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Articles by Nigel Somerville

The View From The Montana Log-Cabin As Gold Rebounds: Will It Last?

Gold closed the week at $4,194 – up (at last) from $4,140 last week as rate-hike expectations of the Fed fell and Donald Trump signed a deal with Russia for loads of diesel (much to Zelensky’s chagrin). Gold stocks also managed a small rebound late week, as can be seen on the chart below (courtesy of ADVFN) of Gold against its mining ETFs GDX, GDXJ and GOEX. 

The View From The Montana Log-Cabin As Gold Falls Again In Face Of Bond Rout

Gold closed the week at $4,140 – down again on last week’s $4,284 as the bond rout continued. Of course, a bond rout means their respective yields increase and the US dollar has also benefitted from the Fed hiking rates and expectations of more to come. So in some ways the fact that the yellow stuff hasn’t declined more is a good sign. However, Gold stocks took a bit of a hit last week, as can be seen on the chart below (courtesy of ADVFN) of Gold against its mining ETFs GDX, GDXJ and GOEX.

The View From The Montana Log-Cabin As Gold Slips Again

Gold closed the week at $4,284 – dropping from last week’s $4,377 as the market priced in further rate hikes from the Fed and treasury yields broke more long-term records. Gold stocks also fell, but seem to be outperforming the yellow metal as this mini-correction grinds on, as can be seen on the chart below (courtesy of ADVFN) of Gold against its mining ETFs GDX, GDXJ and GOEX.

The View From The Montana Log-Cabin As Gold Firms In Response To Fed Hike

Gold closed the week at $4,377 – up from last week’s $4,348 despite the Fed hiking interest rates by 0.25%. Gold stocks also rose – rather more firmly than the yellow metal – as can be seen on the chart below (courtesy, as ever, of ADVFN) of Gold against its mining ETFs GDX, GDXJ and GOEX. So what to make of that?

The View From The Montana Log-Cabin As $4,400 Gives Way For Gold

Gold closed the week at $4,348 – down from last week’s $4,429 and back below $4,400. Gold stocks also suffered as can be seen on the chart below (courtesy of ADVFN) of Gold against its mining ETFs GDX, GDXJ and GOEX, although so far the apparent re-rating since the start of August seems still intact…..for now!

KEFI

KEFI – Incident At Tulu Kapi Leaves Project Suspended….But A Buying Opportunity For The Brave

Shares in AIM-listed Kefi (KEFI) are sharply lower today at just over 0.7p (last seen) after the company announced that there had been a security incident last Friday which resulted in multiple fatalities amongst security personnel, community members and a company employee. Project development has been suspended and drawdowns of project finance have been deferred for the time being.

TERN

TERN: Placing No 5 This Year As Talking Medicines Is Clearly In Trouble

AIM-listed jam-tomorrow, maybe, never investment company Tern plc (TERN) announced yet another discounted placing this morning – its fifth this year! Priced at 0.9p per share and structured as an underwritten Open Offer (with CMC Markets footing the bill – so we all know any shares not subscribed for will just hit the market, further depressing the share price) the announcement let slip a few worrying matters….

The View From The Montana Log-Cabin As Gold Steadies Above $4,400

Gold closed the week at $4,429 – a little off from last week’s $4,454 but, I would suggest, a good effort in the face of (apparently) good jobs data on Friday. Gold stocks also had a good week, as can be seen on the chart (courtesy of ADVFN) below of Gold against its mining ETFs GDX, GDXJ and GOEX where we can see clear outperformance of its miners since late July….long may that continue!

KEFI

KEFI – Very Good News…..And Bad, As Can Is Kicked Down The Road

AIM-listed Kefi Gold and Copper (KEFI) announced some very good news this morning. Tom Winnifrith has long speculated that Exec Chair ‘Arry Adams would move “upstairs” to a non-exec chairman role with a new CEO appointed, and that his sidekick FD, 176 year old Jon Leach, would be quietly pensioned off. This morning we got confirmation of both. Hooray, hooray – its ticker-tape and party-poppers time! Oh, hang on……

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BURIEDTREASURE
BURIEDTREASURE14 Oct 2026
I think it's time Mathieson was given the boot Tom. He's repeatedly shown us all his real character, nothing more to learn there, and it must be distressing for you to have to read his insane rantings.
Paul Mathieson – is this a new low?

Complete Coverage

That Was the Week that Was 7 Days of ShareProphets

Wednesday »

DPP
DP Poland – Q3 trading update, how “well positioned” really to create durable value for shareholders?
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Cirata dismal trading update: surely £430,000 a year CEO Stephen Kelly must be fired
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Robert Walters plc – expects full-year “at least in line with current market expectations”, but how creditable is that?…
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EPP
Energy Pathways: Swanny makes extraordinary claim about insider dealing, I’m contacting the FCA
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  • 12 hours ago
KEFI
Kefi Gold & Copper – a told y’all “Recommencement of Development at Tulu Kapi Project” Buy
  • By HotStockRockets
  • 13 hours ago
Boom
Letter to Michael Bloomberg: does he condone anti semitism and attacks on my Indian heritage wife?
  • By Tom Winnifrith
  • 14 hours ago
OXIG
Oxford Instruments – “Interim Trading Update… confidence in full-year expectations”, but is that sufficient for the valuation?
  • By Steve Moore
  • 15 hours ago

Tuesday »

Bearcast
Tom Winnifrith Bearcast: Valereum is about to explode, it's almost game over
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PAGE
Michael Page plc – “Return to growth, full year expectations maintained”… share price fall?…
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Beggar
4 charts showing how you are being lied to about your impoverishment since 1900 and since 1975
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BP
BP shows the £6 billion folly of green energy GroupThink
  • By Tom Winnifrith
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EMAN
Everyman Media – “Proposed cancellation and Notice of GM”. Quelle surprise!…
  • By Steve Moore
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ELEG
Electric Guitar is still hitting bum notes
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Madness
If you are anywhere close to 67 why you should stop work now & go on welfare to be better off
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EPP
I call out Energy Pathways placing announcement as horse
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CAV
Cavendish: Smug Sam Smith’s proudest achievement warns yet again but what is it NOT saying?
  • By Tom Winnifrith
  • 2 days ago
Greek Tear
Photo to Treasure: An early Christmas present from reader A who won a week at the Greek Hovel
  • By Tom Winnifrith
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Monday »

Boom
Sharestock 2027: early bird priced tickets on sale
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THRU
Thruvision – “H1 Trading Update”, how ‘encouragingly’ do full-year “expectations remain unchanged”?
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Bearcast
Tom Winnifrith Bearcast: 3 new share trades, Lucian is Cassandra and 2 things I expect
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HAS
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VLRM
Valereum ‘fesses to lying AGAIN – how long can this madness be tolerated?
  • By Tom Winnifrith
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AOM
ActiveOps – ‘change to outlook’. You were warned on this…
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BRES
Blencowe Resources: to lose one director with immediate effect is understandable, two looks like carelessness (or worse)
  • By Tom Winnifrith
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KEFI
Kefi: Rejoice, rejoice
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TERN
Tern settles with SVV, I predict yet another rescue placing before Christmas
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Boom
Paul Mathieson with another vile rant- does Bloomberg ethics director Laura Zelenko stand by its source?
  • By Tom Winnifrith
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Sunday »

OMG
Oxford Metrics – some projects delays but also outlook positives
  • By Tom Winnifrith & Steve Moore
  • 3 days ago
Bearcast
Tom Winnifrith Bearcast: selling Kefi to go all in on Amaroq would be a mistake
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Gold
The View From The Montana Log-Cabin As Gold Rebounds: Will It Last?
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AMRQ
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Quiz
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Saturday »

Bearcast
Tom Winnifrith Bearcast: Kefi, Nigel Wray, Swanny & Delta
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MCON
Mincon – trading “ahead of market expectations” from an already winning share tip
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Video: gold to $15,000, France self immolating is the canary in the coalmine.
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Nuburu and two fascinating transactions
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Friday »

Bearcast
Tom Winnifrith Bearcast: what are you doing next Thursday Evening?
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SHI
SIG plc – board changes, how “resilient” operational performance?
  • By Steve Moore
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BMV
Letter to the FCA: Bluebird Mining Ventures (Yet Again)
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PRD
Sweaty bollocks time for shareholders in Predator Oil & Gas
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Video: oil to $60, gold to $20,000, equities to surge then collapse by 80%
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Likewise Group – a “strategic acquisition” winning share tip Buy
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FSG
Foresight Group – half-year trading update, still income value
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FOX
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Boom
Letter to Companies House, breaching section 1112 of the Companies Act carries a 2 year jail term
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Delta Gold - more red flags and now an Evil Knievil golden rule kicks in
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Thursday »

SSTY
Safestay – hostel sale completion, to “support its asset-light growth strategy”?...
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Tom Winnifrith Bearcast: Evil Banksta vs John the tax Dodger
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BMV
EXPOSE: Bluebird Mining Ventures: more lies to report to the FCA
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MYX
MyCelx Technologies – Trading Update argues “confident in the opportunity available”, BUT…
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Video: On The Cusp of The Next Depression, The Gold Reset & Financial Repression
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MPAL
MedPal AI’s second trading statement in 3 days: it’s ‘avin’ a Turkish
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AMRQ
To the man with Amaroq Derangement Syndrome: about that NED share sale
  • By Tom Winnifrith
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Wednesday »

SYS1
System1 Group – what of a fifth and now “final” offer from Brave Bison?
  • By Steve Moore
  • 7 days ago
Roulette
It is almost as if the LSE is sitting on bad news about AIM
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Bearcast
Tom Winnifrith Bearcast: its commercial madness but I will not be silenced about October 7th and what has followed
  • By Tom Winnifrith
  • 7 days ago
HEAD
Headlam – a final disappointment. You were warned!…
  • By Steve Moore
  • 7 days ago
AMRQ
Amaroq – adds to FTSE 250 news with production ahead of target, Buy
  • By Tom Winnifrith & Steve Moore
  • 7 days ago
COM
Comptoir PLC: a case study in why both AIM and the UK are just so screwed
  • By Tom Winnifrith
  • 7 days ago
KEFI
Kefi Gold & Copper – interims, risk/reward Strong Buy
  • By HotStockRockets
  • 7 days ago
CYKL
Cykel AI – where is the frigging material uncertainty?
  • By Tom Winnifrith
  • 7 days ago
HSW
Hostelworld – having previously emphasised “strong revenue momentum sustained through H1”, what about now?…
  • By Steve Moore
  • 7 days ago
QBT
ANOTHER EXPOSE: Quantum Blockchain – it is still not telling the truth about the Italian house!
  • By Tom Winnifrith
  • 8 days ago