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Latest Views & News

Bearcast
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Tom Winnifrith Bearcast: Fatherly pride at Jaya's rugby and the loathsome Mail disgraces itself over Pulsar Helium

I start with Jaya's rugger, then BP (BP) as the ESG bubble bursts and finally the wretched Mail pumps insolvent soon to IPO Pulsar Helium, I lose count of the red flags here.
Professor
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Sunday Long Reads: Scale, Kill Small Biz, Weird Chimp Story, Private Equity, Art of Stealing

Sunday is a good time to sit back, read, and forget about shares. Put the kettle on, find a comfy chair. You have the time, don't you? Featuring two updates this week.

Gold
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The View From The Montana Log-Cabin As Gold Bounces…..Another Leg-Up Coming?

Gold closed the week at $2,657 – up marginally on last week’s $2,653 but a good bounce from this week’s low point just above $2,600. Gold stocks also bounced and look set to head for another recent high as can be seen on the chart below of Gold vs the mining ETFs GDX (majors), GDXJ (juniors) and GOEX (explorers).
Professor

Visual Aid: Global Real Estate Bubble Risk in 2024

Property markets are slowing due to tough financing conditions and rising construction costs. As a result, housing bubble risks have eased in cities like Hong Kong, London, and New York. However, strong demand in the luxury market and a booming stock market are fueling bubble risks in cities like Miami and Los Angeles.

Quiz
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The ShareProphets Sunday Pub Quiz #262

It's time for the ShareProphets Sunday Pub Quiz. There are still no prizes! And remember, no Googling!

Top-10

Notes from Underground – Most read articles for the week ending Oct 12

The most read non-Tom article last week is Corero Network Security – emphasises “Continued Q3 2024 New Customer Momentum”, but how significant? by Steve Moore at number 1 or number 7 including Bearcasts. 

IMB
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Imperial Brands – “in line with expectations and increases shareholder returns”, Take Profits?

Imperial Brands (IMB) has issued a trading statement headlined “confirms trading in line with expectations and increases shareholder returns for FY25”. What does that mean from a current up to 2248p share price?
Bearcast
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Tom Winnifrith Bearcast: I disagree with Steve Moore

The matter we disagree about is Imperial Brands (IMB). Steve urges folks to take profits. I will not be doing so.
MBH
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This Brill Brick Maker Set to Benefit from New Government's Housing Pledge.

Hello Share thrashers. The new government seems slow in getting going, but it has promised to ease the housing shortage by encouraging the building of 300,000 new homes a year. That will take extra bricks and Sussex-based Michelmersh Brick Holdings (MBH) is set up to provide them. It already makes 122 million bricks and paving stones a year and it’s been expanding steadily since he late nineties when it was formed.
JLP
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Jubilee Metals – Zambia copper project & power update, a ‘numerous growth opportunities’ Buy

Jubilee Metals (JLP) has announced that it has concluded due diligence on an open pit copper mining operation in Zambia and that it is to acquire a 65% holding, as well as that it has increased its allocation of power under its agreement with LHPC so that all of its Zambian operations are fully supplied under the agreement. How good is this news from a current 4.7p offer price?
RBG
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Revolution Bars Group – name change, “a fresh start” and “better reflects the businesses and brands”?

Describing itself as “a leading operator of over 60 premium pubs and bars, trading mainly under the Revolucion de Cuba, Revolution and Peach Pub brands”, Revolution Bars Group (RBG) “has decided that a change of name would reflect better the make-up of the group as it is today. The board is pleased therefore to announce that the group's name has today changed to "The Revel Collective Plc"”. Hmmm!
Bearcast
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Tom Winnifrith Bearcast: 2 US election bets and Gabriel Grego vindicated as THG needs a bail out

I start with 2 US election bets to consider as all the signs are that The Donald is now going to win. Then Skinbiotherapeutics (SBTX) and the issue of time and CGT tax changes. Finally THG (THG) and total vindication for my pal Gabriel Grego.
VRCI
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Verici Dx – attempts to mitigate trading warning with expects cash “in line with market expectations”, but how reassuring is that?...

Describing itself as “a developer of advanced clinical diagnostics for organ transplant”, Verici Dx (VRCI) has issued an “Update on Local Coverage Determination and Trading”-titled announcement and what of the shares currently more than 15% lower at 5.5p in response?
TIR
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Letter to AIM Regulation: Time to suspend shares in Tiger Royalties pending clarification

I have written to the Oxymorons. Tiger Royalties (TIR) is technically insolvent, burning cash, and cannot raise fresh equity. Nomad Roland “fatty” Cornish has waddled off to lunch and does not care and neither does CEO Colin Bird. But surely AIM regulation should suspend trading in the worthless shares.
Gold

Video: We Have Never Seen a Time Like this for Miners

Asset manager Tavi Costa of Crescat Capital says that the Federal Reserve’s rate cuts could signal a structural bear market for the US dollar, with significant consequences for inflation, gold, and emerging market stocks. He also explores the potential labor market weakness and its possible link to an impending recession, emphasizing the significance of investing in industries with compelling growth prospects.
BRH
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Yet another dirty Trevor Brown related party deal at Braveheart: don’t Allenby and Peterhouse feel dirty acting for this shitshow?

Three and a half years ago shares in Braveheart (BRH) were 114p. Today, after three years of desperate and disingenuous ramping, share dumping and related party deals involving CEO Trevor Brown, they are just 4p. This website has constantly exposed these shenanigans and how AIM considers that this sordid sub scale investment company adds credibility to its ranks defies belief. How on earth do advisers Allenby (Nomad) and Peterhouse (broker) sleep at night acting for such a scumbag. Today there is another deal.
Bearcast
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Tom Winnifrith bonus bearcast: The bearded Geordie poltroon buys again at Skinbiotherapeutics

Skinbiotherapeutics (SBTX) has made a second acquisition. I discuss that and what holds me back from sayin that the shares could be very cheap indeed so are a buy.
Beggar

How to protect your wealth ahead of the 2024 Autumn Budget

This is from BestInvest and makes sense to me. It is not an exhaustive list but its a start as Labour comes for the cash of the prudent to bail out the feckless..
SHI
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SIG – “exploring” bond refinancing, but currently “no certainty” and what terms can it achieve?

Insulation and building products supplier across Europe, SIG plc (SHI) has issued an announcement including that it “is exploring a potential tender offer for its existing bonds, to be financed from the proceeds of a new bond issuance”. What about this and the shares currently at 19.565p in response?
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That Was the Week that Was

 

HEMO

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ECR

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APH

Alliance Pharma – a recovery Buy?

 

PICH

Pitch Pit – this stinks

 

GEX

Georgina Energy: Lyin’ Yet again

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