Hindsight is often of little use on the markets and consists of people kicking themselves about something which seems obvious after the event, usually a missed trade, but occasionally it can also be used to avoid making the same mistake again.
These are the most-read articles and most listened-to Bearcasts of the week. The most read non-Tom article is Naked Wines shareholders will probably need a drink! by Chris Bailey at number six or number 13 if you include Bearcasts.
I have received a number of comments about yesterday's Bearcast. I address some of those cultists, speaking out from the last redoubt. Then, prompted by Three Brains, I look at what a PE of 5 means as a guide to value, and why it can so often mean nothing at all.
These are the most-read articles and most listened-to Bearcasts of the week. The most read non-Tom article is Ariana Resources – News Soon To Add Value? You bet! BUY by Nigel Somerville at number six or number 12 if you include Bearcasts.
Ahead of that, I describe triumph in the garden. Then, I discuss the accelerating Bitcoin crash, Argo Blockchain (ARB) and Cineworld (CINE).
I start with why I was up until 2 AM last night, as discussed HERE. Then, it is on to the fraud, Supply@ME Capital (SYME); M & C Saatchi (SAA); Next Fifteen (NFC); and finally, that golden rule and Westminster Group (WSG).
I describe Thursday morning for me and Jaya, including a stop-in with my parents-in-law. This is relevant, as I discuss what my mother-in-law was watching on TV. I look at the house price bubble, the Bank of England, and interest rates. Then, I touch on THG (THG); ASOS (ASC); Sosandar (SOS); Zephyr Energy (ZPHR) - get your wallet out, Cliff; Wildcat Petroleum (WCAT); Kinovo (KINO); and Boohoo (BOO). I also discuss the notion that MusicMagpie (MMAG) has a list of "spiffing institutional inveestors", and that this will save the company. It won't.
I mix metaphors, after a hard session watering the lawn for ShareStock. Thereafter, I discuss: Canadian Overseas Petroleum (COPL); Wandisco (WAND) and a wasted decade; Argo Blockchain (ARB) and why Mark, who is right about most things, is wrong; Vast Resources (VAST); Tertiary Minerals (TYM); Guild ESports (GILD); and Wildcat Petroleum (WCAT).
Argo Blockchain (ARB) is a company that I wrote about several times a couple of years back, but more recently have left to Tom Winnifrith to write about the numerous red flags that he has spotted there.
In today's podcast, I discuss SUPP (Formerly WPCT), Argo Blockchain (ARB), Cinworld (CINE) and the Vela (VELA)/Truspine (TSP) farce.
I am more panicked by the IRA man objecting to my bonfire. Heck, it is not as if it were the 12th July, and I were wearing my bowler hat with an orange sash, is it? In today's podcast, I look at Skinbiotherapeutics (SBTX); Eurasia (EUA) and a Kraut moron; Supply@ME Capital (SYME); and Argo Blockchain (ARB).
AIM-listed Advanced Oncotherapy (AVO) is certainly keeping its Brokers – SI Capital and Allenby – busy. Only in April the company raised £1.7 million, although the funds weren’t in the bank when the announcement went out. In March the company rattled the tin for £2 million – plus an additional loan of another £1.5 million. Now it has rattled the tin once again – to raise just £800,000 (before expenses) as the company strains to keep its head above water.
AEX Gold (AEXG) has announced a new joint venture - in which it will have a 51% holding - for its 'strategic minerals' assets, which will see an £18 million (circa Canadian $28.5 million) cash injection. This leaves AEX's gold 100%-owned, and just refers to non-gold assets that most folks - ourselves included - had valued at SFA. Suddenly, they are worth £18-28 million. Game changer?
I have just arrived in Wales with my battered diesel van. Bed beckons, as I am still cream-crackered following yesterday's walk. The photos below are from two towns along the route, and show the likes of me and Lucian are greeted with the respect we deserve in that part of the world. I discuss Brian Basham's 26-mile cheat, but still, he is amazing. We have now raised £29,000 with gift aid, and that should rise this week. Feel free to donate, HERE. I discuss the big macro lesson from the walk, referencing Kinovo (KINO); St James Place (STJ), and the troubles one has in a bear market; and Hargreaves Lansdown (HL). Now to bed.
On February 18, I generated industrial-scale abuse (of me) from anonymous internet warriors. All I did was suggest Shield Therapeutics (STX) as a slam-dunk short, at 25.5p. The savants insisted, as is usually the case in such circumstances, that I didn’t understand the maths, and should go back to working in a pizza store, etc, etc, etc. The shares are now just 14.6p, and the final collapse is almost upon us. Add to your shorts. Let me explain.
These are the most-read articles and most listened-to Bearcasts of the week. The most read non-Tom article is Following its joint venture with Anglo American, Arc Minerals has the potential to reach production – speculative buy by Gary Newman at number one or number 4 if you include Bearcasts.
In today's podcast, I discuss Argo Blockchain (ARB) and why, later today, I shall be wading through 34 miles of nettles. If you can, please donate to Rogue Bloggers for Woodlarks, HERE.
Yes, I will be wading through nettles, but all for a good cause. To those who have donated, many thanks. With gift aid, as I record, we have now raised £25,600. If you are yet to donate, please help us reach £30,000, by giving a few quid HERE. Talking of nettles, I describe various home-grown triumphs, here at the Welsh Hovel: next week, I hope to make some nettle beer, as well as more elderflower cordial - what do you think? In the main podcast, I discuss discretionary consumer spending; Parsley Box (MEAL); ProCook (PROC); Altyn Gold (ALTN); Optibiotix (OPTI) and a chat with Steve O'Hara, who, of course, you can meet HERE; and AEX Gold (AEXG).
The big institutions all barreled in to ProCook (PROC), since they knew better than Old Tom Winnifrith, despite his explicit warnings why this would end in tears. So, too, did Primary Bid, which was a keen supporter - as was our own Malcolm Stacey. What was he thinking? But, just seven months after the IPO comes a disastrous profits warning, and the shares have collapsed. While Malcolm drowns his sorrows with an extra pint of Old Mother' Green's organic ale, it is ouzo time at the Welsh Hovel. But do the founding O’Neill family, who flogged tens of millions worth of shares to dumb IIs, really care?
Jadestone Energy (JSE) has announced results for the 2021 calendar year and that it still expects 2022 average production to increase to 15,500-18,500 boe/d. So what of a share price slipping to 101p in response?
It is just two days until Rogue Bloggers, and we have raised more than £20,000 (with gift aid). Let's try and reach £25,000. I discuss rain, nettles and the inevitable pain on Saturday. Please donate, HERE. Then, the twit of the day contest: Boris v Harry of Kefi (KEFI) v Mark Steward, who has disgraced himself on Genflow (GENF). I then discuss Nostra Terra (NTOG) (praise be the lord), with a target price of 0p; the fraud, Supply@ME Capital (SYME); another Steward screw-up; and ITM Power (ITM).
Lucian Miers wrote here a couple of weeks ago about Fevertree (FEVR) where he remains short. There may be some people laughing at him as the fizzy drinks group fairly promptly served up a trading statement suggesting that it was on track to meet forecasts. But that is looking in the rear-view mirror. What is important is what happens going forward.
Given it is hammering down here in North Wales, I bet Mr Mellon is somewhere far sunnier than Port Erin. The graphic below is from him, and I discuss it in detail. Then, I look at those determined to ignore clear warnings, ref Petropavlovsk (POG). I cover incomplete and thus, potentially deceptive, RNS statements ref. Nostra Terra Oil & Gas (NTOG), before assessing Fulham Shore (FUL) in detail. With gift aid, we have now raised £19,700 for Rogue Bloggers for Woodlarks - please help us reach the £20,000 landmark today (D-3 days), HERE. Finally, my podcast on falling out with Dominic Frisby, 1939 and all that can be accessed, HERE.
On 18 February, at 25.5p to sell, the big bear call was greeted with abuse from BB savants, who, unsurprisingly, always know better. Shares in Shield (STX) are now 14.6p, and the final collapse to c. 5p is now set to begin. Double up on your shorts. In this podcast, I discuss Argo Blockchain (ARB); Nostra Terra Oil & Gas (NTOG) and its unsavoury CEO, Matt Lofgran - praise be the Lord; then, I look at Genflow Biosciences (GENF), as its shares continue to tank; Challenger Energy (CHAL); Eurasia Mining (EUA); and Petropavlovsk (POG), where the target remains 0p. Finally, I remind you that Rogue Bloggers for Woodlarks is just 4 days away, and we are at 34% of the target. If among the 92% of listeners yet to donate, do give a fiver (or a tenner), HERE.
It is just five days to Rogue Bloggers for Woodlarks and we are at just under 33% of our target so can the 93% of listeners yet to donate please do so HERE. In today's podcast I cover the quarter of a billion quid blown, largely by Neil Woodford, at Rutherford (RUTH) and how that made Woodford,personally, even richer. I name and shame a couple of those who enabled that scam. I look at Wildcat Petroleum (WCAT), Guild ESports (GILD) and Cellular Goods (CBX) and the piss poor Times' idea of breaking news, I mention Optibiotix (OPTI),look at Eve (EVE) which seems to be a zero to me, at spineless and busted Cineworld (CINE) and in detail at ADVFN (AFN) and its woes.
How many times have I written to AIM Regulation about Eurasia Mining (EUA)? Here we go again...
Rutherford Health (RUTH), the former Proton Partners which listed at what was always a joke price on the Aquis (then NEX) lobster-pot, backed by a Woodford promise which cost his investors another £80 million, has finally admitted the game is up. It is to be liquidated. That’s around £240 million down the drain. This is a crime and you know who the main criminal is.
Today we are donating £2500 to Rogue Bloggers for Woodlarks. I don't ask you to follow suit but if you are among the 93% of listeners yet to donate to this cause with just 6 days to the event how about giving a fiver here? Then onto Genflow (GENF) in light of the Hindenburg dossier HERE. Then after observations from Chris Bailey earlier on Barratt (BDEV) I look at house prices and house builders.
These are the most-read articles and most listened-to Bearcasts of the week. The most read non-Tom article is Stuff going on at FTSE 100 giants Unilever and Glaxo! by Chris Bailey at a number four or number 8 if you include Bearcasts.
I discuss Manchester vs Geneva airport and why you should not believe everything you read in the Daily Mail. In a week's time I will be, I hope, three quarters of the way through Rogue Bloggers for Woodlarks. If you are among the 93%of listeners yet to donate please do so HERE. Then I look at Neil Woodford and Harcus Parker finally filing its claim against ACD Link. Finally it is Versarien (VRS)
Having asked for readers tips for 2022 for the prize of 1/2 litre of Tom Winnifrith's Greek Hovel olive oil (2022 harvest) HERE, the following is the (just after) five months update on performance (to be eligible needed to have selected, on a once per username basis, a buy & sell pick from the LSE, AIM casino or Aquis lobster pot and the stocks not to have been suspended at the commencement of 2022)...
AEX Gold (AEXG) has announced first-quarter results, emphasising that its strategy remains to bring the Nalunaq gold project back into production, and use it as a platform for strategic mineral assets in Greenland.
Recovering from several lectures on the evils of Brexit, I send you greetings from Frogland this Bank Holiday Thursday. In today's podcast, I look again at the Tern (TERN) - Pires (PIRI) merger. I then discuss three slam-dunk zeros: Kinovo (KINO) - whose shares should be suspended with immediate effect - Versarien (VRS) and Nanosynth (NNN), where the new CEO, Mark Duffin, is a complete clown. If he does a deal in snails, as he suggests, I am a Dutchman.
I discuss last night's hell in Frogland. Then, I raise two new red flags at the Supply@ME Capital (SYME) fraud, before looking at Tern (TERN), and Parsley Box (MEAL) as it heads to zero.
AIM-listed jam-tomorrow IoT investment company Tern plc (TERN) has announced a recommended all-share deal to take over AM-listed Pires Investments (PIRI). The fanfare numbers are that Pires investors are getting a 54% premium to the previous closing price, with Tern’s shares priced at 15.5p, but that seems to me to be a spoof. One wonders why Pires' board took the deal…..
I discuss both these corporates, and remind the 94% of you yet to support Rogue Bloggers for Woodlarks: please do so, HERE. Then, I discuss Stuart Ashman of Skinbiotherapitics (SBTX), who has made me look like a complete git (again), as he withdraws from ShareStock. But, I will announce another BIG-name speaker tomorrow, and will replace Stuart. So, make sure you book your tickets, HERE. Then, I look at Cellular Goods (CBX) and Guild ESports (GILD), the David Beckham dogs.
I start with my weekend at the Christian retreat. Who would have thought that I'd be spending a Saturday night alcohol-free, sitting around a campfire as folks strummed guitars and sang to Jesus? I reflect on that, and, on the subject of weekend suffering, urge those of you yet to donate: please do so, HERE. Then, I discuss September 10, when I hope you will join me at the Welsh Hovel for an all-day bar, great local food and a day of expert talks. Yes, it is time to book into Sharestock! HERE!
The quest began on Monday, hence Malcolm's absence in Sicily. He was promised an early start on Wednesday, but a day of disappointment followed. On Thursday, he was taken to a tree. So, how did this all conclude? His diarist explains...
These are the most-read articles and most listened-to Bearcasts of the week. The actual most-read non Tom article is by me, last week’s pub quiz. The most read non-Tom, non-quiz article is Busy Thursday – BT Group, Johnson Matthey and Auto Trader by Chris Bailey at a non-leaderboard Number 17 or Number 23 if you include Bearcasts.
Jubilee Metals (JLP) has announced two new appointments: Manuel Lino Silva de Sousa (Ollie) Oliveira as Chairman, and Berenberg as joint corporate broker. That is good news for institutional interest, with the market cap now £390 million, at a 14.85p share price.
My continued advice to keep well away from fully-listed Esken (ESKN) – the former Stobart Group (STOB) seems to have been well placed. Quite apart from the serial Red-Flags-At-Night announcements, there is the small matter of the share price continuing to collapse. A year ago the shares were 32.9p and I said sell; last August they had fallen to 15p and I said keep well away. Now they are just 8.77p and there are a few Red Flags in the FY22 results (to February) to suggest that there is still further to fall.
I explain my anger, and why the weekend ahead will be sheer torture. Think of my suffering and donate to Rogue Bloggers, HERE. Then, put 10 September in your diary, and keep it free. More on that next week, when I shall be in Frogland with Joshua and Olaf. In today's podcast, I cover Versarien (VRS), Audioboom (BOOM) and Advance Energy (ADV). ).
Yesterday, I revealed how, as CEO of Elephant Oil, Matt Lofgran had handed out 30% of its equity, gratis - most notably to a convicted pump-and-dump operator, currently facing 85 years in jail. Lofgran would happily sup with the devil, so as to get away an IPO, which would have netted him an immediate $500,000 and a 100% pay rise. I have thus written to the Oxymorons at AIM Regulation.
The quest began on Monday, hence Malcolm's absence in Sicily. He was promised an early start for Wednesday, but a day of disappointment followed. Perhaps, Thursday was more productive. His diarist explains...
First of all, I ask the 94% of you yet to donate to Rogue Bloggers for Woodlarks: please do so HERE, so we can surge past 25% of target (without gift aid) tonight. Go on. Then, I look at Jubilee Metals (JLP); Restaurant Group (RTN); Purplebricks (PURP); Vast Resources (VAST); BT (BT.A); the windfall oil tax; and why the Tories have utterly lost the plot. Then, at Genflow (GENF), Nostra Terra (NTOG) and the massive scandal I exposed today, HERE & HERE.
Floorcoverings distributor group Headlam (HEAD) has issued an AGM trading update including that it “continues to be comfortable with profit expectations for the year”. So what of a current 338p share price?
Miner in Azerbaijan, Anglo Asian Mining (AAZ) states that it “is pleased to announce its final audited results for the year ended 31 December 2021”. However, the shares are down to 85p to buy in response.
I'm sorry, but I have a reputation to protect. This is all to do with an excellent cause, which 94% of you are yet to support. Please do so, HERE. I then discuss Bluebird Merchant Ventures (BMV); Amigo (AMGO); Versarien (VRS); THG (THG); Morses Club (MCL); and Argo Blockchain (SPOOOOOOOOOOOOOOOOOOOOOOOOOOOOOOOOF).
The quest began yesterday, hence Malcolm's absence in Sicily. Now, events move on, as his diarist explains...
Packaging group Macfarlane (MACF) “is pleased to announce the acquisition of PackMann Gesellschaft für Verpackungen und Dienstleistungen mbH, a protective packaging distribution business based in Eppelheim near Heidelberg, Germany”, emphasising it is to accelerate the growth of its protective packaging business in Northern Europe. Crazy name eh! German is such an amazing language. But a good deal.
In today's podcast, I discuss Asimilar (ASLR); Dev Clever (DEV); Simec Atlantic (SAE); Powerhouse Energy (PHE); Amigo (AMGO); and Vast Resources (VAST). It goes without saying, but I say so anyway: if you are among the 95%, PLEASE COUGH UP NOW, HERE.
I am off on my annual search for the magic money tree, which, if found, (it definitely exists) will solve all the world’s problems. Just harvest the tree, and Government debt will disappear. Then harvest it again, and the government can give more money to help deal with inflation. It is so simple. I simply cannot see why Uncle Tom, and other wicked Tories, disagree.
I start with the usual. 94.5% of you are yet to donate, despite the cows, nettles and thorn bush of the weekend. Go on, just a tenner for Rogue Bloggers for Woodlarks; you know it makes sense. Please donate, HERE. In today's podcast, I discuss Vin Murria and M&C Saatchi (SAA); the scoundrels at Ince (INCE) and Deepverge (DVRG); Vast Resources (VAST); Audioboom (BOOM); and finally, Tortilla Mexican Grill (MEX), as it buys Chilango. This looks all wrong - another member of the 2021 IPO hall of shame?
I start with the cows, my red face and pain. Read all about it HERE and then urge you to leave the 95% and make a donation to Rogue Bloggers for Woodlarks HERE. Then I discuss Hargreaves Lansdown (HL.), Neil Woodford and whining underperforming fund manager Nick Train of Lindsell Train
These are the most-read articles and most listened-to Bearcasts of the week. The most read non-Tom article is How is Rolls-Royce getting on? by Chris Bailey at a non-leaderboard Number 12 or Number 18 if you include Bearcasts.
I was not at the show, but have had feedback. What were your takeaways from Vin Murria, Adam Reynolds, Nigel Wray et al? Please do post in the comments section. Instead, I was on a 23-mile walk. I report on the good news and also how, thanks to a herd of cows, I am in complete agony tonight. Photos tomorrow, as bed beckons. Think of my complete pain and, if you are among the 95% of listeners yet to donate, please do so HERE.
Tomorrow's training walk really will start at 4.30 AM. I promise. If you are among the naughty 95% yet to donate, please do so HERE. After that, there is more work on the Ha-Ha, ahead of a new idea which I will announce next week. I start with how NOT to get a job, when I was the one who got you an interview! I end with why this year, it will be I, not Malcolm, who calls the housebuilders right. In between, I discuss a share my SIPP bought yesterday; the fund and games with Vin Murria at M&C Saatchi (SAA); Cellular Goods (CBX); and THG (THG)
Imperial Brands (IMB) has announced results for its half year ended 31st March 2022 emphasising “stabilisation of our core combustible business” and “successful consumer trials validate our approach and strengthen our confidence in our Next Generation Product strategy”. This sounds encouraging.
Gold miner in Kazakhstan, AltynGold (ALTN) states that it “is pleased to announce its 1Q22 production update” and the shares have moved up to 130p, so what’s the latest?...
As you grow old, you should learn from investing. In that vein, I discuss my 1997 encounters with Adonis Pouroulis of Chariot Oil & Gas (CHAR), and why I'd not touch Chariot with a bargepole. I also discuss investing in a bear market, what we should do and the irrational decisions others will make, looking at AAA, Asimilar (ASLR) and Audioboom (BOOM). I then examine Guild ESports (GILD), and what I believe is an upcoming placing at 1p. That will also kick Cellular Goods (CBX) in the golden balls. Finally, I discuss renting out the Greek Hovel, as you can see HERE, and urge the 95% of listeners yet to donate to Rogue Bloggers for Woodlarks, to do so HERE.
In today's podcast, I suggest 3 questions you should ask of a certain speaker at UK Investor, and I shall be very proud of anyone who has the nerve to do so! I look at Eurasia Mining (EUA); Kavango Resources (KAV), run by flip-flop, Ben Turney; Strip Tinning (STG); Deepverge (DVRG); Audioboom (BOOM); and Nanosynth (NNN), where I slash my target price to 0.1p. 95% of you have yet to donate to Rogue Bloggers for Woodlarks. Come on, I am sure you can spare a tenner - please do give HERE.
Jubilee Metals (JLP) has announced a performance update of its new and expanded fully integrated South African Inyoni PGM and chrome operations and its Zambian southern copper strategy. So what’s the situation, with the shares having responded up to 15.4p?
In today's podcast, I look at: Vast Resources (VAST) and the bogus bear squeeze; Eurasia Mining (EUA); Powerhouse Energy (PHE); Kinovo (KINO) and the fallout from my scoop yesterday, which is now confirmed; Made.com (MADE); and why Petropavlovsk (POG) is a zero. Also, do grab a (free) ticket to UK Investor on Saturday; tomorrow, I shall give the question you must ask one of the presenters. The Rogue Bloggers for Woodlarks have now raised 21% of their target. To the 95% of listeners yet to donate, please do so HERE.
In today's podcast, I cover Eurasia Mining (EUA), Made.com (MADE), Vast Resources (VAST) and Petropavlovsk (POG). I have more shocking news on Kinovo (KINO), whose shares should be suspended, and discuss FinnCrap (FCAP). I promise never to mention the company again if its CEO, smug Sam Smith, donates £100,000 to rogue bloggers for Woodlarks. Of course, she won't. So I must ask the 95% of Bearcast listeners yet to chip in: please make your donation, HERE We are now at 20% of target - go on, make it 21% by tomorrow!
In this podcast, I discuss a double dose of suffering - but not that which I promised - and beg you to donate to Rogue Bloggers for Woodlarks, HERE. I also discuss two companies where something stinks badly: HUI International (HUI) and Audioboom(BOOM). And, yes, I have seen the story in the loathsome Mail on Sunday. It stinks, too!
These are the most-read articles and most listened-to Bearcasts of the week. The most read non-Tom article is Ferrexpo looks like a good recovery buy with large upside as long as its operations in Ukraine continue uninterrupted by Gary Newman at a sexy Number Six or Number 11 if you include Bearcasts.
AEX Gold (AEXG) is pleased to announce its addition of mineral exploration licences No. 2020-41 and 2021-11, covering areas in South Greenland.
His point is about the structure of one of a raft of uber-dog IPOs of 2021, Seraphime (BUMP). But that structure is common to a number of other dogs and willl be their downfall. I am in agony as I prepare for bed for reasons explained HERE. But tomorrow I shall do a 20 mile Woodlarks training walk none the less. Please think of my extreme pain as I walk towards Chester and if you are among the 96% of listeners yet to donate to this great cause please do so HERE
In today's podcast, I discuss Elon Musk and Twitter; Vast Resources (VAST) & associated scumbags; Optibiotix (OPTI); Condor Gold (CNR) and why comrade Jim Mellon must pay up soon; and the complete and utter Irish jackanory spouted by Hydrogen Utopia (HUI) and Powerhouse Resources (PHE): those holding shares in either company are certifiable. We are now just £68 away from £10,000 in the Rogue Bloggers for Woodlarks (plus gift aid) fundraise. On Sunday, I really will do a 20-mile training walk. If you are amongst the 96% of listeners yet to donate, please do so today, HERE.
Today's shocking news is not evidence of illegal behaviour, I am told by a member of the death spiral community. I am not so sure. But investors were indeed deceived by Vast Resources (VAST), Atlas and Beaumont Cornish, which signed off on the May 3 release. The incident brings “the world’s most successful growth market” into disrepute, and I have written to Marcus Stuttard, the bogus Sheriff and head of the Oxymorons at AIM Regulation, urging him to investigate possible illegality and to censure all those involved.
Packaging group Macfarlane (MACF) has announced “a solid start to 2022, with first quarter sales and profits from continuing operations ahead of the same period in 2021… expectations for the full year are unchanged”. So what of a current 120.5p share price?
In today's podcast, I discuss the FTSE 100 sliding; bitcoin's crash; Coinbase; Online Blockchain (OBC); Argo Blockchain (ARB) and 3 questions Peter Wall MUST answer; Cellular Goods (CBX), where Wall today stepped down as chair (odd timing); Verditek (VDTK); the shame of Innovate UK and ex-footballer and NFT spiv, Michael Owen; Petropavlovsk (POG); and Versarien (VRS), where a cash crisis looms. Now, to brace myself: the mother-in-law will arrive at her new home in just a few hours.
I start with some great news: my mother-in-law is moving to the next village tomorrow. Watch out Farndon! Then, I look at Trafalgar New Homes (TRAF); Fevertree (FEVR); Mirriad (MIRI); Supply@ME Capital (SYME); Dignity (DTY); and Zephyr Energy (ZPHR).
In just two weeks, the new death spiral provider, Venus, has dumped 3.32 billion shares on Bulletin Board Morons. If it is allowed to, it will likely dump another 15-20 billion. But the fraud, Supply@ME Capital (SYME), is insolvent even with the Venus cash, as I noted earlier. I have asked the FCA to step in and save private investors from being mugged.
Cliff admits he will lose, so has decently added £5 to his Rogue Bloggers for Woodlarks donation. Why not join him? Leave the 96% of listeners yet to donate, and chip in today, HERE. The bet is on Zephyr Energy (ZPHR), where Cliff is long (and wrong). I offer him the chance to double up with a bet on Wildcat Petroleum (WCAT), following its bonkers RNS yesterday. But I think he is too smart to take that. I also look at Versarien (VRS), Eden Research (EDEN), Kefi (KEFI), and Amur Minerals (AMC), on a day of water triumph at the Greek Hovel. How I wish I was there.
After my weekend revelations, following on from Friday’s bombshell admission of rank dishonesty, I had expected Kinovo (KINO) shares to be suspended by now. For those weekend reports suggest that, very soon, the company will be reliant on its banks for its survival. I have written to the Oxymorons at AIM Regulation, about what is a major scandal of non-disclosure.
The judgement out today from the Lords Standards Commissioner is below. Tory Toff, the Earl of Shrewsbury has been forced to apologise for asking questions in the house without declaring an interest following my complaint. Gotcha!
I discuss today's minor triumph regarding the rule-breaking Tory Toff, Earl of Shrewsbury, and if inflation is not hitting some of us. I look at Vast Resources (VAST); Avacta (AVCT); in much more detail, Amur Minerals (AMC); and finally, Argo Blockchain (ARB). There was no Rogue Bloggers for Woodlarks training walk yesterday, as I was aching so much from 10 hours gardening on Saturday. Instead, I did another eight hours gardening, here at the Welsh Hovel. I will post some photos later. Please enjoy my suffering, but do not remain amongst the 97% of listeners yet to donate. Please donate - if only a fiver or a tenner - today, HERE.
These are the most-read articles and most listened-to Bearcasts of the week. The most read non-Tom article is Always Prepare for a Good Story Going Wrong as Gear for Music Hits a Sour Note by Malcolm Stacey, leaping back in to the leaderboard after a long absence, at a fantastic Number 1 or Number 8 if you include Bearcasts.
I suspect that very few investors and surprisingly few PLC directors have any idea what a recession looks like. For starters most folks in both camps are rich but in a recession, it is the poor or lower middle classes who get whacked hardest. That is especially so when it is an inflationary recession as those lower down the order tend to have the least ability to “play catch up” by forcing through pay rises. And secondly you have to be of a certain age to remember a savage inflationary recession as an adult – the last one was ended with some fairly painful medicine by the blessed Lady Thatcher forty years ago.
You will think me mad but let me explain. Before that I discuss the growing scandal at Kinovo (KINO) and who should pay. I also discuss gardening and walking. I tortured my body with a full day of the former today (and I am not done yet) but am not sure how I will torture myself tomorrow but torture myself I shall. So please if you are among the 97% of listeners yet to donate to Rogue Bloggers for Woodlarks please do so HERE. Finally some thoughts c/o Peter Schiff on inflation.
That was a rip-roaring week! One might be tempted to suggest that equity markets do not know what they want: they were sliding ahead of the Fed’s rate decision in fear of a rate hike. When they got it (a half point rise) they went up. And when the dust settled they went down again. Gold and Bonds did much the same.
I start with the warning of a three-day bearcast break in the summer, and explain why. And of how the cat has stolen all the Es. Then, it is onto the local elections, and a warning for complacent Tories about the thief in the night. Then, Cathie Wood and ARK, which really is going down the plughole. I look at new Sub Standard List IPO, Kendrick Resources, and give it the Bird. I cover bitcoin; Argo Blockchain (ARB); McColls (MCLS); Kinovo (KINO) - where somebody should be sacked; Wildcat Petroleum (WCAT); and Powerhouse Energy (PHE) . I explain what Steve Moore should do on his weekend "lads break"in Skegness. Oh to be young again. Irony. I forgot to say: thanks to all those who have now donated to Rogue Bloggers for Woodlarks. I shall be training hard again this weekend, with a day of gardening and an 18-20 mile walk. Think of my suffering, and, if you have donated, I thank you. If you are among the 97%of listeners who have not, PLEASE DO SO HERE.
BP (BP.) has announced a first quarter of the year $20.4 billion loss... though also reduced net debt to $27.5 billion, a maintained 5.46 cents per share dividend and a proposed further $2.5 billion share buyback. So what’s going on?
Packaging company DS Smith (SMDS) has announced year ending 30th April “trading in line with management expectations… enter the next financial year with confidence”, helping the shares up to 325.6p.
The reference is to the fact that there is only 1 candidate in the local elections where I live and he is a king sized dickhead. From that I move onto interest rates and why they should have been increased by more than 0.25%. Of course we should not be in this inflationary mess anyway. Then it is onto Vast Resources (VAST), Trainline (TRN), Seraphime (BUMP),Parsley Box (MEAL) and musicMagpie (MMAG). I will try to complete my long promised share purchases tomorrow and to discuss them then.Thank you to all who have donated to Rogue Bloggers for Woodlarks. We are now at 15% of target but still 97% of Bearcast listeners have yet to chip in. Come on, just a fiver or a tenner: please do donate now HERE. PS The reference to Kirstie Allsop and a podcast is about this one HERE.
Fresnillo (FRES) has announced first quarter of the year production including attributable silver production of 13.28 million ounces and gold production of 0.15 million ounces and that, despite challenges, “2022 guidance remains unchanged”.
I start on BP (BP.) and the crap talked about record profits, its actuall losses and a windfall tax. Then I look at the Love Hemp (LIFE) scandal and who should go to jail.Then at madness at Vast Resources (VAST) and McColls (MCLS) and at why I cannot recommend a purchase in Minoan (MIN) and have not for a long time but will not stick the knife into a man who helped save my life. I look at why some Open Orphan (ORPH) shareholders should sue iii.co.uk. Finally I have a look at Boohoo (BOO). PS I will mention my new share purchases tomorrow if I can sort out a bit of paperwork. And PPS Thanks to the new donors to Rogue Bloggers for Woodlarks.we are now at 11% of target ( £5,582) but still98% of listeners have yet to donate. I am sure you can afford a fiver or a tenner, please give now HERE.
AEX Gold (AEXG) has announced 2021 calendar year results and that it “is very well placed for the year ahead and investors will have a lot of news to digest”.
In today's podcast I forgot to thank those who have donated to Rogue Bloggers for Woodlarks over the weekend. I thank you now. But c98% of listeners have yet to donate. I am sure you can manage a fiver or a tenner please do give now HERE. Then I answer a call to sack me for a Staceyesque "crime" and discuss Jubilee Metals (JLP),Yooma (YOOM), Love Hemp (LIFE) and the utter cretins at Aquis Regulation, Vast Resources (VAST) and Avacta (AVCT).
I forgot to mention Woodlarks. Thanks to those who donated yesterday but I must keep nagging you all. Still 98.5% of bearcast listeners are yet to donate, surely you can spare a fiver! Please donate HERE. In the podcast I consider why profits warnings are at record levels and how long they will stay at such levels and what that means.
Shares in equipment rental company Vp plc (VP.) closed at 820p before the latest news. However, they are now up to 940p on news that it is now considered “appropriate to investigate the sale of the company and is therefore launching a formal sale process”. So what now?
GlaxoSmithKline (GSK) has announced its first quarter of the year results and that it reconfirms its full-year 2022 guidance. We are well ahead on this share tip where we are also drinking our own medicine so what to do now?
Having asked for readers tips for 2022 for the prize of 1/2 litre of Tom Winnifrith's Greek Hovel olive oil (2022 harvest) HERE, the following is the end-April monthly update on performance (to be eligible needed to have selected, on a once per username basis, a buy & sell pick from the LSE, AIM casino or Aquis lobster pot and the stocks not to have been suspended at the commencement of 2022)...
In this Bearcast, I start with the pain I feel after a training walk, knowing that 99% of Bearcast listeners have NOT donated to the rogue-bloggers-for-Woodlarks article. My first big training walk is described (with photos) HERE, and you can make that donation HERE. Then, it is onto Jubilee Metals, and 2 reasons why I expect the shares will head to 25p. Finally, you may have noticed Malcolm Stacey's absence. I explain all; I don't think I am being unreasonable.
These are the most-read articles and most listened-to Bearcasts of the week. The most read non-Tom article is The View From The Montana Log-Cabin As Gold (And Everything Else) Sells Off by Nigel Somerville at Number 3 or Number 10 if you include Bearcasts.
Cue a rant on teachers and other public sector workers! I then discuss ADVFN (AFN); Mkango Resources (MKA); Parsley Box (MEAL); McColls (MCLS); Sensyne (SENS); Petropavlovsk (POG); and Vast Resources (VAST). Then, I look in detail at Nightcap (NGHT) and AO World (AO.)
AIM-listed (pro tem) Catenae Innovation (CTEA) updated the market this morning over its suspension from trading due to the non-appearance of its FY account to September 2021. One month down, five to go.
This morning, I had a long chat with an industry insider, concerning the latest death spiral from the fraud, Supply@ME Capital (SYME); what I relay to you is truly shocking. Anyone holding these shares is bonkers.
I have already flagged how Canadian Overseas Petroleum (COPL) and Pure Gold (PUR) misled investors, by hiding auditors' warnings. Now, Mkango Resources (MKA) has joined the deceiving club. The FCA, as regulator of the Standard List, must act. I have penned the letter below to Mark Steward at the FCA, and the bogus Sheriff of AIM, Marcus Stuttard.
Cybersecurity group Shearwater (SWG) has emphasised a “set of market-beating numbers… we remain excited for what the future holds”. What of a share price response up to 140p?
In today's bearcast I discuss the different regulatory failings of AIM and the Standard List referring to 2 companies worth 0p, Vast Resources (VAST) and the fraud Chill Brands (CHLL) and the lies they tell. I look at Amur Minerals (AMC) and Eurasia Mining (EUA) and in detail at Novacyt (NCYT). I mention Jubilee Metals (JLP) where I am a loyal shareholder.
How investors wish that the FCA had dealt with my previous letters as a responsible regulator of the Standard List would have done. But it did not, and thus, earlier this week, the fraud, Chill Brands (CHLL), announced a bailout placing at just 2p. Unfortunately, it is clear that on a number of grounds, investors were deceived ahead of that fundraise. I have written to the FCA.
Last time, the complainant was anonymous; this time, it was Julie Meyer. I describe my chat. Suffice to say that Ms "sex toy on expenses" Meyer will again be frustrated. I contrast these Police visits with the way they failed me when I exposed the Chill Brands (CHLL) fraud, and was then harassed and smeared - I wonder how the guilty men, notably those at Buchanan Communications, feel this afternoon. Today, I deserve a shed load of ouzo after numerous triumphs and, in turn, I look at Chill, Supply@ME Capital (SYME), Bidstack (BIDS) and Vast Resources (VAST). Actually, I am joking about the ouzo: the kids and I are off to buy a hosepipe extension, some lavender plants, and an ice cream for Joshua. That is our reward.
AIM-listed jam-tomorrow IoT investment company Tern plc (TERN) today provided an update in the form of its AGM statement. As ever, it is full of hyperbole but offers few hard numbers. The ShareProphets RNS Translation Service explains all…..
I start on the news from Twitter & Elon Musk. Then, I look at Wildcat Petroleum (WCAT); Novacyt (NCYT); Vast Resources (VAST); the stinking RNS from Nightcap (NGHT); and Versarien (VRS), where the TWO death spirals are starting to bite, as the cash crisis intensifies.
As we await the latest heavily discounted bucket shop bailout placing – or worse – from AIM-listed UK Oil & Gas (UKOG), we have already had ramptastic 2D seismic processing from its duff Turkish assets and this morning it was announced that CEO Lyin’ Steve Sanderson has been buying shares. Quick, follow the man……..or not!
I record looking up at the mountains behind the Greek Hovel. Why on earth are we heading back to Wales? I shall miss this place badly. Then, onto Netflix. Finally, I explain why Malcolm is wrong on shares generally, but also on Gear4Music (GFM), where the only unknown is the scale of the share price collapse, a process far from complete.
These are the most-read articles and most listened-to Bearcasts of the week. The most read non-Tom is Centamin – Q1 Disappoints, Or Does It? by Nigel Somerville at Number 3 or Number 10 if you include Bearcasts.
Iron ore pellet producer, Ferrexpo (FXPO), has announced results for the 2021 calendar year, and that it has continued to operate, launching a significant humanitarian programme to assist those directly impacted by the Russian invasion.
The screen shot below is from a "private" telegram group which this crooked CEO clearly thinks folks like me or the FCA do not have acess to. Au contraire...
I start with Pure Gold (PUR) and today's utterly misleading release; the red flags do flutter in force here. The onto Kefi Minerals (KEFI), where 'arry bloody Adams does not understand why his NEDs are 100% discredited. Finally, I have two challenges for loathsome Neill Ricketts, as he steers Versarien (VRS) towards a crash landing.
Centamin (CEY) has announced a quarterly update including “as planned, Q1 2022 production reflected the successful transition to owner mining in the underground… reiterates its 2022 full-year guidance”, so what of a share price response currently down closer to 90p?
I start with good news concerning my mother-in-law, which suggests my current living - where folks pay £5.99 a month to hurl abuse at me - is maybe not such a desirable career. Then onto Kefi Gold & Copper (KEFI), and what I have told 'arry Bloody Adams should happen next, in light of his latest e-mail to me. Then onto Vast Resources (VAST) and Eden Research (EDEN), not Pharma as I misspoke in the podcast. Finally, Gear4Music (G4M), which is enough to turn fanboys Paul Scott and Malcolm Stacey to drink. Vindicated yet again as a bear, I warn of worse to come, following today's bullshit-heavy trading statement.
In today's Bearcast, I start with Guild ESports (GILD), and a collapsing party house of cards. I refer to the David Williams of Avanti infamy shocker - it is still a cracking short. Then I comment on Petropavlovsk (POG), where I am surprised no one has feigned offence at my earlier headline. There is a bit on NightCap (NGHT), but most of this podcast covers Kefi Gold and Copper (KEFI). Matthew and his dog will be delighted by that section.
Shares in Flowtech Fluidpower (FLO) remain below levels of earlier this year despite recent results showing encouraging recovery and noting an encouraging start to this year, with there looking to be scope for further recovery in profitability and for the share price.
This has been the most stressful day in Greece for a long while; I really do need a holiday. I explain all. Then I look at Sensyne (SENS); Chill Brands (FRAUD); Blue Star Capital (BLU) and an AGM shock that may trigger the collapse of the Bixby, Edwards, Frangos, Story and Peter Wall house of cards. Then it is onto Canadian Overseas Petroleum (COPL), where today's placing vindicates me. I argue that a 20.75p share price is a compelling shorting opportunity on a risk-reward basis. Matthew and his dog will enjoy that section, as Arthur Millholland, the snake oil salesman at Canadian, really is talking shite in today's release. I am so angry.
Anglo Asian Mining (AAZ) has announced it “is pleased to provide a production, sales and operations review for its Gedabek contract area in western Azerbaijan, for the three months to 31 March 2022”. So, what of the shares responding slightly higher to 95p?
Listen to the 20 most listened-to Bearcasts since January 1st and you'll hear nearly seven hours of Tom's dulcet tones unwinding the unexplainable, embarrassing the shameless, and chiding the ridiculous (Music Magpie holders? Chill Brands RNS's?) Plus cats, gardening, and, if I heard these correctly, life as a single mother.
I have been bearish on this for a while, unable to understand the valuation from the IPO. Shares in THG, The Hut Group as was, now trade at a new low of 95p. There are a couple of matters to discuss ahead of numbers on Thursday, notably a management departure and suggestions of late payments to suppliers. Is this window dressing as per Canadian Overseas Petroleum (COPL) and its December 31 cash number, or something worse?
Having asked for readers tips for 2022 for the prize of 1/2 litre of Tom Winnifrith's Greek Hovel olive oil (2022 harvest) HERE, the following is an Easter update on performance (to be eligible needed to have selected, on a once per username basis, a buy & sell pick from the LSE, AIM casino or Aquis lobster pot and the stocks not to have been suspended at the commencement of 2022)...
Happy Easter to you and your families. Today's podcast looks at four ways, some very easy indeed, to clean up London's share markets, the AIM sewer and the Standard List. I cannot see any argument against what I suggest, but maybe you can think of a few.
These are the most-read articles and most listened-to Bearcasts of the week. The most read non-Tom non Darren story is Takeovers and the (boring) worlds of BT Group and Vodafone by Chris Bailey at Number 8 or Number 14 if you include Bearcasts.
I discuss proposals to replace the FRC; why attempts to stop the crook, Elon Musk, are so misguided; and new wildlife diversity at the Greek Hovel.
Iron-ore pellets producer, Ferrexpo (FXPO), has announced - despite operational constraints following Russia's invasion of Ukraine - “production of 2.7 million tonnes in the first quarter of 2022, representing a figure in line with the same period in 2021, and 11% below the previous quarter… Sales in 1Q 2022 of 2.6 million tonnes… net cash position of approximately US$159 million”.
Cybersecurity group, Shearwater (SWG), has announced a “new contract win, to the potential value of up to c.£21.0m, with a leading telecommunications and media company”, helping its shares more than 25% higher, to 138p, in response.
I mention Julie "Lingerie on Expenses" Meyer MBE and her Easter message HERE. Then my lecture, unlike that of Malcolm earlier, is not about God but Mammon and specifically why all broker research is corrupted and why it can be ignored.
I have written once again to the FCA, as the regulator of the Standard List, urging it to act against Canadian Overseas Petroleum (COPL) as it struggles to get its 20p-a-share bailout placing away, despite misleading investors. My letter is below:
I discuss: Twitter and the bid from Elon Musk; Petropavlovsk (POG); Canadian Overseas Petroleum (COPL); FinnCap (FCAP); today's trading statement; and problems with Greek workmen.
In response to some dynamite exposes on Shareprophets about Canadian Overseas Petroleum Limited (COPL), the company released a bizarre RNS in which the sole executive, Arthur Millholland, dismissed his critics, mainly Tom Winnifrith, as snake oil salesmen and expressed “renewed confidence” about the future. Pots and kettles spring to mind here when Millholland’s track record is taken into consideration.
I start with Deliveroo (ROO), whose IPO was at 390p - a year later, the shares are at 106p. What went wrong, I ask, and what now for the shares? Then to two placings: Vast Resources (VAST) announced its placing on Monday; I discussed the one Canadian (COPL) has been working on since last Thursday, last night. It seems to be struggling, but I expect it will be announced by the company tomorrow. Both placings stink, and decent regulators would be all over them. I explain why.
Equipment rental company Vp plc (VP.) has issued a trading update announcement which is headlined “Expected performance ahead of expectations driven by increased demand”. This sounds good.
I am just so tired and, needless to say, the carpenter has not done his work. But snake-repellent canisters have been put out. More on that later. Today, I chat about: EasyJet (EZJ); Fox Marble (FOX); Bluebird Merchant Ventures (BMV); and Vast Resources (VAST).
I start with news of flooding at the Welsh Hovel, and end with a reminder of podcasting schedules as I head to the Greek hovel. Then, I apologise to Peter Brailey as I cover: Simec Atlantic (SAE); Kefi (KEFI); Ince (INCE); Arden (ARDN); Cellular Goods (CBX); Chill Brands (FRAUD); Gatemore fund managers and Sensyne (SENS); Mark Slater and the folly of attempting corporate regime change; and Audioboom (BOOM).
I start with a few words on vegetables here at the Welsh hovel. Then onto today's election in France, and finally, the £16.60 pub burger in Wales: what is happening and what does it all mean?
These are the most-read articles and most listened-to Bearcasts of the week. The most read non-Tom story is Sleaze on AIM: Oilex looks very leaky – just look at the share trades! by Gary Newman at Number 13 or Number 20 if you include Bearcasts.
I explain why the podcast is late. Apologies. Then I look at a bubble that is clearly bursting, what caused it and what happens next. I mention a number of companies, including: Cellular Goods (CBX); Seed Innovations (SEED); Eden Pharma; and Chill Brands (CHLL).
AEX Gold (AEXG) has announced exploration drilling results from its Nalunaq project, which, it emphasises, verify that the Valley Block, unrecognised by previous operators, is a new high-grade zone and supports its 'Dolerite Dyke Model'. This, it says, has been used to predict the location and extent of five new high-grade zones.
I start with football and a question from last night’s West Ham game, concerning how society now views crime and criminals. Then onto the lessons from the collapse of Sensyne (SENS), the bastard child of Neil Woodford and sleazy Lord Drayson. Finally, I look at: Canadian Overseas Petroleum (COPL); Bidstack (BIDS); Angus Energy (ANGS); Sound Oil (SOU); the odd case of NFT Investments (NFT); and the Bixby/Edwards/ Frangos/Storey/Peter Wall gang.
Yes, for the second time this week, I have written to the regulators of the Standard List, that is to say, the FCA, asking for an investigation into Canadian Overseas Petroleum (COPL), the almost insolvent POS run by snake oil salesman Arthur Millholland of Oilexco infamy. The letter is below.
Five others are mentioned but are not on the list. I explain why each will go to zero, and when. Not all of the 15 are shortable but a good many are. Enjoy.
Imperial Brands (IMB) has announced in a trading update “first-half adjusted group operating profit ahead of last year on constant currency basis” and full-year outlook in line with guidance.
Fear not: no waffle; this is not bad. I start with Rishi Sunak, his Mrs, and tax non-payment. Then, I look at: Canadian Overseas Petroleum (COPL), caught telling another monster porky today; Vast Resources (VAST); Omega Diagnostics (ODX); Victoria Plumbing (VIP); Arden Partners (ARDN); Ince (INCE); and a new uber dog on the Standard List – Ajax Resources (AJAX), another overvalued example of crony capitalism.
This is both hilarious and libellous. What Canadian (COPL) has said about me is untrue and defamatory, as its limp-dick advisors at PR Yellow Jersey know full well. However, it is what Canadian fails (again) to say that is critical. It is still deceiving its investors massively, and, thus, the smart money will use the spike it has created to add to its shorts.
I start with thoughts on changes in the divorce laws, then discuss: Canadian Overseas Petroleum (COPL); Sosandar (SOS), Avacta (AVCT); and finally, in detail, Victorian Plumbing (VIC).
Following shocking exposes TODAY and YESTERDAY, clearly demonstrating that Standard Listed Canadian Overseas Petroleum (COPL) has deceived and misled investors, I have written to the FCA suggesting an immediate share suspension, pending a cleansing RNS statement and a full disciplinary enquiry. The letter is below.
I start with a personal reflection, as it is my late dad’s birthday. Then onto the wider scandal, highlighted by my expose of Canadian Overseas Petroleum (COPL). I discuss Avacta (AVCT), Supply@ME Capital (SYME), and how long one can defy gravity, before concluding with a detailed look at the numbers behind Moonpig (MOON), where, I suggest, shares will head much lower.
I start by explaining yesterday’s late bearcast and the reason I am in such a foul mood today. Then, I look at Versarien (VRS); Fulham Shore (FUL); One True View; Eden Pharma and FCA failings; and, finally, at Victoria Oil & Gas (VOG), where I predict, at best, epic dilution.
Not only are Optibiotix (OPTI) shares not flying (yet) but part two of my retirement plan has also been scuppered as I explain, by the imminent arrival of my in-laws to live in our annexe. I am busy preparing for that and also sorting out the garden ahead of a Greek trip, hence a late bearcast. In that, I discuss whether foolks really are paid to post rubbish on Bulletin Boards, why some companies set up a new holding company and at Carnival (CCL) and elsewhere why an obsession with E &S lets poor G ( shocking greed) take place.
These are the most-read articles and most listened-to Bearcasts of the week. The fact that BREAKING: Darren Atwater Resignation letter is the most read article this week quite disturbs me: were ShareProphets readers thrilled or dismayed at the news? (It was, of course, an April Fools.) The most read non-Tom story is Friday news I missed last week from Rolls-Royce and Imperial Brands by Chris Bailey at Number 10 or Number 16 if you include Bearcasts.
As Q1 limps to a close, it is difficult to see clearly through the fog of war. Mindful, doubtless, of the Covid aftermath – which bottomed almost exactly two years ago and led to a spectacular rally in stocks – investors have returned, and the sell-off seems to have petered out.
I have today been disinvited from the Woodford TTF event, so if you paid £75 to hear me, ask for your money back. I’m sure the FT’s happy, and I discuss what you will NOT now hear. I also discuss today’s April Fool on ShareProphets - which some of you fell for! Finally, I look at 4D Pharma (DDDD); Verditek (VDTK) – is that the Fat Lady I see?; Eden Research (EDEN), and the issue its auditors will have; and musicMagpie (MMAG), with today’s share price lurch in mind.
Shares are now ‘ex-dividend’ for Optibiotix’s ‘ProBiotix Health’ business, which will be spun off onto the AQSE Growth Market – with an associated fundraise – at the end of this month. Additionally, SkinBioTherapeutics (SBTX), in which it has a 20.73% stake, has just announced half-year results – that the market did not like. So, how does the valuation stack up now?
Apparently, the chap from the FT may object to me reminding those at the April 5 Woodford event that his paper, like the wretched Mail on Sunday, Daily Mail, Sunday Times et al DID suck Woodford’s PR cock. Elsewhere, I discuss Red Rock Resources (RRR); Skibiotherapeutics (SBTX); Amigo (AMGO); Avacta (AVCT); Inspirit (INSP); and Mirriad Advertising (MIRI).
SkinBioTherapeutics (SBTX) has announced results for its half-year ended 31st December 2021 which show revenue of just £21,949, cash £1.5 million lower to £3.2 million and include a warning that full-year forecasts will be materially missed – and the shares have responded down to 35p. But here’s why we retain significant confidence and see this as a buying opportunity. From here this could be a 10 bagger.
Only kidding, Elric – the bit about Optibiotix (OPTI) is at the end. Before that, I discuss bear market-funding economics (it is more interesting than it sounds); c/o Luke Johnson; Russia & Ukraine; ADM Energy (ADME) and its pre-bailout-placing spoof; Vast Resources (VAST); Versarien (VRS); and then, matters to keep Mr Lemming happy.
I start with Mello Events, which last night exposed itself as a PR promoter, failing to allow any questions about the elephant in the room: musicMagpie(MMAG). Then to Optibiotix (OPTI) and Skinbiotherapeutics (SBTX), after today’s news from the latter. I have spoken to both Steve O’Hara and Stuart Ashman. As Les points out in the comments section, the silver lining for you is the postponement of my retirement – but not for long. The market has over-reacted: long-term, these two companies will subsidise the goat farm, as I explain in detail.
This is a very long podcast, covering: Optibiotix (OPTI); Skinbiotherapeutics (SBTX); Kefi (KEFI); Bluebird (BMV); Ten Lifestyle (TENG); CakeBox (CBOX); Deepverge (DVRG); Petropavlovsk (POG); Eurasia (EUA); and Amur Minerals (AMC).
I start with an apology for yesterday’s downtime, explaining what happened. Then I look at the musicMagpie (MMAG) saga, and why what I have discovered is so utterly damning. I also discuss today’s expose on paid social media influencers HERE. Regarding that, HERE is where the SEC did what the FCA should be doing, but I fear will not unless we enter a prolonged bear market where many lose cash.
I have, today, written to both the FCA and the oxymorons at AIM Regulation, on, what seems to me, sure-fire market abuse. The original letter names two AIM Companies and one “social media influencer” (I have redacted the names below). But I understand that the problem is not confined to these two companies and one “social media influencer”, and I am urging the authorities to work together on tackling what seems a growing issue.
Jordan Roy-Byre of TheDailyGold.com is getting very excited about the prospects for Gold and Gold stocks, saying this week that now could be the last chance to buy cheap and that he thinks that we are in a bullish consolidation ahead of a major break higher in the next 2-5 months. Given that he is perhaps the most bearish Gold-bull around, it is a big call.
These are the most-read articles and most listened-to Bearcasts of the week. The most read non-Tom story is Centamin – 2021 FY Numbers And Dividend: Is It Now A Sell? by Nigel Somerville at Number two or Number four if you include Bearcasts.
Yesterday all of you said i should sack him. But the sad old geezer has texted me today. I relay what he wrote and ask, in today’s edition of the Moral Maze, if I should still sack him? The answer I think you will give, bears direct relation to both musicMagpie (MMAG) and Advanced Oncotherapy (AVO) which I discuss. I also cover Petropavlovsk (POG), Amala Foods (DISH), Zak Mir, Richard “Nobody Likes me and I do not care” Jennings and Lift Ventures whose IPO seems not to be quite as “imminent” as Zak told us it was two months ago.
I give you the circumstances and ask should I sack this old bloke? I can see no reason not to even if it forces me to have to learn how to slate. Then I look at BlueJay Mining (JAY), musicMagpie (MMAG), McColls (MCLS), and the almighty joke that is Standard Listed Fragrant Prosperity (FPP) which is, as I explain, worth less than nothing.
I start by explaining why my next musicMagpie (MMAG) article was delayed until tomorrow. It is all to do with a Greek, a lorry and a shortage of bubblewrap in Wrexham. I draw your attention to a real share trading oddity at Magpie before heading on to discuss whether Vast Resources (VAST) or Catenae (CTEA) will go bust first. Finally a detailed look at Dignity (DTY) where that combination of zero earnings visibility, past overcharging of punters and a wreck of a balance sheet spells even more gloom ahead.
I explain why and about a bit of a mishap as I left Wales. The it is onto musicMagpie (MMAG) after this piece earlier, Parsley Box (MEAL), Chill Brands (FRAUD), Online Blockchain (OBC), TrustPilot (TRST) and Knights Group (KGH). After my enforced training walk thismorning you can donate to Rogue Bloggers for Woodlarks HERE on the news of our new star walker.
Forgive the voice. Last week’s cold has left me sounding like I have been swallowing gravel. I start with a few words about distractions today which included ordering 72 blackthorn plants and 12 wild blackberry bushes and fetching antique Welsh furniture to go to Greece. Then I ponder whether Nigel is reinvesting his Ariana (AAU) dividends in Ariana (AAU).I explain why I am not and where I am putting the cash. Or rather I am sitting on the fence between Optibiotix (OPTI) and Skinbiotherapeutics (SBTX). The 3x company I mentioned on Saturday, is a well known one and will be exposed via a multi-part series kicking off tomorrow at 8.30 AM and it is, I am sure, a zero. Ahead of then I discuss what makes a real bear market and how it affects rubbish stocks out of cash. Until you see a good few RNS statements each month saying that “shares are suspended pending clarification” you are not in a bear market. In that vein, I mention three POS companies which RIGHT NOW have no cash and are burning it: Vast Resources (VAST), Chill Brands (CHLL) and Supply@ME Capital (FRAUD) and I discuss the next steps for that trio and why the net is tightening on them.
I start with a few words on some odious remarks made by Ukranian President Zelensky and a few more on Radio 5 Live Rugby commentary which was just so bad it was off the scale. Then it is onto share buying which is a sell signal, referencing two Nigel articles this weekend on UK Oil & Gas (UKOG) and Advanced Oncotherapy(AVO) but bringing in incidents at Amur Minerals (AMC), Nanosynth (NNN) when it was the Strat Aero fraud and Jim Mellon’s Condor Gold (CNR)
Imperial Brands (IMB) has announced an update on its actions and impact of Russia’s invasion of Ukraine, concluding on Russia “an orderly transfer of our business as a going concern would be in the best interests… have begun negotiations with a local third party about a transfer”.
These are the most-read articles and most listened-to Bearcasts of the week. The most read non-Tom story is Centamin – 2021 FY Numbers And Dividend: Is It Now A Sell? by Nigel Somerville at Number two or Number four if you include Bearcasts.
The failure of twitter to clean up the sort of filth that makes it a sewer relates to this tweet.The matter of unusual prayers is discussed at the end of the podcast. The diary date is for THIS EVENT and the I chat about the 3xs, not my ex wives but the sources an investigative journalist needs. One 3x was in touch on Friday ….
OptiBiotix Health (OPTI) has announced that it intends to seek admission of its ProBiotix Health business onto the AQSE Growth Market with an associated fund raise of approximately £2.5 million at an indicative premoney valuation of £22.5 million and a distribution in specie. With, at a 35.5p share price, OptiBiotix as a whole currently capitalised at £31.3 million, is this good news? You bet!
Cybersecurity group Shearwater (SWG) has announced a three-year contract with a global financial organisation, totalling $4.1 million, to provide the customer with security software across the breadth of its operations.
In today’s podcast I look in detail at Deepverge (DVRG) whose CEO Gerry Brandon is a 100% arse and whose most recent RNS is utterly deceptiive. I also look in detail at musicMagpie (MMAG) where a placing will be messy but is a slam dunk cert if the Fat Lady is not to make an appearance and at Cineworld (CINE) which remains a slam dunk short.
I do comment about Julie Meyer’s latest tweet. Suicide is no joking matter and this act alone should see her lose her MBE. But most of this podcast is about events today at Optibiotix (OPTI) whose core businessis not worth MINUS £12 million as Mr Market implies. Ahead of the 24th March FYB! A pedant points out that at 14 mins in I say Optibiotix shareholders will get a distribution of 36-38%of Skinbiotherapeutics – clearly meant Probiotix. Apologies – long covid strikes again.
Europe’s leading floorcoverings distributor group Headlam Group (HEAD) has announced its results for the 2021 calendar year and said “trading in January and February 2022 in line with plan, with the strong margin performance in 2021 maintained into 2022”.
Capital Metals (CMET) has been covered in the past on ShareProphets, both positively and negatively, and, on behalf of a reader, Tom Winnifrith asked me to take a look and give my latest thoughts on this Sri Lankan focussed miner. You see, we do read your emails.
I discuss the latest developments in Ukraine. Then I move on to Fevertree (FEVR), Tern (TERN), Braveheart (BRH), Iofina (IOF) and the fraud Chill Brands (CHLL) and the bucket shop based maths based on liquidity, or rather the lack of it.
My quiz question has an Irish theme, I have a Greek Hovel offer or the genesis of one and, indulge me in this day of sweet victory, I then discuss in detail the strange death of the fraud Chill Brands (CHLL) as we wait for the last rites to be read.
Auditor PKF LittleJohn will already be considering the unenviable task of auditing the accounts of its fraudulent client Chill Brands (CHLL) for the year ending March 31 2022. Given that Chill is now already teetering on the brink of insolvency I would suggest that PKF asks for payment up front. In light of the shocking admission today, I felt it wise to mark the card of PKF and my good friends at the Financial Reporting Council on two matters. My letter is below:
It was announced at 2.54pm today that fully-listed – and suspended for two years in the wake of a catastrophic controversy involving undeclared debts and so on – has finally been placed into administration, under the care of PKF GM. Having lost a second auditor last week with no accounts published since August 2019 (the half-year to June 2019) that was already a very bad sign and now it is over to PKF to perform the last rites.
I discuss those threats and at a company level I add commentary on Nightcap (NGHT), Cake Box (CBOX) Chill Brands (CHLL), Cellular Goods (CBX) and Supply@ME Capital (SYME)
There was no Bearcast yesterday as I was a) knackered after a tough Rogue Bloggers for Woodlarks training walk and then b) a bit pissed after Ireland’s triumph over the infidels. You can now donate to the 2022 Rogue Bloggers walk on June 11 HERE. In today’s podcast I discuss Optibiotix (OPTI), a long chat with Steve O’Hara and an, in my view, mistaken, but for him massive, call by Lemming Investor. I also cover SkinBiotherapeutics (SBTX). The Russia/Ukraine podcast I refer to is HERE
These are the most-read articles and most listened-to Bearcasts of the week. The most read non-Tom story is For those who like taking big risks, Polymetal offers potentially huge upside if the situation in Ukraine is resolved – speculative buy by Gary Newman at Number 2 or Number 8 if you include bearcasts.
Fresnillo (FRES) has announced 2021 results and on-going challenges but also confidence in its prospects. Really?
I see that amid some optimism that we might see peace in Ukraine the FTSE 100 is staging a bit of a rally as I write. And with that all sorts of stocks among the small and mid-caps are heading higher. Of course, I pray for peace. If we get it then all stocks will be marked higher but for how long?
H&T Group (HAT) has announced results for the 2021 calendar year and that looking ahead it “is well positioned”. Is it?
I discuss with reference to Tulsi Gabbard, who I admire immensely, and Nigel Farage, who I don’t, what makes someone a Russian asset. Neither Nigel or Tulsi are but that won’t stop certain loons from saying they are. Then a bit more on dangerous fake news. Then I look at Pearson (PSON), Novacyt (NCYT), Nightcap (NGHT), Deepverge (DVRG), Chill Brands (FRAUD) and Supply@ME Capital (FRAUD).
Obviously I do hope Chelsea goes bust and is docked 500 points and finds itself playing next season in the National League so allowing two clubs to be promoted which might just include Wrexham. But what is happening to the Abramovitch sets a dangerous precedent. I discuss this with reference to Evraz (EVR). I look at Parsley Box (MEAL) and the role of certain institutional investors and also FinnCrap (FCAP) in some detail. I predict Parsley will go bust by the autumn notwithstanding today’s dishonest bailout. I look at Oxford Cannibinoid (OTCP) and the growing scandal there and also comment on Eurasia (EUA), then at Chill Brands (CHLL) and that other Standard Listed fraud Supply@ME Capital (SYME). I discuss Summerway Capital (SWC) and Argo Blockchain (ARB) but I start with a parents dilemma.
Sam runs Finncap (FCAP) which earned vast fees floating Parsley Box (MEAL) at 200p last March. The shares are now 17.5p. As a belated celebration of International Women’s Day I have dropped Sam a note.
I start with a recovered Joshua learming a new word. Then it is onto Gfinity (GFIN) and Nigel Wray, Guild ESports (GILD), Parlsey Box (MEAL), the markets and Ukraine, Chill Brands (CHLL) – the day’s biggest gainer (pro tem), a true dead cat bounce and Cineworld (CINE). There is also a history lesson for GCSE student, our in house Euro loon, my friend, Jonathan Price.
What does your listed client have to hide? The truth I suspect. But two days of silence on this Standard listed POS really is not good. I look at what is happening in Ukraine and what happens next and suggest that some Ukranians are now not being sensible or reasonable. I cover Omega Diagnostics (ODX), Amigo (AMGO), Guild ESports (GILD) and Predator Oil & Gas (PRD).
Having asked for readers tips for 2022 for the prize of 1/2 litre of Tom Winnifrith’s Greek Hovel olive oil (2022 harvest) HERE, the following is the end-February monthly update on performance (to be eligible needed to have selected, on a once per username basis, a buy & sell pick from the LSE, AIM casino or Aquis lobster pot and the stocks not to have been suspended at the commencement of 2022)…
I am shortly off to Tesco then will be in action as the family cook. Ahead of that I look at Deepverge (DVRG) run by the arse Gerry Brandon, wondering which will come first, the next trading warning or the next bailout placing, at Mirriad (MIRI) where I disagree with comrade Stacey, Amigo (AMGO), Chill Brands (CHLL), Jubilee Metals (JLP), Supply@ME Capital (SYME), Cellular Goods (CBX), oil, gold and Ukraine and finally at Argo Blockchain’s (ARB) latest news.
I take a tour through four weekend press articles starting with that greedy scumbag Nigel Farage – I refer in the podcast to THIS PIECE. Then to two great pieces on Ukraine and on the decadent West by Peter Hitchens and Matthew Syed respectvely before discussing the Sunday Times article on CBD and pot stocks. Finally I discuss Chris Bailey’s excellent piece on this website and my own approach to shares I own, mentioning Skinbiotherapeutics (SBTX) and some news breaking in the USA.
These are the most-read articles and most listened-to Bearcasts of the week. The two most read non-Tom items last week were by me – The ShareProphets Sunday Pub Quiz #130 and Sunday Long Reads: Last of the Department Stores, Successful Estate Agent, Secret Taliban, Inside Pornhub, New Goldfish– which should buy me some time against a P45. TW Note, Don’t kid yourself. The most read non-Tom, non-Darren story is After Ukraine it can never be the same again and it is going to be far worse before it gets better by David Scott.
The gardening photos from the Welsh hovel will appear later on my own site. Before then I review the 4 retail stocks of the Lucian Miers apocalypse: Versarien (VRS), Supply@ME Capital (SYME), Eurasia (EUR) and Chill Brands (CHLL) and then my 10 stocks to collapse by Christmas. One has fallen so far it is probably not a short now though I would not buy it while three look set to go to zero, possibly as soon as next week in one case. My 10 are Supply, Chill Brands, Versarien, Avacta (AVCT), Wildcat Petroleum (WCAT), Amigo (AMGO), Cineworld (CINE), Argo Blockchain (ARB), Verditek (VDTK) and Tern (TERN). I also look at the oil price and consider whether those sitting on gains might bank a few profits.
Early stage financial services businesses investor B.P. Marsh & Partners (BPM) has announced it has completed a sale of its 77.25% shareholding in Summa Insurance Brokerage for £8.1 million after all associated costs, with also a further £1.5 million in full for its loan, emphasising this “once again demonstrates the success of our investment approach over a number of years”.
With Chill Brands (CHLL) the only question is when the end game is played out. In this podcast I discuss the nature of fraud and suggest how it is possible that the company is a 100/100 fraud on the spectrum of crime becuase it may have committed a pig and pork type fraud for c£1 million. This podcast has gone to Mark Steward and his team at the FCA asking that it makes an urgent enquiry and if the answer is yes it is suspension and game over. If the FCA is as useless as ever the auditors will cry fowl in the summer and it is game over then. But i am 99% sure that this is a pig and pork and I believe the smoking gun is there for all to see.