Articles by: CHRIS BAILEY OF FINANCIAL ORBIT

EPIC GSK
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Still loving GlaxoSmithKline as Unilever bid emerges

I was already excited about the upcoming week, predominately because a bunch of interesting companies are giving us an update on Monday, Tuesday, Wednesday, Thursday, and Friday.  So maybe an existing holding does well or maybe I get an opportunity to consider a new angle.  One stock I am going to be watching closely on Monday morning is GlaxoSmithKline (GSK) as I read that ‘Unilever(ULVR) makes £50 billion bid for GSK’s consumer business’. 

  • By Chris Bailey of Financial Orbit
  • 2022-01-16 10:59:07
EPIC CURY
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If you see Currys shares at or below 100p … then buy them!

About a month ago (here) I wrote about Currys (CURY), observing that ‘if I see the stock below a quid then I will probably buy some’.  Back then the stock was between 110-115p and today it is more like 107p.  So what did today’s ‘trading update for 10 weeks ended 8 January 2022’ say?

  • By Chris Bailey of Financial Orbit
  • 2022-01-14 10:49:51
EPIC ASC
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Don’t worry, be excited ahead of a busy corporate earnings week

A week into January and I see that the weekend press has plenty of stories about the European Central Bank executive who ‘warns green energy push will drive inflation higher’, as well as the UK's former vaccines minister who said it would be ‘helpful’ to cut the self-isolation period to five days.  Otherwise there is the apparent hassle of the wealth of the top 1% is 230 times higher than the poorest 10%.  Such analytical excitement (not).  

  • By Chris Bailey of Financial Orbit
  • 2022-01-09 11:42:36
EPIC ESNT
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Still liking Essentra into 2022

I see that Aston Martin Lagonda (AML) observed this morning that its "year-end cash balance of c.£420 million, higher than previously anticipated…”.  That is no disaster for the car company but given its lack of conventional profitability, there will still be a lot to appraise at their formal numbers on the 24th February.  The shares might be up 3% today but they are still down by more than 25% during the last year.  Even though Formula 1 fans might regard the company as offering a lot of sales growth potential, personally I am not excited, even if it claims their DBX brand achieved ‘about 20% share of the luxury SUV market’.  A company owned by the rich, for the rich is never the easiest holding, especially as it has gone bust a number of times before historically.  It remains a clear avoid for me. 

  • By Chris Bailey of Financial Orbit
  • 2022-01-07 12:04:10
EPIC
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Bring it on 2022 (I say)

It is kind of interesting to be reminded earlier today that the last time mainstream government bond markets had two successive years of losses was in 1973-1974, a period of time during which I was born. I can definitely see that happening in 2021-2022, but I guess we will find that out during the next twelve months.  You should be much more excited about the equity markets in any case but - a bit like the 1970s - expect volatility and having to pick and choose carefully.  But - judging by the composition of the ShareProphets tips of the year for 2022 - already. 

  • By Chris Bailey of Financial Orbit
  • 2022-01-03 10:53:35
EPIC CNA
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Centrica is one of the best at what it does …but that doesn’t make it a buy

I have made and and I have lost money in Centrica (CNA) shares over the last twenty-five odd years.  I guess - helped by the dividend flow - I am probably ahead over time, but it has only been a bit more interesting than keeping money in your bank (and let’s not even talk about the reality of underlying inflation over time for this).  Unlike over thirty of its peers in the gas/electricity industry, it is highly unlikely to ever go bust though as at least it hedges its purchasing (and the benefit of being ‘British Gas’ for ever, is that you have seen almost all the possible historical challenges out there). 

  • By Chris Bailey of Financial Orbit
  • 2021-12-19 18:13:44
EPIC JMAT
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Still feeling positive about SIG, Ibstock and Johnson Matthey

In a week’s time it will be Christmas Eve and even I might stop looking at the global equity markets for a few days. Before then,  there is still lots to think about regarding prospects for 2022.  I look forward to sharing a couple of tips for 2022 before the end of this year, but there are three names today which have all given out a pleasing update today.  They might not be one of my two formal tips of the year, but there are reasons why I will still be holding them deep into 2022. 

  • By Chris Bailey of Financial Orbit
  • 2021-12-17 09:27:52
EPIC CPI
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C(r)apita!

Regular readers will know I am not a fan of Capita (CPI) which describes itself as an ‘international business process outsourcing and professional services company’.  When I was growing up, it was a company that started as a small cap, quickly become a mid cap and ended up as a FTSE 100 institutional investor darling.  I never purchased it myself, which initially looked stupid, but the mere 86.9% share price fall over the last five years has made me look a bit smarter.  

  • By Chris Bailey of Financial Orbit
  • 2021-12-13 09:54:26
EPIC BT
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Don’t worry, be happy BT shareholders

I am a bit more concentrated today on the Formula 1 final race of the year (it has been an epic championship in my opinion), but a few share related thoughts.  I read in today’s newspapers that the ‘BT chief in summit with ministers over threat of takeover by French raider’.  It certainly has been an excitable last few years for BT Group (BT.A) shareholders.  But you never ever worry about a takeover. 

  • By Chris Bailey of Financial Orbit
  • 2021-12-12 15:12:18
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