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Even a few of our detractors have now come around
At 6.22 PM yesterday evening, 4D Pharma announced the reason for its "temporary" share suspension. It wasn't a messy and discounted placing, as I suggested here, but administration. Shareholders will, I fear, lose everything. I discuss who is to blame, what can be done (nothing) and the read-across to a raft of other stocks that could go the same way, including Shield Therapeutics (STX), Cineworld (CINE), Petropavlovsk (POG), Verditek (VDTK) and more.
Ahead of that, I describe triumph in the garden. Then, I discuss the accelerating Bitcoin crash, Argo Blockchain (ARB) and Cineworld (CINE).
In today's podcast, I discuss SUPP (Formerly WPCT), Argo Blockchain (ARB), Cinworld (CINE) and the Vela (VELA)/Truspine (TSP) farce.
I estimate Cineworld (CINE) is worth c. 2p per share, as noted in yesterday's bearcast. Perhaps my greatest flaw is overkindness. It is a real failing, with which I constantly struggle. Anyhow, Evil Banksta - being a banksta - has no such problems, and takes me to task for my generosity. He explains:
It is just five days to Rogue Bloggers for Woodlarks and we are at just under 33% of our target so can the 93% of listeners yet to donate please do so HERE. In today's podcast I cover the quarter of a billion quid blown, largely by Neil Woodford, at Rutherford (RUTH) and how that made Woodford,personally, even richer. I name and shame a couple of those who enabled that scam. I look at Wildcat Petroleum (WCAT), Guild ESports (GILD) and Cellular Goods (CBX) and the piss poor Times' idea of breaking news, I mention Optibiotix (OPTI),look at Eve (EVE) which seems to be a zero to me, at spineless and busted Cineworld (CINE) and in detail at ADVFN (AFN) and its woes.
The Mrs is threatening to take me on a hot date to see Downton Abbey at our local Cineworld (CINE). With a seventeen month old baby, any date will do. Even that one. But will even our custom be enough to save Cineworld’s shareholders from losing almost everything? Er…no. There is more bad news today, signs that Cineworld really is scrabbling round at the back of the sofa for any loose change.
In today’s podcast I look in detail at Deepverge (DVRG) whose CEO Gerry Brandon is a 100% arse and whose most recent RNS is utterly deceptiive. I also look in detail at musicMagpie (MMAG) where a placing will be messy but is a slam dunk cert if the Fat Lady is not to make an appearance and at Cineworld (CINE) which remains a slam dunk short.
I see that amid some optimism that we might see peace in Ukraine the FTSE 100 is staging a bit of a rally as I write. And with that all sorts of stocks among the small and mid-caps are heading higher. Of course, I pray for peace. If we get it then all stocks will be marked higher but for how long?
I start with a recovered Joshua learming a new word. Then it is onto Gfinity (GFIN) and Nigel Wray, Guild ESports (GILD), Parlsey Box (MEAL), the markets and Ukraine, Chill Brands (CHLL) – the day’s biggest gainer (pro tem), a true dead cat bounce and Cineworld (CINE). There is also a history lesson for GCSE student, our in house Euro loon, my friend, Jonathan Price.
The gardening photos from the Welsh hovel will appear later on my own site. Before then I review the 4 retail stocks of the Lucian Miers apocalypse: Versarien (VRS), Supply@ME Capital (SYME), Eurasia (EUR) and Chill Brands (CHLL) and then my 10 stocks to collapse by Christmas. One has fallen so far it is probably not a short now though I would not buy it while three look set to go to zero, possibly as soon as next week in one case. My 10 are Supply, Chill Brands, Versarien, Avacta (AVCT), Wildcat Petroleum (WCAT), Amigo (AMGO), Cineworld (CINE), Argo Blockchain (ARB), Verditek (VDTK) and Tern (TERN). I also look at the oil price and consider whether those sitting on gains might bank a few profits.
Early this year we showed the top shorted London-listed shares at the start of 2022. How’s the performance (those in bold remain from 2021) as at the end of February?…
I start with Ukraine, Russia and all that macro shite and say afew things which challenge the Western narrative and which some of you may disagree with violently. I cover Ferrexpo (FXPO),Amur (AMC) and Eurasia (EUA) in this section. I mention Cineworld (CINE) and then discuss today’s news from Optibiotix (OPTI) and, en passant, Skinbiotherapeutics (SBTX) where I am buying more shares this afternoon.
It would be churlish not to concede that if the aim of Cineworld’s (CINE) £3 tickets on Saturday was to pack cinemas, then the company succeeded. I am hearing numerous reports of packed theatres and even of some folks being turned away as all seats were sold out. Assuming that the folks buying the tickets gorged on diet Pepsi and sweet popcorn as is the norm, then Cineworld will have been profitable this weekend just gone. But …
The maths of running a movie theatre are simple. Ticket sales cover all your costs and the profit you make is on the hugely expensive high margin junk food, sweets and teeth rotting drinks you flog. But when audiences slump that means fewer tickets so costs are not covered and then tubs of ice cream sold so one struggles overall to cover costs. That brings us to Cineworld (CINE).
In a long podcast I explain why the climate has changed so making it a year for the bears and then explain the common thread and individual reasons for my top ten shorts for Christmas 2022. The terrible ten are Supply@ME Capital (SYME), Tern (TERN), Avacta (AVCT), Versarien (VRS), Chill Brands (FRAUD), Amigo (AMGO),Cineworld (CINE), Argo Blockchain (ARB), Verditek (VDTK) and Wildcat Petroleum (WCAT)
Yes I was dealing with a covidiot. We just cannot go on like this. If folks want to be Good Germans they can be but I cannot be arsed with such poltroons. Then I look at Cineworld (CINE) prompted by this news from Ealing as well as my earlier piece HERE. My only question is whether my target is 0p or 2p. Then SpaceandPeople (SAL) and words on overdrafts. That also applies to Omega Diagnostics (ODX) which I cover. Then today’s warning from the Bank of England is discussed and its importance and grim implications. Finally my chat with Steve O’Hara, forecasts for Optibotix (OPTI) and where the shares will be in three years.
Lucian Miers and myself have repeatedly called out Cineworld (CINE) as a compelling short and those who have followed our calls have prospered. But the FT, the home of almost every wrong call in history from backing the UK joining the Euro to selling its gold in 1997, runs a story “Cineworld debt pile set to save cinema operator from bankruptcy.” You might think this is a reason to buy. Au contaire. A resting banksta writes to me to explain.
In today’s bearcast I discuss Cineworld (CINE), Gulf Keystone (GKP), Chill Brands (CHLL), Omega Diagnostics (ODX), Vast Resources (VAST), Joules (JOUL) and the dreadful grammar of the younger brother of London’s worst Nomad, Roland “fatty” Cornish. How many BP’s does Michael think there are 2, 3, 27?
Early this year we showed the top shorted London-listed shares at the start of 2022. How’s the performance (those in bold remain from 2021) as at the end of the first month?…
I do not go into much detail but this has not been a pleasant last 24 hours so hence the lack of output from me. Fingers crossed I am on the mend. I discuss Covid plays and false Covid recovery plays and end of covid victims including Omega Diagnostics (ODX), a mega short as the cash crisis bites, Abingdon Diagnostics (ABDX), MyHealthChecked (MHC) and – especially for listener TB – Cineworld (CINE). Then I look at more murky Trevor Brown goings on at Braveheart (BRH) and the odd world of Free Association Books and the Brown family. Finally the madness at Tintra (TNT) now – for a company with no operations – and, perhaps, £2million cash – valued at c£40 million. Insane!
Cineworld (CINE) reckons that as the world emerges from the scamdemic its trading is improving helped by some really great movie releases. I am not quite so sure about that and today’s trading update misses out the most critical number investors need to see, the movement in the vast debts in which this company is drowning. That omission tells you all you need to know.
I name all those shareholders or their BB or Twitter names that Union Jack Oil (UJO) is using shareholder cash to troll in a most thoroughly unpleasant way as I exposed yesterday. I also comment on THG (THG), Cineworld (CINE), Tintra (TNT), Versarien (VRS) and then on the bursting of the Covid testing bubble with particular reference to Omega Diagnostics (ODX), Avacta (AVCT) and Novacyt (NCYT) which has its own BIG question to answer. Plus, of course, MyHealthChecked (MHC). I reference vaccination and covid rates in Israel in the podcast which is covered in more detail HERE.
I start with a few comments on my life as a tree hugging, green feminist and the issues that presents. Then I comment on Wildcat (WCAT) and its smearing of me in a bonkers statement. I then comment on Versarien (VRS), the Ian Westbrook case and what will cause a share price collapse this year. Then it is on to Cineworld (CINE), the Restaurant Group (RTN) and easyjet (EZJ), three end of covid plays and why they are not all the same. Finally I look at Nostra Terra Oil & Gas (NTOG) and the latest statement served up by its devoutly Christian boss and why I am not buying into it.
Early last year we showed the top shorted London-listed shares at the start of 2021. How did they perform (those in bold remain from 2020)?…
Having asked for readers tips for 2021 for the prize of 1/2 litre of Tom Winnifrith’s Greek Hovel olive oil (2021 harvest) HERE, the following is the competition result (to be eligible needed to have selected, on a once per username basis, a buy & sell pick from the LSE or AIM casino and the stocks not to have been suspended at the commencement of 2021)… And the winner is…
I trust that numerous warnings from myself and Lucian have allowed you to make good money from shorting Cineworld (CINE) all the way down. The shares have collapsed this week on news that it has lost a Canadian court case and is on the hook for C$1.23 billion but that merely accelerates the end game here. Do not even think of closing your short at 31p. My target is buttons. Post an inevitable debt for equity swap and bailout placing this is a penny share.
In today ‘s Bearcast I look at Sarah Willingham’s swimsuit pose and why it makes Nightcap (NGHT) uninvestable even before the next COVID restrictions which will kill her business. Then it is onto Cineworld (CINE) where its Canadian shock today only adds to its miseries. It remains a stonking short with its own G issues. Finally Ben’s Creek (BEN) and an unexpected twist at what remains a short.
We have warned numerous times on this website that Cineworld (CINE) is drowning in debt and thus needs a debt for equity swap and a massive fund raise which will dilute all current shareholders massively. Our complete coverage is HERE — nobody could say we have not got this 100% right. Could things get any worse? They just did.
In its November 15 trading update Cineworld (CINE) included a table, which compared revenue from months in 2021 with revenue from months in 2019. This was an attempt to illustrate that cinema viewings were returning to pre-covid levels, the CEO specifically commented that “We are thrilled to see audiences returning in significant numbers”. As Tom pointed out then, Cineworld made these comparisons notwithstanding that October 2021 had five weekends whilst October 2019 only had four weekends. Given that cinema viewings tend to cluster around the weekend, this meant that the October 2021 numbers artificially appeared stronger than reality.
Having asked for readers tips for 2021 for the prize of 1/2 litre of Tom Winnifrith’s Greek Hovel olive oil (2021 harvest) HERE, the following is an update on performance with just one month to go (to be eligible needed to have selected, on a once per username basis, a buy & sell pick from the LSE or AIM casino and the stocks not to have been suspended at the commencement of 2021)…
I write after a day in which shares rallied sharply after Friday’s big sell-off. That shakedown was on fears that the Botswana covid variant or rather the extreme over-reaction to it given the level of hospitalizations and deaths it has caused (0 & 0) could see corporate earnings hammered. I noted on Friday that the sell off was driven by a false fear. Surely even the lunatics in charge of the asylum we call Britain will soon have to accept that the Omicron (an anagram of moronic) variant is no great threat and thus the new lockdown measures will have to be reversed and thus the impact on PLC earnings will be trivial. One would hope so. That growing realisation that our leaders have blundered is what, one suspects, drove the rally.
I start with the Earl of Shrewsbury (not Shaftsbury a podcast mis-speak) who should be kicked out of the House of Lords after my latest cash for questions expose HERE. Of course he won’t be. Airstrip One is a rotten and corrupt place these days where folks like him are above the law. Then I look at Cineworld (CINE), Big Sofa (BST), MyHealthchecked (MHC) and Horizonte Minerals (HZM) before looking at the peripheral issues raised by IQE’s (IQE) disastrous news and also at what is the real valuation, from someone who has called it 100% correctly.
I record from the Welsh Hovel which is once again a building site. Excuse any background noise. I look at Wildcat Petroleum (WCAT) and its uncorrected and untrue 4 October RNS. Then at the fraud Chill Brands (CHLL). In both cases the regulator, the hapless FCA, should be acting right now. Then it is onto Cineworld (CINE) and, with the graphic below – hat tip EB. I explain why its trading statement is so deceptive and why the shares are still a sell. Finally a few words on Optibiotix (OPTI) & Skinbiotherapeutics (SBTX) and today’s confirmation of what a good journalist I am. What does it mean for both stocks?
It is a busy Monday. I will leave some other experts to comment on names such as Cineworld (CINE) – which seems excited by recent UK box office moves but did not talk even remotely sufficiently about potential profit or issues with more debt – or CMC Markets (CMCX), which talked about potentially splitting the business (but which correctly for a spreadbetting firm has a share price fall still notably down year-to-date). Instead I will talk about Serco Group (SRP), who ‘specialise in the delivery of essential public services, with over 50,000 people working in defence, transport, justice, immigration, healthcare and other citizen services across our four regions’, and which was apparently formed back in 1929.
Early this year we showed the top shorted London-listed shares at the start of 2021. How’s the performance (those in bold remain from 2020) as at the end of October?…
Having asked for readers tips for 2021 for the prize of 1/2 litre of Tom Winnifrith’s Greek Hovel olive oil (2021 harvest) HERE, the following is an update on performance as at the end of October (to be eligible needed to have selected, on a once per username basis, a buy & sell pick from the LSE or AIM casino and the stocks not to have been suspended at the commencement of 2021)…
Early this year we showed the top shorted London-listed shares at the start of 2021. How’s the performance (those in bold remain from 2020) as at the end of September?…
In the last week shares in Cineworld (CNE) rose 25% from 66p to 83p, adding around £230 million to its market cap. To put that number in perspective it represents more that its entire profit before tax in 2019, the last full year without Covid.
Having asked for readers tips for 2021 for the prize of 1/2 litre of Tom Winnifrith’s Greek Hovel olive oil (2021 harvest) HERE, the following is an update on performance as at the end of September (to be eligible needed to have selected, on a once per username basis, a buy & sell pick from the LSE or AIM casino and the stocks not to have been suspended at the commencement of 2021)…
I start with the Chris Cleverly West Ham round-up and what says about our attitude to white collar crime in the UK. What it says disgusts me. I move onto Optibiotix (OPTI). I am still a bull but i explian to the company why it is so unloved. Then finally to Cineworld (CINE) a slam dunk short at 63p. This could be a penny stock after an inevitable debt for equity swap but, taking a 30 year view, I would not buy even then.
I still cannot see the case for owning shares in a cinema chain, any cinema chain but Cineworld (CINE) has its own additional problems and the debt markets are telling you that thy are going to come home to roost very soon.
Having asked for readers tips for 2021 for the prize of 1/2 litre of Tom Winnifrith’s Greek Hovel olive oil (2021 harvest) HERE, the following is an update on performance as at the end of August (to be eligible needed to have selected, on a once per username basis, a buy & sell pick from the LSE or AIM casino and the stocks not to have been suspended at the commencement of 2021)…
Early this year we showed the top shorted London-listed shares at the start of 2021. How’s the performance (those in bold remain from 2020) as at the end of July?…
Having asked for readers tips for 2021 for the prize of 1/2 litre of Tom Winnifrith’s Greek Hovel olive oil (2021 harvest) HERE, the following is an update on performance as at the end of July (to be eligible needed to have selected, on a once per username basis, a buy & sell pick from the LSE or AIM casino and the stocks not to have been suspended at the commencement of 2021)…
I start on the issue of PLCs with unpaid bills from lockdown. There will be some catch-ups and icebergs ahead. Cineworld (CINE) is a case study. Then the stock I am buying tomorrow. It is NOT Open Orphan (ORPH) or Red Rock Resources (RRR) as some of you think and I discuss both. Then to Ben & Jerry’s and its hatred of the Jewish state. I am tempted to buy a share in Unilever (ULVR) to go to its next AGM.
I start with swimming pool news then look at today’s shocking Vast Resources (VAST) expose HERE. Then onto Berkeley Energia (BKY) – another reason to be glad about Brexit – then onto Cineworld (CINE) and Nightcap (NGHT). I save my football take for my own website HERE.
Early this year we showed the top shorted London-listed shares at the start of 2021. How’s the performance (those in bold remain from 2020) as at the end of June?…
Having asked for readers tips for 2021 for the prize of 1/2 litre of Tom Winnifrith’s Greek Hovel olive oil (2021 harvest) HERE, the following is an update on performance as at the end of May (to be eligible needed to have selected, on a once per username basis, a buy & sell pick from the LSE or AIM casino and the stocks not to have been suspended at the commencement of 2021)…
It seems that Britain’s thirstiest share blogger Paul Scott has had another go at me with a post at 25 minutes after midnight. I trust Paul had enjoyed a good night. Anyhow, I put him straight with a few facts. I then look at Argo Blockchain (ARB) and its trading statement and valuation, Plutus Powergen (PPG), Tern (TERN), Supply@ME Capital (SYME) and Cineworld (CINE).
Having asked for readers tips for 2021 for the prize of 1/2 litre of Tom Winnifrith’s Greek Hovel olive oil (2021 harvest) HERE, the following is an update on performance as at the end of April (to be eligible needed to have selected, on a once per username basis, a buy & sell pick from the LSE or AIM casino and the stocks not to have been suspended at the commencement of 2021)…
Say what you like about serial penny share spiv Chris Akers but if there is a bandwagon to be jumped on he is always the first to hop on board and usually, having taken his grubby turn as gullible private investors pile in, Akers is the first to exit. And that brings us to SPACs and one in particular.
Having asked for readers tips for 2021 for the prize of 1/2 litre of Tom Winnifrith’s Greek Hovel olive oil (2021 harvest) HERE, the following is an update on performance as at Easter (to be eligible needed to have selected, on a once per username basis, a buy & sell pick from the LSE or AIM casino and the stocks not to have been suspended at the commencement of 2021)…
As Q1 draws to a close, I have few regrets about having been inactive in the market particularly on the short side.
I discuss Joshua’s future career, gooseberry planting and two discussions and missives to regulators. Then the three UK shorts of Lucian Miers: TUI (TUI), Cineworld (CINE) and Versarien (VRS). then a five figure sell in my SIPP and how the cash was redeployed with a buy to treble!
Having asked for readers tips for 2021 for the prize of 1/2 litre of Tom Winnifrith’s Greek Hovel olive oil (2021 harvest) HERE, the following is an update on performance as at the end of February (to be eligible needed to have selected, on a once per username basis, a buy & sell pick from the LSE or AIM casino and the stocks not to have been suspended at the commencement of 2021)…
Early this year we showed the top shorted London-listed shares at the start of 2021. How’s the performance (those in bold remain from 2020) as at the end of February?…
I start with a joke about Lord George Young and the late Jimmy Savile prompted by a discovery my sister made today in Shipston. Then I look at IQE (IQE), Cineworld (CINE) and the scandal that is the David Beckham linked pot IPO.
Early this year we showed the top shorted London-listed shares at the start of 2021. How’s the performance (those in bold remain from 2020) as at the end of a month which saw the emergence of the Reddit short-attacking plotters?…
I start with a note on why we should spare a few thoughts at 8PM tonight. I then look at Gamestop, Elon Musk, Melvin Capital and sheer insanity writ large. From there I move onto Cineworld (CINE), Verditek (VDTK) where AIM Regulation really must act and then onto events at Sabien (SNT).
I start with page 33 of today’s Daily Mail as you can see HERE. Then a non prize contest – do you have to hand a more obscure publication than I have just been handed? Then onto Supply@ME Capital (SYME) shareholders chatting about having me killed and the wider issues it raises. Finallty onto Cineworld I(CINE) and are the obscene bonuses the Greidinger brothers propose for themselves the unacceptable face of capitalism and if so why?
I start with the non-financial GroupThink but explain how this is relevant to three shares: Remote Monitored Systems (RMS), Optibiotix (OPTI), and Cineworld (CINE). And I outline why two of the three are screaming sells and one a screaming buy. Guess which? I refer to this article I penned earlier on how dissent from GroupThink is being stifled.
I start with Joshua’s Advent calendar and my great uncle the jail bird and end with Christmas news from the Welsh hovel which shows how fecking green I am. In between I look at Hurricane Energy (HUR), Angling Direct (ANG), Cineworld (CINE), Trainline (TRN), Frazers (FRAS), Powerhouse (PHE) and Metro Bank (MTRO).
Early this year we showed the top shorted London-listed shares at the start of 2020. How’s the performance as at the end of November? (those in bold remain from 2019)…
Cineworld (CINE) is drowning in more than $8 billion of net debt. Its net assets at the half year were just $1.2 billion and if you strip out intangibles that number falls to MINUS $4.3 billion. With cinemas around the world either shuttered or likely to reopen to much smaller audiences, what to do? Yup…take on more debt.
In today’s podcast I look at Cineworld (CINE), Trainline (TRN), Novacyt (NCYT), Powerhouse Energy (PHE), Optibiotix (OPTI) and Skinbiotherapeutics (SBTX).
I start with the wonder vaccine. Is it a cure all for companies such as Cineworld (CINE) or Carnival (CCL)? Then I consider Julie Meyer in light of the research I was doing yesterday for the Gewanter case and what it says about the UK’s rotten honours system. Then I look at Inspirit (INSP), Countrywide (CWD), Amigo (AMGO) and Escape Hunt (ESC) where I stand with Steve, not Justin the Clown.
Early this year we showed the top shorted London-listed shares at the start of 2020. How’s the performance as at the end of October? (those in bold remain from 2019)…
Tom noted in yesterday’s bearcast the latest from Cineworld Group (CINE) and the shares set for a Monday crash – and they are more than 40% lower, below 25p, with a “Temporary suspension of US & UK cinema operations” announcement…
Coming to you from Shipston, I discuss Andy Hornby and why he is a posterboy for the unacceptable face of capitalism at the Restaurant Group (RTN) and also the news from Cineworld (CINE) – told y’all! As the shares are set for a Monday crash, I discuss the systemic failure of the media to understand the issue at hand and especially the guilt of the Sunday Times in losing folks’ money.
Early this year we showed the top shorted London-listed shares at the start of 2020. How’s the performance as at the end of September? (those in bold remain from 2019)…
I am in Shipston with my father and start by discussing how I deal with phone calls here. I look at another crazy Covid story and then at Versarien (VRS), Amigo (AMGO), Vela (VELA), Falanx (FLX), Cineworld (CINE) and at a clever arb for fools like Zak Mir who believe in Supply@ME Capital (SYME), that leading enterprise from the province of Norfolk.
I have been distracted today as you can see HERE. In today’s podcast, I cover Wishbone Gold (WSBN) and Big Dave’s honesty. I look at Supply@ME Capital (SYME) and its latest dishonesty, Cineworld (CINE), Biome Technologies (BIOM) and at Versarien (VRS).
Remember how the PR spinners for Cineworld (CINE) conspired with the corrupt deadwood press to suggest that stakebuilding by a Chinese investor meant this company was a bid target? Anyone who bought into that tosh will today be regretting it as interims show that this company is a zero.
Early this year we showed the top shorted London-listed shares at the start of 2020. How’s the performance as at the end of August? (those in bold remain from 2019)…
And now from Wales, by just 30 yards, it is my new, I hope, weekly video show. This costs 99p per episode, and you can either listen to, or watch some sparky interviews with Nigel Somerville on gold and where it goes next, on how to play the gold bull market, what stocks to buy and what non stocks to buy and how a gold bug positions the rest of his portfolio. Then Paul Atherley from a non gold miner, Pensana Rare Earths (PRE), a play on all this green shit everyone – bar me – seems to love. And I explain why I have bought Pensana shares even though I think man-made global warming is utter bunkum. Finally two stocks where the valuation is insane: Dev Clever (DEV) and Trainline (TRN). You can access the show HERE
A source who is 100% reliable tells me that the first member of the Quindell crime gang to face legal consequences will discover the good news this week. I shall keep you posted but I am in the right place to secure barrels of ouzo with which to celebrate. Elsewhere, I discuss Eqtec (ETQ) and why an eminent poster on our comments section is wrong to give it a clean bill of heath regarding its fraud. I debate valuing stocks in relation to NAV with respect to mining stocks and investment companies and I explain why it is different. I look at Cineworld (CINE) and bid rumours, Supply@ME Capital (SYME) and lunacy, and at the atrocious results from Versarien (VRS) and its startling admission re its illegal taxpayer loan. I also discuss why I am not panicking on gold and the gold shares I own.
Every death is, of course, something we must lament but you need to put things into perspective. As such, a survey last week carried out in several countries made fascinating reading. Folks were asked what percentage of the population in their country had died of Covid.
Early this year we showed the top shorted London-listed shares at the start of 2020. How’s the performance as at the end of July? (those in bold remain from 2019)…
I can understand why investors are unwilling to sell, or short, companies which trade at a significant discount to NAV, some even being tempted to average down, or in the case of new, would be value seekers, to pile in. Particularly with indebted companies this is a dangerous game and more often than not, the bigger the discount, the bigger is the danger…
My wife’s young cousin – L – and her young man will arrive shortly to our house to cat sit and the Mrs, Joshua, and I can head to the Greek Hovel. I wonder what Covid restrictions there are in Greece and how they will be applied? Here in the UK, BoJo has new rules and I ponder if they will mean the death of Cineworld (CINE). On the subject of death, I discuss Versarien (VRS) and also its moronic shareholders and why ADVFN (AFN) scores an own goal in not banning them. I look at Coro Energy (DOG) and also International Consolidated Airlines (IAG), British Airways as was.
And now from Wales, by just 30 yards, it is my new, I hope, weekly video show. This costs 99p per episode, and you can either listen to, or watch some sparky interviews with Richard Poulden on the collapse of empires but also of the West at every level. Also covered is the death of oil and how we should save our finances against such a backdrop and with Kerim Sener of Ariana (AAU). I also explain why Supply@ME Capital (SYME) is a crooked zero and I review the six short ideas from the previous five shows, one of which is already a zero. You can access the show HERE
I have been waiting for this day for a long while. I hope that comrade Graham Neary has a glass (or seven) of Black Velvet over in Ireland tonight. I shall have an ouzo as I enjoy some karma heading to the journalist-smearing fascist PR bastards at Citigate. I should warn you that this podcast contains some bad language as I consider the AIM demise of Fastjet (FJET). I laugh at a rumour about Ascent Resources (AST) and the whore blogger Malcolm Graham Wood and I consider the laughable plans of the pathetic nanny state regime of Bojo to tackle obesity. I also look at Cineworld (CINE), R4E (R4E) and Supply@ME Capital (SYME), three firms I fear are in the merde. And did I mention that Citigate Dewe Rogerson are a bunch of journalist-smearing motherfuckers whose comprehensive lack of ethics I shall toast with ouzo tonight?
And now from Wales, by just 30 yards, it is my new, I hope, weekly video show. This costs 99p per episode to access and you can either listen or watch very sparky interviews with our Gary Newman on mining stocks to buy, why gold is NOT going to soar, a compelling £1.7 billion non-mining short and fishing shares, Harry Adams the boss of Kefi (KEFI) - a stock I own - and myself on why Cineworld (CINE) deserves to go bust, wont, but is a stonking short none the less. You can access the show HERE
Drowning in debt Cineworld (CINE) was in a hole when Covid struck. It had agreed the $2.1 billion purchase of the Canadian chain but with all of Cineplex’s theatres going darker than Justin Trudeau’s face on party night, thanks to the shutdown, and with Cineworld’s existing 787 theatres also shuttered, going ahead would have been financial suicide.
Early this year we showed the top shorted London-listed shares at the start of 2020. How's the performance as at the end of June? (those in bold remain from 2019)...
Sorry this is late. I have been distracted by the mad world we live in so musing too much on www.TomWinnifrith.com and tomorrow Joshua and I try to bust out of lockdown Wales, like the - now erased from history - Dukes of Hazzard, to visit my Dad so limited copy from me then. Ahead of that I discuss Avacta (AVCT), Versarien (VRS), Sound Energy (SOU), Cineworld (CINE) whose managers I despise, and UK Oil & Gas (UKOG). Okay I am not firing Darren tonight, you can now book your MineProphets tickets HERE
I start with two points of order on my next premium podcast (out later tonight) and on July 18 ( more details tomorrow). Then I look at Walcom (WALG) and lessons learned, Tomco (TOM) and lessons not being learned as who gives a flying wotsit about criminality on AIM, and at Cineworld (CINE) where there are four reasons to stay short.
A new week...but some matters do not change. First is perennial bad boy Amigo Holdings (AMGO), whose shares are down a further 25% on news that the company has 'continued to see a substantial increase in the rate of complaints'. Well there is a surprise...not!...
Regular readers will know my long-term negative view on Cineworld (CINE). Was it really December 2017 that I first penned some caution on the name?...Yes it was as you can read here. Even with the recent comedy bounce, the shares are still down two-thirds in value since then which is not too shabby. So what to think now?...
Firstly the links. For reasons discussed, if you are not registered with Primary Bid register for free now HERE. Secondly we are at 33% help us to save Woodlarks donate HERE. Heck even daughter Olaf has dipped into her vodka funds to donate. In the podcast I look at IWG (IWG), Pathfinder Minerals (PFP), Cineworld (CINE), Bidstack (BIDS), Fox Marble (FOX) and, sorry Jim, Condor Gold (CNR). I also look at the "wisdom" of appointing a Chief Diversity Officer.
Another day, another bunch of COVID-19 related updates…and two names grab my attention. The first of these is FirstGroup (FGP), the bus/rail operator which I described six weeks ago as 'a survivor, especially with recent cost cutting and pension simplification rules...however the hope of competing activist approaches driving up value for shareholders has gone'. In that article I suggested a quid a share as a target for the operator of a bunch of key services including school bus and commuter-centric rail routes...
Early this year we showed the top shorted London-listed shares at the start of 2020. How's the performance as at the end of April? (those in bold remain from 2019)...
In today's podcast I look at Scancell (SCLP) which really is taking the Corona piss. I comment on I3 Energy (I3E) which looks as if it may be toast, Cineworld (CINE) where I just can't get my head around its post Covid -19 plans, online shopping, and then at Lookers (LOOK) where, even without the fraud which gets ever bigger, there seem to me to be very real causes for concern. Finally, a reminder, it is just two weeks to the greatest ever British investor show. Please book your tickets now HERE
Early this year we showed the top shorted London-listed shares at the start of 2020. How's the performance as at Easter? (those in bold remain from 2019)...
I start wth a look at Carnival (CCL). then it is onto old pals, Cineworld (CINE), West Ham, Pinsent Masons and others and how this bailout is in fact allowing and will make the rich to get richer, reward them for past greed and will see the wealth gap widen in a wholly unacceptable way. What is happening at morally bankrupt law form Pinsent Masons is a particular disgrace.
First an appeal on behalf of Darren, please can you assist him. Then I look at R4E (R4E), a Covid zero or a multibagger. Then compare the management at Restaurant Group (RTN) and then at Cineworld (CINE) where the greedy bastards are doing exactly what Liverpool FC did before there was a public outcry. Then a note on Bidstack (BIDS) and a look at 88 Energy (88E)
Shares in utterly bankrupt and worthless Intu (INTU) are up by 10% today. It is one of those days when folks just assume the best in everything. The worst recession since the 1930s, sod all earnings visibility, looming mass unemployment? Who cares? Just Fill Yer Boots! In that vein, shares in Cineworld (CINE) are up by 44% at 57p despite a dismal Covid update telling us nothing we need to know at all. Other than that the board are greedy bastards and you & I are subsidising that greed!
With the current state of the markets there isn’t a lot that I would exactly be rushing to buy at the moment, as I think that even the good companies that have strong enough balance sheets to survive relatively unscathed, could well go a fair bit lower yet.
It strikes me that having a big short position right now might be a tad unwise and indeed smart bears are closing many positions. Do not get me wrong, I think that the medical and financial crisis has a good way to run but none the less there are very real dangers in being short. Having said that I suggest to you two stocks where if you are not short yet, you may wish to open a position. I also urge you all to keep safe and stay well.
Chris Bailey and I have warned repeatedly that Cineworld (CINE) looks to be a car crash and may well go bust. In the good times it has racked up vast debts and now we are all self isolating and its movie theatres are empty. It is a recipe for disaster. And so we turn to NED Helen Weir.
I start with the markets, coronavirus, hapless Donald Trump and other matters. It is all a mess. Some folks are really hurting and I explain how this can affect you. Then I look at Cineworld (CINE), Mosman Oil & Gas (MSMN), Nostra Terra Oil & Gas (NTOG), Big Dish (DISH), NMC Health (NMC), Finablr (FIN) and Metro Bank (MTRO)
You will have your own thoughts about President Trump's decision to ban European Union citizens from entering the United States, but it is clearly another impediment to global supply chains and that is not good. Global financial markets are therefore grisly and it is a natural instinct not to want to look at your portfolio – even if you had a bunch of cash and gold stocks a-plenty. But onto corporate earnings. There was a huge bunch of them today, including three old 'pals' that continue to be dogs that woof. The first two simply have too much debt which - despite ever lower global interest rates - is not a good look when earnings/cash flows are under pressure…
The oil price tanking - for reasons I explained at the weekend HERE - and shares tumbling across the board on concerns as to what damage the Coronavirus is doing, and will do, to the real economy and thus to corporate earnings. Generally, my view is that doing nothing as an investor is something that is greatly under-rated. It is perhaps better to wait until the smoke clears. Having said that, sometimes we need to accept that facts have changed and that does fundamentally alter an investment thesis...
In today's podcast brought to you from Shipston I look at the oil price and what it means for a range of oil shares from the majors down to shitty little oil explorers on AIM. I then return to the coronavirus ex oil and with especial reference to Telit (TCM), Cineworld (CINE) and The Restaurant Group (RTN).. Finally I look at the proposed comeback of disgraced Neil Woodford.
Markets remain...excitable. More on all this at some point in the weekend but I have to end the working week with a comment or three on Cineworld (CINE), which came out with a trading update this morning…
I present the video below from Bucephalus Research Partnership with no comment other than to say I would not be gagging to buy shares in Cineworld (CINE) on the back of it. . Judge for yourself, it seems pretty compelling viewing to me. Hat tip PB.
Early this year we showed the top shorted London-listed shares at the start of 2020. How's the performance after the first month of the year? (those in bold remain from 2019)...
Before we get onto the main event - continuing corporate madness at Cineworld (CINE) - a quick update on FirstGroup (FGP), which I last talked positively on a couple of weeks ago. Very good to see that 'the Board has appointed advisors to formally explore all options in respect of our North American contract businesses, First Student and First Transit, including a potential disposal'. That sounds to me very positive regarding asset value realisation strategy. I would still buy/hold the shares. Now back to Cineworld…
It is nearly three months since I last wrote about The Restaurant Group (RTN), observing back then 'The cash flow statement is full of red ink and I would be amazed if comments such as "Pro-forma net debt / EBITDA is 2.3x" don’t ultimately end up being too optimistic...because we have not seen anything yet'. I see the stock has been super volatile in the last couple of days, down more than 8% yesterday and up more than 7% today. Why the shifting share price?...
Fresh back from the Sunday morning bike ride I dip into the (online) Sunday press and see a couple of relevant stories for two old 'friends' I have written about on these pages just a few times.
Hello, Share Slammers. For most of my investing life, I’ve viewed cinema companies darkly. Ever since the ‘fifties, there has always been some sort of major competition for the way we spend our spare time. Back then it was TV. Then it was ten-pin bowling, next discos and so on. Now cinemas are threatened by widescreen tellies, Netflix, i-player, computer gaming and loads of other kinds of entertainment...
More earnings season numbers dropped into the hopper this morning, so a quick move through three I have given views and opinions on over recent months…
Judging by today's five percentage plus share price move, my cautious call on the big M&A splurge in the United States about fifteen months ago by Cineworld (CINE) is not looking so hot. Of course punch up a two or three year share price chart and you also immediately see the distorting (and dilutive) impact of the big money raising that accompanied the Regal deal...
Hello, Share Springers. I’m guessing most of us are film fans. Though maybe more of us rely on our big screens at home rather than trogging round to the cinema. It’s this change of many a lifestyle that has hitherto put me off investing in cinema chains. But there is one that seems worthy of our attention now.
Lots of larger cap news today but I have to say most of it is pretty sh...poor quality, which of course says something about the wider market…
Almost everyone - apart from some cheapskate standouts or those lucky enough to have a next-generation home cinema capability - likes going to the cinema. In the wider scheme of things it is fun, inclusive and compared to many other trips out it does not completely trash the bank account (although the cost of a small plastic bottle of my favourite soda tipple Dr Pepper Zero was ludicrously expensive when I was stupid enough to buy one there). I have never owned Cineworld (CINE) but I have admired its progressive upgrades and solid management of my recent cinema and helped out by some half-decent blockbusters it has built up a solid position here and across various eastern European geographies. Cash generative, paid a dividend, growing market share...no wonder the share tripled between early 2013 and the middle part of this year. The recent share price chart has not been so hot though.
Hello Share Samplers. At least one bank seems to like Cineworld (CINE) shares, but I won’t be buying into the company, nor any other cinema chain for that matter. The shares rose a bit this week when the Honkers Bonkers bank awarded them a ‘buy’ recommendation with a target of 720p. Today the share price is 540p, so that would be quite a jump.
