended 31st July 2021, including that its “portfolio has performed well during the period, and we expect this to continue through the group’s current financial year”.
I have been a critic of Argo Blockchain (ARB) for an awfully long time. It is run by sharp promoters and backed by some nasty spivs. And it seems to me that it has failed woefully to address the issues flagged up a few weeks ago in the recent Boatman bear dossier HERE.
SkinBioTherapeutics(SBTX) has delivered a “Business Update” including that the commercial launch of AxisBiotix-Ps is on track for Q4 and has further encouraging potential, that SkinBiotix manufacturing scale-up with Croda (CRDA) is progressing to schedule and 30th June year-end cash totalled £4.6 million. Sounds good.
Anglo Asian Mining (AAZ) has announced a maiden JORC Mineral Resource for its Zafar polymetallic deposit in the Gedabek contract area, Azerbaijan, which it argues is “extremely encouraging and will help underpin the company’s future long-term production growth”.
Early in July we noted shares in Europe’s leading floorcoverings distributor Headlam Group (HEAD) looked a recovery buy at a 495p offer price, considering there clear potential for outperformance of forecasts based on the trading momentum and the operational improvement programme being implemented. A “Pre-Close Trading Update” sees the shares currently at 528p. Is there still further upside?
OptiBiotix Health(OPTI) has made a “Trading and commercial update” including that sales are ahead of its expectations for the first six months of the year and that it “believes it is in a strong position to meet or exceed its full year sales forecast”. The shares have currently responded up to 49.5p but there looks much further to go.
International staffing group Impellam (IPEL) has announced results for the first half of the year and that it is seeing “increasing positivity in our customer demands for our managed service and talent solutions across our markets”. This sounds encouraging.
GlaxoSmithKline(GSK) has announced second quarter of the year results, including stating “strong commercial execution” and “we are likely to deliver full-year Adjusted EPS towards the better end of our guidance range”. So where now for the shares?, with they currently having responded back up to 1400p.
DS Smith (SMDS) “is pleased to announce the proposed sale of its De Hoop paper mill in the Netherlands to De Jong Packaging for a cash consideration of €50 million (c. £43 million)”. Good news from this leading provider of sustainable paper-based packaging?
Bulls and bears in tech investment company Tern plc (TERN) can at least agree on one thing: the key to the investment case is its holding in Device Authority Ltd (DA Ltd), a provider of security solutions for IOT products. Tern holds 56.8% of DA Ltd’s equity and has to date lent it £3.1 million in convertible loan stock. The stake is carried at £12.8 million on the balance sheet (valuing the whole company at £22.5 million), representing 58% of the value of the portfolio. It is DA Ltd’s perceived potential that has seen Tern’s shares trade at multiples of its book value and been the hook upon which it has hung the majority of its 16 placings to date.