Despite accompanying half-year results last month with a “Significant Contract Win” announcement, shares in Corero Network Security (CNS) still declined. This week has seen a “Partnership Agreement” announcement – with the same result…
We all know the market is a bit too excitable currently and that opportunity is in most cases more fleeting than structural. Analytically that pulls me towards market leaders, good balance sheets and dividends. It also makes me wonder about the strategies of hedge funds. This website has a proud history of spotting good shorts - and I see Tom has just unveiled a new bottom-end of the larger cap brethren short idea HERE. Another popular hedge fund strategy is merger arbitrage i.e. betting on whether deals complete or not and from this perspective I got thinking about Sky (SKY) which has just reported its first quarter numbers.
Hello, Share Chuckers. As I bring you promising companies which may have escaped your notice on office days, there’s time to explain my general methods at the weekend. I can’t expect you to follow my various suggestions unless you know my lines of thought. So, for those of you wise enough to subscribe to this essential website, here goes.
My good pal the bear raider Waseeem Shakoor posted a few thoughts on UK Oil & Gas (UKOG) this morning over at ADVFN. He, like Lucian Miers, is now well in profit but staying short at 4.6p. I explained in bearcast why he is right to do so. Here is Waseem...
Following a calamitous trading statement in August, there is now another “Trading Statement” announcement from Provident Financial (PFG) – this emphasising home credit business recovery plan progress and seeing the shares currently sparking higher. So, what’s the detail?...
I start with a trip down memory lane this October 13th. It's back to 1987. can you remember why? Then, if you thought punters in Cloudtag (CTAG) or MySquar (MYSQ) were bonkers ( well they are) then meet Helios & Matheson. This tale will have you in stitches. Unless you are a MySquar moron in which case you will probably see it as an investment opportunity. Then it is onto UK Oil & Gas (UKOG), the Frogs selling and the slump to 2p or less. BTW Lucian Miers is now well in the money and added to his short yesterday. I explain why i3 Energy (i3E) is doomed and will crater soon and also go into the mounting woes of Conroy Gold & Natural Resources (CGNR) after this morning's news.
Having only been “pleased to announce” it had IPO’d on AIM in June last year, last week saw Accrol Group (ACRL) shares suspended whilst the board considered the anticipated impact on its net debt situation of a now expected “significantly below” expectations earnings performance. This was with “challenging trading conditions” and as it had “recently been advised that a Health and Safety incident, which occurred prior to the company's AIM IPO, may now result in a more significant fine being imposed by the Health and Safety Executive than was previously anticipated”. There is now an “Update on Health and Safety incident” announcement…
Nigel Somerville raises a red flag about AIM uber dog Milestone (MSG) HERE but is too nice a guy to point oiut just how worthless and overvalued this crock is. I am not so nice.
Peter Earl, the former CEO of Rurelec (RUR), has come forward with a potential offer for the company. As bizarre development go, this is right up there with the best of them. Next up the re-appointment of Rob Terry to Watchstone (formerly Quindell)?
I bring you below a twitter exchange with a moron who owns shares in MySquar (MYSQ). There is no hope for some folks, they deserve an inevitable fate of poverty.
Toys, games and giftware group Character (CCT) has reaffirmed that “underlying pre-tax profits for the year ended 31 August 2017 are projected to meet current market estimates”, but that “at this early stage of the group's new financial year the board consider that, based on the latest sales and market data available to them, the group's performance for the year ending 31 August 2018 is now expected to be significantly below current market estimates”. However, there still looks to remain reasons for optimism...
Yesterday I produced some quality analysis on why shares in BCA MarketPlace (BCA) will collapse. Predictably the paid shills masquerading as City research analysts have responded. When BCA shares tank as they will inevitably do please do not let hapless broker N+1 Singer forget this ( the underline is mine and suggests that N+1 has not even bothered to read my note before responding with this horse...):
Writing on InterQuest (ITQ) previously last month, I stated shares suspended… but greater hope for shareholders – and the shares are currently back trading on AIM following the appointment of a nominated adviser and broker. However, there remains a question of for how long?...
On Wednesday at 2.13pm AIM-listed Milestone Group (MSG) knocked out a TR-1 RNS. Nothing unusual about that, but hang on – what about the dates?
Hello Share Swappers. This old punter is not a fan of mining shares. Apart from British Energy and the big British banks, mining has always been my biggest loser. Whereas, the related sector of oil has done me proud. Think BG and Dragon Oil, all big winners for ShareProphets members. But, nevertheless, my selection today is a big miner.
Zac "the Knife" Phillips is, of course, the City's No 1 oil analyst and as we own shares in Curzon Energy (CZN) I see no problem in highlighting this most excellent piece of research. Okay, SP Angel is a retained broker so feel free to ignore this as PR marketing hogwash but Zac "the Knife" is no fool and is a man who writes what he thinks. Over to "the great one"
The first pressing issue with MySquar (MYSQ) is whether it has committed securities fraud or merely driven a coach and horses through AIM Rules or both. I hope that either SP Angel or Beaufort will force it to reveal July sales numbers to give us an answer. The next question is when does it run out of cash? Here is my best estimate.
Following a 12th September interim results announcement which saw me consider it clearly tough operating conditions and (further) forecast downgrades ahoy, Goals Soccer Centres (GOAL) has now made a “Directorate Change” announcement…
Industrial chains and related power transmission products supplier Renold (RNO) has updated on trading including “the torque transmission division performed in-line with expectations. The Chain division delivered organic growth, but profitability was affected by machine break-downs at our Einbeck facility and by sustained increases in raw material costs”. Uh oh…
The red flags are obvious. The business model is one that could blow up with the asset bubble that has created it. Even in a best case scenario the valuation is absurd. Oh and Neil Woodford is a major investor. Need I say more. After Purplebricks (PURP) which is a nailed down zero, this is my number 1 short for the Autumn.
Taking readers suggestions for improvements, we've made it much easier to subscribe to your favourite one-stop source for breaking news and expert analysis on AIM and LSE listed shares. £5.99 pcm gets you access, that works out at sub 2p (inc VAT) per article. Think how much our big red flag calls on the AIM frauds have saved you and hot tips like IQE have made you. Its a nil brainer....it's madness not to sign up.
I cannot blame Jersey Oil & Gas (JOG) for raising £20 million today. It's the smart move. But if it has to offer shares at a 15-20% discount when it's on a roll what sort of discount will UK Oil & Gas (UKOG) have to offer as it seeks to raise £5-10 million with things going badly wrong? I also look at MySquar (MYSQ) after today's article that proves FRAUD. What is not allowed on AIM these days? Would complicity in mass murder be a problem? I give up.
If it sounds too good to be true, it is too good to be true. That brings me to the Cascade (nothing to do with Bill Gates) ramp and Servision (SEV) and a detailed look at why it is utterly worthless. I look at the bogus French bid stories at UK Oil & Gas and how the Froggies are actually dumping the shares ahead of a bailout placing and because they are monstrously overvalued. Its also placing ahoy at Magnolia (MAGP) and Andalas (ADL) which is so shite it makes UKOG look like BP. I look at Blenheim (BNR), the boardroom departures and why its shares are 50% overvalued. Finally I try to work out how soon Condor Gold (CNR) will have yet another placing and why I would not back it at any price.
Hello, Share Scoopers. Sometimes, gang, it makes sense to include advice from a different source when bringing shares before you for a possible punt. Especially when the other analysts agree with me. The boys and girls at Barclays have repeated an ‘overweight’ commendation for two big oil giants, and I’m glad to say I have chunky holdings in both of them.
It is clear that Nomad SP Angel does not care if its client MySquar (MYSQ) issues lies via RNS and it has not bothered to ask the one question that would show very clearly the Securities fraud committed by its client on July 31. It is a sorry state of affairs and I shall be writing to AIM Regulation and to the chairman of the LSE later to ask that SP Angel's license be revoked as it is clearly not fit and proper to run a public lavatory let alone be a Nomad. But now for John Meyer and his fellow dullards at SP Angel here is how your client defrauded investors.
To be fair, just a month and six days after launching in the USA Purplebricks (PURP) appears to be gaining some traction. Already it lists 1,460 apartments for sale in Los Angeles so folks are at least using it. Perhaps they like the claims made on the website Purplebricks.com?
Roger Lawson of ShareSoc bought a few shares in Rosslyn Data (RDT) as a recovery punt in a placing. That he was able to get EIS relief added to the attraction although I still worry he will lose money on this company which I have highlighted many times (HERE) as a howling dog even by the standards of AIM. Lawson attended the AGM yesterday and reports back on what appears to have been a curate's egg in his mind. I think he is being well generous.
Some posts on our comments section are so interesting that they merit a wider audience. Overnight Paul Scott, Britain;s top share blogger, served up a really interesting one on ASOS (ASC), prompted by Malcolm Stacey's recent (bearish) article here. This is really very interesting analysis. The great Scott writes:
Hello, Share Pilots. There is so many predictions of a earth-shattering share crash on this lively website, that we must all be feeling nervous. We all remember a few black days, only nine years ago, when it began to look as all shares would be worth hardly anything at all. Picture your mind’s desolation if that were to happen again. Here are a few precautions you might take.
The past week has shown clearly why MySquar (MYSQ) shares should not be traded on any market, even the AIM Casino. I demonstrated HERE that it had lied to investors in an RNS this month. That lie stands uncorrected. I demonstrated HERE that without any doubt it had committed wholesale securities fraud on July 31. This was chapter and verse stuff and MySquar is now exposed. Yet nothing has happened. As such I have written to my pal the bogus Sheriff of AIM, Mr Marcus Stuttard the head of AIM Regulation
A “Settlement of prior year taxes” announcement from semiconductor industry wafer supplier IQE plc (IQE) commences that “the group recently engaged the services of an international tax firm to assist with a routine US tax filing for the year ended 2016. Unexpectedly, this exercise has identified taxes due in the US relating to the profits of an overseas subsidiary for the years ending 2013, 2014, 2015 and 2016”. Uh oh…
So Jersey Oil & Gas got its placing away at a 21% discount and it is a company serving up good news. UK Oil & Gas (UKOG) has been serving up cold sick to its shareholders and is out of cash so needs a placing ASAP to avoid going tits up. UK Oil & Gas shares are now just 4.5p to sell so at what price do our readers expect the placing? Look away now if you are long, strong, wrong and clearly smoking a bong.
I wrote that I would not comment again on the Internet of Things company Telit Communications (TCM) until borrow became available again. The recall of borrow, it will be remembered, along with buying by various parties such as Davide Serra (the self-regarding nincompoop who complained to both the SEC and the FCA about the truth being told about the Quindell fraud in which he was foolish enough to have a sizeable holding), caused the share price to almost double recently. The good news is that borrow is now possible and the shares are unsurprisingly on the slide. They should be sold with vigour.
If you look at the 2011-2017 gold chart, we are facing the most significant trial yet says gold guru Lior. Gantz We managed to break through support, but that is being re-tested. If we can maintain support, we should see no further resistance up to $1400. This outcome is contingent on what the Federal Reserve does in December.
Having previously warned of a potential breach of “monitoring covenants” in the third quarter, Reach4Entertainment (R4E) “has now determined that the quarterly monitoring covenants for the third quarter of this year have been breached and has notified PNC”. However…
From the FCA's spreadsheet of short positions required to be disclosed to it, the following shows the shorted AIM shares with positions from 2016 and thus far in 2017 (by net short position %) - and if this position has increased (red), reduced (green) or remained unchanged (black) since last week...
At the end of June I commented on eServGlobal (ESG) that the interims argue “strong outlook” & Homesend “sales expansion”, but that the financials remained troubling. There’s recently been a pump – 2nd October; “HomeSend progress in the banking market”, 10th October; “eServGlobal outlook and business update” announcements – seeing the shares up from sub 8p at the end of last month to above 12p, closing yesterday at still above 10p… and so now “the company is pleased to announce”…
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