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Keyword results: PURP

Bearcast
PREMIUM CONTENT

Tom Winnifrith Bearcast: Oh no, the IRA man has another go at me

I start with the IRA man who is hopping mad at me yet again. Then I look at how the whole political/media class should be in the dock in the Covid enquiry as they all called for what has caused our inflationary crisis. Then it is Tingo (US:TIO), a detailed look at Audioboom (BOOM), Purplebricks (PURP), Versarien (VRS), Tern (TERN), Chill Brands (CHLL) and the regulatory threat to UK vaping. Finally, my last big Rogue Bloggers for Woodlarks training walk this Sunday will be c22 miles. It will be very hot this weekend and I have a thirsty Irishman here for supper on Saturday so may be somewhat the worse for that on Sunday morning, so think of real pain ahead and leave the 93% who have not donated & meanie Magna Carta and make a donation HERE

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PREMIUM CONTENT

Purplebricks – just how bad is trading? Will investors get anything at all back? Lecram walks.

Oh dear, Oh dear. More bad news from Purplebricks (PURP). It is enough to turn a man to drink and raises the very real spectre of shareholders not getting 0.65p in Q1 2024 but getting nothing at all. But I wonder if there may be one big winner from this disaster.
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Bearcast
PREMIUM CONTENT

Tom Winnifrith Bearcast: Can I find a volunteer for a daring mission who lives near Blackpool?

If so, and it concerns the Chill Brands (CHLL) expose earlier HERE, drop me an email. Then I turn to Avacta (AVCT) and my earlier comments HERE. Then it is onto Supply@ME Capital (FRAUD), Cineworld (CINE), Amigo (AMGO) & Purplebricks (PURP), four horseman of share price madness. Then onto the impending collapse of Wildcat Petroleum(WCAT) and to Fusion Antibodies (FAB). Finally I might even have to show a picture of Brokerman Dan's grots if you do not donate HERE 

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Bearcast
PREMIUM CONTENT

Tom Winnifrith Bearcast: the world's greatest musicMagpie expert opines

I start with domestic woes and legal opinion on the claims of the IRA man. In the main body of today's podcast I look at Purplebricks (PURP) and the role of Neil Woodford and Link. I cover Microsaic (MSYS), Deepverge (DVRG), Pantheon Resources (PANR), Asimilar (ASLR), Argo Blockchain (ARB) - placing at 6p?. I also relay the thoughts of the world's greatest living expert on musicMagpie (MMAG) and why it is doomed. If you hurry and book a seat at Sharestock - where less than a third of seats are still free - you can meet the expert, who was also a great Quindellologist - on September 23. You can book HERE

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PREMIUM CONTENT

BREAKING: Purplebricks business sold for £1 to Strike – shareholders to get just 0.65p next year! (or less!)

Oh dear, oh dear. Shares in the online estate agency Purplebrcks (PURP) once traded at more than 500p as Neil Woodford filled his boots (with other folks cash) and commentators such as the shop worker Paul Scott gushed about how disruptive the cash guzzling company that ripped off its customers by taking payment even though most properties were not sold, was going to be. Today the business, nearly all the assets (bar £5.5 million of cash) and the liabilities are being sold for just one quid to SPV Strike. What will shareholders get? If they are lucky 0.65p in Q1 2024.
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Bearcast
PREMIUM CONTENT

Tom Winnifrith Bearcast: taking the good name of Dominic Frisby in vain & 6 lessons from the collapse of Purplebricks

I start with discussing how my late Dad would have been fired had he still been a lecturer at Warwick University today. I am sure that I'd be getting a P45 in the corporate world in the wake of a new survey on workplace alcohol use. Then I move onto Frisby, a star speaker & also singer at ShareStock 2023, and Argo Blockchain (ARB), Versarien (VRS), UK Oil & Gas (UKOG), Supply@ME Capital (SYME) and in depth lessons from today's collapse at Purplebricks (PURP), one I did get right. I also discuss the weather and, in that vein, urge you to donate to a great cause HERE.

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PREMIUM CONTENT

KERBOOM: Ouzo at Sheriff Towers – it is essentially game over at Purplebricks

Neil Woodford and Thirsty Paul Scott took the knee at the disruptive potential of online estate agent Purplebricks (PURP). In latter years the deadwood press blew smoke up the arses of the CEO and CFO as they were both women. Girl Power! More ESG vicar? Of course, the numbers never stacked up and the fundamental business offering was dire so shareholders and customers both got screwed. Those of us who do actually look at how a business runs and at hard numbers may be sexist old dinosaurs for doing so but we have another win. Today’s fess up from the birds in charge is grim.
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Bearcast
PREMIUM CONTENT

Tom Winnifrith Bearcast: No Giles McDonogh falling house prices is good news

I start with a slam dunk political bet in the wake of Donald Trump's looming arrest - a clean sweep for the Republicans in 2024, as I explained a couple of weeks ago HERE. Then onto why house prices falling at the fastest rate for 14 years ( a misleading headline) are to be welcomed but not if you are long Purplebricks (PURP) or the housebuilders. Not that I'd necessarily go short either. Today's ouzo is sponsored by Asimilar (ASLR). I also cover Genedrive (GDR) and the placing it will not 'fess to although it is clearly underway. Then I look at Pensana (PRE) where yakking on about climate change and hiring stacks of lesbians from Islington seems not to have prevented a bit of a looming cash crisis. How, I wonder, do folks in London N1 describe a fat lady in a woke way? Hey Magna Carta, guess what I forgot to mention today? HERE is a clue

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PREMIUM CONTENT

Told y’all Purplebricks – another lack of profits warning and the dreaded words “strategic review”

Oh dear. Oh dear. The words “strategic review” are always bad news. What they mean is “we are screwed will anybody buy us.” But let’s start with a lack of profits warning from Purplebricks (PURP) and, as ever, it is what it does not say that should worry the muppets who still own the shares.
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Bearcast
PREMIUM CONTENT

Tom Winnifrith Bearcast: why is 2nd February a big day for me? I just cannot remember

I struggle to remember why I should remember 2nd February. Then, with Kefi Gold & Copper (KEFI) shareholders again jamming my email in box with pointless emails, I squeeze in time to discuss Purplebricks (PURP), Canadian Overseas Petroleum (COPL) where Lucian is - sensibly - adding to his short, Cineworld (CINE), Vast Resources (VAST) and the daft economically illiterate suggestions about extra windfall taxes for Shell (SHEL) and Centrica (CNA).
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Bearcast
PREMIUM CONTENT

Tom Winnifrith Bearcast: time to write to the FCA about Odey

I start with macro economics and why I am so bearish on UK PLC. Then to Purplebricks (PURP) and the housebuilders in light of today's shocking warning from the UK banks on mortgage lending prospects for 2023. Then Parsley Box (MEAL), Vast Resources (VAST) as the trap door approaches and Advanced Oncotherapy (AVO, Odey Asset Management and the FCA. I may be wrong about this but I'd like the FCA to have a butcher's. Finally a big thank you from me on helping us raise all the money needed for the Woodlarks Christmas Grotto appeal. 
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Bearcast
PREMIUM CONTENT

Tom Winnifrith Bearcast: time to close the Purplebricks short?

I start with a little joke about the weather and global warming. Then I discuss Tern (TERN) and Purplebricks (PURP).
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Bearcast
PREMIUM CONTENT

Tom Winnfrith Bearcast from the house of sickness

Both Joshua and I are feeling dire so this is a very short bearcast covering Peel Hunt (PEEL) and the nomad/broker sector and Purplebricks (PURP), a zero after the latest housing data. Now back to bed.

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Bearcast
PREMIUM CONTENT

Tom Winnifrith Bearcast: Time to switch my email off for a week thanks to 'arry Adams

In today's podcast i discuss Kefi Gold & Copper (KEFI), Pantheon Resources (PANR), the residential housing market, Purplebricks (PURP) and the housebuilders and retailers in general, Sosandar (SOS), Joules (JOUL), Made.com (MADE) and Boohoo (BOO). I reference an articlle on greedy nurses and different types of averages and how they mislead HERE

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Rightmove: another survey showing Purplebricks toast and housebuilders facing torrid times

After the shocker from RICS the other day, here, Rightmove’s (RMV) latest survey of the UK housing market makes for more grim reading.  If you are still a shareholder in Purplebricks (PURP), which could not make money in the good times and so must now be spunking cash daily, why do you have a financial death wish?

PREMIUM CONTENT

BREAKING: Latest RICS survey confirms house price & volume gloom, Purplebricks is surely toast in 2023

There is no way that this turd can be polished. It is a turd for housing market bulls. The latest monthly survey from the Royal Institution of Chartered Surveyors (RICS) covering October is even worse than that for September which was itself pretty dire. Those seeing value in anything housing related shares ( Comrade Stacey?) need to take a reality check.

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Bearcast
PREMIUM CONTENT

Tom Winnifrith Bearcast: I apologise to between 70 and 75% of Australians

After that apology to most of the citizens of a nation that has turned Philistinism into an art form I discuss the Bank of England hiking base rates by 0.75%. Then it is onto ouzo man and Purplebricks (PURP) before I turn to two gold stocks that could now rocket by Christmas, Kefi Gold & Copper (KEFI) and Bluebird Merchant Ventures (BMV). I own shares in both and both have two reasons for a dramatic near term re-rate. Then Trainline (TRN) where the outlook is not so bright.

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Bearcast
PREMIUM CONTENT

Tom Winnifrith Bearcast: Sohail I am not an expert but who is?

I prepare for Halloween with pumpkin carving and soup today. Photos tomorrow.  Sohail says he has given up on gold "experts". I discuss this and then onto another area where there are a lot of "experts" who all talk their own book and it is the same one. I discuss house prices, volumes and stocks who I reckon will have a bad time includfing Purplebricks (PURP) which I expect to go bust in 2024, or possibly sooner

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EVE
EVE
PREMIUM CONTENT

Boom to bust in 5 years on AIM, Neil Woodford baby Eve Sleep – a few lessons as £52m goes to money heaven

Eve Sleep (EVE) floated on AIM in May 2017 just two years after it started trading. It brought in Paul Pindar which had listed Purplebricks (PURP) the disruptor – no sniggering at the back – of estate agencies to help disrupt the world of mattresses which also needed disrupting. And Neil Woodford, whose funds owned 18% after an IPO which raised £32.8 million, was not the only fund manager who was made to look like a fool. Here is Luke Hakes of Octopus writing just after the IPO:

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Bearcast
PREMIUM CONTENT

Tom Winnifrith Bearcast: Purplebricks 0p? Sell all housebuilders, Deepverge placing now 2p? Argo bust by Christmas?

The title is self explanatory on all counts. I discuss Purplebricks (PURP), the housebuilders where comrade Malcolm Stacey is very wrong, Mothercare (MTC) maternity bras and a 0p endgame, Deepverge (DVRG) and finally Argo Blockchain (ARB) which needs to come clean NOW.

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PREMIUM CONTENT

BREAKING: Dreadful RICS Survey – Purplebricks must be a zero, all housebuilder shorts

The latest RICS survey is utterly downbeat. Read its outcomes and you do not need to use complex spreadsheets to work out that a) Purplebricks (PURP) must be a zero as housing transaction volumes collapse and b) that shares in the housebuilders are heading only one way and that is due South. The survey is shockingly bad:

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Bearcast
PREMIUM CONTENT

Tom Winnifrith Bearcast - could or should Boohoo.com go bust?

I start with a nasty shock my grandmother, Lesbia Cochrane, got in the late 1920s. This is relevant I suggest that a whole swathe of millenials could be getting a similar shock this year and that is one of many reasons why I pose the Boohoo (BOO) question. I look at its balance sheet, cashflows, shocking G ( as in ESG) and find myself agreeing with ouzo man. Thewn the chart below and what it means for any company including Purplebricks (PURP) , getting some PR dictated puffery in The Times today, exposed to UK housing. Finally it is 12 days to ShareStock. I am off to mow the lawn for the tents next, book your seats HERE

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PREMIUM CONTENT

Hat tip Ouzo Man: data from the taxman shows why Purplebricks is screwed

The new CEO at Purplebricks (PURP) can drone on about cost cutting, diversity and inclusion all she wants but when you are sailing into a macro-economic hurricane, all small ships will sink. My thanks to reader “ouzo man” for pointing out the latest data from the HMRC.

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Bearcast
PREMIUM CONTENT

Tom Winnifrith Bearcast - life in the old dog yet!

I shall post photos in the next day or so showing me climbing a rocky and overgrown hill to a castle in the burning midday sun with my daughter Jaya on my back. I did the same three years ago with Joshua but managed better today. There is still life in this old dog. Then onto GSK (GSK) and Haleon (HLN). I ditched my Haleon shares today and explain why. Then I look at Revolution Beauty (REVB), ProCook (PROC), the fraud Supply@ME Capital (SYME), Cellular Goods (CBX) and in detail at Purplebricks (PURP). 

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Bearcast
PREMIUM CONTENT

Tom Winnifrith Bearcast: Will Lucian Miers survive Thursday Night?

As a Scottish Catholic, Lucian Miers will support Norway this Thursday. I think this is unwise, as we are sitting amongst the Northern Ireland supporters. I'll have to explain to fellow members of the GAWA that Lucian is a Fenian, hence his sudden love-in with the land of Quisling. On shares, I look at Edenville Energy (EDL) and its new board member, Paul Ryan (remember him?). Then, I discuss Central Copper Resources, Cineworld (CINE), and Purplebricks (PURP), which, ceteris paribus, will go bust in a year.

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Bearcast
PREMIUM CONTENT

Tom Winnifrith Bearcast: Ding Dong the Bird is gone!

First of all, I ask the 94% of you yet to donate to Rogue Bloggers for Woodlarks: please do so HERE, so we can surge past 25% of target (without gift aid) tonight. Go on. Then, I look at Jubilee Metals (JLP); Restaurant Group (RTN); Purplebricks (PURP); Vast Resources (VAST); BT (BT.A); the windfall oil tax; and why the Tories have utterly lost the plot.  Then, at Genflow (GENF), Nostra Terra (NTOG) and the massive scandal I exposed today, HERE & HERE.

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PREMIUM CONTENT

Purplebricks warns and this is just the beginning of the pain and of the end game

Some bien pensants like Neil Woodford and top share blogger, Paul Scott, insisted that Purplebricks (PURP) was a long-term disruptor in the Estate Agencies world. The reality? It was a piss-poor way to sell houses, and could only survive in a fizzingly hot housing market. Well, guess what?

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PREMIUM CONTENT

Purplebricks – Disastrous Interims: When's The Placing?

As predicted on this fine website, AIM-listed Purplebricks Group (PURP)’s interims to October 2021 are suitably disastrous. But since the company isn’t bust (yet) the market has reacted with relief and the shares are marginally up on the day, at 20.3p – though a long way shy of the 50-60p they were at only last autumn, and a country mile off the £5 at peak Neil Woodford-ramp back in 2017. The opening preamble tries to polish the turd, but a peek at the formal accounts shows that it lost £20.2 million in just six months. During a housing boom where anything standing sold within hours and average prices roofed it as mortgages were almost free to a good home. Yikes – just how bad might it have been in a slump?!

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Bearcast
PREMIUM CONTENT

Tom Winnifrith Bearcast - Bad news Bulletin Board Morons, I have not got covid

I was up well before the crack of dawn to take my pre-flight test and I passed, I discuss that, move onto MyHealthchecked (MHC), Wildcat Petroleum (WCAT), Tungsten (TUNG), ADM Energy (ADME) and finally Purplebricks (PURP), another fallen former fave of top blogger Paul Scott. It’s latest news really would turn aman to drink. But there is worse still to come.

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PREMIUM CONTENT

Purplebricks — a “process issue“ will cost it £2-9 million, shares crash but still a bargepole

What is a process issue when it is at home? It seems that Purplebricks (PURP) has discovered one in its lettings business which apparently has been going on for years. It refers to tenants and the deposits they must leave with landlords. The company says that “the communications process is now being corrected.” It also says that there is a financial risk.

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Bearcast
PREMIUM CONTENT

Tom Winnifrith Bearcast: Bears getting hammered, Gabriel Grego beaten up massively today on Cassava

No doubt this will be celebrated by many a moron as well as many a fraudster. Gabriel’s latest dossier is on Cassava (SAVA) on Nasdaq. It is compelling yet he has today been flamed by the Reddit crowd and Cassava shares are roofing it. What does this all mean?  Purplebricks (PURP) shows why bears are forces for good. I discuss it. Then Acceler8 (AC8), Parsley Box (MEAL) and Metro Bank (MTRO).

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PREMIUM CONTENT

Purplebricks…timber! Ouzo tonight for a vindicated permabear

When I read Purplebricks (PURP) CEO Vic Darvey prattling on about a solid platform to achieve longer term targets my mind immediately switches to thoughts of Cheryl Cole. I feel that I too offer an increasingly solid platform (boom boom) and I have my targets too. Whatever … today Vic served up a ghastly profits warning and shares in Purplebricks (PURP) are in freefall. You cannot say that this site has not warned you all often enough. So what’s the story morning glory?

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Bearcast
PREMIUM CONTENT

Tom Winnifrith Bearcast: Andrew Bell now officially drinking in the last chance saloon at the Punter's Return

I start with a few reminiscences about how myself and George the Architect exposed the InternetQ fraud. Then I cover: Kefi (KEFI), Supply@ME Capital (SYME) and More Bull from it, Vast Resources (VAST), Purplebricks (PURP), Argo Blockchain (ARB), Verditek (VDTK) and Andrew Bell’s Red Rock Resources (RRR).

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Bearcast
PREMIUM CONTENT

Tom Winnifrith Bearcast: Make money the easyJet way by borrowing my cash without my permission at zero cost.

The good news is that Rogue Bloggers for Woodlarks inches closer to target. The bad news is we inch there so if you are yet to donate please do so HERE. In today’s podcast, which will please Matthew and his dog, I discuss Easyjet (EZJ), Amigo (AMGO), Zoetic (ZOE) and the fifth stage of moronism – Trainline (TRN), Bahamas Petroleum (BPC) and Purplebricks (PURP).

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Bearcast
PREMIUM CONTENT

Tom Winnifrith Bearcast: A long squeeze coming for the morons in Zoetic, Eurasia, Versarien & more c/o IG?

I start with a look at Purplebricks (PURP), my mother-in-law and Uber and a potential bombshell. Then I go onto IG Index changing its terms of trade and how this could create a bull squeeze in stocks including Versarien (VRS), Zoetic (ZOE) and Eurasia (EUA). The article I reference on my own website is HERE. And no-one has yet guessed the horse-riding person who interviewed me yesterday. It was fun.

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Bearcast
PREMIUM CONTENT

Tom Winnifrith Bearcast: the 1 AIM share you must Fill Your Boots with NOW, don't wait just buy

In today’s podcast I discuss Joshua’s Advent calendar then look at 2 very naughty Nomads and 2 of their grossly over-valued clients. Roland “Fatty” Cornish looks after European Metal Holdings (EMH). Liam Murray of Cairn looks after the ultimate Penny Dreadful, Catenae (CTEA). Then I return to Sarah Willingham’s NightJar and why she is destroying value for morons who pony up £6 million for the IPO on day 1. This is a scandal and Nomad Allenby should be ashamed. Then onto Purplebricks (PURP) before I look at Summerway (SWC) and why, whatever you pay you MUST buy its shares ASAP

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Bearcast
PREMIUM CONTENT

Tom Winnifrith Bearcast: I hope it's not Covid but I feel very sick

So it is a short bearcast today and then back to bed. I cover Purplebricks (PURP), Tiger Resources (TIR) and the fascist lawyers’ letters it sends to shareholders and Pathfinder Minerals (PFP).

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Bearcast
PREMIUM CONTENT

Tom Winnifrith Bearcast: Lucian & I discuss Mike Pence at 33-1 as next POTUS bet

I pray that Donald Trump and the fragrant Melania recover from Covid and, unlike godless liberals who tweet about praying for things, I do actually pray and to someone I believe in. However, Lucian has a bet on Mike Pence to be the next President and I discuss this. I then move on to look at UK Oil & Gas (UKOG) where I did tell y’all, Attis Oil & Gas (AOGL) and share rampers from the AIM swamps, Purplebricks (PURP), and also the latest mystery at Supply@ME Capital (SYME), the worthless POS from the province of Norfolk. Later I am recording a video that I am sure many of you will enjoy.

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PREMIUM CONTENT

BREAKING: Purplebricks faces a company-destroying tax bombshell following employment tribunal defeat - industry source

An industry source says that Purplebricks (PURP) has lost but is appealing an employment tribunal from one of its former Local Property Experts (LPEs), the implication of which is a tax bill that could wipe out the majority of its, already rapidly dwindling, cash balance.

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Bearcast
PREMIUM CONTENT

Tom Winnifrith Bearcast: Black swan event at Bluebird

My first article about the Greek Hovel 2020 is now up and there are a stack more to follow. In today’s podast, I look at Bluebird Merchant Ventures (BMV), Hammerson (HMSO), Versarien (VRS), and Purplebricks (PURP).

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PREMIUM CONTENT

Rishi’s no magician, Purplebricks is still toast in the end - and a chart which is a blast from the past

The deadwood press, notably those on the left which, natch, also includes the woeful BBC, loves the chancellor Rishi Sunak. Thanks to his forest of money trees the UK will see a V shaped recovery, jobs will be saved and no-one will have to pay for a policy response to a disaster which was entirely self inflicted: the mad lockdown. Of course, you and I know this is all tosh.

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Tom

Tom Winnifrith Shareshow No 2: Well over 2 hours of Matt Earl, Aidan Bishop and why Purplebricks is a zero

And now from Wales, by just 30 yards, it is my new, I hope, weekly show. This costs 99p per episode to access and you can either listen or watch very sparky interviews with bear raider Matt Earl with Boohoo (BOO) centre stage, Aidan Bishop of Big Dish (DISH) and Bluebird Merchant (BMV) and myself explaining why Purplebricks (PURP) is a zero. You can access the show HERE

To watch the first show featuring bear raider Lucian Miers, mining boss Colin Bird and myself with a devastating expose of Novacyt (NCYT) go HERE

PREMIUM CONTENT

Purplebricks – Woodford overhang hitting the market: another reason to SELL.

It was announced yesterday afternoon that Link Fund Solutions sold 0.52% of AIM-listed Purplebricks (PURP) on Wednesday. Why is this significant? Well, this is the stock overhang from the ex-Woodford Equity Income Fund (WEIF) and there is still 11.93% to go.

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PREMIUM CONTENT

The housing market is NOT reopening, 1 of two reasons to revisit Purplebricks...

Since warning you not to be short as the market almost bottomed it has been painful for those who ignored my advice. But I sense that a few opportunities may be opening up again. There is something Orwellian in the way that our Government makes statements about the Corona economic mess it has created with its non-sensical policies, the MSM parrots them and then as a nation we are expected, when not applauding the NHS or snitching on our neighbours for having two walks a day, to repeat and accept. And so we are told that the housing market is “opening up again.” And that swift action in getting housebuilders back to work & allowing estate agents to go to back to lying to buyers and sellers alike, will protect the nation’s favourite obsession, house prices...

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Bearcast
PREMIUM CONTENT

Tom Winnifrith Bearcast: Rishi's in denial, Purplebricks is in denial but will AIM regulation be in denial about Tern?

I start with the economic mess the Government has landed us all in. Will 25% of small businesses go bust or just 13% and who is going to pick up the tab? Then it is onto Purplebricks (PURP), Tern (TERN), Mosman (MSMN) and Bidstack (BIDS) where time is almost up, the Fat Lady is surely gargling now.

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Bearcast
PREMIUM CONTENT

Tom Winnifrith Bearcast - fake news purveyor Iconic is to tell us what is Coronavirus fake news!

In today's bearcast  I look at Iconic (ICON) which really does not understand irony. Then at Purplebricks (PURP), self entitled snowflake young barristers, Hammerson (HMSO) and EasyJet (EZJ)

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Bearcast
PREMIUM CONTENT

Tom Winnifrith Bearcast: Unable to answer the question posed by Nick Leeson

I start with Malcolm Stacey's column today and explain why he is wrong in his conclusions about supermarkets. Then I try but fail to answer Leeson's question about the markets. I discuss Zoetic (ZOE), Marks & Spencer (MKS), JD Wetherspoon (JDW), Future (FUTR), Rightmove (RMV) and Purplebricks (PURP)

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PREMIUM CONTENT

When does Purplebricks go bust? Some maths for y'all

We have warned about this Neil Woodford dog so many times.  Now, you may find this tasteless but I suggest that no-one in their right mind would actually buy a house right now as the grim Coronavirus reaper stalks this land. Do you want to have to sell your place with all sorts of strangers wandering around touching door handles, or more likely no-one wandering around? And why buy now when the grim reaper may well be freeing up a stack of houses and flats to come onto the market as a glut from anytime soon? Who has enough income security to take on a mortgage these days? This begs the question of when exactly will Purplebricks (PURP) go bust. Here is the maths.

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Bearcast
PREMIUM CONTENT

Tom Winnfrith Bearcast - a long chat with Lucian Miers

I had a long chat with Lucian Miers who is right now in Cambodia ( cue cheap Gary Glitter jokes from morons on ADVFN). We discussed coronavirus and the state of the markets. What to buy in the FTSE 100 and his shorts: De la Rue (DLAR), Versarien (VRS), Easyjet (EZJ), IQE (IQE), Apple, Tesla and Purplebricks (PURP) and also the ethics of bailouts and what Governments will be allowed to do., I also comment on Finablr (FIN) and panic selling in Big Sofa (BST)

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PREMIUM CONTENT

Three stocks where a Coronavirus warning looks inevitable & not discounted

It may seem tasteless to consider such matters but the reality is that Covid 19 is spreading and whilst the numbers infected are still a drop in the ocean the fear is palpable and the effects on the real economy are already clear. The Fed may have slashed base rates by ½% earlier this week but, like the markets which promptly puked, I do not see this curing anything. Folks are not going to start spending again just because money is a bit cheaper, further cheap money will not solve a snagged up supply chain...

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Bearcast
PREMIUM CONTENT

Tom Winnifrith Bearcast: Don't argue with Chris "3 Brains" Bailey but I think Malcolm Stacey is badly wrong on Rightmove

In today's podcast I look at Intu (INTU), Rightmove (RMV), Purplebricks (PURP), Iconic labs (ICON) and Nanoco (NANO).

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AYM
AYM
PREMIUM CONTENT

Bad News Buried on Election Results Day: Anglesey Mining

Not content with leaving burying bad news on polling day to the likes of Purplebricks (PURP) or Versarien (VRS), this morning – election results day – AIM-listed Anglesey Mining (AYM) joined the fray with its Interims to September. They are truly horrid.

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PREMIUM CONTENT

Bury bad news on Election day – shocking interims and the cash is running out. No3 – Purplebricks

Estate agency business which argues it “combines highly experienced and professional Local Property Experts and innovative technology”, Purplebricks (PURP) has announced results for its half-year ended 31st October 2019 – on election day. Hmmm…

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Bearcast
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Tom Winnifrith Bearcast: Has Justin the Clown's IPO been pulled & a funny thing happened on the way to the polling station

I start with me voting and the Mrs not being able to vote here in Wrexham earlier today. Then there are two reports I have had that the Vox markets IPO has been pulled, I wonder if Justin the Clown will mention this in his podcast or will he be too busy blowing off Neill Ricketts of Versarien (VRS) whose abject results I discuss. I look at IP Group (IPO), Purplebricks (PURP), Premier African Minerals (PREM) and Bidstack (BIDS) wondering if it will serve up its overdue warning after hours tonight? Finally there is a plea on behalf of my cats.

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VRS
VRS
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No point betting on the Election, markets are ahead of you. But watch for corporate stinkers: Versarien & Purplebricks

Thank heavens the election is less than a week away. In just ten days those hapless cretins most of whom could not get a decent job in the private sector and who show that politics really is showbiz for ugly people (and liars, knaves and halfwits) will be off our screens and we can all think about important issues like Christmas. Until then there will be reams of comment from the media and City “experts” on how to position your finances. Don’t bother to read it…

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Bearcast
PREMIUM CONTENT

Tom Winnifrith Bearcast: A slam dunk election bet to make

I start with the Woodlarks Christmas Grotto appeal. We are so close to target - please donate now and let's get there today. Make your donation HERE. Then, thanks to some utterly dodgy Survation polls, I offer you a slam dunk General Election bet to take. After that it is on to Versarien (VRS), Escape Hunt (ESC) - another awesome call from yours truly - Purplebricks (PURP), Kefi Minerals (KEFI) and TheWorks.co.uk (WRKS) - Woof, woof.

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Bearcast
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Tom Winnifrith Bearcast: A triumph for Watchstone, the company formerly known as the AIM Mega fraud Quindell

i bet Watchstone (WTG) directors chant "can we play you every week?" when they meet the poltroons who run Aussie listed Slater & Gordon (SGH). I discuss the latest news and where it leaves both companies. Then I look at Purplebricks (PURP), Amur (AMC), you cannot be Sirius Minerals (SXX) and finally Big Dish (DISH). I start with a generous offer to you all! And PS. Make sure you watch Panorama tonight.

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Bearcast
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Tom Winnifrith Bearcast: Will AML go bust a 7th time & musical chairs at Purplebricks

In today's podcast I update on the farce at Bahamas Petroleum (BPC), look at Metro Bank (MTRO), Purplebricks (PURP), Aston Martin Lagonda (AML), Yolo Leisure (YOLO) and congratulate my pal Gabriel Grego on another triumph at Bio-On and I also look at the latest pompous whitterings from the poltroons at ShareSoc about Burford (BUR)

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Purplebricks – time to get off the fence, sell at 110p

Having closed my short in sleazy estate agent Purplebricks (PURP) a while ago and even having a little trade on the long side, I have been sitting on the fence awaiting developments amongst its four largest shareholders (Axel Springer, Neil Woodford, Merian and Toscafund)...

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Tom

FREE Podcast: ShareProphets Radio Edition TEN with Tom Winnifrith and Bear Raider Lucian Miers - who is swimming with no trunks?,

Just one guest in this week's show, which is sponsored by Yorkville, the bear raider Lucian Miers who has been doing due diligence at the coal face on the cannabis market. We discuss pot stocks and GW Pharma (GWP) in particular, the We Work flop and its macro significance, Versarien (VRS), Sirius (SXX), Tesla (TSLA), Purplebricks (PURP) and Greggs (GRG).If you like this and can't wait seven days for more of the same you should listen to my Bearcast every day.

Bearcast
PREMIUM CONTENT

Tom Winnifrith Bearcast: which thick fecks are buying shares in Thomas Cook?

The Independent Newspaper thinks that I and 17.4 million others need a better education. Does anyone read that rag anymore? In today's podcast I look at Neil Woodford's Woodford Patient Capital Trust (WPCT), notably its holdings in Autolus and Purplebricks (PURP) in light of data out today, Eve Group (EVE), Nigel Wray's Simba, Thomas Cook (TCG), i3 Energy (i3E) and Iconic Labs (ICON). 

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BREAKING: New Purplebricks boss Vic Darvey hints at wholesale changes in UK business model

Right now the UK operations of Purplebricks (PURP) are booking a small profit. So if it ain’t broke don’t fix it, right? Er new boss Vic Darvey has given an interview to the Press Association hinting very much otherwise.

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Video: A former Purplebricks employee gives you the hard numbers that show it will fail

I have always believed that Purplebricks (PURP) stiffs both staff and customers and that is why it will eventually ru out of cash so stiffing shareholders too. This video below validates my thesis with a former employee giving hard numbers on that stiffing. Enjoy.

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Collapsing-Reactor
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Redemptions Watch: disaster strikes Neil Woodford (yet again) as Neil fails to do his homework - he should have listened to me!

Oh dear, oh dear, oh dear. So the Muddy Waters report was indeed about AIM-listed Burford Capital which duly crashed by 46% yesterday, to add to the 19% drop on Tuesday, and Neil Woodford’s second biggest stock pick is…er….no longer his second biggest investment. I rather doubt it is in his top ten now. The press, as predicted, has been baying for blood and the queues of gated Woodford Equity Income Fund investors looking to get their money back before any more of it just disappears into thin air will be lengthening. So let’s take a look at the effect of the Burford collapse on the Woodford empire.

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Collapsing-Reactor
PREMIUM CONTENT

Redemptions Watch: Neil Woodford’s Income Focus fund – still redemptions every day

Neil Woodford’s Income Focus Fund (WIFF) put on 0.3% in NAV per unit yesterday, according to Morningstar. In theory that should have increased the size of the fund from the previous close of £287.15 million to £288.01 million before redemptions.

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Purplebricks just a few more bearish observations

For a company that will have net current assets of somewhere between SFA and £30 million by Christmas and which will again burn cash this year the valuation of Purplebricks (PURP), £314 million at 103p, is bonkers. In light of that I revisit full year numbers from Wednesday and ask you to consider a stack more red flags.

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Bearcast
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Tom Winnifrith Bearcast: a schoolboy error on AAOG - it is far worse than the scandal I revealed earlier

Firstly, thank you for all your kind messages about Uncle Chris.  Earlier I revealed a real scandal at Anglo African Oil & Gas (AAOG) HERE. But actually I made a schoolboy error and it is far far worse than I depicted. I also comment on Sosandar (SOS), a situation which is enough to turn even the most loyal and vociferous of shareholders to drink. Then I look at First Derivatives (FDP), Telit (TCM) and its latest admission, forced by myself, that it does not give a FF about AIM Rules. Finally a look at Purplebricks (PURP).

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A Welcome Slice Of Luck and Thoughts On Purplebricks

It is not easy being predominantly short in a market that is yet again flirting with all time highs and so a bit of luck is always welcome...

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Purplebricks not just screwing customers and shareholders but employees too

Purplebricks (PURP) screws  a large minority of customers by taking a fee and then failing to sell their property. As it burns its cash, shareholders are getting screwed too. To complete the hat-trick it seems that it is also screwing its staff. Just look at the employee reviews below. This is not, I suggest, a recipe for success.

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Oh dear, Neil Woodford. Purplebricks – is the writing on the wall for a fundraise, as you desperately try to sell?

AIM-listed POS Purplebricks (PURP) has just announced the appointment of Citigroup Global Markets as joint corporate broker to act alongside existing broker Peel Hunt. If that is not a sign that a fundraise is coming, I don’t know what is.

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Bearcast
PREMIUM CONTENT

Tom Winnifrith Bearcast: Hey dumbfuck clients of Cenkos give me $225m and I'll offer you a 10% yield

In today's bearcast I start with a range of matters relating to Neil Woodford including brokers lifting our research, Purplebricks (PURP), Provident Financial (PFG) and Non-Standard Finance (NSF). And I make Neil a generous offer on Proton Partners (PPI). Then I look at Diversified Gas & Oil (DGOC) and the dumb fuck clients of Cenkos (CNKS). Finally a brief look at Ironveld (IRON) and at the Bluejay (JAY) hound. Postcript: Cynical Bear points out that today's TRI shows Woody is in fact selling Purplebricks in the market as well. Timber!

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Purplebricks: Dumb Hun-ny – "resigned" founder Bruce sells all his shares to Axel Springer

Michael Bruce founded Purplebricks (PURP) and was its boss until he “was resigned” after the most recent lack of profits warning.  Having sold £25 million worth of shares at 360p to Germany’s Axel Springer last March (when the Krauts also spunked £100 million on new shares at the same price), he is not short of a bob or two but today he dumped his remaining 46 million shares on Springer at £1 a pop.

Bearcast
PREMIUM CONTENT

Tom Winnifrith Bearcast: shameless ramping by David Lenigas as he jumps onto the pot bubble

In today's bearcast I look at Afriag (AFRI), Big Dave's UK pot play which - as you can see below - he is ramping shamelessly, at Management Resource Solutions (MRS), Eve Sleep (EVE), First Derivatives (FDP), Purplebricks (PURP) and Thomas Cook (TCG). Now re Rogue Bloggers we are now at almost £44,000 and heading towards our £50,000 target. If you are yet to donate please do so HERE. To all those who have donated, many, many thanks.

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Bearcast
PREMIUM CONTENT

Tom Winnifrith Bearcast: Confessions of a non estate agent & is the Corbyn threat discounted?

Recorded in the sauna that is my car, this bearcast comes in two parts. First are we as investors hyet discounting the political risk that comes not from Brexit but from Corbyn and a coalition of chaos with the SNP for I do think that is the probable next Government. Secondly, confessions of a non estate agent, yes Purplebricks (PURP) again. Now how about the 75% of bearcast listeners yet to donate to rogue bloggers for Woodlarks chip in and take us over the half way mark today? You can do so HERE

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Collapsing-Reactor

Reader poll result and this week’s big disaster for Neil Woodford is…..

Well it could have been AIM-listed Purplebricks (PURP) which announced an awful trading update this week and whose shares collapsed (again) to a new low point of 108p. After all, Neil Woodford has been buying the stock all the way down from £5! Or it could be Atom Bank which, having seen BBVA walk from its option to buy the company outright, is now trying to raise £50 million (more on that to follow). But no: the headline for me is that Woodford’s Equity Income Fund has shrunk again, now to a fraction above £4 billion.

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Purplebricks Headed for 50p

That Purplebricks (PURP) remains above 100p after Tuesday’s announcement is surprising. With the closure of its Australian division and retrenchment in the US, the global growth story is dead, leaving the UK market as its primary focus where the going, by the company’s own admission, is tough.

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Bearcast
PREMIUM CONTENT

Tom Winnifrith Bearcast: Malcolm you misunderstand IQE

Sorry, I know you thought Joshua was better than i was yesterday but it is just me today. Good news arrives in the post here at the Welsh Hovel. I shall be able to vote for Mr Farage in the European Elections and, better still, the Mrs won't be able to vote for the commies. In the podcast I discuss IQE (IQE) where Malcolm Stacey has it all wrong, Purplebricks (PURP),  Eqtec (EQT), Argo Blockchain (ARB), Bushveld Minerals (BMN) and Dev Clever (DEV). And to the 75% of bearcast listeners yet to do the decent thing: we have now raised almost £19,000 for Woodlarks ( and have another £5,500 pledged) so please help us get towards our £40,000 target with a donation today HERE 

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Bearcast
PREMIUM CONTENT

Tom Winnifrith & Joshua bearcast: A scoop on Eight Peaks where I reckon my co presenter is the ideal new CEO

Because i am such a fucking feminist I enjoy my 8th day of juggling full time parenthood and work. The net result is that my two year old son Joshua co-presents today's podcast. I explain why he has the requisite skills to be the next CEO of Eight Peaks Group (8PG) where we have major revalations about how management have screwed shareholders this weekend. I also comment on Bidstack (BIDS), Purplebricks (PURP) and Surface Transforms (SCE). joshua is donating his presenter "fee" to a good cause, please follow his lead HERE

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PREMIUM CONTENT

Purplebricks: lack of profits warning, founder “is resigned”, Oz to be shut, US in a mess

Well what’s not to like about the latest pot-pouri of bad news from Purplebricks (PURP)? I start with the basic premis that a company that screws both staff and customers will, in the end, come a cropper and – Purplebricks is such a company.  Only an arrogant buffoon such as Neil Woodford could fail to recognise that. So let’s start with the management change.

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Purplebrickssucks.com - a website dedicated to how a company screws its employees and customers

Purplebricks (PURP) is notorious for sending fascist lawyers letters to folks who criticise it. But in the US libel laws favour free speech not heavy handed corporates keen to gag whsitleblowers.  Ultimately a business model that is predicated on screwing both staff and customers is doomed to fail and I shall turn to the latest lack of profits warning from Purplebricks later today. However, for now, I inveite you do enjoy the world of Purplebrickssucks.com  - read at your leisure and having done so I am sure you'd agree that only a true moron or Neil Woodford, would want to own shares in this company.

Bearcast
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Tom Winnifrith Bearcast: a Missing cat and an attempt to shut down this website

It has not been a good day. Firstly the Mrs left a door not fully closed and two cats have become one, Quincey has gone AWOL. Then I had to watch a crazy cat woman Carole Cadwalladr video for the sake of Woodlarks. Finally we have suffered a DOS attack. Someone does not like our exposes of fraud and malpractice. We will not be silenced. As you consider my Cadwalladr suffering please donate to Rogue Bloggers for Woodlarks HERE. In the podcast I cover Neil Woodford, Xeros (XSG), Eight Peaks (8PG), Alien Metals (UFO), African Battery Metals (ABM), Countrywide (CWD), Purplebricks (PURP) and the quoted housebuilders.

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Bearcast
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Tom Winnifrith Bearcast: The curse of loathsome ex Tory MP Tony Baldry is striking again

In bearcast i raise unanswered questions about Westminster Group (WSG) run by smug lardarse Tony Baldry and ask how soon the next bailout placing will be and at what price. I look again at the most overvalued & over-ramped stock on AIM, Bidstack (BIDS), at BlueJay Mining (JAY) and at AO World (AO) and Purplebricks (PURP) two companies that boost profits by ripping off customers.

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Purplebricks Remains a Sell

The investment case for Purplebricks (PURP) is looking increasingly ragged. Even the analysts, not noted for being quick off the mark, seem to be losing faith – JP Morgan slashing its price target from 400p to 188p, and Berenberg really coming to its senses by replacing its 460p target with an 80p target. The disruptive growth story is now in shreds after February’s profit warning...

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Lessons from Plus500 & Time to sell more Purplebricks

The shocker from Plus500 (PLUS) provides useful lessons for bulls and bears. Little more than a year ago I suggested selling the shares at £11...

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Bearcast
PREMIUM CONTENT

Tom Winnifrith Bearcast: it is not just Julie Meyer skipping on buying a new vibrator

In this podcast I look at the woes of sex toys and lingerioe chain Ann Summers and what it says about the state of UK retail and commercial property. I look briefly at the lamentable coverage by analysts and the expense fiddling fourth estate of Purplebricks (PURP) and finally at the signs that The Big Short is finally about to come good in spades, I refer to BCA Marketplace (BCA). I start by suggesting, in the interests of transparency. that you have a butchers at the front page of the Daily Mail. If you enjoyed my Julie Meyer vibrator jokes how about you do the decent thing and go HERE

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Bearcast
PREMIUM CONTENT

Tom Winnifrith Bearcast: Happy Birthday Dad, Ooh Er MRS & time to back Mr Farage

Happy Birthday Dad. I hope that you enjoy your "medicinal" apple based gift. I am about ten days from moving house and have just completed a mail relocation form so I shall get my postal vote for the Euros forwarded. I dislike many of the creeps who surround Nigel Farage but his Brexit party has my vote in the bag and I explain why. I look at Management Resource Solutions (MRS) as another red flag emerges for this insolvent piece of crap. I cover Westminster Group (WSG) run by loathsome swine Tony Baldry, Audioboom (BOOM), Woodford Patient Capital Trust (WPCT) and his other dogs and Purplebricks (PURP) in a Joshua interrupted podcast.

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A double whammy for Purplebricks as two sinners repenteth: the writing is on the wall

Two high profile sinners repenteth and the writing is now very firmly on the wall for Purplebricks (PURP) as it starts a year when it will almost certainly run out of money. The sinners: broker Berenberg and Britains's most conceited fund manager Neil Woodford.

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Purplebricks – is it time for a Full Year lack of profits warning?

Britain’s most conceited fund manager, Neil Woodford, has been catching the Purplebricks (PURP) falling knife all the way down and, as at October, his funds owned 29.25% of the company and so he really can’t buy many more shares. And the problem is that no-one else out there is daft enough to throw good money after bad and thus the stock continues to head south. At 123.8p to sell the shares are almost back at the level of the most recent profits warning on February 21. That tells you that another warning, a full year one, is one the way.

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Has Neil Woodford finally lost the plot completely? Blow up FT Interview suggests he has

I see that Neil Woodford has had an interview published in the FT in which he lambasts critics determined to destroy his reputation, misinformation, lazy commentary, fake news, fake analysis which “pisses me off” and vents his frustration at the poor investment decisions of investors selling up.

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Bear

February performance update: start of 2019 shorted AIM shares

Early this year we showed the Shorted AIM shares at the start of 2019. How's the performance following February? (those in bold remain from 2018)...

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Woodford – latest numbers show borrowing disaster in the making as chickens come home to roost

Woodford Investment Management has published its latest monthly numbers to the end of January from its Equity Income, Income Focus and Patient Capital Trust. At first glance it does not look too bad, but a more detailed examination shows that debt remains a central issue, as does redemptions, and Woodford Patient Capital Trust (WPCT) seems on the edge of imploding.

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Bearcast
PREMIUM CONTENT

Tom Winnifrith Bearcast: No! Neil Woodford, this is not a fix and Malcolm Stacey ignores Anna Soubry's arse

I start with a brief discussion of my first longish Woodlarks training walk. 12 Miles done and dusted. As you consider my rather smelly feet please make a small donation to rogue bloggers for Woodlarks HERE. Then I  look at Provident Financial (PFG) and mention BCA Marketplace (BCA) and Purplebricks (PURP) en passant before commenting on Malcolm Stacey's article of earlier on penny shares.

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Table of shorted AIM shares - week to 22/02/2019

From the FCA's spreadsheet of short positions required to be disclosed to it, the following shows the shorted AIM shares with positions from 2018 and thus far in 2019 (by net short position %, those in bold not on the list at the start of 2019) – and if this position has increased (red), reduced (green) or remained unchanged (black) since last week...

Bearcast
PREMIUM CONTENT

Tom Winnifrith Bearcast - Being a Purplebricks bull must be enough, I'd imagine, to turn a man to drink

In today's podcast I discuss Lonmin (LMI) but more importantly why I'd not invest in any South Africa based company, Purplebricks (PURP), Telit (TCM), Dev Clever (DEV) and Optibiotix (OPTI).

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Purplebricks – catastrophic warning: target price 0p

You cannot say that this site has not warned you repeatedly. But some folks like Neil Woodford knew better. Britain's top share blogger (mornings only), Thirsty Paul Scott, was also a fan and we know how accurate his analysis is. I don't know about Scott but Woodford has been averaging down aggressively. Neil always knows better which is why he is worth £37 million a year. Today we have another high profile horror story for Britain’s most conceited fund manager & yet another shocker for the nation's thirstiest share blogger, with a truly shocking lack of profits warning. I shall explain below why this makes the target price 0p....it is enough to turn a man to drink.

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Commisery for Purplebricks customers overpaying for tied solicitors by hundreds of pounds?

How much ‘commisery'(tm) might you feel if you had been encouraged or even required to use a specific firm of solicitors by your estate agent, only to find that over £380 was going straight into your agents pocket as a backhander from the solicitor in question? All perfectly legally of course.

GYG
GYG

Neil Woodford rolls the dice at GYG. Meanwhile, Companies House still awaits…..

Is it the kiss of death? Last night it was announced that Neil Woodford had upped his stake in struggling AIM-listed yacht maintenance outfit GYG from 23.43% to 24.08%. Readers might recall that this tactic rather backfired with fully-listed Kier Group (KIE) and Purplebricks (PURP) and..the list goes on and on.

Bearcast
PREMIUM CONTENT

Tom Winnifrith Bonus Bearcast: tales of total woe from my local estate agent - and how to profit from it on the short tack

I visited my local Estate Agent yesterday about selling the house of the Mrs here in Bristol. He is a clever, honest and experienced chap who has done TV work and who I've known for a a while. I relay his numerous tales of woe which, I think, are symptomatic of the wider market, whatever headline data we are fed. If I am right how do you play the dire times ahead on the short tack? I discuss house builders in general, Barratt (BDEV) - if I said Bovis in the bearcast I meant Barratt -, Purplebricks (PURP) and BCA Marketplace (BCA) in this bonus podcast.

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Bearcast
PREMIUM CONTENT

Tom Winnifrith Bearcast: You are going to Hell and your "blog" is toxic say two of my critics

I deal with the critics in turn. The former, a Christian, has me wrong, the latter, a knobhead, is an apologist for enablers of crime. I then look in detail at Purplebricks (PURP) and is inevitable descent to zero, and at the implications of the sad tale of African Battery Metals (ABM). Then it is onto Bonmarche (BON) blaming Brexit for its woes not the crass stupidity of the bird who runs this business of the wider macro picture which she fails to recognise could sink her business completely. I also comment on BCA Marketplace (BCA) and on the pre-Christmas plans of Joshua and myself for today, far more important than this stockmarket malarky.

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SQZ
SQZ

ShareProphets readers tips for 2018 competition - how's it looking with less than 3 weeks left?

Having asked for readers tips for 2018 for the amazing prize of a meal with Tom Winnifrith (or the chance to fob it off on someone you don't like) HERE, the following updates on performance (to be eligible needed to have selected, on a per username basis, a buy & sell pick from the LSE or AIM Casino and the stocks not to have been suspended at the commencement of 2018)...

Bearcast
PREMIUM CONTENT

Tom Winnifrith Bearcast: Just how many AIM Rules must you break before Finncrap gives a damn and quits?

I prepare for Joshua's first meeting with Santa in 2018 and discuss that. I look at Telit (TCM) and its latest wholesale breach of AIM Rules. Why does FinnCrap (FCAP) not care? I ask when FinnCap will have its first profits warning. I look at Purplebricks (PURP), Mysale (MYSL) and Bilby (BILB).

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Bearcast
PREMIUM CONTENT

Tom Winnifrith Bearcast: is there a massive & growing black hole at Purplebricks?

In today's podcast I look at Purplebricks (PURP), Neil Woodford's cash woes, re BTG (BTG), MySquar (MYSQ), Fishing Republic (BUST), Bushveld Minerals (BMN), who's a naughty boy then Fortune?, Quadrise Fuels (QFI) and at Sound Energy (SOU) which even at 13p is a verry poor risk reward play.

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PREMIUM CONTENT

Keir-Blimey! Woodford raising more much-needed cash by dumping good shares

We all know that markets have been a bit skittish recently, which will mean that investors will be looking to sell unit trust holdings. And we know that Neil Woodford has faced the double whammy of redemptions and his cash-hungry dogs which need feeding. And on Friday morning Kier group (KIE) announced a rights issue: it never rains….

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PREMIUM CONTENT

Purplebricks – purple faces at Woodford

ShareProphets has been very wary of AIM-listed Purplebricks (PURP) ever since its IPO at the end of 2015. The business model looks questionable, given the state of the UK and global housing markets, and there has been plenty of controversy over its business practices of suppressing criticism. Add to that the persistent offloading of stock by insiders and one really wonders how well this disruptor will perform. But Neil Woodford has been buying like the shares are going out of fashion…which they are!

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Bearcast
PREMIUM CONTENT

Tom Winnifrith Bonus Bearcast: Deafening silence from Purplebricks, Malcolm WRONG (Bovis) and a UK house price crash?

This bearcast is prompted partly by news Purplebricks (PURP) is not telling you about and partly by Malcolm's buy note on Bovis (BVS) earlier and partly on some new housing data out yesterday. Suffice to say Purplebricks is in ever deeper merde, Malcolm Stacey is wrong and there really could be a big fall in UK house prices and volumes and it is just partly linked to Brexit. It is a pin and we know there is a bubble.

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Bearcast
PREMIUM CONTENT

Tom Winnifrith Bearcast: I agree with everyone on one matter & with in house Bulletin Board loon Wildes on another

I start with that upon which we are all surely agreed. Theresa May's Brexit deal is awful, she has acted treasonously towards Ulster and she must go now. Then it seems that Wildes and I agree on one aspect of news from Falanx (FLX) - I discuss its news today. I move on to Totally (TLY), Debenhams (DEB), BCA Marketplace (BCA), Johnston Press (JPR), Purplebricks (PURP) and First Derivatives (FDP)

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Bearcast
PREMIUM CONTENT

Tom Winnifrith Bearcast: What are the incriminating photos of Daily Mail journalists that Neil Woodford owns?

You could not make it up. Another week. Another Neil Woodford share support operation in the Mail on Sunday. I look at Woodford and wider issues he faces at The Times and Sunday Times and their shameful role in the MySquar (MYSQ) fraud and at Purplebricks (PURP) and the fundamental weakness in its business proposition that will ultimately sink it.

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PREMIUM CONTENT

Keep selling Purplebricks - trading statement truly pathetic in what it did not say

The trading statement from Purplebricks (PURP), as I rather suspected, was a little short on detail and the word “profit” did not appear once...

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October performance update: start of 2018 shorted AIM shares

Early this year we showed Shorted AIM shares at the start of 2018. After the latest month, how's performance?...

Bearcast
PREMIUM CONTENT

Tom Winnifrith Bearcast: Fireworks in Bristol & NY19, a damp squib at Purplebricks

I start with fireworks with Guardian reading tossers in Clifton last night and end up with fireworks in NY19 and the US mid-terms. My analysis of a week ago, I largely stand by although recent polling data has been fascinating. In terms of shares I look at Victoria (VCP), MySquar (MYSQ), Accesso (ACSO), Air Partner (AIR) and Purplebricks (PURP)

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Purplebricks – half-year trading update, sensible yet again to be doing the opposite of Woodford

A trading update for its half-year ended 31st October 2018 from Purplebricks (PURP) is noticeable for what it fails to say not for what it actually says...

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ShareProphets readers tips for 2018 competition - end October update

Having asked for readers tips for 2018 for the amazing prize of a meal with Tom Winnifrith (or the chance to fob it off on someone you don't like) HERE, the following is a monthly update on performance (to be eligible needed to have selected, on a per username basis, a buy & sell pick from the LSE or AIM Casino and the stocks not to have been suspended at the commencement of 2018)...

Bearcast
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Tom Winnifrith Bearcast: okay you asked for it, I hope this makes you happy

I start with a reader request. I do as you wish. In this podcast I cover MySquar (FRAUD), ADVFN (AFN) and Totally (TLY) in the battle of the anorexic Ethiopian super model balance sheets, Avanti Communications (AVN), Purplebricks (PURP) and ripping off customers as a business model, and also Angus Energy (ANGS). Post bearcast I have just had a good chat with Tim Steer who has a book out soon. More on that when it is published. 

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Bearcast
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Tom Winnifrith Bearcast: Distracted by the growing sex abuse scandal at Warwick School and by the rantings of Brokerman Dan

I have been greatly distracted today. In part by some ludicrous piffle from Brokerman Dan, I explain why he is deluded. More importantly there is the growing sex and physical abuse scandal at my old school Warwick as I explained earlier today HERE. Today I have spoken to a second sexual abuse victim and been contacted by the new Head Master. Maybe something will happen. On the markets I look at First Derivatives (FDP), Angus Energy (ANGS), Purplebrocks (PURP) Totally (TLY) where Stevie Wonder could see that it is placing ahoy and Goldplat (GDP)

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The Purplebricks bubble is starting to burst - keep selling

It could be that the current market turbulence is no more than an entry point for easily the most successful investment strategy of the last ten years: BTFD (Buy the fucking dips) but I sense that this time we might be about to discover who has been swimming without trunks.

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Bearcast
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Tom Winnifrith Bearcast: Does Feedback have incriminating photos of Malcolm Stacey dancing naked round the Magic Money Tree?

In today's podcast I look at Purplebricks (PURP) and whether Neil Woodford is going nutso, Tesla (TSLA), RPS Group (RPS), Debenhams (DEB) and Feedback (FDBK)

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Purplebricks & Neil Woodford– good to see a man of conviction

I noted the other day that Neil Woodford seems to have been on a bit of a selling spree, having dumped shares in our Big Short BCA Marketplace (BCA) and more recently in Hostelworld (HSW), Forterra (FORT), Horizon Discovery (HZD) and Homeserve (HSV). But I see that the great man has been topping up his holding in Purplebricks (PURP).

Bearcast
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Tom Winnifrith Bearcast: A German Deal for Purplebricks - the land of milk & Hun-ny?

First things first - we have almost raised the £2,500 needed for the Woodlarks Christmas grotto. I am sure you can spare a fiver to get us over the line HERE. Secondly, I am in London tomorrow and on the warpath and hope to see many of you HERE.  I was distracted today doing a radio interview with my friend and hero the great Kelvin McKenzie of "gotcha!" fame. That covered Patisserie Holdings (CAKE) and fraud and I continue with that theme. I also look at Superdry (SDRY), First Derivatives (FDP), Frontera (FRR) and Purplebricks (PURP). 

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Bearcast
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Tom Winnifrith Bearcast: on the Anniversary of the Brighton bombing & other murders by Jeremy Corbyn's Sinn Fein/IRA pals

Forgive a brief historic digression at the start of this podcast but I start with a history lesson for those misguided souls who think that SinnFein/IRA brought peace and happiness to Ireland. Then I look at some other tossers from Ulster, First Derivatives (FDP) and the 3Xs. I comment briefly on Purplebricks (PURP) and Versarien (VRS) then move via BCA Marketplace (BCA) to Neil Woodford. Then it is onto MySquar (MYSQ), Symphony Environmental (SYM) and on to UK Oil & Gas (UKOG) with a few words for Dominic Frisby on the nature of bitcoin and its bubble ahead of our bust up next week in London.

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Bearcast
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Tom Winnifrith Bearcast: back from my hot Indian dentist babe but I can't speak properly

I cannot really speak properly. Forgive me, there is good reason. However I offer comment, breaking rumour and analysis on Tern (TERN),  Purplebricks (PURP) and the plight of the shorter, Berkeley Energia (BKY) and planned yellow journalism by the tossers at the FT and Audioboom (BOOM) and management spoofery.

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ShareProphets readers tips for 2018 competition - end September update

Having asked for readers tips for 2018 for the amazing prize of a meal with Tom Winnifrith (or the chance to fob it off on someone you don't like) HERE, the following is a monthly update on performance (to be eligible needed to have selected, on a per username basis, a buy & sell pick from the LSE or AIM Casino and the stocks not to have been suspended at the commencement of 2018)...

Bearcast
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Tom Winnifrith Bearcast: if you want me to slate my (few) friends you can go feck yourselves

In today's bearcast I discuss my coverage of companies where the CEO is a friend. I ask what exactly Purplebricks (PURP) is hiding in Oz and explain why its shares are sliding amid new allegations, I look at Telit (TCM), Tungsten (TUNG), Xeros Group (XSG) and Westminster Group (WSG)

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Purplebricks – you shout about good news you sit on bad news: keep selling

In 2017 Purplebricks (PURP) held its AGM on 29 September and pushed pout an H1 trading update on November 6. The news was not blisteringly good but enough lipstick was put on the dog to fool the sell side analysts. Wind forward 12 months…

ShareProphets readers tips for 2018 competition - August bank holiday update

Having asked for readers tips for 2018 for the amazing prize of a meal with Tom Winnifrith (or the chance to fob it off on someone you don't like) HERE, the following is a monthly update on performance (to be eligible needed to have selected, on a per username basis, a buy & sell pick from the LSE or AIM Casino and the stocks not to have been suspended at the commencement of 2018)...

Sensyne Health: A great IPO for Woodford but is it a Purplebricks or RM2 International from here?

Turning to my third, and the most recent, quoted constituent of Woodford Patient Capital Trust (WPCT) this weekend, I thought I should give a warm welcome to Sensyne Health (SENS) that joined AIM on Friday at a very nice valuation indeed. It’s good to see that the words ‘healthtech’ and ‘AI’ are able to suck in as much dumb money from the markets these days as the word ‘blockchain’!

Update on June Sell Calls on Mimedx and Purplebricks

I don’t propose to dwell on Tesla (NASDAQ:TSLA) today as it is in danger of becoming an obsession to me, as to many others. Suffice it to say that what was shaping up to be a pretty disastrous trade is looking a lot less serious and it is now clear that Musk’s claim to have funding secured for a take-private deal at $420 per share was wide of the mark to put it mildly.

End July performance update: start of 2018 shorted AIM shares

Early this year we showed Shorted AIM shares at the start of 2018. After the latest month, how's performance?...

ShareProphets readers tips for 2018 competition - end July update

Having asked for readers tips for 2018 for the amazing prize of a meal with Tom Winnifrith (or the chance to fob it off on someone you don't like) HERE, the following is a monthly update on performance (to be eligible needed to have selected, on a per username basis, a buy & sell pick from the LSE or AIM Casino and the stocks not to have been suspended at the commencement of 2018)...

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Purplebricks: prelims more reason to remain short

Prelims from Purplebricks (PURP), announced on Thursday, did nothing to persuade me that the shares are not an outstanding short.

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Purplebricks – the only reason the shares have not completely crashed is it is hard to borrow stock

If Neil Woodford wants to make a few friends, as I sense right now he has none at all, he should put his stock in Purplebricks (PURP) up for borrow. Then at least the bears would like him. Because right now there is almost no borrow and the cost of shorting this company is c25% per annum which is a real deterrent. If there was some borrow these shares would halve at once after today’s shockingly bad results.

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Bear

Half-year performance update: start of 2018 shorted AIM shares

Early this year we showed Shorted AIM shares at the start of 2018. After the latest month, how's performance?...

PREMIUM CONTENT

Purplebricks – a smokescreen ahead of Godawful results in the land of the deluded dope fiends (Canada)

The Canadian economy and housing market is tanking, in part thanks to the crackpot socialist policies of its preposterous PM Justin Trudeau. Dope is now legal thanks to the only PM in the world who makes Theresa May look half competent but if you lived in Canada you’d need to be on drugs.  What better place & time to spunk £45 million on buying a cash guzzling estate agency? Step forward Purplebricks (PURP) keen to distract us all from what will be Godawful full year numbers announced later this week.

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Purplebricks, with results next Thursday remains a strong sell at 329p

Purplebricks (PURP) is due to report its results for the year to April 30th next Thursday and has promised more detailed guidance than that which was given at the time of the Axel Springer investment in March.

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Eight is the Magic Number for Purplebricks but it ain’t getting close

Another day and another expose of the failing Australian business of Purplebricks (PURP) appears. Remember that bulls need Purplebricks Oz to switch from heavy losses to profit if forecasts are to be met. It just does not look likely. In the latest expose from the AFR we learn:

Bearcast
PREMIUM CONTENT

Tom Winnifrith Bearcast - talking to one of the 3 X's for almost an hour

The 3Xs are the fraudbusters best friends. In this case it was one of Julie Meyer's 3Xs and a new source. we chatted for just under an hour. More to follow. Oh dear, poor Ms Lingerie on Expenses MBE. In the podcast I look at UK Oil & Gas (UKOG), Purplebricks (PURP), Frontera (FRR), FastJet (FJET), MySquar (MYSQ) - where I have again contacted John Meyer urging him to get off his fat arse - Andalas (ADL) and Magnolia Petroleum (MAGP). The good news is that sponsorship of the walk I'm doing with Brokerman Dan for Woodlarks is now, with gift aid, at almost £11,000. I explain here why this walk makes the difference between Woodlarks having to cut services or carry on, please do give a tenner today.  Think of my pain - not least in having to hear Dan talk total bollocks about Andalas for whole day - and COUGH UP HERE.

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US-Dollar
PREMIUM CONTENT

Update on Tesla - still a Short

Two months ago at the UK Investor Show, I tipped Tesla (US - TSLA) as my top short for 2018 at $300. The shares are now 11% higher than that having touched $370 in the interim, so my timing has not been great and for that I apologise. Nevertheless, I still believe that, despite it being a crowded trade, and despite the fact that Elon Musk still enjoys unquestioning support from his cult followers, the company faces existential threats which could overwhelm it in short order and it is therefore the right thing to maintain a short position.

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Bearcast
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Tom Winnifrith Bearcast - explaining to our in house Bulletin Board moron why taking part in a placing is not insider dealing

I look at why taking part in the Premaitha (NIPT) placing did not constitute insider dealing but make a suggestion as to how to change the way AIM placings take part. I look at what the Countrywide (CWD) statement means for Purplebricks (PURP) and at UK housing activity, at MySquar (FRAUD) where SP Angel continues to turn a blind eye to crime, at Avanti Communications (AVN), R4E (R4E) and at a new NEX float Tectonic Gold (TTAU) formerly Stratmin and why AIM turned it down and what message that sends to flip flop Ben Turney and Teathers (TEA). Read about my extreme weekend suffering and be generous HERE

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Purplebricks Aussie Business is failing and shrinking

A leading Australian Newspaper has revealed that “broke” estate agents are quitting Purplebricks (PURP) in Oz in droves as the market slows. They claim the business model is flawed. Maybe as the UK residential market slows similar cracks will appear here.  Remember Aussie growth is one way Purplebricks claims it will start to move out of the red in a material fashion. Perhaps not. The AFR reports:

Bearcast
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Tom Winnifrith Bearcast - I said he was mad, I was wrong

In today's Bearcast I reflect that it is now just 6 weeks and 1 day to the great event. With gift aid myself and Brokerman Dan have now raised more than £8500 for Woodlarks. As I prepare for a 14 mile training walk this weekend please do sponsor me - I am sure you can afford to donate a tenner HERE. In the podcast I look at Orosur Mining (OMI) - down 48% today but still 90% overvalued - UK Oil & Gas (UKOG), Kefi (KEFI) - where we own shares - RedstoneConnect (REDS), Purplebricks (PURP), Neil Woodford and Feedback (FDBK).

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Bear
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Sell MiMedx and Purplebricks

US biotech firm MiMedx (NASDAQ - MDXG) has announced that none of its financial statements going back to 2012 can be relied upon and that it is still unable to file for Q4 2017 and Q1 2018. Its CFO was leaving with immediate effect to be replaced by one Edward Borkowski, who had previously tended the books of Canadian pharma company Concordia until it went bankrupt.

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Purplebricks – problems with property management? When will it fess up?

I noted in a bearcast last week that the lack of a year end trading statement from Purplebricks (PURP) as has in the past been its wont – was a bad sign. If it had any good news at all to mention after the profits alert in march it would have told us about it. Instead silence.  Well a source close to the company say one bit of news it could have released is, er more bad news.

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Bearcast
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Tom Winnifrith Bearcast: The missing trading statement from Purplebricks and does IQE need to warn?

I start on a rather sad personal note. Then it is onto Purplebricks (PURP) and the missing FY trading statement. Does that mean that the great day of a big de-rate looms? I look at UK Oil & Gas (UKOG) in light of today's scoop, at Strat Aero (AERO) where if you look at the real maths the current ramp has created a joke valuation, at the People's Operator (TPOP) which should be sent to Dignitas and finally at IQE (IQE) where I ask if a profits warning is imminent? 5% of Bearcast listeners have donated to the Woodlarks charity walk but 95% have not! . We are now at 26% of our £20,000 target. As I prepare for a step up in my training walks tomorrow - pushing Joshua for 7.5 miles - to those who have  donated I say thank you. To the rest, I know you can afford a tenner - think of me training and cough up now HERE

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Purplebricks & Ticking Timebombs

At last month’s UK Investor Show I grumbled about the difficulties of being short in the current fraud-friendly climate in which fundamental analysis seems way down the pecking order of share picking criteria and suggested that unless it can be shown that a company is in imminent danger of going bust (Carillion, for example) shorting right now is an uphill battle. I might have added that shorting a name where there is a small free float is also a dangerous game. Which brings me back to Purplebricks (PURP).

Is PurpleBricks set to repay millions?

If you have paid hundreds or thousands of pounds up front to an agent (or been signed up to a loan agreement to defer payment – especially without your knowledge) and have little or nothing to show for it, this article is for you.

UKIS
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Video of Main Stage Talk at UK Investor Show 2018: Nick Leslau with Tom Winnifrith

This was a wide ranging chat with the property guru covering everything from retailaggedon, to how to invest in commercial real estate to Purplebricks (PURP) to UK house prices and buy to let, Nick Leslau did not hold back.

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Bearcast
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Tom Winnifrith Bearcast: Who sent me the lawyer's letter and suspending disbelief (pro tem) on Tesla, Telit & Purplebricks

The lawyer's letter? I must keen you in suspense as I discuss with my lawyers how to respond so you can still vote on who sent it HERE. I also chatted today to Lucian about three slam dunk shorts: Telit (TCM), Purplebricks (PURP) and Tesla (TSLA). Or are they slam dunks? Might disbelief be suspended forever.? I then look at Photonstar Led (PSL) at Conroy Gold (CGNR) and at how AIM gives capitalism a bad name by not letting bust companies such as Andalas (ADL) fail.

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Purplebricks being investigated for misleading Aussie customers (again!)

The UK regulators seem loathe to take action but having been fined last month for misleading customers in Australia it seems that Purplebricks (PURP) is in the soup once again down under. Why don't UK authorities take action too asks Chris Wood in his cracking UK Investor Show video out today HERE. Meanwhile the AFR reports:

Explosive Purplebricks Video from UK Investor Show - Estate Agent Chris Wood blows the lid

This may say Minoan on the video but it is not. Yet another P45 for Darren Atwater. Instead it is Cornish Estate Agent Chris Wood who has disregarded two bully boy lawyers letters and blows the lid on Purplebricks (PURP).

Purplebricks expose lined up for UK INvestor - Chris Wood not scared by legal threats & joins the speaker line up

Cornish Estate Agent Chris Wood has exposed numerous of the sharpish practices employed by Purplebricks (PURP) on his own blog and we have republished his incredibly detailed analysis HERE. For his troubles Purplebricks has on several occasions sent him stiff lawyers letters in an attempt to gag him. Now he will blow the lid on much more as our final speaker at UK INvestor Show on Saturday.

Bearcast

Tom Winnifrith Bearcast - Recorded at my parents in law so no ffing swearing

This is the most polite i shall ever be. Okay the mother-in-law is out and my father in law has hearing issues but still its  a no swearing podcast in which I discuss FairFx (FFX), Vin Murria, the Uk Investor Show and a new major headache for Purplebricks ( PURP) and the wider issue of revenue visibility. I also note events in Syria which I cover in more detail HEREIf you like bearcasts then remember that at UK Investor on April 21 one of many highlights will be a live bearcast with myself and Paul Scott. Make sure you book a free ticket HERE using the promotional code WINNIFRITH.

Purplebricks: new German money should not distract from warning on revenue; sell at 330p

Shares in Purplebricks (PURP) have had a good run of late, hitting 355p the other day, just a fraction shy of the price at which the German firm Axel Springer invested £125 million on the 26th of last month. Don't lose heart my fellow bears...

Bear

Q1 performance update: start of 2018 shorted AIM shares

Early this year we showed Shorted AIM shares at the start of 2018. After the first quarter, how's performance?...

Bearcast
PREMIUM CONTENT

Tom Winnifrith Bearcast - why won't the Mrs come to see the new Death Wish as her birthday treat?

Only kidding! Death Wish, which is not, as you might think, hapless Mayor Khan's new tourist promo video for London, is not out until Friday. So I gave the Mrs a far more suitable present for her birthday but what to give my Labour party loyalist sister Comrade N?. Back to the Mrs: I sense that I shall be watching the new Bruce Willis movie alone. I digress. In today's bearcast I look at Weatherley International (WTI), the fraud MySquar (MYSQ), Pathfinder Minerals (PFP),  Air Partner (AIR), Sosandar (SOS), IFG Group (IFP), IQE (IQE) - where I try not to be tasteless as I flag a difficult issue but apologise in advance if I offend anyone - and Purplebricks (PURP). If you like bearcasts then remember that at UK Investor on April 21 one of many highlights will be a live bearcast with myself and Paul Scott. Make sure you book a free ticket HERE using the promotional code WINNIFRITH

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Bearcast
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Tom Winnifrith Bearcast: I just love it when my father in law and I talk about his birth in Madras, it so annoys the Mrs

The Mrs thinks her dad was born in Chennai. I explain the relevance of this as I discuss Mercantile Ports & Logistics (MPL) and more evidence that has fallen into my hands suggesting that it is doomed. Elsewhere I look at Purplebricks (PURP), Angle (AGL) and the corruption of Fleet Street, Brokerman Dan again showing that he did not train as a journalist but as er..something else as he looks at Big Dish a stock where I have no knowledge or financial interest  I also look at the disgraceful news today from Nick "not for the many but the" Trew at Pathfinder Minerals (PFP) and at ITM Power (ITM)

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Axel Springer invests £125 million but Purplebricks bosses are dumping shares as it issues profits alert

The good news for Neil Woodford and the other saps who own Purplebricks (PURP) shares is that German media conglomerate Axel Springer has invested £125 million at 360p - a material premium to thge recent VWAP. But then there is the bad news...

Purplebricks shares have tanked - what is going on? A cue for Neil Woodford to top up?

In days gone by Britain's most conceited fund manager Neil Woodford would have noted how shares in Purplebricks (PURP) have slumped from 440p to c300p in just over three weeks and because Nomates always knows better than the market he would have topped up his holdings. But cash is a tad tight for Neil so he has not done so yet. Maybe he will indeed extend his fund's overdraft and catch another knife? But why are the shares tanking. I suggest you ask RICS.

Bearcast
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Tom Winnifrith Bearcast: Putting Paul Scott straight, no nudge nudge wink wink, Countrywide & Purplebricks

Paul Scott is having a go at me on twitter and on the comments section here - which I publish as I believe in free speech - but I put him straight on what research means and why he is - not for the first time - applying a double standard. Come on old boy - be fair and look at the actual facts. Then I look at Vela (VELA) and what its share price says about sentiment on the AIM Casino. En passant I cover the dog Arian (AGQ) Finally a detailed look at Countrywide (CWD) - dire statement today - and where that leaves Purplebricks (PURP). Which is the bigger short? A tweet from Scott is below:

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Bearcast

Tom Winnifrith Bearcast: MySquar & UKOG - spot the difference: not all "death spirals" are the same

In today's bearcast I start with a reader complaint but then he is a tosser so who cares? Then it is onto looking at the differences between the funding facilities at UK Oil & Gas (UKOG) and MySquar (MYSQ). I am bearish on both but the differences in the two packages are instructive. I look at Nature Group (NGR), Jim Mellon's uber-ramp FastForward (FFWD) and at Purplebricks (PURP) is the Neil Woodford bubble about to burst again, as even former supporters like Paul Scott admit my analysis was right and theirs wrong.

Woodford Patient Capital Trust: The Big Short (Jan updates) – Someone’s got to do it!

As Neil Woodford is such a believer in transparency, he has pulled his monthly updates altogether so these monthly updates now take on a greater importance to provide much needed information to the long-suffering investors in the three funds. Can’t imagine why Woodford stopped them?

Breaking: Prothena & Purplebricks crashing - is Woodford Fund now in breach of borrowing/unquoted limits? RNS needed ASAP!

As predicted here at the weekend Nasdaq listed Irish biotech Prothena (US:PRTA) is suffering a bloodbath today following the shock after hours resignation of its CMO on Friday. Shares in Purplebricks (PURP) are also crashing and that leaves the Woodford Patient Capital Trust (WPCT) in serious trouble - has it breached its banking limits yet?

Bearcast

Tom Winnifrith Bearcast: Don't tell Neil Woodford but Purplebricks is worth just 94p per share - or probably less!

Today's bad news for Britain's most conceited fund manager, Neil "Nomates" Woodford is a savage note on Purplebricks (PURP) by broker Jeffries setting a 94p target as you can see HERE.  I discuss why this target could be too low or could be far too generous but the shares are certainly a slam dunk sell. I look at IQE (IQE) in light of Matty Earl's bombshell note HERE. There is comment on Online BlockCrap (OBC) and a look behind the headline numbers and the turd polishing which shows why Mobile Streams (MOS) is so deep in the unpolishable merde 

Purplebricks responds to damning Jeffries report but not convincingly

Purplebricks (PURP) shares continue to tumble despite it attempting to attack a damning report out late yesterday from broker Jeffries which claims to show that the company may have been lying. The Purplebricks response , a denial, simply does not convince.

CPI
CPI

Woodford and Capita – Strike two: a few observations

My conclusion to The Big Short series over Christmas was that although it was a long-term play, Neil Woodford was only a few pieces of “bad luck” away from a speedier, more dramatic implosion. This week’s Capita (CPI) news is the second of those already and we’re only one month in. Further to the excellent pieces on Capita yesterday (HERE and HERE), a few further observations on the wider Woodford story from me.

Purplebricks - what does Google tell us? It is not something that makes me any less bearish

I'm not entirely sold on the validity of Google Trends data, not least because the top result when you enter the search term "Purplebricks" is generally not the Purplebricks (PURP) website.  In fact, the Purplebricks website is generally quite a long way down the list.  That's just because other companies are paying up for the search term, perhaps attempting to leverage the company's highly successful (and controversial) TV advertising campaign. However, I pulled together a few of the trends, by geography, over time in the hope it might show something, and I think these graphs should raise a few concerns for the bulls.

Bearcast

Tom Winnifrith Bearcast: Julie Meyer's in house lawyer is a very confused young man

As you know I got a lawyer's letter from the Ariadne Group run by Julie Meyer yesterday. I explain why the in house lawyer poodle chap is a very confused young man. He has not, as he said he would, got back to me to clarify his confused position. I urge you to read Nigel's AIQ expose today as it is most excellent. I discuss Haike Chemical (HAIK) and why it is by definition a bad company as is - as per today's article here - Purplebricks (PURP). Then it is onto the looming bun fight at Paternoster Resources (PRS) - if any of Nick Lee, Amanda Van Dyke and Melissa Sturgess which to dish dirt on the oppo, I am here and happy to publish it all. You see I am everybody's friend.

Purplebricks - Scottish House Move attack ad

North of the Border, www.scottishhousemove.co.uk is going after Purplebricks (PURP) big time. Its homepage boasts that it will undercut Purplebricks by £750 and carries a stream of dismal reviews from allagents.co.uk for its larger rival. Then it really goes on the attack as you can see below.

Woodford’s Income Focus Fund – Just keep digging, Neil, keep digging

I’ve been smiling this week at the comments on Woodford’s website as the moderators are desperately sticking to the party line regardless of what is happening in reality or what Woodford himself is briefing to investors privately. Let me explain in the context of his Income Focus Fund.

Purplebricks - AllAgents stands up to fascist lawyers letters and starts publishing real reviews again... and they are damning

Bravo AllAgents.co.uk. The leading independent review site of Estate Agents is ignoring fascist lawyers letters from Purplebricks (PURP) and has just re-started publishing reviews of the crummy online estate agent, good and bad. Natch Purplebricks is still insisting that the reviews are bogus without providing any evidence at all and boy are some of the reviews bad as you can see below. In the end companies offering a socking service will - however much they spend on TV advertising - go under. Purplebricks shares remain a stonking sell.

What Ryan Dinsdale tells you about how Purplebricks insiders see the share price going

Yesterday it was announced that Ryan Dinsdale, the CEO of Purplebricks Australia, on 13 December 2017 exercised options over 40,000 Ordinary Shares in Purplebricks PLC (PURP) at £1.29 each and subsequently sold 40,000 Ordinary Shares at £3.65 each. So what you say.

Bearcast

Tom Winnifrith Bearcast: Sales = vanity, EBITDA = bullshit earnings, profits = a matter of opinion, cash IS reality

My day has been messed around big time as I explain. Notwithstanding that I discuss Avanti Communications (AVN), React (REAT), Plant Impact (PIN), Forbidden Technologies (FBT), IDOX (IDOX) and Purplebricks (PURP)

TCM
TCM

Telit Fraud Finally Begins to Tell It Like it Is. Sell at 145p

Finally the truth is beginning to emerge at the London-listed, Israeli-based Internet-Of-Things fraud Telit Comunications (TCM) - one of my top three shorts along with Purplebricks (PURP) and UK Oil & Gas (UKOG).

AllAgents crowdfund fails, Purplebricks fascist lawyers have won...

I am rather disappointed in the management of the UK's leading independent review site AllAgents.co.uk - they have let us all down. They sought to raise £50,000 to allow them legal support against fascist lawyers letters from Purplebricks (PURP) which demanded bad reviews be taken down.

Purplebricks - Woodford in for a penny, in for a pound

A TR-1 released by AIM-listed Purplebricks (PURP) reveals that Woodford Investment Management - the stamping ground of former idol Neil Woodford - has been piling in to buy more shares in the light of recent weakness in the share price. Is it good news for Purplebricks? I fear not.

Reviews site AllAgents has raised £40,615 - needs another £9,385 by 12.30 PM Tuesday to fight Purplebricks in court, please help

I have already donated to the crowdfunding appeal of AllAgents.co.uk but will make another donation today. And I ask that you consider doing so to and encouraging others to chip in. You may remember that Purplebricks (PURP) sent fascist lawyers letters to Allagents.co.uk demanding it remove bad, but genuine, reviews from its website.

UK Oil and Gas: Death Spiral Announcement Makes Shorting at 4.6p the trade for Christmas.

I suggested last week that the time had come for oil stock promotion UK Oil & Gas (UKOG) to come clean about its financial position and update the market on where it stood on its flow testing at Broadford Bridge. I suggested the shares were a sure fire short at 4.6p.

Clown

A Second big investor dumps Neil Nomates Woodford after more dismal returns - more to follow

Last month the Jupiter Merlin group which, at one point, had £942 million invested in funds managed by Neil "nomates" Woodford announced that it was pulling out its last monies. Now another big investment group has given up on Britain's most self important fund manager. Aviva, one of the largest savings providers in Britain, has had enough.

Bearcast

Tom Winnifrith Bearcast - what the hell is happening with Purplebricks?

Today's main bearcast is short as I feel rotten. Apologies. In it I cover events in Zimbawe and look forward to the execution of Africa's Hitler. I look at Purplebricks (PURP), UK Oil & Gas (UKOG), West African Minerals (WAFM) and Mosman Oil & Gas (MSMN)

Bearcast

Tom Winnifrith Bearcast: Margaret Hodge MP caught with her trousers down: Offshore dealings, deramping & stock promotion

I start with the latest offshore revelations from the Paradise Papers. Tune into BBC 1 tonight at 9 for more fun. I delight in Margaret Hodge the Labour MP being exposed as an A grade hypocrite on this matter and then point out how it is impossible to stop folks going offshore - the answer is not to deter them with punitive UK tax. I look at Concepta (CPT) - which we own - after today's statement, Purplebricks (PURP)  and shamed FinnCap's latest tech disaster Intercede (IGP) where its certainly placing ahoy. Then I cover the issues of ramping, de-ramping and stock promotion.

Bearcast
PREMIUM CONTENT

Tom Winnifrith Bearcast: 10 stocks to sell or short ahead of the hike in UK base rates

There is a bit of background reading and listening for this bearcast: the graphs from the start of the big short HERE and the macroeconomics in yesterday's bearcast HERE. Then it is onto the 10 stocks to sell or short ahead of the first UK base rate rise in years which will happen in this week coming up. I explain why the following ten should be dumped or shorted:

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Purplebricks America - is this not a tad misleading?

To be fair, just a month and six days after launching in the USA Purplebricks (PURP) appears to be gaining some traction. Already it lists 1,460 apartments for sale in Los Angeles so folks are at least using it. Perhaps they like the claims made on the website Purplebricks.com?

SNT
SNT

Why an ASA complaint is such a major red flag - case study Sabien

Natch the AIM listed uber dog Sabien (SNT) never got around to mentioning it but, like Purplebricks (PURP) today, it was censured by the Advertising Standards Agency, ASA, back in January 2013. Good companies just do not need to mislead clients.

Another shocker from Crowdcube, another nail in the coffin for Purplebricks

Yesterday I flagged up the crazy valuation of Doorsteps.co.uk and how, egged on by some misleading marketing, it had managed to raise large sums on crowd funding website Crowdcube. Thus it now has cash - which it will burn fast on its flawed business model - but which will put even more pressure on prices and volumes at Purplebricks (PURP). Sadly it is not an isolated case. Meet I Am The Agent Limited.

To be censured by the ASA once is understandable but FOUR times looks like carelessness - Purplebricks!

I apologise to another Anglo-Irishman for the misquote. The advertising watchdog the ASA has for the fourth time in 18 months slammed Purplebricks (PURP) for lying to potential customers. Let's bve clear: companies with a good product can afford to tell the truth. Natch Purplebricks says it has changed its adverts and there is nothing to worry about. But that is on just two days data....

Bearcast

Tom Winnifrith Bearcast: the horrid truth behind Doorsteps.co.uk, a crowdfunding scandal and hot Telit gossip

Yesterday I discussed Doorsteps.co.uk which claims that it will flog your house for £99. I now look more closely at its history and the utterly shameless way that Crowdcube raised £400,000 for it; at the fact free and unquestioning BJ's its 19 year old founder has received from Fleet Street and speculate about how bad its metrics really are. That it has raised cash so easily is bad news for Purplebricks as it is now funded to nibble at its market share and so will be others until they all go bust. But it will be too late for Purplebricks by then. I then have hot gossip on Telit (TCM) which shows up the FT's dictation from PR men taking hacks for the fools they are and reinforces the shorting case big time. I cover UK Oil & Gas (UKOG) and Conroy Gold & Natural Resources (CGNR), both need to place ASAP and in both cases it will be ugly. I also remind you again what UKOG is NOT saying.

Purplebricks - that race to the bottom: meet Doorsteps.co.uk & flog your house for £99

Will Purplebricks (PURP) ever generate real profits from its UK Business? No. I have noted before that its business model is flawed and one reason is the race to the bottom on pricing. Meet the UK's 18th largest estate agent, Doorsteps.co.uk, and flog your house for just £99.

BCA
BCA
PREMIUM CONTENT

The £1.75 billion company that could go to zero - a major report from Tom Winnifrith

The red flags are obvious. The business model is one that could blow up with the asset bubble that has created it. Even in a best case scenario the valuation is absurd. Oh and Neil Woodford is a major investor. Need I say more. After Purplebricks (PURP) which is a nailed down zero, this is my number 1 short for the Autumn.

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Collapsing-Reactor

Woodford - the Redemptions begin in earnest, Jupiter Pulls

I flagged up at the weekend why Neil "nomates" Woodford might be just a couple mmore high profile disasters away from disaster in terms of a flood of redemptions. Well it appears that some are not waiting for the implosion of Purplebricks and another Woodford car crash.

Bearcast

Tom Winnifrith Bearcast - what is the difference between Warren Buffett and Neil "nomates" Woodford?

Answers on a postcard. But for starters, one Hathaway, One had a way but lost it. I start with a detailed look at the Woodford Patient Capital Trust (WPCT) then run some numbers by you on LPE's and Purplebricks (PURP). I mention UK Oil & Gas (UKOG) en passant, Jersey Oil & Gas (JOG), Columbus Energy (CERP), Mirada (MIRA) and finally Conroy Gold & Natural Resources (CGNR)

Purplebricks - what is really going on? More from heroic Chris

Yesterday we ran the gutsy response of Estate Agent Chris Wood to a fascist lawyers letter sent by Schillings on behalf of Purplebricks (PURP) in an attempt to gag him. We are not afraid of the wankers at Schillings having seen them off before when they tried to gag me on behalf of the fraudsters at Quindell (QPP). So let's hear more from heroic Chris. Below he explains why a LPE is certainly not always an E and the idea of portal juggling. Anyone owning these shares is bonkers or Neil Woodford or both. Over to Chris....

Purplebricks bullies another critic with fascist lawyers letter from Schillings but Chris Wood bites & fights back

Having received a fascist lawyers letter from heavyweight lawyers Schillings myself I know that it can be quite intimidating. Mine (HERE) was on behalf of the fraudsters Quindell (QPP) and I told Schillings that I would "see you in Court bitchez." I knew Quenron would not dare go through a disclosure process. Estate Agent Chris Wood is armed with the same knowledge and has thus responded robustly to a missive on behalf of Purplebricks. I have chatted to Chris at length today and, as someone convinced, that Purplebricks is a zero I am happy to republish the missive from Schillings  and the response of Chris which adds mountains of evidence to the fact that Purplebricks is a can of worms which is spending ever greater sums trying to gag critics with fascist missives from expensive lawyers. Over to Chris:

BREAKING: Concha shows the race to the bottom that will destroy Purplebricks

This website has never been a great supporter of Concha (CHA) but the Chris Akers vehicle has today announced an investment which shows you that Purplebricks (PURP) is heading for oblivion. Its "disruptive" business model is going to get disrupted and here is one reason why. 

Purplebricks: Thoughts on Trading Update

Purplebricks (PURP) trading statement released on Friday was characteristically short on detail and did little to justify its sky-high valuation.

Bearcast

Tom Winnifrith Bearcast from Big Sofa to Purplebricks and to an Irish crook I want to sue me for libel

On today's bearcast I mention, en passant, an Irish crook I want to sue me as you can see HERE but then cover Big Sofa (BST), Conroy Gold & Natural Resources (CGNR), Mosman Oil & Gas (MSMN), ITM Power (ITM), Arian Silver (AGQ), Carillion (CLLN)  and Purplebricks (PURP)

TCM
TCM

Telit and Eros: frauds and a lesson

A useful lesson has been handed out recently to bears by the price action in two stocks: Telit Communications (TCM), an Israeli fraud quoted in London, and Eros International, an Indian fraud quoted in New York.

Bearcast

Tom Winnnifrith Bearcast: Purplebricks, the hard numbers - this just does not stack up at all!

I start off with a cheque received for 29p. Then as we see the Purplebricks (PURP) share price start to melt I look at hard maths and explain why the shares will collapse from here. I look at the Rose Petroleum (ROSE) placing, misleading comments from worthless crap Strat Aero (AERO), dismal interims from shamed lifestyle company Magnolia Petroleum (MAGP) and then at Intelligent Energy (IEH) which looks like a zero in waiting. 

Purplebricks...and another thing

An eagle eyed reader flags up another matter relating to Neil "nomates" Woodford's next disaster, that is to say Purplebricks (PURP) which, in light of the latest shocking revelations today, is a zero in waiting as I explained HERE.

Bearcast

Tom Winnifrith BONUS Bearcast: Playing Sam Antar's fraudster game: a Purplebricks special

Let us be clear: Purplebricks (PURP) is not a fraud but today's publication of customer reviews - that Purplebricks is desperate for you not to see - is damning and suggests a business model that is based on taking £1000 from large numbers of "customers" who get nothing in return. That is not sustainable and is why the shares are worth 0p. The Sam Antar reference is about how Purplebricks responds and that, in turn, will determine the speed of its collapse. That it will collapse is a given.

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