Tom W has already mentioned a certain Mr Rose earlier today but it is another one of his chairmanship that particularly interests me today and that is at AO World (AO.). I looked at the self-styled ‘leading European online retailer of electrical products’ a few weeks ago and concluded that it would ultimately prove to be a car crash for investors based on an excitable valuation today in a sector with growth but ultimately wafer-thin margins and a high level of competition.
From the FCA's spreadsheet of short positions required to be disclosed to it, the following details the 20 highest single net short positions and the changes (red if short increased, green if reduced) since a previous analysis HERE.
Shares in Quindell (QPP) have, to put it mildly, been extremely volatile as bulls and bears either buy in euphoria or sell in despair on every little snippet of news that is released. This morning, Quindell has announced the involvement of new "heavyweight" directors at Quindell, and the shares have shot up as a result as bulls have their day in the sun.
Hello Share Poppers. I am steering clear of all shares with heavy business links to the rest of Europe.
The recent collapse in oil prices has taken pundits and oil producers by surprise. It was only six months ago that prices were over $100/bbl and at that time they had been above $100/bbl for three and a half years. In fact the stability had become uncanny, so perhaps we should have seen the collapse coming. I would like to claim I had been prescient but sadly I was't.
If it was not bad enough that PWC will be issuing a report eviscerating Quindell’s (QPP) fraudulent accounting policies and balance sheet it seems as if famed campaigners for truth and justice Gotham City Research is now about to re-join the party.
It must be a wonderful experience for Willy Walsh who came from Aer Lingus to be putting in a bid for his old company as CEO of his new company. It will also be a situation into which he has insight. Aer Lingus has declined the offer of marriage but could it change its mind.
Quindell (QPP) is spinning for its life. I examine how it spins what is bad news. The only 2 guys it can find as new NEDS are proven failures. The trading statement is dire. Look at the miss on cash generation in Q4. And look at the real net cash position. This is woeful. The statement on revenues and earnings is telegraphing that PWC is going to be red ink City and the fact that there is no PWC until the end of Febuary shows how bad things are.
Hello Share Stirrers. It's that awful tortuous time again. We suddenly realise we've done nothing about our tax returns. And now we have only three weeks to get the flipping thing sent off. (You have to do it on line now, as the time for paper returns – without a penalty, anyway - is past.)
A bonus podcast looking at my two fave frauds on the AIM casino - naibu and Quindell. The former is now officially toast - a clear kill for me. The latter will be toast. I suggest a bit of chart watching and explain the striking similarities.
I have been asked several times why Falkland Oil & Gas (FOGL) was not one of my two share tips for 2015. Well it just missed out. It would have been the third had I been allowed three.
I have not picked a fight with anyone for a week or so but as its my Birthday tomorrow I thought I’d treat myself and have a go at Roger Lawson the pompous shit from the ShareSoc as he has written a piece today that is mean spirited in omission if not content. Journalists like fights and I have been goaded.
This is a two part podcast. First I look at Northern Petroleum and its woes and explain why I have a 5p target for the shares ( now 11.5p) the a section on earnings visibility and valuing companies that might be breaking the law or ripping off their customers.
First they get the news that Smart Win has appealed against the rejection of its summary judgement motion; totally immaterial of course, regardless of what happens, because as explained here “the chances are better of winning the jackpot in the national lottery just buying 1 line for 1 week than they are of TXO (TXO) actually seeing any money.. [because]… Smart Win is a shell set up by two major Chinese companies and has no assets”
I am a gold bug so a long term believer. But is the trading outlook improving for gold? This week's podcast from my colleague Jordan Roy-Byrne at Palisade Capital implies that it might be. Good news!
I am drawn to some parallels between the stories of Rob Terry’s vehicles The Innovation Group (TIG) and Quindell (where he is apparently no longer running the show, so we are told…) and Angus Forrest’s exploits with Digital Learning Marketplace plc (DLM) and Tern, his current AIM Cesspit outfit.
In newsflow terms not a heavy last week but as for market volatility...it was a fascinating one essentially sequentially down, down, up, up, down...and ultimately (in the S&P500 index) only slightly down for the week. Interesting times ahead of the earnings season deluge due over the next few weeks.
My good pal Sam Antar, convicted fraudster turned fraud buster is on the twitter warpath again. The FD of the 1980s Wall Street mega fraud Crazy Eddie’s is this weekend warming up his campaign against useless Wall Street analysts. The man is a genius and the tweets follow.
There are some who frown on the concept of a 'system’ when used in relation to share investment. It smacks too much of gambling. Racing fans and roulette players use systems. Analysts and other posh people in the City use strategies. Here then are a few investment strategies which have proved to be heartily robust although of course nobody can speak for the future.
John Embry, is the Chief Portfolio Strategist at the world’s largest resource investor Sprott. This market for gold and gold stocks is the worst he’s seen for 40 years, he noted in a recent interview. But what happened 39 years ago. The interview is a fascinating insight from a man with unmatched experience.
Following complaints from shamed share ramper Roger Lawson, ADVFN has insisted on a raft of new editorial controls on OneFreeShareTip.com. I did not re-start my life five years ago to be told what I could or could not write. I said no and ADVFN boss Clem Chambers has just said that the website will be shut down. So...our hand is forced ... Welcome to fivefreesharetips.com - we hope you join NOW HERE.
As seen here, Telit's (TCM) distributers are a, um, diverse lot, including a distributer in Vietnam that appears to be a scooter courier firm. Which is nice, and thank you for sponsoring this week's Bulletin Board Moron search.
The failure of the LSE to insist that hapless Nomad FinnCap forces Telit (TCM) to bring in a firm like KPMG to conduct a full forensic review will hurt it even more when this company goes tits up as I noted in a letter to Stock Exchange boss Donald Brydon earlier today HERE. Two sources tell me that the FBI may have bad news for the Boston fraudster Oozi Cats and his Mrs as I explain in this podcast. But the meat of the podcast is explaining why Telit will go tits up and why that could be within six weeks. Enjoy.
You may remember that at the last AGM of the London Stock Exchange (LSE) its chairman,, Donald Brydon CBE, 'fessed up to being a ShareProphets reader and as we chatted afterwards he came over as a thoroughly decent man. But he has, yet again, been failed by his minions in their handling of the biggest AIM fraud of the year, so far, Telit (TCM). Lowly gofers such as the head of AIM Regulation, the fake Sheriff Mr Marcus Stuttad, have allowed Telit to avoid any independent scrutiny of its accounts & business practices despite clear evidence of fraud. That has to change and maybe Brydon will push for that. I have sent him a letter.
If you read the bent, freebie is our middle name, personal financie columnists in the deadwood press, fund manager Neil Woodford walks on water. I disagree and have noted before, that, maybe, after three dismal years, others are starting to see the light. But, with assistance from a leading broker, how about we have a real look at the Woodford Patient Capital Trust (WPCT) but also at the sort of dogs Neil ifalls in love with.
VSA is house broker to Obtala (OBT) so is not impartial. Neither am I as we own a small number of shares following a Dragon's Den pitch as the 2017 UK Investor Show. But the price target suggests real upside and VSA's research team is well regarded and since we happily published an uber-negative piece from Evil Banksta the other day, this offers some balance. VSA has tweaked its forecasts
You may remember that ShareProphets poster Drunken Sailor and I were co-defendants in a libel case a couple of years ago ( which we won). Mr sailor is not a drunk and he is a great sleuth when he wants to be. My pressing concerns about uber ramped Bushveld Minerals (BMN) are its balance sheet, but DS has unearthed another major issue which, for some reason, Bushveld has not covered in an RNS. Perhaps it might do so now? Drunken's post merits a wider audience:
Like Richard Poulden, CEO of PCG Entertainment (PCGE), I have a bit of time for Brian Kinane at Riverfort. As someone who believes in transparency and clear communication, my view is that Brian is trying to bring some of that to the world of small cap funding, particularly where the dreaded phrase “ death spiral” is concerned and there’s a few points here to be applauded. It still doesn’t prevent the obvious question being aimed at Mr Poulden though – WHY RAISE MORE FUNDS NOW?
Some folks think that handing out share options to senior staff is a cost free exercise and b) benefits all shareholders as it incentivizes the board and also aligns their interests with those of stockholders. Bollocks on all counts.
Following the postponement of a significant contract announced at the end of last month, SRT Marine Systems (SRT) has now announced an “AIS Aids to Navigation Contract”, including that “the order is for the world's biggest single deployment of AIS AtoN”. The world's biggest hey, sounds impressive!…
Having reached more than 75p in May, shares in information management technology and services company Idox (IDOX) declined below 60p early last month before recovering above 65p - then declining towards 60p again. The company is now “pleased to announce that it has acquired… Halarose, a supplier of electoral back office software and services to UK local authorities, for £5.0 million, comprising £3.5 million in cash and £1.5 million in shares” (at 61.5p)…
Hello Share Grafters. The congestion in most of our airports will give you the heads-up that air travel is booming. It will continue to do so, especially as more people from developing countries become middle class. But you may still be wary of big airlines.
After a stack of RNSs earlier this year, it has all gone quiet at AIM-listed Advanced Oncotherapy (AVO) since the announcement of the termination of the Bracknor death-spiral. How’s the cash position?
Drilling services company Capital Drilling (CAPD) has announced results for the first half of 2017, including that an initial uplift in activity has broadened with an improving outlook in industrial metals and capital markets activities support. Why then are the shares further lower, below 40p, having been above 60p earlier this year?...
From the FCA's spreadsheet of short positions required to be disclosed to it, the following shows the shorted AIM shares with positions from 2016 and thus far in 2017 (by net short position %) - and if this position has increased (red), reduced (green) or remained unchanged (black) since last week...
Previously writing on System1 Group (SYS1), then named BrainJuicer Group, as the shares slid below 700p I concluded there still, despite self-admitted “limited revenue visibility”, a clear lack of a Benjamin Graham ‘margin of safety’ (”for absorbing the effect of miscalculations or worse than average luck” e.g. an earnings miss or negative change in stock market sentiment) and I thus continued to avoid. The shares have though recently been above 800p… until a “Trading Update” announcement today…
In the piss poor results for the six months to 30 June 2017, Telit (TCM) highlighted that it had purchased GainSpan and provided the following rather limited commentary on its contribution to the interim results:
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