ShareProphets

Saturday 19 August 2017 The one stop source for free breaking news, expert analysis, and videos on AIM and LSE listed shares


16 August 2016, 14:21 | By Tom Winnifrith |

Tom Winnifrith Bearcast: come on Dad it is not a hard sum!

These old folks they need mental exercise. Crosswords, jigsaws, Soduku, easy questions from their son. But my father fails on the how many days till Glenwick (GWIK) is suspended question. He says his mind is on higher things. Meanwhile I am still traumatised from being seen buying a copy of the Guardian for him. I look at Red Rock Resources (RRR), Glenwick, Leed Resources (LDP), Aquatic Foods (AFG) and China frauds, BoxHill (BOX) and naughty Lord Razzall - how is the bailout placing going your lordship? And I commend the recent work of Daniel Levi (Brokerman Dan) on Mkango Resources (MKA) where the old rogue is bang on the money. Mkango is truly worthless.

16 August 2016, 14:00 | By Steve Moore |

Red Rock Resources – cash inflows update & company chat...

Following interim results in March noting an “objective of moving towards cash breakeven and then cash generation within this year”, Red Rock Resources (RRR) has today updated on cash inflows and I’ve spoken with the company...

16 August 2016, 13:16 | By Nigel Somerville, the Deputy Sheriff of AIM |

Filthy 40 China fraud Aquatic Foods: “Technical administrative delay” sees dividend postponed.

Oh dear, oh dear. This does not look good. ShareProphets AIM-China Filthy Forty China fraud Aquatic Foods Group (AFG) has announced that it hasn’t paid its full-year dividend of 0.7p per share due to a “technical administrative delay”. Is that because there isn’t any cash?

16 August 2016, 13:00 | By Chris Bailey of Financial Orbit |

BHP Billiton: make billions in losses… and the shares correctly go up

You cannot complain when one of your tips of the year has put on over 35% in the last eight-and-a-bit months, but it would be fair to say a month or two into the year even I wondered what I had let myself in for with BHP Billiton (BLT).

16 August 2016, 12:02 | By Nigel Somerville |

Rockrose Energy – interims add to pressure for inclusion in Cynical Bear’s Sub-Standard XI

(Sub-) standard-listed Rockrose Energy (RRE) has posted half-year numbers to June 2016 which show a loss of £303,344. The company came to market on 13 Jan with a business strategy of targeting acquisitions to deliver shareholder value – in other words it is (pro tem) an investing company with much to commend its inclusion in Cynical Bear’s Sub-Standard XI. Since listing it has yet to announce a deal and having raised £4.4 million (before expenses) it finished the period with net assets of £3.9 million, and just £3.1 million of cash.

16 August 2016, 10:00 | By Nigel Somerville, the Deputy Sheriff of AIM |

Cloudbuy Interims: more future Hartleys but will the cash last long enough?

Following on from the release of its FY15 numbers two days ahead of the reporting deadline, AIM-listed e-commerce technology operator Cloudbuy has put out its interims to June in rather more expeditious fashion. Having previously noted the jam-tomorrow qualities to be had, is there any sign of the lorry-load of conserve on the horizon?

16 August 2016, 08:01 | By Tom Winnifrith, The Sheriff of AIM |

Lord Razzall of Boxhill you are boring me - what are you hiding now you worm?

Lord Timmy Razzall still has not answered the ten questions from Cynical Bear that a man of honour rather than a money grabbing piece of shite would have answered - his silence tells you everything. Instead he has again produced a trading statement from Boxhill Technologies (BOX) which omits all the key data - Lord Razzall luvvie, what are you hiding?

16 August 2016, 08:00 | By Steve Moore |

Ten Alps – restructuring of London publishing business fails, is to be closed down…

Having slumped from 2p following a profit warning in May, shares in Ten Alps (TAL) are currently recovering slightly on the back of a “Closure of Ten Alps Media Limited” announcement...

16 August 2016, 08:00 | By Gary Newman |

Is it time to think about banking a healthy profit on Centamin?

Centamin (CEY) has proved a great example that it is possible to buy shares based on them being fundamentally too cheap, and then hold until the company recovers and you can reap the rewards.

16 August 2016, 07:59 | By Nigel Somerville, the Deputy Sheriff of AIM |

Galasys – yet another corporate departure: what of corporate governance?

Oh dear, just when things were going so well for AIM-listed Galasys (GLS)! Here we have a boardroom at war with itself, the provider of company secretarial services and registered office resigning (date now extended to this Friday) and joke accounts. Now, having seen its token Westerner walk from the board as independent NED last December, Mr Vincent Lai Tuck Yuen was announced to have stepped down as NED on Friday last week, effective immediately – apparently “due to personal reasons”.

16 August 2016, 07:58 | By Tom Winnifrith |

Wishbone: belated AGM statement - much better late than never

Why on earth it took Wishbone Gold (WSBN), the owner of the Black Sand gold trading business, two working days with a weekend in between to release an AGM statement is beyond me. Amid the uncertainty that caused we loyal shareholders suffered as the shares slid. But better late than never we had an RNS yesterday and it was good news indeed.

16 August 2016, 07:58 | By Malcolm Stacey |

Travis Perkins Could Build Fast After its Big Brexit Bash

Hello Share Tillers. There can be little doubt now that the Footsie will burst through the all-important 7,000 mark this week. But we still have the problem of what shares to pick, even in a tangible bull market like this. I almost said a 'healthy' bull market, but we all have to be cautious in these uncertain days.

15 August 2016, 14:25 | By Steve Moore |

Pennant – follows share price pump, with a dump extraordinaire...

Shares in Pennant (PEN) closed May at 34.25p before... 1st June: “New Contract Awards worth in excess of £13 million”, 16th June: “New Contract Award and Trading Update”, 19th July: “Record Order Book drives expansion of premises” - and now there is a dump extraordinaire...

15 August 2016, 14:20 | By Lucian Miers |

Avanti kicks off the silly Season - still a sell

They don’t call this the silly season for nothing. Shortly after Inmarsat (ISAT)  announced on August 1st that it was not interested in Avanti (AVN), a story appeared in the FT saying that it had in fact been willing to pay “at least” 140p per share (subject to due diligence) right up until the end of July, around five times the price at the time.

15 August 2016, 14:01 | By Graham Neary |

William Hill – Fundamental disagreement over revised offer, but good signs that shares are underpriced

This morning brings separate announcements from 888 (888) and Rank Group (RNK) on the one hand, and their desired target William Hill (WMH) on the other. The two sides continue to be poles apart when it comes to the mooted merger of the three entities. Despite the rationale put forward by the suitors, I reckon the board of William Hill are right to ignore the offer for now.

15 August 2016, 11:06 | By Tom Winnifrith, The Sheriff of AIM |

Tom Winnifrith Bonus Bearcast: A personal message to Paul Warwick of Andalas Energy

Andalas Enrergy (ADL) has announced that its chairman has launched a "blog". Paul Warwick sounds like a pompous twit and asks for some feedback and questions. Paul is no David Lenigas, who as corporate folk go, is not a bad blogger, but I am here to assist so here goes. A few questions follow and Andalas shares remain a slam dunk sell.

15 August 2016, 11:05 | By Lucian Miers |

Sound Energy, another sell from the silly season

While we are working our way through the silly season when all sorts of rubbish zooms ahead, I see that Sound Energy (SOU) is nudging an insane market cap of £300 million while I write. It could well soon take the place of the soon to be departed Gulf Keystone as the oil stock of choice for the retail loonies.

15 August 2016, 10:48 | By David Scott |

The world economy is running on monetary fumes

On Friday during an interview on Wharton Business Radio, St. Louis Fed president James Bullard, who has recently moved from the Fed's biggest hawk to one of its more vocal doves, said that he sees just one rate interest in the next few years. He also confirmed that the Fed will never hike rates at a time when even one recent economic data point has printed negative, saying "the right time to move rates is after good economic news." More troubling?

15 August 2016, 10:43 | By Tom Winnifrith |

A broker warns you why International Consolidated (British Airways) is a sell

Sometimes the best investment calls are made not by looking at spreadsheets but from actually kicking the tyres. Hence I bring you a note in this morning from a broker on International Consolidated (IAG). Over to the broker:

19 August 2017, 11:11 | By Tom Winnifrith |

Tom Winnifrith: Sign up now for new free share tip service FiveFreeShareTips.com

Following complaints from shamed share ramper Roger Lawson, ADVFN has insisted on a raft of new editorial controls on OneFreeShareTip.com. I did not re-start my life five years ago to be told what I could or could not write. I said no and ADVFN boss Clem Chambers has just said that the website will be shut down. So...our hand is forced ... Welcome to fivefreesharetips.com - we hope you join NOW HERE.

13 August 2017, 22:11 | By Tom Winnifrith |

New Bulletin Board Moron of the Week contest - sponsored by the fund managers who knew so much better than the dirty plebs on Telit

Just three months ago some of Britain's top fund managers ploughed more than 50 million dollars into a placing organised by AIM dog Telit Communications despite numerous warnings from ourselves and others. But they knew better and anyhow it was other people's money. The shares have collapsed today to less than half the placing price after the most awful set of interims. But the fund managers will still earn Inter City salaries + ( more than 125) and fat bonuses so who cares? Are there any folks in the share world dumber than those fund managers? Er.... 

13 August 2017, 07:42 | By Gary Newman |

Kaz Minerals offers a buying opportunity on this dip

Kaz Minerals (KAZ) is a great example of the extent that commodity prices can effect larger miners, and the recovery in copper prices has seen the share price trading at multiples of where it was just 18 months ago.

13 August 2017, 01:34 | By Tom Winnifrith, The Sheriff of AIM |

KERBOOM - THE FULL SHOCKING DOSSIER, New fraud revealed - This is why Telit is Globo Mk2 and why it is going to 0p

Over the past week I have shown that Telit Communications (TCM) is run by a man who fled fraud charges in the US but changed his name to avoid investors knowing, I have flagged up banking covenant breaches, red flag strewn interims and an Italian criminal investigation. But that was just an appetizer. Today I give you a full dossier with shocking NEW material, which shows this is Globo Mark 2. it is a fraud and its shares are going to zero.

13 August 2017, 07:59 | By Tom Winnifrith |

Jubilee Platinum deal with Riverfort - death spirals so bad right? NO!

Jubilee Platinum (JLP) last week announced a $50 million funding package to grow its metals recovery business. Oh no Riverfort! Said the snipers. Death spirals, yak, yak, yak. They have it wrong. This deal is, if you read the detail, good news.

13 August 2017, 01:11 | By Pizza HardMan Darren Atwater |

Notes from Underground: Here's a buy recommendation: invest in moped shares

London has a real table problem. At least the outdoor ones, and I don't see Mayor Sadiq Khan putting any effort into it.

13 August 2017, 10:55 | By Tom Winnifrith, The Sheriff of AIM |

Emails sent to AIM Regulation & Nomad Finncap after today's Telit bombshell - this must be suspended 7 AM Monday

This is becoming Globo v2 at a an alarming rate. Today's bombshell dossier on Telit Communications (TCM) nails it as a slam dunk ZERO beyond all doubt. The only way that the shares do not completely crater in the morning is if they are suspended first. And that is exactly what should happen. As such I sent a couple of emails last night. One to tthe head of the Oxymorons Marcus Stuttard and his clueless colleagues, the Keystone Cops at AIM Regulation and the other to the folks at Nomad FinnCap from CEO Sam Smith via head of Corporate Finance Stuart Andrews down to analyst Lorne Daniel with a minor jackal in Corporate Finaance also included in case Andrews is too busy with his polo ponies to read emails on a Sunday. Enjoy!

13 August 2017, 11:29 | By Tom Winnifrith, The Sheriff of AIM |

Want to Get your cash back on the Paragon Diamonds AIM Casino fraud & bust - legal case now imminent

Investors who have lost £900,000 on the Paragon Diamonds (PRG) fraud and bust are now lined up to sue the hapless Nomad ( Northland with QEs Gerry Beaney and David Hignell overseeing the shambles) as an update from class action litigation arranger Peter Petyt sent this morning, makes clear. However we need more folks who were conned to join the party URGENTLY and for two reasons:

13 August 2017, 11:56 | By Tom Winnifrith, The Sheriff of AIM |

Telit Communications – Mr Fat Katz unusual remuneration arrangements

After today's complete bombshell which shows that Telit (TCM) is a Globo style fraud and thus utterly worthless what follows may be a tad academic. But, none the less, it is yet another Red Flag which we all should have noticed earlier. Reading through the 2016 annual report of Telit it is apparent that Mr Fat Katz, sorry Mr Oozi Cats, had two unusual remuneration arrangements. 

13 August 2017, 13:17 | By Tom Winnifrith, The Sheriff of AIM |

Tom Winnifrith Bearcast Special - the culture of corporate lying as I say GOTCHA to Telit

Following today's bombshell there can be no doubt that Telit Communications (TCM) is toast. Companies that lie and deceive so industrially in the way I demonstrated earlier HERE will always end in tears.  In this podcast I look at the culture of corporate lying and wrongdoing and what it means for you as an investor. I look at rent boys at BP then at Quindell (QPP), Globo (GBO) and of course, in the main, at Telit

13 August 2017, 13:57 | By Tom Winnifrith, The Sheriff of AIM |

Telit bombshell Part 2 - its Distributors are oft on a par with those of Globo

Earlier today I published a bombshell that demonstrated that Telit (TCM) was Globo v2 - that is to say a FRAUD heading for zero in short order.. One of the points that caused Globo to unravel within days were its bogus distributors. I covered that in some detail in Part 1 of this series but here in  part 2 I offer up some graphics to make my point. Distributors account for only 30% of claimed sales but if they are bogus then is anything genuine? It is game over for Telit, the Fat Lady is getting ready... Enjoy what follows...

14 August 2017, 08:03 | By Malcolm Stacey |

Congratulations! - You're a Share Winner In the 68,000 Club

Hello, Share Jigglers. The stats show that more than 68,000 different people logged onto this magnificent website last week. Darren Atwater, who recorded this amazing count is too modest to comment. So allow me to note that 68,000 is the equivalent of the entire population of a very big town.

13 August 2017, 13:27 | By Nigel Somerville |

Ariana – gold price, production news and share price

After my mea culpa of June 20th we have had further news. It has taken a bit of time to digest, but overall it looks positive to me, if rather laced with jam-tomorrow. With the share price finally off its low point of just 1.25p, let’s look through the detail.

13 August 2017, 13:37 | By Evil Banksta |

Obtala: When is an equity Issue not an equity issue?

When the cash still hasn’t arrived! Tom Winnifrith gets upset (see) when I write negative comments about Obtala (OBT) and so I’ve kept quiet for a while, but there comes a point when you just have to ask the question: WTF is going on? Since Tom believes in free speech (as well as Obtala) he - as ever - allows me to write here.

14 August 2017, 08:26 | By David Scott |

Because it is easy - Kennedy on Space, the World today on debt-binging

In a world in which "we do these things because they're easy", the outcome will eventually be very difficult and painful. On September 12, 1962, President John F. Kennedy gave a famous speech announcing the national goal of going to the moon by the end of the decade.  In a memorable line, Kennedy said we would pursue the many elements of the space program "not because they are easy, but because they are hard.Both nationally and internationally the overriding economic philosophy is currently "we do these things because they're easy" and relying on debt to pay today's expenses is at the top of the list. What's easier than using a line of credit to buy whatever you want or need? Nothing's easier than borrowing money, especially at super-low rates of interest.

13 August 2017, 21:03 | By Tom Winnifrith, The Sheriff of AIM |

FT Reports that Telit "parts company" with Oozi Cats - that's spin from the PR & no longer the issue

The Financial Times, always happy to help a company in trouble try to polish a turd with some PR spinning, is reporting that Telit Communications (TCM) is to part company with its founder, 12% shareholder and CEO Oozi Cats on a permanent basis. After our Boston fraudster revelations of last week Oozi had already stepped down pending an investigation by a law firm Cameron McKenna. After our revelations he was toast. But sacking Oozi is not enough after today's bombshells on this website - this is PR spinning and does not address the issue of wholesale fraud at Telit.

14 August 2017, 08:15 | By HotStockRockets |

Another day and another snippet of good news from Kefi Minerals - buy at up to 6p - target 13p+ to sell

Kefi (KEFI) has announced that it has managed to reduce the amount needed to bring the Tulu Kapi project in Ethiopia into production by another $8 million. Following news of the $135 million Oryx funding last month the shortfall Kefi faced was $32 million, it is now just $24 million.

19 August 2017, 11:11 | By Tom Winnifrith |

Tom Winnifrith: Sign up now for new free share tip service FiveFreeShareTips.com

Following complaints from shamed share ramper Roger Lawson, ADVFN has insisted on a raft of new editorial controls on OneFreeShareTip.com. I did not re-start my life five years ago to be told what I could or could not write. I said no and ADVFN boss Clem Chambers has just said that the website will be shut down. So...our hand is forced ... Welcome to fivefreesharetips.com - we hope you join NOW HERE.

19 August 2017, 11:11 | By Pizza Hardman & Hackney Marxist Darren Atwater |

New Bulletin Board Moron of the Week contest - sponsored by some scooter courier shop in Vietnam, #1 distributer for Telit

As seen here, Telit's (TCM) distributers are a, um, diverse lot, including a distributer in Vietnam that appears to be a scooter courier firm. Which is nice, and thank you for sponsoring this week's Bulletin Board Moron search.

18 August 2017, 14:35 | By Tom Winnifrith, The Sheriff of AIM |

Tom Winnifrith Bearcast: Oozi Cats and the FBI & why Telit could well be tits up within weeks

The failure of the LSE to insist that hapless Nomad FinnCap forces Telit (TCM) to bring in a firm like KPMG to conduct a full forensic review will hurt it even more when this company goes tits up as I noted in a letter to Stock Exchange boss Donald Brydon earlier today HERE.  Two sources tell me that the FBI may have bad news for the Boston fraudster Oozi Cats and his Mrs as I explain in this podcast. But the meat of the podcast is explaining why Telit will go tits up and why that could be within six weeks. Enjoy.

18 August 2017, 08:11 | By Tom Winnifrith, The Sheriff of AIM |

A letter to the chairman of the London Stock Exchange - why no independent review of the Telit fraud?

You may remember that at the last AGM of the London Stock Exchange (LSE) its chairman,, Donald Brydon CBE, 'fessed up to being a ShareProphets reader and as we chatted afterwards he came over as a thoroughly decent man. But he has, yet again, been failed by his minions in their handling of the biggest AIM fraud of the year, so far, Telit (TCM). Lowly gofers such as the head of AIM Regulation, the fake Sheriff Mr Marcus Stuttad,  have allowed Telit to avoid any independent scrutiny of its accounts & business practices despite clear evidence of fraud. That has to change and maybe Brydon will push for that. I have sent him a letter.

18 August 2017, 09:24 | By Tom Winnifrith |

Does Neil Woodford really deserve a halo - is Circassia the biggest dog in his funds?

If you read the bent, freebie is our middle name, personal financie columnists in the deadwood press, fund manager Neil Woodford walks on water. I disagree and have noted before, that, maybe, after three dismal years, others are starting to see the light.  But, with assistance from a leading broker, how about we have a real look at the Woodford Patient Capital Trust (WPCT) but also at the sort of dogs Neil ifalls in love with.

17 August 2017, 14:59 | By Tom Winnifrith |

Obtala - shares to more than double: broker VSA: we publish the note

VSA is house broker to Obtala (OBT) so is not impartial. Neither am I as we own a small number of shares following a Dragon's Den pitch as the 2017 UK Investor Show. But the price target suggests real upside and VSA's research team is well regarded and since we happily published an uber-negative piece from Evil Banksta the other day, this offers some balance. VSA has tweaked its forecasts

18 August 2017, 14:46 | By Tom Winnifrith |

Reader Comment of the day - Drunken Sailor unearths local issues for Bushveld

You may remember that ShareProphets poster Drunken Sailor and I were co-defendants in a libel case a couple of years ago ( which we won). Mr sailor is not a drunk and he is a great sleuth when he wants to be. My pressing concerns about uber ramped Bushveld Minerals (BMN) are its balance sheet, but DS has unearthed another major issue which, for some reason, Bushveld has not covered in an RNS. Perhaps it might do so now? Drunken's post merits a wider audience:

18 August 2017, 11:24 | By Cynical Bear |

PCG Entertainment – Lots to like about this funding deal other than…….WHY??

Like Richard Poulden, CEO of PCG Entertainment (PCGE), I have a bit of time for Brian Kinane at Riverfort. As someone who believes in transparency and clear communication, my view is that Brian is trying to bring some of that to the world of small cap funding, particularly where the dreaded phrase “ death spiral” is concerned and there’s a few points here to be applauded. It still doesn’t prevent the obvious question being aimed at Mr Poulden though – WHY RAISE MORE FUNDS NOW?

18 August 2017, 09:14 | By Tom Winnifrith |

Kennedy Ventures - Giving 3.98% of the company to the CEO does have a cost

Some folks think that handing out share options to senior staff is a cost free exercise and b) benefits all shareholders as it incentivizes the board and also aligns their interests with those of stockholders. Bollocks on all counts.

18 August 2017, 14:05 | By Steve Moore |

SRT Marine Systems – order “for the world's biggest single deployment of AIS AtoN”. Wow… Or not…

Following the postponement of a significant contract announced at the end of last month, SRT Marine Systems (SRT) has now announced an “AIS Aids to Navigation Contract”, including that “the order is for the world's biggest single deployment of AIS AtoN”. The world's biggest hey, sounds impressive!…

17 August 2017, 14:03 | By Steve Moore |

Idox – acquisition aids a rating which is “highly attractive”… Or is it?

Having reached more than 75p in May, shares in information management technology and services company Idox (IDOX) declined below 60p early last month before recovering above 65p - then declining towards 60p again. The company is now “pleased to announce that it has acquired… Halarose, a supplier of electoral back office software and services to UK local authorities, for £5.0 million, comprising £3.5 million in cash and £1.5 million in shares” (at 61.5p)…

18 August 2017, 08:08 | By Malcolm Stacey |

Looking for a Possibly Safer Airline Venture? - Well, this Fleet's In

Hello Share Grafters. The congestion in most of our airports will give you the heads-up that air travel is booming. It will continue to do so, especially as more people from developing countries become middle class. But you may still be wary of big airlines.

18 August 2017, 14:59 | By Nigel Somerville, the Deputy Sheriff of AIM |

Advanced Oncotherapy – how’s the cash position? Still a stonking SELL.

After a stack of RNSs earlier this year, it has all gone quiet at AIM-listed Advanced Oncotherapy (AVO) since the announcement of the termination of the Bracknor death-spiral. How’s the cash position?

17 August 2017, 16:05 | By Steve Moore |

Capital Drilling – half-year results include “broadened” uplift in activity, so why are the shares lower still?

Drilling services company Capital Drilling (CAPD) has announced results for the first half of 2017, including that an initial uplift in activity has broadened with an improving outlook in industrial metals and capital markets activities support. Why then are the shares further lower, below 40p, having been above 60p earlier this year?...

19 August 2017, 07:56 | By Steve Moore |

Table of shorted AIM shares - week to 18/08/2017

From the FCA's spreadsheet of short positions required to be disclosed to it, the following shows the shorted AIM shares with positions from 2016 and thus far in 2017 (by net short position %) - and if this position has increased (red), reduced (green) or remained unchanged (black) since last week...

19 August 2017, 07:32 | By Tom Winnifrith, The Sheriff of AIM |

Telit Communications – how much of a cash guzzler is GainSpan?

In the piss poor results for the six months to 30 June 2017, Telit (TCM) highlighted that it had purchased GainSpan and provided the following rather limited commentary on its contribution to the interim results: