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Latest Views & News

Bearcast
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Tom Winnifrith Bearcast: a free money idea from Evil Banksta

In the podcast I discuss gold, Golden Prospect (GPM), Centamin (CEY), Vast Resources (VAST), 80 Mile (80M), Petrofac (PFC) and 2 political bets
HDD
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Hardide – “pleased to announce” ‘Year End Trading Update’, but how ‘pleasing’ is it?…

Describing itself as a “provider of advanced surface treatment solutions”, Hardide (HDD) states that it “is pleased to announce an update on trading for the financial year ended 30 September 2024”. With the shares 5.375p in response, comparing to a start of that year 11.5p and approaching 8p again earlier in 2024, how ‘pleasing’ is the update?
LFT
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D day looms for Brown Envelope Man: Confessional from Zak Mir by Friday?

The word in the City is that Lift Global Ventures (LFT) run by my old pal Zak Mir is still being a little tardy in paying “introducer fees”, commission for those who introduce desperate PLCs to the ramping services of the Brown Envelope Man. But a bigger problem looms on Friday
PFC
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Petrofac kicks can down the road again but shareholders will still be screwed in the end

Petrofac (PFC) has announced yet another can kick on its financial restructuring. It still looks as if a restructuring to deal with its mountains of debt and urgent need for cash will go through but just not yet. But when it does the shares, now 13p giving a £68 million market cap, will collapse.
BOWL
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Hollywood Bowl – “expects to report EBITDA pre-IFRS 16 ahead of market expectations”, but how’s bottom-line performance?…

UK and Canada ten-pin bowling and entertainment centres group Hollywood Bowl (BOWL) has issued a “trading statement” emphasising that for its year ended 30th September 2024 it “expects to report EBITDA pre-IFRS 16 ahead of market expectations and in excess of £65.0m”. So what of a current 334p share price in response, still down from above 350p reached earlier this year?
Bearcast
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Tom Winnifrith bonus bearcast: Avacta hooks up with Tempus AI, 2 crazy valuations

Both Avacta (AVCT) and Tempus AI (US:TEM) are on crazy valuations. I discuss that and today's hook up.
TNT
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EXPOSE: Tintra the stench gets even worse at the fraud that was the AIM Company of the Year 2022

The stench surrounding Tintra Limited formerly Tintra Plc, AIM Company of the Year 2022, just got even worse. In its last accounts for the six months ended 31 July 2023 filed on 31 October 2023, Tintra claimed to have net assets of £7,150,000 and cash of £7,007,000. Yet it was wound up by a petition from Fintech Leaders Fund for its failure to pay a much smaller sum. It is also the subject on ongoing litigation along with former Directors by Cogut and others alleging a failure to repay another loan and accusing its former CEO Richard Shearer of making a string of false representations
Bearcast
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Tom Winnifrith Bearcast: Liam, plain honesty matters more than strict AIM rules

 I start with the looming Budget and how Rachel Reeves and crack advisers such as Sharon White of John Lewis infamy just don't get how businesses work. Then a message for Liam Murray, nomad to Optibiotix (OPTI)
Professor
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Sunday Long Reads: Amateur Art Sleuth, Bad DEI, Island King, Spy or Journo?, Korean Adoptee Mystery

Sunday is a good time to sit back, read, and forget about shares. Put the kettle on, find a comfy chair. You have the time, don't you?

Professor

Visual Aid: Home Ownership Rates Across Europe

Although the size, construction, and quality of homes vary across Europe, housing affordability remains a widespread challenge throughout the region. In this graphic, we visualize the homeownership rate in select European countries in 2023.

Gold
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The View From The Montana Log-Cabin As Gold Takes Out $2,700

Gold closed the week at another all-time weekly high of $2,721 – up 2.4% from last week’s $2,657, but it was the performance of the miners which should be grabbing your attention. As can be seen on the chart below of Gold against the miners, the Gold-mining ETFs GDX (majors), GDXJ (juniors) and GOEX (explorers) had a stellar week. 
Quiz
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The ShareProphets Sunday Pub Quiz #263

It's time for the ShareProphets Sunday Pub Quiz. There are still no prizes! And remember, no Googling!

Top-10

Notes from Underground – Most read articles for the week ending Oct 19

The most read non-Tom article last week is The View From The Montana Log-Cabin As Gold Bounces…..Another Leg-Up Coming? by Nigel Somerville at number 2 or number 4 including Bearcasts. 

Bearcast
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Tom Winnifrith bearcast: I may like gold but I disagree with Malcolm and worry about his enthusiasm

I start on gold in general and Malcolm Stacey's belated conversion to being a gold bug. I worry about that and think there are better bets than his tip today, Hummingbird (HUM) for reasons I explain. then onto events at Regtech Open (RTOP) and Supply@ME Capital (FRAUD)
GPM
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Golden Prospect – Autumn Christmas Tip Update As Ouzo Beckons

With just ten weeks of the year remaining I see that fully-list investment company in Gold, Golden Prospect (GPM) is nicely up on my Christmas 2023 tip price of 28p, now at 41.5p – a gain of 48%. So should I play safe and take profits to spend on a new supply of Ouzo? Hell, no!!
RTOP
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GOTCHA! Reg Tech Open Project – after hours resignation of CFO, the fat lady is warming up in the wings

It looks like the end is nigh for Regtech Open (RTOP) because at 16.57 on Friday, no one is watching o’clock, it announced the resignation of its Chief Financial Officer as follows:
HUM
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This Mining Bird could Be Humming Towards a Glittering Future.

Hello Share Chewers. It’s not often this disintegrating old punter comments on gold mines. There are better analysts than I on this scintillating website. But I thought I’d share my optimism for Hummingbird Resources (HUM). This outfit explores for and develops mineral operations in Africa. Principally Mali, Liberia and Guinea. Its main interest is the metal of the moment: gold.
  • 19 October 2024, 10:57 |
REAT
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React Group – further cash generation and growth potential, but...

Specialist cleaning and soft facilities management services group React (REAT) was a now equivalent of 70p share price recommendation earlier this year.
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That Was the Week that Was

 

HEMO

Hemogenyx is a short – target 0p

 

ECR

ECR, the timing is unfortunate

 

APH

Alliance Pharma – a recovery Buy?

 

PICH

Pitch Pit – this stinks

 

GEX

Georgina Energy: Lyin’ Yet again

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