Hello, Share Choosers. As we've often said on this glittering website, investing in small drugs companies is fraught with peril. Cures and remedies take ages to develop, and then you have to steer them through a punishing licence minefield. I’m a great believer, though, in this kind of punt, as the world becomes older and less healthy. And investment in the right pharma could reap big rewards for shareholders, but mainly the sick among us. Today’s suggestion seems a more promising pocket pharma than most.
Previously writing on maritime domain awareness systems company SRT Marine (SRT) I questioned OCEAN-SCAN satellite system decision conveniently timed re. cash position? There is now a six months ended 30th September trading update…
It is bad enough that Conroy Gold & Natural Resources (CGNR) faces a potentially massive stock overhang as it tries to arrange a placing to pay the bills but it is now facing an upping of the regulatory ante. Perhaps that is why Conroy has today announced it is surrendering its joint quote on the ESM and being listed on AIM. Or maybe that is just to save cash?
Leading independent estate agents review website AllAgents.co.uk is taking on Purplebricks (PURP) after it tried to stop it publishing genuine but negative reviews, as we revealed HERE. AllAgents has now launched a £50,000 crowdfunding appeal. I have donated - will you?
Some companies are so transparent. I look at the RNS from Savannah Resources (SAV), do the maths and predict a placing within weeks. I then crow about one I called earlier, Applied Graphene Materials (AGM). Then it is onto Interquest (ITQ) which is back on the AIM casino thanks to Nomad Allenby, a firm that I take to task for being morally bankrupt. I look at Johnston Press (JPR) which is nothing to do with Luke Johnson who is also mentioned. I then look at Advanced Oncotherapy (AVO) and i3 Energy (i3E) as well as the dog Haydale (HAYD)
On 17th October long suffering shareholders in Strat Aero (AERO) will be asked to approve a 1 for 10 subdivision of their shares in order to get a refinancing away. But the maths now look so bleak that one asks if the fat lady should pitch up to the GM as she could well be called on to sing very soon indeed. As a reminder...
Unbelievably, just as the welts on my back are just about healing from my Totally (TLY) related self- birching a few months ago (HERE), it transpires that the CFO, Don “Two Jobs” Baladasan is leaving after all, although he did find time to spend £11m before he left on a business that appears to be in a bit of bother – perfect!
FreeAgent Holdings (FREE), a provider of cloud-based accounting software and mobile applications designed specifically for UK micro-businesses, “is pleased to report continued strong revenue growth with an evolving channel mix”. The shares have currently responded more than 8% lower, to 83p. Hmmm…
On September 15 2017 I explained why the folks who run Applied Graphene Materials (AGM) were slam dunk proven liars and predicted a bailout placing. Hey ho. Vindication did not take long. Today we are told that there is a book build on a placing to raise £9 million + at a minimum of just 36p with a £1 million open offer also planned. The shares have crashed by 23p to just 40p bid. Another win for the Sheriff.
Recent results from Berkeley Energia (BKY) emphasised it’s “focussed on developing Europe's largest uranium project, the Salamanca mine” and a “US$120 million sovereign wealth fund strategic investment to bring Salamanca into production”. The end August announcement of the latter helped the shares return above 50p, but they have currently slid back to 47p…
I forgot to ask one big question at the Conroy Gold & Natural Resources (CGNR) GM on Friday - when is the next placing? But before we come to that - and the answer must be soon - there is a little matter of possibly the biggest stock overhang on AIM. The TR1's are flying thick and fast.
Well it is now official. It is perfectly acceptable for the chairman of an AIM listed company to take $2.4 million of a company's cash without permission. You and I would call taking someone else's (that is to say shareholder's) money theft or stealing. But on AIM it is simply an unauthorised loan. Pas de probleme mes amis!
Previously writing on Digital Barriers (DGB), I concluded bearishly despite a “Framework Contract and Trading Update” announcement attempting to emphasise positives. Now there is an announcement of a conditionally agreed sale of its video business, noting “uncertain nature and timing” of growth and “to continue as it is would stretch the resources available to the existing group within its current structure”. Hmmm, not a great combination…
Hello, Share Puzzlers. What do you think might be the results of Marks & Spencer (MKS) for the second quarter of its year? If you are a long-time holder, you will not be very excited. I first bought this share at least 20 years ago. It was 300p a throw, quite a lot of money, then. Yet despite a huge devaluation of the pound and inflation the share is still only 349p today.
Answers on a postcard. But for starters, one Hathaway, One had a way but lost it. I start with a detailed look at the Woodford Patient Capital Trust (WPCT) then run some numbers by you on LPE's and Purplebricks (PURP). I mention UK Oil & Gas (UKOG) en passant, Jersey Oil & Gas (JOG), Columbus Energy (CERP), Mirada (MIRA) and finally Conroy Gold & Natural Resources (CGNR)
Towards the end of last month I noted on DX Group (DX.) forget the planned investment, the repayment of HSBC clearly means it has been, and remains, a scramble to prevent cash crunch ahoy. There’s now a “£24m Fundraising, CEO Appointment & Board Changes” announcement…
There was I thinking that I had missed the day in court of Abchurch PR supremo Julian Bosdet as he battled charges that he was driving his Range Rover back to his country pile while under the influence. Oh no...
It’s the start of the fourth quarter and October, always the most volatile month of the year, has started with shock and surprise. Just a few years ago it would have been inconceivable Spain’s vibrant democracy might stumble towards the verge of dismemberment as it is now. With the S&P 500 recently breaking above 2500, there seems to be nothing to dampen the bullish exuberance. The recent run, which has largely been focused on areas in the market with the most sensitivity to tax cuts, has exploded over the last two weeks to record highs. That explosion has also lead to a surge in the Market Greed/Fear Gauge which comprises different measures of market complacency and bullishness and whilst the “Dumb Money” is continuing to pile into markets the “Smart Money” is willing to sell positions to them.
Injuneer is a man claiming to be a drilling engineer but whose "analysis" of Horse Hill and UK Oil & Gas (UKOG) suggests otherwise and demonstrates once again that a (very) little knowledge is a dangerous thing. His "critique" of the analysis of Professor David Smythe is today rebutted by the good Prof in a way that shows again how utterly overvalued UK Oil & Gas (UKOG) shares are today at just under 7p. The Prof writes:
Lifestyle company Magnolia Petroleum (MAGP) has started the ramp ahead of its next bailout placing with news of a share consolidation. It may fool some fools but not the City's No 1 oil analyst, Zac "the Knife" Phillips of SP Angel who is at his waspish best and opines:
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I cannot blame Jersey Oil & Gas (JOG) for raising £20 million today. It's the smart move. But if it has to offer shares at a 15-20% discount when it's on a roll what sort of discount will UK Oil & Gas (UKOG) have to offer as it seeks to raise £5-10 million with things going badly wrong? I also look at MySquar (MYSQ) after today's article that proves FRAUD. What is not allowed on AIM these days? Would complicity in mass murder be a problem? I give up.
If it sounds too good to be true, it is too good to be true. That brings me to the Cascade (nothing to do with Bill Gates) ramp and Servision (SEV) and a detailed look at why it is utterly worthless. I look at the bogus French bid stories at UK Oil & Gas and how the Froggies are actually dumping the shares ahead of a bailout placing and because they are monstrously overvalued. Its also placing ahoy at Magnolia (MAGP) and Andalas (ADL) which is so shite it makes UKOG look like BP. I look at Blenheim (BNR), the boardroom departures and why its shares are 50% overvalued. Finally I try to work out how soon Condor Gold (CNR) will have yet another placing and why I would not back it at any price.
Hello, Share Scoopers. Sometimes, gang, it makes sense to include advice from a different source when bringing shares before you for a possible punt. Especially when the other analysts agree with me. The boys and girls at Barclays have repeated an ‘overweight’ commendation for two big oil giants, and I’m glad to say I have chunky holdings in both of them.
It is clear that Nomad SP Angel does not care if its client MySquar (MYSQ) issues lies via RNS and it has not bothered to ask the one question that would show very clearly the Securities fraud committed by its client on July 31. It is a sorry state of affairs and I shall be writing to AIM Regulation and to the chairman of the LSE later to ask that SP Angel's license be revoked as it is clearly not fit and proper to run a public lavatory let alone be a Nomad. But now for John Meyer and his fellow dullards at SP Angel here is how your client defrauded investors.
To be fair, just a month and six days after launching in the USA Purplebricks (PURP) appears to be gaining some traction. Already it lists 1,460 apartments for sale in Los Angeles so folks are at least using it. Perhaps they like the claims made on the website Purplebricks.com?
Roger Lawson of ShareSoc bought a few shares in Rosslyn Data (RDT) as a recovery punt in a placing. That he was able to get EIS relief added to the attraction although I still worry he will lose money on this company which I have highlighted many times (HERE) as a howling dog even by the standards of AIM. Lawson attended the AGM yesterday and reports back on what appears to have been a curate's egg in his mind. I think he is being well generous.
Some posts on our comments section are so interesting that they merit a wider audience. Overnight Paul Scott, Britain;s top share blogger, served up a really interesting one on ASOS (ASC), prompted by Malcolm Stacey's recent (bearish) article here. This is really very interesting analysis. The great Scott writes:
Hello, Share Pilots. There is so many predictions of a earth-shattering share crash on this lively website, that we must all be feeling nervous. We all remember a few black days, only nine years ago, when it began to look as all shares would be worth hardly anything at all. Picture your mind’s desolation if that were to happen again. Here are a few precautions you might take.
The past week has shown clearly why MySquar (MYSQ) shares should not be traded on any market, even the AIM Casino. I demonstrated HERE that it had lied to investors in an RNS this month. That lie stands uncorrected. I demonstrated HERE that without any doubt it had committed wholesale securities fraud on July 31. This was chapter and verse stuff and MySquar is now exposed. Yet nothing has happened. As such I have written to my pal the bogus Sheriff of AIM, Mr Marcus Stuttard the head of AIM Regulation
A “Settlement of prior year taxes” announcement from semiconductor industry wafer supplier IQE plc (IQE) commences that “the group recently engaged the services of an international tax firm to assist with a routine US tax filing for the year ended 2016. Unexpectedly, this exercise has identified taxes due in the US relating to the profits of an overseas subsidiary for the years ending 2013, 2014, 2015 and 2016”. Uh oh…
So Jersey Oil & Gas got its placing away at a 21% discount and it is a company serving up good news. UK Oil & Gas (UKOG) has been serving up cold sick to its shareholders and is out of cash so needs a placing ASAP to avoid going tits up. UK Oil & Gas shares are now just 4.5p to sell so at what price do our readers expect the placing? Look away now if you are long, strong, wrong and clearly smoking a bong.
I wrote that I would not comment again on the Internet of Things company Telit Communications (TCM) until borrow became available again. The recall of borrow, it will be remembered, along with buying by various parties such as Davide Serra (the self-regarding nincompoop who complained to both the SEC and the FCA about the truth being told about the Quindell fraud in which he was foolish enough to have a sizeable holding), caused the share price to almost double recently. The good news is that borrow is now possible and the shares are unsurprisingly on the slide. They should be sold with vigour.
If you look at the 2011-2017 gold chart, we are facing the most significant trial yet says gold guru Lior. Gantz We managed to break through support, but that is being re-tested. If we can maintain support, we should see no further resistance up to $1400. This outcome is contingent on what the Federal Reserve does in December.
Having previously warned of a potential breach of “monitoring covenants” in the third quarter, Reach4Entertainment (R4E) “has now determined that the quarterly monitoring covenants for the third quarter of this year have been breached and has notified PNC”. However…
From the FCA's spreadsheet of short positions required to be disclosed to it, the following shows the shorted AIM shares with positions from 2016 and thus far in 2017 (by net short position %) - and if this position has increased (red), reduced (green) or remained unchanged (black) since last week...
At the end of June I commented on eServGlobal (ESG) that the interims argue “strong outlook” & Homesend “sales expansion”, but that the financials remained troubling. There’s recently been a pump – 2nd October; “HomeSend progress in the banking market”, 10th October; “eServGlobal outlook and business update” announcements – seeing the shares up from sub 8p at the end of last month to above 12p, closing yesterday at still above 10p… and so now “the company is pleased to announce”…
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