ShareProphets

Thursday 20 July 2017 The one stop source for free breaking news, expert analysis, and videos on AIM and LSE listed shares


17 July 2017, 10:02 | By Tom Winnifrith |

New Bulletin Board Moron of the week PRIZE contest sponsored by Disgraced share Ramper Roger Lawson

Today's the day that African Potash gets slung from the NEX markets or has the rules bent for them, so in normal circumstances it would sponsor this week's contest. But there is an even better sponsor, step forward disgraced share ramper Roger Lawson of ShareSoc infamy who will donate some of the Globo shares he owns as a prize.  Natch, Ramper Lawson sold most of his Globo shares before telling readers to sell, but he still has some left and even offered to help the management take the company forward.

12 July 2017, 10:36 | By ShareProphets |

8 tips, CEO interviews with Wishbone & Optibiotix & much more - The July edition of the UK Investor Show magazine is now live

The July edition of the UK Investor Show Magazine is live featuring eight share tips, a question of life after the Tories, a special book offer, CEO interviews with Optibiotix (OPTI) and Wishbone (WSBN) and much more.

 

16 January 2013, 13:35 | By Tom Winnifrith |

Medusa Mining: Is it time to buy again?

London and Australia listed Philippines gold producer, Medusa Mining (MML) is a top recommendation from my past. I recommended the shares on t1ps.com, the site I founded in 2000 and left in September 2012 to establish the Nifty Fifty, at 49p in August 2008 and recommended selling at 426.5p in December 2010. 

15 January 2013, 21:26 | By Robert Sutherland Smith |

National Grid: Buy for Yield at 687p

The observation about things being in the price is usually a prelude to the conclusion that a share price is well up with events; more than discounting prospects and one where a profit should be taken. On this occasion, in respect to that dullest of shares, the National Grid, (NG.) it means the opposite.  Dull and boring, as my friend and former t1ps colleague Tom Winnifrith often says in relation to shares, is sexy. At my age I have long forgotten what he means by that but I think I get his general point and agree.

15 January 2013, 13:33 | By Tom Winnifrith |

Shanta Gold – Getting There: Buy at 23p

It was not a good Autumn for AIM listed Shanta Gold (SHG) but the last two RNS statements from the company demonstrate that it is both soundly financed and that, at last, it is delivering operationally. The shares have always had clear latent value it is just that investors have had a number of (utterly valid) reasons for not believing. But the times they are a changing.

15 January 2013, 13:32 | By Tom Winnifrith |

Mothercare: No Raison d’etre - sell

The Christmas trading reports from the retailers do not make for pretty reading. There are some who simply cite consumer confidence (or lack of it) in austerity Britain. But I would suggest that there are far wider structural changes afoot, ones that make me wonder if some companies really have a raison d’etre at all going forward. If it did not exist already would anyone bother to establish Mothercare (MTC)? Somehow I rather doubt it. Certainly when it publishes its Christmas trading statement on Thursday it will be grim.

11 January 2013, 21:28 | By Robert Sutherland Smith |

GlaxoSmithKline: 5.3% historic yield sufficient to merit a buy

Medical matters are on my mind as I have the Norovirus. But it takes more than that to stop me writing about companies but naturally my mind turns to drugs. Well I was a young man in the sixties – the 1960s not the 1860s before you ask. Talking of ancient history, the market long ago abandoned the assumption that GlaxoSmithKline (GSK) would automatically build a pathway for shareholders to a starlight future of endless profits and earnings growth, by simply spending 15% of its sales revenue on R&D, and turning that into an approved blockbuster therapy every few years. In truth, costs rose and progress became more difficult – the return on R&D capital was not acceptable.

11 January 2013, 13:30 | By Tom Winnifrith |

IQE: Placing, Trading Statement and Aquisition all look very good

On January 10th IQE (IQE), the Wales based supplier of advanced semiconductor wafer products and services IQE announced a $75 million ($60 million on completion and $15 million payable on the third anniversary of completion) acquisition, a £16.5 million placing of new shares with institutional investors at 29p each and a 2012 trading statement.  Having tipped the stock at a 28.75p on this very website on November 19th -I am feeling rather smug 

11 January 2013, 01:24 | By Tom Winnifrith |

Pace Micro: Upbeat Trading statement but shares still cheap

FTSE-250 constituent Pace plc (PIC), a developer of technologies and products for PayTV and broadband, has today announced that, following a strong second half year performance, its “full year results are anticipated to be ahead of the board's previous guidance”. The shares have responded by trading approaching 5% higher at 202p, capitalising the company at £625 million. The following reviews the investment proposition here…

11 January 2013, 01:07 | By Tom Winnifrith |

Greggs: Poor Trading Update – Reiterate Sell at 444p

Yesterday Greggs (GRG), the leading bakery retailer in the UK with more than 1,670 retail outlets, released an update on trading for the Christmas and New Year period (5 weeks ended 5th January 2013) and for its 2012 financial year (52 weeks ended 29th December 2012). This included that the company anticipates that it “will report full year results broadly in line with expectations when we make our preliminary announcement on 13 March 2013”. However there were caveats and with concerns about the UK economy and consumer spending – particularly on the high street, the following is my take on the current outlook for this company…

10 January 2013, 01:21 | By Tom Winnifrith |

Centamin Publishes Record Q4 Results but that still leaves it as a sell

Centamin (CEY), the London and Canada listed gold miner operating in Egypt, has announced record quarterly gold production of 85,543 ounces for the period closing December 31st 2012 – taking full year production to 262,958 ounces, a 30% increase on 2011 and above guidance of 250,000 ounces. The shares have responded by currently trading just over 5.5p higher at 49.75p, capitalising the company at just under £550 million. The company emphasises the numbers as “particularly pleasing given the challenges faced during the year” but the announcement also makes clear that challenges remain. The following details my current view…

9 January 2013, 01:22 | By Tom Winnifrith |

Domino’s Pizza – Serving up a Tasty Trading Statement

Domino's Pizza (DOM), now a FTSE-250 constituent, has been a stellar recommendation from me historically during my 12 years at t1ps.com, but I am currently nervous about the UK economy and consumer spending outlook. Does that dim my faith?  

9 January 2013, 01:04 | By Steve Moore |

Blinx: KoldCast TV deal announced – Speculative Buy

AIM-listed blinkx plc (BLNX), which describes itself as “the world’s largest and most advanced video search engine” , has today announced a further partnership deal – this with KoldCast TV, an international television network of original entertainment programming.

9 January 2013, 01:02 | By Tom Winnifrith |

Dignity – Death is not a one way bet

AIM listed Funeral homes group Dignity (DTY) is one of those companies whose shares always look expensive, but then always seem to head higher. You always kick yourself for not buying the stock, after all we have an ageing population and so death ( like taxes) looks a sort of one way bet. As it happens, that is not the case. At a share price of £11.02 the company is now capitalised at £603 million. Is this justifiable?

7 January 2013, 01:00 | By Tom Winnifrith |

Wandisco – a 2014 PE of 103 but might still be cheap

Normally I would consider that a company that will be loss making unto, calendar 2014 but which at 493p trades on a 2014 PE of 103 would be a slam dunk sell. Wandisco (WAND) is just that company and it cannot be described as a tradition Benjamin Graham style value investment. But before Lucien Miers thinks about shorting the stock, I suggest that he reads on. This is not as simple as it sounds.

7 January 2013, 00:27 | By Tom Winnifrith |

Ruspetro: A shocking profits warning – what is fair value?

Ruspetro (RPO) has already served up a profits warning in 2013 and for its timing as much as its substance it is already in line to win an award for the biggest shock of the year.  The shares closed Friday at 83.5p, valuing the firm at £278.4 million but given that the release went live at 6.30 PM the stock will be hit hard on Monday. At what point should you buy if at all?

5 January 2013, 00:29 | By Tom Winnifrith |

Is Xcite Energy a speculative buy?

Shares in AIM and Canada-listed Xcite Energy (XEL) hit 395p in January 2011 as it reported on a successful “transformational well” drill on its flagship Bentley oil field in the UK Northern North Sea, 160 kilometres east of the Shetland Isles. However, market disappointment at a 10th May 2011 reserves report on Bentley saw the shares fall from 316.5p to close at 110p just seven weeks later. They hit a low of 67.5p in July 2012 and currently trade at 92.75p – capitalising the company at approaching £270 million. The stock is a darling of the Bulletin Boards. But is it good value?

4 January 2013, 22:16 | By Robert Sutherland Smith |

Barclays – Time to bank gains: The yield is too low

Because the yield is too low for a bank (in historic terms), Barclays Bank (BARC)shares are clearly viewed by the market as a ‘momentum’ stock; the elementary investment principle being, that because the shares are going up, buy some more? 

4 January 2013, 00:58 | By Tom Winnifrith |

Centamin: Is it exporting gold or not?

On 20th December fully listed gold miner Centamin (CEY) announced that “following the recently-announced export of gold and resumption of fuel supply, operations have now resumed at Sukari.” The market read this as meaning that output and cashflow generation was now back on track. The shares have thus rallied to 39.3p. But this morning, top broker Fox Davies has published a research report stating “We also understand that gold exports have again been suspended.” Well have they? A RNS statement from Centamin is called for pretty urgently. This is a critical matter but the answer does not matter but the episode reminds us of why the shares are a sell.

3 January 2013, 00:24 | By Tom Winnifrith |

Bellzone Mining: Good News & Hot sector but are the shares ahead of themselves?

Suddenly the price of Iron ore has picked up, spurred by a recovery in Chinese Demand. Iron ore stocks have responded with a number showing sharp gains in the past month. Among the winners is Anglesey Mining (AYM) but also Bellzone (BZM) which has assisted its cause with news on both of its projects in the West African country of Guinea. The Bellzone share price has pushed ahead by 3p to 16p over the past month valuing the company at £117 million but some brokers reckon that it could still double from mere. There is a bear case as well as a bull case.

2 January 2013, 00:22 | By Tom Winnifrith |

My 6th (of 7) tips of the year 2013: Buy Archipelago Resources at 60p

I promised you something for everyone in my 7 tips of the year 2013 and so I now bring you a profitable, cash generative gold producer with exploration upside. As a relatively low cost producer it will keep throwing off cash if the gold price does noting or even falls. At the current gold price it looks very cheap but if, as I expect, gold moves ahead sharply it is very cheap indeed.  My sixth tip of the year 2013 is Archipelago Resources (AR.) which, at 60p, is capitalised at £345 million. This is a stock where at $2000 gold you will double your money within a year.

1 January 2013, 00:14 | By Tom Winnifrith |

My 5th (of 7) tips of the year 2013: Buy Advanced Computer Software at 75.75

I promised you something for everyone in my 7 tips of the year 2013 and so I now bring you a profitable, very cash generative growth stock with strong defensive qualities and great ( largely contracted) earnings visibility which is very much a growth play. It is run by a bird who is the smartest cookie in tech and has a great track record over many years and although the shares may look highly rated they, in my opinion offer 54% upside on a one year view.

6 days ago | By Malcolm Stacey |

Why Legal & General's Graph Looks Like a Stairway to Heaven

Hello Share Turners. As I’ve mentioned before, I’m a fan of insurance companies. They seem to be the one arm of the financial industry which is really coming along. Firms like RSA (RSA), even with its massive PE ratio, and Admiral (ADM) are paddling forward nicely in the river of capital returns and juicy dividends.

6 days ago | By Tom Winnifrith, The Sheriff of AIM |

MySQUAR Limited – was brought to AIM and is audited by PKF Littlejohn – what could possibly go wrong?

In a brochure boasting of its (dis) services to the capital markets, auditor PKF Littlejohn proudly lists some of the clients it has helped bring to London’s capital markets (some of which it also audits). The roll call of shame includes:

6 days ago | By Tom Winnifrith, The Sheriff of AIM |

Nomad Cenkos put "on record" re the Mercantile Ports fraud - letter 6, about Mr Gandhi the chairman

When disgraced AIM casino posterboy Mercantile Ports & Logistics (MPL) moves from being a member of the minus 98% club in which it currently sits to being a member of the minus 100% club, I want it known that Nomad Cenkos has been fully aware of massive issues all along and has done nothing other than bank obscene fees. As such we have run a series of letters from a big shareholder to Amber Wood, head of Corporate Governance at Lagos Securities, HERE and HERE and HERE and HERE and HERE.  Now for letter six which puts fragrant Amber and Lagos, Nomad to the Quindell (QPP) fraud as well, on notice for when the final wipeout occurs that they will be held accountable. This letter has also been cc'd to AIM Regulation - I know they are useless but surely even they must realise that Lagos Securities has "form."

6 days ago | By Cynical Bear |

Challenger Acquisitions: Oh, oh, the wheel has finally stopped turning – could this be the end?

Not that Challenger Acquisitions (CHAL) has bothered with an RNS but the wheels are literally falling off here with disastrous news pertaining to its only real asset, the New York Wheel. If you haven’t got out already I suggest you do so now and save a few pennies while you can.

6 days ago | By Steve Moore |

DX Group – anticipates continuing challenging trading, CEO & FD ‘step down’

Having listed at 100p per share in February 2014 and currently suspended at sub 10p amidst reverse takeover discussions for John Menzies' Distribution division, parcels, mail and logistics group DX (DX.) has now announced “an update on trading, reorganisation of the business and board changes”

6 days ago | By Tom Winnifrith & Steve Moore |

Fox Marble , shares down on Beaufort appointment - unfair but the RNS is a lie from a brain dead PR firm

Shares in Fox Marble (FOX) fell by almost 10% to 8.25p-8.5p on the back of news that it had appointed Beaufort Securities, Belfort Secs to its legion of admirers, as the company's joint broker. The assumption is that Belfort, whose clients are mainly bucket shops, will be doing a discounted placing. that is not the case, Fox has enough cash to get it through to profitability but Belfort's reputation proceeds it. Fox has gone on the record to say there is no placing.

6 days ago | By ShareProphets |

Post half-year 2017 update: Top shorted London-listed shares

From the FCA's spreadsheet of short positions required to be disclosed to it, we previously updated at Easter the top shorted London-listed shares HERE. The following updates, showing those with a current reported short position of +7% (those in bold new entrants post the Easter update)...

6 days ago | By Tom Winnifrith |

Why the Federal Reserve is doomed to failure, and soon - and how to hedge against it

Jekyll Island is a real place, off the coast of Georgia, it marks the birthplace formation of the Federal Reserve System. In 1910 a group of wealthy bankers and industrialists met and formulated a plan to take over the money system. In this podcast G Edward Griffin discusses why - 104 years later - the Fed is doomed and will fail.

6 days ago | By Tom Winnifrith |

Plant Health Care- you confuse management greed with incentive

In theory share options are there to incentivise management. There is of course scant evidence that directors who are often grossly overpaid will actually work even harder/be less lazy because they get to have a one way bet on the share price. It may encourage actions that drive short term share spikes but is there a proven link between options and value creation? Er... no. What we we do know is that options are not cost free.

6 days ago | By Steve Moore |

InterQuest – management-buyout attempted robber barons extend offer again as still struggling on acceptances

The attempted robber barons of the InterQuest (ITQ) management buyout team (at Chisbridge Ltd) have made an “Update on Level of Acceptances and Offer Extension” announcement…

5 days ago | By Malcolm Stacey |

Its Big Unification Drive Could Crown Kingfisher as a Royal Share.

Hello Share Tickers. Shares in Kingfisher (KGF) have taken a pounding since the end of May. But the current share price of 295p, down from 368p then, may be worth more in my opinion. 

5 days ago | By ShareProphets |

Table of shorted AIM shares - week to 14/07/2017

From the FCA's spreadsheet of short positions required to be disclosed to it, the following shows the shorted AIM shares with positions from 2016 and thus far in 2017 (by net short position %) - and if this position has increased (red), reduced (green) or remained unchanged (black) since last week...

5 days ago | By Nigel Somerville, the Deputy Sheriff of AIM |

Stuttard’s Septic Seven July update: when will it be two?

Oh boy, it’s time to revisit Marcus Stuttard’s Septic Seven and we have yet another suspension. You will recall that this portfolio of seven diversified stocks from the AIM Casino was chosen for Mr Stuttard so that he might demonstrate his faith is his own regulatory setup at the world’s most successful growth market – but with the caveat that all the stocks selected had been Red Flagged but were still trading. In the week that the LSE washed its hands of any responsibility for fraud it is scores of the doors time, after not quite 10 months.

5 days ago | By Tom Winnifrith, The Sheriff of AIM |

African Potash - will the fraud be thrown off NEX on Monday or will the establishment bend the rules for Lord Hain of Sleaze?

To be thrown off one market because your adviser tired of signing off on lies is understandable, if you are a fucktard in AIM Regulation who does not care about fraud. But, to paraphrase my fellow Anglo Irishman Mr Wilde, to be thrown off two markets for that reason looks like carelessness. And that brings us to the fraud African Potash (AFPO).

5 days ago | By HotStockRockets |

Collagen Final Results - well telegraphed: BUY

What with all the trading statements and the placing at around the year end, results from Collagen (COS) were pretty well telegraphed. There were no surprises but the CEO statement is upbeat and that seems to have been overlooked.

5 days ago | By Tom Winnifrith |

Video: Gold, silver and precious metals - the primary trend is down

In this video from Jordan Roy Byrne, Palisade Capital covers Gold and Silver and where they could go over the very short and medium term. It also covers gold stocks which are trending lower slowly but remain in a massive multi-year bottoming process. Overall the picture is one that will make the bears not the bulls happy bunnies.

5 days ago | By Tom Winnifrith & Steve Moore |

Begbies Traynor – positive full-year results, a counter-cyclical buy

Begbies Traynor (BEG) has announced results for its year ended 30th April 2017 and that “we anticipate a growth in earnings in the new financial year”

19 July 2017, 12:46 | By Tom Winnifrith |

UK Oil & Gas - It is great fun to laugh at Lucian Miers but....remember Sound Energy

Lucian Miers advised shorting UK Oil & Gas (UKOG) and went short himself at c3.1p, boasting that twice before he had made a packet on the short tack with this perennial darling of the educationally sub-normal wing of the provisional private investor army. The shares are now 4.65p and the Bulletin Boards and the comments section on this website are full of posts by folks laughing at my old friend, the Bard of the Boleyn. So has East London's most feared short seller lost his marbles as well as a vast amount of dosh?

19 July 2017, 08:18 | By HotStockRockets |

Optibiotix - another day, another deal, O Hara confirms the ARM model - BUY

OptiBiotix (OPTI) has announced another sales deal. Like others it is small to start with but will build up and this grows more and more reminiscent of the early days of ARM. Check out the Steve O'Hara quote at the end of the release.

19 July 2017, 08:24 | By Tom Winnifrith, The Sheriff of AIM |

EXPLOSIVE: Nyota - here is the document that damns Peterhouse and Beaumont Cornish as not fit for purpose

Thanks to the Winnileaks service I am able to bring you a document that shows that Nomad Beaumont Cornish and broker Peterhouse have misled investors, costing mug punters tens of thousands of pounds and as such both firms should lose theoir license to practice.

19 July 2017, 12:45 | By Nigel Somerville & Tom Winnifrith |

Advanced Oncotherapy – Bracknor gone, new loan for £3.9m. Is all suddenly rosy in the garden? Er…

AGM day for AIM-listed Advanced Oncotherapy (AVO) and it has pulled something out of the hat. The shares have shot higher, death spiral outfit Bracknor is history and Advanced doesn’t look like going bust now for at least 4 months. But is the deal as good as believed? Er..no.

19 July 2017, 13:12 | By Tom Winnifrith |

See you in Court Bitchez Odd one out Contest - the result

We asked you a simple question HERE. Look at the mugshots of the dirty half dozen below and tell us the odd one out. For those who could not recognise the ugly sisters they were (top row first, left to right): Dodgy bubble Costis from Greek fraud Globo, disgraced share ramper Roger Lawson, the king of the fraudsters Rob Terry of Quindell, lyin' Chris Cleverley of African Potash, Peter Shea of Daniel Stewart and Jimmyliar Ellerton of Sefton infamy. So who is the odd one out? No-one got this one correct.

19 July 2017, 11:26 | By HotStockRockets |

Metal Tiger – Botswana progress, but much more expected soon:BUY

Metal Tiger (MTR) has updated on progress on the T3 MOD Resources (ASX:MOD) joint venture project in Botswana – including previously outstanding drill hole assay results and that next month “we anticipate being able to release an updated and enlarged, T3 Mineral Resource Estimate”

20 July 2017, 11:02 | By Tom Winnifrith |

House of Britannia in administration, liar Simon Petherick strikes again - Daily Mail to apologise?

Oh dear, Oh dear. As predicted here many times it has not ended well at House of Britannia, the company established by serial shyster Simon Petherick. An administrator was appointed on 29 June. Now for the roll call of fame.

20 July 2017, 08:50 | By Tom Winnifrith |

MySQUAR - are its claimed user numbers exaggerated?

On 16 January 2017 MySQUAR (MYSQ) claimed in an RNS that the number of registered users of its apps had exceeded 7.5 million. But was that actually true?

20 July 2017, 08:32 | By Tom Winnifrith, The Sheriff of AIM |

Milestone's Deborah White for the highjump? Shareholders demand her head

I have it well sourced that the leading shareholders in AIM Casino listed Milestone Group (MSG) have demanded the immediate resignation of its serially underperforming CEO Deborah White. And the demand is backed with menace.

19 July 2017, 15:56 | By Steve Moore |

Lombard Risk Management – AGM Statement commences ‘positive market for products’, so why are the shares leading fallers?

An AGM Statement from Lombard Risk Management (LRM) commences that “the company continues to see a positive market for its products with the landscape largely unchanged since we announced our 2017 full year results in May”. Yet the shares are leading fallers, currently down circa 15% at around 11p…

19 July 2017, 14:00 | By Steve Moore |

Hotel Chocolat – full-year trading update, revenue “slightly ahead of market expectations” but what about profit & cash?

“Trading Update” announcement from chocolatier and retailer, Hotel Chocolat (HOTC), which near the start includes revenue “slightly ahead of market expectations”. The shares are though currently slightly lower, at circa 335p. Hmmm...

20 July 2017, 08:08 | By Tom Winnifrith |

Major Autumn Rally Coming in Gold & Gold Stocks

We are seeing pretty classic gold action. Gold stocks are normally more volatile when compared to the regular markets. The U.S. system is currently very dysfunctional, nothing seems to get done, just like it was under Obama. Overall this will affect the psychology with the dollar. The Canadian dollar and gold charts look very similar since these are tied to natural resources. The Canadian dollar improvements in recent weeks have caused Canadian mining stocks to move up in US Dollar terms. We still need some sort of catalyst, an external event, some small drop in the markets to get things started. People are going to be surprised how quickly gold heads for the all-time high.

19 July 2017, 10:55 | By Steve Moore |

Eagle Eye Solutions – a “pleased to announce” trading update, so why are the shares lower?

SaaS digital promotions technology company Eagle Eye Solutions (EYE) “is pleased to announce” a trading update for its year ended 30th June 2017. The shares have though responded more than 3% lower, below 250p…

20 July 2017, 09:57 | By Chris Bailey |

Easyjet's big challenge: not Brexit but who's the new captain?

I really do commend to you the search capability on the ShareProphets website because it provides a great short-cut to who-said-what-when. It was last August when I last mentioned Easyjet (EZJ) and since then the stock has been volatile but positive. Ok, it certainly did take a bit longer than I thought AND there were a couple of sub 1000p/share diversions...but you know what it is like with these low-cost airlines: take-off is not always precisely on time...but you get there eventually.

19 July 2017, 08:11 | By Malcolm Stacey |

British Land Seems Undervalued and Might Be Worth Building On

Hello, Share Cinchers. It’s been a while since I last commended British Land (BLND) to you. I don’t regret that, though the share was falling at the time and has yet to really rebound. The company deals in what they are not making any more of and it owns it around the UK, including where it’s most costly: London.

20 July 2017, 08:01 | By Malcolm Stacey |

City of London Reaches Out to Far Flung Places to Reap Growing Profits

Hello Share Troggers. A share I’ve oft commended to you on this legendary website, and occasionally disparaged, has published a trading report for its year ended in June. And it tempts me to buy a few more shares.

20 July 2017, 15:49 | By Steve Moore |

Audioboom – interims, ‘ideally placed to be a leading player in next evolution of the internet’?

Audioboom (BOOM), which describes itself as “the leading spoken word audio on-demand platform”, has announced results for its half year ended 31st May 2017, with CEO Rob Proctor arguing “we are ideally placed to be a leading player in this next evolution of the internet”