Imagination Technologies (IMG) is clearly a good company. It is profitable, it is growing its sales rapidly, there is operational gearing and it generates cash and has a net cash position. It ticks all the boxes and is thus loved by investors retail and institutional. But at 523p the company is capitalised at £1.37 billion and on the basis of what is known that share price looks overheated. The shares are a sell.
After many years of scratching around Southern Africa for a project with real prospects AIM listed Boabab (BAO) appears to have found something that could be a winner in the form of the Tete pig iron/vanadium/titanium target in Mozambique. With iron ore stocks all rallying sharply in the past two or three months on the back of hopes of resurgence in Chinese demand, Baobab shares have raced ahead to 35.75p which values this company at £106 million. This is a stock that has now got far ahead of its fundamental value and I can reveal that last week well known bear raider Lucian Miers opened up a short. That is a good call which you should follow.
Earlier this month I advocated a purchase of National Grid (NG.) for dividend yield. This week the company published its interim management statement for the period 1 October 2012 to 28 January 2013. It seems that my reading of the runes were pretty much correct. Regulatory management is shown to be going according to plan and shows no obvious signs of not moving into an expected new dance like embrace of mutual understanding and agreement between the regulator and company for the years following 2013.
I commented previously on London and Australia-listed, Philippines-focused gold producer Medusa Mining (MML) earlier this month. Earlier this week the shares suffered a bit of a setback on the company’s publication of its quarterly activity report (to end December 2012) which has spooked some investors into selling. On balance that is, in my view, a mistake.
AIM-listed Sirius Minerals (SXX) has announced it has delivered application documents for the onshore mining and mine access infrastructure for its York potash project to the North York Moors National Park Authority. This news on what is a potentially significant development in the UK has helped shares in Sirius – which commenced 2010 at sub 5p and 2011 at sub 14p – slightly higher to a current 27.75p, capitalising the company at £373 million. The following reviews today’s announcement from the company and the investment proposition here…
AIM-listed, Russia producing miner Highland Gold (HGM) has published a calendar 2012 trading update which reads very well. There was an 18% increase in group wide production to a record 216,885 ounces of gold and gold equivalents, exceeding guidance estimates of 200,000-215,000 ounces. The shares have ticked up to 114.5p on the news capitalising the company at £372.5 million. I wrote positively on them, at 91p, shortly before Christmas so I am already partially vindicated. But this re-rating has a lot further to go.
On Christmas Eve I noted that there looked to be value in shares in main market listed Aquarius Platinum (AQP) at 55p. Earlier this month the shares hit more than 75p but currently trade at 62.25p, capitalising the company at £296 million, following the announcement today of production results for the quarter ended 31st December 2012. So is it time to bank gains and sell?
Shares in all of the Falklands oil plays are ahead today thanks to a presentation by Border’s & Southern (BOR) which seems to have excited a few folk although to me it seems to contain a lot of ifs and jam tomorrow. I remain bearish on that stock but even more so on Falklands Oil & Gas (FOGL) , shares in which are 3% ahead on the Borders hype at 32.5p. I have been a long time bear of this company and would regard this temporary spike as an ideal cue for shareholders to get out for reasons that I explain below.
Russian Oil Producer Ruspetro (RPO) has announced a partial debt for equity swap and refinancing of its remaining debts. This is good news. However before those who ignored my advice to sell at 83.5p on 4th January after an almost comical well after hours profits warning start to celebrate this company still faces serious issues. The shares have bounced back to 49.5p but while they are no longer a short I would still regard them as one to avoid.
AIM-listed provider of mobile, Software-as-a-Service and telecom software products and services Globo Plc (GBO) has today announced that it “has achieved a financial performance for 2012 ahead of market expectations” and that, having completed a “transformation into a truly international technology vendor in the hottest place in the technology market today”, it aims to continue doing so. With, on the back of the trading update, the shares currently more than 6% higher at 29.5p, capitalising the company at £100 million is it too late to get on board?
Earlier this week Afren plc (AFR), a FTSE-250 oil and gas exploration and production company which despite its size remains a darling of the Bulletin Boards, updated investors on its performance in 2012 and its outlook. This review helped the shares up to 152.5p although they have subsequently slipped back to 147p which capitalises the company at £1.595 billion. Chartists will note that 152p proved a resistance level ten months ago and failure to breach that level ( which had been support a ten months prior to that) saw the shares fall back to 100p. But I’d rather burn my West Ham season tickets and start supporting Spurs than become a Technical analyst and so I review the fundamental case.
Shares in UK online grocer and FTSE-250 constituent Ocado Group (OCDO) closed more than 6% higher, at 101p, yesterday on the back of news that the high-profile ex-Marks & Spencer boss Sir Stuart Rose is to take a Non-Executive Chairman role at the company. With this following a trading update from the company last week, the following is my take on the current investment proposition here…
Cape (CIU), the FTSE 250 constituent which provides essential, non-mechanical support services to the energy and mineral resources sectors had a pretty dreadful 2012. On 29th March its CEO Martin May stood down with immediate effect. Six months later we had a repeat announcement, this time it was the FD going. In between the company served up a dismal set of interim numbers,
Telecom Plus (TEP), now a FTSE-250 constituent, is a very successful past share recommendation from myself. I recommended the shares at 187.25p in January 2008 on t1ps.com, the site I founded in 2000 and ran until September when I left and set up the Nifty Fifty website. Prematurely, I banked gains at 691p in July 2011. The shares dipped below 600p that August but have since risen again, to currently trade at 975.5p, capitalising the company at more than £687 million. The following details my current view…
AIM-listed international online fashion retailer ASOS (ASC) has published a positive update on December trading – sending the shares up to £26.60, which capitalises it at more than £2.19 billion. The following reviews the trading announcement and current investment proposition from this company that great bear Evil Knievil has consistently shorted and consistently got wrong…
UK pub owner and operator and FTSE-250 constituent JD Wetherspoon (JDW) has today provided an update on current trading ahead of its results for the six months ending 27th January 2013, which are expected to be announced on 15th March. The share price has risen from a little over 370p in May to 518.5p at the close today but I am struggling to see why anyone should get that excited about the state of play.
London and Australia listed Philippines gold producer, Medusa Mining (MML) is a top recommendation from my past. I recommended the shares on t1ps.com, the site I founded in 2000 and left in September 2012 to establish the Nifty Fifty, at 49p in August 2008 and recommended selling at 426.5p in December 2010.
The observation about things being in the price is usually a prelude to the conclusion that a share price is well up with events; more than discounting prospects and one where a profit should be taken. On this occasion, in respect to that dullest of shares, the National Grid, (NG.) it means the opposite. Dull and boring, as my friend and former t1ps colleague Tom Winnifrith often says in relation to shares, is sexy. At my age I have long forgotten what he means by that but I think I get his general point and agree.
It was not a good Autumn for AIM listed Shanta Gold (SHG) but the last two RNS statements from the company demonstrate that it is both soundly financed and that, at last, it is delivering operationally. The shares have always had clear latent value it is just that investors have had a number of (utterly valid) reasons for not believing. But the times they are a changing.
The Christmas trading reports from the retailers do not make for pretty reading. There are some who simply cite consumer confidence (or lack of it) in austerity Britain. But I would suggest that there are far wider structural changes afoot, ones that make me wonder if some companies really have a raison d’etre at all going forward. If it did not exist already would anyone bother to establish Mothercare (MTC)? Somehow I rather doubt it. Certainly when it publishes its Christmas trading statement on Thursday it will be grim.
I always defer to Paul Scott on matters retail. He is the guru. He got Boohoo (BOO) right and I was wrong (before I turned volte face and was right). So if Paul Scott says he has bought 1% of Sosandar (SOS), as a fellow shareholder I am cheered.
I am rather disappointed in the management of the UK's leading independent review site AllAgents.co.uk - they have let us all down. They sought to raise £50,000 to allow them legal support against fascist lawyers letters from Purplebricks (PURP) which demanded bad reviews be taken down.
Each time you have a new chancellor you soon find yourself thinking that the one before who, hitherto you had viewed as the biggest poltroon ever to hold up a red box, was in fact a towering genius. Thus I am beginning to think that Osborne - who was utterly hopeless was a giant compared to Hammond. On how to try to buy the votes of young people with taxpayers cash yesterday he was awful. His thinking about the housing market is wrong from start to finish.
I am a bear of Uk Oil & Gas (UKOG) but here is a leading broker in a private email to his clients putting the bear case very eloquently indeed. Here is why you should sell your shares in the company best known for the now infamous Gatwick Gusher !
This is interesting. Are the glory days of Fevertree (FEVR) behind it? Is it time to call the top? This is the bear case as presented by a leading broker today. It is an interesting read...
Apologies for the lack of a bearcast yesterday, I was just feeling tired and hacked off with the world of work. So you can have two today. I start with a look at the markets covering Greka Drilling (GDL) and related party dog Green Dragon (GDG). Then it is onto Mothercare (MTC), BCA Marketplace (BCA), On Line (ONL) and finally in some detail Westminster Group (WSG) where I wonder if the curse of Tony Baldry is about to strike.
Given that I have closely followed the Serica Energy (SQZ) story here closely over the last few years, and in light of the news this week, I felt that I should give my current thoughts on it.
WARNING: THis podcast contains some bad language. In terms of the liar, James Longley I am talking about you though I sedem to have mixed you up with your partner in crime Charles Tatnall in the podcast. Though you two have a stable of dogs on the market including Papillion, Starnger and Plutus Powergen it is Fandango Holdings (FHP) about which I have questions today. Then I have a detailed look at the dire results from worthless Mosman Oil & Gas (MSM) before heading onto Indigovision (IND) and WYG (WYG).
I was uber bearish on Mothercare (MTC) in yesterday's bearcast and could easily see it go to zero as I explained in full. My confidence in that assessment is reinforced by comments made by Matt Earl, the Dark Destroyer who is the Mothercare specialist in the global shorting conspiracy.
Since we own some shares in Berkeley Energia (BKY) I hope that Daniel Major is right in his thesis. In this podcast hel discusses the long-term potential of uranium and why the industry needs higher prices to fill the supply gap. The short-term issues are that 75% of the industry remains near or below the cost of production. Companies currently can’t afford to replace their resource. Cameco has taken the lead in closing down one of the best mines saying that it’s cheaper to purchase uranium from the market. Cameco’s announcement was a major event for the uranium industry.
Fox Marble (FOX) has announced “an important new sales channel for the company into the United States” and further sales under a previously announced agreement to Turkey. Good news on the Turkey front this Thanksgiving..
Hello, Share Riflers. Having written recently on my occasional dabbles in momentum trading, I thought it only fair to mention a share I’m trading at the moment. This share is rocketing along this week.
An AGM statement from a self-styled supercapacitors and energy management systems “world leader” CAP-XX (CPX) commences “the company's order book is currently up 242% year on year because of the strong order intake for the Internet of Things” and also includes “royalty and license income continues to grow and financial year to date receipts from Murata have more than doubled year on year”. Sounds promising… and ooooh, the Internet of Things hey…
I should start this piece by making clear that I am a fan of Paul Scott. I think his coverage of the small-cap space is excellent, data-driven and based on years of experience. But his investment in Sosandar (SOS) is a punt too far. I’ve been tempted to comment on Sosandar for a while now but Paul’s Bulletin Board moron-esque attempt at justification yesterday has tipped me over the edge.
After the Illumina legal setback for Premaitha (NIPT) we suggested that the cost of that setback was very manageable – a maximum of less than £2 million is what we hear – and that the underlying business is doing very well. That view is reaffirmed by latest news.
A half-year report from Mothercare (MTC) includes “we are on track with our transformation plans for our business, with like-for-like sales in the UK growing 2.5% and gross margins up by 34 bps year on year, in the first half. Across the business, we continue to invest and make progress, developing the Mothercare brand into a digitally led, global specialist”. So why are the shares currently a further more than 16% lower, at circa 70p?...
A leading broker today sums up the bear case for Renewi (RWI). Er Renewis who? Well this used to be Shanks & Mckewan a good Scottish outfit in waste management. But then... over to the broker:
Search ShareProphets |
Stock market news |
Complete Coverage |
Recent Comments |