ShareProphets

Saturday 19 August 2017 The one stop source for free breaking news, expert analysis, and videos on AIM and LSE listed shares


10 January 2015, 11:53 | By Tom Winnifrith |

Tom Winnifrith Bearcast 10 January

In today's podcast I refer to the excellent Black Swan 2015 review by Richard Poulden which you should all read. I cover the issue of how low the oil price could go but also what we as investors should assume that it will be. I touch on IGAS and Northern Petroleum (both shorts). And the I look at the issue of what constitutes market abuse in the Bulletin Board Moron community

10 January 2015, 11:49 | By Andrew Monk, CEO of VSA Resources |

Andrew Monk of VSA Resources final tip of the year and on Travel Operators, Agri Investment and back to oil

OK so today I’ll give you my thoughts on other areas – so Airlines and Tour Operators, which Are my hobby sectors, and also a little bit on Energy as that is also an area we are looking to get more involved in and Agri 

10 January 2015, 11:24 | By Tom Winnifrith & Steve Moore |

Action Hotels - more good news (not in the price)

Action Hotels (AHCG) has announced the completion of two new hotels in the Middle East and updated that it “is in discussions in relation to a number of opportunities across the Middle East”.

10 January 2015, 11:17 | By HotStockRockets |

Stratmin update - all on track bar the share price

Graphite production and exploration in Madagascar-focused, StratMin (STGR) has updated on performance in a holiday-shortened December and emphasised that its “confidence at the operational level has grown significantly over the last few months”.

10 January 2015, 10:20 | By Tom Winnifrith |

Buy Entu at 107p

Investment Case: Provider of energy efficiency products and services to homeowners in the UK, entu (UK) plc (ENTU) listed on AIM at 100p per share on 30th October. However, unlike most IPO’s, the prospective ratings – a price/earnings multiple of 8.4x and forward dividend yield of 8% – suggested this one potentially attractive. This has been reinforced by a trading update earlier this month noting that the company “has seen robust trading in the year across all its divisions” and that it is seeing a positive combination of increasing brand awareness and increasing public awareness of the economic and environmental benefits of energy efficient home improvements. Still though, at a current 107p offer price – only a little above the IPO price – the shares are a buy.

10 January 2015, 09:56 | By Gary Newman |

LGO Energy looks way overvalued at 3.425p

Every time I look at LGO Energy (LGO) I wonder if I am missing something in terms of its value – currently £94 million. To me it currently looks incredibly expensive when compared to other oil producers, some of whom are at a far more advanced stage and with an awful lot more in the way of both production and reserves.

10 January 2015, 09:46 | By Lucian Miers |

The end of squalid China fraud Naibu - who is next?

As predicted just days ago, I see that the non-executive directors at the squalid China Fraud Naibu (NBU), “experienced” accountant Giles Elliot and “experienced” lawyer David Thomas have extracted their heads from their arses and had the shares suspended. 

10 January 2015, 09:34 | By Malcolm Stacey |

Special Shares

In a fair world shares in companies would steadfastly ascend if their earnings improved year after year. But some lucky firms attract more investment than their profit-and-loss accounts deserve, because of the sort of things they make or services they provide. These fortunates may be worth investing in because of their 'hidden assets'. As we'll see, some of their attractions wouldn't be at all alluring if we lived in a sane world. 

9 January 2015, 15:26 | By ShareProphets |

49 Red Flags – how to avoid investing in shares that will plunge by Tom Winnifrith - pre-order FREE copy for weekend delivery now!

ShareProphets Press' first book of 2015 is by Tom Winnifrith, The Man who exposed the fraud at Quindell. In it, Winnifrith demonstrates the forensic accounting techniques that he uses to expose the secrets that companies are trying to hide. No investor should be without it. The first 100 people to receive the book will be offered a free ticket to the 2015 UK Investor Show on April 18. Don't delay - this will go fast.

9 January 2015, 15:21 | By Tom Winnifrith |

Tom Winnifrith BearCast 9 January

In this short end of week podcast I look at the issue of sub critical mass companies on the AIM casino starting with Hunter Resources but en passant looking again at the POS enterprises that are Tern and Touchstone Gold. I look at housebuilders, Qihang Equiment and the three remaining Fuijian Norfolks: Camkids, China Chaintek and Jiasen

9 January 2015, 15:10 | By Robert Tyerman |

Resource boost at Amara Mining

West Africa-focused gold play Amara Mining (AMA) has hoisted the formal indicated mineral resource at its Yaoure project in Cote d’Ivoire 63% to 4.4 million oz. at a low grade of 1.29 grammes of gold per tonne of ore. Citing another 2.4 million oz. there with gold at 1.19 grammes a tonne in the more tentative inferred resource category, the AIM-quoted company, which began life as Cluff Gold, says this confirms Yaoure as the largest gold development project in the region and indicates it expects a pre-feasibility study to be completed in March.

9 January 2015, 14:56 | By Tom Winnifrith & Steve Moore |

InterQuest - positive ( as expected) trading update: buy

Specialist IT recruitment group, InterQuest (ITQ) has updated that it expects a “slightly ahead of consensus” outturn for 2014 and that it considers it has “a strong and sustainable platform for continued growth in 2015”.

9 January 2015, 13:05 | By Robert Sutherland Smith |

Tesco at 200p after the Christmas trading statement - where next?

I suggested here some time ago, that the Tesco (TSCO) dividend payout looked vulnerable, so news that the company will not be paying a final dividend is not surprising. Last year to February 28 2014, the company reported £2.8 billion of operating cash, most of which went in to capital expenditure (£2.88 billion) leaving the annual dividend cost uncovered by operating cash. So the decision to cancel the final dividend and reduce annual expenditure to an annual amount of £1 billion by next year looks logical and rational – and thus I would of thought, encouraging to markets and potential investors. 

9 January 2015, 12:47 | By Tom Winnifrith |

Tom Winnifrith Bearcast 9 January - Fraud, Naibu kill, other AIM China stocks & Quindell chairman, PWC & fraud

Really just a few matters on the agenda in this special prompted by the suspension of shares in Naibu (NBU) today. I have been calling this out as a fraud for a year. I win. I look at the read across to China Chaintek, Camkids and Jiasen, to what it says about ZAI Corporate Finance and its other clients and what it says about any other stock I call out as a fraud. I look at Quindell, rumours about a new chairman, PWC and the fact that it too is a fraud. I also have more to say on the matter of free speech.

9 January 2015, 12:15 | By Robert Tyerman |

New Kalimantan boss sets out production targets

Tony Manini, the Australian mining entrepreneur who has become chief executive of Indonesia-focused Kalimantan Gold (KLG), says he intends to take the volatile AIM-quoted company’s 622 million-lb. Beruang Kanan copper project into production at an annual rate of 20,000 tonnes within two and a half years before taking another copper venture, Kalimantan’s newly-acquired Beutong project in Sumatra, to the stage where it can deliver 80,000 tonnes of copper a year.

9 January 2015, 11:18 | By Chris Bailey of Financial Orbit |

Has Tesco Dave played a blinder?

As Tesco (TSCO) shareholders celebrate the return of a share price that begins with a ‘2’ what should we think of the turnaround plan rolled out by the company’s newish CEO Dave Lewis?

9 January 2015, 10:04 | By Ben Turney |

Gulfsands Petroleum; private shareholders’ last chance to save their company

Today is the last day that Gulfsands Petroleum’s (GPX) shareholders can submit their votes for next Tuesday’s crucial general meeting. It is no exaggeration to say that their investments depend on it.

9 January 2015, 09:58 | By Malcolm Stacey |

Share Prices Stabilise – Now Look for Big Gains.

Hello Share Swizzlers. In the new year, shares took an alarming lurch into the red abyss. Did this bother me? Not a bit.

8 January 2015, 14:13 | By Tom Winnifrith |

Bearcast 8th January - free speech deniers Quindell and other matters

Yesterday 12 journalists were murdered by those who deny free speech. Today on the LSE asylum others who do not believe in free speech are at work. They may not be murderers but they are no less despicable. I start with that matter and Quindell and move on to cover Kenmare, Global Energy Developments, Tern, Igas, Sainsbury and Tesco, Touchstone Gold and Northwest Investment Group.

8 January 2015, 13:28 | By Ben Turney |

Global Energy Development; tough times to come for AIM’s oilies

I am really surprised at the number of commentators and ordinary shareholders, who view the current valuation of oil stocks as a God-given buying opportunity. As I’ve written before, all the evidence suggests we are in the early phases of an aggressive global price war. Saudi Arabia (and for that read OPEC) appears determined to crush the US “fracking boom”, through a sustained campaign of price suppression. Times are almost certainly going to get a lot tougher before they improve. Any talk of farm-outs or a flurry of deal making seems greatly misplaced. This morning, Global Energy Development (GED) released an announcement, far more in keeping with the times.

19 August 2017, 11:11 | By Tom Winnifrith |

Tom Winnifrith: Sign up now for new free share tip service FiveFreeShareTips.com

Following complaints from shamed share ramper Roger Lawson, ADVFN has insisted on a raft of new editorial controls on OneFreeShareTip.com. I did not re-start my life five years ago to be told what I could or could not write. I said no and ADVFN boss Clem Chambers has just said that the website will be shut down. So...our hand is forced ... Welcome to fivefreesharetips.com - we hope you join NOW HERE.

13 August 2017, 22:11 | By Tom Winnifrith |

New Bulletin Board Moron of the Week contest - sponsored by the fund managers who knew so much better than the dirty plebs on Telit

Just three months ago some of Britain's top fund managers ploughed more than 50 million dollars into a placing organised by AIM dog Telit Communications despite numerous warnings from ourselves and others. But they knew better and anyhow it was other people's money. The shares have collapsed today to less than half the placing price after the most awful set of interims. But the fund managers will still earn Inter City salaries + ( more than 125) and fat bonuses so who cares? Are there any folks in the share world dumber than those fund managers? Er.... 

13 August 2017, 07:42 | By Gary Newman |

Kaz Minerals offers a buying opportunity on this dip

Kaz Minerals (KAZ) is a great example of the extent that commodity prices can effect larger miners, and the recovery in copper prices has seen the share price trading at multiples of where it was just 18 months ago.

13 August 2017, 01:34 | By Tom Winnifrith, The Sheriff of AIM |

KERBOOM - THE FULL SHOCKING DOSSIER, New fraud revealed - This is why Telit is Globo Mk2 and why it is going to 0p

Over the past week I have shown that Telit Communications (TCM) is run by a man who fled fraud charges in the US but changed his name to avoid investors knowing, I have flagged up banking covenant breaches, red flag strewn interims and an Italian criminal investigation. But that was just an appetizer. Today I give you a full dossier with shocking NEW material, which shows this is Globo Mark 2. it is a fraud and its shares are going to zero.

13 August 2017, 07:59 | By Tom Winnifrith |

Jubilee Platinum deal with Riverfort - death spirals so bad right? NO!

Jubilee Platinum (JLP) last week announced a $50 million funding package to grow its metals recovery business. Oh no Riverfort! Said the snipers. Death spirals, yak, yak, yak. They have it wrong. This deal is, if you read the detail, good news.

13 August 2017, 01:11 | By Pizza HardMan Darren Atwater |

Notes from Underground: Here's a buy recommendation: invest in moped shares

London has a real table problem. At least the outdoor ones, and I don't see Mayor Sadiq Khan putting any effort into it.

13 August 2017, 10:55 | By Tom Winnifrith, The Sheriff of AIM |

Emails sent to AIM Regulation & Nomad Finncap after today's Telit bombshell - this must be suspended 7 AM Monday

This is becoming Globo v2 at a an alarming rate. Today's bombshell dossier on Telit Communications (TCM) nails it as a slam dunk ZERO beyond all doubt. The only way that the shares do not completely crater in the morning is if they are suspended first. And that is exactly what should happen. As such I sent a couple of emails last night. One to tthe head of the Oxymorons Marcus Stuttard and his clueless colleagues, the Keystone Cops at AIM Regulation and the other to the folks at Nomad FinnCap from CEO Sam Smith via head of Corporate Finance Stuart Andrews down to analyst Lorne Daniel with a minor jackal in Corporate Finaance also included in case Andrews is too busy with his polo ponies to read emails on a Sunday. Enjoy!

13 August 2017, 11:29 | By Tom Winnifrith, The Sheriff of AIM |

Want to Get your cash back on the Paragon Diamonds AIM Casino fraud & bust - legal case now imminent

Investors who have lost £900,000 on the Paragon Diamonds (PRG) fraud and bust are now lined up to sue the hapless Nomad ( Northland with QEs Gerry Beaney and David Hignell overseeing the shambles) as an update from class action litigation arranger Peter Petyt sent this morning, makes clear. However we need more folks who were conned to join the party URGENTLY and for two reasons:

13 August 2017, 11:56 | By Tom Winnifrith, The Sheriff of AIM |

Telit Communications – Mr Fat Katz unusual remuneration arrangements

After today's complete bombshell which shows that Telit (TCM) is a Globo style fraud and thus utterly worthless what follows may be a tad academic. But, none the less, it is yet another Red Flag which we all should have noticed earlier. Reading through the 2016 annual report of Telit it is apparent that Mr Fat Katz, sorry Mr Oozi Cats, had two unusual remuneration arrangements. 

13 August 2017, 13:17 | By Tom Winnifrith, The Sheriff of AIM |

Tom Winnifrith Bearcast Special - the culture of corporate lying as I say GOTCHA to Telit

Following today's bombshell there can be no doubt that Telit Communications (TCM) is toast. Companies that lie and deceive so industrially in the way I demonstrated earlier HERE will always end in tears.  In this podcast I look at the culture of corporate lying and wrongdoing and what it means for you as an investor. I look at rent boys at BP then at Quindell (QPP), Globo (GBO) and of course, in the main, at Telit

13 August 2017, 13:57 | By Tom Winnifrith, The Sheriff of AIM |

Telit bombshell Part 2 - its Distributors are oft on a par with those of Globo

Earlier today I published a bombshell that demonstrated that Telit (TCM) was Globo v2 - that is to say a FRAUD heading for zero in short order.. One of the points that caused Globo to unravel within days were its bogus distributors. I covered that in some detail in Part 1 of this series but here in  part 2 I offer up some graphics to make my point. Distributors account for only 30% of claimed sales but if they are bogus then is anything genuine? It is game over for Telit, the Fat Lady is getting ready... Enjoy what follows...

14 August 2017, 08:03 | By Malcolm Stacey |

Congratulations! - You're a Share Winner In the 68,000 Club

Hello, Share Jigglers. The stats show that more than 68,000 different people logged onto this magnificent website last week. Darren Atwater, who recorded this amazing count is too modest to comment. So allow me to note that 68,000 is the equivalent of the entire population of a very big town.

13 August 2017, 13:27 | By Nigel Somerville |

Ariana – gold price, production news and share price

After my mea culpa of June 20th we have had further news. It has taken a bit of time to digest, but overall it looks positive to me, if rather laced with jam-tomorrow. With the share price finally off its low point of just 1.25p, let’s look through the detail.

13 August 2017, 13:37 | By Evil Banksta |

Obtala: When is an equity Issue not an equity issue?

When the cash still hasn’t arrived! Tom Winnifrith gets upset (see) when I write negative comments about Obtala (OBT) and so I’ve kept quiet for a while, but there comes a point when you just have to ask the question: WTF is going on? Since Tom believes in free speech (as well as Obtala) he - as ever - allows me to write here.

14 August 2017, 08:26 | By David Scott |

Because it is easy - Kennedy on Space, the World today on debt-binging

In a world in which "we do these things because they're easy", the outcome will eventually be very difficult and painful. On September 12, 1962, President John F. Kennedy gave a famous speech announcing the national goal of going to the moon by the end of the decade.  In a memorable line, Kennedy said we would pursue the many elements of the space program "not because they are easy, but because they are hard.Both nationally and internationally the overriding economic philosophy is currently "we do these things because they're easy" and relying on debt to pay today's expenses is at the top of the list. What's easier than using a line of credit to buy whatever you want or need? Nothing's easier than borrowing money, especially at super-low rates of interest.

13 August 2017, 21:03 | By Tom Winnifrith, The Sheriff of AIM |

FT Reports that Telit "parts company" with Oozi Cats - that's spin from the PR & no longer the issue

The Financial Times, always happy to help a company in trouble try to polish a turd with some PR spinning, is reporting that Telit Communications (TCM) is to part company with its founder, 12% shareholder and CEO Oozi Cats on a permanent basis. After our Boston fraudster revelations of last week Oozi had already stepped down pending an investigation by a law firm Cameron McKenna. After our revelations he was toast. But sacking Oozi is not enough after today's bombshells on this website - this is PR spinning and does not address the issue of wholesale fraud at Telit.

14 August 2017, 08:15 | By HotStockRockets |

Another day and another snippet of good news from Kefi Minerals - buy at up to 6p - target 13p+ to sell

Kefi (KEFI) has announced that it has managed to reduce the amount needed to bring the Tulu Kapi project in Ethiopia into production by another $8 million. Following news of the $135 million Oryx funding last month the shortfall Kefi faced was $32 million, it is now just $24 million.

19 August 2017, 11:11 | By Tom Winnifrith |

Tom Winnifrith: Sign up now for new free share tip service FiveFreeShareTips.com

Following complaints from shamed share ramper Roger Lawson, ADVFN has insisted on a raft of new editorial controls on OneFreeShareTip.com. I did not re-start my life five years ago to be told what I could or could not write. I said no and ADVFN boss Clem Chambers has just said that the website will be shut down. So...our hand is forced ... Welcome to fivefreesharetips.com - we hope you join NOW HERE.

19 August 2017, 11:11 | By Pizza Hardman & Hackney Marxist Darren Atwater |

New Bulletin Board Moron of the Week contest - sponsored by some scooter courier shop in Vietnam, #1 distributer for Telit

As seen here, Telit's (TCM) distributers are a, um, diverse lot, including a distributer in Vietnam that appears to be a scooter courier firm. Which is nice, and thank you for sponsoring this week's Bulletin Board Moron search.

18 August 2017, 14:35 | By Tom Winnifrith, The Sheriff of AIM |

Tom Winnifrith Bearcast: Oozi Cats and the FBI & why Telit could well be tits up within weeks

The failure of the LSE to insist that hapless Nomad FinnCap forces Telit (TCM) to bring in a firm like KPMG to conduct a full forensic review will hurt it even more when this company goes tits up as I noted in a letter to Stock Exchange boss Donald Brydon earlier today HERE.  Two sources tell me that the FBI may have bad news for the Boston fraudster Oozi Cats and his Mrs as I explain in this podcast. But the meat of the podcast is explaining why Telit will go tits up and why that could be within six weeks. Enjoy.

18 August 2017, 08:11 | By Tom Winnifrith, The Sheriff of AIM |

A letter to the chairman of the London Stock Exchange - why no independent review of the Telit fraud?

You may remember that at the last AGM of the London Stock Exchange (LSE) its chairman,, Donald Brydon CBE, 'fessed up to being a ShareProphets reader and as we chatted afterwards he came over as a thoroughly decent man. But he has, yet again, been failed by his minions in their handling of the biggest AIM fraud of the year, so far, Telit (TCM). Lowly gofers such as the head of AIM Regulation, the fake Sheriff Mr Marcus Stuttad,  have allowed Telit to avoid any independent scrutiny of its accounts & business practices despite clear evidence of fraud. That has to change and maybe Brydon will push for that. I have sent him a letter.

18 August 2017, 09:24 | By Tom Winnifrith |

Does Neil Woodford really deserve a halo - is Circassia the biggest dog in his funds?

If you read the bent, freebie is our middle name, personal financie columnists in the deadwood press, fund manager Neil Woodford walks on water. I disagree and have noted before, that, maybe, after three dismal years, others are starting to see the light.  But, with assistance from a leading broker, how about we have a real look at the Woodford Patient Capital Trust (WPCT) but also at the sort of dogs Neil ifalls in love with.

17 August 2017, 14:59 | By Tom Winnifrith |

Obtala - shares to more than double: broker VSA: we publish the note

VSA is house broker to Obtala (OBT) so is not impartial. Neither am I as we own a small number of shares following a Dragon's Den pitch as the 2017 UK Investor Show. But the price target suggests real upside and VSA's research team is well regarded and since we happily published an uber-negative piece from Evil Banksta the other day, this offers some balance. VSA has tweaked its forecasts

18 August 2017, 14:46 | By Tom Winnifrith |

Reader Comment of the day - Drunken Sailor unearths local issues for Bushveld

You may remember that ShareProphets poster Drunken Sailor and I were co-defendants in a libel case a couple of years ago ( which we won). Mr sailor is not a drunk and he is a great sleuth when he wants to be. My pressing concerns about uber ramped Bushveld Minerals (BMN) are its balance sheet, but DS has unearthed another major issue which, for some reason, Bushveld has not covered in an RNS. Perhaps it might do so now? Drunken's post merits a wider audience:

18 August 2017, 11:24 | By Cynical Bear |

PCG Entertainment – Lots to like about this funding deal other than…….WHY??

Like Richard Poulden, CEO of PCG Entertainment (PCGE), I have a bit of time for Brian Kinane at Riverfort. As someone who believes in transparency and clear communication, my view is that Brian is trying to bring some of that to the world of small cap funding, particularly where the dreaded phrase “ death spiral” is concerned and there’s a few points here to be applauded. It still doesn’t prevent the obvious question being aimed at Mr Poulden though – WHY RAISE MORE FUNDS NOW?

18 August 2017, 09:14 | By Tom Winnifrith |

Kennedy Ventures - Giving 3.98% of the company to the CEO does have a cost

Some folks think that handing out share options to senior staff is a cost free exercise and b) benefits all shareholders as it incentivizes the board and also aligns their interests with those of stockholders. Bollocks on all counts.

18 August 2017, 14:05 | By Steve Moore |

SRT Marine Systems – order “for the world's biggest single deployment of AIS AtoN”. Wow… Or not…

Following the postponement of a significant contract announced at the end of last month, SRT Marine Systems (SRT) has now announced an “AIS Aids to Navigation Contract”, including that “the order is for the world's biggest single deployment of AIS AtoN”. The world's biggest hey, sounds impressive!…

17 August 2017, 14:03 | By Steve Moore |

Idox – acquisition aids a rating which is “highly attractive”… Or is it?

Having reached more than 75p in May, shares in information management technology and services company Idox (IDOX) declined below 60p early last month before recovering above 65p - then declining towards 60p again. The company is now “pleased to announce that it has acquired… Halarose, a supplier of electoral back office software and services to UK local authorities, for £5.0 million, comprising £3.5 million in cash and £1.5 million in shares” (at 61.5p)…

18 August 2017, 08:08 | By Malcolm Stacey |

Looking for a Possibly Safer Airline Venture? - Well, this Fleet's In

Hello Share Grafters. The congestion in most of our airports will give you the heads-up that air travel is booming. It will continue to do so, especially as more people from developing countries become middle class. But you may still be wary of big airlines.

18 August 2017, 14:59 | By Nigel Somerville, the Deputy Sheriff of AIM |

Advanced Oncotherapy – how’s the cash position? Still a stonking SELL.

After a stack of RNSs earlier this year, it has all gone quiet at AIM-listed Advanced Oncotherapy (AVO) since the announcement of the termination of the Bracknor death-spiral. How’s the cash position?

17 August 2017, 16:05 | By Steve Moore |

Capital Drilling – half-year results include “broadened” uplift in activity, so why are the shares lower still?

Drilling services company Capital Drilling (CAPD) has announced results for the first half of 2017, including that an initial uplift in activity has broadened with an improving outlook in industrial metals and capital markets activities support. Why then are the shares further lower, below 40p, having been above 60p earlier this year?...

19 August 2017, 07:56 | By Steve Moore |

Table of shorted AIM shares - week to 18/08/2017

From the FCA's spreadsheet of short positions required to be disclosed to it, the following shows the shorted AIM shares with positions from 2016 and thus far in 2017 (by net short position %) - and if this position has increased (red), reduced (green) or remained unchanged (black) since last week...

19 August 2017, 07:32 | By Tom Winnifrith, The Sheriff of AIM |

Telit Communications – how much of a cash guzzler is GainSpan?

In the piss poor results for the six months to 30 June 2017, Telit (TCM) highlighted that it had purchased GainSpan and provided the following rather limited commentary on its contribution to the interim results: