Hello, Share Monkeys. I’ve not covered ASOS (ASC) before, as I know it causes a lot of us some pain. I hardly know one investor, among my city gang, who has not sold the damn shares too early. Everybody knows the legend. ASOS is the share which is probably the most quoted when we lament to friends how much we could have made.
Last year I noted Cloudcall (CALL) going from ‘clearly enough cash to reach break-even’ to £3.77 million placing in less than 5 months. It stated on that placing that it would see it able to capitalise on “near term growth opportunities, without the working capital constraints which have hitherto restricted our rate of growth”. Just over a year later though there’s now a “proposed placing to raise £5.7million… to capitalise on near term growth opportunities”. Hmmm…
With ZAI Corporate Finance losing its Nomad status on Thursday, its client companies are running out of time to book in a replacement to avoid suspension. And that brings us to ShareProphets AIM-China Filthy Forty play Northwest Investment Group (NWIG) – the investment company which, after seven years, has invested not a cent.
Yesterday I discussed Doorsteps.co.uk which claims that it will flog your house for £99. I now look more closely at its history and the utterly shameless way that Crowdcube raised £400,000 for it; at the fact free and unquestioning BJ's its 19 year old founder has received from Fleet Street and speculate about how bad its metrics really are. That it has raised cash so easily is bad news for Purplebricks as it is now funded to nibble at its market share and so will be others until they all go bust. But it will be too late for Purplebricks by then. I then have hot gossip on Telit (TCM) which shows up the FT's dictation from PR men taking hacks for the fools they are and reinforces the shorting case big time. I cover UK Oil & Gas (UKOG) and Conroy Gold & Natural Resources (CGNR), both need to place ASAP and in both cases it will be ugly. I also remind you again what UKOG is NOT saying.
Yesterday revelations on Sky and a company statement made clear that all is not well at Interserve (IRV), for all the positive noises about constructive discussions with its lenders, Sky revealed that a syndicate of lenders including Royal Bank of Scotland and HSBC had called in Ernst and Young amid fears about the balance sheet. Noting also that the balance sheet is painfully thin, as per its recent interims statement, and the calamitous profit warning last month suggesting that the company had no idea of the eventual magnitude of the provision needed associated with its exit from its energy-from-waste business, as well as questions over current trading and you already have pretty good reasons to get out.
In my opus magnus on BCA Marketplace (BCA), the Big Short, I highlighted in Red Flag 4 point 1 the operating leases with no break clause until 2031 and noted that adding these to the balance sheet would double the apparent debt burden.
On a 3rd October announcement that Lyndon Davies had agreed to join as CEO, Hornby (HRN) non-executive director and Interim Chairman David Adams was “delighted to welcome Lyndon to the board”, adding “Hornby will continue with its turnaround plan”. There’s today a “Trading Statement and Directorate Change” announcement…
I have never written about Merlin Entertainment (MERL) before but i have certainly visited one of its leisure facilities religiously at least once a year for the last five years or so. Yes, I can attest that Legoland is actually damn good, clean family fun and due to the fifty minutes I spent in the queue for the new Ninjago ride the other month I have changed my specialist subject for any future Mastermind appearance.
What on earth is clueless Nomad SP Angel thinking? Its client MySquar (MYSQ) last week issued a (lack of) profits warning which means that it has either committed securities fraud or merely a massive breach of AIM Rule 11. Investors need to know what its sales were in July (as opposed to the July-September average given) in order to know how bad this will be. I have pressed SP Angel to force a statement and indeed the retained broker Beaufort has - to its enormous credit - also pressed but instead...
I last wrote about Falcon Media House (FAL) at the end of July following its year-end results (HERE) in which it stated that more funding would be needed despite only coming to the market in March. This morning it announced the form of such funding and it’s not pretty.
I was excited to see how Nuformix (NFX), the renamed company previously known as Levrett, would perform on debut yesterday as the LSE’s bulletin board in-house expert was predicting great things. Alas, it was all a bit of a damp squib but let’s hope at least that he managed to take a bit off the table during his ramp though.
Last week we had the shocking announcement of the culling of ZAI Corporate Finance as a Nomad by AIM, apparently due to a hip operation on one of its Qualified Executives. Of course, there is more to this than meets the eye, as discussed by Tom Winnifrith HERE. But aside from the actions of AIM as judge, jury and executioner – all behind closed doors – there is the issue of what happens to the clients of ZAI who use it as Nomad. Of twelve companies which announced they were looking for a replacement last week, we have now had two transfer – to Northland Capital Partners.
This has been a long time coming but there is now a new CEO at Reach4Entertainment (R4E), in Marc Boyan. At the same time Lord Michael Grade will step up to become Non Exec Chairman. But it is Boyan who matters…no offence Lord Grade...
Engineering group Pressure Technologies (PRES) “is pleased to announce” the result of a bookbuild. This is of a gross £5 million placing at 122p per share. This comparing to a prior closing 126p share price and more than 140p prior to a most recent trading statement at the end of August…
Hello, Share Twangers. A share which has given me a lot of pain, though (thankfully) I don’t think I’ve recommended it to you very much, is a telecoms giant which has seen better days. In fact, under two years ago the shares touched a fiver. Nowadays, they are less than three quid. But analysts at Barclays have just repeated their fairly long-standing target of 450p, which would cancel a big chunk of my loss.
The shares are tanking said the PR man to lyin' Steve Sanderson, CEO of UK Oil & Gas (UKOG). How will we get the bailout placing away? I know said Lyin' Steve, let's put out a ramptastic operational update. And so lo and behold Lyin's Steve issued the release and the Bulletin Board Morons fell for it (again) and the shares zoomed from 4.05p to 5.35p-5.4p. It is placing ahoy.
There is another update on the potential claim against Nomad Cantor Fitzgerald for its negligence in allowing the fraud African Potash (AFPO) to post utterly untrue statements to ramp its shares ahead of a rescue placing. Peter Petyt who is co-ordinating a claim for more than 100 aggrieved shareholders writes:
Previously writing on the former BrainJuicer Group, now System1 Group (SYS1), in August I noted the lack of a Benjamin Graham ‘margin of safety’ biting as the shares slid to 635p and that I continued to avoid. The shares are currently at 530p on the back of a further trading update…
Remember when the FT said Inmarsat (ISAT) was going to bid 140p a share for Avanti Coms (AVN) then at 30p now at 7.26p offer? Today it had a scoop on Telit (TCM) which the company has commented on. There is a grain of truth in the FT scoop but so much of what it writes is just PR spin as I demonstrate in this podcast. I hope the journalists responsible feel soiled and dirty. As for Telit I explain the various scenarios and why the downside is huge whatever happens. I cover UK Oil & Gas. A moron reckons he is going to make money by not paying to read ShareProphets and buying more UK Oil & Gas shares instead. Since his silly email the shares have lost another 14% and are now 4p bid. Next stop 3p then 2p then whatever. Truly the moron will be rich. Not. Then I rant about how troubled Interserv (IRV) lied to investors regarding the reason why its FD left and why that matters.
Germany's outgoing Finance Minister Wolfgang Schaeuble has warned that spiralling levels of debt, as well as the growth of liquidity across the world, risk creating a new financial crisis. Speaking to the Financial Times as he leaves his long-held post at Germany's finance ministry and becomes the Speaker of the Bundestag, Schaeuble said that his view is shared by economists around the world.
Taking readers suggestions for improvements, we've made it much easier to subscribe to your favourite one-stop source for breaking news and expert analysis on AIM and LSE listed shares. £5.99 pcm gets you access, that works out at sub 2p (inc VAT) per article. Think how much our big red flag calls on the AIM frauds have saved you and hot tips like IQE have made you. Its a nil brainer....it's madness not to sign up.
I cannot blame Jersey Oil & Gas (JOG) for raising £20 million today. It's the smart move. But if it has to offer shares at a 15-20% discount when it's on a roll what sort of discount will UK Oil & Gas (UKOG) have to offer as it seeks to raise £5-10 million with things going badly wrong? I also look at MySquar (MYSQ) after today's article that proves FRAUD. What is not allowed on AIM these days? Would complicity in mass murder be a problem? I give up.
If it sounds too good to be true, it is too good to be true. That brings me to the Cascade (nothing to do with Bill Gates) ramp and Servision (SEV) and a detailed look at why it is utterly worthless. I look at the bogus French bid stories at UK Oil & Gas and how the Froggies are actually dumping the shares ahead of a bailout placing and because they are monstrously overvalued. Its also placing ahoy at Magnolia (MAGP) and Andalas (ADL) which is so shite it makes UKOG look like BP. I look at Blenheim (BNR), the boardroom departures and why its shares are 50% overvalued. Finally I try to work out how soon Condor Gold (CNR) will have yet another placing and why I would not back it at any price.
Hello, Share Scoopers. Sometimes, gang, it makes sense to include advice from a different source when bringing shares before you for a possible punt. Especially when the other analysts agree with me. The boys and girls at Barclays have repeated an ‘overweight’ commendation for two big oil giants, and I’m glad to say I have chunky holdings in both of them.
It is clear that Nomad SP Angel does not care if its client MySquar (MYSQ) issues lies via RNS and it has not bothered to ask the one question that would show very clearly the Securities fraud committed by its client on July 31. It is a sorry state of affairs and I shall be writing to AIM Regulation and to the chairman of the LSE later to ask that SP Angel's license be revoked as it is clearly not fit and proper to run a public lavatory let alone be a Nomad. But now for John Meyer and his fellow dullards at SP Angel here is how your client defrauded investors.
To be fair, just a month and six days after launching in the USA Purplebricks (PURP) appears to be gaining some traction. Already it lists 1,460 apartments for sale in Los Angeles so folks are at least using it. Perhaps they like the claims made on the website Purplebricks.com?
Roger Lawson of ShareSoc bought a few shares in Rosslyn Data (RDT) as a recovery punt in a placing. That he was able to get EIS relief added to the attraction although I still worry he will lose money on this company which I have highlighted many times (HERE) as a howling dog even by the standards of AIM. Lawson attended the AGM yesterday and reports back on what appears to have been a curate's egg in his mind. I think he is being well generous.
Some posts on our comments section are so interesting that they merit a wider audience. Overnight Paul Scott, Britain;s top share blogger, served up a really interesting one on ASOS (ASC), prompted by Malcolm Stacey's recent (bearish) article here. This is really very interesting analysis. The great Scott writes:
Hello, Share Pilots. There is so many predictions of a earth-shattering share crash on this lively website, that we must all be feeling nervous. We all remember a few black days, only nine years ago, when it began to look as all shares would be worth hardly anything at all. Picture your mind’s desolation if that were to happen again. Here are a few precautions you might take.
The past week has shown clearly why MySquar (MYSQ) shares should not be traded on any market, even the AIM Casino. I demonstrated HERE that it had lied to investors in an RNS this month. That lie stands uncorrected. I demonstrated HERE that without any doubt it had committed wholesale securities fraud on July 31. This was chapter and verse stuff and MySquar is now exposed. Yet nothing has happened. As such I have written to my pal the bogus Sheriff of AIM, Mr Marcus Stuttard the head of AIM Regulation
A “Settlement of prior year taxes” announcement from semiconductor industry wafer supplier IQE plc (IQE) commences that “the group recently engaged the services of an international tax firm to assist with a routine US tax filing for the year ended 2016. Unexpectedly, this exercise has identified taxes due in the US relating to the profits of an overseas subsidiary for the years ending 2013, 2014, 2015 and 2016”. Uh oh…
So Jersey Oil & Gas got its placing away at a 21% discount and it is a company serving up good news. UK Oil & Gas (UKOG) has been serving up cold sick to its shareholders and is out of cash so needs a placing ASAP to avoid going tits up. UK Oil & Gas shares are now just 4.5p to sell so at what price do our readers expect the placing? Look away now if you are long, strong, wrong and clearly smoking a bong.
I wrote that I would not comment again on the Internet of Things company Telit Communications (TCM) until borrow became available again. The recall of borrow, it will be remembered, along with buying by various parties such as Davide Serra (the self-regarding nincompoop who complained to both the SEC and the FCA about the truth being told about the Quindell fraud in which he was foolish enough to have a sizeable holding), caused the share price to almost double recently. The good news is that borrow is now possible and the shares are unsurprisingly on the slide. They should be sold with vigour.
If you look at the 2011-2017 gold chart, we are facing the most significant trial yet says gold guru Lior. Gantz We managed to break through support, but that is being re-tested. If we can maintain support, we should see no further resistance up to $1400. This outcome is contingent on what the Federal Reserve does in December.
Having previously warned of a potential breach of “monitoring covenants” in the third quarter, Reach4Entertainment (R4E) “has now determined that the quarterly monitoring covenants for the third quarter of this year have been breached and has notified PNC”. However…
From the FCA's spreadsheet of short positions required to be disclosed to it, the following shows the shorted AIM shares with positions from 2016 and thus far in 2017 (by net short position %) - and if this position has increased (red), reduced (green) or remained unchanged (black) since last week...
At the end of June I commented on eServGlobal (ESG) that the interims argue “strong outlook” & Homesend “sales expansion”, but that the financials remained troubling. There’s recently been a pump – 2nd October; “HomeSend progress in the banking market”, 10th October; “eServGlobal outlook and business update” announcements – seeing the shares up from sub 8p at the end of last month to above 12p, closing yesterday at still above 10p… and so now “the company is pleased to announce”…
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