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Latest Views & News

Bearcast
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Tom Winnifrith Bearcast: 5 stocks to fall 99% or more, three of them shortable

I start with corporate governance, or lack of it, and Union Jack Oil (UJO). Then the 5 to collapse: Versarien (VRS), Celadon (CEL), Supply@ME Capital (FRAUD), Victoria (VCP) and Petra Diamonds (PDL)
Madness
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ProBiotix Health and OptiBiotix Health – time for a mature negotiation which looks possible ex-OptiBiotix Chairman Neil Davidson

ProBiotix Health (AQSE - PBX) has issued a circular for a General Meeting requisitioned on behalf of shareholder Seneca Partners to seek to remove CEO Steen Andersen and Frederik Bruhn-Petersen as directors – and which ProBiotix argues follows ‘consultation’ with OptiBiotix Health (OPTI) acting in breach of contractual obligations.
SDY
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Speedy Hire – “Half Year Trading Update”, how confident to really be in its “anticipates the group meeting its full year expectations”?

Describing itself as “the UK's leading tools and equipment hire services company”, Speedy Hire (SDY) has issued a trading update commencing that “trading performance in the first half has been satisfactory against a backdrop of challenging market conditions in some of the group's end markets. We remain positive about the future of these markets and also look forward to ongoing government support for major infrastructure projects. Hire revenue for the first half is consistent with H1 FY2024”. How’s the update compared to a most recent close 37.5p share price?
Gold

Video: Silver Could Surpass Its All-Time High Within The Next 18 Months

Gold is at record highs but silver is nowhere near the Bunker Hunt bubble levels. But not for long says analyst Michael Oliver.
AVCT
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Avacta: more goalposts being shifted, more red flags vicar

If Avacta (AVCT) really believed that AVA 6000 would make it out of phase 2 trials it would be betting the ranch on it. But the last reported data was so bad that you can understand why it is not. So what to do? Move the goalposts that is what.
UJO
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Union Jack confessional but does it give a FF about AIM Rules?

AIM Rules dictate that as soon as a company is aware of adverse, or indeed positive, price sensitive information it must disclosed it via an RNS. I wonder if Dave Bramhill of Union Jack Oil (UJO), a man who spaffs shareholders cash getting corporate spooks to investigate journalists, gives a FF about the rules?
Bearcast
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Tom Winnifrith Bearcast: Bracing myself

I start with the rain then flag up that tomorrow is a Shipman day so my content may be restricted. I then look at Versarien (VRS), Ariana (AAU), Victoria (VCP) and Moonpig (MOON)
AAZ
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Anglo Asian Mining – “Q3 2024 Production and Operations Review” positive, but...

Metals producer from Azerbaijan, Anglo Asian Mining (AAZ) recently issued a third quarter update emphasising that “this quarter has been a turning point for the company as we move towards fully restarting production after a year of partial shutdown… Despite only limited agitation leaching production in September, our doré production increased in the month to 1,369 ounces from 824 ounces in August… remains on schedule to restart its flotation processing in November 2024 with first production from the Gilar mine in December… maintains its full year 2024 production guidance of 15,000 to 19,500 GEOs”. With it also emphasising benefit from the recent increases in the gold price, the shares have risen to 112.5p.
FDBK
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Feedback plc – emphasises now Elective Recovery Fund reimbursement eligibility, but balance sheet detail that dare not speak its name?

Medical data technology company Feedback plc (FDBK) has announced its ‘Bleepa’ platform is “now eligible for reimbursement under the Elective Recovery Fund and that any Integrated Care Board or hospital in England will, with immediate effect be able to utilise this funding, by local agreement, to reimburse expenditure on the Bleepa technology… Management believes that access to ERF represents a step change in the company's commercial prospects”. What of a share price currently soaring back above 55p in response?
ZYT
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Zytronic – states following “a full business and operational review… a clearer vision for what is required to turn the company around”. Er, is there?!…

Most recently writing on touch sensors manufacturer Zytronic (ZYT), early this year with the shares down to 60p I concluded its outlook suggested to continue to avoid. The shares most recently closed at 53.5p and what of they currently down to 50p on the back of a “Strategic Review & Trading Update” announcement?

IQAI
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Trevor Brown at it again as IQ-AI pumped before the next bailout

That Trevor Brown is the CEO of IQ-AI (IQAI) should be enough of a red flag for anyone to dump their stock, especially after his recent share dealing exposed HERE. But the main reason to get out now is that IQ is running on vapours and is desperately trying a pump ahead of a placing which has to be imminent.
Bearcast
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Tom Winnifrith Bonus Bearcast: betting markets and polls are now moving rapidly in the USA, how to profit from this

The polls and the betting markets are now moving fast and if, like the Mrs, Evil Banksta, Euroloon Jonathan Price and Lucian Miers you have #TrumpDerangementSyndrome the news is bad. So from an investment perspective how should one react? And I offer up another long odds bet to consider. I should have added that Trump is only 37% to win the popular vote. Again, with most national polls now a tie, that has to be worth a very small flutter.
SDG
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Sanderson Design – having been an AIM Awards 2024 nominee, just days later results statement disappointment (natch!)…

Having announced last month that it would be announcing half-year results on 16th October after being shortlisted (“Corporate Governance Award”) for the 2024 AIM Awards self-indulgent beanfeast held on 10th October, shares in interior design and furnishings group Sanderson Design (SDG) are currently heading towards four year lows, being down a further 17% to below 65p, on the back of the results statement. Another counter-indicator from the AIM Awards then!
VRS
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Versarien – The 4th placing in 2024 and the company should still go bust in February

After the pump pf a meaningless corporate update what the hell did you expect to happen? Today Versarien (VRS) undertook its 4th placing in 2024, raising just £450,000 at a mere 0.0325 pence per share. If you think that this is the last I have a bridge to sell you.
KEFI
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More knicker wetting by your fellow Kefi shareholders vicar?

I have a dream that one day Kefi (KEFI) will be taken over. Not so much as this will enrich me personally, in a modest way, but because I will no longer be swamped by emails from folks wetting their knickers at the slightest provocation. Today comes this gem:
GILD
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BREAKING Guild Esports: David Beckham walks away with £9m, the Bixby gang make millions, company now worthless

In 2020 members of the Bixby/Edwards/Frangos/Story gang issued gazilions of shares to themselves in Guild Esports for fractions of a penny and then in October of that year floated it at 5p. The ghastly Mail on Sunday was roped in to promote the bezzle on the basis that David Beckham had invested and was going to be a brand ambassador. However…
ENSI
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EnSilica – “Design & Supply contract award” but what about a results announcement from this supposedly one of the “Best Use of AIM” companies?!

Describing itself as “a leading chip maker of mixed signal ASICs”, EnSilica (ENSI) has announced what CEO Ian Lankshear emphasises is “another excellent win for EnSilica, further underpinning our position as one of the leading custom ASIC suppliers for industrial and automotive applications… adds to the strong portfolio of ASICs we have in the design phase, further supporting the visibility of our recurring revenues”. So what of a share price currently up towards 50p in response?
Bearcast
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Tom Winnifrith Bearcast: the Mrs comes down with severe TDS

I fear she is not alone, it is sweeping the UK: boy did I get a lecture yesterday. After recalling that earbashing I look at Victoria (VCP) ,target still 0p, Victorian Plumbing (VIC), Tern (TERN) where the share price action stinks and Audioboom (BOOM) which will end in tears as record Q3 revenues are vanity.
VIC
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Victorian Plumbing – “Trading Update”… and May’s “significant strategic value” £22.5m acquisition to shut down!

Describing itself as “the UK's leading bathroom retailer”, Victorian Plumbing Group (VIC) has issued a “Full Year Trading Update & Notice of Results” announcement commencing that it “is pleased to report that revenue for FY24 increased by c.4% on the prior year” and including “we have increased profitability, as our higher margin own brand proposition continues to resonate with customers”. What about this from a current 110p share price?
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That Was the Week that Was

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AFN

ADVFN: is a desperate Clem Chambers selling?

 

HEMO

Hemogenyx is a short – target 0p

 

ECR

ECR, the timing is unfortunate

 

APH

Alliance Pharma – a recovery Buy?

 

PICH

Pitch Pit – this stinks

 

GEX

Georgina Energy: Lyin’ Yet again

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