Saturday 19 August 2017 The one stop source for free breaking news, expert analysis, and videos on AIM and LSE listed shares

11 July 2013, 07:11 | By Tom Winnifrith |

Evil Knievil goes short of Cyan

I can reveal exclusively that infamous bear raider Evil Knievil has opened up a short in Cyan Holdings (CYAN) at 0.35p. Knievil’s old adage is “the best time to kick a man is when he is down” and Cyan is certainly down, if not yet out, following its (lack of) profits warning earlier this week.

10 July 2013, 18:10 | By Steve Moore |

Avanti Communications - a pissed off shareholder writes...

In a piece last week (see HERE) on AIM-listed satellite operator Avanti Communications (AVN) – in which I own some shares as a speculative investment – I noted that if the company is able to fill capacity on its satellites as planned discounted cash flow valuations suggested a multiple of the prevailing share price but that its trajectory as a still emerging company was unlikely to be smooth from here. This followed some commentary on the company which had strongly focused on the lack of an Interim Management Statement in May as there was one in May 2012 – though the company had since updated that a year-end trading statement would be forthcoming. This has now been published…

10 July 2013, 16:43 | By Steve Moore |

Restore plc - half-year trading update

I previously commented on AIM-listed, UK-focused, physical document management and office relocation business Restore plc (RST) as it saw its market cap move above £100 million on the back of a May AGM trading update – see HERE. On no news the shares subsequently drifted back from their then 136p to close at 117.5p yesterday, though they are currently up to 121.5p today on the back of a trading update for the six months ended 30th June 2013.

10 July 2013, 15:44 | By Robert Sutherland Smith |

Diageo: a share that looks ten percent overbought

With Sterling heading south (down nearly 10% since January) to a dollar exchange rate of 1.49 (last seen) this is surely the time to be buying a big successful UK company like Diageo (DGE) which as its carefully fashioned name implies, girdles the earth. With plenty of non-sterling earnings, it doesn’t need to do much to increase sterling denominated earnings. It is in short a classic sterling hedge.

10 July 2013, 15:20 | By Tom Winnifrith |

EU Grants to listed companies – picking losers with your cash ( reverse Midas touch)

All Governments across the globe have an appalling track record when it comes to picking stockmarket losers when it comes to handing out grants and loans. Ask President Obama about Solara? Remember John De Lorean?  And with the EU unable to get its own accounts signed off without qualification you would expect that it would be the worst stock picker of the lot.  You would expect correctly.

10 July 2013, 14:29 | By Steve Moore |

The Mission Marketing Group - is a profit warning an appropriate time to try to amuse?

AIM-listed, UK marketing communications and advertising group Mission Marketing (TMMG) has a penchant for the eccentric in terms of word choices in its company announcements – for example, noting in its last results statement “call us quakebuttocks if you will, but our focus will remain on debt management, expertise enhancement and concinnity”, the one before that; (we) remain, barring undue gallifragging, optimistic for the future and the outturn for this year and beyond” and the one prior to that; “we are predicting an exciting year for the missiontm, if not quite a lollapalooza”. However, today’s eccentricity is unlikely to generate any amusement in shareholders – with the shares currently trading more than 13% lower at 22.75p.

10 July 2013, 13:39 | By TomWinnifrith |

Bullabulling – VSA note – this company is worthless even at a $1400 gold price

Broker VSA initiated its coverage of dual listed hole in the ground wannabee gold miner Bullabulling Gold (BLG) at 7.15p with a speculative buy stance last October. With the shares at 1.875p the unrepentant broker’s stance is unchanged.

10 July 2013, 12:53 | By Tom Winnifrith |

Avanti Communications is NOT investment grade material says Evil Knievil

Bear raider Evil Knievil ( Simon Cawkwell) has been short of Avanti Communications (AVN) a good while and after today’s profits warning he says that he remains short, telling me that “Avanti is simply not investment grade material.” Cawkwell says that Avanti may turn the corner but equally it could disappear altogether. He says that he has no intention of closing his short.

10 July 2013, 12:08 | By Brokerman Daniel |

Falcon Oil & Gas (David) V Hess (Goliath)

One of the great truths of investing is that just when you think you know what’s going to happen the complete reverse happens. I was fully expecting Hess Australia to elect to commit to drilling the 5 wells required to earn their interest in the Beetaloo permits by the agreed deadline of 28th June last month. So I was as surprised as every one else that the deal never went through. Falcon  oil & Gas (FOG)had previously granted Hess an extension from August 2012 to June 2013.

10 July 2013, 10:38 | By Ross Norman |

More Inflation and Rising Physical Demand Expectations Cheer Gold

After dropping 23 percent in Q2, the U.S. Comex gold futures have rebounded 1.81 percent so far in July. The Dollar Index is marching towards the 85 handle, after falling 0.29 percent last month. The S&P 500 index suffered its first monthly loss since October 2012 in June, but has rebounded 2.87 percent in July.

10 July 2013, 09:53 | By Doc Holiday |

Buy Ferrexpo at 155p – target 240p

Ferrexpo (FXPO) was the star of the FTSE 350 yesterday announcing an 11.4% YOY increase for Q1 in iron ore pellet production helped by the start of output from its FYM operation. It is now ramping up rapidly so that it can produce 859,000 tonnes of Iron ore pellets.  Are the shares still a buying having jumped to 155p?

10 July 2013, 07:44 | By Tom Winnifrith |

Sefton Resources – Kansas Part 1: surely not another misleading statement?

I ask you to cast your mind back to November 2012. The 15th to be exact. It was when AIM listed Sefton Resources (SER) announced the acquisition of new oil operating assets in Kansas. It was all terribly exciting stuff.

9 July 2013, 18:04 | By Tom Winnifrith |

Sprott: Silver… Light at the End of the Tunnel?

This article by two employees of Eric Sprott, the guru of gold and ( especially) silver stocks has just appeared and is fascinating, if a tad conspiratorial in tone. It reads…

Silver’s year-to-date performance has been the worst among all commodities, falling 35% from January to June 30th this year. It’s been a rough ride for those who have held on, but recent news should give silver investors a reason for some renewed optimism.

9 July 2013, 17:03 | By Tom Winnifrith |

Ariana at 1p worth 5.51p says Edison? You sure fellows?

Do not get me wrong – I like Ariana (AAU) and think that the stock is cheap at 1p but the latest research from paid for researcher Edison is, er….complete crap.

9 July 2013, 16:55 | By Tom Winnifrith |

Centamin Q2 Numbers good but the bulls remain in dreamland

Centamin (CEY), the gold miner operating in the delightful peaceful paradise on earth that is Egypt has today announced Q2 production numbers. As a bear of this stock since last summer when Egypt headed down the Islamofascist route it would be churlish of me not to admit that the numbers are not excellent. They are superb. But with respect that is not the point.

9 July 2013, 16:49 | By Staff Writer |

EMED – Fox Davies Increases valuation – now sees almost 300% upside at 6p

Fox Davies has today adjusted its metals price and currency forecasts. In most cases the broker has slashed its forecasts but for copper there is a small upwards revision and this – plus changes to its Euro forecasts (down) is good news for Spain based wannabee copper miner EMED.

9 July 2013, 16:45 | By Steve Moore |

Hydrogen Group - half-year trading update a useful prompt for recruitment sector investors

AIM-listed specialist recruitment group Hydrogen (HYDG) has updated of “continuing uncertainty in recruitment markets”. The company reported 2012 revenue of £167 million and its update suggests investors with an interest in the sector may be well served reviewing how well the companies they are invested in are positioned for the operating environment Hydrogen reports... 

9 July 2013, 16:44 | By Staff Writer |

Top resource broker Fox Davies slashes Metals Price forecasts (big call)

Top broker Fox Davies has today slashed its forecasts not only for gold and silver but for the base metals as well. This is not just a reaction to recent tumbles. It is not just 2013 numbers that have suffered cuts of up to 20% but also forecasts as far out as 2016.

9 July 2013, 14:41 | By Doc Holiday |

Orogen Gold – a binary bet?

Orogen Gold (ORE) announced on 4th July 2013 '' Trenching at Gindusa West - very high gold grades '' what does this mean to Orogen gold and what has happened to the share price?  The stock now trades at just 0.25p valuing Orogen at £5.7 million – less than a year ago the shares were trading at 0.73p

9 July 2013, 13:56 | By Lucian Miers |

AFC Energy is a sell

Shares in AFC Energy (AFC) have performed well of late, more than doubling since Roman Abramovich’s vehicle Ervington Investments acquired 15% of the company last October for the price of an ageing midfielder (£8.7 million). The shares trade at 38.75p today down from a recent high of 50p to give a market cap of around £90 million

19 minutes ago | By Tom Winnifrith |

Tom Winnifrith: Sign up now for new free share tip service

Following complaints from shamed share ramper Roger Lawson, ADVFN has insisted on a raft of new editorial controls on I did not re-start my life five years ago to be told what I could or could not write. I said no and ADVFN boss Clem Chambers has just said that the website will be shut down. So...our hand is forced ... Welcome to - we hope you join NOW HERE.

6 days ago | By Tom Winnifrith |

New Bulletin Board Moron of the Week contest - sponsored by the fund managers who knew so much better than the dirty plebs on Telit

Just three months ago some of Britain's top fund managers ploughed more than 50 million dollars into a placing organised by AIM dog Telit Communications despite numerous warnings from ourselves and others. But they knew better and anyhow it was other people's money. The shares have collapsed today to less than half the placing price after the most awful set of interims. But the fund managers will still earn Inter City salaries + ( more than 125) and fat bonuses so who cares? Are there any folks in the share world dumber than those fund managers? Er.... 

6 days ago | By Gary Newman |

Kaz Minerals offers a buying opportunity on this dip

Kaz Minerals (KAZ) is a great example of the extent that commodity prices can effect larger miners, and the recovery in copper prices has seen the share price trading at multiples of where it was just 18 months ago.

7 days ago | By Nigel Somerville, the Deputy Sheriff of AIM |

Tern announces two fundraisings – how do they compare?

After-hours yesterday AIM-listed Tern plc (TERN) announced two fundraisings – one via Primary Bid for its own coffers and the other a proposed offering via US broker US Capital Partners for its investee company Device Authority. Let’s compare the two.

7 days ago | By Tom Winnifrith, The Sheriff of AIM |

Telit Communications: what the bears saw, it's about the balance sheet stupid

After my earlier story about the covenant breach which is, I am increasingly sure, a smoking gun, I explore some trends shown by the financial statements of Telit Communications (TCM) that may have been some the red flags that resulted in hedge funds making Telit the most heavily shorted AIM company - this is all about the balance sheet. It also highlights why some type of fund raise, equity or debt, was almost inevitable in May - without it the lights would have been switched off by now.

6 days ago | By Tom Winnifrith, The Sheriff of AIM |

KERBOOM - THE FULL SHOCKING DOSSIER, New fraud revealed - This is why Telit is Globo Mk2 and why it is going to 0p

Over the past week I have shown that Telit Communications (TCM) is run by a man who fled fraud charges in the US but changed his name to avoid investors knowing, I have flagged up banking covenant breaches, red flag strewn interims and an Italian criminal investigation. But that was just an appetizer. Today I give you a full dossier with shocking NEW material, which shows this is Globo Mark 2. it is a fraud and its shares are going to zero.

6 days ago | By Tom Winnifrith |

Jubilee Platinum deal with Riverfort - death spirals so bad right? NO!

Jubilee Platinum (JLP) last week announced a $50 million funding package to grow its metals recovery business. Oh no Riverfort! Said the snipers. Death spirals, yak, yak, yak. They have it wrong. This deal is, if you read the detail, good news.

6 days ago | By Pizza HardMan Darren Atwater |

Notes from Underground: Here's a buy recommendation: invest in moped shares

London has a real table problem. At least the outdoor ones, and I don't see Mayor Sadiq Khan putting any effort into it.

6 days ago | By Tom Winnifrith, The Sheriff of AIM |

Emails sent to AIM Regulation & Nomad Finncap after today's Telit bombshell - this must be suspended 7 AM Monday

This is becoming Globo v2 at a an alarming rate. Today's bombshell dossier on Telit Communications (TCM) nails it as a slam dunk ZERO beyond all doubt. The only way that the shares do not completely crater in the morning is if they are suspended first. And that is exactly what should happen. As such I sent a couple of emails last night. One to tthe head of the Oxymorons Marcus Stuttard and his clueless colleagues, the Keystone Cops at AIM Regulation and the other to the folks at Nomad FinnCap from CEO Sam Smith via head of Corporate Finance Stuart Andrews down to analyst Lorne Daniel with a minor jackal in Corporate Finaance also included in case Andrews is too busy with his polo ponies to read emails on a Sunday. Enjoy!

6 days ago | By Tom Winnifrith, The Sheriff of AIM |

Want to Get your cash back on the Paragon Diamonds AIM Casino fraud & bust - legal case now imminent

Investors who have lost £900,000 on the Paragon Diamonds (PRG) fraud and bust are now lined up to sue the hapless Nomad ( Northland with QEs Gerry Beaney and David Hignell overseeing the shambles) as an update from class action litigation arranger Peter Petyt sent this morning, makes clear. However we need more folks who were conned to join the party URGENTLY and for two reasons:

6 days ago | By Tom Winnifrith, The Sheriff of AIM |

Telit Communications – Mr Fat Katz unusual remuneration arrangements

After today's complete bombshell which shows that Telit (TCM) is a Globo style fraud and thus utterly worthless what follows may be a tad academic. But, none the less, it is yet another Red Flag which we all should have noticed earlier. Reading through the 2016 annual report of Telit it is apparent that Mr Fat Katz, sorry Mr Oozi Cats, had two unusual remuneration arrangements. 

6 days ago | By Tom Winnifrith, The Sheriff of AIM |

Tom Winnifrith Bearcast Special - the culture of corporate lying as I say GOTCHA to Telit

Following today's bombshell there can be no doubt that Telit Communications (TCM) is toast. Companies that lie and deceive so industrially in the way I demonstrated earlier HERE will always end in tears.  In this podcast I look at the culture of corporate lying and wrongdoing and what it means for you as an investor. I look at rent boys at BP then at Quindell (QPP), Globo (GBO) and of course, in the main, at Telit

6 days ago | By Tom Winnifrith, The Sheriff of AIM |

Telit bombshell Part 2 - its Distributors are oft on a par with those of Globo

Earlier today I published a bombshell that demonstrated that Telit (TCM) was Globo v2 - that is to say a FRAUD heading for zero in short order.. One of the points that caused Globo to unravel within days were its bogus distributors. I covered that in some detail in Part 1 of this series but here in  part 2 I offer up some graphics to make my point. Distributors account for only 30% of claimed sales but if they are bogus then is anything genuine? It is game over for Telit, the Fat Lady is getting ready... Enjoy what follows...

5 days ago | By Malcolm Stacey |

Congratulations! - You're a Share Winner In the 68,000 Club

Hello, Share Jigglers. The stats show that more than 68,000 different people logged onto this magnificent website last week. Darren Atwater, who recorded this amazing count is too modest to comment. So allow me to note that 68,000 is the equivalent of the entire population of a very big town.

6 days ago | By Nigel Somerville |

Ariana – gold price, production news and share price

After my mea culpa of June 20th we have had further news. It has taken a bit of time to digest, but overall it looks positive to me, if rather laced with jam-tomorrow. With the share price finally off its low point of just 1.25p, let’s look through the detail.

6 days ago | By Evil Banksta |

Obtala: When is an equity Issue not an equity issue?

When the cash still hasn’t arrived! Tom Winnifrith gets upset (see) when I write negative comments about Obtala (OBT) and so I’ve kept quiet for a while, but there comes a point when you just have to ask the question: WTF is going on? Since Tom believes in free speech (as well as Obtala) he - as ever - allows me to write here.

5 days ago | By David Scott |

Because it is easy - Kennedy on Space, the World today on debt-binging

In a world in which "we do these things because they're easy", the outcome will eventually be very difficult and painful. On September 12, 1962, President John F. Kennedy gave a famous speech announcing the national goal of going to the moon by the end of the decade.  In a memorable line, Kennedy said we would pursue the many elements of the space program "not because they are easy, but because they are hard.Both nationally and internationally the overriding economic philosophy is currently "we do these things because they're easy" and relying on debt to pay today's expenses is at the top of the list. What's easier than using a line of credit to buy whatever you want or need? Nothing's easier than borrowing money, especially at super-low rates of interest.

19 August 2017, 11:11 | By Tom Winnifrith |

Tom Winnifrith: Sign up now for new free share tip service

Following complaints from shamed share ramper Roger Lawson, ADVFN has insisted on a raft of new editorial controls on I did not re-start my life five years ago to be told what I could or could not write. I said no and ADVFN boss Clem Chambers has just said that the website will be shut down. So...our hand is forced ... Welcome to - we hope you join NOW HERE.

19 August 2017, 11:11 | By Pizza Hardman & Hackney Marxist Darren Atwater |

New Bulletin Board Moron of the Week contest - sponsored by some scooter courier shop in Vietnam, #1 distributer for Telit

As seen here, Telit's (TCM) distributers are a, um, diverse lot, including a distributer in Vietnam that appears to be a scooter courier firm. Which is nice, and thank you for sponsoring this week's Bulletin Board Moron search.

18 August 2017, 14:35 | By Tom Winnifrith, The Sheriff of AIM |

Tom Winnifrith Bearcast: Oozi Cats and the FBI & why Telit could well be tits up within weeks

The failure of the LSE to insist that hapless Nomad FinnCap forces Telit (TCM) to bring in a firm like KPMG to conduct a full forensic review will hurt it even more when this company goes tits up as I noted in a letter to Stock Exchange boss Donald Brydon earlier today HERE.  Two sources tell me that the FBI may have bad news for the Boston fraudster Oozi Cats and his Mrs as I explain in this podcast. But the meat of the podcast is explaining why Telit will go tits up and why that could be within six weeks. Enjoy.

18 August 2017, 08:11 | By Tom Winnifrith, The Sheriff of AIM |

A letter to the chairman of the London Stock Exchange - why no independent review of the Telit fraud?

You may remember that at the last AGM of the London Stock Exchange (LSE) its chairman,, Donald Brydon CBE, 'fessed up to being a ShareProphets reader and as we chatted afterwards he came over as a thoroughly decent man. But he has, yet again, been failed by his minions in their handling of the biggest AIM fraud of the year, so far, Telit (TCM). Lowly gofers such as the head of AIM Regulation, the fake Sheriff Mr Marcus Stuttad,  have allowed Telit to avoid any independent scrutiny of its accounts & business practices despite clear evidence of fraud. That has to change and maybe Brydon will push for that. I have sent him a letter.

18 August 2017, 09:24 | By Tom Winnifrith |

Does Neil Woodford really deserve a halo - is Circassia the biggest dog in his funds?

If you read the bent, freebie is our middle name, personal financie columnists in the deadwood press, fund manager Neil Woodford walks on water. I disagree and have noted before, that, maybe, after three dismal years, others are starting to see the light.  But, with assistance from a leading broker, how about we have a real look at the Woodford Patient Capital Trust (WPCT) but also at the sort of dogs Neil ifalls in love with.

17 August 2017, 14:59 | By Tom Winnifrith |

Obtala - shares to more than double: broker VSA: we publish the note

VSA is house broker to Obtala (OBT) so is not impartial. Neither am I as we own a small number of shares following a Dragon's Den pitch as the 2017 UK Investor Show. But the price target suggests real upside and VSA's research team is well regarded and since we happily published an uber-negative piece from Evil Banksta the other day, this offers some balance. VSA has tweaked its forecasts

18 August 2017, 14:46 | By Tom Winnifrith |

Reader Comment of the day - Drunken Sailor unearths local issues for Bushveld

You may remember that ShareProphets poster Drunken Sailor and I were co-defendants in a libel case a couple of years ago ( which we won). Mr sailor is not a drunk and he is a great sleuth when he wants to be. My pressing concerns about uber ramped Bushveld Minerals (BMN) are its balance sheet, but DS has unearthed another major issue which, for some reason, Bushveld has not covered in an RNS. Perhaps it might do so now? Drunken's post merits a wider audience:

18 August 2017, 11:24 | By Cynical Bear |

PCG Entertainment – Lots to like about this funding deal other than…….WHY??

Like Richard Poulden, CEO of PCG Entertainment (PCGE), I have a bit of time for Brian Kinane at Riverfort. As someone who believes in transparency and clear communication, my view is that Brian is trying to bring some of that to the world of small cap funding, particularly where the dreaded phrase “ death spiral” is concerned and there’s a few points here to be applauded. It still doesn’t prevent the obvious question being aimed at Mr Poulden though – WHY RAISE MORE FUNDS NOW?

18 August 2017, 09:14 | By Tom Winnifrith |

Kennedy Ventures - Giving 3.98% of the company to the CEO does have a cost

Some folks think that handing out share options to senior staff is a cost free exercise and b) benefits all shareholders as it incentivizes the board and also aligns their interests with those of stockholders. Bollocks on all counts.

18 August 2017, 14:05 | By Steve Moore |

SRT Marine Systems – order “for the world's biggest single deployment of AIS AtoN”. Wow… Or not…

Following the postponement of a significant contract announced at the end of last month, SRT Marine Systems (SRT) has now announced an “AIS Aids to Navigation Contract”, including that “the order is for the world's biggest single deployment of AIS AtoN”. The world's biggest hey, sounds impressive!…

17 August 2017, 14:03 | By Steve Moore |

Idox – acquisition aids a rating which is “highly attractive”… Or is it?

Having reached more than 75p in May, shares in information management technology and services company Idox (IDOX) declined below 60p early last month before recovering above 65p - then declining towards 60p again. The company is now “pleased to announce that it has acquired… Halarose, a supplier of electoral back office software and services to UK local authorities, for £5.0 million, comprising £3.5 million in cash and £1.5 million in shares” (at 61.5p)…

18 August 2017, 08:08 | By Malcolm Stacey |

Looking for a Possibly Safer Airline Venture? - Well, this Fleet's In

Hello Share Grafters. The congestion in most of our airports will give you the heads-up that air travel is booming. It will continue to do so, especially as more people from developing countries become middle class. But you may still be wary of big airlines.

18 August 2017, 14:59 | By Nigel Somerville, the Deputy Sheriff of AIM |

Advanced Oncotherapy – how’s the cash position? Still a stonking SELL.

After a stack of RNSs earlier this year, it has all gone quiet at AIM-listed Advanced Oncotherapy (AVO) since the announcement of the termination of the Bracknor death-spiral. How’s the cash position?

17 August 2017, 16:05 | By Steve Moore |

Capital Drilling – half-year results include “broadened” uplift in activity, so why are the shares lower still?

Drilling services company Capital Drilling (CAPD) has announced results for the first half of 2017, including that an initial uplift in activity has broadened with an improving outlook in industrial metals and capital markets activities support. Why then are the shares further lower, below 40p, having been above 60p earlier this year?...

19 August 2017, 07:56 | By Steve Moore |

Table of shorted AIM shares - week to 18/08/2017

From the FCA's spreadsheet of short positions required to be disclosed to it, the following shows the shorted AIM shares with positions from 2016 and thus far in 2017 (by net short position %) - and if this position has increased (red), reduced (green) or remained unchanged (black) since last week...

19 August 2017, 07:32 | By Tom Winnifrith, The Sheriff of AIM |

Telit Communications – how much of a cash guzzler is GainSpan?

In the piss poor results for the six months to 30 June 2017, Telit (TCM) highlighted that it had purchased GainSpan and provided the following rather limited commentary on its contribution to the interim results: