Today's the day that African Potash gets slung from the NEX markets or has the rules bent for them, so in normal circumstances it would sponsor this week's contest. But there is an even better sponsor, step forward disgraced share ramper Roger Lawson of ShareSoc infamy who will donate some of the Globo shares he owns as a prize. Natch, Ramper Lawson sold most of his Globo shares before telling readers to sell, but he still has some left and even offered to help the management take the company forward.
The July edition of the UK Investor Show Magazine is live featuring eight share tips, a question of life after the Tories, a special book offer, CEO interviews with Optibiotix (OPTI) and Wishbone (WSBN) and much more.
FTSE 250 listed Domino’s Pizza (DOM) has announced its results for the 53 weeks to 30th December 2012 and there were no great surprises – what news there was seemed to be positive. As a core mid cap growth and income holding the company continues not to put a foot wron and at 525p the shares remain undervalued.
Today it was the turn of FTSE 250 listed Redrow (RDW) to report its numbers for the 6 months to 31st December 2012 and while some of the numbers look good, some do not and there is a solid case to be made for selling this stock notwithstanding the sharp increase in earnings just reported.
AVEVA Group plc (AVV), a FTSE 250 engineering software provider, has, like its index, enjoyed a good recent re-rating – the shares up from 465p 2009 lows and 1,430p at the start of 2012 to a present 2,300p – this capitalising the company at a current £1.57 billion. After a trading update at the end of last month, the following asks whether there remains value on offer here…
Vodafone (VOD) is at the cutting edge of the application of digital information technology which it supplies to a world of clamouring, fastidious consumer demand. The mobile phone is taking and increasing share of Internet communications business including data transmission, the latest commercial opportunity and phone company objective, from PC’s laptops and tablets. It is transformational; exciting stuff socially and economically.
It has been an eventful month for FTSE 250 listed Britvic (BVIC) the producer of soft and fizzy drinks. On the upside the company served up a pretty decent trading statement on the 13th February. On the downside, a day later, its proposed takeover of AG Barr was derailed by a reference to the Competition Commission. Amid all the drama and excitement around St Valentine’s day there sits at the centre a solid growth story which is undervalued by the market. There is a decent capital gain to be enjoyed here for the patient investor with the added attraction of a 4.2% yield.
Oxford Instruments (OXIG), a provider of high technology tools and systems for industry and research, was the first technology business to be spun out from Oxford University and is now a FTSE 250 constituent. It has become so as it has successfully innovated to become a leading provider of new generation tools and systems, with the shares having risen from little more than 100p in March 2009 to currently trade at 1,726p – capitalising the company at £982 million. Following a trading update earlier this month, the following reviews whether there remains value on offer here…
FTSE 250 listed, Housebuilder Barratt Developments (BDEV) issued an upbeat trading statement on 16th January covering the six months to 31st December and there is little doubt that the results out next week will contain no nasty surprises. The company has a forward order book equivalent to around four months of sales and as such there is no reason to expect any great change in trading in the second half. Yet with house prices now on a multiple of average wages seem only once before in living memory ( 2007) and with the normal catalyst for a house price correction ( a rise in interest rates) surely only a matter of time the current rating looks untenable.
January was a good month for FTSE 250 listed housebuilder Bovis (BVS) – an upbeat trading statement on the 18th was followed by news on the 30th that it had extended its £150 million debt facility for three more years. Not that it needs to borrow as it has net cash. However the shares have enjoyed a terrific run, from 400p last June to 674.5p, which values the firm at £897 million and the good news is more than discounted.
BAE Systems (BA.) the British aerospace and defence contractor was the subject of a pre-results assessment by myself last month which was not of the optimistic variety, produced its results for calendar 2012 on 21st February. It is to be congratulated on the speed at which it presented its numbers and on the optimistic presentation of the state of play. But my assessment is not changed and is, I think somewhat vindicated.
So that old fashioned (in scale) and very British (Yorkshire) non global business of supplying the 7% of the UK’s electricity has, as part of the price of converting half its highly efficient coal fired electricity generation capacity, to the generation of electric power from biomass - mainly imported, fast growing replaceable timber – is off the stock market's higher end dividend tariff. Before its results for last year to 31st December 2012, on a then share price of 609p, the published dividend yield for Drax (DRX) was 4.3%. That was then this is now.
Shares in EMIS Group (EMIS), a leading UK supplier of clinical software and related services to GP practices and other healthcare practitioners and a major software supplier to high street pharmacies, commenced 2013 at more than 900p but fell more than 16.5% (to 750p) on 24th January as the company reported “lower than planned revenues from the Australian defence contract, training and integrated care services. Group adjusted operating profit is expected to be marginally below analysts’ expectations, largely as a result of the accelerated staff and recruitment costs associated with the EMIS Web roll out and the slight revenue shortfalls highlighted above”. The shares have further declined since to trade at a current 650p, capitalising this AIM-listed company at £380.5 million. The following analyses whether this current, lower level represents value…
Phoenix IT Group (PNX), a fully-listed IT services company to UK enterprises, updated last week (13th February 2013) that it “currently believes the Group’s EBITDA for the year to 31 March 2013 will be around 10% below market expectations, but is encouraged by an improving order book and pipeline”. Having traded at more than 230p in 2012 and commenced 2013 at 184p, the shares presently trade at 157p, capitalising the company at £118.3 million. In light of the ‘improving order book and pipeline’, the following reviews whether there is value on offer here…
The share price of RBS (RBS) has headed due south since my bearish comments on the company last month. Reviewing the share in terms of its future dividend paying capacity in the light of recent history, I observed that in the different world and circumstance of 2007 ( when bank capital adequacy was seemingly almost inconsequential and some banks were running on low or dubious capital or both ) RBS had distributed only 30% of its earnings as dividends. That implied on a totally theoretical, best expectation 30% dividend payout from 36p of earnings per share, a dividend of 11..9p; translating into by way of academic exercise, into an annual yield of a mere 3.3%.
There are two things about energy supplier SSE Plc (it was until recently known as Scottish and Southern Electricity - which used to prompt thoughts of hairy highlanders incongruously tossing cables at a vicarage lawn tea party presided over by Miss Marples) which makes its shares a good dividend income play. But also, a share with some potential for long term capital appreciation relative to the FTSE 100 Index.
A report lands on my desk today from Edison Research on AIM Listed Gulfsands Petroleum (GPX) entitled “The road out of Damascus.” This report was commissioned by Gulfsands ( i.e. paid for) and so one would not expect a bearish conclusion. ‘tis always the way with research reports from commissioned firms ( like Edison or Hardman) or from a house broker - they want to say buy but sometimes just cannot do so. And so you get what is known as a “corporate hold” . i.e. sell. There is no recommendation on the report but with the shares at 111.75p it sets a risked valuation of the stock at 119p. I cannot see why anyone would buy a share for just 6% upside. Any sane investor would sell and switch into a stock with more upside.
Entertainment One (ETO), the London main market listed producer and distributor of film and television content, has updated that “full year earnings are anticipated to be in line with management’s expectations” on underlying revenue up 11% in the 10 month period to end January. The shares have risen from a 13.5p low hit in the depths of the markets 2009 despair to a current 188p. They did however trade above 200p in late 2011/early 2012 and, with a present market cap in excess of £500 million, the following offers my current take here…
A raft of announcements have been made by Sirius Minerals (SXX) today but amid the verbage the clear drift is not positive. The shares are off – at 25.25p – but the company is still valued at £339 million. That simply cannot be justified.I did suggest that holders at least top slice on January 31st at 27.75p as bulletin board frothed with excitement on news that the company had submitted a planning application for its Potash mine on the North York Moors – you can read that piece HERE
Bear raiders Lucian Miers and Evil Knievil are meeting for lunch today. I know, as I was invited but my liver is not up to it. However the main course should be humble pie. The bears predicted that Avanti would miss its targets at the interim stage. Moreover the results demonstrate very clearly that it is already more than two thirds of the way to hitting 2014 (not a misprint) numbers and that it continues to win business. The shares are a buy at 265p and could move sharply as the bears are squeezed. I sense that margin calls could well be served up at Evil towers today in time for pudding.
Telecom Plus (TEP), which trades as the Utility Warehouse and supplies a range of utility services (gas, electricity, fixed line telephony, mobile telephony and broadband internet) to both residential and business customers in the UK, has updated that a “continuing strong performance” means it remains “confident of reporting full year profits in line with current consensus market expectations”. The shares trade at 980p on the back of the announcement and are up from sub 300p on a three year view and from sub 650p on a one year view. With a market cap now of approaching £700 million, the following reviews whether there looks to remain value in the shares…
Shares in big data provider WANdisco (WAND) have raced ahead by 62.5p today on the back of a new product launch. For those who followed my advice to have a nibble at 493p on January 6th the reward is pretty clear. That WANdisco is making progress is without doubt but are we all getting a bit ahead of ourselves?
Lucian Miers advised shorting UK Oil & Gas (UKOG) and went short himself at c3.1p, boasting that twice before he had made a packet on the short tack with this perennial darling of the educationally sub-normal wing of the provisional private investor army. The shares are now 4.65p and the Bulletin Boards and the comments section on this website are full of posts by folks laughing at my old friend, the Bard of the Boleyn. So has East London's most feared short seller lost his marbles as well as a vast amount of dosh?
OptiBiotix (OPTI) has announced another sales deal. Like others it is small to start with but will build up and this grows more and more reminiscent of the early days of ARM. Check out the Steve O'Hara quote at the end of the release.
Thanks to the Winnileaks service I am able to bring you a document that shows that Nomad Beaumont Cornish and broker Peterhouse have misled investors, costing mug punters tens of thousands of pounds and as such both firms should lose theoir license to practice.
AGM day for AIM-listed Advanced Oncotherapy (AVO) and it has pulled something out of the hat. The shares have shot higher, death spiral outfit Bracknor is history and Advanced doesn’t look like going bust now for at least 4 months. But is the deal as good as believed? Er..no.
We asked you a simple question HERE. Look at the mugshots of the dirty half dozen below and tell us the odd one out. For those who could not recognise the ugly sisters they were (top row first, left to right): Dodgy bubble Costis from Greek fraud Globo, disgraced share ramper Roger Lawson, the king of the fraudsters Rob Terry of Quindell, lyin' Chris Cleverley of African Potash, Peter Shea of Daniel Stewart and Jimmyliar Ellerton of Sefton infamy. So who is the odd one out? No-one got this one correct.
Metal Tiger (MTR) has updated on progress on the T3 MOD Resources (ASX:MOD) joint venture project in Botswana – including previously outstanding drill hole assay results and that next month “we anticipate being able to release an updated and enlarged, T3 Mineral Resource Estimate”…
Oh dear, Oh dear. As predicted here many times it has not ended well at House of Britannia, the company established by serial shyster Simon Petherick. An administrator was appointed on 29 June. Now for the roll call of fame.
On 16 January 2017 MySQUAR (MYSQ) claimed in an RNS that the number of registered users of its apps had exceeded 7.5 million. But was that actually true?
I have it well sourced that the leading shareholders in AIM Casino listed Milestone Group (MSG) have demanded the immediate resignation of its serially underperforming CEO Deborah White. And the demand is backed with menace.
An AGM Statement from Lombard Risk Management (LRM) commences that “the company continues to see a positive market for its products with the landscape largely unchanged since we announced our 2017 full year results in May”. Yet the shares are leading fallers, currently down circa 15% at around 11p…
A “Trading Update” announcement from chocolatier and retailer, Hotel Chocolat (HOTC), which near the start includes revenue “slightly ahead of market expectations”. The shares are though currently slightly lower, at circa 335p. Hmmm...
We are seeing pretty classic gold action. Gold stocks are normally more volatile when compared to the regular markets. The U.S. system is currently very dysfunctional, nothing seems to get done, just like it was under Obama. Overall this will affect the psychology with the dollar. The Canadian dollar and gold charts look very similar since these are tied to natural resources. The Canadian dollar improvements in recent weeks have caused Canadian mining stocks to move up in US Dollar terms. We still need some sort of catalyst, an external event, some small drop in the markets to get things started. People are going to be surprised how quickly gold heads for the all-time high.
SaaS digital promotions technology company Eagle Eye Solutions (EYE) “is pleased to announce” a trading update for its year ended 30th June 2017. The shares have though responded more than 3% lower, below 250p…
I really do commend to you the search capability on the ShareProphets website because it provides a great short-cut to who-said-what-when. It was last August when I last mentioned Easyjet (EZJ) and since then the stock has been volatile but positive. Ok, it certainly did take a bit longer than I thought AND there were a couple of sub 1000p/share diversions...but you know what it is like with these low-cost airlines: take-off is not always precisely on time...but you get there eventually.
Hello, Share Cinchers. It’s been a while since I last commended British Land (BLND) to you. I don’t regret that, though the share was falling at the time and has yet to really rebound. The company deals in what they are not making any more of and it owns it around the UK, including where it’s most costly: London.
Hello Share Troggers. A share I’ve oft commended to you on this legendary website, and occasionally disparaged, has published a trading report for its year ended in June. And it tempts me to buy a few more shares.
Audioboom (BOOM), which describes itself as “the leading spoken word audio on-demand platform”, has announced results for its half year ended 31st May 2017, with CEO Rob Proctor arguing “we are ideally placed to be a leading player in this next evolution of the internet”…
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