Hot share tips and all the big AIM exposes from the City's most-connected reporters
If devout Christian Julie Meyer MBE does not like FACT based articles about her and Ariadne Capital Limited ( now in administration) by City AM, The Evening Standard, The Times, ShareProphets ( an avalanche) and ex employees turned whistleblower such as John Galt posting on LinkedIn she could always send yet another fascist lawyers letter to them. But since all that has been written has been based on fact....
Leisure, retail and care sector professional business services group Christie (CTG) has updated including “second half trading has been stronger than the first-half, and the 2017 full year results are expected to represent a significant improvement on the previous year”. However, I note a current just over 100p share price compares to more than 150p in early 2016. Hmmm…
I’m not normally one for emotive comment but my “Big Short” thesis at Woodford Patient Capital Trust (WPCT) is playing out almost exactly as I anticipated, albeit more quickly than I imagined, and it is an absolute scandal, make no mistake. All shareholders should be seeking redress and recompense immediately. Let me explain.
Well it is not really a crash yet, whatever the fake news media say as they try to blame Brexit or Trump. But it could be. So why are shares falling and should you buy, sell or hold? All of this as well as some stock specific observations are made in this bearcast as I prepare to head to London to see my daughter portray Harold Wilson.
One of Warren Buffett’s favourite maxims is to be greedy when others are fearful and fearful when others are greedy.
Premaitha Health (NIPT) has announced that its IONA test has been approved by Brazil's regulatory authority, Agência Nacional de Vigilância Sanitária (ANVISA), for sale as an in vitro diagnostic test.
As we await today's NAV from, deep in the merde, Woodford Patient Capital Trust (WPCT) as well as possible confirmation its unquoted holdings have surged through the 80% limit as well as potentially news on how close hitis to breaching the bank limit of 20% gearing, it is worth reminding ourselves of one reason why it is in this mess - its high risk approach to leverage.
I know, I know, you have bigger matters to worry about with the current bout of stock market volatility impacting your wealth. It impacts mine too - especially the 6% fall of my largest holding Randgold Resources (RRS) after a full year results publication that saw record production, lower cash costs, fantastic grade, super sounding prospects... I could go on but regular readers know that I have an almost perma love-up with the FTSE-350's largest pure-play gold producer.
Writing on Accrol Group (ACRL) previously last month, business and management flux saw me remain sceptical. Now a Board Changes announcement…
Hello Share Mashers. After a lot of research and getting three-quarters of the way through a blistering piece on a firm which services other companies, I suddenly had a feeling that the shares would struggle to rise. I was unable to pin down creeping doubt, after my initial enthusiasm, but I abandoned the tip, anyway. Four hours work up the spout! But that’s the worth of this splendid website. We writers like to think we say stuff with real value and integrity. What's a few hours wasted, if we stand a better chance of making you some money? So instead I commend for your further attention a keep-fit enterprise.
As predicted here at the weekend Nasdaq listed Irish biotech Prothena (US:PRTA) is suffering a bloodbath today following the shock after hours resignation of its CMO on Friday. Shares in Purplebricks (PURP) are also crashing and that leaves the Woodford Patient Capital Trust (WPCT) in serious trouble - has it breached its banking limits yet?
In the wake of the recent fund raise by Obtala (OBT), the company's house broker VSA has slashed its price target from 36p to 25p but it is forecasting EPS of 1.6p for calendar 2018 and with massive asset backing, explains in a detailed note out today, why the shares will double from the current 12.625p mid. We own the shares and, for what it is worth, I agree with analyst Edward Hugo.
Secure payment and customer contact technology company Eckoh (ECK) is “very pleased with the recent progress we have made in the UK”, this including that it “has since interim results on November 22nd 2017 secured six sizeable UK contract wins across the payments, insurance, healthcare and mobile telecoms sectors - the latter being a contract with one of the UK's largest mobile network providers”. Significant growth ahoy then? Er…
If history is any guide, the good times are about to end for the U.S. stock market and it’s been one of the longest-running bull markets ever. Over nearly nine years, or 105 months, the S&P 500 has returned 368 percent (including dividends). That’s the second-longest bull market the U.S. has ever seen… just behind the nearly 9.5 year-long, or 113 months, bull market that started in 1990. You can see the S&P 500’s past bull markets in the table below… it shows the date they began, their overall return and how long each lasted. On average since 1926, bull markets have lasted for 54 months, and resulted in returns of 160 percent.
Does Lyin' Steve Sanderson of UK Oil & Gas (UKOG) know what month it is let alone what day of the week it is? I am only asking because of a statement he snuck out when all sane folks were not watching the screen, on December 27 regarding flow testing at Broadford Bridge. Remember that companies - especially those with stacks of death spiral loan notes to convert - hurry out good news and always delay bad news. So rewind to when you and I were focusing on mince pies, the man who specialises in porky pies stated:
Murgitroyd Group (MUR) has announced results for the six months ended 30th November 2017 including “pleased to report half year results in line with management expectations, with an increase in pre-tax profit of 13%”. Sounds good, but what was the comparative again?...
I note that for the first time the NAV of the Woodford Income Focus Fund (C Accumulation Units) has fallen below the 100p launch and that includes 3 reinvested dividends.
For reasons mainly to do with girls (well two of them) I have always been a Philadelphia Eagles fan. The last time they won a championship, Hurst, Peters and Moore were playing for West Ham - the two teams have a lot in common. Anyhow I stayed up late and for once fortune is not always hiding. Why did I get up? The market is a sea of red and I discuss that. I look at IQE (IQE) after chatting to Matt Earl, at Woodford Patient Capital Trust (WPCT), Inspirit (INSP) and at Shield Therapeutics (STX). Nomates Neil Woodford has not replied to my polite invitation of yesterday.
IQE (IQE) has, this morning, attempted to hit back at Matt Earl's devastating dossier published on Friday, HERE. The statement, crafted by evil and hugely expensive PR spinners FTI, naturally seeks to point out that Earl's Shadowfall fund is short so gains if the share price goes down. No doubt house broker Stifel which has earned millions from IQE will publish a bullish report later. Will IQE issue an RNS flagging up its COI? No. Earl himself has hit back at the hit back telling ShareProphets:
I have been taking a look through the FCA table of registered short positions, following my piece on Interserve of Friday. I don’t offer anything exhaustive, but the largest individual short positions interested me as they are as high as 5.42% of the capital. That’s quite a bet. Oh, and just as it happens, Neil Woodford features with two of them. They are also all stocks where we at ShareProphets have been bearish.
Nine share tips tips, defending Churchill, and not missing Nigel Wray. And much more...
As I write shares in AA Group (AA.) are down by 23% at 89p and you will never gbuess which high profile fund manager is a major holder, largely for the dividend income. Yup you got it, its Neil Woodford and yes the dividend is being slashed.
You may say that fundamentals don't matter on the AIM casino. In the short run you are right - sentiment drives share prices. But in due course fundamentals always out and that inherent valuation mismatch is your opportunity to buy cheap, unloved, stock or to short over-promoted crap. And that brings us to UK Oil & Gas (UKOG), now just 1.375p after yesterday's disastrous news from Broadford Bridge. So what is it really worth?
No I have not changed my mind. I am still a bear and stand by my target price of 0.4p but after chatting to a number of folks I try to see if there is a bull case. And I record this before setting off to the Greek Hovel which is my main focus of attention pro tem to prove to my friend and fellow Hammer, Thirsty David Bick that I am still alive, I hope that he takes up my invitation to come and watch the foul mouthed ladies of West Ham in action.
Once again Waseem Shakoor has been vindicated and those morons who ignored his sensible analysis and attacked him have done their conkers. Waseem stays short of UK Oil & Gas (UKOG) and his tweets over the past 24 hours ( starting with the most recent) explain why. I think his analysis of where next is very similar to mine of earlier. Over to the great man...
"I am tomorrow, or some future day, what I establish today. I am today what I established yesterday or some previous day." So said the great Irish author James Joyce. But the question for lackey Nomad James Joyce at WH Ireland is whether his client UK Oil & Gas (UKOG) has a tomorrow, has a future day at all? A statement is needed now to clarify the financial position of his client.
KEFI Minerals (KEFI) has updated that its “activities have been unaffected as regards its daily interface with the various government agencies and with the community at Tulu Kapi” following the Ethiopian Prime Minister’s recent resignation and the concurrently announced State of Emergency - and that it “believes its finance plans remain unaffected”…
Last October I talked positively about Lloyds Banking Group (LLOY) versus one of its challenger peers, noting:
Hat tip to Andrew Monk of VSA for spotting this paper from Hult Business School. It does give you food for thought. Certainly why would anyone invested in a heavily indebted business with bigg exposure to the carrying value of cars as we known them ( Northgate or BCA Marketplace for example) or the AA? Maybe Neil Woodford should read this and ponder before he buys any more shares in the AA or BCA?
Loyal readers will know that I, like Mr Woodford, love a quiz and with my favourite week of the year fast approaching, I thought I’d run a (simpler) quiz with a Cheltenham-related prize. There’s only two questions, so I’m hoping for more than one entrant this time!
Previously updating, we noted HaiKe Chemical Group (HAIK) potentially in the 'geong, geong' stage. There has since been developments - and what does the 'Filthy Forty' look like now?...
Previously writing on energy services company Flowgroup (FLOW) in December I concluded there looks much to do, including noting potential working capital support required. There’s now a Funding Facility and Related Party Transaction announcement…
Concepta (CPT) has always had a twin track model for rolling out MyLotus in China - direct to hospitals (B2B) and direct to individual punters (B2C). On the latter front we now have news.
Chocolatier and retailer, Hotel Chocolat (HOTC) has announced results for its half year ended 31st December 2017, including emphasising “another period of strong progress… with growth in both sales and profits” and “a strong differentiated brand which offers great products and customer service and that is priced as an affordable luxury, gives the board confidence in the group's continued progress”. So why have the shares responded lower, towards 300p?...
I previously wrote on touch sensors company Zytronic (ZYT) in December, concluding then that a circa 500p share price looked little, if any, better than fair enough. There is now an update on the first four months of its current financial year…
Hello Share Splurgers. The name Prairie Mining (PDZ) might give an impression that it’s a green company. Yet it deals in coal. But this coal is ideal for making coke, and from school days I think this is a cleaner alternative to the stuff we burned to keep the ‘frost flowers’ from the inside of our windows in the ‘fifties.
AIM-listed Milestone Group (MSG) has this morning posted the most awful set of results. Having been on the AIM Casino since 2003, the company clocked up losses of £2.26 million on revenues of a paltry £24,640. Retained losses stood at a jaw-dropping £33 million and the audit report (needless to say, missing from today’s RNS) contains, we are told, a material uncertainty paragraph. I should coco.
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