ShareProphets

Saturday 19 August 2017 The one stop source for free breaking news, expert analysis, and videos on AIM and LSE listed shares


5 July 2013, 09:02 | By Staff Writer |

Innovation Group at 27.5p worth 38p claims Edison

The Innovation Group (TIG) published interim results the other day showing a strong improvement in profitability. According to commissioned researcher Edison subsequent deal flow across software and business process services (BPS) suggests the margin expansion trajectory is well set to continue and thus successful conversion of a strong pipeline, particularly in the US, should set the stage for significant further earnings growth. 

5 July 2013, 08:57 | By Tom Winnifrith |

Office2Office – buy for a 13% yield: you are kidding me right?

As you may remember, fully listed Office2Office (OFF) issued a dire profits warning earlier this week at 5.31 PM. Its shares duly collapsed the next day to 44p but it is not without friends. Commissioned research outfit GE&CR duly urged punters to buy the stock with a 104p target if only for a 13% yield. You are kidding me are you not?

5 July 2013, 08:36 | By Doc Holiday |

Buy Bowleven at 59.75p

In an exciting 2012, punters saw Bowleven (BLVN) shares reach a dizzy 102p. At a fundamental level the oil mid cap seems to have made strong progress yet the shares trade back at just 59.75p, valuing the company at £173 million. That seems largely a result of sectoral unpopularity and I reckon the shares are cheap.

4 July 2013, 19:20 | By Steve Moore |

Domino's Pizza - strong divergence in broker reaction to trading update

The 3rd July trading update for the quarter ended 30th June from Domino’s Pizza Group (DOM) has drawn a strong divergence of broker reaction...

4 July 2013, 16:51 | By Staff Writer |

Advanced Computer Software at 85p – Edison sees scope for a re-rating AND forecast upgrades

Vin Murria’s Advanced Computer Software (ASW) has released Full Year 2013 numbers which are good but, according to Edison Research, in a note published today, that is only half the story. It sees real upside in the shares. 

4 July 2013, 16:47 | By Tom Winnifrith |

Joke Announcement of the day – u308 Holdings which has just £53 cash and liabilities of £624,000 and is still listed!

U308 Holdings (U30P), a company set up and run by my old pal Conrad Windham provides today’s laugh of the day with a statement of pure comic brilliance. I refer to its half year results. Conman should give up on the resource stocks malarkey and do comedy for a living, this is sheer genius.

4 July 2013, 16:23 | By Staff Writer |

Range Resources at 2.84p – farm in deal – shares worth 22p says Fox Davies

Range Resources (RRL) has announced that it has increased its acreage in Trinidad by 280,000 acres by farming into Niko’s Guayaguayare   block which covers both onshore and offshore areas.  House broker Fox Davies says that the farm-in will “provide Range with vast exposure to both onshore and offshore potential and creates excellent synergy between Range’s three existing blocks and the Guayaguayare block”.

4 July 2013, 13:33 | By Steve Moore |

Enables IT Group - continues positive momentum with new contract win

Shares in AIM-listed IT services provider Enables IT Group plc (EIT) currently trade further higher today, at 42.5p, following an announcement of a £0.75 million contract win “from a worldwide private healthcare group” to design and build a strategic data centre in the UK. This is a material win in the context of...

4 July 2013, 09:08 | By Tom Winnifrith |

How do you turn £40 million $400 million and then into $100,000 – ask African Eagle

The story of AIM cesspit woe that is African Eagle (AFE) continued apace this week with news that all of its assets have been put into a company called Blackdown and that African is to sell 90% of that company for just $100,000. Actually it will not make that much from the sale but more on that later.

4 July 2013, 08:54 | By Tom Winnifrith |

I Ride Valiantly to the defence of Jim Ellerton of Sefton Resources

Do not all say it at once but I really am a very nice guy.  Jim’s company may be suing me for libel but how he pisses away shareholders cash on a case he cannot win is his problem. I write today in defence of Jim Bob. I am truly such a genuinely nice guy it amazes even me sometimes.

3 July 2013, 17:05 | By Staff Writer |

Gulf Keystone (at 145p) worth 249p-390p claims Edison

Paid for researcher Edison has published a detailed research report on Gulf Keystone (GKP) giving a crumb to the bears but a loaf to the bulls.

 

3 July 2013, 16:30 | By Tom Winnifrith |

Office2Office – Do you WANT people to think you are dodgy?

AIM listed Office2Office (OFF) served up a trading statement yesterday at 5.31 PM. Yes I missed it and so did many others and the shares have slumped by 45% today to 46p. Analysts at Panmure described the trading update as “dismal” and it is.

But why release it at 5.31 PM after the City has gone home?

3 July 2013, 13:39 | By Steve Moore |

Domino's Pizza - trading update, unsavoury taste from Germany

Shares in the FTSE-250 exclusive master franchise holder for Domino's pizza stores in the UK, Republic of Ireland, Germany and Switzerland, Domino's Pizza Group plc (DOM) currently trade approaching 7.5% lower, at 619.5p, today on the back of an update for the quarter ended 30th June 2013.

3 July 2013, 08:49 | By ShareProphets |

New Video: Leni Gas & Oil at the UK Investor Show 2013

David Lenigas, CEO of Leni Oil & Gas speaks at the UK Investor Show 2013.

3 July 2013, 08:32 | By Robert Sutherland Smith |

Intercontinental Hotels - a non value, value investment


As a value investment the InterContinental Hotel Group (IHG) looks hugely overpriced. Understanding the reasons for that and viewing the shares from a ‘momentum’ perspective the shares look attractive.  

3 July 2013, 08:11 | By Ben Turney |

Black Mountain Resources; Ho Ho Ho!!!!

In the latest of a series of headline grabbing announcements there was plenty for investors to get excited about as the company reported it was “extremely encouraged by further multiple high grade silver samples of up to 3,452g/t”.   The more you read on the better it sounded.   

3 July 2013, 05:48 | By Tom Winnifrith |

AIM shares in ISAs - misguided folly driven by City misinformation

There is great celebration in some quarters that AIM shares will be allowed in ISAs – that is all AIM listed shares not just those with a dual listing as was the case in the past. I do not share in these celebrations but regard what has happened as pure folly which will see a transfer of wealth from low and middle income savers to overpaid City folks and overpaid AIM directors.

2 July 2013, 19:30 | By Steve Moore |

K3 - profit warning aftermath, Edison updates

Following a warning last week from AIM-listed ‘enterprise resource planning’ software, hosting and managed services company K3 Business Technology (KBT) that “continuing order deferrals combined with the phasing of the software element of new wins mean that K3 will report revenue and pre-tax profits below current market forecasts”,  independent ( i.e. paid for) researcher Edison has updated its view on the company...

2 July 2013, 17:56 | By Steve Moore |

Avanti Communications - analysis ahead of year-end trading update

Firstly a declaration that I own some shares in this AIM-listed satellite operator as a speculative investment. Shares in Avanti Communications (AVN) performed very strongly in 2009 and 2010 – reaching 735p in December of the latter year. However, they have since disappointed and currently trade at 250p, capitalising the company at just under £280 million.

2 July 2013, 13:22 | By Steve Moore |

Kentz - half-year trading update, successfully riding out the commodities sector storm?

FTSE-250 international provider of engineering services to a blue-chip client base in the oil and gas, petrochemical and mining and metals sectors Kentz (KENZ) has updated that its operations worldwide have overall “performed in line with our expectations during the first half of 2013” and that it is “confident of achieving our target of delivering double digit earnings growth in 2013”.

19 minutes ago | By Tom Winnifrith |

Tom Winnifrith: Sign up now for new free share tip service FiveFreeShareTips.com

Following complaints from shamed share ramper Roger Lawson, ADVFN has insisted on a raft of new editorial controls on OneFreeShareTip.com. I did not re-start my life five years ago to be told what I could or could not write. I said no and ADVFN boss Clem Chambers has just said that the website will be shut down. So...our hand is forced ... Welcome to fivefreesharetips.com - we hope you join NOW HERE.

6 days ago | By Tom Winnifrith |

New Bulletin Board Moron of the Week contest - sponsored by the fund managers who knew so much better than the dirty plebs on Telit

Just three months ago some of Britain's top fund managers ploughed more than 50 million dollars into a placing organised by AIM dog Telit Communications despite numerous warnings from ourselves and others. But they knew better and anyhow it was other people's money. The shares have collapsed today to less than half the placing price after the most awful set of interims. But the fund managers will still earn Inter City salaries + ( more than 125) and fat bonuses so who cares? Are there any folks in the share world dumber than those fund managers? Er.... 

6 days ago | By Gary Newman |

Kaz Minerals offers a buying opportunity on this dip

Kaz Minerals (KAZ) is a great example of the extent that commodity prices can effect larger miners, and the recovery in copper prices has seen the share price trading at multiples of where it was just 18 months ago.

7 days ago | By Nigel Somerville, the Deputy Sheriff of AIM |

Tern announces two fundraisings – how do they compare?

After-hours yesterday AIM-listed Tern plc (TERN) announced two fundraisings – one via Primary Bid for its own coffers and the other a proposed offering via US broker US Capital Partners for its investee company Device Authority. Let’s compare the two.

7 days ago | By Tom Winnifrith, The Sheriff of AIM |

Telit Communications: what the bears saw, it's about the balance sheet stupid

After my earlier story about the covenant breach which is, I am increasingly sure, a smoking gun, I explore some trends shown by the financial statements of Telit Communications (TCM) that may have been some the red flags that resulted in hedge funds making Telit the most heavily shorted AIM company - this is all about the balance sheet. It also highlights why some type of fund raise, equity or debt, was almost inevitable in May - without it the lights would have been switched off by now.

6 days ago | By Tom Winnifrith, The Sheriff of AIM |

KERBOOM - THE FULL SHOCKING DOSSIER, New fraud revealed - This is why Telit is Globo Mk2 and why it is going to 0p

Over the past week I have shown that Telit Communications (TCM) is run by a man who fled fraud charges in the US but changed his name to avoid investors knowing, I have flagged up banking covenant breaches, red flag strewn interims and an Italian criminal investigation. But that was just an appetizer. Today I give you a full dossier with shocking NEW material, which shows this is Globo Mark 2. it is a fraud and its shares are going to zero.

6 days ago | By Tom Winnifrith |

Jubilee Platinum deal with Riverfort - death spirals so bad right? NO!

Jubilee Platinum (JLP) last week announced a $50 million funding package to grow its metals recovery business. Oh no Riverfort! Said the snipers. Death spirals, yak, yak, yak. They have it wrong. This deal is, if you read the detail, good news.

6 days ago | By Pizza HardMan Darren Atwater |

Notes from Underground: Here's a buy recommendation: invest in moped shares

London has a real table problem. At least the outdoor ones, and I don't see Mayor Sadiq Khan putting any effort into it.

6 days ago | By Tom Winnifrith, The Sheriff of AIM |

Emails sent to AIM Regulation & Nomad Finncap after today's Telit bombshell - this must be suspended 7 AM Monday

This is becoming Globo v2 at a an alarming rate. Today's bombshell dossier on Telit Communications (TCM) nails it as a slam dunk ZERO beyond all doubt. The only way that the shares do not completely crater in the morning is if they are suspended first. And that is exactly what should happen. As such I sent a couple of emails last night. One to tthe head of the Oxymorons Marcus Stuttard and his clueless colleagues, the Keystone Cops at AIM Regulation and the other to the folks at Nomad FinnCap from CEO Sam Smith via head of Corporate Finance Stuart Andrews down to analyst Lorne Daniel with a minor jackal in Corporate Finaance also included in case Andrews is too busy with his polo ponies to read emails on a Sunday. Enjoy!

6 days ago | By Tom Winnifrith, The Sheriff of AIM |

Want to Get your cash back on the Paragon Diamonds AIM Casino fraud & bust - legal case now imminent

Investors who have lost £900,000 on the Paragon Diamonds (PRG) fraud and bust are now lined up to sue the hapless Nomad ( Northland with QEs Gerry Beaney and David Hignell overseeing the shambles) as an update from class action litigation arranger Peter Petyt sent this morning, makes clear. However we need more folks who were conned to join the party URGENTLY and for two reasons:

6 days ago | By Tom Winnifrith, The Sheriff of AIM |

Telit Communications – Mr Fat Katz unusual remuneration arrangements

After today's complete bombshell which shows that Telit (TCM) is a Globo style fraud and thus utterly worthless what follows may be a tad academic. But, none the less, it is yet another Red Flag which we all should have noticed earlier. Reading through the 2016 annual report of Telit it is apparent that Mr Fat Katz, sorry Mr Oozi Cats, had two unusual remuneration arrangements. 

6 days ago | By Tom Winnifrith, The Sheriff of AIM |

Tom Winnifrith Bearcast Special - the culture of corporate lying as I say GOTCHA to Telit

Following today's bombshell there can be no doubt that Telit Communications (TCM) is toast. Companies that lie and deceive so industrially in the way I demonstrated earlier HERE will always end in tears.  In this podcast I look at the culture of corporate lying and wrongdoing and what it means for you as an investor. I look at rent boys at BP then at Quindell (QPP), Globo (GBO) and of course, in the main, at Telit

6 days ago | By Tom Winnifrith, The Sheriff of AIM |

Telit bombshell Part 2 - its Distributors are oft on a par with those of Globo

Earlier today I published a bombshell that demonstrated that Telit (TCM) was Globo v2 - that is to say a FRAUD heading for zero in short order.. One of the points that caused Globo to unravel within days were its bogus distributors. I covered that in some detail in Part 1 of this series but here in  part 2 I offer up some graphics to make my point. Distributors account for only 30% of claimed sales but if they are bogus then is anything genuine? It is game over for Telit, the Fat Lady is getting ready... Enjoy what follows...

5 days ago | By Malcolm Stacey |

Congratulations! - You're a Share Winner In the 68,000 Club

Hello, Share Jigglers. The stats show that more than 68,000 different people logged onto this magnificent website last week. Darren Atwater, who recorded this amazing count is too modest to comment. So allow me to note that 68,000 is the equivalent of the entire population of a very big town.

6 days ago | By Nigel Somerville |

Ariana – gold price, production news and share price

After my mea culpa of June 20th we have had further news. It has taken a bit of time to digest, but overall it looks positive to me, if rather laced with jam-tomorrow. With the share price finally off its low point of just 1.25p, let’s look through the detail.

6 days ago | By Evil Banksta |

Obtala: When is an equity Issue not an equity issue?

When the cash still hasn’t arrived! Tom Winnifrith gets upset (see) when I write negative comments about Obtala (OBT) and so I’ve kept quiet for a while, but there comes a point when you just have to ask the question: WTF is going on? Since Tom believes in free speech (as well as Obtala) he - as ever - allows me to write here.

5 days ago | By David Scott |

Because it is easy - Kennedy on Space, the World today on debt-binging

In a world in which "we do these things because they're easy", the outcome will eventually be very difficult and painful. On September 12, 1962, President John F. Kennedy gave a famous speech announcing the national goal of going to the moon by the end of the decade.  In a memorable line, Kennedy said we would pursue the many elements of the space program "not because they are easy, but because they are hard.Both nationally and internationally the overriding economic philosophy is currently "we do these things because they're easy" and relying on debt to pay today's expenses is at the top of the list. What's easier than using a line of credit to buy whatever you want or need? Nothing's easier than borrowing money, especially at super-low rates of interest.

19 August 2017, 11:11 | By Tom Winnifrith |

Tom Winnifrith: Sign up now for new free share tip service FiveFreeShareTips.com

Following complaints from shamed share ramper Roger Lawson, ADVFN has insisted on a raft of new editorial controls on OneFreeShareTip.com. I did not re-start my life five years ago to be told what I could or could not write. I said no and ADVFN boss Clem Chambers has just said that the website will be shut down. So...our hand is forced ... Welcome to fivefreesharetips.com - we hope you join NOW HERE.

19 August 2017, 11:11 | By Pizza Hardman & Hackney Marxist Darren Atwater |

New Bulletin Board Moron of the Week contest - sponsored by some scooter courier shop in Vietnam, #1 distributer for Telit

As seen here, Telit's (TCM) distributers are a, um, diverse lot, including a distributer in Vietnam that appears to be a scooter courier firm. Which is nice, and thank you for sponsoring this week's Bulletin Board Moron search.

18 August 2017, 14:35 | By Tom Winnifrith, The Sheriff of AIM |

Tom Winnifrith Bearcast: Oozi Cats and the FBI & why Telit could well be tits up within weeks

The failure of the LSE to insist that hapless Nomad FinnCap forces Telit (TCM) to bring in a firm like KPMG to conduct a full forensic review will hurt it even more when this company goes tits up as I noted in a letter to Stock Exchange boss Donald Brydon earlier today HERE.  Two sources tell me that the FBI may have bad news for the Boston fraudster Oozi Cats and his Mrs as I explain in this podcast. But the meat of the podcast is explaining why Telit will go tits up and why that could be within six weeks. Enjoy.

18 August 2017, 08:11 | By Tom Winnifrith, The Sheriff of AIM |

A letter to the chairman of the London Stock Exchange - why no independent review of the Telit fraud?

You may remember that at the last AGM of the London Stock Exchange (LSE) its chairman,, Donald Brydon CBE, 'fessed up to being a ShareProphets reader and as we chatted afterwards he came over as a thoroughly decent man. But he has, yet again, been failed by his minions in their handling of the biggest AIM fraud of the year, so far, Telit (TCM). Lowly gofers such as the head of AIM Regulation, the fake Sheriff Mr Marcus Stuttad,  have allowed Telit to avoid any independent scrutiny of its accounts & business practices despite clear evidence of fraud. That has to change and maybe Brydon will push for that. I have sent him a letter.

18 August 2017, 09:24 | By Tom Winnifrith |

Does Neil Woodford really deserve a halo - is Circassia the biggest dog in his funds?

If you read the bent, freebie is our middle name, personal financie columnists in the deadwood press, fund manager Neil Woodford walks on water. I disagree and have noted before, that, maybe, after three dismal years, others are starting to see the light.  But, with assistance from a leading broker, how about we have a real look at the Woodford Patient Capital Trust (WPCT) but also at the sort of dogs Neil ifalls in love with.

17 August 2017, 14:59 | By Tom Winnifrith |

Obtala - shares to more than double: broker VSA: we publish the note

VSA is house broker to Obtala (OBT) so is not impartial. Neither am I as we own a small number of shares following a Dragon's Den pitch as the 2017 UK Investor Show. But the price target suggests real upside and VSA's research team is well regarded and since we happily published an uber-negative piece from Evil Banksta the other day, this offers some balance. VSA has tweaked its forecasts

18 August 2017, 14:46 | By Tom Winnifrith |

Reader Comment of the day - Drunken Sailor unearths local issues for Bushveld

You may remember that ShareProphets poster Drunken Sailor and I were co-defendants in a libel case a couple of years ago ( which we won). Mr sailor is not a drunk and he is a great sleuth when he wants to be. My pressing concerns about uber ramped Bushveld Minerals (BMN) are its balance sheet, but DS has unearthed another major issue which, for some reason, Bushveld has not covered in an RNS. Perhaps it might do so now? Drunken's post merits a wider audience:

18 August 2017, 11:24 | By Cynical Bear |

PCG Entertainment – Lots to like about this funding deal other than…….WHY??

Like Richard Poulden, CEO of PCG Entertainment (PCGE), I have a bit of time for Brian Kinane at Riverfort. As someone who believes in transparency and clear communication, my view is that Brian is trying to bring some of that to the world of small cap funding, particularly where the dreaded phrase “ death spiral” is concerned and there’s a few points here to be applauded. It still doesn’t prevent the obvious question being aimed at Mr Poulden though – WHY RAISE MORE FUNDS NOW?

18 August 2017, 09:14 | By Tom Winnifrith |

Kennedy Ventures - Giving 3.98% of the company to the CEO does have a cost

Some folks think that handing out share options to senior staff is a cost free exercise and b) benefits all shareholders as it incentivizes the board and also aligns their interests with those of stockholders. Bollocks on all counts.

18 August 2017, 14:05 | By Steve Moore |

SRT Marine Systems – order “for the world's biggest single deployment of AIS AtoN”. Wow… Or not…

Following the postponement of a significant contract announced at the end of last month, SRT Marine Systems (SRT) has now announced an “AIS Aids to Navigation Contract”, including that “the order is for the world's biggest single deployment of AIS AtoN”. The world's biggest hey, sounds impressive!…

17 August 2017, 14:03 | By Steve Moore |

Idox – acquisition aids a rating which is “highly attractive”… Or is it?

Having reached more than 75p in May, shares in information management technology and services company Idox (IDOX) declined below 60p early last month before recovering above 65p - then declining towards 60p again. The company is now “pleased to announce that it has acquired… Halarose, a supplier of electoral back office software and services to UK local authorities, for £5.0 million, comprising £3.5 million in cash and £1.5 million in shares” (at 61.5p)…

18 August 2017, 08:08 | By Malcolm Stacey |

Looking for a Possibly Safer Airline Venture? - Well, this Fleet's In

Hello Share Grafters. The congestion in most of our airports will give you the heads-up that air travel is booming. It will continue to do so, especially as more people from developing countries become middle class. But you may still be wary of big airlines.

18 August 2017, 14:59 | By Nigel Somerville, the Deputy Sheriff of AIM |

Advanced Oncotherapy – how’s the cash position? Still a stonking SELL.

After a stack of RNSs earlier this year, it has all gone quiet at AIM-listed Advanced Oncotherapy (AVO) since the announcement of the termination of the Bracknor death-spiral. How’s the cash position?

17 August 2017, 16:05 | By Steve Moore |

Capital Drilling – half-year results include “broadened” uplift in activity, so why are the shares lower still?

Drilling services company Capital Drilling (CAPD) has announced results for the first half of 2017, including that an initial uplift in activity has broadened with an improving outlook in industrial metals and capital markets activities support. Why then are the shares further lower, below 40p, having been above 60p earlier this year?...

19 August 2017, 07:56 | By Steve Moore |

Table of shorted AIM shares - week to 18/08/2017

From the FCA's spreadsheet of short positions required to be disclosed to it, the following shows the shorted AIM shares with positions from 2016 and thus far in 2017 (by net short position %) - and if this position has increased (red), reduced (green) or remained unchanged (black) since last week...

19 August 2017, 07:32 | By Tom Winnifrith, The Sheriff of AIM |

Telit Communications – how much of a cash guzzler is GainSpan?

In the piss poor results for the six months to 30 June 2017, Telit (TCM) highlighted that it had purchased GainSpan and provided the following rather limited commentary on its contribution to the interim results: