At about 3.30pm yesterday, Brokerman Dan revealed his exclusive scoop that Horse Hill was about to yield a commercial oil discovery. This triggered a mini-buying frenzy, which drove the share prices of the listed companies involved in Horse Hill much higher. As the most exposed Horse Hill play, UK Oil & Gas (UKOG) flew from 1.16p, to hit an intraday high of 1.7p, all within the last hour of trading! This morning, as a flurry of RNSs hit the market and the dust settled, it turned out that Dan’s figures were well off the mark. A commercial discovery hasn’t been announced (read the RNSs thoroughly for confirmation of this). Also, the current size of the discovery is “only” a preliminary estimate of 3.1million barrels of oil in place, not 15million to 20million barrels. In the ensuing sharp sell off, UK Oil & Gas is back down to 1.15p. Dan is likely to come in for criticism for his reporting of this event, but this is misguided. Here’s why.