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LGO Energy - so how dire is production?

By Tom Winnifrith | Sunday 1 May 2016


Disclosure: I have no positions in any stocks mentioned, and no plans to initiate any positions within the next 72 hours. I wrote this article myself, and it expresses my own opinions. I am not receiving compensation for it (other than from ShareProphets). I have no business relationship with any company whose stock is mentioned in this article.


LGO Energy (LGO) shareholders have a habit of taking every production figure that LGO releases and reasoning their way a priori to envelope that figure within a schema of general conventional oil production far into the distant future without factoring in the overwhelming rates of depletion at the field. Essentially this is a wilful ignoring of the empirical evidence of decline. This falls squarely within Einstein's definition of insanity as making the same set of assumptions over and over again and expecting different results.


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