ShareProphets

Saturday 19 August 2017 The one stop source for free breaking news, expert analysis, and videos on AIM and LSE listed shares


28 July 2016, 11:22 | By Steve Moore |

Elektron Technology – current trading lower, lashings of jam tomorrow…

Elektron Technology (EKT) CEO John Wilson emphasises that “the group continues to make progress in the delivery of new product development programmes in our growth brands, which the board believes will significantly enhance shareholder value”, though current revenues (six months ending 31st July 2016) “are expected to be lower than those for the same period last year”. Hmmm…

28 July 2016, 11:21 | By Nigel Somerville, the Deputy Sheriff of AIM |

Filthy 40 China Africa down 36% today: how long until it is bust?

Leading the losers board today currently is ShareProphets AIM-China Filthy Forty play China Africa Resources (CAF) with (last seen) a stonking drop of 36%. There is no news today, but yesterday’s interims, released at lunchtime, might provide the clue: it’s not pretty – the company needs to raise cash.

28 July 2016, 09:13 | By Tom Winnifrith |

Tom Winnifrith Bearcast - My father prepares to sink Fred Olsen

I start with the bad news for whoever owns Fred Olsen.  I think look at Octagonal (OCT), Blur (BLUR), much ramped Keras Resources (KRS), XCite Energy (XEL), Magnolia Petroleum (MAGP), 88 Energy (88E), Highlands Natural Resources (HNR), Sareum (SAR) and then a joke IPO called Widecells (WDC), which listed yesterday and is now the subject of a ramp. Feel the stem cells. No actually don't. Just sell.

28 July 2016, 09:02 | By Nigel Somerville, the Deputy Sheriff of AIM |

Purplebricks – now Old Mutual heading for the exit?

We spotted that that the Chief Marketing Officer of AIM-listed Purplebricks (PURP) had been beating a hasty retreat the other day, selling £341,000 worth of shares acquired from the exercise of options almost as soon as the certificate arrived. But it seems that Old Mutual had a similar idea.

28 July 2016, 08:47 | By Cynical Bear |

FastForward Innovations – Late night RNS: yet another poor connected investment from the Thompson Twins

FastForward Innovations (FFWD) issued an after-hours RNS yesterday at 4.59pm announcing its next investment. Surely it wasn’t embarrassed by it? Let’s take a look.

28 July 2016, 08:33 | By Tom Winnifrith, The Sheriff of AIM |

Blur Trading Statement - Show Me The Lack of Money: Letts Must Go

The hapless Phil Letts, founder and CEO of disaster story Blur (BLUR) must surely know that his time - and that of his grossly overpaid Mrs - is almost up. After another dire trading statement today, There's No Other Way, as Blur used to say:

28 July 2016, 08:27 | By Tom Winnifrith & Steve Moore |

FDM Interims - Told y'all

Specialist provider of IT consultants, FDM Group (FDM) has announced results for the first half of 2016, noting a “strong” performance “is continuing into the second half… Notwithstanding the changing European political backdrop we remain confident that FDM is very well placed to meet the board's expectations for the full year”.

28 July 2016, 08:27 | By HotStockRockets |

Optibiotix - that is more like it: material revenues on the way very soon

Good news. This is the sort of thing investors have been wanting Optibiotix (OPTI) to announce and it is delivering. The company says that the trial launch of its Slimbiome® ingredients in a range of meal replacement shakes and natural snack bars went well. In independent tests the ingredients of bars and drinks including Slimbiome showed fatties cutting calorie intakes by 20% or more and suffering fewer cravings.

28 July 2016, 08:24 | By Malcolm Stacey |

The Share Price Keeps Building - But this Beauty Is Tooled Up for Even Bigger Profits.

Hello Share Screechers. It’s possibly time we looked at a share in the fabulous ‘slow, steady riser’ category. In some ways Ashtead Group (AHT) is a rather odd company to put our trust in.

27 July 2016, 16:14 | By Tom Winnifrith |

Tom Winnifrith Bearcast - Avanti won't be playing Germany in the invasion of France role play

I am challenged to comment on Cenkos (CNKS) as an investment in light of todays news on its role in the Quindell fraud (HERE). Okay, I do my best. Then it is on to Techfinancials (TECH), Advanced Oncotherapy (AVO) and some friendly advice for Malcolm Stacey, Gulf Keystone (GKP), XCite Energy (XEL) and then I end with Avanti Communications (AVN) where I hope you understand the historical analogy.

27 July 2016, 15:46 | By Tom Winnifrith |

For Once Frank Field is wrong - Philip Green is NOT worse than Robert Maxwell

The saintly Labour MP Frank Field is almost always right. He was on the right side on Brexit and seems to be about the only MP serious about welfare reform. And he is right to castigate Phil Green for his greed and all round disgraceful behaviour at BHS - I agree the man is awful, see HERE. But Frank is wrong to say that Green's crimes are worse than those of another Labour MP and disgraced CEO, Bob Maxwell.

27 July 2016, 14:00 | By Graham Neary |

Boring investing produces generations of riches – the case of PZ Cussons

Yesterday saw the publication of annual results from one of the low-profile but high-quality companies on the market: PZ Cussons (PZC). Underlying results were unexciting but investors were treated to their 43rd consecutive year-on-year dividend increase from this 19th century business. It just goes to show that successful investing can be very, very boring.

27 July 2016, 11:50 | By Steve Moore |

Ebiquity – relying on some improved performance to achieve FY expectations, future profit warning?

Marketing analytics company Ebiquity (EBQ) has released a half year trading statement including that its “Marketing Performance Optimization practice has generated significant growth across all markets”, though that overall company performance is only “broadly in line with” (i.e. slightly behind) market expectations. The following reviews, with the shares currently 3% lower at 115p…

27 July 2016, 10:35 | By Nigel Somerville, the Deputy Sheriff of AIM |

Frontera Resources – Red Flags for breakfast, anyone? SELL!

DIRECTOR PURCHASES SHARES screams the headline – in capitals - of an RNS from AIM-listed Frontera Resources (FRR) - not to be confused with Frontier Resources - this morning. Ooooh quick, let’s all pile in – follow the money, as they say, because the insiders know what’s really going on. Er, hang on a moment….

27 July 2016, 09:37 | By Tom Winnifrith, The Sheriff of AIM |

Vindication for Tom Winnifrith: Cenkos to be fined up to £700,000 over Quindell fraud - not enough

Sky News claims to have a source who says that Nomad and broker Cenkos (CNKS) is to be fined £700,000 by the FCA for its lamentable failings in the Quindell (QPP) fraud - Cenkos has now admiited that a probe is underway. Whilst I see this as another moment of vindication for my work in exposing that fraud it is simply not enough. The FCA is telling the City's banksters that turning a blind eye to white collar crime does pay. Its coke and hookers all round if this is the best that the FCA can do.

27 July 2016, 08:54 | By HotStockRockets |

Frontier Resources becomes Concepta as RTO completes - Buy

Frontier Resources (FRI) is no more. It is now Concepta (CPT), new shares for the RTO, open offer and placing have been issued and the shares have undergone a 250-1 consolidation.

27 July 2016, 08:20 | By Steve Moore |

KEFI Minerals – “pleased to announce” placing, is it right to be so?

KEFI Minerals (KEFI) “is pleased to announce that it has conditionally raised approximately £3.8 million (approximately US$5 million), before expenses, through the issue of 761,921,740 new ordinary shares… at a price of 0.5p per share”. Is it right to be so?

27 July 2016, 08:20 | By Nigel Somerville, the Deputy Sheriff of AIM |

China New – tardy Zambia RNS, shocking. When’s the placing?

If you ever wanted a case-study in Red Flags then look no further than the FY15 results of ShareProphets AIM-China Filthy Forty poster-boy China New Energy (CNEL). This is a company festooned in them. Just for starters, let’s take a look at yesterday morning’s RNS and the involvement of its “independent” NED. It just stinks. Never mind about AIM Rules, let’s get the share price up so that we can get more confetti issued.

27 July 2016, 08:20 | By Malcolm Stacey |

No Split for BT Isn't the Only Reason This Share Could Climb

Hello Share Sippers. One of those dynamic companies which is never out of the news for long is BT (BT.A). The reason is obvious, the country relies on it not just for telephone land lines but for access to the internet. It’s an odd situation for so many companies to be reliant on another one for a service nobody can do without. And BT, if its rivals are to be believed, has taken advantage of the fact.

26 July 2016, 14:24 | By Tom Winnifrith |

Tom Winnifrith Bearcast: Bastards, the lawyers are always the only winners

In this podcast I start by clarifying exacty where I stand on Nostra Terra (NTOG) then I move onto Lead All (LEAL), Blenheim Natural (BNR) and China New Energy (CNEL). Then I look at Strat Aero (AERO) where there is news from Texas ( not good). Finally a stock we own, Bluebird Merchant (BMV) and I assist you with the maths on today's cracking news.

19 August 2017, 11:11 | By Tom Winnifrith |

Tom Winnifrith: Sign up now for new free share tip service FiveFreeShareTips.com

Following complaints from shamed share ramper Roger Lawson, ADVFN has insisted on a raft of new editorial controls on OneFreeShareTip.com. I did not re-start my life five years ago to be told what I could or could not write. I said no and ADVFN boss Clem Chambers has just said that the website will be shut down. So...our hand is forced ... Welcome to fivefreesharetips.com - we hope you join NOW HERE.

13 August 2017, 22:11 | By Tom Winnifrith |

New Bulletin Board Moron of the Week contest - sponsored by the fund managers who knew so much better than the dirty plebs on Telit

Just three months ago some of Britain's top fund managers ploughed more than 50 million dollars into a placing organised by AIM dog Telit Communications despite numerous warnings from ourselves and others. But they knew better and anyhow it was other people's money. The shares have collapsed today to less than half the placing price after the most awful set of interims. But the fund managers will still earn Inter City salaries + ( more than 125) and fat bonuses so who cares? Are there any folks in the share world dumber than those fund managers? Er.... 

13 August 2017, 07:42 | By Gary Newman |

Kaz Minerals offers a buying opportunity on this dip

Kaz Minerals (KAZ) is a great example of the extent that commodity prices can effect larger miners, and the recovery in copper prices has seen the share price trading at multiples of where it was just 18 months ago.

13 August 2017, 01:34 | By Tom Winnifrith, The Sheriff of AIM |

KERBOOM - THE FULL SHOCKING DOSSIER, New fraud revealed - This is why Telit is Globo Mk2 and why it is going to 0p

Over the past week I have shown that Telit Communications (TCM) is run by a man who fled fraud charges in the US but changed his name to avoid investors knowing, I have flagged up banking covenant breaches, red flag strewn interims and an Italian criminal investigation. But that was just an appetizer. Today I give you a full dossier with shocking NEW material, which shows this is Globo Mark 2. it is a fraud and its shares are going to zero.

13 August 2017, 07:59 | By Tom Winnifrith |

Jubilee Platinum deal with Riverfort - death spirals so bad right? NO!

Jubilee Platinum (JLP) last week announced a $50 million funding package to grow its metals recovery business. Oh no Riverfort! Said the snipers. Death spirals, yak, yak, yak. They have it wrong. This deal is, if you read the detail, good news.

13 August 2017, 01:11 | By Pizza HardMan Darren Atwater |

Notes from Underground: Here's a buy recommendation: invest in moped shares

London has a real table problem. At least the outdoor ones, and I don't see Mayor Sadiq Khan putting any effort into it.

13 August 2017, 10:55 | By Tom Winnifrith, The Sheriff of AIM |

Emails sent to AIM Regulation & Nomad Finncap after today's Telit bombshell - this must be suspended 7 AM Monday

This is becoming Globo v2 at a an alarming rate. Today's bombshell dossier on Telit Communications (TCM) nails it as a slam dunk ZERO beyond all doubt. The only way that the shares do not completely crater in the morning is if they are suspended first. And that is exactly what should happen. As such I sent a couple of emails last night. One to tthe head of the Oxymorons Marcus Stuttard and his clueless colleagues, the Keystone Cops at AIM Regulation and the other to the folks at Nomad FinnCap from CEO Sam Smith via head of Corporate Finance Stuart Andrews down to analyst Lorne Daniel with a minor jackal in Corporate Finaance also included in case Andrews is too busy with his polo ponies to read emails on a Sunday. Enjoy!

13 August 2017, 11:29 | By Tom Winnifrith, The Sheriff of AIM |

Want to Get your cash back on the Paragon Diamonds AIM Casino fraud & bust - legal case now imminent

Investors who have lost £900,000 on the Paragon Diamonds (PRG) fraud and bust are now lined up to sue the hapless Nomad ( Northland with QEs Gerry Beaney and David Hignell overseeing the shambles) as an update from class action litigation arranger Peter Petyt sent this morning, makes clear. However we need more folks who were conned to join the party URGENTLY and for two reasons:

13 August 2017, 11:56 | By Tom Winnifrith, The Sheriff of AIM |

Telit Communications – Mr Fat Katz unusual remuneration arrangements

After today's complete bombshell which shows that Telit (TCM) is a Globo style fraud and thus utterly worthless what follows may be a tad academic. But, none the less, it is yet another Red Flag which we all should have noticed earlier. Reading through the 2016 annual report of Telit it is apparent that Mr Fat Katz, sorry Mr Oozi Cats, had two unusual remuneration arrangements. 

13 August 2017, 13:17 | By Tom Winnifrith, The Sheriff of AIM |

Tom Winnifrith Bearcast Special - the culture of corporate lying as I say GOTCHA to Telit

Following today's bombshell there can be no doubt that Telit Communications (TCM) is toast. Companies that lie and deceive so industrially in the way I demonstrated earlier HERE will always end in tears.  In this podcast I look at the culture of corporate lying and wrongdoing and what it means for you as an investor. I look at rent boys at BP then at Quindell (QPP), Globo (GBO) and of course, in the main, at Telit

13 August 2017, 13:57 | By Tom Winnifrith, The Sheriff of AIM |

Telit bombshell Part 2 - its Distributors are oft on a par with those of Globo

Earlier today I published a bombshell that demonstrated that Telit (TCM) was Globo v2 - that is to say a FRAUD heading for zero in short order.. One of the points that caused Globo to unravel within days were its bogus distributors. I covered that in some detail in Part 1 of this series but here in  part 2 I offer up some graphics to make my point. Distributors account for only 30% of claimed sales but if they are bogus then is anything genuine? It is game over for Telit, the Fat Lady is getting ready... Enjoy what follows...

14 August 2017, 08:03 | By Malcolm Stacey |

Congratulations! - You're a Share Winner In the 68,000 Club

Hello, Share Jigglers. The stats show that more than 68,000 different people logged onto this magnificent website last week. Darren Atwater, who recorded this amazing count is too modest to comment. So allow me to note that 68,000 is the equivalent of the entire population of a very big town.

13 August 2017, 13:27 | By Nigel Somerville |

Ariana – gold price, production news and share price

After my mea culpa of June 20th we have had further news. It has taken a bit of time to digest, but overall it looks positive to me, if rather laced with jam-tomorrow. With the share price finally off its low point of just 1.25p, let’s look through the detail.

13 August 2017, 13:37 | By Evil Banksta |

Obtala: When is an equity Issue not an equity issue?

When the cash still hasn’t arrived! Tom Winnifrith gets upset (see) when I write negative comments about Obtala (OBT) and so I’ve kept quiet for a while, but there comes a point when you just have to ask the question: WTF is going on? Since Tom believes in free speech (as well as Obtala) he - as ever - allows me to write here.

14 August 2017, 08:26 | By David Scott |

Because it is easy - Kennedy on Space, the World today on debt-binging

In a world in which "we do these things because they're easy", the outcome will eventually be very difficult and painful. On September 12, 1962, President John F. Kennedy gave a famous speech announcing the national goal of going to the moon by the end of the decade.  In a memorable line, Kennedy said we would pursue the many elements of the space program "not because they are easy, but because they are hard.Both nationally and internationally the overriding economic philosophy is currently "we do these things because they're easy" and relying on debt to pay today's expenses is at the top of the list. What's easier than using a line of credit to buy whatever you want or need? Nothing's easier than borrowing money, especially at super-low rates of interest.

13 August 2017, 21:03 | By Tom Winnifrith, The Sheriff of AIM |

FT Reports that Telit "parts company" with Oozi Cats - that's spin from the PR & no longer the issue

The Financial Times, always happy to help a company in trouble try to polish a turd with some PR spinning, is reporting that Telit Communications (TCM) is to part company with its founder, 12% shareholder and CEO Oozi Cats on a permanent basis. After our Boston fraudster revelations of last week Oozi had already stepped down pending an investigation by a law firm Cameron McKenna. After our revelations he was toast. But sacking Oozi is not enough after today's bombshells on this website - this is PR spinning and does not address the issue of wholesale fraud at Telit.

14 August 2017, 08:15 | By HotStockRockets |

Another day and another snippet of good news from Kefi Minerals - buy at up to 6p - target 13p+ to sell

Kefi (KEFI) has announced that it has managed to reduce the amount needed to bring the Tulu Kapi project in Ethiopia into production by another $8 million. Following news of the $135 million Oryx funding last month the shortfall Kefi faced was $32 million, it is now just $24 million.

19 August 2017, 11:11 | By Tom Winnifrith |

Tom Winnifrith: Sign up now for new free share tip service FiveFreeShareTips.com

Following complaints from shamed share ramper Roger Lawson, ADVFN has insisted on a raft of new editorial controls on OneFreeShareTip.com. I did not re-start my life five years ago to be told what I could or could not write. I said no and ADVFN boss Clem Chambers has just said that the website will be shut down. So...our hand is forced ... Welcome to fivefreesharetips.com - we hope you join NOW HERE.

19 August 2017, 11:11 | By Pizza Hardman & Hackney Marxist Darren Atwater |

New Bulletin Board Moron of the Week contest - sponsored by some scooter courier shop in Vietnam, #1 distributer for Telit

As seen here, Telit's (TCM) distributers are a, um, diverse lot, including a distributer in Vietnam that appears to be a scooter courier firm. Which is nice, and thank you for sponsoring this week's Bulletin Board Moron search.

18 August 2017, 14:35 | By Tom Winnifrith, The Sheriff of AIM |

Tom Winnifrith Bearcast: Oozi Cats and the FBI & why Telit could well be tits up within weeks

The failure of the LSE to insist that hapless Nomad FinnCap forces Telit (TCM) to bring in a firm like KPMG to conduct a full forensic review will hurt it even more when this company goes tits up as I noted in a letter to Stock Exchange boss Donald Brydon earlier today HERE.  Two sources tell me that the FBI may have bad news for the Boston fraudster Oozi Cats and his Mrs as I explain in this podcast. But the meat of the podcast is explaining why Telit will go tits up and why that could be within six weeks. Enjoy.

18 August 2017, 08:11 | By Tom Winnifrith, The Sheriff of AIM |

A letter to the chairman of the London Stock Exchange - why no independent review of the Telit fraud?

You may remember that at the last AGM of the London Stock Exchange (LSE) its chairman,, Donald Brydon CBE, 'fessed up to being a ShareProphets reader and as we chatted afterwards he came over as a thoroughly decent man. But he has, yet again, been failed by his minions in their handling of the biggest AIM fraud of the year, so far, Telit (TCM). Lowly gofers such as the head of AIM Regulation, the fake Sheriff Mr Marcus Stuttad,  have allowed Telit to avoid any independent scrutiny of its accounts & business practices despite clear evidence of fraud. That has to change and maybe Brydon will push for that. I have sent him a letter.

18 August 2017, 09:24 | By Tom Winnifrith |

Does Neil Woodford really deserve a halo - is Circassia the biggest dog in his funds?

If you read the bent, freebie is our middle name, personal financie columnists in the deadwood press, fund manager Neil Woodford walks on water. I disagree and have noted before, that, maybe, after three dismal years, others are starting to see the light.  But, with assistance from a leading broker, how about we have a real look at the Woodford Patient Capital Trust (WPCT) but also at the sort of dogs Neil ifalls in love with.

17 August 2017, 14:59 | By Tom Winnifrith |

Obtala - shares to more than double: broker VSA: we publish the note

VSA is house broker to Obtala (OBT) so is not impartial. Neither am I as we own a small number of shares following a Dragon's Den pitch as the 2017 UK Investor Show. But the price target suggests real upside and VSA's research team is well regarded and since we happily published an uber-negative piece from Evil Banksta the other day, this offers some balance. VSA has tweaked its forecasts

18 August 2017, 14:46 | By Tom Winnifrith |

Reader Comment of the day - Drunken Sailor unearths local issues for Bushveld

You may remember that ShareProphets poster Drunken Sailor and I were co-defendants in a libel case a couple of years ago ( which we won). Mr sailor is not a drunk and he is a great sleuth when he wants to be. My pressing concerns about uber ramped Bushveld Minerals (BMN) are its balance sheet, but DS has unearthed another major issue which, for some reason, Bushveld has not covered in an RNS. Perhaps it might do so now? Drunken's post merits a wider audience:

18 August 2017, 11:24 | By Cynical Bear |

PCG Entertainment – Lots to like about this funding deal other than…….WHY??

Like Richard Poulden, CEO of PCG Entertainment (PCGE), I have a bit of time for Brian Kinane at Riverfort. As someone who believes in transparency and clear communication, my view is that Brian is trying to bring some of that to the world of small cap funding, particularly where the dreaded phrase “ death spiral” is concerned and there’s a few points here to be applauded. It still doesn’t prevent the obvious question being aimed at Mr Poulden though – WHY RAISE MORE FUNDS NOW?

18 August 2017, 09:14 | By Tom Winnifrith |

Kennedy Ventures - Giving 3.98% of the company to the CEO does have a cost

Some folks think that handing out share options to senior staff is a cost free exercise and b) benefits all shareholders as it incentivizes the board and also aligns their interests with those of stockholders. Bollocks on all counts.

18 August 2017, 14:05 | By Steve Moore |

SRT Marine Systems – order “for the world's biggest single deployment of AIS AtoN”. Wow… Or not…

Following the postponement of a significant contract announced at the end of last month, SRT Marine Systems (SRT) has now announced an “AIS Aids to Navigation Contract”, including that “the order is for the world's biggest single deployment of AIS AtoN”. The world's biggest hey, sounds impressive!…

17 August 2017, 14:03 | By Steve Moore |

Idox – acquisition aids a rating which is “highly attractive”… Or is it?

Having reached more than 75p in May, shares in information management technology and services company Idox (IDOX) declined below 60p early last month before recovering above 65p - then declining towards 60p again. The company is now “pleased to announce that it has acquired… Halarose, a supplier of electoral back office software and services to UK local authorities, for £5.0 million, comprising £3.5 million in cash and £1.5 million in shares” (at 61.5p)…

18 August 2017, 08:08 | By Malcolm Stacey |

Looking for a Possibly Safer Airline Venture? - Well, this Fleet's In

Hello Share Grafters. The congestion in most of our airports will give you the heads-up that air travel is booming. It will continue to do so, especially as more people from developing countries become middle class. But you may still be wary of big airlines.

18 August 2017, 14:59 | By Nigel Somerville, the Deputy Sheriff of AIM |

Advanced Oncotherapy – how’s the cash position? Still a stonking SELL.

After a stack of RNSs earlier this year, it has all gone quiet at AIM-listed Advanced Oncotherapy (AVO) since the announcement of the termination of the Bracknor death-spiral. How’s the cash position?

17 August 2017, 16:05 | By Steve Moore |

Capital Drilling – half-year results include “broadened” uplift in activity, so why are the shares lower still?

Drilling services company Capital Drilling (CAPD) has announced results for the first half of 2017, including that an initial uplift in activity has broadened with an improving outlook in industrial metals and capital markets activities support. Why then are the shares further lower, below 40p, having been above 60p earlier this year?...

19 August 2017, 07:56 | By Steve Moore |

Table of shorted AIM shares - week to 18/08/2017

From the FCA's spreadsheet of short positions required to be disclosed to it, the following shows the shorted AIM shares with positions from 2016 and thus far in 2017 (by net short position %) - and if this position has increased (red), reduced (green) or remained unchanged (black) since last week...

19 August 2017, 07:32 | By Tom Winnifrith, The Sheriff of AIM |

Telit Communications – how much of a cash guzzler is GainSpan?

In the piss poor results for the six months to 30 June 2017, Telit (TCM) highlighted that it had purchased GainSpan and provided the following rather limited commentary on its contribution to the interim results: